Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Presentation
HEAD OF INVESTOR RELATIONS
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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Certain statements contained in this document are forward-looking statements and are based on future expectations, plans and prospects for
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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PRESIDENT AND CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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- Refer to the Appendix for reconciliations between all adjusted measures mentioned throughout this presentation and
U.S. GAAP. - Guidance as of
October 22, 2024 . Refer to Table 12 - "2024 Outlook" in the press release titled "Moody's Corporation Reports Results for Third Quarter 2024" fromOctober 22, 2024 , for a complete list of guidance, as well as assumptions used by the Company with respect to its guidance. - ARR: Annualized Recurring Revenue. ARR growth as of
September 30, 2024 . Refer to the Appendix for the definition of and further information on ARR. ARR excludes the impact of foreign currency translation.
3Q revenue grew 23%; Adjusted Operating Margin1 up 320bps to 47.8%; Adjusted Diluted EPS1 increased 32% to
MIS achieved record 3Q revenue
Revenue grew 41%; transactional revenue grew 70%; Adjusted Operating Margin up 640bps to 59.6%; raising full year guidance2 for all metrics
MA produced solid ARR3 growth
ARR3 and revenue grew 9% and 7%, respectively; Adjusted Operating Margin was 30.3%
Increasing select MCO full year guidance2 metrics
Projecting revenue to increase in the high-teens percent range; raising and narrowing Adjusted Diluted EPS1 range to
Cyclical and secular tailwinds driving future growth
Refunding walls, M&A, and other trends supporting debt capital markets activity
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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REFUNDING WALLS1 ($T)
Investment Grade Speculative Grade
M&A2 ($T)
M&A Volume |
10-year Avg. |
|
EVOLVING TRENDS
Private Credit
Sustainable & Transition Finance
Jan '18 |
Sep '23 |
Sep '24 |
Increase in refinancing needs driven by ~19% growth in Speculative Grade
2014 |
2016 |
2018 |
2020 |
2022 |
2024 |
YTD |
M&A activity throughout 2024 remains below historical averages
Emerging & Domestic Debt Markets
Digital Finance
- Amounts reflect
Moody's -ratedU.S. non-financial corporate bond and loan maturities as defined inMoody's refunding needs reports (2018-2024), excludes unrated debt, REITS and public utilities. Amounts also reflect Moody's-rated and unrated EMEA non- financial corporate and infrastructure bond and loan maturities as defined in Moody's refunding needs reports (2018-2024). - Source:
Bloomberg andMoody's Corporation . 2024 data as ofSeptember 30, 2024 .
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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ACCELERATED CLOUD |
EXPANDED INDUSTRY |
|
ADOPTION |
PARTNERSHIPS |
|
HIGH-DEFINITION MODELS |
INSURANCE ECOSYSTEM |
|
Launched enhanced modeling |
Launched customer-centric approach |
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capabilities leveraging cloud compute |
open to third party models |
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~5x CLOUD CUSTOMERS |
CYBER INDUSTRY STEERING |
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Growth in number of customers active |
GROUP |
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on the cloud-based Intelligent Risk |
Addressing the growth of the global |
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Platform (IRP)2 |
cyber insurance market |
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ACTUARIAL & RISK MODELING |
LLOYD'S LAB3 |
|
Helping to navigate interconnected |
Collaborating on GHG emission |
|
risks and new regulatory frameworks |
quantification |
TOP TIER CUSTOMER BASE4
10 OF THE TOP 10
Global reinsurance brokers
9 OF THE TOP 10
28 OF THE TOP 30
Global reinsurers
INTEGRATION &
EXPANSION
CASUALTY ANALYTICS
PLATFORMING & MODERNIZING Leveraging RMS' platform technology across all of
CLIMATE BEYOND INSURERS
Climate scenario analysis and stress testing in banking
Notes: GHG = Greenhouse Gases.
- Recent results compared against underlying revenue growth rate and operating margin as disclosed in the
Daily Mail and General Trust's annual reports for 2019 and 2020. - Growth in IRP customer base from
December 2021 , toOctober 2024 . - Refer to press release titled"Lloyd's and
Moody's to develop an emissions accounting solution through the Lloyd's Lab"fromSeptember 14, 2023 . - Based on Insurance ARR as of 3Q24 and third-party rankings.
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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Noémie Heuland
CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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MCO Revenue |
MCO Revenue |
MCO Adjusted |
MCO Adjusted |
MCO Free Cash |
||||
Growth1 |
Operating Margin2 |
Diluted EPS2 |
Flow Growth2,3 |
|||||
Revenue |
Recurring |
ARR |
Adjusted |
Growth1 |
Revenue |
Growth1,4 |
Operating |
Growth1 |
Margin |
Revenue |
Transaction |
Rated |
Adjusted |
Growth1 |
Revenue |
Issuance |
Operating |
Growth1 |
Growth1,5 |
Margin |
- Year-over-yearquarterly growth.
- Refer to the Appendix for reconciliations between all adjusted measures mentioned throughout this presentation and
U.S. GAAP. - Year-over-yeargrowth for the nine months ended
September 30 . - ARR: Annualized Recurring Revenue. ARR growth as of
September 30, 2024 . Refer to the Appendix for the definition of and further information on ARR. ARR excludes the impact of foreign currency translation. - MIS-ratedissuance, excludes sovereign debt issuance. Issuance figures are subject to amendment given face amount variations that may occur following the reporting cycle.
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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FY 2024 MIS RATED ISSUANCE GUIDANCE1,2
As of |
As of |
|
FIRST TIME MANDATES
Total MIS Rated Issuance
Investment Grade
High Yield Bonds
Leveraged Loans
Financial Institutions
Public, Project and
Infrastructure Finance
Structured Finance
Mid-30's %
~30%
~65%
~95%
~15%
~25%
~40%
~700
~895 |
~1,135 |
|||||||||||||
~750 |
~700 |
|||||||||||||
~595 |
~450 |
|||||||||||||
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
2024E1 |
|
|
||
6% |
|||
4%
2%
0%
1Q22 |
3Q22 |
1Q23 |
3Q23 |
1Q24 |
3Q24 |
- Guidance as of
October 22, 2024 . Refer to Table 12 - "2024 Outlook" in the press release titled "Moody's Corporation Reports Results for Third Quarter 2024" fromOctober 22, 2024 , for a complete list of guidance, as well as assumptions used by the Company with respect to its guidance. - MIS-ratedissuance, excludes sovereign debt issuance. Issuance figures are subject to amendment given face amount variations that may occur following the reporting cycle.
Third Quarter 2024 - Earnings Call |
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