Travelers Reports Record Net and Core Income per Diluted Share in Fourth Quarter 2019
Fourth Quarter Net Income per Diluted Share of
Fourth Quarter Core Income per Diluted Share of
Full Year
Full Year Core Income of
- Fourth quarter net income of
$873 million and core income of$867 million . - Catastrophe losses of
$85 million pre-tax decreased from$610 million pre-tax in the prior year quarter. - Fourth quarter consolidated combined ratio of 92.4% improved by 5.1 points; underlying combined ratio of 92.1%.
- Fourth quarter net written premiums of
$7.075 billion , up 6%; record full year net written premiums of$29.151 billion , up 5%; both periods reflect growth in all segments. - Fourth quarter renewal premium change in domestic
Business Insurance of 7.8%, highest level since 2013. - Total capital returned to shareholders of
$588 million , including$376 million of share repurchases. Full year total capital returned to shareholders of$2.396 billion , including$1.548 billion of share repurchases. - Book value per share of
$101.55 , up 17% from year-end 2018. Adjusted book value per share of$92.76 , up 6% from year-end 2018. - Board of Directors declared quarterly dividend per share of
$0.82 .
Consolidated Highlights |
|||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions, except for per share amounts, and after-tax, except for premiums and revenues) |
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
||||||||||||||||||
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
|||||||||||
Net written premiums |
|
$ |
7,075 |
|
|
$ |
6,691 |
|
|
6 |
% |
|
$ |
29,151 |
|
|
$ |
27,708 |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||
Total revenues |
|
$ |
8,063 |
|
|
$ |
7,796 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
$ |
31,581 |
|
|
$ |
30,282 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
Net income |
|
$ |
873 |
|
|
$ |
621 |
|
|
41 |
|
|
$ |
2,622 |
|
|
$ |
2,523 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
per diluted share |
|
$ |
3.35 |
|
|
$ |
2.32 |
|
|
44 |
|
|
$ |
9.92 |
|
|
$ |
9.28 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
Core income |
|
$ |
867 |
|
|
$ |
571 |
|
|
52 |
|
|
$ |
2,537 |
|
|
$ |
2,430 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
per diluted share |
|
$ |
3.32 |
|
|
$ |
2.13 |
|
|
56 |
|
|
$ |
9.60 |
|
|
$ |
8.94 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
Diluted weighted average shares outstanding |
|
259.0 |
|
|
266.0 |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
262.3 |
|
|
269.8 |
|
|
(3 |
) |
|
||||
Combined ratio |
|
92.4 |
% |
|
97.5 |
% |
|
(5.1 |
) |
pts |
96.5 |
% |
|
96.9 |
% |
|
(0.4 |
) |
pts |
||||
Underlying combined ratio |
|
92.1 |
% |
|
91.1 |
% |
|
1.0 |
|
pts |
93.2 |
% |
|
92.5 |
% |
|
0.7 |
|
pts |
||||
Return on equity |
|
13.5 |
% |
|
10.9 |
% |
|
2.6 |
|
pts |
10.5 |
% |
|
11.0 |
% |
|
(0.5 |
) |
pts |
||||
Core return on equity |
|
14.8 |
% |
|
10.0 |
% |
|
4.8 |
|
pts |
10.9 |
% |
|
10.7 |
% |
|
0.2 |
|
pts |
|
As of |
|
|
||||||||
|
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|||||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
101.55 |
|
|
$ |
86.84 |
|
|
17 |
% |
Adjusted book value per share |
|
92.76 |
|
|
87.27 |
|
|
6 |
% |
See Glossary of Financial Measures for definitions and the statistical supplement for additional financial data.
“We are pleased to report fourth quarter core income of
“Turning to the top line, we continue to be pleased with our marketplace execution. Net written premiums increased by 6% to a fourth quarter record of
“In this more challenging tort and low interest rate environment, we generated full year core income in excess of
Consolidated Results |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
||||||||||||
Underwriting gain: |
|
$ |
513 |
|
|
$ |
135 |
|
|
$ |
378 |
|
|
$ |
833 |
|
|
$ |
681 |
|
|
$ |
152 |
|
|
Underwriting gain includes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year reserve development |
|
60 |
|
|
167 |
|
|
(107 |
) |
|
(60 |
) |
|
517 |
|
|
(577 |
) |
|
||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
|
(85 |
) |
|
(610 |
) |
|
525 |
|
|
(886 |
) |
|
(1,716 |
) |
|
830 |
|
|
||||||
Net investment income |
|
616 |
|
|
630 |
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
2,468 |
|
|
2,474 |
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
||||||
Other income (expense), including interest expense |
|
(67 |
) |
|
(79 |
) |
|
12 |
|
|
(276 |
) |
|
(308 |
) |
|
32 |
|
|
||||||
Core income before income taxes |
|
1,062 |
|
|
686 |
|
|
376 |
|
|
3,025 |
|
|
2,847 |
|
|
178 |
|
|
||||||
Income tax expense |
|
195 |
|
|
115 |
|
|
80 |
|
|
488 |
|
|
417 |
|
|
71 |
|
|
||||||
Core income |
|
867 |
|
|
571 |
|
|
296 |
|
|
2,537 |
|
|
2,430 |
|
|
107 |
|
|
||||||
Net realized investment gains after income taxes |
|
6 |
|
|
50 |
|
|
(44 |
) |
|
85 |
|
|
93 |
|
|
(8 |
) |
|
||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
873 |
|
|
$ |
621 |
|
|
$ |
252 |
|
|
$ |
2,622 |
|
|
$ |
2,523 |
|
|
$ |
99 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
|
92.4 |
% |
|
97.5 |
% |
|
(5.1 |
) |
pts |
96.5 |
% |
|
96.9 |
% |
|
(0.4 |
) |
pts |
||||||
Impact on combined ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net (favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development |
|
(0.8 |
) |
pts |
(2.4 |
) |
pts |
1.6 |
|
pts |
0.2 |
|
pts |
(1.9 |
) |
pts |
2.1 |
|
pts |
||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
|
1.1 |
|
pts |
8.8 |
|
pts |
(7.7 |
) |
pts |
3.1 |
|
pts |
6.3 |
|
pts |
(3.2 |
) |
pts |
||||||
Underlying combined ratio |
|
92.1 |
% |
|
91.1 |
% |
|
1.0 |
|
pts |
93.2 |
% |
|
92.5 |
% |
|
0.7 |
|
pts |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
|
|
$ |
3,703 |
|
|
$ |
3,533 |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
$ |
15,629 |
|
|
$ |
14,956 |
|
|
4 |
% |
|
||
|
|
714 |
|
|
657 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
2,739 |
|
|
2,528 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
||||||
|
|
2,658 |
|
|
2,501 |
|
|
6 |
|
|
10,783 |
|
|
10,224 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
||||||
Total |
|
$ |
7,075 |
|
|
$ |
6,691 |
|
|
6 |
% |
|
$ |
29,151 |
|
|
$ |
27,708 |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
Fourth Quarter 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. fourth quarter 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Net income of
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 92.4% decreased 5.1 points due to significantly lower catastrophe losses (7.7 points), partially offset by lower net favorable prior year reserve development (1.6 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (1.0 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 92.1% increased 1.0 points. See below for further details by segment.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development occurred in all segments. See below for further details by segment. Catastrophe losses primarily resulted from wind and hail storms in several regions of
the United States and a wildfire inCalifornia .
