ACE LTD – 10-Q – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
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The following is a discussion of our results of operations, financial condition, and liquidity and capital resources as of and for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 .
All comparisons in this discussion are to the corresponding prior year periods unless otherwise indicated.
Our results of operations and cash flows for any interim period are not necessarily indicative of our results for the full year. This discussion should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and related notes and our Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations included in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2012 (2012 Form 10-K). Effective first quarter 2013, the Insurance - North American segment is presented in two distinct reportable segments: Insurance - North American P&C and Insurance - North American Agriculture. Prior year amounts contained in this report have been adjusted to conform to the new segment presentation. Other Information We routinely post important information for investors on our website (www.acegroup.com) under the Investor Information section. We use this website as a means of disclosing material, non-public information and for complying with our disclosure obligations underSecurities and Exchange Commission (SEC) Regulation FD (Fair Disclosure). Accordingly, investors should monitor the Investor Information portion of our website, in addition to following our press releases,SEC filings, public conference calls, and webcasts. The information contained on, or that may be accessed through, our website is not incorporated by reference into, and is not a part of, this report. MD&A Index Page Forward-Looking Statements 42 Overview 44 Financial Highlights 45 Consolidated Operating Results 45 PriorPeriod Development 48 Segment Operating Results 52 Other (Income) and Expense Items 61 Net Investment Income 62 Net Realized and Unrealized Gains (Losses) 62 Investments 64 Critical Accounting Estimates 69 Reinsurance Recoverable on Ceded Reinsurance 69 Unpaid Losses and Loss Expenses 70 Asbestos and Environmental (A&E) and Other Run-off Liabilities 70 Fair Value Measurements 70 Guaranteed Living Benefits (GLB) Derivatives 71 Catastrophe Management 74 Natural Catastrophe Property Reinsurance Program 74Crop Insurance 75 Liquidity 75 Capital Resources 77 41
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Forward-Looking Statements The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" for forward-looking statements. Any written or oral statements made by us or on our behalf may include forward-looking statements that reflect our current views with respect to future events and financial performance. These forward-looking statements are subject to certain risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could, should potential events occur, cause actual results to differ materially from such statements. These risks, uncertainties, and other factors, which are described in more detail elsewhere herein and in other documents we file with theU.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), include but are not limited to: • developments in global financial markets, including changes in interest
rates, stock markets, and other financial markets, increased government
involvement or intervention in the financial services industry, the cost and
availability of financing, and foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations
(which we refer to in this report as foreign exchange and foreign currency
exchange), which could affect our statement of operations, investment
portfolio, financial condition, and financing plans;
• general economic and business conditions resulting from volatility in the
stock and credit markets and the depth and duration of recession;
• losses arising out of natural or man-made catastrophes such as hurricanes,
typhoons, earthquakes, floods, climate change (including effects on weather
patterns; greenhouse gases; sea; land and air temperatures; sea levels; rain
and snow), nuclear accidents or terrorism which could be affected by:
• the number of insureds and ceding companies affected;
• the amount and timing of losses actually incurred and reported by insureds;
• the impact of these losses on our reinsurers and the amount and timing of
reinsurance recoverable actually received;
• the cost of building materials and labor to reconstruct properties or to
perform environmental remediation following a catastrophic event; and • complex coverage and regulatory issues such as whether losses occurred
from storm surge or flooding and related lawsuits;
• actions that rating agencies may take from time to time, such as financial
strength or credit ratings downgrades or placing these ratings on credit
watch negative or the equivalent;
• global political conditions, the occurrence of any terrorist attacks,
including any nuclear, radiological, biological, or chemical events, or the
outbreak and effects of war, and possible business disruption or economic
contraction that may result from such events;
• the ability to collect reinsurance recoverable, credit developments of
reinsurers, and any delays with respect thereto and changes in the cost,
quality, or availability of reinsurance;
• actual loss experience from insured or reinsured events and the timing of
claim payments;
• the uncertainties of the loss-reserving and claims-settlement processes,
including the difficulties associated with assessing environmental damage and
asbestos-related latent injuries, the impact of aggregate-policy-coverage
limits, and the impact of bankruptcy protection sought by various asbestos
producers and other related businesses and the timing of loss payments;
• changes to our assessment as to whether it is more likely than not that we
will be required to sell, or have the intent to sell, available for sale
fixed maturity investments before their anticipated recovery;
• infection rates and severity of pandemics and their effects on our business
operations and claims activity;
• judicial decisions and rulings, new theories of liability, legal tactics, and
settlement terms;
• the effects of public company bankruptcies and/or accounting restatements, as
well as disclosures by and investigations of public companies relating to
possible accounting irregularities, and other corporate governance issues,
including the effects of such events on:
• the capital markets;
• the markets for directors and officers (D&O) and errors and omissions
(E&O) insurance; and • claims and litigation arising out of such disclosures or practices by other companies; 42
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• uncertainties relating to governmental, legislative and regulatory policies,
developments, actions, investigations and treaties, which, among other
things, could subject us to insurance regulation or taxation in additional
jurisdictions or affect our current operations;
• the actual amount of new and renewal business, market acceptance of our
products, and risks associated with the introduction of new products and
services and entering new markets, including regulatory constraints on exit
strategies;
• the competitive environment in which we operate, including trends in pricing
or in policy terms and conditions, which may differ from our projections and
changes in market conditions that could render our business strategies
ineffective or obsolete;
• acquisitions made by us performing differently than expected, our failure to
realize anticipated expense-related efficiencies or growth from acquisitions,
the impact of acquisitions on our pre-existing organization or announced
acquisitions not closing;
• risks associated with being a Swiss corporation, including reduced
flexibility with respect to certain aspects of capital management and the
potential for additional regulatory burdens;
• the potential impact from government-mandated insurance coverage for acts of
terrorism;
• the availability of borrowings and letters of credit under our credit
facilities;
• the adequacy of collateral supporting funded high deductible programs;
• changes in the distribution or placement of risks due to increased
consolidation of insurance and reinsurance brokers;
• material differences between actual and expected assessments for guaranty
funds and mandatory pooling arrangements;
• the effects of investigations into market practices in the property and
casualty (P&C) industry;
• changing rates of inflation and other economic conditions, for example,
recession;
• the amount of dividends received from subsidiaries;
• loss of the services of any of our executive officers without suitable
replacements being recruited in a reasonable time frame;
• the ability of our technology resources to perform as anticipated; and
• management's response to these factors and actual events (including, but not
limited to, those described above).
The words "believe," "anticipate," "estimate," "project," "should," "plan," "expect," "intend," "hope," "feel," "foresee," "will likely result," or "will continue," and variations thereof and similar expressions, identify forward-looking statements. You are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, which speak only as of their dates. We undertake no obligation to publicly update or review any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. 43
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Overview
ACE Limited is the Swiss-incorporated holding company of theACE Group of Companies . ACE opened its business office inBermuda in 1985 and continues to maintain operations inBermuda . ACE, which is headquartered inZurich, Switzerland , and its direct and indirect subsidiaries, are a global insurance and reinsurance organization, serving the needs of a diverse group of clients around the world. We are predominantly a global P&C insurance company with both a commercial and specialty product orientation. We offer commercial insurance, specialty products and accident and health (A&H) solutions and are expanding our personal lines and international life insurance businesses. As we have grown, we have developed products and diversified our offerings to meet the needs of our customers. AtJune 30, 2013 , we had total assets of$94 billion and shareholders' equity of$27 billion .
We operate through the following business segments: Insurance - North American P&C, Insurance - North American Agriculture, Insurance - Overseas General, Global Reinsurance, and Life.
The Insurance - North American P&C segment includes retail divisionsACE USA (including ACE Canada),ACE Commercial Risk Services andACE Private Risk Services ; our wholesale and specialty divisions ACE Westchester, and ACEBermuda ; and various run-off operations, includingBrandywine Holdings Corporation (Brandywine). Our retail products range from commercial lines with service offerings such as risk management, loss control and engineering programs, specialty commercial P&C, and A&H coverages to personal lines homeowners, automobile, liability, valuables, and marine coverages. Our wholesale and specialty products include excess and surplus property, D&O, professional liability, inland marine, specialty casualty, environmental, and political risk. The Insurance - North American Agriculture segment provides coverage for agriculture business, writing a variety of commercial coverages including comprehensiveMultiple Peril Crop Insurance (MPCI), crop-hail and farm P&C insurance protection to customers in the U.S. andCanada throughRain and Hail Insurance Service, Inc. (Rain and Hail) as well as specialty P&C insurance coverages offered by ACE Agribusiness to companies that manufacture, process and distribute agriculture products. The MPCI program is offered in conjunction with theU.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). TheUSDA's Risk Management Agency (RMA) sets the policy terms and conditions, rates and forms, and is also responsible for setting compliance standards. As a participating company, we report all details of policies underwritten to the RMA and are party to a Standard Reinsurance Agreement (SRA). The SRA sets out the relationship between private insurance companies and theFederal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC) concerning the terms and conditions regarding the risks each will bear including the pro-rata and state stop-loss provisions which allow companies to limit the exposure of any one state or group of states on their underwriting results. In addition to the pro-rata and excess of loss reinsurance protections inherent in the SRA, we also purchase third party proportional and stop-loss reinsurance for our MPCI business to reduce our exposure. The Insurance - Overseas General segment comprisesACE International , our retail business serving territories outside the U.S.,Bermuda , andCanada ; the international A&H business ofCombined Insurance (Combined); and the wholesale insurance business ofACE Global Markets (AGM).ACE International has a presence in major developed markets and growing economies serving multinational clients and local customers. A significant amount of our global business is with local companies, offering traditional and specialty P&C products including D&O and professional liability, specialty personal lines, and energy products.ACE International expanded its global business through the acquisitions of ABA Seguros onMay 2, 2013 and Fianzas Monterrey onApril 1, 2013 . Refer to Note 2 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on these acquisitions. The consolidated financial statements include the results of the acquired businesses from the acquisition dates. Our international A&H business primarily focuses on personal accident and supplemental medical. AGM offers specialty products including aviation, marine, financial lines, energy, and political risk. The Global Reinsurance segment represents our reinsurance operations comprising ACE Tempest Re Bermuda,ACE Tempest Re USA ,ACE Tempest Re International , ACE Tempest Re Canada, and the reinsurance operations of AGM. Global Reinsurance provides solutions for customers ranging from small commercial insureds to multinational ceding companies. Global Reinsurance offers products such as property and workers' compensation catastrophe, D&O, professional liability, specialty casualty and specialty property.
The Life segment includes our international life operations (ACE Life), ACE Tempest Life Re (ACE Life Re), and the North American supplemental A&H and life business of
For more information on our segments refer to "Segment Information" in our 2012 Form 10-K.
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Financial Highlights for the Three Months Ended
• Net income was$891 million compared with$328 million in the prior year period.
• Total company net premiums written increased 6.3 percent, or 7.6 percent on
a constant-dollar basis.
• Total pre-tax and after-tax catastrophe losses including reinstatement
premiums were
$66 million , respectively, compared with$55 million and$41 million , respectively, in the prior year period.
• Favorable prior period development pre-tax was
3.6 percentage points of the combined ratio, compared with
the prior year period.
• The P&C combined ratio was 87.9 percent compared with 88.7 percent in the
prior year period.
• The P&C expense ratio was 29.2 percent, unchanged from the prior year period.
• The current accident year P&C combined ratio excluding catastrophe losses
was 89.2 percent compared with 90.4 percent in the prior year period.
• Operating cash flow was
• Net investment income was
prior year period as lower reinvestment rates were offset by higher private
equity and other distributions.
• Acquisitions closed in the quarter include Fianzas Monterrey on
2013, for
million in cash.
