GREAT SOUTHERN BANCORP, INC. – 10-Q – MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Forward-looking Statements
When used in this Quarterly Report and in other documents filed or furnished byGreat Southern Bancorp, Inc. (the "Company") with theSecurities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"), in the Company's press releases or other public or stockholder communications, and in oral statements made with the approval of an authorized executive officer, the words or phrases "may," "might," "could," "should," "will likely result," "are expected to," "will continue," "is anticipated," "believe," "estimate," "project," "intends" or similar expressions are intended to identify "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements also include, but are not limited to, statements regarding plans, objectives, expectations or consequences of announced transactions, known trends and statements about future performance, operations, products and services of the Company. The Company's ability to predict results or the actual effects of future plans or strategies is inherently uncertain, and the Company's actual results could differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause or contribute to such differences include, but are not limited to: (i) expected revenues, cost savings, earnings accretion, synergies and other benefits from the Company's merger and acquisition activities might not be realized within the anticipated time frames or at all, and costs or difficulties relating to integration matters, including but not limited to customer and employee retention, and labor shortages might be greater than expected; (ii) changes in economic conditions, either nationally or in the Company's market areas; (iii) the remaining effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, including on our credit quality and business operations, as well as its impact on general economic and financial market conditions and other uncertainties resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic; (iv) fluctuations in interest rates and the effects of inflation, a potential recession or slower economic growth caused by changes in energy prices or supply chain disruptions; (v) the risks of lending and investing activities, including changes in the level and direction of loan delinquencies and write-offs and changes in estimates of the adequacy of the allowance for credit losses; (vi) the possibility of realized or unrealized losses on securities held in the Company's investment portfolio; (vii) the Company's ability to access cost-effective funding and maintain sufficient liquidity; (viii) fluctuations in real estate values and both residential and commercial real estate market conditions; (ix) the ability to adapt successfully to technological changes to meet customers' needs and developments in the marketplace; (x) the possibility that security measures implemented might not be sufficient to mitigate the risk of a cyber-attack or cyber theft, and that such security measures might not protect against systems failures or interruptions; (xi) legislative or regulatory changes that adversely affect the Company's business; (xii) changes in accounting policies and practices or accounting standards; (xiii) results of examinations of the Company andGreat Southern Bank by their regulators, including the possibility that the regulators may, among other things, require the Company to limit its business activities, change its business mix, increase its allowance for credit losses, write-down assets or increase its capital levels, or affect its ability to borrow funds or maintain or increase deposits, which could adversely affect its liquidity and earnings; (xiv) costs and effects of litigation, including settlements and judgments; (xv) competition; (xvi) uncertainty regarding the future of LIBOR and potential replacement indexes; and (xvii) natural disasters, war, terrorist activities or civil unrest and their effects on economic and business environments in which the Company operates. The Company wishes to advise readers that the factors listed above and other risks described from time to time in documents filed or furnished by the Company with theSEC could affect the Company's financial performance and could cause the Company's actual results for future periods to differ materially from any opinions or statements expressed with respect to future periods in any current statements. The Company does not undertake-and specifically declines any obligation- to publicly release the result of any revisions which may be made to any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of such statements or to reflect the occurrence of anticipated or unanticipated events.
Critical Accounting Policies, Judgments and Estimates
The accounting and reporting policies of the Company conform to accounting principles generally accepted inthe United States of America and general practices within the financial services industry. The preparation of financial statements in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted inthe United States of America requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect the amounts reported in the financial statements and the accompanying notes. Actual results could differ from those estimates.
Allowance for Credit Losses and Valuation of Foreclosed Assets
The Company believes that the determination of the allowance for credit losses involves a higher degree of judgment and complexity than its other significant accounting policies. The allowance for credit losses is calculated with the objective of maintaining an allowance level believed by management to be sufficient to absorb estimated credit losses. The allowance for credit losses is measured using an average historical loss model that incorporates relevant information about past events (including historical credit loss 31 experience on loans with similar risk characteristics), current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts that affect the collectability of the remaining cash flows over the contractual term of the loans. The allowance for credit losses is measured on a collective (pool) basis. Loans are aggregated into pools based on similar risk characteristics, including borrower type, collateral and repayment types and expected credit loss patterns. Loans that do not share similar risk characteristics, primarily classified loans with a balance greater than or equal to$100,000 , are evaluated on an individual basis. For loans evaluated for credit losses on a collective basis, average historical loss rates are calculated for each pool using the Company's historical net charge-offs (combined charge-offs and recoveries by observable historical reporting period) and outstanding loan balances during a lookback period. Lookback periods can be different based on the individual pool and represent management's credit expectations for the pool of loans over the remaining contractual life. In certain loan pools, if the Company's own historical loss rate is not reflective of the loss expectations, the historical loss rate is augmented by industry and peer data. The calculated average net charge-off rate is then adjusted for current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts. These adjustments increase or decrease the average historical loss rate to reflect expectations of future losses given economic forecasts of key macroeconomic variables including, but not limited to, unemployment rate, GDP, disposable income and market volatility. The adjustments are based on results from various regression models projecting the impact of the macroeconomic variables to loss rates. The forecast is used for a reasonable and supportable period before reverting back to historical averages using a straight-line method. The forecast adjusted loss rate is applied to the amortized cost of loans over the remaining contractual lives, adjusted for expected prepayments. The contractual term excludes expected extensions, renewals and modifications. Additionally, the allowance for credit losses considers other qualitative factors not included in historical loss rates or macroeconomic forecast such as changes in portfolio composition, underwriting practices, or significant unique events or conditions. See Note 6 "Loans and Allowance for Credit Losses" of the accompanying financial statements for additional information regarding the allowance for credit losses. Inherent in this process is the evaluation of individual significant credit relationships. From time to time certain credit relationships may deteriorate due to payment performance, cash flow of the borrower, value of collateral, or other factors. In these instances, management may revise its loss estimates and assumptions for these specific credits due to changing circumstances. In some cases, additional losses may be realized; in other instances, the factors that led to the deterioration may improve or the credit may be refinanced elsewhere and allocated allowances may be released from the particular credit. OnJanuary 1, 2021 , the Company adopted the new accounting standard related to the allowance for credit losses. For assets held at amortized cost basis, this standard eliminates the probable initial recognition threshold in GAAP and, instead, requires an entity to reflect its current estimate of all expected credit losses. See Note 6 of the accompanying financial statements for additional information. In addition, the Company considers that the determination of the valuations of foreclosed assets held for sale involves a high degree of judgment and complexity. The carrying value of foreclosed assets reflects management's best estimate of the amount to be realized from the sales of the assets. While the estimate is generally based on a valuation by an independent appraiser or recent sales of similar properties, the amount that the Company realizes from the sales of the assets could differ materially from the carrying value reflected in the financial statements, resulting in losses that could adversely impact earnings in future periods.
Goodwill and intangible assets that have indefinite useful lives are subject to an impairment test at least annually and more frequently if circumstances indicate their value may not be recoverable.Goodwill is tested for impairment using a process that estimates the fair value of each of the Company's reporting units compared with its carrying value. The Company defines reporting units as a level below each of its operating segments for which there is discrete financial information that is regularly reviewed. As ofMarch 31, 2023 , the Company had one reporting unit to which goodwill has been allocated - the Bank. If the fair value of a reporting unit exceeds its carrying value, then no impairment is recorded. If the carrying value exceeds the fair value of a reporting unit, further testing is completed comparing the implied fair value of the reporting unit's goodwill to its carrying value to measure the amount of impairment, if any. Intangible assets that are not amortized will be tested for impairment at least annually by comparing the fair values of those assets to their carrying values. AtMarch 31, 2023 , goodwill consisted of$5.4 million at the Bank reporting unit, which included goodwill of$4.2 million that was recorded during 2016 related to the acquisition of 12 branches and the assumption of related deposits in theSt. Louis market fromFifth Third Bank . Other identifiable deposit intangible assets that are subject to amortization are amortized on a straight-line basis over a period of seven years. InApril 2022 , the Company, through its subsidiaryGreat Southern Bank , entered into a naming rights agreement withMissouri State University related to the main arena on the university's campus inSpringfield, Missouri . The terms of the agreement provide the naming rights toGreat Southern Bank for a total cost of$5.5 million , to be paid over a period of seven years. The Company expects to amortize the intangible asset through non-interest expense over a period not to exceed 15 years. 32
At
rights of
amortizable intangible assets are reviewed for impairment if circumstances
indicate their value may not be recoverable based on a comparison of fair value.
For purposes of testing goodwill for impairment, the Company uses a market approach to value its reporting unit. The market approach applies a market multiple, based on observed purchase transactions for each reporting unit, to the metrics appropriate for the valuation of the operating unit. Significant judgment is applied when goodwill is assessed for impairment. This judgment may include developing cash flow projections, selecting appropriate discount rates, identifying relevant market comparables and incorporating general economic and market conditions. Management does not believe any of the Company's goodwill or other intangible assets were impaired as ofMarch 31, 2023 . While management believes no impairment existed atMarch 31, 2023 , different conditions or assumptions used to measure fair value of the reporting unit, or changes in cash flows or profitability, if significantly negative or unfavorable, could have a material adverse effect on the outcome of the Company's impairment evaluation in the future.
