slides q4 2023
Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2023
Financial & Operating Results
Caution regarding forward-looking statements
From time to time, Manulife makes written and/or oral forward-looking statements, including in this presentation. In addition, our representatives may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts, investors, the media and others. All such statements are made pursuant to the "safe harbour" provisions of Canadian provincial securities laws and the
The forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to, statements with respect to the closing of the reinsurance transaction in respect of certain legacy blocks and the associated capital release, possible share buybacks under our normal course issuer bid, the 2024 pro forma capital retuto shareholders, the Company's strategic priorities and targets for its highest potential businesses, net promoter score, straight-through-processing, ongoing expense efficiency, portfolio optimization, employee engagement, expected long-term returns on alternative long-duration assets (ALDA), its medium-term financial and operating targets and also relate to, among other things, our objectives, goals, strategies, intentions, plans, beliefs, expectations and estimates, and can generally be identified by the use of words such as "may", "will", "could", "should", "would", "likely", "suspect", "outlook", "expect", "intend", "estimate", "anticipate", "believe", "plan", "forecast", "objective", "seek", "aim", "continue", "goal", "restore", "embark" and "endeavour" (or the negative thereof) and words and expressions of similar import, and include statements concerning possible or assumed future results. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, such statements involve risks and uncertainties, and undue reliance should not be placed on such statements and they should not be interpreted as confirming market or analysts' expectations in any way.
Certain material factors or assumptions are applied in making forward-looking statements and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in such statements. Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations include but are not limited to: general business and economic conditions (including but not limited to the performance, volatility and correlation of equity markets, interest rates, credit and swap spreads, inflation rates, currency rates, investment losses and defaults, market liquidity and creditworthiness of guarantors, reinsurers and counterparties); the ongoing prevalence of COVID-19, including any variants, as well as actions that have been, or may be taken by governmental authorities in response to COVID-19, including the impact of any variants; changes in laws and regulations; changes in accounting standards applicable in any of the territories in which we operate; changes in regulatory capital requirements; our ability to obtain premium rate increases on in-force policies; our ability to execute strategic plans and changes to strategic plans; downgrades in our financial strength or credit ratings; our ability to maintain our reputation; impairments of goodwill or intangible assets or the establishment of provisions against future tax assets; the amount of contractual service margin recognized for service provided; the accuracy of estimates relating to morbidity, mortality and policyholder behaviour; the accuracy of other estimates used in applying accounting policies, actuarial methods and embedded value methods; our ability to implement effective hedging strategies and unforeseen consequences arising from such strategies; our ability to source appropriate assets to back our long-dated liabilities; level of competition and
consolidation; our ability to market and distribute products through current and future distribution channels; unforeseen liabilities or asset impairments arising from acquisitions and dispositions of businesses; the realization of losses arising from the sale of investments classified as fair value through other comprehensive income; our liquidity, including the availability of financing to satisfy existing financial liabilities on expected maturity dates when required; obligations to pledge additional collateral; the availability of letters of credit to provide capital management flexibility; accuracy of information received from counterparties and the ability of counterparties to meet their obligations; the availability, affordability and adequacy of reinsurance; legal and regulatory proceedings, including tax audits, tax litigation or similar proceedings; our ability to adapt products and services to the changing market; our ability to attract and retain key executives, employees and agents; the appropriate use and interpretation of complex models or deficiencies in models used; political, legal, operational and other risks associated with our non-North American operations; geopolitical uncertainty, including international conflicts, acquisitions or divestitures, and our ability to complete transactions; environmental concerns, including climate change; our ability to protect our intellectual property and exposure to claims of infringement; and our inability to withdraw cash from subsidiaries; the fact that the amount and timing of any future common share repurchases will depend on the earnings, cash requirements and financial condition of Manulife, market conditions, capital requirements (including under LICAT capital standards), common share issuance requirements, applicable law and regulations (including Canadian and
Additional information about material risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations and about material factors or assumptions applied in making forward-looking statements may be found in our in our 2023 Management's Discussion and Analysis under "Risk Management and Risk Factors" and "Critical Actuarial and Accounting Policies", and in the "Risk Management" note to the Consolidated Financial Statements in our most recent annual and interim reports and elsewhere in our filings with Canadian and
The forward-looking statements in this presentation are, unless otherwise indicated, stated as of the date hereof and are presented for the purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding our financial position and results of operations, our future operations, as well as our objectives and strategic priorities, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.