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Consolidated Operating Results - Three and Six Months EndedJune 30, 2013 and 2012 Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 4,391 $ 4,130 6.3 %$ 8,189 $ 7,702 6.3 % Net premiums earned 4,067 3,783 7.5 % 7,640 7,164 6.6 % Net investment income 534 537 (0.6 )% 1,065 1,081 (1.5 )% Net realized gains (losses) 104 (394 ) NM 310 (134 ) NM Total revenues 4,705 3,926 19.8 % 9,015 8,111 11.1 % Losses and loss expenses 2,250 2,119 6.2 % 4,176 3,923 6.4 % Policy benefits 110 102 7.8 % 241 249 (3.2 )% Policy acquisition costs 665 619 7.4 % 1,279 1,201 6.5 % Administrative expenses 564 514 9.7 % 1,078 1,024 5.3 % Interest expense 73 62 17.7 % 133 124 7.3 % Other (income) expense 37 34 8.8 % 27 31 (12.9 )% Total expenses 3,699 3,450 7.2 % 6,934 6,552 5.8 % Income before income tax 1,006 476 111.3 % 2,081 1,559 33.5 % Income tax expense 115 148 (22.3 )% 237 258 (8.1 )% Net income$ 891 $ 328 171.2 %$ 1,844 $ 1,301 41.7 % NM - not meaningful 45
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The following table presents the approximate effect of changes in foreign currency exchange rates on the growth of net premiums written and earned for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, 2013 June 30, 2013 Net premiums written: Growth in original currency 7.6 % 7.0 % Foreign exchange effect (1.3 )% (0.7 )% Growth as reported in U.S. dollars 6.3 % 6.3 % Net premiums earned: Growth in original currency 8.6 % 7.3 % Foreign exchange effect (1.1 )% (0.7 )% Growth as reported in U.S. dollars 7.5 % 6.6
%
Net premiums written reflect the premiums we retain after purchasing reinsurance protection. Net premiums written increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily in our Insurance - North American P&C segment retail division reflecting growth across a broad range of our product portfolio including our risk management and personal lines businesses, and specialty casualty, property and professional lines reflecting rate increases, exposure changes, strong renewal retention, and new business. Our wholesale and specialty division contributed to the increase in net premiums written from higher production. Net premiums written increased in our Insurance - Overseas General segment for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 . The growth was driven by the acquisitions of ABA Seguros inMay 2013 , Fianzas Monterrey inApril 2013 , and Jaya Proteksi inSeptember 2012 . In addition, growth was reported in our retail operations in all of our product lines - P&C, A&H, and personal lines. To a lesser extent, our Life segment added to growth in net premiums written for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to growth in certain A&H program business, which offset the decrease in our Life reinsurance business as no new Life reinsurance business is currently being written. Additionally, life deposits collected for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 increased over 60 percent primarily due to growth in our Asian markets. However, our Insurance - North American Agriculture segment reported decreases in net premiums written for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the purchase of proportional reinsurance on the MPCI business for the 2013 crop year, which is in addition to the excess of loss reinsurance coverage historically purchased. The reinsurance related decrease was partially offset by increased production in the MPCI business and in our agriculture's unit property and casualty business. Our Global Reinsurance segment also reported a decrease in net premiums written for the three months endedJune 30, 2013 due primarily to increased property catastrophe cessions to a newly formed reinsurance sidecar,Altair Re , that more than offset strong renewal retention and new business written. For the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , Global Reinsurance net premiums written were relatively flat as the increased cessions were substantially offset by higher premiums written, primarily in our U.S. property and U.S. automobile lines of business. Net premiums earned for short-duration contracts, typically P&C contracts, generally reflect the portion of net premiums written that were recorded as revenues for the period as the exposure periods expire. Net premiums earned for long-duration contracts, typically traditional life contracts, generally are recognized as earned when due from policyholders. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in the Insurance - North American P&C segment primarily due to the increase in net premiums written as described above. Growth in our retail division was partially offset by lower earned premiums from our program business. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in our Insurance - Overseas General segment driven by strong performances in all product lines and the acquisitions described above. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in our Global Reinsurance segment primarily in our U.S. property line of business from higher premiums written in the current and prior years. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in our Life segment primarily due to growth in our Asian markets. However, net premiums earned decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in our Insurance - North American Agriculture segment primarily due to higher reinsurance costs for the MPCI business. In evaluating our segments excluding Life, we use the combined ratio, the loss and loss expense ratio, the policy acquisition cost ratio, and the administrative expense ratio. We calculate these ratios by dividing the respective expense amounts by net premiums earned. We do not calculate these ratios for the Life segment as we do not use these measures to monitor or manage that segment. The combined ratio is determined by adding the loss and loss expense ratio, the policy acquisition cost ratio, and the administrative expense ratio. A combined ratio under 100 percent indicates underwriting income and a combined ratio exceeding 100 percent indicates underwriting loss.
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The following table presents our consolidated loss and loss expense ratio, policy acquisition cost ratio, administrative expense ratio, and combined ratio for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012 Loss and loss expense ratio 58.7 % 59.5 % 58.0 % 58.3 % Policy acquisition cost ratio 15.9 % 16.1 % 16.5 % 16.7 % Administrative expense ratio 13.3 % 13.1 % 13.6 % 13.9 % Combined ratio 87.9 % 88.7 % 88.1 % 88.9 %
The following table presents the impact of catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums and the impact of prior period reserve development on our consolidated loss and loss expense ratio for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012 Loss and loss expense ratio, as reported 58.7 % 59.5 % 58.0 % 58.3 % Catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums (2.3 )% (1.7 )% (1.7 )% (1.2 )% Prior period development 3.6 % 3.4 % 3.0 % 3.3 % Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted 60.0 %
61.2 % 59.3 % 60.4 %
Total net pre-tax catastrophe losses, excluding related reinstatement premiums, were$81 million and$113 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$55 million and$74 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Catastrophe losses throughJune 30, 2013 were primarily related to flooding inCanada andAustralia and severe weather-related events in the U.S. Catastrophe losses in the prior year periods were primarily related to severe weather-related events in the U.S. The adjusted loss and loss expense ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to an improved current accident year loss ratio in several lines of business in several regions. Prior period development arises from changes to loss estimates recognized in the current year that relate to loss reserves first reported in previous calendar years and excludes the effect of losses from the development of earned premium from previous accident years. We experienced net favorable prior period development of$128 million and$198 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively. This compares with net favorable prior period development of$113 million and$206 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Refer to "PriorPeriod Development " for additional information. Net investment income for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 was$534 million and$1.1 billion compared with$537 million and$1.1 billion for the prior year periods, respectively. Refer to "Net Investment Income" and "Investments" for additional information. Policy acquisition costs consist of commissions, premium taxes, and certain underwriting costs related directly to the successful acquisition of a new or renewal insurance contract. Our policy acquisition cost ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the acquisitions described above, which carry a lower acquisition rate than our other businesses. Our administrative expense ratio increased slightly for the three months endedJune 30, 2013 due primarily to an expense adjustment in the current period. The administrative expense ratio improved slightly for the six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the favorable impact of a legal settlement, offset by expense adjustments in the current year period. Our effective income tax rate, which we calculate as income tax expense divided by income before income tax, is dependent upon the mix of earnings from different jurisdictions with various tax rates. A change in the geographic mix of earnings would change the effective income tax rate. Our effective income tax rate was 11.5 percent and 11.4 percent for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively. Our effective income tax rate was 31.0 percent and 16.6 percent for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2012 , respectively. The decrease in effective tax rate was primarily due to net realized losses on derivatives generated in lower tax paying jurisdictions in the prior year. In addition, the effective tax rate was lower due to net
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realized gains on derivatives as well as a higher percentage of earnings being generated in lower tax paying jurisdictions during the current year.
PriorPeriod Development The favorable prior period development (PPD) of$128 million and$198 million during the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively, was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements. For the three and six months endedJune 30, 2012 , we experienced favorable PPD of$113 million and$206 million , respectively. In the sections following the tables below, significant prior period movements within each reporting segment are discussed in more detail. Long-tail lines include lines such as workers' compensation, general liability, and professional liability; while short-tail lines include lines such as most property lines, energy, personal accident, aviation, marine (including associated liability-related exposures) and agriculture.
The following tables summarize (favorable) and adverse PPD by segment:
Three Months EndedJune 30 % of net unpaid
(in millions of U.S. dollars, except for percentages) Long-tail
Short-tail Total reserves(1)
2013
Insurance - North American P&C $ (19 ) $ (28 )$ (47 ) 0.3 % Insurance - North American Agriculture - - - - Insurance - Overseas General 1 (53 ) (52 ) 0.7 % Global Reinsurance (27 ) (2 ) (29 ) 1.3 % Total $ (45 ) $ (83 )$ (128 ) 0.5 % 2012 Insurance - North American P&C $ (24 ) $ (33 )$ (57 ) 0.4 % Insurance - North American Agriculture - (2 ) (2 ) 0.5 % Insurance - Overseas General - (39 ) (39 ) 0.5 % Global Reinsurance (15 ) - (15 ) 0.7 % Total $ (39 ) $ (74 )$ (113 ) 0.4 %
(1) Calculated based on the segment's total beginning of period net unpaid loss and loss expenses reserves.
Six Months EndedJune 30 % of net unpaid
(in millions of U.S. dollars, except for percentages) Long-tail
Short-tail Total reserves(1)
2013
Insurance - North American P&C $ (48 )$ (39 ) $ (87 ) 0.5 % Insurance - North American Agriculture - (3 ) (3 ) 0.9 % Insurance - Overseas General 1 (75 ) (74 ) 0.9 % Global Reinsurance (29 ) (5 ) (34 ) 1.5 % Total $ (76 )$ (122 ) $ (198 ) 0.7 % 2012 Insurance - North American P&C $ (74 )$ (34 ) $ (108 ) 0.7 % Insurance - North American Agriculture - (11 ) (11 ) 2.4 % Insurance - Overseas General - (61 ) (61 ) 0.8 % Global Reinsurance (16 ) (10 ) (26 ) 1.1 % Total $ (90 )$ (116 ) $ (206 ) 0.8 %
(1) Calculated based on the segment's total beginning of period net unpaid loss and loss expenses reserves.
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Insurance - North American P&C Insurance - North American P&C experienced net favorable PPD of$47 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2013 , which was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements, driven by the following principal changes:
• Net favorable development of
• Net favorable development of$28 million on our national accounts portfolios which consist of commercial auto, general liability and workers' compensation lines of business. This favorable movement was the net impact of favorable and adverse movements, including:
• Favorable development of
related to our annual assessment of multi-claimant events including
industrial accidents. Consistent with prior years, we reviewed these potential exposures after the close of the accident year to allow for late reporting or identification of significant losses;
• Favorable development of
primarily related to lower than expected case incurred loss activity in
first dollar product lines within our national accounts portfolio; • Net favorable development of$14 million impacting the 2008 accident year which consisted of$14 million adverse development in excess
automobile and general liability and
on excess and high deductible workers' compensation lines. The adverse activity in automobile and general liability was a function of higher
than expected incurred activity on a small number of large losses. The
favorable activity in workers' compensation was due to lower levels of
reported losses than anticipated in our prior review and original pricing assumptions; and • Adverse development of$40 million primarily impacting the 2006 and prior accident years. The adverse loss activity was predominantly in
workers' compensation related product lines across a number of accident
years. The development was a function of higher than expected reported
loss activity, higher allocated loss adjustment expenses, as well as changes in weighting applied to experience-based methods.
• Net favorable development of
affecting accident years 2004 through 2008. The favorable development was
largely due to reductions in estimates of ultimate exposure on a few large claims;
• Net adverse development of
of general liability and workers' compensation product lines impacting the
1995 and prior accident years. Loss activity was higher than expected in these portfolios; and • Net favorable development of$4 million across a number of lines and accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate.
• Net favorable development of
• Net favorable development of
impacting the 2011 and 2012 accident years. Paid and reported loss activity
was lower than expected since our prior review for these accident years;
and • Net favorable development of$13 million across a number of lines and accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate. Insurance - North American P&C experienced net favorable PPD of$57 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2012 , which was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements, driven by the following principal changes:
• Net favorable development of
• Net favorable development of$38 million on our national accounts portfolios which consist of commercial automobile liability, general
liability, and workers' compensation lines of business. This favorable
development was the net impact of favorable and adverse movements, including: 49
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• Favorable development of
to our annual assessment of multi-claimant events including industrial
accidents. Consistent with prior years, we reviewed these potential
exposures after the close of the accident year to allow for late reporting or identification of significant losses; • Favorable development of$34 million in the 2007 accident year, primarily in workers' compensation. Loss activity throughMarch 31 ,
2012 was lower than expected and was included in the review completed
during the three months ended
the weighting on experience-based methods. The favorable development
was the combined effect of this lower than expected incurred loss activity and our change in method weights; and • Adverse development of$37 million affecting the 2006 and prior accident years largely in workers' compensation. The causes for this adverse movement were numerous and included large increases in a small
number of claims, higher than expected loss activity in a few accident
years, changes in our weighting of experience-based methods, and a refinement of our treatment of ceded reinsurance recoveries on a few
select treaties due to information which became known since our prior
review.
• Adverse development of
number of lines and accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate.
• Favorable development of
• Favorable development of
lines (both hull and liability) affecting the 2009 and prior accident
years. Actual paid and incurred loss activity continued to be lower than expected based on long term historical averages leading to a reduction in our estimate of ultimate losses; and
• Favorable development of
across a number of lines and accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate. Insurance - North American Agriculture Insurance - North American Agriculture experienced favorable PPD of nil and$2 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively, on short-tail business across a number of accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate. Insurance - Overseas General Insurance - Overseas General experienced net favorable PPD of$52 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2013 , which was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements, driven by the following principal changes:
• Net adverse development of
of accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate.
