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February 9, 2024 Newswires
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Essent Group Ltd Q4 2023 Presentation

U.S. Markets (Alternative Disclosure) via PUBT

ESSENT GROUP LTD.

INVESTOR PRESENTATION 4Q23

NYSE: ESNT

February 9, 2024

Disclaimer

This presentation may include "forward-looking statements" which are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties, many of which may be beyond our control. Forward-looking statements generally can be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as "may," "will," "should," "expect," "plan," "anticipate," "believe," "estimate," "predict," or "potential" or the negative thereof or variations thereon or similar terminology. Actual events, results and outcomes may differ materially from our expectations due to a variety of known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors. Although it is not possible to identify all of these risks and factors, they include, among others, the following: changes in or to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the "GSEs"), whether through Federal legislation, restructurings or a shift in business practices; failure to continue to meet the mortgage insurer eligibility requirements of the GSEs; competition for customers; lenders or investors seeking alternatives to private mortgage insurance; deteriorating economic conditions (including inflation, rising interest rates and other adverse economic trends); the impact of COVID-19 and related economic conditions; an increase in the number of loans insured through Federal government mortgage insurance programs, including those offered by the Federal Housing Administration; decline in new insurance written and franchise value due to loss of a significant customer; decline in the volume of low down payment mortgage originations; the definition of "Qualified Mortgage" reducing the size of the mortgage origination market or creating incentives to use government mortgage insurance programs; the definition of "Qualified Residential Mortgage" reducing the number of low down payment loans or lenders and investors seeking alternatives to private mortgage insurance; the implementation of the Basel III Capital Accord discouraging the use of private mortgage insurance; a decrease in the length of time that insurance policies are in force; uncertainty of loss reserve estimates; our non-U.S. operations becoming subject to U.S. Federal income taxation; becoming considered a passive foreign investment company for U.S. Federal income tax purposes; and other risks and factors described in Part I, Item 1A "Risk Factors" of our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2022 filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 17, 2023, as subsequently updated through other reports we file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Any forward-looking information presented herein is made only as of the date of this presentation, and we do not undertake any obligation to update or revise any forward- looking information to reflect changes in assumptions, the occurrence of unanticipated events, or otherwise.

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 2

Essent Is A Leading Mortgage Insurer

Company Overview

  • Essent Group Ltd. is a Bermuda-based holding company that went public in 2013, and is traded on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: ESNT).
  • Two primary operating companies: Essent Guaranty, Inc. (Radnor, PA) and Essent Reinsurance Ltd. (Hamilton, Bermuda).
  • Serves the U.S. housing finance industry by offering private mortgage insurance, reinsurance, risk management products and title insurance and settlement services to support home ownership.
  • Transformed primary MI business model from "Buy and Hold" to "Buy, Manage & Distribute" through use of programmatic reinsurance.
  • Developed proprietary scoring engine EssentEDGE®, a cloud- based AI platform that we leverage in MI risk management and pricing.
  • Essent Guaranty, Inc. is rated A3 by Moody's, A (Excellent) by A.M.
    Best, and A- by S&P.

Recent Developments

  • In December, we closed our fifth XOL transaction, transferring $37M of limit on our 2023 NIW to a panel of reinsurers, effective January 1, 2024.
  • On January 8, 2024, S&P raised its long-term financial strength and issuer credit ratings on Essent Guaranty, Inc. and Essent
    Reinsurance Ltd. to 'A-' from 'BBB+', with a stable outlook.

1 The combined risk-to-capital ratio equals the net risk in force of Essent Guaranty, Inc. and Essent Guaranty of PA, Inc. divided by the combined statutory capital of these U.S. insurance companies.

3Q23

4Q23

Consolidated Financial Results

Net Income ($M)

$178.0

$175.4

Combined Ratio

31.7%

34.9%

Annualized ROE

14.9%

14.2%

Shareholders' Equity ($B)

$4.8

$5.1

U.S. Mortgage Insurance Portfolio

IIF ($B)

$238.7

$239.1

NIW ($B)

$12.5

$8.8

Portfolio Default Rate

1.62%

1.80%

PMIERs Sufficiency Ratio

174%

170%

% IIF With Reinsurance Protection

97%

93%

Risk-to-Capital Ratio(1)

10.3:1

10.2:1

Capital Distribution To Shareholders

  • In conjunction with our 4Q23 earnings release, we announced Board approval to increase the quarterly dividend to $0.28 per common share for 2024.
  • In 2023, we repurchased approximately 1.5 million common shares for $66 million.
  • In October 2023, the Board approved a share purchase plan that authorized the Company to repurchase $250 million of common shares in the open market between 2024 and 2025.

