GBP/USD Analysis: Sharp Gains, Time to Sell – 27 August 2024
-- The British Pound reached its highest levels in two years at the end of last week, supported by the
-- However, the rise seems excessive.
--
-- The GBP/USD currency pair gains reached the resistance level of 1.3230, the highest in two years, and is stabilizing around the 1.3180 level, awaiting any new developments.
This has signaled a decisive shift from targeting inflation to reducing economic weakness, which would mean lowering interest rates. Now, the question for financial markets is whether the US
According to reliable trading platforms, the increased likelihood of a strong 50 basis point hike has led to a decline in the US dollar and the GBP/USD exchange rate has risen to a two-year high. Furthermore, this exchange rate is certainly in a technical uptrend and the most obvious way forward in the coming weeks is higher. However, fatigue is growing, and we are seeing signs of overbought conditions on the charts. In particular, the RSI is at 76 and is significantly extended, increasing the likelihood of a pullback this week. There will be no major data from the
With that in mind, it is difficult to be anything other than optimistic now that the Fed has given the green light to cut US interest rates with Powell’s speech sounding so “dovish” that he called for a decisive 50 basis point cut in September.
Technical forecasts for the GPB/USD pair today:
We can expect some overall declines in the markets – and therefore the GBP – in the coming days but ultimately it will be difficult and risky to justify standing in the way of this train. We expect the US dollar to retreat if this week’s data beats expectations and casts doubt on the likelihood of a 50-basis point interest ratehike in September. The highlight will be the release of the US personal consumption expenditures deflator on Friday, a measure of consumer inflation.
For his part,
On the stock trading front, US stock indices faced a volatile session on Monday, with mixed performance across major indexes as investors anticipated upcoming interest rate cuts and focused on Nvidia’s long-awaited earnings report. The
The broader market showed signs of rotating out of technology stocks, with the S&P 500’s energy sector up more than 1%, while technology stocks fell sharply. The shift comes as investors digested a strong signal from
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Original Source DailyForex.com provides daily fundamental and technical analysis and signals for those looking to trade based on trends in the currency markets.
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