CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. - 10-Q - MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - Insurance News | InsuranceNewsNet

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November 9, 2022 Newswires
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CONIFER HOLDINGS, INC. – 10-Q – MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Edgar Glimpses

For the Periods Ended September 30, 2022 and 2021


The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with the Consolidated
Financial Statements (Unaudited), related notes and other financial information
appearing elsewhere in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q and the audited
consolidated financial statements and related notes included in our Annual
Report on Form 10-K, filed on March 10, 2022 with the U. S. Securities and
Exchange Commission.

Forward-Looking Statements


Certain statements contained in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, which are
not statements of historical fact, are forward-looking statements within the
meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, as Section 21E
of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Forward-looking statements
give current expectations or forecasts of future events or our future financial
or operating performance. Words such as "anticipate," "believe," "estimate,"
"expect," "intend," "may," "plan," "seek" and similar terms and phrases, or the
negative thereof, may be used to identify forward-looking statements.

The forward-looking statements contained in this report are based on
management's good-faith belief and reasonable judgment based on current
information. The forward-looking statements are qualified by important factors,
risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control, that could cause
our actual results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking
statements, including those described in our Form 10-K ("Item 1A Risk Factors")
filed with the SEC on March 10, 2022 and subsequent reports filed with or
furnished to the SEC. Any forward-looking statement made by us in this report
speaks only as of the date hereof or as of the date specified herein. We
undertake no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statement,
whether as a result of new information, future developments or otherwise, except
as may be required by any applicable laws or regulations.


Recent Developments

COVID-19

COVID-19 (the "Pandemic") caused significant disruption to public health, the
global economy, financial markets, and commercial, social and community activity
in general. As there has been a significant reduction in reported cases and
correspondingly a reduction in government restrictions, we see reduced risk to
our business. We continue to monitor potential risks the Pandemic may present
including a potential resurgence. Our exposure to the Pandemic is manifold. The
majority of our employees continue to work remotely however strict
"shelter-in-place" or "stay-at-home" orders have been lifted. A significant
portion of our revenues are generated from the hospitality sector within the
U.S. which remains under stress due to the threats of resurgence and resource
shortages that resulted from the Pandemic.

We have continued to provide customer service, process new and renewal business,
handle claims and otherwise manage all operations even though the vast majority
of the staff is working remotely. To date, we have not seen a major disruption
in our business as a result of the Pandemic and currently do not expect to see a
material negative impact to our financial position or results of operations as a
result of the Pandemic.

Private Placement

On August 10, 2022, the Company issued $5.0 million of equity through a private
placement for 2,500,000 shares priced at $2.00 per share. The participants in
the private placement consisted of members of the Company's Board of Directors.
The Company used the proceeds for growth capital in the Company's specialty core
business segments.

Sale of Certain Agency Business


On October 14, 2022, Venture completed the sale of certain producer business
assets with Whitetail Insurance Services, LLC (the "Buyer"), a wholly-owned
subsidiary of Acrisure, LLC ("Acrisure"), for a purchase price of $38.2 million.
The effective date of the asset purchase agreement is October 1, 2022. There is
no material relationship between the Company or any director or officer of the
Company, or any associate of any director or officer of the Company, and the
Buyer, other than with respect to the Company's disposition of assets to the
Buyer. The assets involved in this transaction relate to Venture Agency
Holdings, Inc. insurance brokerage and associated services provided largely to
the security sector. This sale, along with related transactions including the
cost of the Company purchasing the other 50% of Venture, is expected to generate
approximately $8.0 million of non-operating gains for the Company, net of taxes,
in the fourth quarter of 2022.

                                       26
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On June 30, 2021, our agency (Sycamore Insurance Agency) sold to Venture Agency
Holdings, Inc., a related party, the customer accounts and other related assets
of some of its personal and commercial lines of business (the "Venture
Transaction"). Sycamore will continue to produce various personal and commercial
lines that it did not sell which is substantially all produced for, and
underwritten by, our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. We recognized an $8.9
million gain on the sale which is reflected in Other Gains in the Consolidated
Statement of Operations. In order to determine the value of the portion of the
business sold, the Company obtained a third party valuation based on a weighting
of discounted cash flows and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and
amortization (EBITDA) multiple valuation methods. The valuation included
significant estimates and assumptions related to (i) forecasted revenue and
EBITDA and (ii) the selection of the EBITDA multiple and discount rate.

The purchase price was $10.0 million of which $1.0 million was paid in cash on
June 30, 2021, and $9.0 million was in the form of two promissory notes (one for
$6.0 million and one for $3.0 million). Both notes require interest-only
quarterly payments at a per annum rate of 7.0%, with a five-year maturity. There
are no prepayment penalties. On December 14, 2021, Venture paid off the $3.0
million note.