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 3

Delivering Shareholder Value

BOOK VALUE PER SHARE GROWTH

Annualized growth rate of 19.1% since December 31, 2013

$8.35

$10.33

$47.87

$41.44

$38.73

$34.36

$30.34

$24.11

$19.71

$14.43

$12.08

Dec-13

Dec-14

Dec-15

Dec-16

Dec-17

Dec-18

Dec-19

Dec-20

Dec-21

Dec-22

Dec-23

Strong Cash Flows

& Earnings

Programmatic

Reinsurance

Protection

Steadily Increasing

Dividends

Disciplined Capital

Management

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 4

Key Milestones in Essent's Evolution

Launch

of Essent

Guaranty

Essent obtains GSE approvals and writes first MI policy

IPO

Essent completes IPO; emerges as a key player in future of MI

Launch of

Essent Re

Essent Re completes first GSE risk share deal and reinsures Essent Guaranty

First CRT

Essent initiates its first credit- risk transfer program

EssentEDGE®

Essent launches proprietary innovative pricing platform

EssentEDGE® Next Generation

  1. cloud-basedAI pricing platform

Essent Title

Essent acquires title insurance operations

2010

2013

20142018

2019

2021

2023

2009

2024+

25+ years Experienced Management Team

Essent Advantage

Strong

Conservative

Highly

Efficient

Capital

Financial

Operating

Position

Leverage

Platform

Best in Class

Analytics &

Technologies

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 5

Industry Fundamentals

STABLE DEMAND OF FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYER POPULATION

MONTHS' SUPPLY OF HOUSING INVENTORY

Favorable demographic trends should continue to provide fundamental support to housing demand as the projected population of people in the average age range of a first-time homebuyer is forecasted to increase over the next 5+ years.

Total housing inventory remains low at approximately 3 months, driven by existing home inventory pressures from various macro trends (e.g. reductions in supply from

the "lock-in" effect of existing homeowners in low-rate mortgages).

Note: The months' supply is the ratio of houses for sale to houses sold.

PERSISTENCY vs. 30-YEAR MORTGAGE RATE

UNEMPLOYMENT RATE vs. DEFAULT RATE

Our annual persistency has historically had a positive correlation with the quarterly average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, with periods of higher mortgage rates translating to higher persistency.

The default rate for mortgage insurers tends to have a positive correlation with the U.S. unemployment rate, where periods of higher unemployment have typically been associated with periods of rising default rates on MI books.

Sources: National Association of Realtors, Federal Reserve Economic Data, Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Census Bureau.

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 6

Buy, Manage & Distribute Operating Model

EssentEDGE® Enables Rapid Execution

Strong Operating Results

of Targeted Pricing Strategies

➢ Last Twelve Months Operating Cash Flow of

➢

Lender utilization continues to increase

$763 million

➢ The latest generation of EssentEDGE® is a

➢ Continue to focus on optimizing unit

cloud-based AI platform with machine

economics

learning techniques that utilizes 400+

➢ Credit quality of portfolio remains strong

attributes to generate an MI quote in ~3

seconds

➢ Efficient platform enables increased operating

leverage and profitability

  • Differentiated pricing strategy to deliver borrowers our best price

CREDIT RISK

Committed To Programmatic Reinsurance

TRANSFER (CRT)

Fortifying Balance Sheet and Enhancing

➢

Buy, Manage & Distribute model mitigates

Financial Flexibility

franchise volatility during weak economic

As of December 31, 2023:

cycles, with 93% of IIF subject to reinsurance

➢ $5.1B in GAAP Equity

protection

➢ As of December 31, 2023, Essent has ceded

➢ Ample liquidity with $694M net cash and

investments available for sale at the holding

$8.1 billion of RIF through three quota share

companies

treaties to a panel of highly rated third-party

reinsurers

➢ An additional $400M in undrawn capacity

➢ As of December 31, 2023, Essent has access

with our credit facility

to $1.4 billion in ILN/XOL reinsurance

➢ Debt-to-Capital of 7.7%

coverage

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 7

Credit Risk Transfer

Since March 2018, Essent has transferred credit risk to:

