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November 1, 2023 Newswires
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Q3 2023 Earnings Call Presentation

U.S. Markets (Alternative Disclosure) via PUBT

The Allstate Corporation

Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Presentation

11.02.2023

Forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial information

This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information. This presentation also contains non- GAAP measures that are denoted with an asterisk. You can find the reconciliation of those measures to GAAP measures within our most recent earnings release, investor supplement or on our website, www.allstateinvestors.com, under the "Financials" link.

Additional information on factors that could cause results to differ materially from this presentation is available in the 2022 Form 10-K, Form 10-Q for September 30, 2023, our most recent earnings release, and at the end of these slides. These materials are available on our website, www.allstateinvestors.com, under the "Financials" link.

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 1

Allstate's Strategy To Create Shareholder Value

Increase Personal

Property-Liability Market Share

Leveraging Allstate brand,

customer base and capabilities

Expand Protection

Services

Third quarter 2023 highlights

  • Progress on auto insurance profit improvement plan
  • Pursuing divestiture of Health and Benefits businesses
  • Advancing Transformative Growth initiative
  • Expanding Allstate Protection Plans

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 2

Allstate Remains Focused on Improving Profitability

Revenues increased 9.8%, or $1.3 billion, due to higher Property-

Liability earned premiums from 2022 and 2023 rate increases

Three months ended

Nine months ended

September 30,

September 30,

($ in millions, except per share data and ratios)

2023

2022

Change

2023

2022

Change

Total revenues

$14,497

$13,208

9.8%

$42,262

$37,763

11.9%

Property-Liability insurance premiums

12,270

11,157

10.0%

35,826

32,529

10.1%

Accident and health insurance premiums and contract charges

463

463

0.0%

1,379

1,396

(1.2)%

Net investment income

689

690

(0.1)%

1,874

1,846

1.5%

Net gains (losses) on investments and derivatives

(86)

(167)

(48.5)%

(223)

(1,167)

(80.9)%

Income applicable to common shareholders:

Extended duration of fixed

Net income (loss)

(41)

(685)

(94.0)%

(1,776)

(1,091)

62.8%

income portfolio

Adjusted net income (loss)*

214

(411)

NM

(1,290)

112

NM

Per diluted common share(1)

Net income (loss)

(0.16)

(2.55)

(93.7)%

(6.76)

(3.99)

69.4%

Adjusted net income (loss)*

0.81

(1.53)

NM

(4.91)

0.40

NM

Retuon Allstate common shareholders' equity (trailing twelve months)

Net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders

(14.7)%

(1.5)% (13.2) pts

Adjusted net income (loss)*

Reflects improved underwriting performance

(9.7)%

4.4% (14.1) pts

NM = Not meaningful

  1. In periods where a net loss or adjusted net loss is reported, weighted average shares for basic earnings per share is used for calculating diluted earnings per share because all dilutive potential common shares are anti-dilutive and are therefore excluded from the calculation.

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 3

Executing Comprehensive Approach to Restore Auto Margins

Auto insurance profit improvement will be driven by:

Progress:

• Allstate brand implemented rate increases of 16.9% in 2022

•

Pursuing rate actions

and 9.5% through first nine months of 2023

Rate

• National General implemented rate increases of 10.0% in

Increases

•

Pricing expertise and sophistication

2022 and 8.8% through first nine months of 2023

• Continuing to pursue rate increases

• Property-Liability underwriting expense ratio decreased

1.4 points compared to the prior year quarter

• Improving efficiencies and ongoing outsourcing initiatives

Expense

•

Reducing expenses as part of

resulted in $74 million restructuring expense in third quarter

Transformative Growth

Reductions

• Temporarily reduced advertising spend to reduce new

business volume

•Future cost reductions from digitization, sourcing and

distribution will continue to favorably impact cost structure

•Restricting new business in profit-challenged segments and

Underwriting

•

Implemented stricter auto new

locations

business underwriting requirements

Actions

• Selectively removing restrictions in states and segments that

are achieving target margins

• Modifying claims processes

Claims

•

Enhancing claims practices to

• Accelerating resolution of bodily injury claims

Excellence

manage loss costs

• Increasing in-person inspections

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 4

Allstate's Industry-Leading Returns in Auto Insurance

Allstate's capabilities and business model have resulted in an auto insurance combined ratio of ~96.5 over the last 10 years (2013-2022)(1)