A summary of goodwill and intangible assets is as follows:
March 31 ,December 31, 2023 2022 (In Thousands)
Deposit intangibles
- 53 Arena Naming Rights (April 2022) 5,306 5,364 Goodwill - Branch acquisitions 5,306 5,417$ 10,702 $ 10,813 Current Economic Conditions Changes in economic conditions could cause the values of assets and liabilities recorded in the financial statements to change rapidly, resulting in material future adjustments in asset values, the allowance for credit losses, or capital that could negatively affect the Company's ability to meet regulatory capital requirements and maintain sufficient liquidity. Following the housing and mortgage crisis and correction beginning in mid-2007,the United States entered an economic downturn. Unemployment rose from 4.7% inNovember 2007 to peak at 10.0% inOctober 2009 . Economic conditions improved in the subsequent years, as indicated by higher consumer confidence levels, increased economic activity and low unemployment levels. TheU.S. economy continued to operate at historically strong levels until the COVID-19 pandemic inMarch 2020 , which severely affected tourism, labor markets, business travel, immigration and the global supply chain among other areas. The economy plunged into recession in the first quarter of 2020, as efforts to contain the spread of the coronavirus forced all but essential business activity, or any work that could not be done from home, to stop, shuttering factories, restaurants, entertainment, sporting events, retail shops, personal services, and more. The pandemic has not been disruptive to theU.S. and global economies for several months now, with governments, households and businesses increasingly adept at making adjustments for the virus. More than 22 million jobs were lost in March andApril 2020 as businesses closed their doors or reduced their operations, sending employees home on furlough or layoffs. Hunkered down at home with uncertain incomes and limited buying opportunities, consumer spending plummeted. As a result, gross domestic product (GDP), the broadest measure of the nation's economic output, plunged. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security Act ("CARES Act"), a fiscal relief bill passed byCongress and signed by the President inMarch 2020 , injected approximately$3 trillion into the economy through direct payments to individuals and loans to small businesses that would help keep employees on their payroll, fueling a historic bounce-back in economic activity. Total fiscal support to the economy throughout the pandemic, including the CARES Act, the American Rescue Plan of 2021, and several smaller fiscal packages, totaled well over$5 trillion . The amount of this support was equal to almost 25% of pre-pandemic 2019 GDP and approximately three times that provided during the global financial crisis of 2007-2008. Additionally, theFederal Reserve acted decisively by slashing its benchmark interest rate to near zero and ensuring credit availability to businesses, households, and municipal governments. TheFederal Reserve's efforts largely insulated the financial system from the problems in the economy, a significant difference from the financial crisis of 2007-2008. Purchases ofTreasury and agency mortgage-backed securities totaling$120 billion each month by theFederal Reserve commenced shortly after the pandemic began. In November 33 2021, theFederal Reserve began to taper its quantitative easing (QE), winding down its bond purchases with its final open market purchase conducted onMarch 9, 2022 . TheFederal Reserve continues to aggressively tighten monetary policy by increasing rates and allowing its balance sheet to shrink through quantitative tightening. The federal government deficit was$2.8 trillion in fiscal 2021, close to$1.38 trillion in fiscal 2022, and is expected to be$1.4 trillion in fiscal 2023. The publicly traded debt-to-GDP ratio is near 95%, up from 80% prior to the pandemic and 35% prior to the global financial crisis. Lawmakers were appropriately not focused on deficits during the pandemic, but as the pandemic fades, addressing the fragile fiscal situation becomes critical. Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased at an annual rate of 2.9% in the fourth quarter of 2022 according to the "advance" estimate released by theBureau of Economic Analysis . In the third quarter of 2022, real GDP increased 3.2%. The fourth quarter 2022 increase primarily reflected increases in inventory investment and consumer spending that were partly offset by a decrease in housing investment. Prompting the Fed to take such a hawkish policy stance is the painfully high inflation, resulting largely from pandemic-related disruptions to global supply chains and labor markets, andRussia's invasion ofUkraine , which pushed up oil and other commodity prices. Adding to the pressure to act is the resilient growth in jobs, low unemployment in the mid-3s (consistent with full employment), and overly strong wage growth. The unemployment rate returned to its post-pandemic low of 3.5%, and it did so even as the labor force expanded by 439,000 and the participation rate edged higher to 62.3%. The unemployment rate was down or unchanged across most major demographic groups. However, the least educated workers saw an increase in joblessness from 4.4% to 5%.The Fed increased the fed funds rate by 50 basis points at theDecember 2022 meeting of theFederal Open Market Committee and 25 basis points in each ofFebruary 2023 andMarch 2023 . This brings the funds rate target to 5.00%.The Fed also continues to allow the assets on its balance sheet, including more than$8.3 trillion remaining inTreasury and mortgage-backed securities, to mature and prepay. The Inflation Reduction Act was enacted inAugust 2022 , which raises nearly$750 billion over the next decade through higher taxes on large corporations and wealthy individuals and lower Medicare prescription drug costs, to pay for nearly$450 billion in tax credits and deductions and additional government spending to address climate change and lower health insurance premiums for Americans who benefit from the Affordable Care Act. The remaining more than$300 billion goes to reducing future budget deficits. InApril 2023 , global oil prices hovered near$80 per barrel. This reflects the graceful implementation of theEuropean Union's sanctions on Russian oil and a price cap on Russian oil imposed by Western nations led by theU.S. Chinese oil demand has picked up with its economy, but there has been enough supply, at least so far. The estimated long-run equilibrium price of oil is near$70 per barrel. Ten-yearTreasury yields have fallen back to near 3.5% given the angst created by recent bank failures and global investors' flight to quality. Yields are consistent with Moody's Analytics' estimate of nominal potential GDP growth of 4% (2% long-run inflation plus 2% real potential GDP growth). Moody's expects yields to hover near 4% for the foreseeable future.
Employment
The national unemployment rate remained unchanged at 3.5% inMarch 2023 . The number of unemployed individuals increased slightly to 5.8 million inMarch 2023 . Both measures have shown little net movement since early 2022. Total employment increased by 236,000 inMarch 2023 , compared with the average monthly gain of 334,000 over the prior 6 months. InMarch 2023 , employment continued to trend up in leisure and hospitality, government, professional and business services, and health care. Unemployment levels have recovered to pre-pandemic levels as ofFebruary 2020 when the unemployment rate registered at 3.5% and there were 5.8 million unemployed individuals. Job cuts occurred in technology, warehousing and storage, building material, garden equipment, supplies dealers, furniture, home furnishings, electronics, and appliance retailers. As ofMarch 2023 , the labor force participation rate (the share of working-age Americans employed or actively looking for a job) remained little changed at 62.6%. Based onMarch 2023 information, the unemployment rate for the Midwest, where the Company conducts most of its business, has decreased from 3.6% inMarch 2022 to 3.4% inMarch 2023 . Unemployment rates forMarch 2023 in the states where the Company has a branch or a loan production office wereArizona at 3.5%,Arkansas at 3.0%,Colorado at 2.8%,Georgia at 3.1%,Illinois at 4.4%,Iowa at 2.8%,Kansas at 2.9%,Minnesota at 2.8%,Missouri at 2.5%,Nebraska at 2.1%,North Carolina at 3.5%,Oklahoma at 3.0%, andTexas at 4.0%. Of the metropolitan areas in which the Company does business, most are below the national unemployment rate of 3.5% forMarch 2023 , with the major outlier beingChicago at 4.4%. 34Single Family Housing Sales of new single-family houses inMarch 2023 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 683,000, according to the estimates released jointly by theU.S. Census Bureau andDepartment of Housing and Urban Development . This is 9.6% above the revisedFebruary 2023 rate of 623,000 but is 3.4% below theMarch 2022 estimate of 707,000. The median sales price of new houses sold inMarch 2023 was$449,800 , up from$435,900 inMarch 2022 . The average sales price inMarch 2023 of$511,800 was up from$540,000 inMarch 2022 . The seasonallyadjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of March was 432,000. This represents a supply of 7.6 months at the current sales rate. National existing-home sales fell 2.4% inMarch 2023 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.44 million. Year-over-year, sales waned 22.0% (down from 5.69 million inMarch 2022 ). Existing-home sales in the Midwest retracted 5.5% from Febraury 2023 to an annual rate of 1.03 million inMarch 2023 , falling 17.6% from the previous year. The median existing-home sales price nationally as ofMarch 2023 was$375,700 , a decline of 0.9% fromMarch 2022 ($379,300 ). The median price in the Midwest was$273,400 , up 1.7% fromMarch 2022 . Nationally, properties on average remained on the market for 29 days inMarch 2023 , down from 34 days inFebruary 2023 but up from 17 days inMarch 2022 . Sixty-five percent of homes sold inMarch 2023 were on the market for less than a month.
Unsold inventory sits at a 2.6-month supply at the current sales pace for
2023
Once overall consumer price inflation calms and rents decelerate from robust apartment construction, theFederal Reserve's monetary policy may shift from tightening to neutral to possibly loosening over the next 12 months.
First-time homebuyers accounted for 28% of sales in
According to Freddie Mac, the average commitment rate for a 30-year, fixed-rate mortgage was 6.27% as ofApril 13, 2023 which is down from 6.28% from the prior week but up from 5% one year ago.
Other
The multi-family trend of supply outpacing demand continued for the sixth quarter in a row to start off 2023. Net absorption rebounded into positive territory after turning negative at the end of 2022, with 42,000 units absorbed. However, with 109,000 new units delivered during the first quarter of 2023, rent growth nationally decelerated once again, going from 3.8% at the end of 2022 to 2.2% atMarch 2023 . Midwest and Northeast markets fared the best over the past 12 months, with rent growth down marginally.Sun Belt markets have seen significant pull back in rents over the past 12 months.Phoenix has gone from rent growth rates of 17% to -1.9%. The downward movement of rents nationally is expected to continue for the rest of 2023, as the risk of recession hangs over the economy and many markets are experiencing oversupply conditions. The supply/demand imbalance has pushed the national vacancy rate up 200 basis points from an all-time low of 4.7% in the third quarter of 2021 to 6.7% as ofMarch 31, 2023 . CoStar's current forecast is for the national vacancy rate to finish this year in the mid 7% range, which would be 100 basis points higher than pre-pandemic levels. As indicated above, absorption in the first quarter of 2023 registered just 42,000 units, which is well below the five-year pre-pandemic average of 82,000. Tempering of multi-family demand has come from higher costs due to elevated inflation. Significant rent increases in 2021 and 2022 also are forcing some renter households to find alternative housing situations, such as returning home to their parents or finding a roommate. Plus, economic uncertainty continues to hold back household formation, which is dampening middle market demand. When demand in the multi-family market spiked in the first year of the pandemic, developers accelerated plans for new projects. Now two years later, a good number of those developments are set to deliver in 2023. The national forecast sits at 519,000 new units to be delivered in 2023, the most new supply to hit the market since the mid-1980s. The rising interest rate environment, combined with a pullback in construction lending, has led some developers nationwide to not move forward on proposed projects. With fewer projects moving forward, there could be a meaningful pause in deliveries towards the 35 end of 2024 and into 2025. This pause would be very helpful in allowing many overbuiltSun Belt markets to soak up the current supply overhang and return to equilibrium quicker. Multi-family continued to be the most sought-after asset type in 2022 despite a pullback in transaction activity. On the heels of a record-breaking 2021, sales decreased to$227 billion , representing the second-best year on record. However, this activity occurred primarily in the first half of 2022 with the second half of 2022 weakening, posting a 25% decline over the prior six months. As ofMarch 31, 2023 , national multi-family market vacancy rates increased to 6.7%. Our market areas reflected the following apartment vacancy levels as ofMarch 2023 :Springfield, Missouri at 3.7%,St. Louis at 8.9%,Kansas City at 7.8%,Minneapolis at 7.3%,Tulsa, Oklahoma at 8.2%,Dallas-Fort Worth at 8.7 %,Chicago at 5.6%,Atlanta at 9.6%,Phoenix at 9.1%,Denver at 7.4% andCharlotte, North Carolina at 9.4%. Demand for office market space continues its decline. Tenants gave back another 20 million square feet during the first quarter, bringing total net absorption since the end of 2019 to a staggering -140 million square feet. This propelled vacancy to a record 12.9%, eclipsing its peak from the Great Recession. There is every indication that vacancies will continue to rise, especially with 60 million square feet of new supply-the most in a calendar year since 2009-projected to come online by the end of 2023. As ofMarch 31, 2023 , national office vacancy rates increased to 12.8% from 12.7% as ofDecember 31, 2022 , while our market areas reflected the following vacancy levels atMarch 31, 2023 :Springfield, Missouri at 4.2%,St. Louis at 10.2%,Kansas City at 11.6%,Minneapolis at 11.0%,Tulsa, Oklahoma at 11.8%,Dallas-Fort Worth at 18.0%,Chicago at 15.4%,Atlanta at 14.1%,Denver at 14.8%,Phoenix at 15.2% andCharlotte, North Carolina at 12.6%.U.S. retail tenants signed for over 230 million square feet (SF) of retail space in 2022, which was the second-highest total for any year since 2017. At the same time, tenants closed just 20 million SF of retail space during 2022, which was the lowest total recorded since before the Great Recession and a fraction of the prior five-year average for retail space closed of 114.6 million SF. The combination of strong leasing volumes and the significant reduction in move-outs drove net absorption to its highest level in six years in 2022, at 74 million SF. Fundamental tightening and rising retail sales pushed retail asking rents upward at their fastest clip in over a decade in 2022 at 4.1%, with average triple net asking rents across theU.S. finishing the year at a record high of$24.00 /SF. However, growth has slowed in each of the past two quarters and is forecast to decelerate further over the coming quarters, while above-average inflation is expected to continue to weigh on the real rate of rent growth, keeping it below historical norms for the foreseeable future. During the first quarter of 2023, national retail vacancy rates remained steady at 4.2% while our market areas reflected the following vacancy levels:Springfield, Missouri at 3.4%,St. Louis at 5.0%,Kansas City at 4.2%,Minneapolis at 3.1%,Tulsa, Oklahoma at 3.0%,Dallas-Fort Worth at 4.6%,Chicago at 5.4%,Atlanta at 3.7%,Phoenix at 5.0%,Denver at 4.1%, andCharlotte, North Carolina at 3.2%.U.S. industrial market performance is slowing down heading into mid-2023. While the national vacancy rate is expected to remain below its 20-year average of 7.3%, the next six to 12 months could still prove to be one of the more challenging periods for the market over the next five years. Oncoming new supply is all but certain to push the national vacancy rate up during 2023. CoStar is tracking 619 million SF of projects under construction, most of which are unleased and set to be completed in 2023. The national vacancy rate has already begun to inch up in recent quarters and rent growth is slowing from the peak of 3% quarterly growth reached in mid-2022. Further deceleration in rent growth seems unavoidable in 2023, given that landlords will be contending with a record amount of speculative development, at a time when 2022's sharp interest rate increases will likely still be weighing on the macro economy. AtMarch 31, 2023 , national industrial vacancy rates increased to 4.5% from 4.2% as ofDecember 31, 2022 . Our market areas reflected the following vacancy levels:Springfield, Missouri at 1.2%,St. Louis at 4.4%,Kansas City at 3.8%,Minneapolis at 2.9%,Tulsa, Oklahoma at 4.0%,Dallas-Fort Worth at 6.4%,Chicago at 4.0%,Atlanta at 4.3%,Phoenix at 4.1%,Denver at 6.7% andCharlotte, North Carolina at 4.8%.
