Earnings Document
3M 2023 Update
Q&A-Session Conference Call
Transcript
Disclaimer:
This transcript may not be 100 percent accurate and may contain misspellings and other in- accuracies. This transcript is provided "as is", without express or implied warranties of any kind. Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (
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Operator |
And we have our first question from |
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Hello, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. I |
have three on my side, and the first one would be on the |
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P&C pricing dynamics on your core markets. It would be |
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helpful if you could provide some more additional colours on |
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what kind of pricing dynamics you are seeing in your core |
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markets, like Czech, |
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inflation. |
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The second one would be on the Turkish earthquake |
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exposure. I appreciate 170 million is the gross number. It |
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would be helpful if you could provide how should this |
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number look on a net basis. |
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And coming to the last one would be on your guidance, |
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which is obviously unchanged, and you're still aiming for a |
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positive operating performance. If you could provide some |
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more colour on how should we read this statement, |
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especially in the context where you are transitioning into |
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IFRS 17? |
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So, when you say a positive operating performance, should |
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we read this as positive improvement of IFRS 17 figures, or |
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IFRS 4 figures? On what KPI should we look at this positive |
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operating performance? Thank you, those are the three |
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questions that I have. |
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Good afternoon. |
questions. The first question and the second question I will |
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answer, and then Liane takes the third question. |
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I'll start with the Turkish earthquake. We are announcing the |
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gross figures, as this is a mixture between active |
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reinsurance, local company, and also sometimes corporate |
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business, reinsured facultative. So, it's a mixture. From the |
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today perspective, the net effect will be a low double-digit |
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million figure. |
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Coming to the first question, P&C dynamics, I would start |
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generally, and I think we have mentioned this, in our region, |
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Central and EasteEurope, in the last 20 years, country- |
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by-country, there have been already times of higher |
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inflation. |
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So, we have management people in their jobs, which |
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already in their professional career were dealing with the |
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topic of rising inflation and claims inflation, maybe differently |
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to some WesteEuropean countries, which didn't have this |
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kind of inflation in the last 40, 50 years. |
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Therefore, there is a certain management ability and |
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capability to deal with these challenges. In CEE, we do have |
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mainly one-year contracts. This means we are able to adopt, |
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according to our calculation, the rates. |
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We are not logged in differently in |
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where we have more long-term contracts, we have |
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indexation clauses on it. |
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And it's not just CPI inflation clauses, it's inflation clauses |
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relevant to the business line. So, for example, the |
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Construction Price Index for property, or Repair Cost Index, |
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Car Repair Cost Index for CASCO, which is ensuring a |
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proper pricing automatically with the index. |
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If we go to the countries, maybe I'll start with the most |
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challenging one, which is still |
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whole market under pressure in the motor pricing. We do |
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believe that there is now the bottom line reached, and there |
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are first signs that motor pricing in Motor TPL is increasing. |
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We also believe that because we see this tendency in the |
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neighbouring Baltic states, and quite a number of insurance |
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companies operating in |
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Baltics. So, therefore, we believe that also this trend will |
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come over. |
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In the property business, and this is again true for whole |
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CEE, also for our local competitors, they were experiencing |
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the significant rate increases of reinsurance in the last |
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renewal, which is also putting pressure on them on the |
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primary market. So, we see in general, in the property |
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business in CEE, a rate increase on the property business. |
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There was a certain delay. You know that in Western |
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two, three years ago. We saw it in CEE last year, but this |
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year even a bit accelerated. |
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The same is true in |
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decent performance in Motor TPL, and also in |
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where some rate increases are flattening. But this has been |
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already, over the last years, certain risk-adequate increases |
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done. |
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We are growing quite strongly in the CASCO line of |
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business, all over the place. On the one-hand side, due to |
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rising number of new car sales, combined with a rate |
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increase, combined with value increases, as also car prices |
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have significantly increased in the last 12 to 24 months, |
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which is standard function of the absolute premium. So, this |
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is a little bit a short overview about the environment. |
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I'm happy to take the last question on the guidance and what |
3 |
we mean with the positive operating performance. I would |
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like to remind you that the macroeconomic environment is |
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still challenging, and still we are experiencing volatile capital |
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markets, so when we talk about the positive operating |
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performance, we mean the insurance technical result. |
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And we see still, of course, some pressure in this year |
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regarding the high inflation rates. But this year, and |
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especially in 2024, we expect that the effect of adjusted |
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insurance tariffs we will see in our insurance result. So, this |
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is what we mean by better positive operating performance. |
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I hope this answers your question. |
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Very helpful. Thank you so much. |
Operator |
The next question is from the line of |
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Yes, hello. Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my |
questions, and also, thank you for the presentation today. |
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My first question would be on, you talked about the pricing |
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dynamics in the region. |
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Across all your product groups, is the indexation, are the |
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adjustments, the upward-price adjustments done, or mostly |
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done, for this year? And how has the lapse rate, in |
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connection with that, developed? That's the first question. |
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The second question would be on the changed interest rate |
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environment. What is the new money yield, or what was it, |
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in Q1 2023? |
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And then lastly, you mentioned it, that you'll be presenting |
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the half-year results under the new reporting standards of |
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IFRS 17 and 9. Do you provide any historical data, ahead of |
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these results, for the quarters in 2022? That would be highly |
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appreciated and helpful. |
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So, I'll take the first question, thank you. We are making rate |
adjustments at the renewal date, throughout the whole year, |
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so it's not done all on 1st January, but when the contract is |
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to be renewed. So, this is throughout the year. |
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We do currently not observe significant changes in |
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behaviour towards cancellation or lapse rate. What we see, |
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and this is more towards corporate business, that certain |
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coverages get changed. Self-retention gets increased, |
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certain extra coverages maybe get reduced. |
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So, it's not a cancellation of a whole insurance coverage, |
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but it's an adaptation of certain coverages in relation, then, |
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to the total premium to be paid. |
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Regarding your question, regarding the new money yield for |
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the first quarter, the new money yield of total VIG in the first |
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three months amounts to 4.8%. And the last question |
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regarding the half-year results under the new accounting |
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regime, IFRS 17 and 9, we are happy to share with you the |
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year-end 2022 results in advance, so we will reach out to |
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you in this respect. |
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Okay, so no quarterly results will be presented in the |
Adjusted Form, ahead of the half-year results? |
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We will have the half-year 2022 figures in the half-year |
2023, as a comparative information, but we will give you the |
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year-end 2022 in advance. |
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Right, okay, and thank you for that. And the new money |
yield, what is the comparative figure in the previous |
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quarters? You said 4.8% for Q1? |
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We have just the comparative figures for |
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3.7%, and the comparative figure in the previous quarter |
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2022 and the first quarter 2022 was 2.73%. |
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Okay. |
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I'm sorry, this was the whole-year 2022. The first three |
months was 1.78%. This is the comparative figure to the |
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3.7%. |
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1.78% for Q1 2022, last year, okay. |
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Yes. |
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Super. Thank you very much. |
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Welcome. |
Operator |
Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, if you would like to |
ask a question, please press star and one on your |
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telephone. |
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One moment for the next question, please. So far, there are |
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no further questions, and I hand back to Nina for closing |
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comments. |
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Nina Higatzberger-Schwarz |
Thank you, ladies and gentlemen, for participating in today's |
call. The next results call for VIG is going to be the half-year |
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results 2023, on 30th August, then based on IFRS 17/9. So |
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far, thanks and good afternoon. |
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Bye bye. |
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Bye bye. |
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