The assets sold included the customer accounts (mainly agency-related new and
renewal rights) of substantially all of the personal lines business and a small
subset of the commercial lines business underwritten by our Insurance Company
Subsidiaries, and all of the customer accounts Sycamore produced for third-party
insurers. The Venture Transaction included the transition of 21 employees from
Conifer to Venture as well as necessary systems and office functions to operate
the business. Venture did not assume any in-force business or liabilities. The
business will transition to Venture as it produces new or renewal business
effective July 1, 2021. We expect our Insurance Company Subsidiaries will
continue to underwrite substantially all of the business we sold to Venture that
we underwrote prior to the transaction. We expect Venture to be able to grow
both the business we underwrite as well as the third-party business more
effectively as a separate entity outside of Conifer. As of September 30, 2022,
the Company had a non-controlling 50% interest in Venture.

Loss Portfolio Transfer


On November 1, 2022, the Company entered into an LPT reinsurance agreement with
Fleming Re. Under the agreement, Fleming Re will cover an aggregate limit of
$66.3 million of paid losses on $40.8 million of stated net reserves as of June
30, 2022, relating to accident years 2019 and prior. Within the aggregate limit,
there is a $5.5 million loss corridor in which the Company and WPIC retains
losses in excess of $40.8 million. Fleming Re is then responsible to cover paid
losses in excess of $46.3 million up to $66.3 million. Accordingly, there is
$20.0 million of adverse development cover for accident years 2019 and prior.
Under the agreement, Fleming Re retains $40.8 million for stated net reserves as
of June 30, 2022, plus a one-time risk fee of $5.4 million. The agreement is
between CIC and WPIC and Fleming Re.

A.M. Best


On April 21, 2022, A.M. Best downgraded the Company's Long-Term Issuer Credit
Rating (Long-Term ICR) from "bb" (Fair) to "bb-" (Fair), and downgraded the
Company's insurance subsidiaries Financial Strength Rating from "B++" (Good) to
"B+" (Good) and the Long-Term ICR from "bbb" (Good) to "bbb-" (Good). The
outlook assigned to all these ratings by A.M. Best was Stable. We do not believe
the rating changes will have a material effect on our business.

Business Overview


We are an insurance holding company that markets and services our product
offerings through specialty commercial and specialty personal insurance business
lines. Our growth has been significant since our founding in 2009. Currently, we
are authorized to write insurance as an excess and surplus lines carrier in 45
states, including the District of Columbia. We are also licensed to write
insurance as an admitted carrier in 42 states, including the District of
Columbia, and we offer our insurance products in all 50 states.

Our revenues are primarily derived from premiums earned from our insurance
operations. We also generate other revenues through investment income and other
income which mainly consists of installment fees and policy issuance fees
generally related to the policies we write.


Our expenses consist primarily of losses and loss adjustment expenses, agents'
commissions, and other underwriting and administrative expenses. We organize our
operations into three insurance businesses: commercial insurance lines, personal
insurance lines, and wholesale agency business. Together, the commercial and
personal lines refer to "underwriting" operations that take insurance risk, and
the wholesale agency business refers to non-risk insurance business.

Through our commercial insurance product lines, we offer coverage for both
commercial property and commercial liability. We also offer coverage for
commercial automobiles and workers' compensation. Our insurance policies are
sold to targeted small and mid-sized businesses on a single or multiple-coverage
basis.

                                       27
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Through our personal insurance product lines, we offer homeowners insurance and
dwelling fire insurance policies to individuals in several states. Our specialty
homeowners insurance product line is primarily comprised of low-value dwelling
insurance tailored for owners of lower valued homes, which we offer in Illinois,
Indiana and Texas. Due to recent Florida-based industry events, we have been
de-emphasizing our Florida homeowners' business and reducing our exposures in
that state, as well as other wind-exposed states like Texas and Hawaii.

Through our wholesale agency business segment, we offer commercial and personal
lines insurance products for our Insurance Company Subsidiaries as well as
third-party insurers. We have expanded the wholesale agency business to develop
more non-risk revenue streams, and provide our agents with more insurance
product options. However, as a result of the sale of certain agency business on
June 30, 2021, going forward, our agency segment will not be producing any
significant amounts of business for third-party insurers and will produce
approximately 50% less business for the Insurance Company Subsidiaries.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates


In certain circumstances, we are required to make estimates and assumptions that
affect amounts reported in our consolidated financial statements and related
footnotes. We evaluate these estimates and assumptions periodically on an
on-going basis based on a variety of factors. There can be no assurance,
however, that actual results will not be materially different than our estimates
and assumptions, and that reported results of operations will not be affected by
accounting adjustments needed to reflect changes in these estimates and
assumptions. During the nine months ended September 30, 2022, there were no
material changes to our critical accounting policies and estimating
methodologies, which are disclosed in "Management's Discussion and Analysis of
Financial Condition and Results of Operations" included in the Company's Annual
Report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC on March 10, 2022.