Our management will continue to monitor regional, national, and global economic
indicators such as unemployment, GDP, housing starts and prices, consumer
sentiment, commercial real estate price index and commercial real estate
occupancy, absorption and rental rates, as these could significantly affect
customers in each of our market areas.
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COVID-19 Impact to Our Business and Response
Great Southern continues to monitor and respond to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. As always, the health, safety and well-being of our customers, associates and communities, while maintaining uninterrupted service, are the Company's top priorities.Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC ) guidelines, as well as directives from federal, state and local officials, are being closely followed to make informed operational decisions, if necessary. Customers can conduct their banking business using our banking center network, online and mobile banking services, ATMs, Telephone Banking, and online account opening services. COVID-19 infection rates currently are relatively low in our markets and theCDC has relaxed most restrictions that were previously in place. In some cases those restrictions have been replaced with recommendations. Also, states and local municipalities may restrict certain activities from time to time. Our business is currently operating normally, similar to operations prior to the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic. We continue to monitor infection rates and other health and economic indicators to ensure we are prepared to respond to future challenges, should they arise. General
The profitability of the Company and, more specifically, the profitability of its primary subsidiary, the Bank, depends primarily on its net interest income, as well as provisions for credit losses and the level of non-interest income and non-interest expense. Net interest income is the difference between the interest income the Bank earns on its loans and investment portfolios, and the interest it pays on interest-bearing liabilities, which consists mainly of interest paid on deposits and borrowings. Net interest income is affected by the relative amounts of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities and the interest rates earned or paid on these balances. When interest-earning assets approximate or exceed interest-bearing liabilities, any positive interest rate spread will generate net interest income. Great Southern's total assets increased$88.0 million , or 1.5%, from$5.68 billion atDecember 31, 2022 , to$5.77 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . Details of the current period changes in total assets are provided below, under "Comparison of Financial Condition atMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 ." Loans. Net outstanding loans increased$62.5 million , or 1.4%, from$4.51 billion atDecember 31, 2022 , to$4.57 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . The increase was primarily in other residential (multi-family) loans and commercial real estate loans. These increases were partially offset by a decrease in construction loans. As loan demand is affected by a variety of factors, including general economic conditions, and because of the competition we face and our focus on pricing discipline and credit quality, we cannot be assured that our loan growth will match or exceed the average level of growth achieved in prior years. The Company's strategy continues to be focused on maintaining credit risk and interest rate risk at appropriate levels. Recent growth has occurred in some loan types, primarily other residential (multi-family), commercial real estate and one- to four family residential real estate, and in most of Great Southern's primary lending locations, includingSpringfield ,St. Louis ,Kansas City ,Des Moines andMinneapolis , as well as our loan production offices inAtlanta ,Charlotte ,Chicago ,Dallas ,Denver ,Omaha ,Phoenix andTulsa . Certain minimum underwriting standards and monitoring help assure the Company's portfolio quality. All new loan originations that exceed lender approval authorities are subject to review and approval by Great Southern's loan committee. Generally, the Company considers commercial construction, consumer, other residential (multi-family) and commercial real estate loans to involve a higher degree of risk compared to some other types of loans, such as first mortgage loans on one- to four-family, owner-occupied residential properties. For other residential (multi-family), commercial real estate, commercial business and construction loans, the credits are subject to an analysis of the borrower's and guarantor's financial condition, credit history, verification of liquid assets, collateral, market analysis and repayment ability. It has been, and continues to be, Great Southern's practice to verify information from potential borrowers regarding assets, income or payment ability and credit ratings as applicable and as required by the authority approving the loan. To minimize construction risk, projects are monitored as construction draws are requested by comparison to budget and with progress verified through property inspections. The geographic and product diversity of collateral, equity requirements and limitations on speculative construction projects help to mitigate overall risk in these loans. Underwriting standards for all loans also include loan-to-value ratio limitations which vary depending on collateral type, debt service coverage ratios or debt payment to income ratio guidelines, where applicable, credit histories, use of guaranties and other recommended terms relating to equity requirements, amortization, and maturity. Consumer loans, other than home equity loans, are primarily secured by new or used motor vehicles and these loans are also subject to certain minimum underwriting standards to assure portfolio quality. In 2019, the Company discontinued indirect auto loan originations. 37 While our policy allows us to lend up to 95% of the appraised value on one-to four-family residential properties, originations of loans with loan-to-value ratios at that level are minimal. Private mortgage insurance is typically required for loan amounts above the 80% level. Few exceptions occur and would be based on analyses which determined minimal transactional risk to be involved. We consider these lending practices to be consistent with or more conservative than what we believe to be the norm for banks our size. At bothMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 , 0.2% of our owner occupied one-to four-family residential loans had loan-to-value ratios above 100% at origination and an estimated 0.2% of total non-owner occupied one- to four-family residential loans had loan-to-value ratios above 100% at origination. The level of non-performing loans and foreclosed assets affects our net interest income and net income. We generally do not accrue interest income on these loans and do not recognize interest income until the loans are repaid or interest payments have been made for a period of time sufficient to provide evidence of performance on the loans. Generally, the higher the level of non-performing assets, the greater the negative impact on interest income and net income. The Company continues its preparation for discontinuation of use of interest rates such as LIBOR. LIBOR is a benchmark interest rate referenced in a variety of agreements used by the Company, but by far the most significant area impacted by LIBOR is related to commercial and residential mortgage loans. Certain LIBOR rates are no longer published and it is expected that all LIBOR rates will be discontinued as reference rates byJune 30, 2023 . Other interest rates used globally could be discontinued for similar reasons. The Company has been regularly monitoring its portfolio of loans tied to LIBOR since 2019, with specific groups of loans identified. The Company implemented LIBOR fallback language for all commercial loan transactions near the end of 2018, with such language utilized for all commercial loan originations and renewals/modifications since that time. The Company is monitoring the remaining group of loans that were originated prior to the fourth quarter of 2018, and have not been renewed or modified since that time. AtMarch 31, 2023 , this represented approximately 23 commercial loans totaling approximately$21 million ; however, only 14 of those loans, totaling$860 thousand , mature afterJune 2023 (the date upon which the LIBOR indices used by the Company are expected to no longer be available). The Company also has a portfolio of residential mortgage loans tied to LIBOR indices with standard index replacement language included (approximately$351 million atMarch 31, 2023 ), and that portfolio is being monitored for potential changes that may be facilitated by the mortgage industry. The vast majority of the loan portfolio tied to LIBOR now includes LIBOR replacement language that identifies "trigger" events for the cessation of LIBOR and the steps that the Company will take upon the occurrence of one or more of those events, including adjustments to any rate margin to ensure that the replacement interest rate on the loan is substantially similar to the previous LIBOR-based rate.
