Woodruff Sawyer's P&C Looking Ahead Guide: Experts Predict Single-Digit Rate Increases In 2024
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The 3 most crucial factors impacting P&C premiums are inflation, more frequent and severe catastrophic losses, and reinsurance costs. The combination of decelerating inflation and higher investment portfolio yields will improve insurer results, which should result in more favorable premiums but will not likely materialize until later in 2024. In response to climate and catastrophic loss, expect insurers to place greater scrutiny on resilient building materials and construction practices. Finally, reinsurers have responded to catastrophic events by increasing premiums, adding more restrictive terms and conditions, and requiring insurers to retain more catastrophic loss.
At the same time, the outlook for casualty in 2024 remains challenging. The hard market for primary liability is back due to litigation activity, backed by an increasingly aggressive plaintiffs' bar. By contrast, the workers' compensation (WC) trend noted in 2023's Guide, holds the greatest potential for rate reductions. Given the challenges on primary and umbrella liability renewals, it's critical that insurance buyers seek opportunities to leverage their WC programs to push insurers to provide optimal pricing for holistic casualty programs.
For deeper insights, advice, and our predictions for the property and casualty landscape in 2024, download the 2024 P&C Looking Ahead Guide.
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