  • Capital market investors vianine(1) Radnor Re Insurance-Linked Note (ILN) issuances
  • Reinsurers viafour(1) Excess of Loss (XOL) reinsurance transactions
  • Reinsurers viathree Quota Share (QS) reinsurance programs

As of 12/31/23, 93% of IIF is subject to reinsurance protection

Capital Markets

Excess of Loss

Quota Share

$1.2 billion

$255 million

$8.1 billion

remaining risk in force in ILNs

in risk limit reinsured by

of RIF ceded to a panel of

highly rated third-party

highly rated third-party

sold to investors

reinsurers

reinsurers

1) As of 12/31/23, we have 5 active ILN deals and 3 active XOL deals. Please see herefor the Credit Risk Transfer Update presentation for additional detail.

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 8

Essent Re

  • Essent Reinsurance Ltd. ("Essent Re") is a Bermuda-based reinsurance company, rated A (Excellent) by A.M. Best and A- by S&P. At December 31, 2023, Essent Re's GAAP equity was $1.8 billion.
  • Essent Re primarily focuses on three business lines:
    • Affiliate quota share (QS) to reinsure Essent Guaranty and leverage our Bermuda platform
    • GSE risk share to access a larger mortgage credit universe beyond primary MI
    • Agency provides advisory services to reinsurer clients and generates fee income

Affiliate Quota Share

GSE Risk Share

Agency

Provide Quota Share reinsurance

Active participant in GSE risk

Offer underwriting, pricing and

to Essent Guaranty with Net Risk

share business with $2.2 billion

surveillance services to reinsurers

In Force of $19.9 billion

Risk In Force

writing mortgage risk

Third Party Premiums Earned & Risk In Force

Total Equity $B

$3.5

$17.73

$16.85

$17.17

$18.0

$1.8

$1.76

$3.0

$14.58

$14.70

$15.0

$1.68

$1.7

$1.63

$2.5

$2.28

$2.25

$2.24

$2.10

$12.0

$1.6

$1.57

$2.03

$2.0

$1.48

$9.0

$1.5

$1.5

$1.0

$6.0

$1.4

$0.5

$3.0

$1.3

$0.0

4Q22

1Q23

2Q23

3Q23

4Q23

$0.0

$1.2

4Q22

1Q23

2Q23

3Q23

4Q23

3rd Party RIF $B

3rd Party NPE $M

GAAP Equity $B

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. |

essentgroup.com | 9

Investment Portfolio

As Of December 31, 2023, Essent Has $5.5 Billion Of Total Investments

Portfolio by Asset Class

Portfolio by Rating1

Non-U.S.

Below Baa3

Other Invested Assets

Government

1.7%

1.2%

5.0%

Money

Baa

market

12.7%

funds

8.0%

U.S.

RMBS &

Government

CMBS

and Agency

A

9.3%

Debt

33.0%

19.9%

Aaa

53.2%

ABS

10.2%

Municipals

Corporates

Aa

9.9%

12.5%

23.4%

• Investment income yield of 3.6% for 4Q23, up from 3.0% in 4Q22

•

New money yield in 4Q23 of ~5%

•

98% of the portfolio is investment grade

•

Other Invested Assets of $277M invested across venture funds,

•

66% of the portfolio has a credit rating of

PE and structured funds along with direct investments into

Aaa to Aa

several companies

  1. Based on ratings issued by Moody's, if available. S&P or Fitch rating utilized if Moody's not available. Credit rating is for the investments available for sale portfolio only and excludes money market funds.

ESSENT GROUP LTD. | NYSE: ESNT

© 2023 Essent Group Ltd. All rights reserved. | essentgroup.com | 10

Attachments

  • Original Link
  • Original Document
  • Permalink

Disclaimer

Essent Group Ltd. published this content on 09 February 2024 and is solely responsible for the information contained therein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on 09 February 2024 11:40:23 UTC.

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