Net investment income of
Net written premiums of
Full Year 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. full year 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Net income of
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 96.5% decreased 0.4 points due to significantly lower catastrophe losses (3.2 points), partially offset by net unfavorable prior year reserve development in the current year compared to net favorable prior year reserve development in the prior year (2.1 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (0.7 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 93.2% increased 0.7 points. See below for further details by segment.
- Net unfavorable prior year reserve development occurred in
Business Insurance . Net favorable prior year reserve development occurred inPersonal Insurance andBond & Specialty Insurance . See below for further details by segment. Catastrophe losses included the fourth quarter events described above, as well as winter storms and wind storms in several regions ofthe United States and Hurricane Dorian in the first nine months of 2019.
Net investment income of
Record gross written premiums of
Shareholders’ Equity
Shareholders’ equity of
The Company repurchased 2.9 million shares during the fourth quarter at an average price of
The Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of
Business Insurance Segment Financial Results |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
||||||||||||
Underwriting gain (loss): |
|
$ |
87 |
|
|
$ |
7 |
|
|
$ |
80 |
|
|
$ |
(195 |
) |
|
$ |
76 |
|
|
$ |
(271 |
) |
|
Underwriting gain (loss) includes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year reserve development |
|
8 |
|
|
48 |
|
|
(40 |
) |
|
(258 |
) |
|
142 |
|
|
(400 |
) |
|
||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
|
(48 |
) |
|
(197 |
) |
|
149 |
|
|
(470 |
) |
|
(639 |
) |
|
169 |
|
|
||||||
Net investment income |
|
451 |
|
|
465 |
|
|
(14 |
) |
|
1,816 |
|
|
1,833 |
|
|
(17 |
) |
|
||||||
Other income (expense) |
|
— |
|
|
(9 |
) |
|
9 |
|
|
(6 |
) |
|
(12 |
) |
|
6 |
|
|
||||||
Segment income before income taxes |
|
538 |
|
|
463 |
|
|
75 |
|
|
1,615 |
|
|
1,897 |
|
|
(282 |
) |
|
||||||
Income tax expense |
|
90 |
|
|
72 |
|
|
18 |
|
|
223 |
|
|
259 |
|
|
(36 |
) |
|
||||||
Segment income |
|
$ |
448 |
|
|
$ |
391 |
|
|
$ |
57 |
|
|
$ |
1,392 |
|
|
$ |
1,638 |
|
|
$ |
(246 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
|
97.5 |
% |
|
99.4 |
% |
|
(1.9 |
) |
pts |
100.9 |
% |
|
99.1 |
% |
|
1.8 |
|
pts |
||||||
Impact on combined ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net (favorable) unfavorable prior year reserve development |
|
(0.2 |
) |
pts |
(1.2 |
) |
pts |
1.0 |
|
pts |
1.7 |
|
pts |
(1.0 |
) |
pts |
2.7 |
|
pts |
||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
|
1.3 |
|
pts |
5.2 |
|
pts |
(3.9 |
) |
pts |
3.0 |
|
pts |
4.4 |
|
pts |
(1.4 |
) |
pts |
||||||
Underlying combined ratio |
|
96.4 |
% |
|
95.4 |
% |
|
1.0 |
|
pts |
96.2 |
% |
|
95.7 |
% |
|
0.5 |
|
pts |
||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Net written premiums by market |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Domestic |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||||||
Select Accounts |
|
$ |
675 |
|
|
$ |
660 |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
2,911 |
|
|
$ |
2,828 |
|
|
3 |
% |
|
||
Middle Market |
|
2,061 |
|
|
1,935 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
8,630 |
|
|
8,214 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
||||||
National Accounts |
|
251 |
|
|
247 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
1,051 |
|
|
1,025 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
||||||
National Property and Other |
|
437 |
|
|
422 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
1,965 |
|
|
1,805 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
||||||
Total Domestic |
|
3,424 |
|
|
3,264 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
14,557 |
|
|
13,872 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
||||||
International |
|
279 |
|
|
269 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
1,072 |
|
|
1,084 |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
||||||
Total |
|
$ |
3,703 |
|
|
$ |
3,533 |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
$ |
15,629 |
|
|
$ |
14,956 |
|
|
4 |
% |
|
Fourth Quarter 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. fourth quarter 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 97.5% decreased 1.9 points due to significantly lower catastrophe losses (3.9 points), partially offset by lower net favorable prior year reserve development (1.0 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (1.0 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 96.4% increased 1.0 points, primarily driven by the impacts of (1) higher loss estimates in the general liability product line for primary and excess coverages and in the commercial automobile product line, including the current quarter impacts of higher loss estimates initially reflected in the first nine months of the year, and (2) a higher level of international loss activity, partially offset by (3) lower loss estimates in the workers’ compensation product line due to the current quarter impacts of lower loss estimates initially reflected in the first nine months of the year and (4) a lower underwriting expense ratio. The underlying combined ratios in both the current and prior year quarters are elevated due to comparable impacts from the re-estimation of losses incurred in the first nine months of each year.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development was primarily driven by the following:
Workers’ compensation - better than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for multiple accident years.
Largely offset by:
General liability - higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for primary and excess coverages primarily for recent accident years; and
Commercial multi-peril - higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations primarily for recent accident years.
Net written premiums of
Full Year 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. full year 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 100.9% increased 1.8 points due to net unfavorable prior year reserve development in the current year compared to net favorable prior year reserve development in the prior year (2.7 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (0.5 points), partially offset by lower catastrophe losses (1.4 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 96.2% increased 0.5 points, primarily driven by the impacts of higher loss estimates in the general liability product line for primary and excess coverages and the commercial automobile product line, partially offset by a lower underwriting expense ratio.
