Earnings Document
Preliminary Results 2022
Q&A-Session Conference Call
Transcript
Disclaimer:
This transcript may not be 100 percent accurate and may contain misspellings and other in- accuracies. This transcript is provided "as is", without express or implied warranties of any kind. Vienna Insurance Group AG Wiener Versicherung Gruppe (
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Good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions, I have |
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three. The first one would be on the cost ratio in |
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was remarkedly high in the fourth quarter of 2022. Could you |
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provide any additional colour on what was the driver of this |
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higher cost ratio in |
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competition on, but an indication what drove this higher ratio. |
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Was it higher acquisition cost or claims handling? Any colour |
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would be really helpful. |
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The second one would be on Türkiye, if you could provide any |
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early indication on your exposure to the Turkish earthquake, any |
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early figures, that would be really helpful. |
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Lastly, on the claims inflation outlook for 2023, I appreciate the |
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fact that you're providing inflation is expected to decrease, but |
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this service, how do you see the P&C prices to evolve in 2023? |
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Also, I appreciate that you have short-term nature of book in the |
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CEE market and you're able to reprice it quite quickly, but are |
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you seeing any pushback from the customers in terms of churn |
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or moving around or doing some bargain hunting? Or are they |
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able to take on the higher prices that you are putting through? |
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Any colours around the pricing part in the CEE market will be |
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really helpful. Thank you so much. |
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Good afternoon. |
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they're all on me. I start maybe with the last topic, pricing on |
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P&C. If you look on our claims ratio which we have presented for |
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last year, you see that our claims ratio stayed stable, so we could |
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prove our ability to deal with rising inflations and keeping claims |
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ratio at the same level, even though the environment is |
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challenging out of inflation on the one hand's side. This is driven |
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by certain rate increases, it's also very much driven in talking |
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with our clients to recheck their sum insured and increasing |
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sums insured, and respectively having higher premiums. |
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Thirdly, also on the topic of claims handling, being in an |
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environment in Central EasteEurope, where inflation has been |
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there also in the past, some years ago. We have management |
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resources, which are quite experienced in dealing with this issue, |
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maybe different to some countries in the Westeworld. Where |
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management resources never had in their professional career |
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the challenge of inflation, as we have seen it last year. |
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Looking to this year, I'm talking on one hand's side, as you also |
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mentioned, we do have the opportunity for a fast repricing in |
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Central EasteEurope, as in all business lines, it's basically |
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one-year contracts. In |
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have various indices, also in our retail products. Indices which |
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are very much reflected on the business line. Also in the private |
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property you have a construction price index and not just a |
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consumer price index. You have in the casco insurance a car |
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2 |
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repair index and not just the consumer price index, so really |
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reflecting the underlying inflation for our claims, which is |
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balancing the increased average claims. |
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Seeing what happened in the renewal of reinsurance, and I'm |
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sure you're well aware of the overall significant hardening of |
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reinsurance which was experienced by the primary insurance, |
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we also see here in our markets, and this specifically with some |
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of the more local competitors, that they are pushed by these |
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higher prices. Therefore, I do not have the feeling that prices go |
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down in the current environment. With one exception, this is the |
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question you are posing to me. I hope I could give you some |
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indication on how we see this. |
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That's super helpful. |
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Cost ratio in |
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material, with increased competition. Yes, this means that in the |
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end, distribution and marketing costs have increased in relation |
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to premiums generated. We still feel this pricing competition, but |
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I do have an indication that hopefully we are on the bottom line, |
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as there is certain increased pricing on the fleet business. Fleet |
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business is normally the first indication that maybe the market is |
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more going back to a risk adequate pricing. |
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Coming to Türkiye, there are various estimations by modelling |
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companies, looking at the models of what will be the modelled |
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insured loss in the region where the earthquake has happened |
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in Türkiye. This is somewhere between €3.5 to €5 billion as an |
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estimate. Taking around our market share in non-life, which is |
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approximately 2.5%, looking at the first claims notification which |
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we have received, and extrapolating it, it seems that we will be |
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around €100 million gross. |
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Thank you so much. |
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Operator |
The next question is coming from |
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Group. Please go ahead. |