available-for-sale securities increased
million
held-to-maturity securities decreased
at
Deposits. The Company attracts deposit accounts through its retail branch network, correspondent banking and corporate services areas, internet channels and brokered deposits. The Company then utilizes these deposit funds, along with FHLBank advances and other borrowings, to meet loan demand or otherwise fund its activities. In the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , total deposit balances increased$114.2 million , or 2.4%. Compared toDecember 31, 2022 , transaction account balances decreased$26.3 million , or 0.8%, to$3.23 billion atMarch 31, 2023 , while retail certificates of deposit increased$14.9 million , or 1.5%, to$1.04 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . The decrease in transaction accounts was primarily a result of a decrease in non-interest-bearing accounts and various NOW accounts, as small businesses and individuals appear to be drawing down their balances to pay for goods and services, or are seeking a higher-yielding alternative. Retail time deposits increased due to an increase in retail certificates generated through the banking center network, partially offset by decreases in national time deposits initiated through internet channels. Time deposits initiated through internet channels are no longer a significant part of the Company's total deposits. Brokered deposits, including IntraFi program purchased funds, were$537.0 million and$411.5 million atMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 , respectively. The Company uses brokered deposits of select maturities from time to time to supplement its various funding channels and to manage interest rate risk. Our deposit balances may fluctuate depending on customer preferences and our relative need for funding. We do not consider our retail certificates of deposit to be guaranteed long-term funding because customers can withdraw their funds at any time with minimal interest penalty. When loan demand trends upward, we can increase rates paid on deposits to attract more deposits and utilize brokered deposits to obtain additional funding. The level of competition for deposits in our markets is high. It is our goal to gain deposit market share, particularly checking accounts, in our branch footprint. To accomplish this goal, increasing rates to attract deposits may be necessary, which could negatively impact the Company's net interest margin. 38 Our ability to fund growth in future periods may also depend on our ability to continue to access brokered deposits and FHLBank advances. In times when our loan demand has outpaced our generation of new deposits, we have utilized brokered deposits and FHLBank advances to fund these loans. These funding sources have been attractive to us because we can create either fixed or variable rate funding, as desired, which more closely matches the interest rate nature of much of our loan portfolio. It also gives us greater flexibility in increasing or decreasing the duration of our funding. While we do not currently anticipate that our ability to access these sources will be reduced or eliminated in future periods, if this should happen, the limitation on our ability to fund additional loans could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and results of operations. See "Results of Operations and Comparison for the Three Months EndedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022 - Liquidity" below for further information on funding sources. Securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements with customers. Securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements with customers decreased$106.1 million from$176.8 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$70.7 million atMarch 31, 2023 . These balances fluctuate over time based on customer demand for this product. Short-term borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities. The Company's FHLBank term advances were$-0 - at bothMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 . AtMarch 31, 2023 there were$154.5 million in overnight borrowings from the FHLBank, which are included in short term borrowings. AtDecember 31, 2022 there were$88.5 million in overnight borrowings from the FHLBank. Short term borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities increased$66.1 million from$89.6 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$155.7 million atMarch 31, 2023 . The Company may utilize both overnight borrowings and short-term FHLBank advances depending on relative interest rates. Net Interest Income and Interest Rate Risk Management. Our net interest income may be affected positively or negatively by changes in market interest rates. A large portion of our loan portfolio is tied to one-month LIBOR/SOFR, three-month LIBOR or the "prime rate" and adjusts immediately or shortly after the index rate adjusts (subject to the effect of contractual interest rate floors on some of the loans, which are discussed below). We monitor our sensitivity to interest rate changes on an ongoing basis (see "Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk"). The current level and shape of the interest rate yield curve poses challenges for interest rate risk management. Prior to its increase of 0.25% onDecember 16, 2015 , the FRB had last changed interest rates onDecember 16, 2008 . This was the first rate increase sinceSeptember 29, 2006 . The FRB also implemented rate change increases of 0.25% on eight additional occasions beginningDecember 14, 2016 and throughDecember 31, 2018 , with the Federal Funds rate reaching as high as 2.50%. AfterDecember 2018 , the FRB paused its rate increases and, in July, September andOctober 2019 , implemented rate decreases of 0.25% on each of those occasions. AtDecember 31, 2019 , the Federal Funds rate stood at 1.75%. In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, the FRB decreased interest rates on two occasions inMarch 2020 , a 0.50% decrease onMarch 3 and a 1.00% decrease onMarch 16 . AtDecember 31, 2021 , the Federal Funds rate was 0.25%. In 2022, the FRB implemented rate increases of 0.25%, 0.50%, 0.75%, 0.75%, 0.75%, 0.75% and 0.50% in March, May, June, July, September, November andDecember 2022 , respectively. AtDecember 31, 2022 , the Federal Funds rate was 4.50%. In 2023, the FRB implemented rate increases of 0.25% and 0.25% in February andMarch 2023 , respectively. AtMarch 31, 2023 the Federal Funds rate was 5.00%. Financial markets expect the possibility of further increases in Federal Funds interest rates in the first half of 2023, with 0.25-0.50% of additional cumulative rate hikes currently anticipated. A substantial portion of Great Southern's loan portfolio ($868.8 million atMarch 31, 2023 ) is tied to the one-month or three-month LIBOR index and will be subject to adjustment at least once within 90 days afterMarch 31, 2023 . Of these loans,$868.5 million had interest rate floors. Great Southern's loan portfolio also includes loans ($693.4 million atMarch 31, 2023 ) tied to various SOFR indexes that will be subject to adjustment at least once within 90 days afterMarch 31, 2023 . Of these loans,$693.4 million had interest rate floors. Great Southern also has a portfolio of loans ($738.6 million atMarch 31, 2023 ) tied to a "prime rate" of interest that will adjust immediately or within 90 days of a change to the "prime rate" of interest. Of these loans,$725.8 million had interest rate floors at various rates. Great Southern also has a portfolio of loans ($6.7 million atMarch 31, 2023 ) tied to an AMERIBOR index that will adjust immediately or within 90 days of a change to the "prime rate" of interest. Of these loans,$6.7 million had interest rate floors at various rates. AtMarch 31, 2023 , nearly all of these LIBOR/SOFR and "prime rate" loans had fully-indexed rates that were at or above their floor rate and so are expected to move fully with future market interest rate increases. 39 A rate cut by the FRB generally would have an anticipated immediate negative impact on the Company's net interest income due to the large total balance of loans tied to the one-month or three-month LIBOR index, SOFR indices or the "prime rate" index and will be subject to adjustment at least once within 90 days or loans which generally adjust immediately as the Federal Funds rate adjusts. Interest rate floors may at least partially mitigate the negative impact of interest rate decreases. Loans at their floor rates are, however, subject to the risk that borrowers will seek to refinance elsewhere at the lower market rate. There may also be a negative impact on the Company's net interest income if the Company is unable to significantly lower its funding costs due to a highly competitive rate environment, although interest rates on assets may decline further. Conversely, market interest rate increases would normally result in increased interest rates on our LIBOR-based, SOFR-based and prime-based loans. As ofMarch 31, 2023 , Great Southern's interest rate risk models indicate that, generally, rising interest rates are expected to have a positive impact on the Company's net interest income, while declining interest rates are expected to have a negative impact on net interest income. We model various interest rate scenarios for rising and falling rates, including both parallel and non-parallel shifts in rates. The results of our modeling indicate that net interest income is not likely to be significantly affected either positively or negatively in the first twelve months following relatively minor changes in market interest rates because our portfolios are relatively well-matched in a twelve-month horizon. In a situation where market interest rates increase significantly in a short period of time, our net interest margin increase may be more pronounced in the very near term (first one to three months), due to fairly rapid increases in LIBOR interest rates, SOFR interest rates and "prime" interest rates. In a situation where market interest rates decrease significantly in a short period of time, as they did inMarch 2020 , our net interest margin decrease may be more pronounced in the very near term (first one to three months), due to fairly rapid decreases in LIBOR interest rates, SOFR interest rates and "prime" interest rates. In the subsequent months, we expect that the net interest margin would stabilize and begin to improve, as renewal interest rates on maturing time deposits are expected to decrease compared to the current rates paid on those products. During 2020, we did experience some compression of our net interest margin percentage due to 2.25% ofFederal Fund rate cuts during the nine month period ofJuly 2019 throughMarch 2020 . Margin compression primarily resulted from changes in the asset mix, mainly the addition of lower-yielding assets and the issuance of subordinated notes during 2020 and the net interest margin remained lower than our historical average in 2021. LIBOR interest rates decreased significantly in 2020 and remained very low in 2021, putting pressure on loan yields, and strong pricing competition for loans and deposits remains in most of our markets. Beginning inMarch 2022 , market interest rates, including LIBOR interest rates, SOFR interest rates and "prime" interest rates, began to increase rapidly. This has resulted in increasing loan yields and expansion of our net interest income and net interest margin. In 2023, market interest rate increases have moderated and loan yield increases have also moderated in line with market rates. However, there has been increased competition for deposits and other sources of funding, resulting in higher costs for those funds. This has been especially true since earlyMarch 2023 . For further discussion of the processes used to manage our exposure to interest rate risk, see "Item 3. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - How We Measure the Risks to Us Associated with Interest Rate Changes." Non-Interest Income and Non-Interest (Operating) Expenses. The Company's profitability is also affected by the level of its non-interest income and operating expenses. Non-interest income consists primarily of service charges and ATM fees, POS interchange fees, late charges and prepayment fees on loans, gains on sales of loans and available-for-sale investments and other general operating income. Non-interest income may also be affected by the Company's interest rate derivative activities, if the Company chooses to implement derivatives. See Note 16 "Derivatives and Hedging Activities" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in this report. Operating expenses consist primarily of salaries and employee benefits, occupancy-related expenses, expenses related to foreclosed assets, postage,FDIC deposit insurance, advertising and public relations, telephone, professional fees, office expenses and other general operating expenses. Details of the current period changes in non-interest income and non-interest expense are provided below, under "Results of Operations and Comparison for the Three Months EndedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022."
Effect of Federal Laws and Regulations
General. Federal legislation and regulation significantly affect the operations of the Company and the Bank, and have increased competition among commercial banks, savings institutions, mortgage banking enterprises and other financial institutions. In particular, the capital requirements and operations of regulated banking organizations such as the Company and the Bank have been and will be subject to changes in applicable statutes and regulations from time to time, which changes could, under certain circumstances, adversely affect the Company or the Bank. 40 Dodd-Frank Act. In 2010, sweeping financial regulatory reform legislation entitled the "Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act" (the "Dodd-Frank Act") was signed into law. The Dodd-Frank Act implemented far-reaching changes across the financial regulatory landscape. Certain aspects of the Dodd-Frank Act have been affected by the more recently enacted Economic Growth Act, as defined and discussed below under "-Economic Growth Act." Capital Rules. The federal banking agencies have adopted regulatory capital rules that substantially amend the risk-based capital rules applicable to the Bank and the Company. The rules implement the "Basel III" regulatory capital reforms and changes required by the Dodd-Frank Act. "Basel III" refers to various documents released by theBasel Committee on Banking Supervision . For the Company and the Bank, the general effective date of the rules wasJanuary 1, 2015 , and, for certain provisions, various phase-in periods and later effective dates apply. The chief features of these rules are summarized below. The rules refine the definitions of what constitutes regulatory capital and add a new regulatory capital element, common equity Tier 1 capital. The minimum capital ratios are (i) a common equity Tier 1 ("CET1") risk-based capital ratio of 4.5%; (ii) a Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 6%; (iii) a total risk-based capital ratio of 8%; and (iv) a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 4%. In addition to the minimum capital ratios, the rules include a capital conservation buffer, under which a banking organization must have CET1 more than 2.5% above each of its minimum risk-based capital ratios in order to avoid restrictions on paying dividends, repurchasing shares, and paying certain discretionary bonuses. The capital conservation buffer became fully implemented onJanuary 1, 2019 . These rules also revised the prompt corrective action framework, which is designed to place restrictions on insured depository institutions if their capital levels show signs of weakness. Under the revised prompt corrective action requirements, insured depository institutions are required to meet the following in order to qualify as "well capitalized:" (i) a common equity Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of at least 6.5%, (ii) a Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of at least 8%, (iii) a total risk-based capital ratio of at least 10% and (iv) a Tier 1 leverage ratio of 5%, and must not be subject to an order, agreement or directive mandating a specific capital level. Economic Growth Act. InMay 2018 , the Economic Growth, Regulatory Relief, and Consumer Protection Act (the "Economic Growth Act"), was enacted to modify or eliminate certain financial reform rules and regulations, including some implemented under the Dodd-Frank Act. The Economic Growth Act, among other matters, expands the definition of qualified mortgages which may be held by a financial institution and simplifies the regulatory capital rules for financial institutions and their holding companies with total consolidated assets of less than$10 billion by instructing the federal banking regulators to establish a single "Community Bank Leverage Ratio" ("CBLR") of between 8 and 10 percent. Any qualifying depository institution or its holding company that exceeds the CBLR will be considered to have met generally applicable leverage and risk-based regulatory capital requirements and any qualifying depository institution that exceeds the new ratio will be considered "well-capitalized" under the prompt corrective action rules. Currently, the CBLR is 9.0%. The Company and the Bank have chosen to not utilize the new CBLR due to the Company's size and complexity, including its commercial real estate and construction lending concentrations and significant off-balance sheet funding commitments.
In addition, the Economic Growth Act includes regulatory relief in the areas of
examination cycles, call reports, mortgage disclosures and risk weights for
certain high-risk commercial real estate loans.
Business Initiatives
InJanuary 2023 , a high-transaction-volume banking center located at1615 West Sunshine Street inSpringfield, Missouri , was razed to make way for a new Express Center, which will use only interactive teller machine (ITM) technology to serve customers. The modern four-lane drive-up center is expected to open during the third quarter of 2023 and will be the first-of-its-kind in theSpringfield market. ITMs, also known as video remote tellers, offer an ATM-like interface, but with the enhancement of a video screen that allows customers to speak directly to a service representative in real time and in a highly personal manner. Nearly any teller transaction that can be performed in the traditional drive-thru can be performed at an ITM, including cashing a check to the penny. ITMs provide convenience and enhanced access for customers, while creating greater operational efficiencies for the Bank. A leased banking center office at1232 S. Rangeline Road inJoplin, Missouri , was consolidated into a nearby office at2801 E. 32nd Street . The leased office was closed at the end of the business day onMarch 17, 2023 , leaving one banking center serving theJoplin market. During 2023, the Great Southern team is preparing to convert to a new core banking platform and ancillary systems, delivered by a third party vendor. This upgrade in the operational platform is expected to provide new and advanced tools and access to more meaningful information to better serve customers. The migration to the new system is expected to occur in mid-2024. As significant preliminary work was completed in 2022 and early 2023, it was determined to extend the conversion timeline from third quarter 2023 41
to allow for further system testing related to some of our more
highly-customized applications and products and to accommodate certain
functionality enhancements to the platform.