- Net unfavorable prior year reserve development was primarily driven by the following:
General liability (excluding asbestos and environmental) - higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for primary and excess coverages for multiple accident years, including the impact for accident years 2009 and prior related to the enactment of legislation by a number of states that extended the statute of limitations for childhood sexual molestation claims;
Commercial automobile - higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for recent accident years;
Asbestos reserves - an increase of
Commercial multi-peril - higher than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for recent accident years; and
Environmental reserves - an increase of
Partially offset by:
Workers’ compensation - better than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for multiple accident years; and
Commercial property - better than expected loss experience in the segment’s domestic operations for recent accident years.
Gross written premiums of
Bond & Specialty Insurance Segment Financial Results |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) |
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
|||||||||||||
Underwriting gain: |
$ |
142 |
|
|
$ |
214 |
|
|
$ |
(72 |
) |
|
$ |
515 |
|
|
$ |
740 |
|
|
$ |
(225 |
) |
|
|
Underwriting gain includes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net favorable prior year reserve development |
20 |
|
|
89 |
|
|
(69 |
) |
|
65 |
|
|
266 |
|
|
(201 |
) |
|
|||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
(1 |
) |
|
(7 |
) |
|
6 |
|
|
(5 |
) |
|
(16 |
) |
|
11 |
|
|
|||||||
Net investment income |
60 |
|
|
61 |
|
|
(1 |
) |
|
233 |
|
|
233 |
|
|
— |
|
|
|||||||
Other income |
5 |
|
|
5 |
|
|
— |
|
|
21 |
|
|
18 |
|
|
3 |
|
|
|||||||
Segment income before income taxes |
207 |
|
|
280 |
|
|
(73 |
) |
|
769 |
|
|
991 |
|
|
(222 |
) |
|
|||||||
Income tax expense |
40 |
|
|
60 |
|
|
(20 |
) |
|
151 |
|
|
198 |
|
|
(47 |
) |
|
|||||||
Segment income |
$ |
167 |
|
|
$ |
220 |
|
|
$ |
(53 |
) |
|
$ |
618 |
|
|
$ |
793 |
|
|
$ |
(175 |
) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
78.6 |
% |
|
64.8 |
% |
|
13.8 |
|
pts |
79.5 |
% |
|
69.0 |
% |
|
10.5 |
|
pts |
|||||||
Impact on combined ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net favorable prior year reserve development |
(2.9 |
) |
pts |
(14.4 |
) |
pts |
11.5 |
|
pts |
(2.5 |
) |
pts |
(11.0 |
) |
pts |
8.5 |
|
pts |
|||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
0.2 |
|
pts |
1.1 |
|
pts |
(0.9 |
) |
pts |
0.2 |
|
pts |
0.6 |
|
pts |
(0.4 |
) |
pts |
|||||||
Underlying combined ratio |
81.3 |
% |
|
78.1 |
% |
|
3.2 |
|
pts |
81.8 |
% |
|
79.4 |
% |
|
2.4 |
|
pts |
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Domestic |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Management Liability |
$ |
411 |
|
|
$ |
366 |
|
|
12 |
% |
|
$ |
1,605 |
|
|
$ |
1,455 |
|
|
10 |
% |
|
|||
Surety |
206 |
|
|
198 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
866 |
|
|
835 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|||||||
Total Domestic |
617 |
|
|
564 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
2,471 |
|
|
2,290 |
|
|
8 |
|
|
|||||||
International |
97 |
|
|
93 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
268 |
|
|
238 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
|||||||
Total |
$ |
714 |
|
|
$ |
657 |
|
|
9 |
% |
|
$ |
2,739 |
|
|
$ |
2,528 |
|
|
8 |
% |
|
Fourth Quarter 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. fourth quarter 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 78.6% increased 13.8 points due to lower net favorable prior year reserve development (11.5 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (3.2 points), partially offset by lower catastrophe losses (0.9 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 81.3% remained very strong. The increase of 3.2 points from the prior year quarter reflected higher loss estimates related to management liability coverages due to the current quarter impacts of higher loss estimates initially reflected in the first nine months of the year and a particular loss reflected in the current quarter, partially offset by lower surety loss estimates and a lower underwriting expense ratio.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development was driven by better than expected loss experience in the domestic fidelity and surety product line for multiple accident years.
Net written premiums of
Full Year 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. full year 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 79.5% increased 10.5 points due to lower net favorable prior year reserve development (8.5 points) and a higher underlying combined ratio (2.4 points), partially offset by lower catastrophe losses (0.4 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 81.8% remained very strong.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development was driven by better than expected loss experience in the domestic general liability product line for management liability coverages and in the fidelity and surety product line for multiple accident years.
Net written premiums of
Personal Insurance Segment Financial Results |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|
|||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions and pre-tax, unless noted otherwise) |
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
Change |
|
|||||||||||||
Underwriting gain (loss): |
$ |
284 |
|
|
$ |
(86 |
) |
|
$ |
370 |
|
|
$ |
513 |
|
|
$ |
(135 |
) |
|
$ |
648 |
|
|
|
Underwriting gain (loss) includes: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net favorable prior year reserve development |
32 |
|
|
30 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
133 |
|
|
109 |
|
|
24 |
|
|
|||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
(36 |
) |
|
(406 |
) |
|
370 |
|
|
(411 |
) |
|
(1,061 |
) |
|
650 |
|
|
|||||||
Net investment income |
105 |
|
|
104 |
|
|
1 |
|
|
419 |
|
|
408 |
|
|
11 |
|
|
|||||||
Other income |
22 |
|
|
18 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
87 |
|
|
66 |
|
|
21 |
|
|
|||||||
Segment income before income taxes |
411 |
|
|
36 |
|
|
375 |
|
|
1,019 |
|
|
339 |
|
|
680 |
|
|
|||||||
Income tax expense |
84 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
80 |
|
|
195 |
|
|
42 |
|
|
153 |
|
|
|||||||
Segment income |
$ |
327 |
|
|
$ |
32 |
|
|
$ |
295 |
|
|
$ |
824 |
|
|
$ |
297 |
|
|
$ |
527 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Combined ratio |
88.5 |
% |
|
102.6 |
% |
|
(14.1 |
) |
pts |
94.2 |
% |
|
100.6 |
% |
|
(6.4 |
) |
pts |
|||||||
Impact on combined ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net favorable prior year reserve development |
(1.2 |
) |
pts |
(1.1 |
) |
pts |
(0.1 |
) |
pts |
(1.3 |
) |
pts |
(1.1 |
) |
pts |
(0.2 |
) |
pts |
|||||||
Catastrophes, net of reinsurance |
1.3 |
|
pts |
15.9 |
|
pts |
(14.6 |
) |
pts |
4.0 |
|
pts |
10.7 |
|
pts |
(6.7 |
) |
pts |
|||||||
Underlying combined ratio |
88.4 |
% |
|
87.8 |
% |
|
0.6 |
|
pts |
91.5 |
% |
|
91.0 |
% |
|
0.5 |
|
pts |
|||||||
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Net written premiums |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Domestic |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Agency (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|||||||||||||
Automobile |
$ |
1,253 |
|
|
$ |
1,226 |
|
|
2 |
% |
|
$ |
5,124 |
|
|
$ |
4,972 |
|
|
3 |
% |
|
|||
Homeowners and Other |
1,145 |
|
|
1,011 |
|
|
13 |
|
|
4,540 |
|
|
4,148 |
|
|
9 |
|
|
|||||||
|
2,398 |
|
|
2,237 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
9,664 |
|
|
9,120 |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|||||||
Direct to Consumer |
99 |
|
|
97 |
|
|
2 |
|
|
412 |
|
|
396 |
|
|
4 |
|
|
|||||||
Total Domestic |
2,497 |
|
|
2,334 |
|
|
7 |
|
|
10,076 |
|
|
9,516 |
|
|
6 |
|
|
|||||||
International |
161 |
|
|
167 |
|
|
(4 |
) |
|
707 |
|
|
708 |
|
|
— |
|
|
|||||||
Total |
$ |
2,658 |
|
|
$ |
2,501 |
|
|
6 |
% |
|
$ |
10,783 |
|
|
$ |
10,224 |
|
|
5 |
% |
|
(1) Represents business sold through agents, brokers and other intermediaries, and excludes direct to consumer and international.