• Favorable development of
• Favorable development of
accident years 2009 through 2012. Favorable emergence on large losses
across the wholesale energy book in accident years 2011 and 2012 and
favorable general emergence across the remainder of the short-tail lines
was reflected in the quarter; and
• Favorable development of
property claims and marine liability. Loss development from these more
mature years is mainly the result of favorable developments on specific
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Insurance - Overseas General experienced net favorable PPD of$39 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2012 , which was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements, driven by the following principal changes:
• There was no overall adverse or favorable development on long-tail business
in the three months ended
• Net favorable development of
• Favorable development of
Favorable loss emergence across much of the short-tail first party marine
business in accident years 2010 and 2011 led to lower experience-based
indications. In addition, case reductions on specific claims in older accident years drove reserve releases; • Net favorable development of$15 million on short-tail property and
technical lines in Continental Europe, excluding catastrophes. Favorable
loss emergence in the boiler and machinery (B&M) business, driven by
better than expected loss activity on large accounts, primarily in
accident years 2010 and 2011 drove most of the reserve release. Adverse
movement in fire business in accident year 2011 driven by unfavorable loss
emergence across the region mitigated the impact of the favorable B&M reserve release; and
• Favorable development of
number of lines and accident years, none of which was significant individually or in the aggregate. Global Reinsurance Global Reinsurance experienced net favorable PPD of$29 million in the three months endedJune 30, 2013 , which was the net result of several underlying favorable and adverse movements, driven by the following principal changes:
• Net favorable development of
• Favorable development of
principally in treaty years 2007 and prior. Following the reserve studies
completed in the three months ended
weighting towards experience-based methods. Since experience has tended to
be generally favorable compared with assumptions, the changes resulted in
the favorable development referenced above;
• Favorable development of
line of business principally in treaty years 2008 and prior. Following the
reserve studies completed in the three months endedJune 30, 2013 , we reflected a greater weighting towards experience-based methods. Since
experience has tended to be generally favorable compared with assumptions,
the changes resulted in the favorable development referenced above; and
• Net adverse development of
There was$16 million of adverse development related to treaty years 2008 through 2011 where the loss experience was unfavorable due to higher than
expected reported claims and greater reliance on experience-based methods.
There was also favorable development of$7 million in treaty years 2007 and prior, where experience was generally more favorable. • Net favorable development of$2 million on short-tail business across a
number of treaty years, none of which was significant individually or in the
aggregate.
Global Reinsurance experienced net favorable PPD of
• Net favorable development of
• Favorable development of
principally in treaty years 2007 and prior. Following the reserve studies
completed in the three months ended
weighting towards experience-based methods. Since experience has tended to
be generally favorable compared with assumptions, the changes resulted in
the favorable development referenced above;
• Net adverse development of
line of business. There was
treaty years 2006 through 2010 where the loss experience was unfavorable due to 51
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higher than expected reported claims and greater reliance on experience-based methods. There was also favorable development of$8 million in treaty years 2004 and prior, where experience was generally more favorable; and
• Adverse development of
number of treaty years, none of which was significant individually or in
the aggregate.
• There was no prior period development on short-tail business in the three
months ended
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Segment Operating Results - Three and Six Months EndedJune 30, 2013 and 2012 The discussions that follow include tables that show our segment operating results for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. We operate through the following business segments: Insurance - North American P&C, Insurance - North American Agriculture, Insurance - Overseas General, Global Reinsurance, and Life. For additional information on our segments refer to "Segment Information" in our 2012 Form 10-K under Item 1. Insurance -North American Insurance - North American P&C The Insurance - North American P&C segment comprises our operations in the U.S.,Canada , andBermuda . This segment includes our retail divisionsACE USA (including ACE Canada),ACE Commercial Risk Services , andACE Private Risk Services ; our wholesale and specialty divisions ACE Westchester and ACE Bermuda; and various run-off operations, includingBrandywine Holdings Corporation (Brandywine). Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 1,529 $ 1,368 11.8 %$ 2,813 $ 2,542 10.7 % Net premiums earned 1,428 1,268 12.7 % 2,766 2,496 10.8 % Losses and loss expenses 950 844 12.6 % 1,828 1,655 10.5 % Policy acquisition costs 142 135 5.2 % 285 272 4.8 % Administrative expenses 159 153 3.9 % 284 303 (6.3 )% Underwriting income 177 136 30.1 % 369 266 38.7 % Net investment income 250 265 (5.7 )% 501 532 (5.8 )% Net realized gains (losses) 28 18 55.6 % 54 17 217.6 % Interest expense 3 3 - 1 6 (83.3 )% Other (income) expense (10 ) 2 NM (25 ) (7 ) 257.1 % Income tax expense 91 96 (5.2 )% 185 179 3.4 % Net income$ 371 $ 318 16.7 %$ 763 $ 637 19.8 % Loss and loss expense ratio 66.6 % 66.6 % 66.1 % 66.3 % Policy acquisition cost ratio 9.9 % 10.6 % 10.3 % 10.9 % Administrative expense ratio 11.1 % 12.1 % 10.3 % 12.1 % Combined ratio 87.6 % 89.3 % 86.7 % 89.3 % Net premiums written increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 in our retail division reflecting growth across a broad range of our product portfolio including our risk management business, and specialty casualty, property and professional lines of business reflecting rate increases, exposure changes, strong renewal retention, and new business. In addition, we continued to generate higher personal lines production including growth in the homeowners, automobile, and umbrella business offered throughACE Private Risk Services . Our wholesale and specialty division contributed to the increase in net premiums written for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 due to higher production from our property and
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professional lines of business. For the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , we also produced higher wholesale casualty written premiums. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the increase in net premiums written as described above. Growth in net premiums earned for the retail division was partially offset by lower earned premiums from our program business. The following tables present a line of business breakdown of Insurance - North American P&C net premiums earned for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12
Property and all other
6.9 % Casualty 967 828 16.8 % 1,869 1,645 13.6 % Personal accident (A&H) 93 93 - 182 182 - Net premiums earned$ 1,428 $ 1,268 12.7 %$ 2,766 $ 2,496 10.8 % 2013 2012 2013 2012 % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total Property and all other 26 % 27 % 26 % 27 % Casualty 68 % 65 % 67 % 66 % Personal accident (A&H) 6 % 7 % 7 % 7 % Net premiums earned 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 %
The following table presents the impact of catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums, and prior period reserve development on our loss and loss expense ratio for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012
Loss and loss expense ratio, as reported 66.6 % 66.6 %
66.1 % 66.3 % Catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums (3.5 )% (3.5 )% (2.2 )% (2.4 )% Prior period development 3.4 % 4.5 % 3.2 % 4.4 % Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted 66.5 % 67.6 %
67.1 % 68.3 %
Net pre-tax catastrophe losses, excluding reinstatement premiums, were$50 million and$61 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$45 million and$59 million for the prior year periods, respectively. Catastrophe losses throughJune 30, 2013 and 2012 were primarily from flooding inCanada and severe weather-related events in the U.S. Net favorable prior period development was$47 million and$87 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$57 million and$108 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Refer to the "PriorPeriod Development " section for additional information. For the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , the adjusted loss and loss expense ratio decreased as a result of a decrease in the loss and loss expense ratio in several of our professional, personal, and property lines where execution of detailed portfolio management plans has resulted in improved current accident year loss ratio performance, and to a lesser extent due to lower large losses. The policy acquisition cost ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 due to growth in certain businesses, primarily risk management, which incur lower acquisition expenses. The administrative expense ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to growth in certain businesses which incur lower administrative expenses, and for the six months, from the favorable impact of a$29 million legal settlement in the current year. Insurance - North American Agriculture
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The Insurance - North American Agriculture segment comprises our North American based businesses that provide a variety of coverages in the U.S. andCanada including crop insurance, primarily MPCI and crop-hail through Rain and Hail as well as farm and ranch and specialty P&C commercial insurance products and services through our newly formed ACE Agribusiness unit. Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 453 $ 492 (8.0 )%$ 566 $ 611 (7.4 )% Net premiums earned 351 384 (8.8 )% 403 443 (9.1 )% Losses and loss expenses 293 319 (8.2 )% 325 357 (9.0 )% Policy acquisition costs 20 22 (9.1 )% 24 12 100.0 % Administrative expenses 3 - NM 8 (3 ) NM Underwriting income 35 43 (18.6 )% 46 77 (40.3 )% Net investment income 7 6 16.7 % 13 13 - Net realized gains (losses) 1 - NM 1 - NM Other (income) expense 8 8 - 16 16 - Income tax expense 8 11 (27.3 )% 10 19 (47.4 )% Net income$ 27 $ 30 (10.0 )%$ 34 $ 55 (38.2 )% Loss and loss expense ratio 83.4 % 83.0 % 80.6 % 80.5 % Policy acquisition cost ratio 5.6 % 5.9 % 5.8 % 2.8 % Administrative expense ratio 0.9 % (0.2 )% 2.2 % (0.6 )% Combined ratio 89.9 % 88.7 % 88.6 % 82.7 % Net premiums written decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the purchase of proportional reinsurance on the MPCI business for the 2013 crop year, which is in addition to the excess of loss reinsurance coverage historically purchased. The reinsurance related decrease in net premiums written was partially offset by increased production in the MPCI business and in our agriculture unit's property and casualty business. Net premiums earned decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to higher reinsurance costs for the MPCI business.
The following table presents the impact of catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums, and prior period reserve development on our loss and loss expense ratio for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012
Loss and loss expense ratio, as reported 83.4 % 83.0 %
80.6 % 80.5 % Catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums (0.8 )% (1.1 )% (0.7 )% (1.3 )% Prior period development - 0.5 % 0.8 % 2.4 % Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted 82.6 % 82.4 %
80.7 % 81.6 %
Net pre-tax catastrophe losses, excluding reinstatement premiums, were$3 million for both the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$4 million and$6 million for the prior year periods, respectively. Net favorable prior period development was nil and$3 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$2 million and$11 million in the prior year periods, respectively. The adjusted loss and loss expense ratio was relatively flat for the three months endedJune 30, 2013 . For the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , the adjusted loss and loss expense ratio decreased due to a decrease in current accident year loss adjustment expenses reflecting a revision in estimated claim handling costs.