Executive Overview


The Company reported $33.1 million of gross written premiums in the third
quarter of 2022, representing a 1.8% decrease as compared to the same period in
2021. Our commercial lines gross written premiums decreased by $2.2 million, or
7.4%, to $27.6 million in the third quarter of 2022, compared to $29.8 million
for the same period in 2021. Personal lines gross written premiums increased by
$1.6 million, or 41.5%, to $5.5 million in the third quarter of 2022, compared
to $3.9 million for the same period in 2021.

The Company reported $103.5 million of gross written premiums for the nine
months ended September 30, 2022, compared to $99.1 million for the same period
in 2021.


The Company reported a net loss of $1.5 million, or $0.14 per share, and a net
loss of $12.8 million, or $1.26 per share, for the three and nine months ended
September 30, 2022, respectively. The Company reported a net loss of $1.2
million, or $0.12 per share, and a net loss of $293,000, or $0.03 per share, for
the three and nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively.

Adjusted operating loss, a non-GAAP measure, was $1.4 million, or $0.13 per
share, and $11.8 million, or $1.16 per share, for the three and nine months
ended September 30, 2022, respectively. Adjusted operating loss was $1.7
million
, or $0.18 per share, and $12.6 million, or $1.30 per share, for the
three and nine months ended September 30, 2021.


Our underwriting combined ratio was 106.5% and 116.0% for the three and nine
months ended September 30, 2022, compared to 106.9 and 116.0% for the three and
nine months ended September 30, 2021, respectively.

                                       28
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Results of Operations For The Three Months Ended September 30, 2022 and 2021


The following table summarizes our operating results for the periods indicated
(dollars in thousands):

                          Summary of Operating Results

                                              Three Months Ended
                                                September 30,
                                              2022          2021         $ Change       % Change
Gross written premiums                     $   33,088     $  33,704     $     (616 )         (1.8 %)

Net written premiums                       $   23,693     $  26,069     $   (2,376 )         (9.1 %)

Net earned premiums                        $   24,958     $  24,941     $       17            0.1 %
Other income                                      603           752           (149 )        (19.8 %)
Losses and loss adjustment expenses, net       16,671        16,159            512            3.2 %
Policy acquisition costs                        6,230         7,173           (943 )        (13.1 )%
Operating expenses                              4,380         4,077            303            7.4 %
Underwriting gain (loss)                       (1,720 )      (1,716 )           (4 )            *
Net investment income                             860           514            346           67.3 %
Net realized investment gains (losses)              -          (101 )          101              *
Change in fair value of equity
securities                                       (151 )      (2,169 )        2,018              *
Other gains (losses)                               66         2,778         (2,712 )            *
Interest expense                                  778           701             77           11.0 %
Income (loss) before equity earnings in
Affiliate, net of tax                          (1,723 )      (1,395 )         (328 )            *
Equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax          199           184             15              *
Income tax expense                                 (1 )          (2 )            1              *
Net income (loss)                          $   (1,523 )   $  (1,209 )   $     (314 )            *

Book value per common share outstanding $ 1.32 $ 4.34

Underwriting Ratios:
Loss ratio (1)                                   66.6 %        64.6 %
Expense ratio (2)                                39.9 %        42.3 %
Combined ratio (3)                              106.5 %       106.9 %

(1) The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of net losses and

loss adjustment expenses to net earned premiums and other income from

underwriting operations.

(2) The expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of policy

acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to net earned premiums and

other income from underwriting operations.

(3) The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. A

combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio

over 100% indicates an underwriting loss.

* Percentage change is not meaningful.

Premiums


Premiums are earned ratably over the term of the policy, whereas written
premiums are reflected on the effective date of the policy. Almost all
commercial lines and homeowners products have annual policies, under which
premiums are earned evenly over one year. The resulting net earned premiums are
impacted by the gross and ceded written premiums, earned ratably over the terms
of the policies.

                                       29
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Our premiums are presented below for the three months ended September 30, 2022
and 2021 (dollars in thousands):

                           Summary of Premium Revenue

                           Three Months Ended
                              September 30,
                            2022          2021       $ Change       % Change
Gross written premiums
Commercial lines         $   27,635     $ 29,849     $  (2,214 )         (7.4 )%
Personal lines                5,453        3,855         1,598           41.5 %
Total                    $   33,088     $ 33,704     $    (616 )         (1.8 )%

Net written premiums
Commercial lines         $   18,730     $ 22,456     $  (3,726 )        (16.6 )%
Personal lines                4,963        3,613         1,350           37.4 %
Total                    $   23,693     $ 26,069     $  (2,376 )         (9.1 )%

Net earned premiums
Commercial lines         $   20,789     $ 21,975     $  (1,186 )         (5.4 )%
Personal lines                4,169        2,966         1,203           40.6 %
Total                    $   24,958     $ 24,941     $      17            0.1 %



Gross written premiums decreased $616,000, or 1.8%, to $33.1 million for the
three months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $33.7 million for the same
period in 2021.

Commercial lines gross written premiums decreased $2.2 million, or 7.4%, to
$27.6 million in the third quarter of 2022, as compared to $29.8 million for the
third quarter of 2021.