Fourth Quarter 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. fourth quarter 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 88.5% decreased 14.1 points due to significantly lower catastrophe losses (14.6 points) and higher net favorable prior year reserve development (0.1 points), partially offset by a higher underlying combined ratio (0.6 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 88.4% increased 0.6 points, primarily reflecting a comparison to a low level of loss activity in the prior year quarter for Agency Automobile.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development was driven by better than expected loss experience in the automobile product line and homeowners and other product line for multiple accident years.
Net written premiums of
Full Year 2019 Results
(All comparisons vs. full year 2018, unless noted otherwise)
Segment income for
Combined ratio:
- The combined ratio of 94.2% improved 6.4 points due to significantly lower catastrophe losses (6.7 points) and higher net favorable prior year reserve development (0.2 points), partially offset by a higher underlying combined ratio (0.5 points).
- The underlying combined ratio of 91.5% increased 0.5 points, primarily driven by the impacts of (1) higher non-catastrophe weather-related losses in Agency Homeowners and Other and (2) the new catastrophe reinsurance treaty, mostly impacting Agency Homeowners and Other, partially offset by (3) earned pricing that exceeded loss cost trends in Agency Automobile and (4) a lower underwriting expense ratio.
- Net favorable prior year reserve development was driven by better than expected loss experience in the domestic automobile and homeowners and other product lines for recent accident years.
Gross written premiums of
Agency Automobile gross written premiums of
Agency Homeowners and Other gross written premiums of
Growth in net written premiums was impacted by the new catastrophe reinsurance treaty.
Financial Supplement and Conference Call
The information in this press release should be read in conjunction with the financial supplement that is available on our website at www.travelers.com. Travelers management will discuss the contents of this release and other relevant topics via webcast at
Following the live event, an audio playback of the webcast and the slide presentation will be available on the same website.
About Travelers
Travelers may use its website and/or social media outlets, such as Facebook and Twitter, as distribution channels of material Company information. Financial and other important information regarding the Company is routinely accessible through and posted on our website at http://investor.travelers.com, our Facebook page at https://www.facebook.com/travelers and our Twitter account (@Travelers) at https://twitter.com/travelers. In addition, you may automatically receive email alerts and other information about Travelers when you enroll your email address by visiting the Email Notifications section at http://investor.travelers.com.
Travelers is organized into the following reportable business segments:
* * * * *
Forward-Looking Statements
This press release contains, and management may make, certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. All statements, other than statements of historical facts, may be forward-looking statements. Words such as “may,” “will,” “should,” “likely,” “anticipates,” “expects,” “intends,” “plans,” “projects,” “believes,” “estimates” and similar expressions are used to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements include, among other things, the Company’s statements about:
- the Company’s outlook and its future results of operations and financial condition (including, among other things, anticipated premium volume, premium rates, renewal premium changes, underwriting margins and underlying underwriting margins, net and core income, investment income and performance, loss costs, return on equity, core return on equity and expected current returns, and combined ratios and underlying combined ratios);
- share repurchase plans;
- future pension plan contributions;
- the sufficiency of the Company’s asbestos and other reserves;
- the impact of emerging claims issues as well as other insurance and non-insurance litigation;
- the potential benefit associated with the Company’s ability to recover on its subrogation claims;
- the cost and availability of reinsurance coverage;
- catastrophe losses;
- the impact of investment (including changes in interest rates), economic (including inflation, changes in tax law, changes in commodity prices and fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates) and underwriting market conditions;
- strategic and operational initiatives to improve profitability and competitiveness;
- the Company’s competitive advantages;
- new product offerings;
- the impact of new or potential regulations imposed or to be imposed by
the United States or other nations, including tariffs or other barriers to international trade; and - the impact of developments in the tort environment, such as increased attorney involvement in insurance claims and legislation allowing victims of sexual abuse to file or proceed with claims that otherwise would have been time-barred.
The Company cautions investors that such statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, many of which are difficult to predict and generally beyond the Company’s control, that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed in, or implied or projected by, the forward-looking information and statements.
