2023 Shareholder Letter
"Our goal is for each
Dear Shareholder,
Last year (2023) was a pivotal year for our company, for the country, and for the world. An increase of over 500 basis points in interest rates in
In the midst of all these events, we honor the passing of one of the legends we have always admired. One of the greatest investors of all time and, of course, a hero to us Nebraskans:
"A great business at a fair price is superior to a fair business at a great price." -CharlieMunger
For
Even though the world is constantly changing, the five core values we have as a company remain the same and carry over to each of our businesses:
- Provide superior customer experiences.
- Create an awesome work environment.
- Pursue opportunities for diversification and growth.
- Communicate openly and honestly.
- Give back to the communities in which we live and work.
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 1
Our focus on diversification over many years is what has allowed us to reach this point, where our fee-based businesses are now contributing the majority of the bottom line.
Our GAAP earnings for 2023 were
We weathered an unexpected storm in the finance and hedging of our loan portfolio in March, when the markets became highly volatile due to the
In addition, we had a heck of a year-long roller coaster ride in our loan servicing business in conjunction with the volatile political environment surrounding student loans. The leaders in this business,
Inside the Corporate and Other Activities section of our financial statements, we now have included shared services, Nelnet Renewable Energy, our current minority investment in ALLO, and our venture capital investments, which are dominated by our large investment in Hudl. We will cover these in more detail as well.
We sincerely did not believe the
We have always been focused on creating long-term free cash flow. Sometimes this is not captured well by (GAAP) earnings. Other companies use other measures to judge their performance; our feelings are more in line with Munger's.
"I think that every time you see the word EBITDA, you should substitute the words bull$#!t earnings." -
Our overall earnings for the year are down because of the expected runoff of the Federal Family Education Loan Program (FFELP) portfolio and losses in our solar business. In addition, we are down from what we expected as a result of the impact of the unwinding of our derivatives in March, which we did to create liquidity when we saw the run on SVB. Even though our earnings were down, we created a significant amount of cash flow generated by operations to the tune of
1We prepare our financial statements and present our financial results in accordance with GAAP. However, we also provide additional non-GAAP financial information related to specific items management believes to be important in the evaluation of our operating results and performance. A reconciliation of our GAAP net income to net income, excluding derivative market value adjustments, and a discussion of why we believe providing this additional information is useful to investors can be found in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 2
|
Nelnet Per Share Book Value |
Nelnet Per Share Market Value |
S&P 500 |
Net Income Reinvested2 |
||
|
With Dividends Included |
With Dividends Included |
With Dividends Included |
(in millions) |
||
|
2004 |
49.2% |
20.2% |
10.9% |
|
|
|
2005 |
41.5% |
51.1% |
4.9% |
|
|
|
2006 |
6.3% |
(32.7%) |
15.8% |
|
|
|
2007 |
(1.6%) |
(52.5%) |
5.5% |
( |
|
|
2008 |
6.6% |
13.3% |
(37.0%) |
|
|
|
2009 |
21.0% |
20.7% |
26.5% |
|
|
|
2010 |
23.7% |
41.6% |
15.1% |
|
|
|
2011 |
22.6% |
4.9% |
2.1% |
|
|
|
2012 |
16.7% |
27.5% |
16.0% |
|
|
|
2013 |
26.1% |
42.8% |
32.4% |
|
|
|
2014 |
21.1% |
10.9% |
13.7% |
|
|
|
2015 |
16.0% |
(26.6%) |
1.4% |
|
|
|
2016 |
15.4% |
52.7% |
12.0% |
|
|
|
2017 |
8.8% |
9.1% |
21.8% |
|
|
|
2018 |
9.9% |
(3.2%) |
(4.4%) |
|
|
|
2019 |
6.2% |
12.7% |
31.5% |
|
|
|
2020 |
15.6% |
23.7% |
18.4% |
|
|
|
2021 |
14.7% |
38.4% |
28.7% |
|
|
|
2022 |
11.9% |
(6.1%) |
(18.1%) |
|
|
|
2023 |
3.4% |
(1.6%) |
26.3% |
|
|
|
CAGR/Total |
16.2% |
8.4% |
9.7% |
|
We feel like we did a decent but not a great job in 2023 as managers of our businesses and allocators of our capital given all the insanity of domestic and global events occurring during the year. This will be reflected in our executive team's compensation this year. We eat our own cooking.
