Third Quarter 2024 MD&A
Management's Discussion and Analysis
For the three months and nine months ended
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
Interpretation
The current and prior period comparative results for
The following Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") of the financial condition and results of operations as approved by the Company's board of directors (the "Board") on
In this MD&A, references to "$", "CDN$", "dollars" or "Canadian dollars" are to Canadian dollars and references to "US$" or "
Unless the context otherwise requires, all references in this MD&A to "Sagen" or the "Company" refer to
Unless the context otherwise requires, all financial information is presented on an IFRS basis.
Caution regarding forward-looking information and statements
Certain statements made in this MD&A contain forward-looking information within the meaning of applicable securities laws ("forward- looking statements"). When used in this MD&A, the words "may", "would", "could", "will", "intend", "plan", "anticipate", "believe", "seek", "propose", "estimate", "expect", and similar expressions, as they relate to the Company are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Specific forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not limited to: guideline changes by OSFI; the impact of such changes on the Company; the impact on the Company of the 2024 MICAT Guideline (as defined herein); the impact of the implementation of new accounting standards on the Company's financial statements; measures introduced by the Canadian federal government in the federal budget in
The forward-looking statements contained herein are based on certain factors and assumptions, certain of which appear proximate to the applicable forward-looking statements contained herein. Inherent in the forward-looking statements are known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors beyond the Company's ability to control or predict, that may cause the actual results, performance or achievements of the Company, or developments in the Company's business or in its industry, to differ materially from the anticipated results, performance, achievements or developments expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Actual results or developments may differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements.
The Company's actual results and performance could differ materially from those anticipated in these forward-looking statements as a result of both known and unknown risks, including: the continued availability of the Canadian government's guarantee of private mortgage insurance on terms satisfactory to the Company; the Company's expectations regarding its revenues, expenses and operations; the Company's plans to implement its strategy and operate its business; the Company's expectations regarding the compensation of directors and officers; the Company's anticipated cash needs and its estimates regarding its capital expenditures, capital requirements, reserves and its needs for additional financing; the Company's plans for and timing of expansion of service and products; the Company's ability to accurately assess and manage risks associated with the policies that are written; the Company's ability to accurately manage market, interest and credit risks; the Company's ability to maintain ratings, which may be affected by the ratings of its sole Class A common shareholder,
Page 2of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
increase in its regulatory capital requirements; increased market volatility, political risk, regulatory compliance and costs associated with international investing; geopolitical risk, including deterioration in international trade or consumer confidence due to geopolitical instability resulting from armed conflicts or acts of terrorism or war; environmental concerns, including climate change; changes in the value of investment securities held by the Company; loss of members of the Company's senior management team; potential legal, tax and regulatory investigations and actions; negative publicity; operational risks, including the failure of the Company's computer systems or potential cyber threats; reduction of business or adverse selection of loans with key lenders; the Company's reliance on its subsidiaries; litigation; insufficient insurance coverage; and potential conflicts of interest between the Company and its sole Class A common shareholder, Brookfield.
This is not an exhaustive list of the factors that may affect any of the Company's forward-looking statements. Some of these and other factors are discussed in more detail in the Company's Annual Information Form (the "AIF") dated
Non-GAAP and other financial measures disclosure
Non-GAAPfinancial measures are used by the Company to analyze performance and supplement its consolidated financial statements, which are prepared in accordance with IFRS. Such non-GAAP financial measures include premiums written; net operating income; operating investment income; interest and dividend income, net of investment expenses; pre-tax equivalent operating investment income; net insurance revenue; and net insurance service results. See the Non-GAAPand other financial measures section at the end of this MD&A for a reconciliation of (i) net insurance revenue to the comparable financial measure of insurance revenue, (ii) net insurance service result to the comparable financial measure of insurance service result, (iii) operating investment income and interest and dividend income, net of investment expenses to the comparable financial measure of total investment income; (iv) net operating income to the comparable financial measure of net income; and (v) pre-tax equivalent operating investment income to the comparable financial measure of total investment income. These non-GAAP financial measures have been restated to reflect the impact of new accounting standards as described below.