Some of the factors that could cause actual results to differ include, but are not limited to, the following:
- high levels of catastrophe losses, including as a result of factors such as changing climate conditions and increased concentrations of insured properties in catastrophe-prone areas, could materially and adversely affect the Company’s results of operations, its financial position and/or liquidity, and could adversely impact the Company’s ratings, the Company’s ability to raise capital and the availability and cost of reinsurance;
- if actual claims exceed the Company’s claims and claim adjustment expense reserves, or if changes in the estimated level of claims and claim adjustment expense reserves are necessary, including as a result of, among other things, changes in the legal/tort, regulatory and economic environments in which the Company operates, the Company’s financial results could be materially and adversely affected;
- during or following a period of financial market disruption or an economic downturn, the Company’s business could be materially and adversely affected;
- the Company’s investment portfolio is subject to credit and interest rate risk, and may suffer reduced or low returns or material realized or unrealized losses;
- the intense competition that the Company faces, and the impact of innovation, technological change and changing customer preferences on the insurance industry and the markets in which it operates, could harm its ability to maintain or increase its business volumes and its profitability;
- the Company’s business could be harmed because of its potential exposure to asbestos and environmental claims and related litigation;
- disruptions to the Company’s relationships with its independent agents and brokers or the Company’s inability to manage effectively a changing distribution landscape could adversely affect the Company;
- the Company is exposed to, and may face adverse developments involving, mass tort claims such as those relating to exposure to potentially harmful products or substances;
- the effects of emerging claim and coverage issues on the Company’s business are uncertain, and court decisions or legislative changes that take place after the Company issues its policies can result in an unexpected increase in the number of claims and have a material adverse impact on the Company’s results of operations;
- the Company may not be able to collect all amounts due to it from reinsurers, reinsurance coverage may not be available to the Company in the future at commercially reasonable rates or at all and we are exposed to credit risk related to our structured settlements;
- the Company is exposed to credit risk in certain of its insurance operations and with respect to certain guarantee or indemnification arrangements that it has with third parties;
- within
the United States , the Company’s businesses are heavily regulated by the states in which it conducts business, including licensing, market conduct and financial supervision, and changes in regulation may reduce the Company’s profitability and limit its growth; - a downgrade in the Company’s claims-paying and financial strength ratings could adversely impact the Company’s business volumes, adversely impact the Company’s ability to access the capital markets and increase the Company’s borrowing costs;
- the inability of the Company’s insurance subsidiaries to pay dividends to the Company’s holding company in sufficient amounts would harm the Company’s ability to meet its obligations, pay future shareholder dividends and/or make future share repurchases;
- the Company’s efforts to develop new products, expand in targeted markets or improve business processes and workflows may not be successful and may create enhanced risks;
- the Company may be adversely affected if its pricing and capital models provide materially different indications than actual results;
- the Company’s business success and profitability depend, in part, on effective information technology systems and on continuing to develop and implement improvements in technology, particularly as its business processes become more digital;
- if the Company experiences difficulties with technology, data and network security (including as a result of cyber attacks), outsourcing relationships or cloud-based technology, the Company’s ability to conduct its business could be negatively impacted;
- the Company is also subject to a number of additional risks associated with its business outside
the United States , such as foreign currency exchange fluctuations (including with respect to the valuation of the Company’s foreign investments and interests in joint ventures) and restrictive regulations as well as the risks and uncertainties associated with the United Kingdom’s withdrawal from theEuropean Union ; - regulatory changes outside of
the United States , including inCanada , theUnited Kingdom , theRepublic of Ireland and theEuropean Union , could adversely impact the Company’s results of operations and limit its growth; - loss of or significant restrictions on the use of particular types of underwriting criteria, such as credit scoring, or other data or methodologies, in the pricing and underwriting of the Company’s products could reduce the Company’s future profitability;
- acquisitions and integration of acquired businesses may result in operating difficulties and other unintended consequences;
- the Company could be adversely affected if its controls designed to ensure compliance with guidelines, policies and legal and regulatory standards are not effective;
- the Company’s businesses may be adversely affected if it is unable to hire and retain qualified employees;
- intellectual property is important to the Company’s business, and the Company may be unable to protect and enforce its own intellectual property or the Company may be subject to claims for infringing the intellectual property of others;
- changes in federal regulation could impose significant burdens on the Company, and otherwise adversely impact the Company’s results;
- changes in
U.S. tax laws or in the tax laws of other jurisdictions where the Company operates could adversely impact the Company; and - the Company’s share repurchase plans depend on a variety of factors, including the Company’s financial position, earnings, share price, catastrophe losses, maintaining capital levels commensurate with the Company’s desired ratings from independent rating agencies, changes in levels of written premiums, funding of the Company’s qualified pension plan, capital requirements of the Company’s operating subsidiaries, legal requirements, regulatory constraints, other investment opportunities (including mergers and acquisitions and related financings), market conditions and other factors.
Our forward-looking statements speak only as of the date of this press release or as of the date they are made, and we undertake no obligation to update forward-looking statements. For a more detailed discussion of these factors, see the information under the captions “Risk Factors” and “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations” in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the
*****
GLOSSARY OF FINANCIAL MEASURES AND RECONCILIATIONS OF GAAP MEASURES TO NON-GAAP MEASURES
The following measures are used by the Company’s management to evaluate financial performance against historical results, to establish performance targets on a consolidated basis, and for other reasons as discussed below. In some cases, these measures are considered non-GAAP financial measures under applicable
In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of these measures provides investors, financial analysts, rating agencies and other financial statement users with a better understanding of the significant factors that comprise the Company’s periodic results of operations and how management evaluates the Company’s financial performance.
Some of these measures exclude net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, and/or net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, which can be significantly impacted by both discretionary and other economic factors and are not necessarily indicative of operating trends.
Other companies may calculate these measures differently, and, therefore, their measures may not be comparable to those used by the Company’s management.
RECONCILIATION OF NET INCOME TO CORE INCOME AND CERTAIN OTHER NON-GAAP MEASURES
Core income (loss) is consolidated net income (loss) excluding the after-tax impact of net realized investment gains (losses), discontinued operations, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment, and cumulative effect of changes in accounting principles when applicable. Segment income (loss) is determined in the same manner as core income (loss) on a segment basis. Management uses segment income (loss) to analyze each segment’s performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Financial statement users also consider core income (loss) when analyzing the results and trends of insurance companies. Core income (loss) per share is core income (loss) on a per common share basis.