Personal lines gross written premiums increased $1.6 million, or 41.5%, to $5.5
million in the third quarter of 2022, as compared to $3.9 million for the same
period in 2021. The increased gross written premiums were due to $1.0 million of
quarter-over-quarter premium growth in the Company's low-value dwelling book of
business.

Net written premiums decreased $2.4 million, or 9.1%, to $23.7 million for the
three months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $26.1 million for the same
period in 2021. The Company entered into new specific loss reinsurance treaties
on December 31, 2021 and January 1, 2022, which included a 40% ceding
commission. This increased ceded written premiums by $1.7 million in the third
quarter of 2022. There was no ceding commission on excess of loss treaties
during 2021. Ceded earned premiums also increased due to the new treaties by
$2.1 million. The increase in ceded earned premiums was offset by the same
increase in ceding commissions, which reduced acquisition costs.

Other Income


Other income consists primarily of fees charged to policyholders by the Company
for services outside of the premium charge, such as installment billings and
policy issuance costs. Other income also includes the interest income from the
$6.0 million promissory note receivable from Venture relating to the Venture
Transaction. Commission income is also received by the Company's insurance
agency for writing policies for third-party insurance companies. All of the
third-party business was sold to Venture at June 30, 2021. Accordingly, other
income from that business will diminish over the next few quarters as it
transitions over to Venture, and will ultimately no longer occur. Other income
decreased by $149,000, or 19.8%, to $603,000 for the three months ended
September 30, 2022, as compared to $752,000 for the same period in 2021.

                                       30
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses


The tables below detail our losses and loss adjustment expenses and loss ratios
in our underwriting business for the three months ended September 30, 2022 and
2021 (dollars in thousands).

                                         Commercial       Personal
Three months ended September 30, 2022      Lines           Lines         

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE $ 10,599 $ 2,942 $ 13,541
Net (favorable) adverse development

            2,749            381        

3,130

Calendar year net losses and LAE $ 13,348 $ 3,323 $ 16,671


Accident year loss ratio                        50.8 %         70.1 %       54.0 %
Net (favorable) adverse development             13.2 %          9.1 %       12.6 %
Calendar year loss ratio                        64.0 %         79.2 %       66.6 %



                                         Commercial       Personal
Three months ended September 30, 2021      Lines           Lines         

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE $ 11,341 $ 1,172 $ 12,513
Net (favorable) adverse development

            3,356            290        

3,646

Calendar year net losses and LAE $ 14,697 $ 1,462 $ 16,159


Accident year loss ratio                        51.5 %         39.1 %       50.0 %
Net (favorable) adverse development             15.2 %          9.7 %       14.6 %
Calendar year loss ratio                        66.7 %         48.8 %       64.6 %



Net losses and LAE increased by $512,000, or 3.2%, to $16.7 million during the
third quarter of 2022, compared to $16.2 million for the same period in
2021. The increase in losses was driven by current accident year losses
increasing by $1.8 million during the third quarter of 2022 in the Company's
personal lines, compared to the same period in 2021.

The Company experienced $3.1 million of adverse development for the three months
ended September 30, 2022, of which $2.3 million was related to 2019 and prior
accident years and $1.8 million was related to the 2021 accident year. This was
offset by $958,000 of favorable development experienced in the 2020 accident
year. Of the $3.1 million of adverse development, $2.7 million was related to
the commercial lines of business, while $381,000 was related to the personal
lines of business.

The Company experienced $3.6 million of adverse development for the three months
ended September 30, 2021, of which $1.1 million was related to 2017 and prior
accident years, $1.4 million was related to the 2018 accident year, and $1.0
million was related to the 2019 accident year. In the third quarter of 2021,
$3.4 million of the adverse development was related to the commercial lines of
business, mostly from the liability lines, while $290,000 was related to the
personal lines of business.

Expense Ratio

Our expense ratio is a measure of the efficiency and performance of the
commercial and personal lines of business (our risk-bearing underwriting
operations). It is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs
and other underwriting expenses by the sum of net earned premiums and other
income of the underwriting business. Costs that cannot be readily identifiable
as a direct cost of a segment or product line remain in Corporate for segment
reporting purposes. The expense ratio excludes wholesale agency and Corporate
expenses.

                                       31
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The table below provides the expense ratio by major component.

                             Three Months Ended
                                September 30,
                             2022           2021
Commercial Lines
Policy acquisition costs        23.8 %        29.3 %
Operating expenses              15.8 %        13.4 %
Total                           39.6 %        42.7 %
Personal Lines
Policy acquisition costs        28.9 %        28.0 %
Operating expenses              12.4 %        11.2 %
Total                           41.3 %        39.2 %
Total Underwriting
Policy acquisition costs        24.6 %        29.2 %
Operating expenses              15.3 %        13.1 %
Total                           39.9 %        42.3 %



Our expense ratio decreased by 2.4 percentage points in the third quarter of
2022 as compared to the same period in 2021. The decrease was largely due to a
reduction in policy acquisition costs attributable to $1.7 million of ceding
commission from new excess of loss reinsurance treaties. There were no ceding
commissions on excess of loss treaties in 2021.