It is important to note, we believe we maintain significant competitive advantages in our major business units and remain opportunistic and optimistic for the future. We do not act like most publicly traded companies, and we think that gives us a big advantage as we think long-term when making decisions.
"Mimicking the herd invites regression to the mean." -
Next, I will give you an update of our three largest divisions along with our two largest minority investments in ALLO and Hudl.
2We believe well-managed companies do not distribute to the shareholders all their earnings. Instead, they retain a part of their earnings and reinvest the capital to grow the business. Since going public in late 2003, the company has recognized
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 3
//
Over the last year, NDS may have had the wildest roller coaster ride of its 45-year existence. We could not have imagined it could have been wilder than the previous few years, but decisions impacting the Federal Student Loan Program continue to be driven by a volatile political climate in this country. As an entity trying to serve borrowers the best we can, we are not blaming either side of the political divide, just highlighting the politically challenging and unpredictable nature of the current federal servicing environment.
At our core in loan servicing, we are a business-to-business-to-consumer company. Lenders hire us to service their borrower customers' accounts. They pay us an amount based upon the level of service they require. We have many clients within the division: banks, finance companies, fintechs, state agencies, and of course the largest consumer lender: the Federal Government. We have had some amazing growth in the business including large transactions associated with the Wells Fargo portfolio and the recently announced
In addition to consumer loan servicing, we service
When the pandemic hit, every federally held loan was put into a non-interest-bearingnon-payment status, first using executive authority and then under the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act. The CARES Act forbearance was extended by
Throughout the 3.5-year CARES Act forbearance period-which included multiple promises of retuto repayment (R2R), followed instead by extension after extension of the forbearance-we were instructed by the
At the same time, due to a significant underfunding of the
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 4
The systems for borrowers to access their accounts are required to run 24/7/365, so there was no ability to reduce costs there. This meant the only possible outcome was a reduction in staff. This was extremely bad timing and right before staff would be needed, given the agreed upon October R2R if the forgiveness plan were to be stopped by the Supreme Court. It takes many months to hire and train as well as obtain security clearance for thousands of people to support borrowers. The cuts to our fees saved millions of dollars for the Federal Government temporarily but most likely cost the taxpayers tens of billions over the years to come by reducing servicing activity necessary to support the Federal Government as a lender to collect on its loans.
"The iron rule of nature is: you get what you reward for. If you want ants to come, you put sugar on the floor." -CharlieMunger
Finally, as expected, in 2023,
Starting
Going into calendar year 2024, FSA's budget issues persist, and the Department continues to look for ways to reduce fees and costs in servicing. Almost all these reductions come at the expense of what anyone would deem as acceptable service. The Department also continues its quest toward broad student loan forgiveness, having begun Negotiated Rulemaking on a provision of the Higher Education Act in the wake of the
The good news is we are confident this situation will pass, as is always the case. The roller coaster will eventually reach the flat part of the track. We are hopeful that smart, caring, practical people on both sides of the aisle will come to the right conclusion and set things back on a more reasonable track so that student borrowers receive adequate levels of service. In the meantime, rest assured we are doing everything in our power to support Direct Loan borrowers and the Department. We are very grateful for the strong fortitude and caring servant leadership of our team and teammates, who are on the front lines of this business every day, helping borrowers navigate this extremely complex and shifting program.
// Nelnet Business Services
As we stated in the introduction, NBS had a record year in 2023, earning
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 5
// FACTS
FACTS is a partner to private and faith-basedK-12 schools providing payment solutions to create an efficient customer experience for administrators, teachers, and families. We continue to add new products to the comprehensive suite of product solutions, ranging from financial management tools to make the costs of education more affordable, a robust school information system, and coaching and professional development opportunities for the teachers we serve. In support of our expanded product offering and similar client needs, we consolidated the brands under Nelnet Community Engagement into the FACTS family in 2023. This allows our value to extend beyond education to the for-profit and faith markets as a trusted partner focusing on the needs of educators and learners.
We continue to bring value to the students in the classrooms through Title I and Title II federal funding programs across the
Our overall commitment to providing technology with superior customer experiences contributes to our consistent retention rate in excess of 98%. We are honored to support the nearly 12,000 schools we serve and the over 4.5 million students and
their families.