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The policy acquisition cost ratio decreased slightly for the three months endedJune 30, 2013 . The policy acquisition cost ratio increased for the six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to a$14 million benefit in the prior year period related to a revision in estimated agent profit share commissions for the MPCI business. A similar benefit did not occur in the current year. The administrative expense ratio increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily reflecting higher Administrative and Operating expense (A&O) reimbursements on the MPCI business in the prior year period mainly due to additional reimbursements earned for high loss ratio states and underserved states. Insurance - Overseas General The Insurance - Overseas General segment comprisesACE International , our retail commercial P&C, A&H, and personal lines businesses serving territories outside the U.S.,Bermuda , andCanada ; the international supplemental A&H business ofCombined Insurance ; and the wholesale insurance business of AGM, ourLondon -based excess and surplus lines business that includes Lloyd's ofLondon Syndicate 2488. The reinsurance operation of AGM is included in the Global Reinsurance segment. Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 1,630 $ 1,475 10.5 %$ 3,250 $ 3,003 8.2 % Net premiums earned 1,563 1,420 10.1 % 3,022 2,811 7.5 % Losses and loss expenses 768 703 9.2 % 1,515 1,408 7.6 % Policy acquisition costs 360 332 8.4 % 699 667 4.8 % Administrative expenses 251 233 7.7 % 487 462 5.4 % Underwriting income 184 152 21.1 % 321 274 17.2 % Net investment income 136 128 6.3 % 268 259 3.5 % Net realized gains (losses) 8 26 (69.2 )% 42 46 (8.7 )% Interest expense 2 1 100.0 % 3 2 50.0 % Other (income) expense 17 6 183.3 % 16 6 166.7 % Income tax expense 50 51 (2.0 )% 96 89 7.9 % Net income$ 259 $ 248 4.4 %$ 516 $ 482 7.1 % Loss and loss expense ratio 49.1 % 49.6 % 50.1 % 50.1 % Policy acquisition cost ratio 23.0 % 23.4 % 23.1 % 23.7 % Administrative expense ratio 16.1 % 16.3 % 16.2 % 16.5 % Combined ratio 88.2 % 89.3 % 89.4 % 90.3 % 55
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Insurance - Overseas General conducts business internationally and in most major foreign currencies. The following table summarizes by major product line the approximate effect of changes in foreign currency exchange rates on the growth of net premiums written and earned for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30, 2013 June 30, 2013 P&C A&H Total P&C A&H Total Net premiums written: Growth in original currency 17.2 % 7.8 % 13.7 % 12.8 % 4.9 % 9.9 % Foreign exchange effect (3.8 )% (2.3 )% (3.2 )% (2.3 )% (0.8 )% (1.7 )% Growth as reported inU.S. dollars 13.4 % 5.5 % 10.5 % 10.5 % 4.1 % 8.2 % Net premiums earned: Growth in original currency 19.5 % 2.0 % 13.0 % 13.7 % 2.1 % 9.3 % Foreign exchange effect (3.6 )% (1.6 )% (2.9 )% (2.6 )% (0.5 )% (1.8 )% Growth as reported inU.S. dollars 15.9 % 0.4 % 10.1 % 11.1 %
1.6 % 7.5 %
Net premiums written increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 . The growth was driven by the acquisitions of ABA Seguros inMay 2013 , Fianzas Monterrey inApril 2013 , and Jaya Proteksi inSeptember 2012 . In addition, growth was reported in our retail operations in all of our product lines - P&C, A&H, and personal lines. P&C growth was reported across all regions of our retail operations, led by theU.K. which was driven by moderate price increases, strong renewal retention, and improved new business writings. A&H growth was primarily driven by strong results inLatin America ,Asia , andEurope . Personal lines growth reflected new business opportunities inEurope andAsia . A slight decline in wholesale operations, as well as the unfavorable impact of foreign exchange, partially offset this growth. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 driven by strong performance in all product lines and from the acquisitions described above. Regionally, the increase was in our European, Latin American, and Asian operations. The following tables present a line of business breakdown of Insurance - Overseas General net premiums earned for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12
Property and all other
14.0 % Casualty 374 338 10.7 % 713 671 6.3 % Personal accident (A&H) 531 530 0.2 % 1,066 1,050 1.5 % Net premiums earned$ 1,563 $ 1,420 10.1 %$ 3,022 $ 2,811 7.5 % 2013 2012 2013 2012 % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total Property and all other 42 % 39 % 41 % 39 % Casualty 24 % 24 % 24 % 24 % Personal accident (A&H) 34 % 37 % 35 % 37 % Net premiums earned 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 56
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The following table presents the impact of catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums, and prior period reserve development on our loss and loss expense ratio for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012
Loss and loss expense ratio, as reported 49.1 % 49.6 %
50.1 % 50.1 % Catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums (1.1 )% (0.4 )% (1.3 )% (0.2 )% Prior period development 3.3 % 2.7 % 2.5 % 2.1 % Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted 51.3 % 51.9 %
51.3 % 52.0 %
Net pre-tax catastrophe losses, excluding reinstatement premiums, were$17 million and$38 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$5 million and$7 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Catastrophe losses throughJune 30, 2013 were primarily related to flooding inAustralia andCanada . Catastrophe losses throughJune 30, 2012 were primarily a result of flooding in theU.K. Net favorable prior period development was$52 million and$74 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$39 million and$61 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Refer to the "PriorPeriod Development " section for additional information. The adjusted loss and loss expense ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 due primarily to the reduction in the current accident year loss ratio across several lines of business in several regions and a favorable change in the mix of business. In addition, the decrease for the six months reflects large property losses in the prior year period that did not occur in the current year. The policy acquisition cost ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to the acquisitions described above, which carry a lower acquisition rate than our other businesses. The administrative expense ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 due to the acquisitions described above, which generate lower expenses than our other businesses, and A&H regulatory fees paid inEurope in the prior year period. 57
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Table of Contents Global Reinsurance The Global Reinsurance segment represents our reinsurance operations comprising ACE Tempest Re Bermuda,ACE Tempest Re USA ,ACE Tempest Re International , and ACE Tempest Re Canada. Global Reinsurance markets its reinsurance products worldwide under the ACE Tempest Re brand name and provides a broad range of coverage to a diverse array of primary P&C companies. Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 292 $ 309 (5.3 )%$ 571 $ 572 (0.1 )% Net premiums earned 245 237 3.6 % 492 467 5.4 % Losses and loss expenses 93 102 (8.8 )% 199 204 (2.5 )% Policy acquisition costs 48 42 14.3 % 96 85 12.9 % Administrative expenses 12 13 (7.7 )% 24 25 (4.0 )% Underwriting income 92 80 15.0 % 173 153 13.1 % Net investment income 71 70 1.4 % 143 141 1.4 % Net realized gains (losses) 31 (17 ) NM 51 (4 ) NM Interest expense 1 1 - 2 2 - Other (income) expense 2 3 (33.3 )% (6 ) (2 ) 200.0 % Income tax expense 7 - NM 15 6 150.0 % Net income$ 184 $ 129 42.6 %$ 356 $ 284 25.4 % Loss and loss expense ratio 37.7 % 42.5 % 40.3 % 43.5 % Policy acquisition cost ratio 19.9 % 17.8 % 19.6 % 18.3 % Administrative expense ratio 4.6 % 5.8 % 4.9 % 5.3 % Combined ratio 62.2 % 66.1 % 64.8 % 67.1 % Net premiums written decreased for the three months endedJune 30, 2013 due to increased property catastrophe cessions to a newly formed reinsurance sidecar,Altair Re , that more than offset strong renewal retention and new business written, primarily in our U.S. property and U.S. automobile lines of business. For the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , net premiums written were relatively flat as the increased cessions substantially offset the higher premiums written, primarily in our U.S. property and U.S. automobile lines of business. Net premiums earned increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily in our U.S. property line of business from higher premiums written in the current and prior years. 58
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The following tables present a line of business breakdown of Global Reinsurance net premiums earned for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for Q-13 vs. YTD -13 vs. percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD -12 Property and all other $ 59 $ 42 40.5 %$ 119 $ 84 42.0 % Casualty 113 123 (8.1 )% 225 243 (7.0 )% Property catastrophe 73 72 1.4 % 148 140 6.0 % Net premiums earned$ 245 $ 237 3.6 %$ 492 $ 467 5.4 % 2013 2012 2013 2012 % of Total % of Total % of Total % of Total
Property and all other 24 % 18 % 24 % 18 % Casualty 46 % 52 % 46 % 52 % Property catastrophe 30 % 30 % 30 % 30 % Net premiums earned 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 %
The following table presents the impact of catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums, and prior period reserve development on our loss and loss expense ratio for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012
Loss and loss expense ratio, as reported 37.7 % 42.5 %
40.3 % 43.5 % Catastrophe losses and related reinstatement premiums (4.6 )% (0.7 )% (2.2 )% (0.5 )% Prior period development 12.2 % 6.5 % 7.0 % 5.5 % Loss and loss expense ratio, adjusted 45.3 % 48.3 %
45.1 % 48.5 %
Net pre-tax catastrophe losses were$11 million for both the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$1 million and$2 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Catastrophe losses throughJune 30, 2013 were primarily related to flooding inCanada andEurope . Net favorable prior period development was$29 million and$34 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$15 million and$26 million in the prior year periods, respectively. Refer to the "PriorPeriod Development " section for additional information. The adjusted loss and loss expense ratio decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to a change in the mix of business towards lower loss ratio products. The policy acquisition cost ratio increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 primarily due to a change in the mix of business towards products that have a higher acquisition cost ratio.
The administrative expense ratio decreased for the three and six months ended
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Life
The Life segment includes our international life operations (ACE Life), ACE Tempest Life Re (ACE Life Re), and the North American supplemental A&H and life business ofCombined Insurance . We assess the performance of our life business based on Life underwriting income, which includes Net investment income and (Gains) losses from fair value changes in separate account assets that do not qualify for separate account reporting under GAAP. Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 Net premiums written$ 487 $ 486 0.2 %$ 989 $ 974 1.6 % Net premiums earned 480 474 0.9 % 957 947 1.0 % Losses and loss expenses 145 151 (4.0 )% 302 299 1.0 % Policy benefits 110 102 7.8 % 241 249 (3.2 )% (Gains) losses from fair value changes in separate account assets(1) 11 14 (21.4 )% 7 (4 ) NM Policy acquisition costs 95 88 8.0 % 175 164 6.7 % Administrative expenses 86 78 10.3 % 171 156 9.6 % Net investment income 63 62 1.6 % 126 123 2.4 % Life underwriting income 96 103 (6.8 )% 187 206 (9.2 )% Net realized gains (losses) 36 (421 ) NM 163 (190 ) NM Interest expense 4 3 33.3 % 8 6 33.3 % Other (income) expense(1) 3 5 (40.0 )% 3 14 (78.6 )% Income tax expense 10 19 (47.4 )% 23 30 (23.3 )% Net income (loss)$ 115 $ (345 ) NM$ 316 $ (34 ) NM
(1) (Gains) losses from fair value changes in separate account assets that do
not qualify for separate account reporting under GAAP are reclassified from
Other (income) expense for purposes of presenting Life underwriting income.
The following table presents a line of business breakdown of Life net premiums written and deposits collected on universal life and investment contracts for the periods indicated: Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 % Change June 30 % Change (in millions of U.S. dollars, Q-13 vs. YTD-13 vs. except for percentages) 2013 2012 Q-12 2013 2012 YTD-12 A&H$ 252 $ 244 3.3 %$ 513 $ 487 5.3 % Life insurance 163 166 (1.8 )% 330 326 1.2 % Life reinsurance 72 76 (5.3 )% 146 161 (9.3 )% Net premiums written (excludes deposits below)$ 487 $ 486 0.2 %$ 989 $ 974 1.6 % Deposits collected on universal life and investment contracts$ 222 $ 133 66.9 %$ 424 $ 261 62.5 % A&H net premiums written increased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 due to growth in certain program business and higher production. Life insurance net premiums written were relatively flat for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 . Life reinsurance net premiums written decreased for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 because no new life reinsurance business is currently being written.
Deposits collected on universal life and investment contracts (life deposits) are not reflected as revenues in our consolidated
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statements of operations in accordance with GAAP. New life deposits are an important component of production and key to our efforts to grow our business. Although life deposits do not significantly affect current period income from operations, they are an important indicator of future profitability. The increase in life deposits collected for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 is primarily due to growth in our Asian markets. Net realized gains (losses), which are excluded from Life underwriting income, relate primarily to the change in the net fair value of reported GLB reinsurance liabilities and changes in the fair value of derivatives used to partially offset the risk in the variable annuity guarantee portfolio. During the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , realized gains of$101 million and$470 million , respectively, were associated with net decreases in the value of GLB liabilities; these decreases were primarily due to rising equity levels, higher interest rates, and a weakening yen, partially offset by an increased value of GLB liabilities due to the unfavorable impact of discounting future claims for one and two fewer quarters, respectively. In addition, we experienced realized losses of$68 million and$318 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively, due to a decrease in the value of the derivative instruments, which decrease in value when the S&P 500 index increases.
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Other (Income) and Expense Items
Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 (in millions of U. S. dollars) 2013 2012 2013 2012 Amortization of intangible assets$ 23 $ 12 $ 38 $ 24 Equity in net (income) loss of partially-owned entities (14 ) 5 (49 ) (14 ) (Gains) losses from fair value changes in separate account assets 11 14 7 (4 ) Federal excise and capital taxes 6 5 11 9 Acquisition-related costs 2 1 2 3 Other 9 (3 ) 18 13 Other (income) expense$ 37 $ 34 $ 27 $ 31 Other (income) expense includes Amortization of intangible assets, which is higher in 2013 due primarily to the acquisitions of Fianzas Monterrey (completedApril 1, 2013 ) and ABA Seguros (completedMay 2, 2013 ). Equity in net (income) loss of partially-owned entities includes our share of net (income) loss related to investment funds, limited partnerships, partially-owned investment companies, and partially-owned insurance companies. Also included in Other (income) expense are (Gains) losses from fair value changes in separate account assets that do not qualify for separate account reporting under GAAP. The offsetting movement in the separate account liabilities is included in Policy benefits in the consolidated statements of operations. Certain federal excise and capital taxes incurred as a result of capital management initiatives are included in Other (income) expense as these are considered capital transactions and are excluded from underwriting results. The following table presents, as ofJune 30, 2013 , the estimated amortization expense related to intangible assets for the third and fourth quarters of 2013 and the next five years: For the Year EndingDecember 31 (in millions of U.S. dollars) Amortization of intangible assets Third and fourth quarters of 2013 $ 53 2014 87 2015 73 2016 55 2017 49 2018 46 Total $ 363 61
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Net Investment Income Three Months Ended Six Months Ended June 30 June 30 (in millions of U.S. dollars) 2013 2012 2013 2012 Fixed maturities$ 518 $ 527 $ 1,034 $ 1,071 Short-term investments 7 9 13 18 Equity securities 12 9 20 17 Other investments 26 20 57 28 Gross investment income 563 565 1,124 1,134 Investment expenses (29 ) (28 ) (59 ) (53 ) Net investment income$ 534 $ 537 $ 1,065 $ 1,081 Net investment income is influenced by a number of factors including the amounts and timing of inward and outward cash flows, the level of interest rates, and changes in overall asset allocation. Net investment income decreased one percent and two percent for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively, compared with the prior year periods. The decline in net investment income was primarily due to lower reinvestment rates offset by a higher overall average invested asset base and higher private equity and other distributions. The investment portfolio's average market yield on fixed maturities was 2.9 percent and 2.8 percent atJune 30, 2013 and 2012, respectively. Average market yield on fixed maturities represents the weighted average yield to maturity of our fixed income portfolio based on the market prices of the holdings at that date. The 1.2 percent and 1.1 percent yields on short-term investments for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively, reflect the global nature of our insurance operations. For example, yields on short-term investments inMalaysia ,Mexico andIndonesia range from 3.0 percent to 6.5 percent. The yield on our equity securities portfolio is high relative to the yield on the S&P 500 Index because of dividends on preferred equity securities and because we classify our strategic emerging debt portfolio, which is a mutual fund, as equity. The preferred equity securities and strategic emerging debt portfolio represent approximately 58 percent of our equity securities portfolio.