Policy acquisition costs are costs we incur to issue policies, which include
commissions, premium taxes, underwriting reports and underwriter compensation
costs. The Company offsets direct commissions with ceding commissions from
reinsurers. The percentage of policy acquisition costs to net earned premiums
and other income decreased by 4.6%, from 29.2% in the third quarter of 2021, to
24.6% for the same period in 2022, mostly due to the new ceding commission
mentioned above.

Operating expenses consist primarily of employee compensation, information
technology and occupancy costs, such as rent and utilities. Operating expenses
as a percent of net earned premiums and other underwriting income increased by
2.2% during the third quarter of 2022 to 15.3%, compared to 13.1% for the same
period in 2021. While overall operating expenses were fairly consistent
quarter-over-quarter, the new excess of loss reinsurance treaties with the
ceding commission drove net earned premiums lower, resulting in a slightly
higher operating expense ratio.

Segment Results


We measure the performance of our consolidated results, in part, based on our
underwriting gain or loss. The following table provides the underwriting gain or
loss for the three months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021 (dollars in
thousands):

                              Segment Gain (Loss)

                              Three Months Ended
                                 September 30,
                               2022          2021       $ Change
Commercial Lines            $     (749 )   $ (2,084 )   $   1,335
Personal Lines                    (861 )        359        (1,220 )
Total Underwriting              (1,610 )     (1,725 )         115
Wholesale Agency                    50          (43 )          93
Corporate                         (206 )       (139 )         (67 )
Eliminations                        46          191          (145 )
Total segment gain (loss)   $   (1,720 )   $ (1,716 )   $      (4 )




                                       32
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Results of Operations For The Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022 and 2021


The following table summarizes our operating results for the periods indicated
(dollars in thousands):

                                              Nine months ended
                                                September 30,
                                             2022          2021        $ Change       % Change
Gross written premiums                     $ 103,470     $  99,058     $   4,412            4.5 %

Net written premiums                       $  68,980     $  79,084     $ (10,104 )        (12.8 )%

Net earned premiums                        $  73,489     $  72,614     $     875            1.2 %
Other income                                   1,964         1,974           (10 )         (0.5 )%
Losses and loss adjustment expenses, net      56,940        53,447         3,493            6.5 %
Policy acquisition costs                      17,419        20,819        (3,400 )        (16.3 )%
Operating expenses                            13,010        12,768           242            1.9 %
Underwriting gain (loss)                     (11,916 )     (12,446 )         530            4.3 %
Net investment income                          1,931         1,549           382           24.7 %

Net realized investment gains (losses) (1,505 ) 3,883 (5,388 )

            *
Change in fair value of equity
securities                                       446        (3,234 )       3,680              *
Other gains                                       60        11,688       (11,628 )            *
Interest expense                               2,216         2,154            62            2.9 %
Income (loss) before equity earnings in
Affiliate and income taxes                   (13,200 )        (714 )     (12,486 )            *
Equity earnings in Affiliate, net of tax         368           612          (244 )            *
Income tax expense                               (40 )         191          (231 )            *
Net income (loss)                          $ (12,792 )   $    (293 )   $ (12,499 )            *

Book value per common share outstanding $ 1.32 $ 4.34

Underwriting Ratios:
Loss ratio (1)                                  77.2 %        73.3 %
Expense ratio (2)                               38.8 %        42.7 %
Combined ratio (3)                             116.0 %       116.0 %


(1) The loss ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of net losses and

loss adjustment expenses to net earned premiums and other income from

underwriting operations.

(2) The expense ratio is the ratio, expressed as a percentage, of policy

acquisition costs and other underwriting expenses to net earned premiums and

other income from underwriting operations.

(3) The combined ratio is the sum of the loss ratio and the expense ratio. A

combined ratio under 100% indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio

over 100% indicates an underwriting loss.

* Percentage change is not meaningful.

Premiums


Premiums are earned ratably over the term of the policy, whereas written
premiums are reflected on the effective date of the policy. Almost all
commercial lines and homeowners products have annual policies, under which
premiums are earned evenly over one year. The resulting net earned premiums are
impacted by the gross and ceded written premiums, earned ratably over the terms
of the policies.

                                       33
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Our premiums are presented below for the nine months ended September 30, 2022
and 2021 (dollars in thousands):

                           Nine months ended
                             September 30,
                           2022          2021       $ Change       % Change
Gross written premiums
Commercial lines         $  88,297     $ 88,017     $     280            0.3 %
Personal lines              15,173       11,041         4,132           37.4 %
Total                    $ 103,470     $ 99,058     $   4,412            4.5 %
Net written premiums
Commercial lines         $  55,456     $ 68,685     $ (13,229 )        (19.3 )%
Personal lines              13,524       10,399         3,125           30.1 %
Total                    $  68,980     $ 79,084     $ (10,104 )        (12.8 )%
Net earned premiums
Commercial lines         $  62,097     $ 64,869     $  (2,772 )         (4.3 )%
Personal lines              11,392        7,745         3,647           47.1 %
Total                    $  73,489     $ 72,614     $     875            1.2 %



Gross written premiums increased $4.4 million, or 4.5%, to $103.5 million for
the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $99.1 million for the
same period in 2021.

