How one state's 'fair and reasonable' reforms allow car insurers to charge more in Black neighborhoods
Alana, a retired preschool teacher on a fixed income, gave up driving because of how expensive it was to insure her car. Insurance, she recalled, cost more than her monthly auto payments. "I've turned down at least three good-paying jobs because I couldn't get there," she said. "I was so hurt. I went into a deep depression after that."
If Alana, a
She is one of three Black women who joined a call with an insurance agent working with The Markup and Outlier Media. The agent compared the auto insurance quotes each person would receive using their current
In 2019,
Four years after the reform went into effect, an analysis by The Markup and Outlier Media shows critics' concerns to be largely justified. Loopholes in the legislation continue to allow insurers to make location play an outsize role in what Michiganders pay—with the state's Black population, especially those in
"When you're paying [thousands of dollars] more than someone [a few] minutes away from you, when you don't have a different driving record, when you're not doing anything crazy, that is egregious," Michelle, another panelist, said after seeing how her rates would drop by more than
"Oh, I feel some type of way," exclaimed Tonya, whose price dropped by nearly
"This is crazy," agreed Michelle. "People have explained, 'Oh, your rate is high because your car is financed.' … People act like it's in people's imaginations when we say, 'No, really, in
The Reform Let Companies Circumvent Every Ban
Despite its restriction against pricing by "postal zone," the law contained a crucial loophole: "Automobile insurance risks may be grouped by territory." Those territories couldn't be literal zip codes but could take any other shape, from census tracts to custom boundaries.
The law prohibited "redlining" but defined the practice as refusing to offer insurance to customers based on location. Prior to the reform,
"[I] believe that the language was written in such a way to actually make territorial rating worse and more discriminatory," charged
"Advocates and civil rights activists, over the years, have always used zip code as a metaphor for discriminatory territorial pricing, but it wasn't meant to be a literal critique," Heller said. "The critique was about the discriminatory use of territory." In addition to banning the use of zip codes, the bill also (at least superficially) banned insurers from using sex, marital status, homeownership, educational level attained, occupation, and credit score to set prices.
"For years, auto insurance companies in
However, The Markup and Outlier's investigation found that the reform allowed insurance companies legal ways to, in some fashion, circumvent every prohibition it instituted on assessing customers using these protected characteristics. These easily exploitable loopholes allowed insurers to charge some of the highest prices in the country to people living in
The Rating Factors Tell All
Reviewing over 52,000 pages of rate filings, in which insurers detail how they set premiums for each policyholder, we examined the pricing structures of the seven auto insurance companies responsible for the most personal auto business in
We manually cataloged hundreds of rating factors to identify how each insurer's pricing algorithm took into account a policyholder's location. We calculated a premium rate based solely on location-based factors for each insurer, then compared these rates to each other to weigh how much more or less someone would pay based on where they lived in the state. Our method of isolating the effect of location does not allow us to calculate the final dollar amount drivers saw on their insurance bill. We could, however, use insurers' rating factors to tell us approximately how someone's home address, excluding all other factors, impacted their final insurance premium relative to all other parts of the state.
What Alana, Tonya, and Michelle experienced wasn't a fluke. Our analysis showed that for every single one of the state's largest insurers that we were able to evaluate, most Black Michiganders' premiums were dramatically adjusted upward based on where they lived. Averaging across those insurers, nearly two-thirds of Black Michigan residents lived in each company's most expensive 20 percent of the state.
In addition to race, we had enough data for three insurance companies to look at income. Despite finding a clear upcharge for drivers living in Black neighborhoods, we did not find a universally clear pattern for drivers living in poorer neighborhoods. While
Prior to publication, we reached out for comment to all seven of the insurance companies whose pricing systems we investigated. The insurers, by and large, ignored our specific questions about rate-setting practices and defended the prices they charged as reflecting the divergent costs associated with insuring drivers from one region to another.