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Good afternoon. Thank you very much. I'd like to follow up on… |
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Please talk louder. |
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Can you hear me now, is it better now? |
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Now we can hear you. |
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Sorry about that. If I could follow up on one of the questions that |
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you had on premiums, especially in |
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now into 2023, how did clients react to your premium increases? |
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Probably quite sizeable premium increases now are coming |
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through. Have you seen any changes in patterns from your |
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customers? That's the first question. |
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3 |
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Secondly, I'd like to talk about |
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close the remaining part of the |
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repeat the profit contribution that you had in 2022 from the new |
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Aegon CEE assets. |
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Lastly, I would like to ask on the dividend, what made you decide |
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for the dividend at €1.3 per share and why did you not opt for a |
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higher pay-out in light of your strong balance sheet, strong |
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capital ratios and, also, quite strong results in 2022? Thank you. |
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Thank you for your questions. Looking specifically to |
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customer behaviour due to inflation: There is no significant |
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increases of cancellations in the life business. Which could be |
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one of the effects, but this is nothing that seems to be here of |
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any significance or any correlation to it. The same is true for retail |
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non-life. We didn't see anything that there is something like mass |
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cancellations in private property household insurance due to |
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limited budgets of people. If we come to corporate clients, this is |
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different. What we see is also we are much more asked in the |
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area of risk management and risk advice, and also the advice |
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that the intermediaries are much more asked on this topic. |
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Corporate clients are evaluating more detailed, what is the risk. |
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They are willing to think about increasing self-retentions, limiting |
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certain coverages for ensuring that premium rises are not so |
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significant. On the corporate side, there is an intensive |
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discussion how to protect and risk sensitivity and risk |
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awareness, not only because of inflation, but also due to |
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geopolitical situation and also due to the COVID topics in the last |
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years, have in our interactions with clients very much increased. |
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Which is, on one hand's side also a very positive thing, talking |
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very intensively about how to protect the risks and not just to |
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discuss purely premium levels. |
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I'm happy to take the second question regarding |
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transaction. We closed Türkiye and |
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effects on the income statement in 2022. What is still open is |
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from the impact, |
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parts, from the Polish and Romanian entities we expect around |
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100 million additional premium volume with regards to |
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The last question on the dividend, as I also explained, we are a |
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little bit cautious when it comes to the outlook due to the |
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macroeconomic environment, which is still challenging. You see |
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a small US bank is going bankrupt and the capital markets are |
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in an international way quite heavily affected, so there's still a lot |
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of uncertainty and disruptive elements that could take place. |
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Taking all this into account, we do not give a concrete outlook |
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for our 2023. When it comes to the dividends, our divided yield |
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is very attractive with 5.8%, also the dividend is higher than last |
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4 |
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year. Taking all these aspects into account, our proposed |
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dividend we think is very attractive. |
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Thank you. Can I ask you again for the pre-tax profit contribution |
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by the |
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presentation. |
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From Aegon Hungary and Türkiye we have impact in the |
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extended CEE segment with a premium increase of more than |
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€300 million, €310 million. The profit contribution for |
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minus 29 million. This is taking into account the additional tax on |
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the insurance premium and also the depreciation and the |
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impairment of the insurance portfolios and customer base |
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already mentioned. In special markets we have additional |
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premiums of €130 million. The profit contribution of |
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Türkiye insurance company is around €6.3 million. These are the |
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main effects last year. |
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Thank you very much. |
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Operator |
Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to ask a question, please |
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press star followed by one on your telephone. There are no |
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further questions at this time. I now hand back to Nina for closing |
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comments. |
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Nina Higatzberger-Schwarz |
Thank you for listening in and for your questions. Our next |
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scheduled events are the AGM on 26th of May, followed by the |
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first quarter update on 31st of |
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questions, the investor relations team is there for you, please |
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reach out. And, once again, thank you, have a nice day and |
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goodbye. |
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Bye-bye. |
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Bye. |
5
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