Commercial lines gross written premiums increased $280,000, or 0.3%, and was
$88.3 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $88.0
million for the same period in 2021.

Personal lines gross written premiums increased $4.1 million, or 37.4%, to $15.2
million for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $11.0
million for the same period in 2021. The increased gross written premiums were
due to $3.0 million of premium growth in the Company's low-value dwelling book
of business for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 compared to the same
period in 2021.

Net written premiums decreased $10.1 million, or 12.8%, to $69.0 million for the
nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to $79.1 million for the same
period in 2021. The Company entered into new specific loss reinsurance treaties
on December 31, 2021 and January 1, 2022, which included a 40% ceding
commission. This increased ceded written premiums by approximately $8.4 million
for the nine months ended September 30, 2022. There was no ceding commission on
excess of loss treaties during 2021. Ceded earned premiums also increased due to
the new treaties by $6.3 million. The increase in ceded earned premiums was
offset by the same increase in ceding commissions, which reduced acquisition
costs.

Other Income

Other income consists primarily of fees charged to policyholders by the Company
for services outside of the premium charge, such as installment billings and
policy issuance costs. Other income also includes the interest income from the
$6.0 million promissory note receivable from Venture relating to the Venture
Transaction. Commission income is also received by the Company's insurance
agency for writing policies for third-party insurance companies. All of the
third-party business was sold to Venture at June 30, 2021. Accordingly, other
income from that business will diminish over the next few quarters as it
transitions over to Venture, and will ultimately no longer occur. Other income
remained consistent and was $2.0 million for the nine months ended September 30,
2022 and September 30, 2021, respectively.

                                       34
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses


The tables below detail our losses and loss adjustment expenses and loss ratios
in our underwriting business for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and
2021 (dollars in thousands).

                                        Commercial       Personal
Nine months ended September 30, 2022      Lines           Lines         

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE $ 32,119 $ 6,646 $ 38,765
Net (favorable) adverse development 17,745

            430       

18,175

Calendar year net losses and LAE $ 49,864 $ 7,076 $ 56,940


Accident year loss ratio                       51.6 %         58.0 %       52.6 %
Net (favorable) adverse development            28.4 %          3.8 %       24.6 %
Calendar year loss ratio                       80.0 %         61.8 %       77.2 %



                                        Commercial       Personal
Nine months ended September 30, 2021      Lines           Lines         

Total

Accident year net losses and LAE $ 33,884 $ 3,929 $ 37,813
Net (favorable) adverse development 14,708

            926       

15,634

Calendar year net losses and LAE $ 48,592 $ 4,855 $ 53,447


Accident year loss ratio                       52.1 %         50.0 %       51.9 %
Net (favorable) adverse development            22.6 %         11.8 %       21.4 %
Calendar year loss ratio                       74.7 %         61.8 %       73.3 %



Net losses and LAE increased by $3.5 million, or 6.5%, to $56.9 million for the
nine months ended September 30, 2022, compared to $53.4 million for the same
period in 2021. The increase in losses was driven by adverse development that
occurred during the first nine months of 2022. The Company experienced $18.2
million of adverse development for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as
compared to $15.6 million of adverse development for the same period in 2021.

Of the $18.2 million of adverse development experienced in the first nine months
of 2022, $14.3 million was related to 2019 and prior accident years, $2.2
million was related to the 2020 accident year, and $1.7 million was related to
the 2021 accident year. Substantially all of the $18.2 million of adverse
development was related to the Company's commercial lines of business.

Net losses and LAE were $53.4 million for the nine months ended September 30,
2021. The Company experienced $2.0 million of catastrophe losses, net of
reinsurance recoverables, during the first quarter of 2021 from Winter Storm
Uri. The Company also experienced $15.6 million of adverse development for the
nine months ended September 30, 2021, which increased losses further. Of the
$15.6 million in adverse development, $14.7 million was related to commercial
lines, while $926,000 was related to personal lines. The adverse development was
mostly attributable to the 2019, 2018 and 2017 and prior accident years, and
mostly related to commercial liability lines.

Expense Ratio


Our expense ratio is a measure of the efficiency and performance of the
commercial and personal lines of business (our risk-bearing underwriting
operations). It is calculated by dividing the sum of policy acquisition costs
and other underwriting expenses by the sum of net earned premiums and other
income of the underwriting business. Costs that cannot be readily identifiable
as a direct cost of a segment or product line remain in Corporate for segment
reporting purposes. The expense ratio excludes wholesale agency and Corporate
expenses.