The Company announced that its 2023 Annual Meeting of Stockholders, to be held at10 a.m. Central Time onMay 10, 2023 , will be a virtual meeting over the internet and will not be held at a physical location. Stockholders will be able to attend the Annual Meeting via a live webcast. Holders of record ofGreat Southern Bancorp, Inc. common stock at the close of business on the record date,March 1, 2023 , may vote during the live webcast of the Annual Meeting or by proxy. Please see the Company's Notice of Annual Meeting and Proxy Statement available on the Company's website, www.GreatSouthernBank.com, (click "About" then "Investor Relations") for additional information about the virtual meeting.
Comparison of Financial Condition at
During the three months ended
increased by
and interest-bearing deposits in other financial institutions.
Cash and cash equivalents were
The Company's available-for-sale securities increased$2.7 million , or 0.6%, compared toDecember 31, 2022 . The increase was primarily due to an increase in the market value of these available-for-sale securities, partially offset by normal monthly payments received related to the portfolio of mortgage-backed securities and collateralized mortgage obligations. The available-for-sale securities portfolio was 8.6% of total assets at bothMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 . Held-to-maturity securities were$200.4 million atMarch 31, 2023 , a decrease of$2.1 million , or 1.0%, from$202.5 million atDecember 31, 2022 . The held-to-maturity securities portfolio was 3.5% and 3.6% of total assets atMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 , respectively. Net loans increased$62.5 million fromDecember 31, 2022 , to$4.57 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . This increase was primarily in other residential (multi-family) loans ($104 million increase) and commercial real estate loans ($30 million increase). These increases were partially offset by a decrease in commercial construction loans ($61 million decrease). Loan origination volume in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 significantly decreased compared to the origination volume that occurred in 2021 and most of 2022; however, the pace of loan payoffs prior to maturity has slowed in the latter half of 2022 and into 2023 due to the significant increase in market rates of interest. Total liabilities increased$65.6 million , from$5.15 billion atDecember 31, 2022 to$5.21 billion atMarch 31, 2023 , primarily due to increases in brokered deposits and short-term borrowings from FHLBank. This was partially offset by a reduction in non-interest bearing checking accounts and national time deposits initiated through internet channels. Time deposits initiated through internet channels experienced a planned decrease as part of the Company's balance sheet management between funding sources. In addition, securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements decreased$106 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Total deposits increased$114.2 million , or 2.4%, to$4.80 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . Transaction account balances decreased$26.3 million , from$3.25 billion atDecember 31, 2022 to$3.23 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . Retail certificates of deposit increased$14.9 million compared toDecember 31, 2022 , to$1.04 billion atMarch 31, 2023 . Total interest-bearing checking accounts increased$45.8 million while non-interest-bearing checking accounts decreased$72.1 million . Customer retail time deposits initiated through our banking center network increased$36.7 million and time deposits initiated through our national internet network decreased$19.8 million . The increase in customer retail time deposits initiated through the banking center network was primarily due to targeted promotions that started in lateJune 2022 and continued from time to time into the first three months of 2023. Brokered deposits increased$125.5 million to$537.0 million atMarch 31, 2023 , compared to$411.5 million atDecember 31, 2022 . Brokered deposits were utilized to fund growth in outstanding loans and to offset reductions in balances in other deposit categories. The Company has the capacity to further expand its use of brokered deposits if it chooses to do so. The Company's termFederal Home Loan Bank advances were$-0 - at bothMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 . AtMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 there were overnight borrowings from the FHLBank, which are included in the short term borrowings category. Securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements with customers decreased$106.1 million from$176.8 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$70.7 million atMarch 31, 2023 . These balances fluctuate over time based on customer demand
for this product. In March 42 2023, some customers elected to move funds from these repurchase accounts into other types of deposit accounts that included deposit insurance coverage through the IntraFi deposit program. Short-term borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities increased$66.1 million from$89.6 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$155.7 million atMarch 31, 2023 . AtMarch 31, 2023 ,$154.5 million of this total was overnight borrowings from the FHLBank, which was used to fund increases in outstanding loans. Total stockholders' equity increased$22.4 million , from$533.1 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$555.5 million atMarch 31, 2023 . Accumulated other comprehensive loss decreased$11.9 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , primarily due to increases in the fair value of available-for-sale investment securities and the fair value of cash flow hedges, as a result of decreased market interest rates. Stockholders'equity also increased due to net income of$20.5 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and a$470,000 increase in stockholders' equity due to stock option exercises. Partially offsetting these increases were repurchases of the Company's common stock totaling$5.6 million and dividends declared on common stock of$4.9 million .
Results of Operations and Comparison for the Three Months Ended
and 2022
General Net income was$20.5 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to$17.0 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . This increase of$3.5 million , or 20.4%, was primarily due to an increase in net interest income of$9.9 million , or 22.9%, partially offset by an increase in non-interest expense of$3.2 million , or 10.2%, a decrease in non-interest income of$1.3 million , or 14.0%, an increase in income tax expense of$1.1 million , or 25.3%, and an increase in provision for credit losses on loans and unfunded commitments of$867,000 , or 449.2%. Total Interest Income Total interest income increased$24.8 million , or 53.1%, during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . The increase was due to a$22.4 million increase in interest income on loans and a$2.4 million increase in interest income on investment securities and other interest-earning assets. Interest income from loans, investment securities and other interest-earning assets increased during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to the same period in 2022 due to higher average balances and higher average rates of interest.
Interest Income - Loans
During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , interest income on loans increased$16.9 million due to higher average interest rates on loans. The average yield on loans increased from 4.23% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to 5.76% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . This increase was primarily due to the repricing of floating rate loans in the second half of 2022 and into 2023 as market interest rates increased significantly. Interest income on loans also increased$5.5 million as the result of higher average loan balances, which increased from$4.13 billion during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to$4.61 billion during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . The Company continued to originate loans at a pace similar to prior periods through the first nine months of 2022, and overall loan repayments slowed in 2022 and 2023 compared to the level of repayments in 2021. InOctober 2018 , the Company entered into an interest rate swap transaction as part of its ongoing interest rate management strategies to hedge the risk of its floating rate loans. The notional amount of the swap was$400 million with a contractual termination date inOctober 2025 . As previously disclosed by the Company, inMarch 2020 , the Company and its swap counterparty mutually agreed to terminate the$400 million notional interest rate swap prior to its contractual maturity. The Company was paid$45.9 million from its swap counterparty as a result of this termination. This$45.9 million , less the accrued to date interest portion and net of deferred income taxes, is reflected in the Company's stockholders' equity as Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income and is being accreted to interest income on loans monthly through the original contractual termination date ofOctober 6, 2025 . This has the effect of reducing Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income and increasing Net Interest Income and Retained Earnings over the periods. The Company recorded interest income related to the interest rate swap of$2.0 million in each of the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022. AtMarch 31, 2023 , the Company expected to have a sufficient amount of eligible variable rate loans to continue to accrete this interest income ratably in future periods. If this expectation changes and the amount of eligible variable rate loans decreases significantly, the Company may be required to recognize this interest income more rapidly. InMarch 2022 , the Company entered into an interest rate swap transaction as part of its ongoing interest rate management strategies to hedge the risk of its floating rate loans. The notional amount of the swap is$300 million with an effective date ofMarch 1, 2022 and a 43 termination date ofMarch 1, 2024 . Under the terms of the swap, the Company will receive a fixed rate of interest of 1.6725% and will pay a floating rate of interest equal to one-month USD-LIBOR (or the equivalent replacement rate if USD-LIBOR rate is not available). The floating rate resets monthly and net settlements of interest due to/from the counterparty also occur monthly. The initial floating rate of interest was set at 0.2414%. To the extent that the fixed rate of interest exceeds one-month USD-LIBOR, the Company will receive net interest settlements, which will be recorded as loan interest income. If one-month USD-LIBOR exceeds the fixed rate of interest, the Company will be required to pay net settlements to the counterparty and will record those net payments as a reduction of interest income on loans. The Company recorded a reduction in loan interest income related to this swap transaction of$2.2 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and loan interest income related to this swap transaction of$370,000 in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . AtApril 1, 2023 , the one-month USD-LIBOR rate on this interest rate swap was 4.85771%. InJuly 2022 , the Company entered into two interest rate swap transactions as part of its ongoing interest rate management strategies to hedge the risk of its floating rate loans. The notional amount of each swap is$200 million with an effective date ofMay 1, 2023 and a termination date ofMay 1, 2028 . Under the terms of one swap, beginning inMay 2023 , the Company will receive a fixed rate of interest of 2.628% and will pay a floating rate of interest equal to one-month USD-SOFR OIS. Under the terms of the other swap, beginning inMay 2023 , the Company will receive a fixed rate of interest of 5.725% and will pay a floating rate of interest equal to one-month USD-Prime. In each case, the floating rate will be reset monthly and net settlements of interest due to/from the counterparty will also occur monthly. To the extent the fixed rate of interest exceeds the floating rate of interest, the Company will receive net interest settlements, which will be recorded as loan interest income. If the floating rate of interest exceeds the fixed rate of interest, the Company will be required to pay net settlements to the counterparty and will record those net payments as a reduction of interest income on loans. AtMarch 31, 2023 , the USD-Prime rate was 8.00% and the one-month USD-SOFR OIS rate was 4.62101%.
Interest Income - Investments and Other Interest-earning Assets
Interest income on investments increased$1.6 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . Interest income increased$1.2 million as a result of an increase in average balances from$534.0 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to$706.9 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Average balances of securities increased primarily due to purchases of agency multi-family mortgage-backed securities which have a fixed rate of interest with expected lives of four to ten years, which fits with the Company's current asset/liability management strategies. Interest income increased$400,000 as a result of higher average interest rates from 2.59% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to 2.87% during the three month period endedMarch 31, 2023 . Interest income on other interest-earning assets increased$823,000 in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . Interest income increased$850,000 as a result of higher average interest rates from 0.18% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to 4.51% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Partially offsetting that increase, interest income decreased$27,000 as a result of a decrease in average balances from$458.6 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to$91.8 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . The increase in the average interest rates was due to the increase in the rate paid on funds held at theFederal Reserve Bank . This rate was increased multiple times in 2022 and 2023 in conjunction with the increase in the Federal Funds target interest rate. The decrease in average balances was due to utilization of these funds in loan originations and securities purchases.
Total Interest Expense
Total interest expense increased$14.9 million , or 436.3%, during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , when compared with the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , due to an increase in interest expense on deposits of$12.5 million , or 574.2%, an increase in interest expense on short-term borrowings of$1.8 million , an increase in interest expense on securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements of$332,000 , or 3320.0%, an increase in interest expense on subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts of$275,000 , or 233.1%, and an increase in interest expense on subordinated notes of$1,000 , or 0.1%.