Non-GAAPratios used by the Company include investment yield.
Supplementary financial measures used by the Company to analyze performance include loss ratio, expense ratio, combined ratio, financial leverage ratio and contractual service margin ratio. The supplementary financial measures can be calculated using financial measures from the Company's consolidated financial statements.
The Company believes that these non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios and supplementary financial measures provide meaningful information regarding its performance and may be useful to investors as they allow for greater transparency with respect to key metrics used by management in its financial and operational decision making. These measures and ratios may not have standardized meanings and may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies.
Definitions of key non-GAAP and other financial measures and explanations of why these measures are useful to investors and management can be found in the Company's Non-GAAPand other financial measures glossary, in the Non-GAAPand other financial measures section at the end of this MD&A.
Operational metrics
Operational metrics used by the Company include outstanding insured mortgage balances, delinquency ratio on outstanding insured mortgage balances, new reported delinquencies, cures, average reserve per delinquencies and average premium rate. These metrics are used by the Company to analyze performance in regard to the aggregate amount of outstanding insurance, delinquency trends and premium rate trends.
Page 3of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
Contents |
|
Business profile |
6 |
Overview |
8 |
Third quarter financial highlights |
8 |
Recent business and regulatory developments |
9 |
Third quarter review |
14 |
Summary of annual information |
20 |
Summary of quarterly results |
21 |
Financial condition |
22 |
Financial instruments |
22 |
Liquidity |
26 |
Derivative financial instruments |
27 |
Capital expenditures |
27 |
Capital management |
28 |
Mortgage insurer capital adequacy test |
28 |
Debt |
29 |
Credit facility |
30 |
Preferred shares |
31 |
Financial strength ratings |
31 |
Capital transactions |
32 |
Restrictions on dividends and capital transactions |
32 |
Outstanding share data |
32 |
Risk management |
33 |
Enterprise risk management framework |
33 |
Governance framework |
33 |
Risk principles |
34 |
Risk appetite framework |
34 |
Risk controls |
35 |
Risk categories |
35 |
Financial reporting controls and accounting disclosures |
38 |
Disclosure controls & procedures and internal control over financial reporting |
38 |
Changes in accounting standards and future accounting standards |
38 |
Sustainability and climate-related reporting standards |
39 |
Significant estimates and judgements |
39 |
Transactions with related parties |
40 |
Non-GAAP and other financial measures |
41 |
Non-GAAP and other financial measures glossary |
42 |
Other Glossary |
43 |
Page 4of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
List of tables |
|
Table 1: Selected financial information |
8 |
Table 2: Results of operations |
14 |
Table 3: Premiums written |
15 |
Table 4: Net insurance revenue |
15 |
Table 5: Losses on claims |
16 |
Table 6: Expenses |
17 |
Table 7: Investment income |
18 |
Table 8: Net Income |
19 |
Table 9: Statement of financial position |
20 |
Table 10: Summary of quarterly results |
21 |
Table 11: Invested assets by asset class for the portfolio |
23 |
Table 12: Invested assets by credit rating for the portfolio |
24 |
Table 13: Summary of the Company's cash flows |
26 |
Table 14: Fair value and notional amounts of derivatives by terms of maturity |
27 |
Table 15: MICAT as at |
28 |
Table 16: Details of the Company's long-term debt and hybrid notes |
29 |
Table 17: Changes in the number of common shares, Class A common shares and Series 1 Preferred Shares outstanding |
32 |
Table 18: Non-GAAP financial measures reconciled to comparable IFRS measures |
41 |
Page 5of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
Business profile
Business background
Sagen is the largest private-sector residential mortgage insurer in
Federally regulated lenders are required to purchase transactional mortgage insurance in respect of a residential mortgage loan whenever the loan-to-value ratio exceeds 80%. The Company offers both transactional and portfolio mortgage insurance. The Company's transactional mortgage insurance covers default risk on mortgage loans secured by residential properties to protect lenders from any resulting losses on claims. By offering insurance for transactional mortgages, the Company plays a significant role in providing access to homeownership for Canadian residents. Homebuyers who can only afford to make a smaller down payment can, through the benefits provided by mortgage insurers such as Sagen, obtain mortgages at rates comparable to buyers with more substantial down payments.