                                       35
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The table below provides the expense ratio by major component.

                             Nine months ended
                               September 30,
                             2022           2021
Commercial Lines
Policy acquisition costs        22.0 %       29.4 %
Operating expenses              16.0 %       13.5 %
Total                           38.0 %       42.9 %
Personal Lines
Policy acquisition costs        30.8 %       27.7 %
Operating expenses              12.3 %       13.7 %
Total                           43.1 %       41.4 %
Total Underwriting
Policy acquisition costs        23.4 %       29.2 %
Operating expenses              15.4 %       13.5 %
Total                           38.8 %       42.7 %



Our expense ratio decreased by 3.9 percentage points for the nine months ended
September 30, 2022, as compared to the same period in 2021. The decrease was
largely due to a reduction in policy acquisition costs attributable to $8.4
million of ceding commission from new excess of loss reinsurance treaties. There
were no commissions on excess of loss treaties in 2021. The expense ratio also
decreased as a result of a $865,000 increase in underwriting revenue for the
nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to the same period in 2021,
while operating expenses were slightly higher in 2022.

Policy acquisition costs are costs we incur to issue policies, which include
commissions, premium taxes, underwriting reports and underwriter compensation
costs. The Company offsets direct commissions with ceded commissions from
reinsurers. The percentage of policy acquisition costs to net earned premiums
and other income decreased by 5.8%, from 29.2% in the first nine months of 2021,
to 23.4% for the same period in 2022, mostly due to the new ceding commission
mentioned above.

Operating expenses consist primarily of employee compensation, information
technology and occupancy costs, such as rent and utilities. Operating expenses
as a percent of net earned premiums and other underwriting income increased by
1.9% to 15.4% for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, as compared to 13.5%
for the same period in 2021. The new excess of loss reinsurance treaties with
the ceding commission drove net earned premiums lower, resulting in a slightly
higher operating expense ratio.

The personal lines operating expense ratio was lower for the nine months ended
September 30, 2022 due to significant growth in premium volume on substantially
the same operating expense base.

Segment Results


We measure the performance of our consolidated results, in part, based on our
underwriting gain or loss. The following table provides the underwriting gain or
loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021 (dollars in
thousands):

                              Segment Gain (Loss)

                               Nine months ended
                                 September 30,
                              2022          2021         $ Change
Commercial Lines            $ (11,255 )   $ (11,428 )   $      173
Personal Lines                   (561 )        (251 )         (310 )
Total Underwriting            (11,816 )     (11,679 )         (137 )
Wholesale Agency                  132          (275 )          407
Corporate                        (421 )        (652 )          231
Eliminations                      189           160             29
Total segment gain (loss)   $ (11,916 )   $ (12,446 )   $      530




                                       36
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Liquidity and Capital Resources

Sources and Uses of Funds


At September 30, 2022, we had $66.0 million in cash, cash equivalents and
short-term investments. Our principal sources of funds are insurance premiums,
investment income, proceeds from maturities and sales of invested assets and
installment fees. These funds are primarily used to pay claims, commissions,
employee compensation, taxes and other operating expenses, and service debt.

Management plans to issue new public debt that will provide sufficient cash flow
to pay off the senior unsecured notes that are coming due within the next twelve
months. We believe it is probable that we will be able to issue new public debt
and repay the senior unsecured notes by September 30, 2023. We believe that our
existing cash, cash equivalents, short-term investments and investment
securities balances will be adequate to meet our operating liquidity needs and
the needs of our subsidiaries on a short-term and long-term basis. With the
expected execution of the senior debt refinancing, we believe we can meet our
capital needs as well over the next twelve months.

We conduct our business operations primarily through our Insurance Company
Subsidiaries. Our ability to service debt, and pay administrative expenses is
primarily reliant upon our intercompany service fees paid by the Insurance
Company Subsidiaries to the Parent Company for management, administrative, and
information technology services provided to the Insurance Company Subsidiaries
by the Parent Company. Secondarily, the Parent Company may receive dividends
from the Insurance Company Subsidiaries; however, this is not the primary means
in which the Parent Company supports its funding as state insurance laws
restrict the ability of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries to declare dividends
to the Parent Company. There were no dividends paid from our Insurance Company
Subsidiaries during the nine months ended September 30, 2022 and 2021.

The FHLB of Indianapolis loan matures on January 9, 2023. It is 100%
collateralized with high quality readily marketable securities and
cash. Management plans to repay this debt by year end with existing cash and
investments. However, we also believe the FHLB of Indianapolis would refinance
this debt if we chose to keep it for a longer period, due to the very low risk
associated with a fully collateralized loan.