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Net Realized and Unrealized Gains (Losses)
We take a long-term view with our investment strategy, and our investment managers manage our investment portfolio to maximize total return within certain specific guidelines designed to minimize risk. The majority of our investment portfolio is available for sale and reported at fair value. Our held to maturity investment portfolio is reported at amortized cost. The effect of market movements on our available for sale investment portfolio impacts Net income (through Net realized gains (losses)) when securities are sold or when we record an Other-than-temporary impairment (OTTI) charge in net income. For a discussion related to how we assess OTTI for all of our investments, including credit-related OTTI, and the related impact on Net income, refer to Note 3 c) to the consolidated financial statements. Additionally, Net income is impacted through the reporting of changes in the fair value of derivatives, including financial futures, options, swaps, and GLB reinsurance. Changes in unrealized appreciation and depreciation on available for sale securities, which result from the revaluation of securities held, are reported as a separate component of Accumulated other comprehensive income in Shareholders' equity in the consolidated balance sheets.
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The following tables present our pre-tax net realized and unrealized gains (losses) as well as a breakdown of our OTTI and other net realized gains (losses) on investments for the periods indicated:
Three Months Ended June 30, 2013 Three Months Ended June 30, 2012 Net Net Net Net Realized Unrealized Realized Unrealized Gains Gains Net Gains Gains Net (in millions of U.S. dollars) (Losses) (Losses) Impact (Losses) (Losses) Impact Fixed maturities$ 31 $ (1,466 ) $ (1,435 ) $ 68 $ 251 $ 319 Fixed income derivatives 40 - 40 (49 ) - (49 ) Total fixed maturities 71 (1,466 ) (1,395 ) 19 251 270 Public equity 7 (57 ) (50 ) (5 ) (9 ) (14 ) Private equity (1 ) 15 14 (5 ) 16 11 Other - - - 2 (3 ) (1 ) Subtotal 77 (1,508 ) (1,431 ) 11 255 266 Derivatives Fair value adjustment on insurance derivatives 101 - 101 (467 ) - (467 ) S&P put option and futures (68 ) - (68 ) 70 - 70 Fair value adjustment on other derivatives (1 ) - (1 ) 1 - 1 Subtotal derivatives 32 - 32 (396 ) - (396 ) Foreign exchange losses (5 ) - (5 ) (9 ) - (9 ) Total gains (losses)$ 104 $ (1,508 ) $ (1,404 ) $ (394 ) $ 255 $ (139 ) Six Months Ended June 30, 2013 Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 Net Net Net Net Realized Unrealized Realized Unrealized Gains Gains Net Gains Gains Net (in millions of U.S. dollars) (Losses) (Losses) Impact (Losses) (Losses) Impact Fixed maturities$ 67 $ (1,657 ) $ (1,590 ) $ 102 $ 494 $ 596 Fixed income derivatives 58 - 58 (7 ) - (7 ) Total fixed maturities 125 (1,657 ) (1,532 ) 95 494 589 Public equity 6 (43 ) (37 ) (4 ) 29 25 Private equity (2 ) 40 38 (7 ) 23 16 Other - 1 1 - 1 1 Subtotal 129 (1,659 ) (1,530 ) 84 547 631 Derivatives Fair value adjustment on insurance derivatives 429 - 429 (39 ) - (39 ) S&P put option and futures (318 ) - (318 ) (161 ) - (161 ) Fair value adjustment on other derivatives (1 ) - (1 ) (4 ) - (4 ) Subtotal derivatives 110 - 110 (204 ) - (204 ) Foreign exchange gains (losses) 71 - 71 (14 ) - (14 ) Total gains (losses)$ 310 $ (1,659 ) $ (1,349 ) $ (134 ) $ 547 $ 413 63
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Three Months Ended June 30, 2013 Three Months Ended June 30, 2012 Other Net Net Other Net Net Realized Realized Realized Realized Gains Gains Gains Gains (in millions of U.S. dollars) OTTI (Losses) (Losses) OTTI (Losses) (Losses) Fixed maturities $ (6 )$ 37 $ 31 $ (1 ) $ 69 $ 68 Public equity - 7 7 (4 ) (1 ) (5 ) Private equity (1 ) - (1 ) (5 ) - (5 ) Other - - - - 2 2 Total $ (7 )$ 44 $ 37 $ (10 ) $ 70 $ 60 Six Months Ended June 30, 2013 Six Months Ended June 30, 2012 Other Net Net Other Net Net Realized Realized Realized Realized Gains Gains Gains Gains (in millions of U.S. dollars) OTTI (Losses) (Losses) OTTI (Losses) (Losses) Fixed maturities $ (7 )$ 74 $ 67 $ (8 ) $ 110 $ 102 Public equity (1 ) 7 6 (5 ) 1 (4 ) Private equity (2 ) - (2 ) (7 ) - (7 ) Total$ (10 ) $ 81 $ 71 $ (20 ) $ 111 $ 91 Our Net realized gains (losses) for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , included write-downs of$7 million and$10 million , respectively, as a result of an other-than-temporary decline in fair value of certain securities. This compares with write-downs of$10 million and$20 million for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2012 , respectively. AtJune 30, 2013 , our investment portfolios held by U.S. legal entities included approximately$213 million of gross unrealized losses on fixed income investments. Our tax planning strategy related to these losses is based on our view that we will hold these fixed income investments until they recover their cost. As such, we have recognized a deferred tax asset of approximately$75 million related to these fixed income investments. This strategy allows us to recognize the associated deferred tax asset related to these fixed income investments as we do not believe these losses will ever be realized. We engage in a securities lending program which involves lending investments to other institutions for short periods of time. ACE invests the collateral received in securities of high credit quality and liquidity, with the objective of maintaining a stable principal balance. Certain investments purchased with the securities lending collateral declined in value resulting in an unrealized loss of$3 million atJune 30, 2013 . The unrealized loss is attributable to fluctuations in market values of the underlying performing debt instruments held by the respective mutual funds, rather than default of a debt issuer. It is our view that the decline in value is temporary.
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Investments
Our investment portfolio is invested primarily in publicly traded, investment grade fixed income securities with an average credit quality of A/Aa as rated by the independent investment rating services Standard and Poor's (S&P)/ Moody's Investors Service (Moody's). The portfolio is externally managed by independent, professional investment managers and is broadly diversified across geographies, sectors, and issuers. Other investments principally comprise direct investments, investment funds, and limited partnerships. We hold no collateralized debt obligations or collateralized loan obligations in our investment portfolio, and we provide no credit default protection. We have long-standing global credit limits for our entire portfolio across the organization. Exposures are aggregated, monitored, and actively managed by our Global Credit Committee, comprising senior executives, including our Chief Financial Officer, our Chief Risk Officer, our Chief Investment Officer, and our Treasurer. We also have well-established, strict contractual investment rules requiring managers to maintain highly diversified exposures to individual issuers and closely monitor investment manager compliance with portfolio guidelines. The average duration of our fixed income securities, including the effect of options and swaps, was 4.1 years and 3.9 years atJune 30, 2013 andDecember 31, 2012 , respectively. We estimate that a 100 basis point (bps) increase in interest rates would reduce the valuation of our fixed income portfolio by approximately$2.3 billion atJune 30, 2013 .
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The following table shows the fair value and cost/amortized cost of our invested assets: June 30, 2013 December 31, 2012 Cost/ Cost/ Fair Amortized Fair Amortized (in millions of U.S. dollars) Value Cost Value
Cost
Fixed maturities available for sale
$ 44,666 Fixed maturities held to maturity 6,762 6,576 7,633 7,270 Short-term investments 2,425 2,425 2,228 2,228 56,203 54,989 57,167 54,164 Equity securities 837 843 744 707 Other investments 2,836 2,543 2,716 2,465 Total investments$ 59,876 $ 58,375 $ 60,627 $ 57,336 The fair value of our total investments decreased$751 million during the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , primarily due to the negative impact of rising interest rates on the valuation of our portfolio and unfavorable foreign exchange, partially offset by the investing of operating cash flows. The following tables show the market value of our fixed maturities and short-term investments atJune 30, 2013 andDecember 31, 2012 . The first table lists investments according to type and the second according to S&P credit rating: June 30, 2013 December 31, 2012 (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for Market Percentage Market Percentage percentages) Value of Total Value of Total Treasury$ 2,578 5 %$ 2,794 5 % Agency 1,586 3 % 2,024 4 % Corporate and asset-backed securities 18,972 34 % 18,983 33 % Mortgage-backed securities 11,445 20 % 12,589 22 % Municipal 4,451 8 % 3,872 7 % Non-U.S. 14,746 26 % 14,677 25 % Short-term investments 2,425 4 % 2,228 4 % Total$ 56,203 100 %$ 57,167 100 % AAA$ 9,408 17 %$ 9,285 16 % AA 20,557 36 % 22,014 39 % A 11,105 20 % 10,760 19 % BBB 6,765 12 % 6,591 12 % BB 3,940 7 % 4,146 7 % B 4,056 7 % 3,846 6 % Other 372 1 % 525 1 % Total$ 56,203 100 %$ 57,167 100 % As part of our overall investment strategy, we may invest in states, municipalities, and other political subdivisions fixed maturity securities (Municipal). We apply the same investment selection process described previously to our Municipal investments. The portfolio is highly diversified primarily in state general obligation bonds and essential service revenue bonds including education and utilities (water, power, and sewers). As ofJune 30, 2013 , the state ofCalifornia , including political subdivisions and other municipal issuers within the state, represented approximately 14 percent of our Municipal investments. A majority of the state ofCalifornia exposure represents special revenue bonds. Over 77 percent of our Municipal investments carry an S&P rating of AA- or better and none carry fair values that reflect a significantly different risk compared to those ratings. These Municipal investments are split 46 percent and 54 percent between general obligation and special revenue bonds, respectively.
Our exposure to the Euro results primarily from
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investments to support its local currency insurance obligations and required capital levels. ACE's local currency investment portfolios have strict contractual investment guidelines requiring managers to maintain a high quality and diversified portfolio to both sector and individual issuers. Investment portfolios are monitored daily to ensure investment manager compliance with portfolio guidelines. Our non-U.S. investment grade fixed income portfolios are currency-matched with the insurance liabilities of our non-U.S. operations. We have 73 percent of our non-U.S. fixed income portfolio denominated in G7 currencies. The average credit quality of our non-U.S. fixed income securities is A and 54 percent of our holdings are rated AAA or guaranteed by governments or quasi-government agencies. Within the context of these investment portfolios, our government and corporate bond holdings are highly diversified across industries and geographies. Issuer limits are based on credit rating (AA-two percent, A-one percent, BBB-0.5 percent of the total portfolio) and are monitored daily via an internal compliance system. Because of this investment approach we do not have a direct exposure to troubled sovereign borrowers inEurope . We manage our indirect exposure using the same credit rating based investment approach. Accordingly, we do not believe our indirect exposure is material. The table below summarizes the market value and amortized cost of our non-U.S. fixed income portfolio by country/sovereign for non-U.S. government securities atJune 30, 2013 : (in millions of U.S. dollars) Market Value Amortized Cost United Kingdom$ 1,067 $ 1,067 Canada 843 835 Republic of Korea 588 558 United Mexican States 463 462 France 391 388 Germany 385 383 Japan 309 309 Kingdom of Thailand 232 233 Federative Republic of Brazil 220 222 Province of Ontario 215 210 Province of Quebec 179 176 Commonwealth of Australia 178 172 State of Queensland 139 133 Federation of Malaysia 125 125 Swiss Confederation 118 115 People's Republic of China 114 112 Taiwan 85 84 Socialist Republic of Vietnam 83 78 State of New South Wales 72 68 Russian Federation 59 60 State of Victoria 50 48 Republic of Indonesia 48 50 Republic of Colombia 47 48 Arab Republic of Egypt 41 39 Dominion of New Zealand 39 39 Other Non-U.S. Government(1) 759 751 Non-U.S. Government Securities 6,849 6,765 Eurozone Non-U.S. Corporate (excluding United Kingdom)(2) 2,270 2,198 Other Non-U.S. Corporate 5,627 5,461 Total$ 14,746 $ 14,424
(1) There are no investments in
gross and net Eurozone Non-U.S. Government securities exposure is the same.