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Conference call participants
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President & Chief Executive Officer. |
President & CEO, Global Wealth and Asset Management |
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Global Head of Inforce Management |
Chief Financial Officer |
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Chief Actuary |
President & CEO, |
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Chief Investment Officer |
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President & CEO, |
President & CEO, Manulife Asia |
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Agenda
Overview and strategic update
Financial and operating results
Question & Answer session
4
Overview and strategic update
President & Chief Executive Officer
5
Drove growth across our global franchise in 2023
Growth
Profitability
Balance
Sheet
APE sales1
$6.4B▲12%
New business CSM1,2
$2.2B▲12%
Core EPS1,3
EPS1,3
Book value per share
Financial leverage ratio3
24.3%▼0.8 pps
New business value ("NBV")1
$2.3B▲10%
Global WAM net flows
Core ROE3
15.9%▲1.9 pps
ROE3
11.9%▲3.7 pps
Adjusted book value per share3
MLI's LICAT ratio4
137%▲6 pps
- Strongtopline growth with double-digit increase in APE sales, NBV, new business CSM, and positive Global WAM net flows
- Strongearnings growth with core EPS increase of 17%
- Core ROE expansionto 15.9%, achieving ourmedium-termtarget of 15%+
- Robust growth of 9% in adjusted book value per share
- Strong capital position and robust financial flexibility
6 Note: Growth and profitability figures reflect full year 2023 results and compared with full year 2022 transitional measures where applicable. Balance sheet figures reflect 4Q23 results compared with 4Q22 results. All footnotes are on slide 44.
2023 was a milestone year marked by strong execution
- Double-digit increase in earnings and significant expansion of core ROE
- Double-digitgrowth across all three new business metrics with a resurgence in
Asia growth - PositiveGlobal WAM net inflows in a challenging environment
- Agreement to acquire the multi-sector alternative credit manager, CQS1
- Generated strong remittances of
$5.5 billion and returned$4.3 billion of capital to shareholders - IncreasedSTP2to 85% and improved NPS3to 23
- Ranked in thetop quartile for employee engagement4 for the fourth consecutive year
- Smoothtransition to IFRS 17 and IFRS 9
- Announced the largest everLTC reinsurance deal5 and a new NCIB6 to repurchase up to ~2.8% of common shares
7 Note: See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" above. All footnotes are on slide 44.
Attractive deal multiples
Announced the largest ever LTC reinsurance deal
- Expected to close by the end of
February 2024 - Accretive to core EPS and core ROE
- Important step in establishing an active LTC reinsurance market
9.5x Core earnings multiple
Foregone core earnings
Risk
12% |
Reduction in |
LTC morbidity |
sensitivity
1.0x Book value multiple
Capital release
LTC reserves
14% Transacted LTC block's percentage of total LTC insurance contract net liabilities
8 Note: See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" above.
Further reshaped our business profile to generate shareholder value
- Growing our high-retubusinesses
- Reducing risk
- Improving our ROE
- Returning significant capital to shareholders
Core earnings from highest potential businesses1
60%▲6 pps
Core earnings contribution from LTC &
12%▼12 pps
Expense efficiency ratio3
45.5%▼9.9 pps
Core ROE3
15.9%▲4.6 pps
Core earnings from
37%▲1 pps
STP2
85%▲17 pps
Cumulative capital returned to shareholders (2018-2023)
$18.9B
Dividend per common share CAGR (2017-2023)
10%
9 Note: All variances except for the change in STP are relative to 2017 results under IFRS 4. The change in STP is relative to 2018 results. All footnotes are on slide 44.
Financial and operating results
Chief Financial Officer
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Attachments
Disclaimer
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