Reconciliation of Net Income to Core Income less Preferred Dividends |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, after-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
873 |
|
|
$ |
621 |
|
|
$ |
2,622 |
|
|
$ |
2,523 |
|
Less: Net realized investment gains |
|
(6 |
) |
|
(50 |
) |
|
(85 |
) |
|
(93 |
) |
||||
Core income |
|
$ |
867 |
|
|
$ |
571 |
|
|
$ |
2,537 |
|
|
$ |
2,430 |
|
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, pre-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
1,074 |
|
|
$ |
746 |
|
|
$ |
3,138 |
|
|
$ |
2,961 |
|
Less: Net realized investment gains |
|
(12 |
) |
|
(60 |
) |
|
(113 |
) |
|
(114 |
) |
||||
Core income |
|
$ |
1,062 |
|
|
$ |
686 |
|
|
$ |
3,025 |
|
|
$ |
2,847 |
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions, after-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
|
2016 |
|
2015 |
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
2011 |
|
2010 |
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
Net income |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Less: Loss from discontinued operations |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
(439) |
Income from continuing operations |
|
2,622 |
|
2,523 |
|
2,056 |
|
3,014 |
|
3,439 |
|
3,692 |
|
3,673 |
|
2,473 |
|
1,426 |
|
3,216 |
|
3,622 |
|
2,924 |
|
4,601 |
|
4,208 |
|
2,061 |
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net realized investment (gains) losses |
|
(85) |
|
(93) |
|
(142) |
|
(47) |
|
(2) |
|
(51) |
|
(106) |
|
(32) |
|
(36) |
|
(173) |
|
(22) |
|
271 |
|
(101) |
|
(8) |
|
(35) |
Impact of TCJA at enactment (1) |
|
— |
|
— |
|
129 |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
Core income |
|
2,537 |
|
2,430 |
|
2,043 |
|
2,967 |
|
3,437 |
|
3,641 |
|
3,567 |
|
2,441 |
|
1,390 |
|
3,043 |
|
3,600 |
|
3,195 |
|
4,500 |
|
4,200 |
|
2,026 |
Less: Preferred dividends |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
1 |
|
3 |
|
3 |
|
4 |
|
4 |
|
5 |
|
6 |
Core income, less preferred dividends |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1) Tax Cuts and Jobs Act of 2017 (TCJA)
Reconciliation of Net Income per Share to Core Income per Share on a Basic and Diluted Basis |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
|
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Basic income per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
3.37 |
|
|
$ |
2.33 |
|
|
$ |
10.01 |
|
|
$ |
9.37 |
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net realized investment gains, after-tax |
|
(0.02 |
) |
|
(0.18 |
) |
|
(0.32 |
) |
|
(0.35 |
) |
||||
Core income |
|
$ |
3.35 |
|
|
$ |
2.15 |
|
|
$ |
9.69 |
|
|
$ |
9.02 |
|
Diluted income per share |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net income |
|
$ |
3.35 |
|
|
$ |
2.32 |
|
|
$ |
9.92 |
|
|
$ |
9.28 |
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Net realized investment gains, after-tax |
|
(0.03 |
) |
|
(0.19 |
) |
|
(0.32 |
) |
|
(0.34 |
) |
||||
Core income |
|
$ |
3.32 |
|
|
$ |
2.13 |
|
|
$ |
9.60 |
|
|
$ |
8.94 |
|
Reconciliation of Segment Income to Total Core Income |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, after-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
|
|
$ |
448 |
|
|
$ |
391 |
|
|
$ |
1,392 |
|
|
$ |
1,638 |
|
|
|
167 |
|
|
220 |
|
|
618 |
|
|
793 |
|
||||
|
|
327 |
|
|
32 |
|
|
824 |
|
|
297 |
|
||||
Total segment income |
|
942 |
|
|
643 |
|
|
2,834 |
|
|
2,728 |
|
||||
Interest Expense and Other |
|
(75 |
) |
|
(72 |
) |
|
(297 |
) |
|
(298 |
) |
||||
Total core income |
|
$ |
867 |
|
|
$ |
571 |
|
|
$ |
2,537 |
|
|
$ |
2,430 |
|
RECONCILIATION OF SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO ADJUSTED SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY AND CALCULATION OF RETURN ON EQUITY AND CORE RETURN ON EQUITY
Adjusted shareholders’ equity is shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, net realized investment gains (losses), net of tax, for the period presented, the effect of a change in tax laws and tax rates at enactment (excluding the portion related to net unrealized investment gains (losses)), preferred stock and discontinued operations.
Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Adjusted Shareholders’ Equity |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
As of |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
|
2016 |
|
2015 |
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
2011 |
|
2010 |
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
Shareholders’ equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjustments: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net unrealized investment (gains) losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
(2,246) |
|
113 |
|
(1,112) |
|
(730) |
|
(1,289) |
|
(1,966) |
|
(1,322) |
|
(3,103) |
|
(2,871) |
|
(1,859) |
|
(1,856) |
|
146 |
|
(620) |
|
(453) |
|
(327) |
Net realized investment (gains) losses, net of tax |
|
(85) |
|
(93) |
|
(142) |
|
(47) |
|
(2) |
|
(51) |
|
(106) |
|
(32) |
|
(36) |
|
(173) |
|
(22) |
|
271 |
|
(101) |
|
(8) |
|
(35) |
Impact of TCJA at enactment |
|
— |
|
— |
|
287 |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
Preferred stock |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
(68) |
|
(79) |
|
(89) |
|
(112) |
|
(129) |
|
(153) |
Loss from discontinued operations |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
— |
|
439 |
Adjusted shareholders’ equity |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Return on equity is the ratio of annualized net income (loss) less preferred dividends to average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. Core return on equity is the ratio of annualized core income (loss) less preferred dividends to adjusted average shareholders’ equity for the periods presented. In the opinion of the Company’s management, these are important indicators of how well management creates value for its shareholders through its operating activities and its capital management.
Average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of total shareholders’ equity excluding preferred stock at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two. Adjusted average shareholders’ equity is (a) the sum of total adjusted shareholders’ equity at the beginning and end of each of the quarters for the period presented divided by (b) the number of quarters in the period presented times two.
Calculation of Return on Equity and Core Return on Equity |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, after-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Annualized net income |
|
$ |
3,490 |
|
|
$ |
2,483 |
|
|
$ |
2,622 |
|
|
$ |
2,523 |
|
Average shareholders’ equity |
|
25,775 |
|
|
22,677 |
|
|
24,922 |
|
|
22,843 |
|
||||
Return on equity |
|
13.5 |
% |
|
10.9 |
% |
|
10.5 |
% |
|
11.0 |
% |
||||
Annualized core income |
|
$ |
3,468 |
|
|
$ |
2,286 |
|
|
$ |
2,537 |
|
|
$ |
2,430 |
|
Adjusted average shareholders’ equity |
|
23,472 |
|
|
22,932 |
|
|
23,335 |
|
|
22,814 |
|
||||
Core return on equity |
|
14.8 |
% |
|
10.0 |
% |
|
10.9 |
% |
|
10.7 |
% |
Average annual core return on equity over a period is the ratio of:
a) the sum of core income less preferred dividends for the periods presented to b) the sum of: 1) the sum of the adjusted average shareholders’ equity for all full years in the period presented, and 2) for partial years in the period presented, the number of quarters in that partial year divided by four, multiplied by the adjusted average shareholders’ equity of the partial year.
