Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology Researchers Report Recent Findings in Geriatrics and Gerontology (Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance certification in Japan with the Kihon Checklist for frailty screening tool: analysis …)

2021 JAN 26 (NewsRx) -- By a News Reporter-Staff News Editor at Politics, Law & Government Daily -- A new study on geriatrics and gerontology is now available. According to news reporting from the Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology by NewsRx journalists, research stated, “Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification in the short term is of increasing importance in Japan. The present study examined whether the Kihon Checklist (KCL) can be used to predict incidence of LTCI certification (care level 1 or higher) in the short term among older Japanese persons.”

Our news journalists obtained a quote from the research from Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology: “In 2015, the local government in Tokyo, Japan, distributed the KCL to all individuals older than 65 years who had not been certified as having a disability or who had already been certified as requiring support level 1-2 according to LTCI system. We also collected LTCI certification data within the 3 months after collecting the KCL data. The data of 17,785 respondents were analyzed. First, we selected KCL items strongly associated with incidence of LTCI certification, using stepwise forward-selection multiple logistic regression. Second, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for three conditions (1: Selected KCL items, 2: The main 20 KCL items (nos. 1-20), 3: All 25 KCL items). Third, we estimated specificity and sensitivity for each condition. During a 3-month follow-up, 81 (0.5%) individuals required new LTCI certification. Eight KCL items were selected by multiple logistic regression as predictive of certification. The area under the ROC curve in the three conditions was 0.92-0.93, and specificity and sensitivity for all conditions were greater than 80%.”

According to the news reporters, the research concluded: “Three KCL conditions predicted short-term incidence of LTCI certification. This suggests that KCL items may be used to screen for the risk of incident LTCI certification.”

For more information on this research see: Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance certification in Japan with the Kihon Checklist for frailty screening tool: analysis of local government survey data. BMC Geriatrics, 2021,21(1):1-8. (BMC Geriatrics - http://bmcgeriatr.biomedcentral.com). The publisher for BMC Geriatrics is BMC.

A free version of this journal article is available at https://doi.org/10.1186/s12877-020-01968-z.

Our news editors report that additional information may be obtained by contacting Kumiko Ito, Tokyo Metropolitan Institute of Gerontology.

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