Interest Expense - Deposits
Interest expense on demand and savings deposits increased$3.6 million due to average rates of interest that increased from 0.13% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to 0.81% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Interest rates paid on demand deposits were higher in the 2023 period due to significant increases in overall market rates. Partially offsetting this increase, interest expense on demand deposits decreased$57,000 , due to a decrease in average balances from$2.38 billion during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to$2.18 billion during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . The Company experienced decreased balances in various types of money market accounts, certain types of NOW accounts and IntraFi Network Reciprocal Deposits. 44 Interest expense on time deposits increased$3.7 million as a result of an increase in average rates of interest from 0.56% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , to 2.07% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Interest expense on time deposits increased$247,000 due to an increase in average balances of time deposits from$863.7 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to$1.02 billion in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . A large portion of the Company's certificate of deposit portfolio matures within six to twelve months and therefore reprices fairly quickly; this is consistent with the portfolio over the past several years. Older certificates of deposit that renewed or were replaced with new deposits generally resulted in the Company paying a higher rate of interest due to increases in market interest rates throughout 2022 and targeted promotions during the latter half of 2022 and the first three months of 2023. Interest expense on brokered deposits increased$3.3 million , due to an increase in average balances from$67.4 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to$456.8 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Interest expense on brokered deposits increased$1.6 million due to average rates of interest that increased from 1.17% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to 4.53% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . Brokered deposits added during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 were at higher market rates than brokered deposits previously issued. The Company uses brokered deposits of select maturities from time to time to supplement its various funding channels and to manage interest rate risk.
Interest Expense -
Agreements and Other Interest-bearing Liabilities; Subordinated Debentures
Issued to Capital Trusts and Subordinated Notes
FHLBank term advances were not utilized during the three months ended
2023
Interest expense on reverse repurchase agreements increased$330,000 due to higher average interest rates during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 when compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . The average rate of interest was 0.94% for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to 0.03% for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . The average balance of repurchase agreements increased$18.7 million from$128.3 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to$147.0 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , which was due to changes in customers' desire for this product, which can fluctuate. Interest expense on short-term borrowings (including overnight borrowings from the FHLBank) and other interest-bearing liabilities increased$1.1 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 when compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 due to higher average rates of interest. The average rate of interest was 4.75% for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , compared to 0.08% for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . Short-term market interest rates increased sharply throughout 2022 and into 2023. Interest expense on short-term borrowings (including overnight borrowings from the FHLBank) and other interest-bearing liabilities increased$722,000 during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 when compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 due to higher average balances. The average balance of short-term borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities increased$148.2 million from$3.6 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to$151.8 million in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , which was primarily due to changes in the Company's funding needs and the mix of funding, which can fluctuate. Most of this increase was due to the utilization of overnight borrowings from the FHLBank. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , interest expense on subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts increased$275,000 due to higher average interest rates. The average interest rate was 6.18% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 compared to 1.86% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . The subordinated debentures are variable-rate debentures which bear interest at an average rate of three-month LIBOR plus 1.60%, adjusting quarterly, which was 6.41% atMarch 31, 2023 . There was no change in the average balance of the subordinated debentures between the 2022 and 2023 periods. InJune 2020 , the Company issued$75.0 million of 5.50% fixed-to-floating rate subordinated notes dueJune 15, 2030 . The notes were sold at par, resulting in net proceeds, after underwriting discounts and commissions and other issuance costs, of approximately$73.5 million . These issuance costs are amortized over the expected life of the notes, which is five years from the issuance date, impacting the overall interest expense on the notes. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , interest expense on subordinated notes increased$1,000 . 45
Net Interest Income
Net interest income for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 increased$9.9 million to$53.2 million compared to$43.3 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . Net interest margin was 3.99% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , compared to 3.43% in the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , an increase of 56 basis points, or 16.3%. The Company experienced increases in interest income on both loans and investment securities. The Company experienced increases in interest expense on deposits, short-term borrowings and subordinated debentures issued to capital trust. The Company's overall average interest rate spread increased 22 basis points, or 6.6%, from 3.31% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 to 3.53% during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . The increase was due to a 166 basis point increase in the weighted average yield on interest-earning assets, partially offset by a 144 basis point increase in the weighted average rate paid on interest-bearing liabilities. In comparing the two periods, the yield on loans increased 153 basis points, the yield on investment securities increased 28 basis points and the yield on other interest-earning assets increased 433 basis points. The rate paid on deposits increased 135 basis points, the rate paid on reverse repurchase agreements increased 91 basis points, the rate paid on short-term borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities increased 467 basis points the rate paid on subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts increased 432 basis points.
For additional information on net interest income components, refer to the
"Average Balances, Interest Rates and Yields" tables in this Quarterly Report on
Form 10-Q.
Provision for and Allowance for Credit Losses
The Company adopted ASU 2016-13, Financial Instruments - Credit Losses (Topic 326): Measurement of Credit Losses on Financial Instruments, effectiveJanuary 1, 2021 . The CECL methodology replaced the incurred loss methodology with a lifetime "expected credit loss" measurement objective for loans, held-to-maturity debt securities and other receivables measured at amortized cost at the time the financial asset is originated or acquired. This standard requires the consideration of historical loss experience and current conditions adjusted for reasonable and supportable economic forecasts. Management estimates the allowance balance using relevant available information, from internal and external sources, relating to past events, current conditions, and reasonable and supportable forecasts. Historical credit loss experience provides the basis for the estimation of expected credit losses. Adjustments to historical loss information are made for differences in current loan-specific risk characteristics such as differences in underwriting standards, portfolio mix, delinquency level, or term as well as for changes in economic conditions, such as changes in the national unemployment rate, commercial real estate price index, housing price index, consumer sentiment, gross domestic product (GDP) and construction spending. Continued challenging or worsening economic conditions from COVID-19 and subsequent variant outbreaks or similar events, higher inflation or interest rates, or other factors may lead to increased losses in the portfolio and/or requirements for an increase in provision expense. Management maintains various controls in an attempt to identify and limit future losses, such as a watch list of problem loans and potential problem loans, documented loan administration policies and loan review staff to review the quality and anticipated collectability of the portfolio. Additional procedures provide for frequent management review of the loan portfolio based on loan size, loan type, delinquencies, financial analysis, on-going correspondence with borrowers and problem loan work-outs. Management determines which loans are collateral-dependent, evaluates risk of loss and makes additional provisions to expense, if necessary, to maintain the allowance at a satisfactory level. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , the Company recorded provision expense of$1.5 million on its portfolio of outstanding loans. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , the Company did not record a provision expense on its portfolio of outstanding loans. The provision recorded during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 was primarily due to increases in outstanding loan balances, combined with a modestly worsening economic forecast. In the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, the Company experienced net recoveries of$7,000 and$43,000 , respectively. The provision for losses on unfunded commitments for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 andMarch 31, 2022 was a negative provision of$826,000 and$193,000 , respectively. The level and mix of unfunded commitments resulted in a decrease in the required reserve for such potential losses. General market conditions and unique circumstances related to specific industries and individual projects contribute to the level of provisions and charge-offs. The Bank's allowance for credit losses as a percentage of total loans was 1.40% and 1.39% atMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 , respectively. Management considers the allowance for credit losses adequate to cover losses inherent in the Bank's loan portfolio atMarch 31, 2023 , based on recent reviews of the Bank's loan portfolio and current economic conditions. If challenging 46 economic conditions were to continue or deteriorate, or if management's assessment of the loan portfolio were to change, additional loan loss provisions could be required, thereby adversely affecting the Company's future results of operations and financial condition.
Non-performing Assets
As a result of changes in balances and composition of the loan portfolio,
changes in economic and market conditions and other factors specific to a
borrower's circumstances, the level of non-performing assets will fluctuate.
At
percentage of total assets were 0.05% at
Compared to
million
non-performing loans was in the commercial business loans category, which
decreased
Non-performing Loans. Activity in the non-performing loans category during the
three months ended
Transfers to Transfers to Beginning Additions Removed Potential Foreclosed Ending Balance, to Non- from Non- Problem Assets and Charge- Balance, January 1 Performing Performing Loans Repossessions Offs Payments March 31 (In thousands) One- to four-family construction $ - $ - $
- $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Subdivision construction - - - - - - - - Land development 384 - - - - - - 384 Commercial construction - - - - - - - -
One- to four-family residential 722 -
- - - (30) (67) 625 Other residential - - - - - - - - Commercial real estate 1,579 38 - - - - (91) 1,526 Commercial business 586 16 - - - - (586) 16 Consumer 399 89 - - - (23) (34) 431 Total non-performing loans$ 3,670 $ 143 $ - $ - $ -$ (53) $ (778) $ 2,982 FDIC -assisted acquired loans included above$ 428 $ - $ - $ - $ -$ (31) $ (50) $ 347 AtMarch 31, 2023 , the non-performing commercial real estate category included three loans, none of which were added during the current period. The largest relationship in the category, which totaled$1.3 million , or 82.8% of the total category, was transferred from potential problem loans during 2021, and is collateralized by a mixed-use commercial retail building. Although considered non-performing, periodic payments have been received on this relationship. The non-performing one- to four-family residential category included 20 loans, none of which were added during the current period. The largest relationship in the category totaled$155,000 , or 24.8% of the category. The non-performing land development category consisted of one loan added during 2021, which totaled$384,000 and is collateralized by unimproved zoned vacant ground in southernIllinois . The non-performing commercial business category consisted of one loan, which was added during the current period. The balance in this category was reduced by$586,000 due to the repayment in full of the one existing relationship at the beginning of the current period. The non-performing consumer category included 21 loans, five of which were added during the current period. 47 Potential Problem Loans. Compared toDecember 31, 2022 , potential problem loans decreased$961,000 , or 60.9%, to$617,000 atMarch 31, 2023 . The decrease during the period was primarily due to multiple loans totaling$1.0 million that were upgraded to a satisfactory risk rating,$117,000 in loan payments and$12,000 in charge offs, partially offset by$174,000 in loans added to potential problem loans. Potential problem loans are loans which management has identified through routine internal review procedures as having possible credit problems that may cause the borrowers difficulty in complying with the current repayment terms. These loans are not reflected in non-performing assets.
Activity in the potential problem loans categories during the three months ended
Removed Transfers to Beginning Additions from Transfers to Foreclosed Loan Ending Balance, to Potential Potential Non- Assets and Charge- Advances Balance, January 1 Problem Problem Performing Repossessions Offs (Payments) March 31 (In thousands) One- to four-family construction $ - $ - $
- $ - $ - $ - $ - $ - Subdivision construction - - - - - - - - Land development - - - - - - - - Commercial construction - - - - - - - -
One- to four-family residential 1,348 167
(939) - - - (86) 490 Other residential - - - - - - - - Commercial real estate - - - - - - - - Commercial business - - - - - - - - Consumer 230 7 (64) (3) - (12) (31) 127
Total potential problem loans
-$ (12) $ (117)
FDIC -assisted acquired loans included above$ 743 $ -$ (562) $ - $ - $ -$ (1) $ 180 AtMarch 31, 2023 , the one- to four-family residential category of potential problem loans included five loans, two of which were added during the current period. The largest relationship in this category totaled$143,000 , or 29.2% of the total category. During the three months endingMarch 31, 2023 , 17 loans, totaling$939,000 , met the criteria to be upgraded to a satisfactory risk rating. The consumer category of potential problem loans included 13 loans, one of which was added during the current period. Other Real Estate Owned and Repossessions. Of the total$154,000 of other real estate owned and repossessions atMarch 31, 2023 ,$109,000 represents properties which were not acquired through foreclosure.
Activity in foreclosed assets and repossessions during the three months ended
Beginning ORE and ORE and Ending Balance, Repossession Capitalized Repossession Balance, January 1 Additions Sales Costs Write-Downs March 31 (In thousands)
One-to four-family construction $ - $ - $
- $ - $ - $ - Subdivision construction - - - - - - Land development - - - - - - Commercial construction - - - - - -
One- to four-family residential - -
- - - - Other residential - - - - - - Commercial real estate - - - - - - Commercial business - - - - - - Consumer 50 28 (33) - - 45
Total foreclosed assets and repossessions$ 50 $ 28 $ (33) $ - $ -$ 45
The additions and sales in the consumer category were due to the volume of
repossessions of automobiles, which generally are subject to a shorter
repossession process.