(2) Refer to the following table for further detail on Eurozone Non-U.S. Corporate securities. Our gross and net Eurozone Non-U.S. Corporate securities exposure is the same. 66
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The table below summarizes the market value and amortized cost of our Eurozone fixed income portfolio (excludingUnited Kingdom ) by industry atJune 30, 2013 : Market Value by Industry Amortized Cost (in millions of U.S. dollars) Bank Financial Industrial Utility Total Netherlands$ 195 $ 123 $ 332 $ 160 $ 810 $ 780 France 116 35 183 154 488 476 Luxembourg 9 5 255 78 347 339 Germany 204 - 62 5 271263 Euro Supranational 131 - - - 131 127 Ireland 12 1 100 12 125 120 Belgium 10 - 36 - 46 45 Finland 10 - 10 3 23 22 Austria 19 - 3 - 22 20 Spain 6 - - - 6 6 Portugal - - 1 - 1 -
The table below summarizes the market value and amortized cost of the top 10 Eurozone bank exposures within our Eurozone fixed income portfolio (excludingUnited Kingdom ) atJune 30, 2013 : (in millions of U.S. dollars) Market Value Amortized Cost KFW $ 135 $ 131 Rabobank Nederland NV 109 104 European Investment Bank 103 100 Bank Nederlandse Gemeenten 40 39 Credit Agricole Groupe 34 34 BNP Paribas SA 32 31 Erste Abwicklungsanstalt 24 23 Groupe BPCE 24 23 Societe Generale SA 18 17 EUROFIMA 16 15 The table below summarizes the market value and amortized cost of the top 10 Eurozone corporate exposures within our Eurozone fixed income portfolio (excludingUnited Kingdom ) atJune 30, 2013 : (in millions of U.S. dollars) Market Value Amortized Cost Intelsat SA $ 90 $ 88 Electricite de France SA 89 87 Royal Dutch Shell PLC 71 69 ING Groep NV 71 68 Deutsche Telekom AG 64 59 LyondellBasell Industries NV 56 51 France Telecom SA 40 39 NIBC Holding NV 33 32 Porsche Automobil Holding SE 32 32 General Electric Co 31 29 67
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The table below summarizes our largest exposures to corporate bonds by market value atJune 30, 2013 : (in millions of U.S. dollars) Market Value JP Morgan Chase & Co $ 479 Goldman Sachs Group Inc 430 General Electric Co 388 Citigroup Inc 303 Bank of America Corp 274 Morgan Stanley 269 Verizon Communications Inc 246 Wells Fargo & Co 236 AT&T INC 212 HSBC Holdings Plc 207 Comcast Corp 185 Mondelez International Inc 154 Anheuser-Busch InBev NV 144 BP Plc 132 Pfizer Inc 123 Time Warner Cable Inc 120 Duke Energy Corp 116 Barclays Plc 114 American Express Co 111 Enterprise Products Partners LP 110 Rabobank Nederland NV 109 Philip Morris International Inc 108 Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc 106 UBS AG 103 Twenty-First Century Fox Inc 98
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Mortgage-backed securities Additional details on the mortgage-backed component of our investment portfolio atJune 30, 2013 , are provided below: S&P Credit
Rating
BB and (in millions of U.S. dollars) AAA AA A BBB below Total Market value: Agency residential mortgage-backed (RMBS) $ -$ 9,671 $ - $ - $ -$ 9,671 Non-agency RMBS 68 11 30 23 198 330 Commercial mortgage-backed 1,414 13 10 7 - 1,444 Total mortgage-backed securities, at market value$ 1,482 $ 9,695 $ 40 $ 30 $ 198 $ 11,445 Amortized cost: Agency RMBS $ -$ 9,570 $ - $ - $ -$ 9,570 Non-agency RMBS 67 10 29 23 210 339 Commercial mortgage-backed 1,399 11 9 6 - 1,425 Total mortgage-backed securities, at amortized cost$ 1,466 $ 9,591 $ 38 $ 29 $ 210 $ 11,334 68
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Our mortgage-backed securities are rated predominantly AA and comprise 20 percent of our fixed income portfolio. This compares with a 31 percent mortgage-backed weighting in representative indices of the U.S. fixed income market atJune 30, 2013 . The minimum rating for our initial purchases of mortgage-backed securities is AA for agency mortgages and AAA for non-agency mortgages.
Agency RMBS represent securities which have been issued by Federal agencies (
Our commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) are rated predominantly AAA and broadly diversified with over 13,000 loans with 29 percent of the portfolio issued before 2006 and 52 percent issued after 2009. The average loan-to-value ratio is approximately 64 percent with a debt service coverage ratio in excess of 1.9 and weighted-average subordinated collateral of 31 percent. The cumulative foreclosure rate would have to rise to 44 percent before principal is impaired. The foreclosure rate of our CMBS portfolio atJune 30, 2013 was 1.9 percent. Below-investment grade corporate fixed income portfolio Below-investment grade securities have different characteristics than investment grade corporate debt securities. Risk of loss from default by the borrower is greater with below-investment grade securities. Below-investment grade securities are generally unsecured and are often subordinated to other creditors of the issuer. Also, issuers of below-investment grade securities usually have higher levels of debt and are more sensitive to adverse economic conditions, such as recession or increasing interest rates, than are investment grade issuers. AtJune 30, 2013 , our corporate fixed income investment portfolio included below-investment grade and non-rated securities which, in total, comprised approximately 14 percent of our fixed income portfolio. Our below-investment grade and non-rated portfolio includes approximately 1,075 issuers, with the greatest single exposure being$97 million . We manage high-yield bonds as a distinct and separate asset class from investment grade bonds. The allocation to high-yield bonds is explicitly set by internal management and is targeted to securities in the upper tier of credit quality (BB/B). Our minimum rating for initial purchase is BB/B. Six external investment managers are responsible for high-yield security selection and portfolio construction. Our high-yield managers have a conservative approach to credit selection and very low historical default experience. Holdings are highly diversified across industries and subject to a 1.5 percent issuer limit as a percentage of high-yield allocation. We monitor position limits daily through an internal compliance system. Derivative and structured securities (e.g., credit default swaps and collateralized loan obligations) are not permitted in the high-yield portfolio.
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Critical Accounting Estimates As ofJune 30, 2013 , there were no material changes to our critical accounting estimates. For full discussion of our critical accounting estimates, refer to Item 7 in our 2012 Form 10-K. Reinsurance recoverable on ceded reinsurance The following table presents a composition of our reinsurance recoverable for the periods indicated: June 30 December 31 (in millions of U.S. dollars) 2013 2012
Reinsurance recoverable on unpaid losses and loss expenses (1)
$ 11,399 Reinsurance recoverable on paid losses and loss expenses (1) 704 679
Net reinsurance recoverable on losses and loss expenses
$ 12,078 Reinsurance recoverable on policy benefits$ 240 $ 241 (1) Net of provision for uncollectible reinsurance We evaluate the financial condition of our reinsurers and potential reinsurers on a regular basis and also monitor concentrations of credit risk with reinsurers. The provision for uncollectible reinsurance is required principally due to the potential failure of reinsurers to indemnify us, primarily because of disputes under reinsurance contracts and insolvencies. The provision for uncollectible reinsurance is based on a default analysis applied to gross reinsurance recoverables, net of approximately$2.4
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billion and$2.5 billion of collateral atJune 30, 2013 andDecember 31, 2012 , respectively. The decrease in net reinsurance recoverable on losses and loss expenses was primarily due to crop activity, the impact of foreign exchange, and favorable PPD. Unpaid losses and loss expenses As an insurance and reinsurance company, we are required by applicable laws and regulations and GAAP to establish loss and loss expense reserves for the estimated unpaid portion of the ultimate liability for losses and loss expenses under the terms of our policies and agreements with our insured and reinsured customers. The estimate of the liabilities includes provisions for claims that have been reported but are unpaid at the balance sheet date (case reserves) and for obligations on claims that have been incurred but not reported (IBNR) at the balance sheet date. IBNR may also include provisions to account for the possibility that reported claims may settle for amounts that differ from the established reserves. Loss reserves also include an estimate of expenses associated with processing and settling unpaid claims (loss expenses). AtJune 30, 2013 , our gross unpaid loss and loss expense reserves were$37.3 billion and our net unpaid loss and loss expense reserves were$26.6 billion . With the exception of certain structured settlements, for which the timing and amount of future claim payments are reliably determinable, and certain reserves for unsettled claims that are discounted in statutory filings, our loss reserves are not discounted for the time value of money.
The following table presents a roll-forward of our unpaid losses and loss expenses:
Gross Reinsurance
Net
(in millions of U.S. dollars) Losses Recoverable(1)
Losses
Balance at December 31, 2012$ 37,946 $ 11,399 $ 26,547 Losses and loss expenses incurred 5,490 1,314
4,176
Losses and loss expenses paid (5,784 ) (1,873 ) (3,911 ) Other (including foreign exchange translation) (309 ) (102 ) (207 ) Balance at June 30, 2013$ 37,343 $ 10,738 $ 26,605
(1) Net of provision for uncollectible reinsurance
The process of establishing loss reserves for property and casualty claims can be complex and is subject to considerable uncertainty as it requires the use of informed estimates and judgments based on circumstances known at the date of accrual.