Calculation of Average Annual Core Return on Equity from |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
($ in millions) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2017 |
|
2016 |
|
2015 |
|
2014 |
|
2013 |
|
2012 |
|
2011 |
|
2010 |
|
2009 |
|
2008 |
|
2007 |
|
2006 |
|
2005 |
Core income, less preferred dividends |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Adjusted average shareholders’ equity |
|
23,335 |
|
22,814 |
|
22,743 |
|
22,386 |
|
22,681 |
|
23,447 |
|
23,004 |
|
22,158 |
|
22,806 |
|
24,285 |
|
25,777 |
|
25,668 |
|
25,350 |
|
23,381 |
|
21,118 |
Core return on equity |
|
10.9% |
|
10.7% |
|
9.0% |
|
13.3% |
|
15.2% |
|
15.5% |
|
15.5% |
|
11.0% |
|
6.1% |
|
12.5% |
|
14.0% |
|
12.4% |
|
17.7% |
|
17.9% |
|
9.6% |
Average annual core return on equity for the period |
|
12.8% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
RECONCILIATION OF PRE-TAX UNDERWRITING GAIN EXCLUDING CERTAIN ITEMS TO NET INCOME
Underwriting gain (loss) is net earned premiums and fee income less claims and claim adjustment expenses and insurance-related expenses. In the opinion of the Company’s management, it is important to measure the profitability of each segment excluding the results of investing activities, which are managed separately from the insurance business. This measure is used to assess each segment’s business performance and as a tool in making business decisions. Pre-tax underwriting gain, excluding the impact of catastrophes and net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development, is the underwriting gain adjusted to exclude claims and claim adjustment expenses, reinstatement premiums and assessments related to catastrophes and loss reserve development related to time periods prior to the current year. In the opinion of the Company’s management, this measure is meaningful to users of the financial statements to understand the Company’s periodic earnings and the variability of earnings caused by the unpredictable nature (i.e., the timing and amount) of catastrophes and loss reserve development. This measure is also referred to as underlying underwriting margin or underlying underwriting gain.
A catastrophe is a severe loss designated a catastrophe by internationally recognized organizations that track and report on insured losses resulting from catastrophic events, such as Property Claim Services (PCS) for events in
The Company’s threshold for disclosing catastrophes is primarily determined at the reportable segment level. If a threshold for one segment or a combination thereof is exceeded and the other segments have losses from the same event, losses from the event are identified as catastrophe losses in the segment results and for the consolidated results of the Company. Additionally, an aggregate threshold is applied for international business across all reportable segments. The threshold for 2019 ranges from approximately
Net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development is the increase or decrease in incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses as a result of the re-estimation of claims and claim adjustment expense reserves at successive valuation dates for a given group of claims, which may be related to one or more prior years. In the opinion of the Company’s management, a discussion of loss reserve development is meaningful to users of the financial statements as it allows them to assess the impact between prior and current year development on incurred claims and claim adjustment expenses, net and core income (loss), and changes in claims and claim adjustment expense reserve levels from period to period.
Components of Net Income |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, after-tax except as noted) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Pre-tax underwriting gain excluding the impact of catastrophes and net prior year loss reserve development |
|
$ |
538 |
|
|
$ |
578 |
|
|
$ |
1,779 |
|
|
$ |
1,880 |
|
Pre-tax impact of catastrophes |
|
(85 |
) |
|
(610 |
) |
|
(886 |
) |
|
(1,716 |
) |
||||
Pre-tax impact of net favorable (unfavorable) prior year loss reserve development |
|
60 |
|
|
167 |
|
|
(60 |
) |
|
517 |
|
||||
Pre-tax underwriting gain |
|
513 |
|
|
135 |
|
|
833 |
|
|
681 |
|
||||
Income tax expense on underwriting results |
|
117 |
|
|
36 |
|
|
179 |
|
|
105 |
|
||||
Underwriting gain |
|
396 |
|
|
99 |
|
|
654 |
|
|
576 |
|
||||
Net investment income |
|
525 |
|
|
535 |
|
|
2,097 |
|
|
2,102 |
|
||||
Other income (expense), including interest expense |
|
(54 |
) |
|
(63 |
) |
|
(214 |
) |
|
(248 |
) |
||||
Core income |
|
867 |
|
|
571 |
|
|
2,537 |
|
|
2,430 |
|
||||
Net realized investment gains |
|
6 |
|
|
50 |
|
|
85 |
|
|
93 |
|
||||
Net income |
|
$ |
873 |
|
|
$ |
621 |
|
|
$ |
2,622 |
|
|
$ |
2,523 |
|
COMBINED RATIO AND ADJUSTMENTS FOR UNDERLYING COMBINED RATIO
Combined ratio: For Statutory Accounting Practices (SAP), the combined ratio is the sum of the SAP loss and LAE ratio and the SAP underwriting expense ratio as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The combined ratio, as used in this earnings release, is the equivalent of, and is calculated in the same manner as, the SAP combined ratio except that the SAP underwriting expense ratio is based on net written premiums and the underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release is based on net earned premiums.
For SAP, the loss and LAE ratio is the ratio of incurred losses and loss adjustment expenses less certain administrative services fee income to net earned premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The loss and LAE ratio as used in this earnings release is calculated in the same manner as the SAP ratio.
For SAP, the underwriting expense ratio is the ratio of underwriting expenses incurred (including commissions paid), less certain administrative services fee income and billing and policy fees and other, to net written premiums as defined in the statutory financial statements required by insurance regulators. The underwriting expense ratio as used in this earnings release, is the ratio of underwriting expenses (including the amortization of deferred acquisition costs), less certain administrative services fee income, billing and policy fees and other, to net earned premiums.
The combined ratio, loss and LAE ratio, and underwriting expense ratio are used as indicators of the Company’s underwriting discipline, efficiency in acquiring and servicing its business and overall underwriting profitability. A combined ratio under 100% generally indicates an underwriting profit. A combined ratio over 100% generally indicates an underwriting loss.
Underlying combined ratio represents the combined ratio excluding the impact of net prior year reserve development and catastrophes. The underlying combined ratio is an indicator of the Company’s underwriting discipline and underwriting profitability for the current accident year.
Other companies’ method of computing similarly titled measures may not be comparable to the Company’s method of computing these ratios.