48 Loans Classified "Watch" The Company reviews the credit quality of its loan portfolio using an internal grading system that classifies loans as "Satisfactory," "Watch," "Special Mention," "Substandard" and "Doubtful." Loans classified as "Watch" are being monitored because of indications of potential weaknesses or deficiencies that may require future classification as special mention or substandard. In the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , loans classified as "Watch" decreased$10.3 million , from$28.7 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$18.4 million atMarch 31, 2023 , primarily due to loans being upgraded out of the "Watch" category. See Note 6 for further discussion of the Company's loan grading system.
Non-interest Income
For the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , non-interest income decreased$1.3 million to$7.9 million when compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , primarily as a result of the following items: Net gains on loan sales: Net gains on loan sales decreased$745,000 compared to the prior year period. The decrease was due to a decrease in originations of fixed-rate single-family mortgage loans during the 2023 period compared to the 2022 period. Fixed rate single-family mortgage loans originated are generally subsequently sold in the secondary market. These loan originations increased substantially when market interest rates decreased to historically low levels in 2020 and 2021. As a result of the significant volume of refinance activity in 2020 and 2021, and as market interest rates moved higher beginning in the second quarter of 2022, mortgage refinance volume decreased and fixed rate loan originations and related gains on sales of these loans decreased substantially. The lower level of originations is expected to continue as long as market rates remain elevated. Gain (loss) on derivative interest rate products: In the 2023 period, the Company recognized a loss of$291,000 on the change in fair value of its back-to-back interest rate swaps related to commercial loans and the change in fair value on interest rate swaps related to brokered time deposits. In the 2022 period, the Company recognized a gain of$152,000 on the change in fair value of its back-to-back interest rate swaps related to commercial loans. Changes in the fair value of these types of swaps generally relate to movements in market interest rates during the period and the cumulative changes in these fair values will ultimately total zero at maturity of the swaps.
Non-interest Expense
For the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , non-interest expense increased$3.2 million to$34.5 million when compared to the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , primarily as a result of the following items: Legal, Audit and Other Professional Fees: Legal, audit and other professional fees increased$1.2 million from the prior year period, to$2.0 million . In the 2023 period, the Company expensed a total of$1.3 million related to training and implementation costs for the upcoming core systems conversion and professional fees to consultants engaged to support the Company's transition of core and ancillary software and information technology systems. Salaries and employee benefits: Salaries and employee benefits increased$1.1 million from the prior year period. A portion of this increase related to normal annual merit increases in various lending and operations areas. In the 2023 period, some of these increases were larger than in previous periods due to the current employment environment. In addition, theCharlotte commercial loan office was opened in the second quarter of 2022 and therefore had no expense in the first quarter of 2022. The operation of this office added approximately$85,000 of salaries and benefits expense in the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 . In addition, compensation costs related to originated loans which are deferred under accounting rules, decreased by$350,000 in the 2023 period compared to the 2022 period, due to lower origination volumes. Net occupancy expenses: Net occupancy expenses increased$842,000 from the prior year period. Various components of computer license and support increased by$500,000 in the 2023 period compared to the 2022 period. In addition, repairs and maintenance on various buildings and ATMs increased by$250,000 in the 2023 period compared to the 2022 period. 49 The Company's efficiency ratio for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , was 56.42% compared to 59.62% for the same period in 2022. The improved efficiency ratio was primarily due to an increase in net interest income, partially offset by an increase in non-interest expense. The Company's ratio of non-interest expense to average assets was 2.42% and 2.34% for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Average assets for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , increased$358.0 million , or 6.7%, from the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , primarily due to an increase in net loans receivable and investment securities, partially offset by a decrease in interest bearing cash equivalents.
Provision for Income Taxes
For the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, the Company's effective tax rate was 21.2% and 20.5%, respectively. These effective rates were near or below the statutory federal tax rate of 21%, due primarily to the utilization of certain investment tax credits and the Company's tax-exempt investments and tax-exempt loans, which reduced the Company's effective tax rate. The Company's effective tax rate may fluctuate in future periods as it is impacted by the level and timing of the Company's utilization of tax credits, the level of tax-exempt investments and loans, the amount of taxable income in various state jurisdictions and the overall level of pre-tax income. State tax expense estimates continually evolve as taxable income and apportionment between states is analyzed. The Company's effective income tax rate is currently generally expected to remain near the statutory federal tax rate due primarily to the factors noted above. The Company currently expects its effective tax rate (combined federal and state) will be approximately 20.5% to 21.5% in future periods. 50
Average Balances, Interest Rates and Yields
The following tables present, for the periods indicated, the total dollar amount of interest income from average interest-earning assets and the resulting yields, as well as the interest expense on average interest-bearing liabilities, expressed both in dollars and rates, and the net interest margin. Average balances of loans receivable include the average balances of non-accrual loans for each period. Interest income on loans includes interest received on non-accrual loans on a cash basis. Interest income on loans also includes the amortization of net loan fees which were deferred in accordance with accounting standards. Net loan fees included in interest income were$1.3 million and$1.7 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Tax-exempt income was not calculated on a tax equivalent basis. The table does not reflect any effect of income taxes. March 31, Three Months Ended Three Months Ended 2023 March 31, 2023 March 31, 2022 Yield/ Average Yield/ Average Yield/ Rate Balance Interest Rate Balance Interest Rate (Dollars in Thousands) Interest-earning assets: Loans receivable: One- to four-family residential 3.55 %$ 909,672 $ 8,165 3.64 %$ 701,330 $ 6,041 3.49 % Other residential 6.57 785,126 12,684 6.55 759,622 8,417 4.49 Commercial real estate 5.83 1,510,516 21,535 5.78 1,489,762 15,346 4.18 Construction 7.37 920,020 16,206 7.14 668,220 7,529 4.57 Commercial business 6.01 283,251 4,118 5.90 289,230 3,326 4.66 Other loans 6.05
189,688 2,506 5.36 204,510 2,244 4.45
Industrial revenue bonds(1)
5.91 12,734 224 7.15 13,983 162 4.69 Total loans receivable 5.81
4,611,007 65,438 5.76 4,126,657 43,065 4.23
Investment securities(1) 2.72
706,894 5,004 2.87 533,976 3,410 2.59
Interest-earning deposits in other banks
4.83 91,821 1,021 4.51 458,643 198 0.18
Total interest-earning assets 5.42 5,409,722 71,463 5.36 5,119,276 46,673 3.70 Non-interest-earning assets: Cash and cash equivalents 93,586 90,586 Other non-earning assets 201,236 136,701 Total assets$ 5,704,544 $ 5,346,563 Interest-bearing liabilities: Interest-bearing demand and savings 1.09$ 2,184,966 4,359 0.81$ 2,375,943 777 0.13 Time deposits 2.31 1,016,042 5,185 2.07 863,684 1,201 0.56 Brokered deposits 4.69 456,817 5,106 4.53 67,401 195 1.17 Total deposits 1.93
3,657,825 14,650 1.62 3,307,028 2,173 0.27
Securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements 1.32 147,025
342 0.94 128,264 10
0.03
Short-term borrowings, overnight FHLBank borrowings
and other interest-bearing liabilities
5.05 151,847 1,780 4.75 3,628 1
0.08
Subordinated debentures issued to capital trusts 6.41 25,774 393 6.18 25,774 118 1.86 Subordinated notes 5.95 74,319 1,106 6.04 74,019 1,105 6.06 Total interest-bearing liabilities 2.14 4,056,790 18,271 1.83 3,538,713 3,407 0.39 Non-interest-bearing liabilities: Demand deposits 1,008,006 1,160,013 Other liabilities 89,974 37,907 Total liabilities 5,154,770 4,736,633 Stockholders' equity 549,774 609,930 Total liabilities and stockholders' equity$ 5,704,544 $ 5,346,563 Net interest income: Interest rate spread 3.28 %$ 53,192 3.53 %$ 43,266 3.31 % Net interest margin* 3.99 % 3.43 % Average interest-earning assets to average interest- bearing liabilities 133.3 % 144.7 %
* Defined as the Company's net interest income divided by total average
interest-earning assets.
Of the total average balances of investment securities, average tax-exempt
investment securities were
months ended
tax-exempt loans and industrial revenue bonds were
(1) million for the three months ended
Interest income on tax-exempt assets included in this table was
Interest income net of disallowed interest expense related to tax-exempt
assets was$569,000 and$452,000 for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. 51 Rate/Volume Analysis The following tables present the dollar amounts of changes in interest income and interest expense for major components of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities for the periods shown. For each category of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities, information is provided on changes attributable to (i) changes in rate (i.e., changes in rate multiplied by old volume) and (ii) changes in volume (i.e., changes in volume multiplied by old rate). For purposes of this table, changes attributable to both rate and volume, which cannot be segregated, have been allocated proportionately to volume and rate. Tax-exempt income was not calculated on a tax equivalent basis. Three Months Ended March 31, 2023 vs. 2022 Increase (Decrease) Total Due to Increase Rate Volume (Decrease) (Dollars in Thousands)
Interest-earning assets: Loans receivable$ 16,871 $ 5,502 $ 22,373 Investment securities 400 1,194 1,594
Interest-earning deposits in other banks 850 (27) 823 Total interest-earning assets 18,121 6,669 24,790 Interest-bearing liabilities: Demand deposits 3,639 (57) 3,582 Time deposits 3,737 247 3,984 Brokered deposits 1,628 3,283 4,911 Total deposits 9,004 3,473 12,477
Securities sold under reverse repurchase agreements 330 2 332
Short-term borrowings, overnight FHLBank borrowings and other interest-bearing liabilities 1,057 722
1,779 Subordinated debentures issued to capital trust 275 - 275 Subordinated notes (4) 5 1 Total interest-bearing liabilities
10,662 4,202 14,864 Net interest income$ 7,459 $ 2,467 $ 9,926 52 Liquidity
Liquidity is a measure of the Company's ability to generate sufficient cash to meet present and future financial obligations in a timely manner through either the sale or maturity of existing assets or the acquisition of additional funds through liability management. These obligations include the credit needs of customers, funding deposit withdrawals, and the day-to-day operations of the Company. Liquid assets include cash, interest-bearing deposits with financial institutions and certain investment securities and loans. As a result of the Company's management of its ability to generate liquidity primarily through liability funding, management believes that the Company maintains overall liquidity sufficient to satisfy its depositors' requirements and meet its borrowers' credit needs. AtMarch 31, 2023 , the Company had commitments of approximately$60.2 million to fund loan originations,$1.89 billion of unused lines of credit and unadvanced loans, and$16.6 million of outstanding letters of credit.
Loan commitments and the unfunded portion of loans at the dates indicated were
as follows (In Thousands):
March 31, December 31, December
31,
2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 Closed non-construction loans with unused available lines Secured by real estate (one- 205,517 to four-family) $$ 199,182 $ 175,682 $ 164,480 $ 155,831 Secured by real estate (not - one- to four-family) - 23,752 22,273 19,512 Not secured by real estate - 113,186 commercial business 104,452 91,786 77,411 83,782 Closed construction loans with unused available lines Secured by real estate (one-to 104,045 four-family) 100,669 74,501 42,162 48,213 Secured by real estate (not 1,333,596 one-to four-family) 1,444,450 1,092,029 823,106 798,810 Loan commitments not closed Secured by real estate (one-to 33,221 four-family) 16,819 53,529 85,917 69,295 Secured by real estate (not 78,384 one-to four-family) 157,645 146,826 45,860 92,434 Not secured by real estate - 37,477 commercial business 50,145 12,920 699 -$ 1,905,426 $ 2,073,362 $ 1,671,025 $ 1,261,908 $ 1,267,877 The Company's primary sources of funds are customer deposits, FHLBank advances, other borrowings, loan repayments, unpledged securities, proceeds from sales of loans and available-for-sale securities and funds provided from operations. The Company utilizes particular sources of funds based on the comparative costs and availability at the time. The Company has from time to time chosen not to pay rates on deposits as high as the rates paid by certain of its competitors and, when believed to be appropriate, supplements deposits with less expensive alternative sources of funds.