"We believe our pricing accurately reflects the various risks associated with insuring vehicles in different parts of the state,"
"We do not utilize, collect or consider information related to an individual's race in underwriting, premium determination or claims settlement practices," Liberty Mutual spokesperson
Representatives from both Progressive and Citizens directed us to
Our investigation is based on a "disparate impact" analysis, meaning we exclusively tested whether the algorithms and policies used by insurance companies resulted in pricing that consistently charged more to predominantly Black areas regardless of whether the racial disparity was intentional. Under the current regulatory system, these rates are all considered to be acceptable, legal practices. Although we did not observe in the documents that we reviewed any references to the racial makeup of an area directly affecting elements in how prices were set, the system has left Black residents of
In
Insurers also told us that population density plays a large role. "Urban areas have a greater population density, along with congested roads and highways," said Woodland, the
Disparity in Black and White
However, even inside insurers' most densely populated territories, Black residents disproportionately experienced the highest location-related adjustments. If population density played such a central role in how much insurers charge, we should have seen racial disparities disappear within the state's most densely populated areas. Instead, for every insurer in our analysis, the differences remained.
For example, over 608,000 Black Michiganders and 1 million white Michiganders lived in
Carving Up the State
The Markup
"We are already struggling. I'm a single mother only making
"It's probably because of the zip code, honestly," she added, noting that if she had told an insurance company that her address was in a richer, more white suburb, she likely could have gotten a quote she could actually afford. "It's privilege, and it's not fair."
While carving up the state by zip code was technically banned under the 2019 law, carving up the state using geography was not, and multiple insurers switched to using even more fine-grained methods. Even so, we identified at least one insurer, Allstate, that created territories closely aligned with zip code tabulation areas (ZCTAs), an aggregation of zip codes by the
For the five insurers whose rating plans we were able to analyze, a majority of Black Michiganders lived in areas with the highest location-related adjustments in the state. In other words, they were penalized the most for their location. In all cases, the areas with the highest adjustments included
Following the reform, most insurers we examined shifted how they divided up
Auto-Owners and Progressive used zip codes before the reform and moved to custom maps after. However, because the maps were so customized, we could not match them accurately to census data, so we did not do a disparate impact analysis on these two insurance companies.
When Allstate introduced its grid-based rating system in 2020, the company filed documents highlighting the differences from its old zip code–based map. Since no zip code perfectly matched the squares on Allstate's grid, the company could claim it had stopped using zip codes, as the law required. However, when we identified the territory borders across which there were major adjustment differences, 84 percent lined up with ZCTA boundaries. Only 55 percent were along census tract lines.
Drawing the Dividing Lines
The Markup
The pricing systems of
For the other three insurers we analyzed—Allstate, Liberty Mutual, and State Farm—we did not find conclusive evidence of correlation, or lack thereof, between race and location adjustments. To look for correlation, we used a statistical test that, while the most appropriate for our data, isn't particularly sensitive to outliers, like how
These location-based adjustments could be significant. Allstate's Drivewise program directly tracks participants' behavior, like speeding or using a smartphone while driving, adjusting premiums accordingly. If Drivewise identified someone as an especially terrible driver, at most, it can raise their rate by 40 percent—the same relative increase a policyholder would experience, on average, moving from a predominantly white area to a predominantly Black one.
For the two insurers we had enough data on to make the comparison, Allstate and Liberty Mutual, the percentage of the state's Black population living in the most expensive locations grew slightly larger following the reform. A larger portion of white Michiganders also lived in the most expensive locations post-reform, but a much bigger share of Black residents still lived where car insurance costs were the highest. Rates became more equitable across racial lines, but not because the share of Black residents living in the most expensive areas shrunk.
A crucial dividing line separating high adjustments from dramatically lower ones was
"If I move across 8 Mile, I guarantee my insurance will drop," said
"I love the city of
Steep drops were common when crossing out of
About seven years ago, Jacob Glide moved from
Liberty Mutual was the only insurer to lump
Compare
Even excluding
For example, in southwestern
"They're fundamentally connected, one flows from the other," she said. "It's not as blatant, but it's still all rooted in the same set of expectations that the less white, the less middle-class the community is, the less value it has, and therefore the more risk there is in that neighborhood. And therefore you get to charge those people more money."
Judging the Risks
Insurers justify a policyholder's prices on how much it has historically cost to cover similar customers. Drivers with histories of at-fault collisions may continue to put themselves at risk, so insurers make them pay more. Customers who also have a life or boat policy with the company can be cheaper to insure because bundling different policies can reduce administrative costs.