Calculation of the Combined Ratio |
||||||||||||||||
|
|
Three Months Ended |
|
Twelve Months Ended |
||||||||||||
($ in millions, pre-tax) |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
|
2019 |
|
2018 |
||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Claims and claim adjustment expenses |
|
$ |
4,640 |
|
|
$ |
4,778 |
|
|
$ |
19,133 |
|
|
$ |
18,291 |
|
Less: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Policyholder dividends |
|
10 |
|
|
15 |
|
|
47 |
|
|
52 |
|
||||
Allocated fee income |
|
42 |
|
|
39 |
|
|
174 |
|
|
154 |
|
||||
Loss ratio numerator |
|
$ |
4,588 |
|
|
$ |
4,724 |
|
|
$ |
18,912 |
|
|
$ |
18,085 |
|
Underwriting expense ratio |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs |
|
$ |
1,181 |
|
|
$ |
1,122 |
|
|
$ |
4,601 |
|
|
$ |
4,381 |
|
General and administrative expenses (G&A) |
|
1,085 |
|
|
1,063 |
|
|
4,365 |
|
|
4,297 |
|
||||
Less: |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Non-insurance G&A |
|
56 |
|
|
45 |
|
|
201 |
|
|
159 |
|
||||
Allocated fee income |
|
71 |
|
|
69 |
|
|
285 |
|
|
278 |
|
||||
Billing and policy fees and other |
|
27 |
|
|
24 |
|
|
108 |
|
|
93 |
|
||||
Expense ratio numerator |
|
$ |
2,112 |
|
|
$ |
2,047 |
|
|
$ |
8,372 |
|
|
$ |
8,148 |
|
Earned premium |
|
$ |
7,250 |
|
|
$ |
6,945 |
|
|
$ |
28,272 |
|
|
$ |
27,059 |
|
Combined ratio (1) |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
||||||||
Loss and loss adjustment expense ratio |
|
63.3 |
% |
|
68.0 |
% |
|
66.9 |
% |
|
66.8 |
% |
||||
Underwriting expense ratio |
|
29.1 |
% |
|
29.5 |
% |
|
29.6 |
% |
|
30.1 |
% |
||||
Combined ratio |
|
92.4 |
% |
|
97.5 |
% |
|
96.5 |
% |
|
96.9 |
% |
(1) For purposes of computing ratios, billing and policy fees and other (which are a component of other revenues) are allocated as a reduction of underwriting expenses. In addition, fee income is allocated as a reduction of losses and loss adjustment expenses and underwriting expenses. In addition, G&A include non-insurance expenses that are excluded from underwriting expenses, and accordingly are excluded in calculating the combined ratio.
RECONCILIATION OF BOOK VALUE PER SHARE AND SHAREHOLDERS’ EQUITY TO CERTAIN NON-GAAP MEASURES
Book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity divided by the number of common shares outstanding. Adjusted book value per share is total common shareholders’ equity excluding net unrealized investment gains and losses, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, adjusted book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value per share as it removes the effect of changing prices on invested assets (i.e., net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax), which do not have an equivalent impact on unpaid claims and claim adjustment expense reserves. Tangible book value per share is adjusted book value per share excluding the after-tax value of goodwill and other intangible assets divided by the number of common shares outstanding. In the opinion of the Company’s management, tangible book value per share is useful in an analysis of a property casualty company’s book value on a nominal basis as it removes certain effects of purchase accounting (i.e., goodwill and other intangible assets), in addition to the effect of changing prices on invested assets.
Reconciliation of Shareholders’ Equity to Tangible Shareholders’ Equity, Excluding Net Unrealized Investment Gains (Losses), Net of Tax |
||||||||
|
|
As of |
||||||
($ in millions, except per share amounts) |
|
|
|
|
||||
Shareholders’ equity |
|
$ |
25,943 |
|
|
$ |
22,894 |
|
Less: Net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
2,246 |
|
|
(113 |
) |
||
Shareholders’ equity, excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
23,697 |
|
|
23,007 |
|
||
Less: |
|
|
|
|
||||
|
|
3,961 |
|
|
3,937 |
|
||
Other intangible assets |
|
330 |
|
|
345 |
|
||
Impact of deferred tax on other intangible assets |
|
(51 |
) |
|
(44 |
) |
||
Tangible shareholders’ equity |
|
$ |
19,457 |
|
|
$ |
18,769 |
|
Common shares outstanding |
|
255.5 |
|
|
263.6 |
|
||
Book value per share |
|
$ |
101.55 |
|
|
$ |
86.84 |
|
Adjusted book value per share |
|
92.76 |
|
|
87.27 |
|
||
Tangible book value per share |
|
76.17 |
|
|
71.20 |
|
RECONCILIATION OF TOTAL CAPITALIZATION TO TOTAL CAPITALIZATION EXCLUDING NET UNREALIZED INVESTMENT GAINS (LOSSES), NET OF TAX
Total capitalization is the sum of total shareholders’ equity and debt. Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized gain (loss) on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity, is the ratio of debt to total capitalization excluding the after-tax impact of net unrealized investment gains and losses included in shareholders’ equity. In the opinion of the Company’s management, the debt-to-capital ratio is useful in an analysis of the Company’s financial leverage.
|
|
As of |
||||||
($ in millions) |
|
|
|
|
||||
Debt |
|
$ |
6,558 |
|
|
$ |
6,564 |
|
Shareholders’ equity |
|
25,943 |
|
|
22,894 |
|
||
Total capitalization |
|
32,501 |
|
|
29,458 |
|
||
Less: Net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
2,246 |
|
|
(113 |
) |
||
Total capitalization excluding net unrealized gain (loss) on investments, net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
$ |
30,255 |
|
|
$ |
29,571 |
|
Debt-to-capital ratio |
|
20.2 |
% |
|
22.3 |
% |
||
Debt-to-capital ratio excluding net unrealized investment gains (losses), net of tax, included in shareholders’ equity |
|
21.7 |
% |
|
22.2 |
% |
OTHER DEFINITIONS
Gross written premiums reflect the direct and assumed contractually determined amounts charged to policyholders for the effective period of the contract based on the terms and conditions of the insurance contract. Net written premiums reflect gross written premiums less premiums ceded to reinsurers.
For
Statutory capital and surplus represents the excess of an insurance company’s admitted assets over its liabilities, including loss reserves, as determined in accordance with statutory accounting practices.
Holding company liquidity is the total funds available at the holding company level to fund general corporate purposes, primarily the payment of shareholder dividends and debt service. These funds consist of total cash, short-term invested assets and other readily marketable securities held by the holding company.
For a glossary of other financial terms used in this press release, we refer you to the Company’s most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the
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