The following table presents our total reserves segregated between case reserves (including loss expense reserves) and IBNR reserves:
June 30, 2013 December 31, 2012 (in millions of U.S. dollars) Gross Ceded Net Gross Ceded Net Case reserves$ 16,102 $ 4,791 $ 11,311 $ 16,804 $ 5,406 $ 11,398 IBNR reserves 21,241 5,947 15,294 21,142 5,993 15,149 Total$ 37,343 $ 10,738 $ 26,605 $ 37,946 $ 11,399 $ 26,547
Asbestos and Environmental (A&E) and Other Run-off Liabilities There was no unexpected A&E reserve activity during the six months ended
Fair value measurements The accounting guidance on fair value measurements defines fair value as the price to sell an asset or transfer a liability in an orderly transaction between market participants and establishes a three-level valuation hierarchy in which inputs into valuation techniques used to measure fair value are classified. The fair value hierarchy gives the highest priority to quoted prices in active markets (Level 1 inputs) and the lowest priority to unobservable data (Level 3 inputs). Inputs in Level 1 are unadjusted quoted prices for identical assets or liabilities in active markets. Level 2 includes inputs other than quoted prices included within Level 1 that are observable for assets or liabilities either directly or indirectly. Level 2 inputs include, among other items, quoted prices for similar assets and liabilities in active markets, quoted prices for identical or similar assets and liabilities in markets that are not active, and inputs other than quoted 70
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prices that are observable for the asset or liability such as interest rates and yield curves. Level 3 inputs are unobservable and reflect our judgments about assumptions that market participants would use in pricing an asset or liability. We categorize financial instruments within the valuation hierarchy at the balance sheet date based upon the lowest level of inputs that are significant to the fair value measurement. Accordingly, transfers between levels within the valuation hierarchy occur when there are significant changes to the inputs, such as increases or decreases in market activity, changes to the availability of current prices, changes to the transparency to underlying inputs, and whether there are significant variances in quoted prices. Transfers in and/or out of any level are assumed to occur at the end of the period. While we obtain values for the majority of the investment securities we hold from one or more pricing services, it is ultimately management's responsibility to determine whether the values obtained and recorded in the financial statements are representative of fair value. We periodically update our understanding of the methodologies used by our pricing services in order to validate that the prices obtained from those services are consistent with the GAAP definition of fair value as an exit price. Based on our understanding of the methodologies, our pricing services only produce an estimate of fair value if there is observable market information that would allow them to make a fair value estimate. Based on our understanding of the market inputs used by our pricing services, all applicable investments have been valued in accordance with GAAP valuation principles. We have controls to review significant price changes and stale pricing, and to ensure that prices received from pricing services have been accurately reflected in the consolidated financial statements. We do not typically adjust prices obtained from pricing services. Additionally, the valuation of fixed maturities is more subjective when markets are less liquid due to the lack of market based inputs (i.e., stale pricing), which may increase the potential that the estimated fair value of an investment is not reflective of the price at which an actual transaction would occur. For a small number of fixed maturities, we obtain a quote from a broker (typically a market maker). Due to the disclaimers on the quotes that indicate that the price is indicative only, we include these fair value estimates in Level 3. AtJune 30, 2013 , Level 3 assets represented five percent of assets that are measured at fair value and three percent of total assets. Level 3 liabilities represented 100 percent of liabilities that are measured at fair value and one percent of our total liabilities. During the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , we transferred assets of$48 million and$63 million , respectively, into our Level 3 assets from other levels of the valuation hierarchy. During the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , we transferred assets of$41 million and$71 million , respectively, out of our Level 3 assets to other levels of the valuation hierarchy. Refer to Note 4 to the consolidated financial statements for a description of the valuation techniques and inputs used to determine fair values for our financial instruments measured or disclosed at fair value by valuation hierarchy (Levels 1, 2, and 3) as well as a roll-forward of Level 3 financial instruments measured at fair value for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. Guaranteed living benefits (GLB) derivatives Under life reinsurance programs covering living benefit guarantees, we assumed the risk of GLBs associated with variable annuity (VA) contracts. We ceased writing this business in 2007. Our GLB reinsurance product meets the definition of a derivative for accounting purposes and is therefore carried at fair value. We believe that the most meaningful presentation of these derivatives is to reflect cash inflows or revenue as net premiums earned, and to record estimates of the average modeled value of future cash outflows as incurred losses. Accordingly, we recognize benefit reserves consistent with the accounting guidance related to accounting and reporting by insurance enterprises for certain non-traditional long-duration contracts and for separate accounts. Changes in the benefit reserves are reflected as Policy benefits expense, which is included in life underwriting income. The incremental difference between fair value and benefit reserves is reflected in Accounts payable, accrued expenses, and other liabilities in the consolidated balance sheets and related changes in fair value are reflected in Net realized gains (losses) in the consolidated statement of operations. We intend to hold these derivative contracts to maturity (i.e., the expiration of the underlying liabilities through lapse, annuitization, death, or expiration of the reinsurance contract). To partially offset the risk in the VA guarantee reinsurance portfolio, we invest in derivative hedge instruments. At maturity, the cumulative gains and losses will net to zero (excluding cumulative hedge gains or losses) because, over time, the insurance liability will be increased or decreased to equal our obligation. For a sensitivity discussion of the effect of changes in interest rates, equity indices, and other assumptions on the fair value of GLBs, and the resulting impact on our net income, refer to Item 3. The fair value of GLB reinsurance is estimated using an internal valuation model, which includes current market information and estimates of policyholder behavior from the perspective of a theoretical market participant that would assume these liabilities. All of our treaties contain claim limits, which are factored into the valuation model. The fair value depends on a number of
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factors, including interest rates, current account value, market volatility, expected annuitization rates and other policyholder behavior, and changes in policyholder mortality. The model and related assumptions are continuously re-evaluated by management and enhanced, as appropriate, based upon additional experience obtained related to policyholder behavior and availability of more timely market information, such as market conditions and demographics of in-force annuities. Due to the inherent uncertainties of the assumptions used in the valuation models to determine the fair value of these derivative products, actual experience may differ from the estimates reflected in our consolidated financial statements, and the differences may be material. For further information on the estimates and assumptions used in determining the fair value of GLB reinsurance, refer to Note 4 to the consolidated financial statements.
During the six months ended
During the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , realized gains of$101 million and$470 million , respectively, were associated with a decreased value of GLB liabilities primarily due to rising equity levels and the favorable impact of foreign exchange and interest rate movements partially offset by the impact of discounting future claims for one and two fewer quarters, respectively. This excludes realized losses of$68 million and$318 million during the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 , respectively, on derivative hedge instruments held to partially offset the risk in the VA guarantee reinsurance portfolio. These derivatives do not receive hedge accounting treatment. Refer to the "Net Realized and Unrealized Gains (Losses)" section for a breakdown of the realized gains (losses) on GLB reinsurance and derivatives for the three and six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. ACE Tempest Life Re employs a strategy to manage the financial market and policyholder behavior risks embedded in the reinsurance of VA guarantees. Risk management begins with underwriting a prospective client and guarantee design, with particular focus on protecting our position from policyholder options that, because of anti-selective behavior, could adversely impact our obligation. A second layer of risk management is the structure of the reinsurance contracts. All VA guarantee reinsurance contracts include some form of annual or aggregate claim limit(s). The different categories of claim limits are described below:
• Reinsurance programs covering guaranteed minimum death benefits (GMDB) with
an annual claim limit of two percent of account value. This category accounts
for approximately 60 percent of the total reinsured GMDB guaranteed value.
Approximately one percent of the guaranteed value in this category has additional reinsurance coverage for GLB.
• Reinsurance programs covering GMDB with claim limit(s) that are a function of
the underlying guaranteed value. This category accounts for approximately 25
percent of the total reinsured GMDB guaranteed value. The annual claim limit
expressed as a percentage of guaranteed value ranges from 0.4 percent to 2
percent. Approximately 65 percent of guaranteed value in this category is
also subject to annual claim deductibles that range from 0.1 percent to 0.2
percent of guaranteed value (i.e., our reinsurance coverage would only pay
total annual claims in excess of 0.1 percent to 0.2 percent of the total
guaranteed value). Approximately 50 percent of guaranteed value in this
category is also subject to an aggregate claim limit which was approximately
value in this category has additional reinsurance coverage for GLB.
• Reinsurance programs covering GMDB and guaranteed minimum accumulation
benefits (GMAB). This category accounts for approximately 15 percent of the
total reinsured GLB guaranteed value and 15 percent of the total reinsured
GMDB guaranteed value. These reinsurance programs are quota-share agreements
with the quota-share decreasing as the ratio of account value to guaranteed
value decreases. The quota-share is 100 percent for ratios between 100
percent and 75 percent, 60 percent for additional losses on ratios between 75
percent and 45 percent, and 30 percent for further losses on ratios below 45
percent. Approximately 35 percent of guaranteed value in this category is
also subject to a claim deductible of 8.8 percent of guaranteed value (i.e.,
our reinsurance coverage would only pay when the ratio of account value to
guaranteed value is below 91.2 percent).
• Reinsurance programs covering GMIB with an annual claim limit. This category
accounts for approximately 55 percent of the total reinsured GLB guaranteed
value. The annual claim limit is 10 percent of guaranteed value on over 95
percent of the guaranteed value in this category. Additionally, reinsurance
programs in this category have an annual annuitization limit that ranges
between 17.5 percent and 30 percent with approximately 40 percent of
guaranteed value subject to an annuitization limit of 20 percent or under,
and the remaining 60 percent subject to an annuitization limit of 30 percent.
Approximately 40 percent of guaranteed value in this category is also subject
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limit the exposure to low interest rates. Approximately 40 percent of guaranteed value in this category has additional reinsurance coverage for GMDB.
• Reinsurance programs covering GMIB with aggregate claim limit. This category
accounts for approximately 30 percent of the total reinsured GLB guaranteed
value. The aggregate claim limit for reinsurance programs in this category is
approximately
category have an annual annuitization limit of 20 percent and approximately
60 percent of guaranteed value in this category is also subject to minimum
annuity conversion factors that limit the exposure to low interest rates.
Approximately 40 percent of guaranteed value in this category has additional
reinsurance coverage for GMDB.
A third layer of risk management is the hedging strategy which looks to mitigate both long-term economic loss over time as well as dampen income statement volatility. ACE Tempest Life Re owned financial market instruments as part of the hedging strategy with a fair value asset of$39 million and$24 million atJune 30, 2013 andDecember 31, 2012 , respectively. The instruments are substantially collateralized by our counterparties, on a daily basis. We also limit the aggregate amount of variable annuity reinsurance guarantee risk we are willing to assume. The last substantive U.S. transaction was quoted in mid-2007 and the last transaction inJapan was quoted in late 2007. The aggregate number of policyholders is currently decreasing through policyholder withdrawals, annuitizations, and deaths at a rate of 5 percent - 10 percent annually. Note that GLB claims cannot occur for any reinsured policy until it has reached the end of its "waiting period". The vast majority of policies we reinsure reach the end of their "waiting periods" in 2013 or later, as shown in the table below. Percent of living benefit Year of first payment eligibility account valuesJune 30, 2013 and prior 18% Remainder of 2013 12% 2014 18% 2015 6% 2016 6% 2017 19% 2018 15% 2019 5% 2020 and after 1% Total 100% The following table presents the historical cash flows under these policies for the periods indicated. The amounts represent accrued past premium received and claims paid, split by benefit type. Three Months Ended
Six Months Ended
June 30 June 30 (in millions of U.S. dollars) 2013 2012 2013 2012 Death Benefits (GMDB) Premium$ 20 $ 21 $ 40 $ 43 Less paid claims 22 26 42 52 Net$ (2 ) $ (5 ) $ (2 ) $ (9 ) Living Benefits (Includes GMIB and GMAB) Premium$ 37 $ 40 $ 76 $ 80 Less paid claims 6 1 13 2 Net$ 31 $ 39 $ 63 $ 78 Total VA Guaranteed Benefits Premium$ 57 $ 61 $ 116 $ 123 Less paid claims 28 27 55 54 Net$ 29 $ 34 $ 61 $ 69 73
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Table of Contents Death Benefits (GMDB) For premiums and claims from VA contracts reinsuring GMDBs, at current market levels, we expect approximately$57 million of claims and$71 million of premium on death benefits over the next 12 months. GLB (includes GMIB and GMAB) Our GLBs predominantly include premiums and claims from VA contracts reinsuring GMIB and GMAB. Approximately 80 percent of our living benefit reinsurance clients' policyholders are currently ineligible to trigger a claim payment. The vast majority of these policyholders become eligible between years 2013 and 2018. At current market levels, we expect approximately$11 million of claims and$141 million of premium on living benefits over the next 12 months.
Collateral
ACE Tempest Life Re holds collateral on behalf of most of its clients in the form of qualified assets in trust or letters of credit, typically in an amount sufficient for the client to obtain statutory reserve credit for the reinsurance. The timing of the calculation and amount of the collateral varies by client according to the particulars of the reinsurance treaty and the statutory reserve guidelines of the client's domicile.
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Catastrophe management We actively monitor our catastrophe risk accumulation around the world. The following modeled loss information reflects our in-force portfolio and reinsurance program at
The table below presents our modeled annual aggregate pre-tax probable maximum loss (PML), net of reinsurance, for 100-year and 250-year return periods for U.S. hurricanes andCalifornia earthquakes atJune 30, 2013 and 2012. The table also presents ACE's corresponding share of pre-tax industry losses for each of the return periods for U.S. hurricanes andCalifornia earthquakes atJune 30, 2013 and 2012. For example, according to the model, for the 1-in-100 return period scenario, there is a one percent chance that our losses incurred in any year from U.S. hurricanes could be in excess of$1,714 million (or 6.3 percent of our total shareholders' equity atJune 30, 2013 ). We estimate that at such hypothetical loss levels, ACE's share of aggregate industry losses would be approximately one percent. U.S. Hurricanes California Earthquakes June 30 June 30 June 30 June 30 2013 2012 2013 2012 Modeled Annual % of Total % of Total Aggregate Net Shareholders' % of Shareholders' % of PML ACE Equity Industry ACE ACE Equity Industry ACE (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for percentages) 1-in-100$ 1,714 6.3 % 1.0 %$ 1,648 $ 802 2.9 % 2.0 %$ 778 1-in-250$ 2,263 8.3 % 0.9 %$ 2,201 $ 1,005 3.7 % 1.6 %$ 995 The modeling estimates of both ACE and industry loss levels are inherently uncertain owing to key assumptions. First, while the use of third-party catastrophe modeling packages to simulate potential hurricane and earthquake losses is prevalent within the insurance industry, the models are reliant upon significant meteorology, seismology, and engineering assumptions to estimate hurricane and earthquake losses. In particular, modeled hurricane and earthquake events are not always a representation of actual events and ensuing additional loss potential. Second, there is no universal standard in the preparation of insured data for use in the models and the running of the modeling software. Third, we are reliant upon third-party estimates of industry insured exposures and there is significant variation possible around the relationship between our loss and that of the industry following an event. Fourth, we assume that our reinsurance recoveries following an event are fully collectible. These loss estimates do not represent our potential maximum exposures and it is highly likely that our actual incurred losses would vary materially from the modeled estimates.
