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October 22, 2024 Reinsurance
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Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Presentation

U.S. Markets via PUBT

October 22, 2024

Shivani Kak

HEAD OF INVESTOR RELATIONS

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

2

Certain statements contained in this document are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for Moody's business and operations that involve a number of risks and uncertainties. Such statements involve estimates, projections, goals, forecasts, assumptions and uncertainties that could cause actual results or outcomes to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements. Stockholders and investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements. The forward-looking statements and other information in this document are made as of the date hereof, and Moody's undertakes no obligation (nor does it intend) to publicly supplement, update or revise such statements on a going-forward basis, whether as a result of subsequent developments, changed expectations or otherwise, except as required by applicable law or regulation. In connection with the "safe harbor" provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Moody's is identifying certain factors that could cause actual results to differ, perhaps materially, from those indicated by these forward-looking statements. These factors, risks and uncertainties include, but are not limited to: the impact of general economic conditions (including significant government debt and deficit levels, and inflation and related monetary policy actions by governments in response to inflation) on worldwide credit markets and on economic activity, including on the volume of mergers and acquisitions, and their effects on the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government initiatives and monetary policy to respond to the current economic climate, including instability of financial institutions, credit quality concerns, and other potential impacts of volatility in financial and credit markets; the global impacts of the Russia - Ukraine military conflict and the military conflict in the Middle East on volatility in world financial markets, on general economic conditions and GDP in the U.S. and worldwide, on global relations and on the Company's own operations and personnel; other matters that could affect the volume of debt and other securities issued in domestic and/or global capital markets, including regulation, increased utilization of technologies that have the potential to intensify competition and accelerate disruption and disintermediation in the financial services industry, as well as the number of issuances of securities without ratings or securities which are rated or evaluated by non-traditional parties; the level of merger and acquisition activity in the U.S. and abroad; the uncertain effectiveness and possible collateral consequences of U.S. and foreign government actions affecting credit markets, international trade and economic policy, including those related to tariffs, tax agreements and trade barriers; the impact of MIS's withdrawal of its credit ratings on countries or entities within countries and of Moody's no longer conducting commercial operations in countries where political instability warrants such actions; concerns in the marketplace affecting our credibility or otherwise affecting market perceptions of the integrity or utility of independent credit agency ratings; the introduction or development of competing and/or emerging technologies and products; pricing pressure from competitors and/or customers; the level of success of new product development and global expansion; the impact of regulation as an NRSRO, the potential for new U.S., state and local legislation and regulations; the potential for increased competition and regulation in the jurisdictions in which we operate, including the EU; exposure to litigation related to our rating opinions, as well as any other litigation, government and regulatory proceedings, investigations and inquiries to which Moody's may be subject from time to time; provisions in U.S. legislation modifying the pleading standards and EU regulations modifying the liability standards applicable to credit rating agencies in a manner adverse to credit rating agencies; provisions of EU regulations imposing additional procedural and substantive requirements on the pricing of services and the expansion of supervisory remit to include non-EU ratings used for regulatory purposes; uncertainty regarding the future relationship between the U.S. and China; the possible loss of key employees and the impact of the global labor environment; failures or malfunctions of our operations and infrastructure; any vulnerabilities to cyber threats or other cybersecurity concerns; the timing and effectiveness of any restructuring programs; currency and foreign exchange volatility; the outcome of any review by tax authorities of Moody's global tax planning initiatives; exposure to potential criminal sanctions or civil remedies if Moody's fails to comply with foreign and U.S. laws and regulations that are applicable in the jurisdictions in which Moody's operates, including data protection and privacy laws, sanctions laws, anti-corruption laws, and local laws prohibiting corrupt payments to government officials; the impact of mergers, acquisitions or other business combinations and the ability of Moody's to successfully integrate acquired businesses; the level of future cash flows; the levels of capital investments; and a decline in the demand for credit risk management tools by financial institutions. These factors, risks and uncertainties as well as other risks and uncertainties that could cause Moody's actual results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements are described in greater detail under "Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A of Moody's annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023, and in other filings made by the Company from time to time with the SEC or in materials incorporated herein or therein. Stockholders and investors are cautioned that the occurrence of any of these factors, risks and uncertainties may cause the Company's actual results to differ materially from those contemplated, expressed, projected, anticipated or implied in the forward-looking statements, which could have a material and adverse effect on the Company's business, results of operations and financial condition. New factors may emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for the Company to predict new factors, nor can the Company assess the potential effect of any new factors on it. Forward-looking and other statements in this document may also address our corporate responsibility progress, plans, and goals (including sustainability and environmental matters), and the inclusion of such statements is not an indication that these contents are necessarily material to investors or required to be disclosed in the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. In addition, historical, current, and forward-lookingsustainability-related statements may be based on standards for measuring progress that are still developing, internal controls and processes that continue to evolve, and assumptions that are subject to change in the future.

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

3

Rob Fauber

PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

4

  1. Refer to the Appendix for reconciliations between all adjusted measures mentioned throughout this presentation and U.S. GAAP.
  2. Guidance as of October 22, 2024. Refer to Table 12 - "2024 Outlook" in the press release titled "Moody's Corporation Reports Results for Third Quarter 2024" from October 22, 2024, for a complete list of guidance, as well as assumptions used by the Company with respect to its guidance.
  3. ARR: Annualized Recurring Revenue. ARR growth as of September 30, 2024. Refer to the Appendix for the definition of and further information on ARR. ARR excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.