  • Generated average underwriting income of ~$800 million annually from 2013-2022(1)
  • Allstate auto insurance combined ratio approximately 5.5 points better than industry average, or $1.3 billion of incremental profit annually
  • Competitors Progressive, GEICO and Travelers are the only other top ten carriers to generate underwriting profit over this period(1)

Current competitive environment supports execution of profit improvement plan

  • Auto claim severities have increased significantly for major competitors and the overall industry
  • Allstate and the industry have significantly raised auto insurance rates since 2019
  • Expense reductions occurring broadly across the industry, including lower advertising
  • The impact of actions on policies in force dependent on degree of individual company profit and growth strategies
  1. Allstate combined ratio and underwriting income represents Allstate Protection auto GAAP results for 2013-2022 with impact of pension restatements excluded prior to 2016. Industry information represents U.S. statutory results per S&P Global Market Intelligence from 2013-2022

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 5

Pursuing Health and Benefits Divestiture

Rationale

  • Combining Allstate and National General businesses was integral to National General acquisition plan. Successful integration positions business for additional growth
  • Divestiture is being pursued since substantial value can be realized when aligned with a broader set of complementary businesses and product offerings

Health and Benefits Overview

  • Allstate Health and Benefits operates three successful businesses protecting people from financial uncertainty due to illness, injury, or loss of life:
    • Preeminentvoluntary benefits provider with a comprehensive product offering with annualized premiums and contract charges of $1.0 billion and $300+ million of new sales
    • Group health provider in the small case size market with $700+ million of premiums and fee revenue and $400+ million in new sales
    • Individual health products with broad distribution of both underwritten and third-party products
  • Consistent profitable growth with revenues(1) of $2.3 billion and adjusted net income (2) of $240 million for the trailing twelve months

Financial Profile

Competitive Landscape

Revenues(1)

Adjusted Net Income(2)

Employer

Group

Individual

$2.3B

$240M

Voluntary Benefits

Health

Health

79

34

Primary Competitors

Employer Voluntary Benefits

431

Group Health

•

MetLife

•

United Healthcare

•

United Healthcare

1,009(3)

Individual Health

100

•

Aflac

•

Elevance

•

Humana

(3)

Fees and Other Revenue

378

Net Investment Income

106

•

Voya

•

Aetna

•

Elevance

428(3)

4.3% of Total Corporate

Other Market Participants

Revenues

Competitive

•

Hartford

•

Blue Cross'

•

Integrity Marketing

Landscape

•

Sun Life

organizations

•

Mutual of Omaha

• Employer Voluntary Benefits and Group Health - 48,000 relationships

• 4.3 million policies in force as of September 2023

•

Pareto Health

  • Employer Voluntary Benefits: 3.7 million
  • Group Health: 134 thousand
  • Individual Health: 412 thousand
  1. Revenues exclude the impact of net gains and losses on investments and derivatives

(2)

2022 periods have been recast to reflect the impact of the adoption of the FASB guidance revising the accounting for certain long-duration insurance contracts

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 6

(3)

Reflects premiums and contract charges

Transformative Growth Implementation Progressing

Multi-year initiative to build a low-cost digital insurer with broad distribution

  • Improve customer value with affordable, simple and connected protection
  • Expand customer access through exclusive agents, independent agents and direct channel

•

Increase sophistication and investment in customer acquisition

Relaunched Allstate

•

Deploy new technology ecosystems

mobile app with increased

connectivity

•

Enhance organizational capabilities

Three pre-packaged

affordable, simple options

Phase 1:

Phase 2:

Conceptual

Enhance

design

existing model

Phase 3:

Phase 4:

Build new

Scale new

model

model

Phase 5:

