Newsom, Villaraigosa Lead Governor’s Race–Many Are Undecided
Six months before the gubernatorial primary, Democrats
These are among the key findings of a survey released today by the
With about a third of likely voters (30 percent) undecided, 23 percentwould vote for Newsom, the state's lieutenant governor, and 18 percentwould vote for Villaraigosa, former
About half of likely voters (48 percent) are satisfied with their choice of candidates in the primary (31 percent not satisfied, 22 percent don't know).
Before being asked about their primary preferences, likely voters were asked to give their impressions of six gubernatorial candidates. More than a quarter of likely voters have favorable opinions of Newsom (39 percent), Villaraigosa (31 percent), and Chiang (27 percent). Fewer have favorable opinions of Eastin (12 percent), Allen (10 percent), and Cox (10 percent). Notably, majorities of likely voters say they have not heard of Eastin, Allen, and Cox. More than half of Republican likely voters say they have never heard of Republican candidates Allen and Cox.
Feinstein Leads across Regions and Racial/Ethnic Groups
Feinstein--who is seeking her fifth full
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Among
Half of likely voters (51 percent) have a favorable view of Feinstein and 39 percenthave an unfavorable opinion. Half (48 percent) have not heard of de LeAln, while 17 percentsay they have a favorable opinion of him and 19 percentan unfavorable one (17 percent unsure).
New Ideas or Experience? Voters Split over Which Is More Important
Asked about the attributes that are important in a candidate for statewide office, about half of likely voters (48 percent) prefer new ideas and a different approach, while 42 percentprefer experience and a proven record. Most
Is it more important that candidates for statewide office work with the Trump administration or push back against it? Half of likely voters (51 percent) prefer that candidates push back, while 41 percentprefer that candidates work with the administration.
Californians will vote on a state affordable housing bond in November. Many other measures may also qualify for the ballot. The survey asked about the importance of four potential issues:
* Single-payer health insurance. Most likely voters (59 percent) say the issue of single-payer health insurance is very important to them. Majorities across parties concur.
* Repealing the recently enacted gas tax. A majority (54 percent) say repeal is very important to them. Republican likely voters (85 percent) are far more likely than independent (46 percent) or Democratic (36 percent) likely voters to express this view.
* State bond for affordable housing. About half of likely voters (48 percent) say a state bond for affordable housing is very important to them. Democratic likely voters (58 percent) are more likely than independent (42 percent) and Republican (37 percent) likely voters to say so.
* Expanding the size of the legislature. Just 18 percentof likely voters consider expanding the size of the legislature to be very important.
"Ballot initiatives could affect partisan turnout in statewide and legislative races in the
A Solid Majority Likes the Top-Two Primary
Five years after it was first used in
More Optimism about the State than about the Nation
About half of Californians (53 percent all adults, 49 percent likely voters) say that things in the state are generally going in the right direction. Far fewer (29 percent adults, 27 percent likely voters) say that things in the US are going in the right direction.
These views are reflected in Californians' evaluation of their elected leaders at the state and national levels. Slim majorities approve of the way Governor
Congressional Tax Proposals Unpopular with Californians
Majorities of Californians (58 percent adults, 62 percent likely voter) oppose congressional
Asked about the impact of the tax reform proposals on them and their families, 39 percentof adults and 41 percentof likely voters say they expect to be worse off. About a third (35 percent adults, 33 percent likely voters) expect to be about the same. Fewer (16 percent adults, 20 percent likely voters) expect to be better off.
Would lowering taxes for large businesses and corporations help the economy? Only about a third (29 percent adults, 35 percent likely voters) say yes. They are more likely to say it would hurt the economy (44 percent adults, 41 percent likely voters). Fewer (22 percent adults, 20 percent likely voters) say it would make no difference.
"Most Californians oppose the tax reform proposals from the
Just 35 percentof adults and 27 percentof likely voters favor the elimination of deductions for state and local income taxes and sales taxes. Fewer than half of Californians across parties, regions, and demographic groups favor this proposal. However, nearly half of Californians (49 percent adults, 45 percent likely voters) favor limiting the home mortgage interest deduction to the first
Strong Support for Letting Undocumented Immigrants Stay
An overwhelming majority of Californians (86 percent) say there should be a way for undocumented immigrants to stay in the US legally if certain requirements are met. Strong majorities across parties express this view. Nearly half of Californians say they worry a lot (28 percent) or some (20 percent) that someone they know could be deported. Notably, 57 percentof Latinos and 48 percentof residents born outside the US say they worry a lot.
Consensus among Partisans: A Third Major Party Needed
A year after the contentious national election, about half of Californians (48 percent) have a favorable impression of the Democratic Party and a quarter (26 percent) view the
About the Survey
This
The sampling error, taking design effects from weighting into consideration, is Aa3.4 percentfor all adults, Aa3.9 percentfor the 1,391 registered voters, and Aa4.3 percentfor the 1,070 likely voters. For more information on methodology, see page 21.
The
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