Unum Group 2024 Outlook Meeting
2023 Results & 2024 Outlook
1
SAFE HARBOR STATEMENT
Certain information in this presentation constitutes "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward- looking statements are those not based on historical information, but rather relate to our outlook, future operations, strategies, financial results, or other developments and speak only as of the date made. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous assumptions, risks, and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control. The following factors, in addition to other factors mentioned from time to time, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements: (1) fluctuation in insurance reserve liabilities and claim payments due to changes in claim incidence, recovery rates, mortality and morbidity rates, and policy benefit offsets due to, among other factors, the rate of unemployment and consumer confidence, the emergence of new diseases, epidemics, or pandemics, new trends and developments in medical treatments, the effectiveness of our claims operational processes, and changes in governmental programs; (2) sustained periods of low interest rates; (3) unfavorable economic or business conditions, both domestic and foreign, that may result in decreases in sales, premiums, or persistency, as well as unfavorable claims activity or unfavorable returns on our investment portfolio; (4) the impact of pandemics and other public health issues, including COVID-19, on our business, financial position, results of operations, liquidity and capital resources, and overall business operations; (5) changes in, or interpretations or enforcement of, laws and regulations; (6) our ability to hire and retain qualified employees; (7) a cyber attack or other security breach resulting in the unauthorized acquisition of confidential data; (8) the failure of our business recovery and incident management processes to resume our business operations in the event of a natural catastrophe, cyber attack, or other event; (9) investment results, including, but not limited to, changes in interest rates, defaults, changes in credit spreads, impairments, and the lack of appropriate investments in the market which can be acquired to match our liabilities; (10) increased competition from other insurers and financial services companies due to industry consolidation, new entrants to our markets, or other factors; (11) changes in our financial strength and credit ratings; (12) our ability to develop digital capabilities or execute on our technology systems upgrades or replacements; (13) actual experience in the broad array of our products that deviates from our assumptions used in pricing, underwriting, and reserving; (14) ineffectiveness of our derivatives hedging programs due to changes in forecasted cash flows, the economic environment, counterparty risk, ratings downgrades, capital market volatility, changes in interest rates, and/or regulation; (15) availability of reinsurance in the market and the ability of our reinsurers to meet their obligations to us; (16) ability to generate sufficient internal liquidity and/or obtain external financing; (17) damage to our reputation due to, among other factors, regulatory investigations, legal proceedings, external events, and/or inadequate or failed internal controls and procedures; (18) disruptions to our business or our ability to leverage data caused by the use and reliance on third-party vendors, including vendors providing web and cloud-based applications; (19) recoverability and/or realization of the carrying value of our intangible assets, long-lived assets, and deferred tax assets; (20) effectiveness of our risk management program; (21) contingencies and the level and results of litigation; (22) fluctuation in foreign currency exchange rates; and (23) our ability to meet environmental, social, and governance standards and expectations of investors, regulators, customers, and other stakeholders.
For further discussion of risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from those contained in the forward-looking statements, see Part 1, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of our annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended
2
2023 KEY MESSAGES
- Record premiums and strong sales momentum
- Advanced our strategic initiatives to build on digital capabilities
- Fully recognized the premium deficiency reserve (PDR)
- Share repurchase pace increased; dividend increased
- Record financial strength with RBC of 415% and holding company liquidity of
$1.7B
3
2024 KEY MESSAGES
- Core business earnings power strong, generating significant cashflow
- Well-positionedwith financial flexibility to win in the market
- Leverage our enhanced capabilities to drive top-line growth
- Inflection point for free-cash flow generation post PDR
- Strengthened long-term care position and no contributions
4
4Q & FY2023 RESULTS
|
Segment Earnings1 |
4Q-23 |
FY23 |
|
Group Disability |
|
|
|
Group Life and AD&D |
68.0 |
211.7 |
|
Supplemental & Voluntary |
122.0 |
516.1 |
|
Unum US |
342.1 |
1,355.5 |
|
|
39.4 |
158.1 |
|
Colonial Life |
87.8 |
400.1 |
|
Core Operations |
469.3 |
1,913.7 |
|
Closed Block |
21.3 |
164.9 |
|
Corporate |
(36.5) |
(146.4) |
|
|
|
|
4Q-23 /FY-23
Adjusted Operating EPS
4Q-23 /FY-23
Statutory Earnings2
12.0% / 13.4%
4Q-23 /FY-23
Core Operations - Sales Growth3
6.1% / 5.2%
4Q-23 /FY-23
Core Operations - Premium Growth3
|
1. Before-tax adjusted operating earnings | 2. Statutory after-tax net gain from operations | 3. Constant currency basis |
5 |
Financial Outlook & Capital Plan
6
KEY MESSAGES
Favorable underlying business trends experienced in 2023 expected to continue in 2024; strong earnings growth and capital generation paired with zero LTC contributions drive inflection point in free cash flow
FINANCIAL OUTLOOK
- Core operations premium growth remains in long-term expected range supported by strong sales
- Earnings continue to grow after two years of substantial growth
- High single-digit EPS1 growth in 2024 building off of 23% growth in 20232
CAPITAL PLAN
- Robust free cash flow generation following our accelerated PDR recognition
- Increasing capital deployment to shareholders with
$500M share repurchase pace and anticipated 10-15% increase in dividend - 2024 year-end capital metrics building and well above targets
|
1After-tax adjusted operating earnings per share | 2. Compared to historically reported 2022 |
7 |
2024 CORE SEGMENT OUTLOOK
|
Sales |
Premium |
|
|
Growth |
Growth |
|
|
Unum US |
5-10% |
5-7% |
|
Unum International1 |
8-12% |
10-15% |
|
Colonial Life |
5-10% |
2-4% |
|
Core Operations1 |
7-10% |
5-7% |
Outlook for consolidated retuon equity of 12-14% supported by our strong core businesses earnings high teens and above ROEs
|
1. Constant currency basis |
8 |
OUTLOOK AND LONG-TERM GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
|
2023 |
2024 |
Long-term |
|
|
Actual |
Outlook |
Expectation |
|
|
Core Operations Sales1 |
13.4% |
7-10% |
8-12% |
|
Core Operations Premium1 |
5.2% |
5-7% |
4-7% |
|
Consolidated After-tax Adjusted Operating Earnings2 |
20.7% |
3-5% |
4-7% |
|
Adj. Operating Earnings Per Share2 |
23.3% |
7-9% |
8-10% |
|
1. Constant currency basis| 2. 2024 outlook represents growth rate over 2023 results; 2023 represents growth over historically reported 2022 |
9 |
2024 EXPECTED FREE CASH FLOW GENERATION OF
Capital Generation
|
2024 |
|
|
Outlook |
|
|
US Statutory Earnings1 |
|
|
International Dividends |
|
|
Service Agreements |
|
|
Capital Generation |
|
Expected Usage
|
2024 |
Long-Term |
|
|
Outlook |
||
|
Interest Expense2 |
|
Consistent |
|
Dividends |
|
10-15% Increases |
|
Share Repurchases |
|
Dynamic |
|
1. Net gain from operations, after-tax. | 2. Non-discretionary, subject to debt management |
10 |
Attachments
Disclaimer



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