The litany of different policyholder characteristics is a primary reason many insurance company websites can only provide quotes for the addresses where someone actually lives, according to
"[Setting someone's price] is a complicated task and takes a lot of resources," Swanson explained in an email. "Companies won't want to use all those resources unless it's going specifically to the person/location it is actually going to be used for."
Each state imposes its own rules limiting which customer characteristics insurers can evaluate, and how those characteristics can be deployed to set prices. We based our analysis only on rate filings reviewed and approved by
Since we conducted a disparate impact analysis, our investigation did not examine how much insurers have had to pay out relative to the prices they're charging. When we shared with insurance companies our analysis of their pricing systems, some of them criticized our methods for solely looking at location adjustments without also examining the costs companies incurred covering claims in different parts of the state.
Allstate communications manager
In a 2017 ProPublica investigation, journalists (who went on to co-found The Markup) compared data about how much it costs, on average, to insure vehicles against premiums charged to customers across
Even so, a newly released report by the
"There's definitely what the law intended. And what we've got is something very different," said
How Insurers Are Exploiting Legislators' Loopholes
Years after the reform law went into effect, Progressive's motorcycle insurance in
Of the seven insurers whose motorcycle plans we examined, four exploited this loophole, including by using rating factors prohibited for autos, like homeownership and marital status. Single people tended to be charged more than married people, as did non-homeowners.
"Discrimination against working-class people shouldn't be acceptable if they happen to ride motorcycles," Heller said.
The reform bill didn't just leave open a loophole big enough to drive a motorcycle through; it also allowed insurers to circumvent many other pricing prohibitions.
For example, the reform bill blocked credit scores but allowed insurers to use insurance scores. Frequently sold by the same companies, insurance scores are developed with a subset of the financial history information used to calculate credit scores, prioritizing things like someone's history of making timely debt payments.
A 2023
Looking at rate filings from the companies we analyzed from the years prior to the reform, we did not find any using credit scores to set rates. The ban on credit scores prohibited a practice not actually in use by insurers covering 83 percent of
"Ban credit scores and they use 'insurance scores' from the same companies. Ban zip codes and they come up with even more precise location discrimination," said Rep.
In 2019, Tlaib introduced federal legislation that would have prohibited credit reporting agencies from providing consumer data to auto insurance companies. The bill never made it out of committee; however, earlier this month, Tlaib introduced another bill to help low-income families deal with high insurance payments by factoring how much they pay for insurance into government benefit calculations.
While
Bait and Switch
The 2019 reform wasn't just about regulating what contentious characteristics insurers could use to set prices. It also aimed to lower premiums across the board by offering drivers cheaper policies that would also be cheaper for companies.
The legislation's highest-profile changes eliminated requirements that all drivers purchase insurance covering the cost of all injuries and damages to the vehicle resulting from an accident, regardless of the total cost of damages and regardless of who was at fault. For multiple reasons, including the fact that auto insurers don't have the same negotiated discounts with medical providers as health insurers, that led to costly claims for insurers.
In some respects, the reform did exactly what it promised: Rates across the state quickly fell by almost 20 percent. According to the
In other ways, the problem has remained gridlocked. Drivers still, by and large, pay the highest prices in the country. Despite sky-high rates in
Nothaft, a co-author of that report, said she's subsequently seen the prices
Lawmakers even attempted to close these loopholes during the debate surrounding the bill's passage.
State Rep.
"I still have hope, before this day ends, that somebody will say, 'Give them some crumbs,'" said Robinson, who died the following year at age 44 from complications related to COVID-19.
The
Alana, the former preschool teacher who gave up driving due to insurance costs, has a plan to get back behind the wheel.
She's finishing an online master's degree in professional writing, which she hopes will get her a job paying enough to afford a car. Lack of transportation forced her to turn down a series of other opportunities, so she needs this one to allow her to work remotely.
Car ownership is going to be expensive for Alana because
"I had to let [driving] go for a couple of years because it was stressing me out so bad," Alana said. "But I have no intention of giving up."
This article is co-reported with Outlier Media, a service journalism organization in
This story was produced by The Markup and reviewed and distributed by Stacker Media.
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