At
secured lines and on-balance sheet liquidity:
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022 Federal Home Loan Bank line$ 850.0 million $ 1,005.1 million Federal Reserve Bank line$ 418.4 million $ 397.0 million Cash and cash equivalents$ 184.7 million $ 168.5 million
Unpledged securities - Available-for-sale
Unpledged securities - Held-to-maturity
Statements of Cash Flows. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, the Company had positive cash flows from operating activities. The Company had negative cash flows from investing activities during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022. The Company had positive cash flows from financing activities during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and negative cash flows from financing activities during the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 . Cash flows from operating activities for the periods covered by the Statements of Cash Flows have been primarily related to changes in accrued and deferred assets, credits and other liabilities, the provision for credit losses, depreciation and amortization, realized gains on sales of loans and the amortization of deferred loan origination fees and discounts (premiums) on loans and investments, all of which are non-cash or non-operating adjustments to operating cash flows. Net income adjusted for non-cash and non-operating items 53 and the origination and sale of loans held for sale were the primary source of cash flows from operating activities. Operating activities provided cash flows of$5.4 million and$31.4 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, investing activities used cash of$53.4 million and$318.4 million , respectively. Investing activities in the 2023 period used cash primarily due to the net originations of loans. Investing activities in the 2022 period used cash primarily due to the purchase of investment securities, the purchases of loans and the net origination of loans, partially offset by payments received on investment securities. Changes in cash flows from financing activities during the periods covered by the Statements of Cash Flows were due to changes in deposits after interest credited and changes in short-term borrowings, as well as advances from borrowers for taxes and insurance, dividend payments to stockholders, repurchases of the Company's common stock and the exercise of common stock options. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and 2022, financing activities provided cash of$64.1 million and used cash of$77.2 million , respectively. In the 2023 period, financing activities provided cash primarily as a result of net increases in time deposits and checking and savings deposits, partially offset by decreases in short-term borrowings, the repurchase of the Company's common stock and dividends paid to stockholders. In the 2022 period, financing activities used cash primarily as a result of net decreases in time deposits, dividends paid to stockholders and the purchase of the Company's common stock, partially offset by net increases in short-term borrowings.
Capital Resources
Management continuously reviews the capital position of the Company and the Bank to ensure compliance with minimum regulatory requirements, as well as to explore ways to increase capital either by retained earnings or other means.
At
stockholders' equity were each
equivalent to a book value of
total stockholders' equity and common stockholders' equity were each
million
common share. At
tangible assets ratio was 9.5%, compared to 9.2% at
Non-GAAP Financial Measures below).
Included in stockholders' equity atMarch 31, 2023 andDecember 31, 2022 , were unrealized losses (net of taxes) on the Company's available-for-sale investment securities totaling$40.3 million and$47.2 million , respectively. This change in net unrealized loss during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , primarily resulted from decreasing intermediate-term market interest rates, which generally increased the fair value of investment securities. Also included in stockholders' equity atMarch 31, 2023 , were unrealized gains (net of taxes) totaling$72,000 on the Company's investment securities that were transferred to the held-to-maturity category. Approximately$227 million of investment securities previously included in available-for-sale were transferred to held-to-maturity during the first quarter of 2022. In addition, included in stockholders' equity atMarch 31, 2023 , were realized gains (net of taxes) on the Company's terminated cash flow hedge (interest rate swap), totaling$15.8 million . This amount, plus associated deferred taxes, is expected to be accreted to interest income over the remaining term of the original interest rate swap contract, which was to end inOctober 2025 . AtMarch 31, 2023 , the remaining pre-tax amount to be recorded in interest income was$20.5 million . The net effect on total stockholders' equity over time will be no impact, as the reduction of this realized gain will be offset by an increase in retained earnings (as the interest income flows through pre-tax income). Also included in stockholders' equity atMarch 31, 2023 , was an unrealized loss (net of taxes) on the Company's outstanding cash flow hedges (interest rate swaps) totaling$17.0 million . Increases in market interest rates since the inception of these hedges have caused their fair values to decrease. However, during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , decreasing forward swap rates resulted in increasing fair values of these hedges. As noted above, total stockholders' equity increased$22.4 million , from$533.1 million atDecember 31, 2022 to$555.5 million atMarch 31, 2023 . Accumulated other comprehensive income increased$11.9 million during the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , primarily due to increases in the fair value of available-for-sale investment securities and the fair value of cash flow hedges. Stockholders' equity also increased due to net income of$20.5 million for the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 and a$470,000 increase due to stock option exercises. Partially offsetting these increases were repurchases of the Company's common stock totaling$5.6 million and dividends declared on common stock of$4.9 million . The Company also had unrealized losses on its portfolio of held-to-maturity investment securities, which totaled$20.6 million atMarch 31, 2023 , that were not included in its total capital balance. If these held-to-maturity unrealized losses were included in capital 54
(net of taxes) it would have decreased total stockholder's equity by
million
equity of
Banks are required to maintain minimum risk-based capital ratios. These ratios compare capital, as defined by the risk-based regulations, to assets adjusted for their relative risk as defined by the regulations. Under current guidelines, which became effectiveJanuary 1, 2015 , banks must have a minimum common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 4.50%, a minimum Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 6.00%, a minimum total risk-based capital ratio of 8.00%, and a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 4.00%. To be considered "well capitalized," banks must have a minimum common equity Tier 1 capital ratio of 6.50%, a minimum Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of 8.00%, a minimum total risk-based capital ratio of 10.00%, and a minimum Tier 1 leverage ratio of 5.00%. OnMarch 31, 2023 , the Bank's common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 12.3%, its Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 12.3%, its total risk-based capital ratio was 13.5% and its Tier 1 leverage ratio was 11.7%. As a result, as ofMarch 31, 2023 , the Bank was well capitalized, with capital ratios in excess of those required to qualify as such. OnDecember 31, 2022 , the Bank's common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 11.9%, its Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.9%, its total risk-based capital ratio was 13.1% and its Tier 1 leverage ratio was 11.5%. As a result, as ofDecember 31, 2022 , the Bank was well capitalized, with capital ratios in excess of those required to qualify as such. The FRB has established capital regulations for bank holding companies that generally parallel the capital regulations for banks. OnMarch 31, 2023 , the Company's common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 10.9%, its Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.3%, its total risk-based capital ratio was 13.9% and its Tier 1 leverage ratio was 10.8%. To be considered well capitalized, a bank holding company must have a Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio of at least 6.00% and a total risk-based capital ratio of at least 10.00%. As ofMarch 31, 2023 , the Company was considered well capitalized, with capital ratios in excess of those required to qualify as such. OnDecember 31, 2022 , the Company's common equity Tier 1 capital ratio was 10.6%, its Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio was 11.0%, its total risk-based capital ratio was 13.5% and its Tier 1 leverage ratio was 10.6%. As ofDecember 31, 2022 , the Company was considered well capitalized, with capital ratios in excess of those required to qualify as such. In addition to the minimum common equity Tier 1 capital ratio, Tier 1 risk-based capital ratio and total risk-based capital ratio, the Company and the Bank have to maintain a capital conservation buffer consisting of additional common equity Tier 1 capital greater than 2.5% of risk-weighted assets above the required minimum levels in order to avoid limitations on paying dividends, repurchasing shares, and paying discretionary bonuses. AtMarch 31, 2023 , the Company and the Bank both had additional common equity Tier 1 capital in excess of the buffer amount. Dividends. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , the Company declared a common stock cash dividend of$0.40 per share, or 24% of net income per diluted common share for that three month period, and paid a common stock cash dividend of$0.40 per share (which was declared inDecember 2022 ). During the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , the Company declared a common stock cash dividend of$0.36 per share, or 28% of net income per diluted common share for that three month period, and paid a common stock cash dividend of$0.36 per share (which was declared inDecember 2021 ). The Board of Directors meets regularly to consider the level and the timing of dividend payments. The$0.40 per share dividend declared but unpaid as ofMarch 31, 2023 , was paid to stockholders inApril 2023 . Common Stock Repurchases and Issuances. The Company has been in various buy-back programs sinceMay 1990 . During the three months endedMarch 31, 2023 , the Company repurchased 99,121 shares of its common stock at an average price of$55.70 per share and issued 1,717 shares of common stock at an average price of$43.05 per share to cover stock option exercises. During the three months endedMarch 31, 2022 , the Company repurchased 419,215 shares of its common stock at an average price of$60.40 per share and issued 51,694 shares of common stock at an average price of$47.49 per share to cover stock option exercises. InJanuary 2022 , the Company's Board of Directors authorized management to purchase up to one million shares of the Company's outstanding common stock, under a program of open market purchases or privately negotiated transactions. AtMarch 31, 2023 , there were approximately 78,000 shares which could still be purchased under this authorization. InDecember 2022 , the Company's Board of Directors authorized the purchase of up to an additional one million shares of the Company's outstanding common stock, under a program of open market purchases or privately negotiated transactions, resulting in a total of approximately 1.1 million shares available in our stock repurchase authorization as ofMarch 31, 2023 . Management has historically utilized stock buy-back programs from time to time as long as management believed that repurchasing the Company's common stock would contribute to the overall growth of shareholder value. The number of shares that will be repurchased at any particular time and the prices that will be paid are subject to many factors, several of which are outside of the control of the Company. The primary factors typically include the number of shares available in the market from sellers at any given time, the market price of the stock and the projected impact on the Company's earnings per share and capital. 55 Non-GAAP Financial Measures
This document contains certain financial information determined by methods other than in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted inthe United States ("GAAP"), specifically, the ratio of tangible common equity to tangible assets. In calculating the ratio of tangible common equity to tangible assets, we subtract period-end intangible assets from common equity and from total assets. Management believes that the presentation of this measure excluding the impact of intangible assets provides useful supplemental information that is helpful in understanding our financial condition and results of operations, as it provides a method to assess management's success in utilizing our tangible capital as well as our capital strength. Management also believes that providing a measure that excludes balances of intangible assets, which are subjective components of valuation, facilitates the comparison of our performance with the performance of our peers. In addition, management believes that this is a standard financial measure used in the banking industry to evaluate performance. This non-GAAP financial measurement is supplemental and is not a substitute for any analysis based on GAAP financial measures. Because not all companies use the same calculation of non-GAAP measures, this presentation may not be comparable to similarly titled measures as calculated by other companies. Non-GAAP Reconciliation: Ratio of Tangible Common Equity to Tangible Assets
March 31, 2023 December 31, 2022 (Dollars in Thousands) Common equity at period end$ 555,511 $ 533,087
Less: Intangible assets at period end 10,702
10,813
Tangible common equity at period end (a)
522,274
Total assets at period end$ 5,768,720 $
5,680,702
Less: Intangible assets at period end 10,702
10,813
Tangible assets at period end (b)$ 5,758,018 $
5,669,889
Tangible common equity to tangible assets (a) / (b) 9.46 %
9.21 %
PALOMAR HOLDINGS, INC. – 10-Q – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
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