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Natural catastrophe property reinsurance program ACE's core property catastrophe reinsurance program provides protection against natural catastrophes impacting its primary property operations (i.e., excluding our Global Reinsurance and Life segments) and consists of two separate towers. We regularly review our reinsurance protection and corresponding property catastrophe exposures. This may or may not lead to the purchase of additional reinsurance prior to a program's renewal date. In addition, prior to each renewal date, we consider how much, if any, coverage we intend to buy and we may make material changes to the current structure in light of various factors, including modeled PML assessment at various return periods, reinsurance pricing, our risk tolerance and exposures, and various other structuring considerations. There were no significant changes to ACE's coverage under its North American Core Property Catastrophe Program during the second quarter. However, with respect to our International Property Catastrophe Program, we renewed the layers of reinsurance protection in excess of$150 million on our Core Program for the period fromJuly 1, 2013 throughJune 30, 2014 . We expanded our all perils coverage from$250 million to$350 million (by expanding perils covered in what was historically the$300 million to$450 million layer) and eliminated the$500 million to$550 million layer of coverage. There is an additional$75 million global top layer that continues to sit above the International Property Catastrophe Program and the North American Core Program that expires atJanuary 1st and now attaches at$500 million on our International Program. There were no other significant changes in coverage from the expiring program. Refer to our 2012 Form 10-K for additional information.
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Crop Insurance We are, and have been since the 1980s, one of the leading writers of crop insurance in the U.S. and have conducted that business through a managing general agent subsidiary of Rain and Hail. We provide protection throughout the U.S. on a variety of crops and are therefore geographically diversified, which reduces the risk of exposure to a single event or a heavy accumulation of losses in any one region. Our crop insurance business comprises two components -Multiple Peril Crop Insurance (MPCI) and crop-hail insurance. The MPCI program is offered in conjunction with theU.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA). The policies cover revenue shortfalls or production losses due to natural causes such as drought, excessive moisture, hail, wind, frost, insects, and disease. Generally, policies have deductibles ranging from 10 percent to 50 percent of the insured's risk. TheUSDA's Risk Management Agency (RMA) sets the policy terms and conditions, rates and forms, and is also responsible for setting compliance standards. As a participating company, we report all details of policies underwritten to the RMA and are party to a Standard Reinsurance Agreement (SRA). The SRA sets out the relationship between private insurance companies and theFederal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC) concerning the terms and conditions regarding the risks each will bear including the pro-rata and state stop-loss provisions which allows companies to limit the exposure of any one state or group of states on their underwriting results. In addition to the pro-rata and excess of loss reinsurance protections inherent in the SRA, we also purchase third party proportional and stop-loss reinsurance for our MPCI business to reduce our exposure. Each year the RMA issues a final SRA for the subsequent reinsurance year. InJune 2013 , the RMA released the 2014 SRA which establishes the terms and conditions for the 2014 reinsurance year (i.e.,July 1, 2013 throughJune 30, 2014 ) that replaced the 2013 SRA. There were no significant changes in the terms and conditions. On the MPCI business, we recognize net premiums written as soon as estimable, which is generally when we receive acreage reports from the policyholders on the various crops throughout the U.S. This allows us to best determine the premium associated with the liability that is being planted. The MPCI program has specific timeframes as to when producers must report acreage to us and in certain cases, the reporting occurs after the close of the respective reinsurance year. Once the net premium written has been recorded, the premium is then earned over the growing season for the crops. A majority of the crops that are covered in the program are typically subject to the SRA in effect at the beginning of the year. Given the major crops covered in the program, we typically see a substantial written and earned premium impact in the second and third quarters. The pricing of MPCI premium is determined using a number of factors including commodity prices and related volatility. For instance, in most states the pricing for the MPCI Revenue Product for corn includes a factor that is based on the average price in February of theChicago Board of Trade December corn futures. To the extent that the corn commodity prices are higher in February than they were in the previous February, and all other factors are the same, the increase in corn prices will increase the corn premium year over year. Our crop-hail program is a private offering. Premium is earned on the crop-hail program over the coverage period of the policy. Given the very short nature of the growing season, most crop-hail business is typically written in the second and third quarters with the earned premium also more heavily occurring during this time frame. We use industry data to develop our own rates and forms for the coverage offered. The policy primarily protects farmers against yield reduction caused by hail and/or fire, and related costs such as transit to storage. We offer various deductibles to allow the grower to partially self-insure for a reduced premium cost. We limit our crop-hail exposures through the use of township liability limits and third party proportional and stop-loss reinsurance on our net retained hail business.
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Liquidity
We anticipate that positive cash flows from operations (underwriting activities and investment income) should be sufficient to cover cash outflows under most loss scenarios for the near term. In addition to cash from operations, routine sales of investments, and financing arrangements, we have agreements with a third-party bank provider which implemented two international multi-currency notional cash pooling programs to enhance cash management efficiency during periods of short-term timing mismatches between expected inflows and outflows of cash by currency. The programs allow us to optimize investment income by avoiding portfolio disruption. Should the need arise, we generally have access to capital markets and available credit facilities. AtJune 30, 2013 , our available credit lines totaled$1.9 billion and usage to support issued letters of credit was$1.3 billion . Our access to funds under existing credit facilities is dependent on the ability of the banks that are parties to the facilities to meet their funding commitments. Our existing credit facilities have remaining terms expiring between 2014 and 2017 and require that we maintain certain financial covenants, all of which we met atJune 30, 2013 . Should any
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of our existing credit providers experience financial difficulty, we may be required to replace credit sources, possibly in a difficult market. If we cannot obtain adequate capital or sources of credit on favorable terms, on a timely basis, or at all, our business, operating results, and financial condition could be adversely affected. To date, we have not experienced difficulty accessing any of our credit facilities. Refer to "Credit Facilities" in our 2012 Form 10-K. The payment of dividends or other statutorily permissible distributions from our operating companies are subject to the laws and regulations applicable to each jurisdiction as well as the need to maintain capital levels adequate to support the insurance and reinsurance operations, including financial strength ratings issued by independent rating agencies. During the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , we were able to meet all of our obligations, including the payments of dividends on our Common Shares, with our net cash flows. We assess which subsidiaries to draw dividends from based on a number of factors. Considerations such as regulatory and legal restrictions as well as the subsidiary's financial condition are paramount to the dividend decision.ACE Limited did not receive any dividends from itsBermuda subsidiaries during the six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. The payment of any dividends from AGM or its subsidiaries is subject to applicableU.K. insurance laws and regulations. In addition, the release of funds by Syndicate 2488 to subsidiaries of AGM is subject to regulations promulgated by theSociety of Lloyd's . The U.S. insurance subsidiaries ofACE INA may pay dividends, without prior regulatory approval, subject to restrictions set out in state law of the subsidiary's domicile (or, if applicable, commercial domicile).ACE INA's international subsidiaries are also subject to insurance laws and regulations particular to the countries in which the subsidiaries operate. These laws and regulations sometimes include restrictions that limit the amount of dividends payable without prior approval of regulatory insurance authorities.ACE Limited did not receive any dividends from AGM orACE INA during the six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. Debt issued byACE INA is serviced by statutorily permissible distributions byACE INA's insurance subsidiaries toACE INA as well as other group resources. Cash Flows Sources of liquidity include cash from operations, routine sales of investments, and financing arrangements. The following is a discussion of our cash flows for the six months endedJune 30, 2013 and 2012. Our consolidated net cash flows from operating activities were$1.8 billion in the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$1.4 billion in the prior year period. The increase in operating cash flows was primarily due to higher net premiums collected of$187 million and lower income taxes paid of$171 million . Our consolidated net cash flows used for investing activities were$2.4 billion in the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$1.3 billion in the prior year period. The increase in cash flows used for investing activities was primarily due to the acquisitions of ABA Seguros and Fianzas Monterrey in the second quarter 2013. Our consolidated net cash flows from financing activities were$658 million in the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with net cash flows used for financing activities of$123 million in the prior year period. Financing cash flows for the six months endedJune 30, 2013 included$947 million</money> of proceeds from the issuance of long-term debt. Refer to Note 6 to the Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information on the long-term debt issuance. The prior year period financing cash flows included $151 million from the issuance of short-term debt, net of repayments. Share repurchases and dividends paid on Common Shares were$212 million and$169 million , respectively, in the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , compared with$11 million and$318 million , respectively. Dividends paid on Common Shares decreased due to the accelerated payment of the fourth quarter 2012 dividend inDecember 2012 , which would normally have been paid during the first quarter 2013. Both internal and external forces influence our financial condition, results of operations, and cash flows. Claim settlements, premium levels, and investment returns may be impacted by changing rates of inflation and other economic conditions. In many cases, significant periods of time, ranging up to several years or more, may lapse between the occurrence of an insured loss, the reporting of the loss to us, and the settlement of the liability for that loss. In the current low interest rate environment, we utilize repurchase agreements as a low-cost alternative for short-term funding needs and to address short-term cash timing differences without disrupting our investment portfolio holdings. We subsequently settle these transactions with future operating cash flows. AtJune 30, 2013 , there were$1.4 billion in repurchase agreements outstanding. 76
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Capital Resources Capital resources consist of funds deployed or available to be deployed to support our business operations. The following table summarizes the components of our capital resources: June 30 December 31 (in millions of U.S. dollars, except for percentages) 2013 2012 Short-term debt$ 1,901 $ 1,401 Long-term debt 3,807 3,360 Total debt 5,708 4,761 Trust preferred securities 309 309 Total shareholders' equity 27,295 27,531 Total capitalization$ 33,312 $ 32,601 Ratio of debt to total capitalization 17.1 % 14.6 %Ratio of debt plus trust preferred securities to total capitalization 18.1 % 15.6 %
In
Our ratios of debt to total capitalization and debt plus trust preferred securities to total capitalization increased primarily due to the issuance of$475 million of 2.7 percent senior notes dueMarch 2023 and$475 million of 4.15 percent senior notes dueMarch 2043 during the six months endedJune 30, 2013 . The proceeds from the debt issuance are expected to be used to repay at maturity the$500 million 5.875 percent senior notes dueJune 2014 and the$450 million 5.6 percent senior notes dueMay 2015 . The following table reports the significant movements in our shareholders' equity: Six Months Ended (in millions of U.S. dollars) June 30, 2013 Balance - beginning of period $ 27,531 Net income 1,844 Change in net unrealized depreciation on investments, net of tax (1,315 ) Dividends on Common Shares (342 ) Change in net cumulative translation, net of tax (324 ) Repurchase of shares (212 ) Exercise of stock options 54 Other movements, net of tax 59 Balance - end of period $ 27,295 During the six months endedJune 30, 2013 , we repurchased$212 million of Common Shares in a series of open market transactions under theNovember 2012 ,August 2011 andNovember 2010 Board of Directors authorizations, primarily to offset dilution from our incentive compensation plans. AtJune 30, 2013 ,$249 million in share repurchase authorizations remained throughDecember 31, 2013 . AtJune 30, 2013 there were 2,746,143 Common Shares in treasury with a weighted average cost of$79.57 per share. We generally maintain the ability to issue certain classes of debt and equity securities via an unlimitedSecurities and Exchange Commission (SEC) shelf registration which is renewed every three years. This allows us capital market access for refinancing as well as for unforeseen or opportunistic capital needs. Our current shelf registration on file with theSEC expires inDecember 2014 . 77
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Dividends
We have paid dividends each quarter since we became a public company in 1993. Under Swiss law, dividends must be stated in Swiss francs though dividend payments are made by ACE in U.S. dollars. Following ACE's redomestication toSwitzerland inJuly 2008 March 2011, dividends were distributed by way of a par value reduction. At ourMay 2011 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved dividend distributions from capital contribution reserves (Additional paid-in capital) through the transfer of dividends from Additional paid-in capital to Retained earnings. At ourMay 2012 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend distribution for the following year by way of a par value reduction equal to$1.96 per share, orCHF 1.80 per share, calculated using the USD/CHF exchange rate as published in theWall Street Journal onMay 10, 2012 . At ourMay 2013 annual general meeting, our shareholders approved an annual dividend distribution for the following year by way of a par value reduction equal to$2.04 per share, orCHF 1.92 per share, calculated using the USD/CHF exchange rate as published in theWall Street Journal onMay 10, 2013 . The annual dividend is payable in four quarterly installments, with each installment equaling$0.51 per share, provided that the Swiss franc equivalent of that amount per share (based on the then-current USD/CHF exchange rate), taken together with the Swiss franc equivalents of all other installments of this annual dividend, will not exceed 150 percent ofCHF 1.92 (the aggregate distribution cap). If the Swiss franc equivalent of an upcoming dividend installment would cause the aggregate distribution cap to be exceeded, then that dividend installment will be reduced to equal the Swiss franc amount remaining available under the aggregate distribution cap, and the U.S. dollar amount distributed for that installment will be the then-applicable U.S. dollar equivalent of the remaining Swiss franc amount. The following table represents dividends paid per Common Share to shareholders of record on each of the following dates: Shareholders of record as of: Dividends paid as of: March 28, 2013 April 12, 2013$0.49 (CHF 0.46 ) July 23, 2013 August 13, 2013$0.51 (CHF 0.48 )
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HUMANA INC – 10-Q – MANAGEMENT’S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF
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