The Company also provides portfolio mortgage insurance to lenders for loans with loan-to-value ratios of 80% or less. Portfolio mortgage insurance is beneficial to lenders as it provides the ability to manage capital and funding requirements and mitigate risk. The Company views portfolio mortgage insurance as an extension of its relationship with existing transactional insurance customers. Therefore, the Company carefully manages the level of its portfolio mortgage insurance relative to its overall mortgage insurance business. Premium rates on portfolio mortgage insurance have historically been lower than those on transactional mortgage insurance due to the lower risk profile associated with portfolio loans.
Seasonality
The transactional mortgage insurance business is seasonal. Business volumes vary each quarter, while interest and dividend income, net of investment expenses, and administrative expenses tend to be relatively consistent from quarter to quarter. The variations in business volumes are driven by mortgage origination activity, which typically peak in the spring and summer months. Strong housing demand throughout the second half of 2020 and 2021 impacted the typical seasonal variations in transactional premiums written in those years. In 2022, rising interest rates and strained housing affordability led to a weaker housing market starting in the Spring of 2022, which continued throughout 2023 and into the first half of 2024.
Losses on claims vary from quarter to quarter, primarily as the result of prevailing economic conditions, changes in employment levels and characteristics of the outstanding insured mortgage balances, such as size, age, seasonality and geographic mix of delinquencies. Typically, losses on claims increase during the winter months, primarily due to an increase in new delinquencies, and decrease during the spring and summer months. The COVID-19 pandemic and actions taken by lenders and mortgage insurers in respect of mortgage payment deferrals impacted the typical seasonal patterns of mortgage delinquencies in 2020 and 2021. During 2022, the cumulative favourable impact of home price appreciation from 2020 and 2021 in most regions of
The Company's business volumes from portfolio mortgage insurance vary from period to period based on a number of factors including the amount of portfolio mortgages lenders seek to insure, the competitiveness of the Company's pricing, underwriting guidelines and credit enhancement for portfolio insurance, and the Company's risk appetite for such mortgage insurance.
Distribution and marketing
The Company works with lenders, mortgage brokers and real estate agents across
Page 6of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
Adoption of new accounting standards
On
Page 7of 45
Overview
Third quarter financial highlights
Table 1: Selected financial information
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
|||||||||||
(in millions of dollars, unless otherwise specified) |
2024 |
2023 |
2024 |
2023 |
||||||||
Premiums written¹ |
$ |
231 |
$ |
208 |
$ |
561 |
$ |
469 |
||||
Insurance revenue |
$ |
221 |
$ |
216 |
$ |
612 |
$ |
531 |
||||
Net losses on claims |
11 |
8 |
27 |
27 |
||||||||
Insurance expenses |
27 |
27 |
81 |
69 |
||||||||
Insurance service expense |
39 |
35 |
107 |
96 |
||||||||
Insurance service result |
183 |
181 |
505 |
436 |
||||||||
Insurance finance expense |
26 |
23 |
66 |
54 |
||||||||
Other operating expenses |
12 |
11 |
30 |
29 |
||||||||
Net insurance service result¹ |
145 |
148 |
409 |
352 |
||||||||
Investment income: |
62 |
183 |
||||||||||
Interest |
63 |
172 |
||||||||||
Dividends |
7 |
7 |
22 |
20 |
||||||||
Change in allowance for ECL |
(1) |
- |
(8) |
(1) |
||||||||
Income (loss) from associate |
- |
- |
(1) |
(1) |
||||||||
General investment expenses |
(3) |
(3) |
(7) |
(10) |
||||||||
Interest and dividend income, net of investment expenses¹ |
65 |
66 |
189 |
181 |
||||||||
Realized income from the interest rate hedging program |
- |
- |
(1) |
(1) |
||||||||