Retire legacy technology

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 7

Property-Liability Earned Premium Increases and Expense Reductions Improve Margins

Earned premium increase driven by higher auto and homeowners rates, partially offset by a decline in policies in force

Unfavorable prior year reserve reestimates of $166 million, with $84 million related to Allstate Protection, driven by National General auto, and $82 million primarily attributable to Run-offProperty-Liability annual reserve review

Property-Liability statistics

Property-Liability combined ratio components

($ in millions)

Premiums Earned

Policies in Force (in thousands) Catastrophe Losses Underwriting Income (Loss)

(% to premiums earned) Loss Ratio

Three months ended

Nine months ended

September 30, 2023

September 30, 2023

2023

Var to PY

2023

Var to PY

(%/$)

(%/$)

12,270

10.0%

35,826

10.1%

37,853

(2.0)%

-

-

1,181

418

5,568

3,235

(414)

878

(3,509)

(1,633)

82.2 (6.8) pts

88.9

6.3 pts

93.2 92.0

8.7 7.3

-0.8

85.3 85.0

95.9

87.6 8.3

0.1 -0.47.9

0.1 86.2

79.4 0.2

117.6

106.6

108.6

22.6

103.4

7.1

14.5

0.5

9.6

3.9

0.5

0.5

0.5

0.3

1.6

1.4

0.6

0.8 95.1

93.3

92.9

91.9

Expense Ratio

Combined Ratio Catastrophe Loss Ratio

Underlying Combined Ratio*

21.2

(1.4) pts

20.9

(2.3) pts

103.4

(8.2) pts

109.8

4.0 pts

9.6

2.8 pts

15.5

8.3 pts

91.9

(4.5) pts

92.7

(0.9) pts

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023

(1)

(1)

Underlying combined ratio* PYRR

APIA Catastrophe losses

Underlying combined ratio* improvement versus 2022 reflects

higher average premium and lower expenses

(1) Reflects combined ratio impact of non-catastrophe prior year reserve reestimates (PYRR) and amortization of purchased intangibles (APIA)

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 8

Auto Insurance Premium Growth Outpacing Underlying Costs

Underlying combined ratio sequentially improving, driven by higher average premium and expense efficiencies along with lower estimated Allstate brand weighted average severity in the third quarter

3 large states generating underwriting losses added approximately 5 points to the 2023 YTD underlying combined ratio

Allstate Protection auto underlying combined ratio* - 2022 quarterly results(1) versus 2023 results(2) adjusted for current year severity

103.2

104.2

103.2

103.9

101.3

101.7

100.5

Q1 2022 Q2 2022 Q3 2022 Q4 2022 Q1 2023 Q2 2023 Q3 2023

Underlying Combined

98.8

102.1

104.0

109.2

102.6

102.2

98.8

Ratio* - as reported

2022 Underlying combined ratio* (at full year average severity level) (1) 2023 Underlying combined ratio* (at Q3 average severity level)(2)

Allstate brand auto countrywide premium distribution by underlying combined ratio* segment(3)

Q3 YTD 2023 underlying combined ratio*(3)

CA, NY, NJ

119.6

Total x CA, NY, NJ

97.2

100%

12%

12%

90%

35%

>100

80%

41%

70%

47%

71%

60%

50%

88%

100%

28%

96-100

40%

65%

30%

41%

20%

21%

31%

<96

10%

8%

0%

2015-2016

2017-2019

2020

2021

2022

2023 YTD

  1. Adjusts 2022 quarterly underlying combined ratios* to reflect full year average current report year ultimate severities
  2. Adjusts 2023 quarterly underlying combined ratios* to reflect Q3 average current report year ultimate severities

(3) Reflects 50 U.S. states plus District of Columbia for Allstate brand auto, excluding Esurance and Canada

The Allstate Corporation 2023

PAGE 9

Attachments

  • Original Link
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  • Permalink

Disclaimer

The Allstate Corporation published this content on 01 November 2023 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 01 November 2023 22:42:43 UTC.

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