Cash Flows


Operating Activities. Cash used in operating activities for the nine months
ended September 30, 2022 was $14.1 million compared to $2.0 million for the same
period in 2021. The $12.1 million increase was primarily due to a $16.7 million
increase in ceded premiums paid during the nine months ended September 30, 2022,
compared to the same period in 2021. This was due to the new specific commercial
liability treaty the Company entered into as of December 31, 2021, which
includes a 40% ceding commission. The increase in ceded premiums paid was offset
by a $6.7 million decrease in acquisition costs paid for the nine months ended
September 30, 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This decrease was also
related to the new specific commercial liability treaty the Company entered into
on December 31, 2021. There was also an $8.1 million increase in paid losses as
the Company has accelerated closing outstanding claims.

Investing Activities. Cash provided by investing activities for the nine months
ended September 30, 2022 was $20.1 million, compared to $5.3 million in the same
period in 2021. The $14.8 million increase of cash provided by investing
activities was driven by a $101.5 million increase in the sales of investment
during the first nine months of 2022, compared to the same period in 2021. This
was offset by an increase of $85.1 million increase in the purchases of
investment for the nine months ended September 30, 2022, compared to the same
period in 2021.

Financing Activities. Cash provided by financing activities for the nine months
ended September 30, 2022 was $19.5 million compared to $4.0 million of cash used
in the same period in 2021. The $23.5 million increase was driven by the Company
borrowing an additional $14.5 million related to the FHLB of Indianapolis loan
during the third quarter of 2022. The Company also raised $5.0 million through
the issuance of additional common stock on August 8, 2022.

Statutory Capital and Surplus


Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are required to file quarterly and annual
financial reports with state insurance regulators. These financial reports are
prepared using statutory accounting practices promulgated by the Insurance
Company Subsidiaries' state of domiciliary, rather than GAAP. The Insurance
Company Subsidiaries' aggregate statutory capital and surplus (which is a
statutory measure of equity) was $58.9 million and $63.9 million at September
30, 2022 and December 31, 2021, respectively.

                                       37
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Adjusted Operating Income and Adjusted Operating Income Per Share


Adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share are non-GAAP
measures that represent net income allocable to common shareholders excluding
net realized investment gains or losses, other gains or losses, and changes in
fair value of equity securities; all net of tax. The most directly comparable
financial GAAP measures to adjusted operating income and adjusted operating
income per share are net income and net income per share, respectively. Adjusted
operating income and adjusted operating income per share are intended as
supplemental information and are not meant to replace net income or net income
per share. Adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share
should be read in conjunction with the GAAP financial results. Our definition of
adjusted operating income may be different from that used by other
companies. The following is a reconciliation of net income (loss) to adjusted
operating income (loss) (dollars in thousands), as well as net income (loss) per
share to adjusted operating income (loss) per share:

                                                Three Months Ended               Nine months ended
                                                  September 30,                    September 30,
                                               2022            2021             2022            2021
Net income (loss)                          $     (1,523 )   $    (1,209 )   $    (12,792 )   $      (293 )
Exclude:
Net realized investment gains (losses),
net of tax                                            -            (101 )         (1,505 )         3,883
Other gains (losses), net of tax                     66           2,778               60          11,688
Change in fair value of equity
securities, net of tax                             (151 )        (2,169 )            446          (3,234 )
Adjusted operating income (loss)           $     (1,438 )   $    (1,717 )   

$ (11,793 ) $ (12,630 )

Weighted average common shares diluted 11,101,194 9,692,150

   10,178,975       9,686,874
Diluted income (loss) per common share:
Net income (loss)                          $      (0.14 )   $     (0.12 )   $      (1.26 )   $     (0.03 )
Exclude:
Net realized investment gains (losses),
net of tax                                            -           (0.01 )          (0.15 )          0.40
Other gains (losses), net of tax                      -            0.29             0.01            1.20
Change in fair value of equity
securities, net of tax                            (0.01 )         (0.22 )           0.04           (0.33 )
Adjusted operating income (loss) per
share                                      $      (0.13 )   $     (0.18 )   $      (1.16 )   $     (1.30 )



We use adjusted operating income and adjusted operating income per share to
assess our performance and to evaluate the results of our overall business. We
believe these measures provide investors with valuable information relating to
our ongoing performance that may be obscured by the net effect of realized gains
and losses as a result of our market risk sensitive instruments, which primarily
relate to debt securities that are available for sale and not held for trading
purposes. The change in fair value of equity securities and realized gains and
losses may vary significantly between periods and are generally driven by
external economic developments, such as capital market conditions. Accordingly,
adjusted operating income excludes the effect of items that tend to be highly
variable from period to period and highlights the results from our ongoing
business operations and the underlying results of our business. We believe that
it is useful for investors to evaluate adjusted operating income and adjusted
operating income per share, along with net income and net income per share, when
reviewing and evaluating our performance.

Recently Issued Accounting Pronouncements


Refer to Note 1 ~ Summary of Significant Accounting Policies - Recently Issued
Accounting Guidance of the Notes to the Consolidated Financial Statements for
detailed information regarding recently issued accounting pronouncements.

                                       38

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Older

PORCH GROUP, INC. – 10-Q – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Newer

HCI GROUP, INC. – 10-Q – MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

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