Moody's delivered record-breaking results

3Q revenue grew 23%; Adjusted Operating Margin1 up 320bps to 47.8%; Adjusted Diluted EPS1 increased 32% to $3.21

MIS achieved record 3Q revenue

Revenue grew 41%; transactional revenue grew 70%; Adjusted Operating Margin up 640bps to 59.6%; raising full year guidance2 for all metrics

MA produced solid ARR3 growth

ARR3 and revenue grew 9% and 7%, respectively; Adjusted Operating Margin was 30.3%

Increasing select MCO full year guidance2 metrics

Projecting revenue to increase in the high-teens percent range; raising and narrowing Adjusted Diluted EPS1 range to $11.90 - $12.10

Cyclical and secular tailwinds driving future growth

Refunding walls, M&A, and other trends supporting debt capital markets activity

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

5

REFUNDING WALLS1 ($T)

Investment Grade Speculative Grade

M&A2 ($T)

M&A Volume

10-year Avg.

EVOLVING TRENDS

$4.4 11%

$2.6

$4.9

$5.0 $4.5

$3.6

$3.1

Private Credit

Sustainable & Transition Finance

Jan '18

Sep '23

Sep '24

Increase in refinancing needs driven by ~19% growth in Speculative Grade

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

YTD

M&A activity throughout 2024 remains below historical averages

Emerging & Domestic Debt Markets

Digital Finance

  1. Amounts reflect Moody's-rated U.S. non-financial corporate bond and loan maturities as defined in Moody's refunding needs reports (2018-2024), excludes unrated debt, REITS and public utilities. Amounts also reflect Moody's-rated and unrated EMEA non- financial corporate and infrastructure bond and loan maturities as defined in Moody's refunding needs reports (2018-2024).
  2. Source: Bloomberg and Moody's Corporation. 2024 data as of September 30, 2024.

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

6

ACCELERATED CLOUD

EXPANDED INDUSTRY

ADOPTION

PARTNERSHIPS

HIGH-DEFINITION MODELS

INSURANCE ECOSYSTEM

Launched enhanced modeling

Launched customer-centric approach

capabilities leveraging cloud compute

open to third party models

~5x CLOUD CUSTOMERS

CYBER INDUSTRY STEERING

Growth in number of customers active

GROUP

on the cloud-based Intelligent Risk

Addressing the growth of the global

Platform (IRP)2

cyber insurance market

ACTUARIAL & RISK MODELING

LLOYD'S LAB3

Helping to navigate interconnected

Collaborating on GHG emission

risks and new regulatory frameworks

quantification

TOP TIER CUSTOMER BASE4

10 OF THE TOP 10

Global reinsurance brokers

9 OF THE TOP 10

U.S. commercial lines insurers

28 OF THE TOP 30

Global reinsurers

INTEGRATION &

EXPANSION

CASUALTY ANALYTICS

PLATFORMING & MODERNIZING Leveraging RMS' platform technology across all of Moody's Analytics

CLIMATE BEYOND INSURERS

Climate scenario analysis and stress testing in banking

Notes: GHG = Greenhouse Gases.

  1. Recent results compared against underlying revenue growth rate and operating margin as disclosed in the Daily Mail and General Trust's annual reports for 2019 and 2020.
  2. Growth in IRP customer base from December 2021, to October 2024.
  3. Refer to press release titled"Lloyd's and Moody's to develop an emissions accounting solution through the Lloyd's Lab"from September 14, 2023.
  4. Based on Insurance ARR as of 3Q24 and third-party rankings.

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

7

Noémie Heuland

CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

8

MCO Revenue

MCO Revenue

MCO Adjusted

MCO Adjusted

MCO Free Cash

Growth1

Operating Margin2

Diluted EPS2

Flow Growth2,3

Revenue

Recurring

ARR

Adjusted

Growth1

Revenue

Growth1,4

Operating

Growth1

Margin

Revenue

Transaction

Rated

Adjusted

Growth1

Revenue

Issuance

Operating

Growth1

Growth1,5

Margin

  1. Year-over-yearquarterly growth.
  2. Refer to the Appendix for reconciliations between all adjusted measures mentioned throughout this presentation and U.S. GAAP.
  3. Year-over-yeargrowth for the nine months ended September 30.
  4. ARR: Annualized Recurring Revenue. ARR growth as of September 30, 2024. Refer to the Appendix for the definition of and further information on ARR. ARR excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.
  5. MIS-ratedissuance, excludes sovereign debt issuance. Issuance figures are subject to amendment given face amount variations that may occur following the reporting cycle.

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

9

FY 2024 MIS RATED ISSUANCE GUIDANCE1,2

As of July 23, 2024

As of October 22, 2024

FIRST TIME MANDATES

Total MIS Rated Issuance

Investment Grade

High Yield Bonds

Leveraged Loans

Financial Institutions

Public, Project and

Infrastructure Finance

Structured Finance

Mid-30's %

~30%

~65%

~95%

~15%

~25%

~40%

~700

~895

~1,135

~750

~700

~595

~450

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024E1

U.S. HIGH YIELD (HY) SPREADS

U.S. HY Spread

U.S. HY Spread Avg

6%

4%

2%

0%

1Q22

3Q22

1Q23

3Q23

1Q24

3Q24

  1. Guidance as of October 22, 2024. Refer to Table 12 - "2024 Outlook" in the press release titled "Moody's Corporation Reports Results for Third Quarter 2024" from October 22, 2024, for a complete list of guidance, as well as assumptions used by the Company with respect to its guidance.
  2. MIS-ratedissuance, excludes sovereign debt issuance. Issuance figures are subject to amendment given face amount variations that may occur following the reporting cycle.

Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call

10

Attachments

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Disclaimer

Moody's Corporation published this content on October 22, 2024, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on October 22, 2024 at 11:03:13.760.

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