Net realized gains (losses) from sales of investments |
5 |
(3) |
3 |
(12) |
||||||||
Net fair value gains (losses) on financial assets at FVTPL |
(3) |
1 |
32 |
(1) |
||||||||
Net gains (losses) on derivatives and foreign exchange² |
(5) |
(3) |
(9) |
(8) |
||||||||
Total investment income |
63 |
60 |
215 |
159 |
||||||||
Interest expense |
11 |
10 |
30 |
28 |
||||||||
Income before income taxes |
197 |
198 |
593 |
484 |
||||||||
Income taxes |
50 |
50 |
151 |
123 |
||||||||
Net income |
$ |
147 |
$ |
148 |
$ |
442 |
$ |
361 |
||||
Adjustment to net income, net of taxes: |
||||||||||||
Net (gains) losses from investments, financial assets |
2 |
(20) |
||||||||||
at FVTPL, derivatives and foreign exchange² |
4 |
17 |
||||||||||
Net operating income¹ |
$ |
149 |
$ |
152 |
$ |
422 |
$ |
378 |
||||
Effective tax rate |
25.6 % |
25.3 % |
25.4 % |
25.4 % |
||||||||
Selected measures: |
193,600 |
193,600 |
||||||||||
Outstanding insured mortgage balances³ |
193,400 |
193,400 |
||||||||||
Delinquency ratio on outstanding insured mortgage balances³ |
0.17 % |
0.15 % |
0.17 % |
0.15 % |
||||||||
Loss ratio⁴ |
6 % |
4 % |
5 % |
6 % |
||||||||
Expense ratio⁴ |
20 % |
19 % |
20 % |
21 % |
||||||||
Combined ratio⁴ |
26 % |
23 % |
25 % |
26 % |
||||||||
MICAT⁵ |
178 % |
175 % |
178 % |
175 % |
Note: Amounts may not total due to rounding. 1 Non-GAAP financial measure. 2 Includes realized and unrealized gains and losses from derivatives and foreign exchange, excluding realized income and expense from the interest rate hedging program. 3 This estimate is based on the amounts reported by lenders to the Company which represents the vast majority of outstanding insured mortgage balances. 4 Supplementary financial measure. 5 Company estimate as at
Page 8of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
The Company reported net income of
The Company reported net income of
Recent business and regulatory developments
Expansion of Eligible Mortgage Criteria under PRMHIA
On
- Increasing the
$1 million price cap for insured mortgages to$1.5 million ; and - Expanding eligibility for 30-year mortgage amortizations for insured mortgages to all first-time homebuyers and to all buyers of new build properties. This measure expands the change the Canadian federal government made on
August 1, 2024 , that allowed only first-time homebuyers, who were buying new build properties, access to 30-year insured high ratio mortgages.
These measures will be available for high-ratio mortgage insurance applications that are submitted, including previously submitted applications that are resubmitted, on or after
On
These measures will be available for mortgage insurance applications that lenders submit to mortgage insurers on or after
OSFI's new supervisory framework
On
Mortgage Insurer Capital Adequacy Test 2024 Guideline ("2024 MICAT Guideline")
On
The revised 2024 MICAT Guideline became effective on
Page 9of 45
|
Q3 2024 MD&A |
OSFI Guideline E-23: Model Risk Management Guideline ("Guideline E-23")
On
OSFI Guideline B-20: Residential Mortgage Underwriting Practices and Procedures ("Guideline B-20")
On
On
On
It is expected that OSFI will continue to review its expectations relating to real estate secured lending through the rest of 2024.
OSFI Guideline B-15: Climate Risk Management ("Guideline B-15")
On
Reinforcing residential mortgage risk management practices
On
- Proactively identify and address vulnerable accounts, portfolio segments and concentrations;
- Ensure forward-looking credit risk measurement, modeling, and stress testing to estimate potential losses; and
- Apply timely recognition of expected and unexpected losses due to account vulnerabilities or adverse shifts in the risk environment.
Guideline on Existing Consumer Mortgage Loans in Exceptional Circumstances
On
Page 10of 45
Attachments
Disclaimer
Fed drops key interest rate by a quarter-point
Jerome Powell Insists Trump Victory Won’t Impact Fed’s Decision-making
Advisor News
Annuity News
Health/Employee Benefits News
Life Insurance News