The report shows that the office and the staff of the
The report estimates that 14 million more people who would have been insured under the ACA would be uninsured under the
In 2020, however, that number would rise to 21 million more uninsured individuals relative to what would be expected under the ACA, with the number reaching 24 million by 2026. The increases over the period from 2018-26, the CBO said, would come from changes in
The bottom line: The CBO estimates that 28 million Americans would lack insurance coverage in 2026 under the ACA, while under the
A reduction in relatively healthy people -- who no longer would face penalties -- signing up for coverage in the non-group market under the
One thing the CBO report mentions is that there is a great deal of uncertainty on its estimates. Simply, there is difficulty in predicting how the many parts of the medical puzzle will react, from the federal government, to 50 state governments, to insurers, to employers, to hospitals, to doctors and medical providers, to more than 318 million Americans. In the report, the CBO says it and the JCT staff tried to develop estimates that are "in the middle of the distribution of potential outcomes."
Basically, what we have here is a best guess as to what will happen if individuals, politicians, businesses, agencies, medical providers and government agencies act reasonably, a high standard in today's political climate. It's neither a best-case nor a worst-case scenario.
Since it appears this plan, or something very similar to it, has a path to passage, we hope the
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