// Nelnet Campus Commerce
Nelnet Campus Commerce has offered payment solutions designed to meet the unique mission and needs of higher education for over 25 years. We currently serve over 1,000 institutions in the
// Nelnet Payment Services
Nelnet Payment Services is an independent sales organization (ISO), providing end-to-end payment processing technology for our education segment, other
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 6
//
//
As we stated earlier, we have officially combined our loan asset generation and management business (FFELP, private education, and consumer loans) and
Our primary goal in NFS is to leverage our unique long-term time investment horizon along with our experience and expertise in credit and capital markets to originate assets that achieve acceptable risk-adjusted returns while managing liquidity and duration to support
We focus on investments that have predictable recurring cash flows. Additionally, we are continually evaluating asset classes that could be originated and funded at
FFELP truly was a unique asset class that allowed us to achieve strong returns on equity with little credit risk. As we look beyond FFELP, we must take a view toward building on our core competencies (risks we understand well) and be opportunistic. When reviewing any asset opportunity, we consider whether the best funding source is the bank, our balance sheet, or the capital markets. We employ structured investments across the capital stack with a goal of optimizing risk-adjusted returns. We look to balance the size of our investments with diversification, conviction, expertise, and the synergies (bank, servicing) that may exist. An example of this is how we invested in the Wells Fargo private loan portfolio.
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 7
// FFELP
As we have been emphasizing for the last decade, FFELP continues to be in a state of runoff and appears to be in the final stages of its life. As one of the largest and one of the few remaining purchasers in the space, we are still in position to act opportunistically; however, we expect these opportunities for FFELP portfolio purchases to be few and far between.
FFELP remains susceptible to government policy that can have a dramatic impact on prepayment rates. At the end of 2003, we had a portfolio of nearly
// Specialty Finance
As will be touched on in more detail at the end of the letter, our non-FFELP finance business began in earnest with the initial acquisition of consumer loans in 2017 and has gained significantly more scale over the last five years as we have developed key origination partnerships and completed diligence on new opportunities and sectors. We invest when and where we believe there are compelling long-term, resilient, risk-adjusted returns and are cognizant of credit and capital markets for new investments and portfolio management. The impact of rising rates, inflation, and erosion of stimulus funds in 2023, resulted in market pressures impacting financing costs, credit, and loan origination economics for many companies in the sector, while also contributing
to rationalized partnership opportunities. We expect to continue to diversify and be conscious around asset classes, funding strategies, and third-party exposures.
// Real Estate
have either an asset or geographical expertise and allow them to run day-to-day operations. We target properties with a total capitalization of
The current portfolio has approximately 40 separate investments with a total equity at risk of approximately
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 8
// Insurance
For the 2023 calendar year, we recognized
//
Whitetail had
Whitetail is beginning the transition away from FFELP ABS to additional ABS asset classes (consumer ABS/collateralized loan obligations) that it can manage on behalf of its clients.
// ALLO
It's been eight years since our initial investment in ALLO, and each year, including 2023, has seen significant growth in fiber footprint, customers, and importance to the communities served. By year's end, ALLO was operational in 34 communities and in construction in another 11 communities across Tier II and III communities in
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 9
We are currently carrying our voting equity investment in ALLO on our balance sheet at
Reflecting on eight years since we first made this investment draws our attention to
In 2023, ALLO's
in
ALLO's operating model ensures that all communities it serves receive the same customer service and quality as
Several small communities in
While there are many tailwinds in the fiber industry related to ever-increasing demands for bandwidth, efficient connections, and exceptional customer service, the industry also has challenges from construction permitting pace and inflationary costs. ALLO expects to meet the challenges, continue to maximize opportunities, and serve customers in their regions. During 2023, ALLO completed an inaugural securitization of more than
Opportunities related to new regions, acquisitions, and government-funded projects will be evaluated in the next few years as the nation substantially completes its fiber coverage. We expect ALLO to continue to take advantage of these opportunities given consistent product depth, customer demand, and competitive advantages.
// Hudl
Hudl continues to innovate in expanding its base and reaching new consumers. A particular focus over the last year was engaging a new customer-the fan. Long a household name for athletes and coaches, Hudl is now bringing parents, grandparents, classmates, community members, and others onto the platform more directly. Since
2023 Letter to Shareholders | Page 10
Attachments
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