Q3-23 Presentation
Third Quarter 2023 Earnings Results
Information Regarding Forward-looking Statements
This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements are based on assumptions about the future, involve risks and uncertainties, and are not guarantees. Future results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement. These forward-looking statements represent our estimates and assumptions only as of the date of this presentation. We assume no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statement as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
In this presentation, forward-looking statements can be identified by words such as "believe," "expect," "intend," "anticipate," "contemplate," "plan," "estimate," "project," "forecast," "should," "could," "would," "will," "confident," "may," "can," "potential," "possible," "proposed," "in process," "construct," "develop," "opportunity," "initiative," "target," "outlook," "optimistic," "poised," "maintain," "continue," "progress," "advance," "goal," "aim," "commit," or similar expressions, or when we discuss our guidance, priorities, strategy, goals, vision, mission, opportunities, projections, intentions or expectations.
Factors, among others, that could cause actual results and events to differ materially from those expressed or implied in any forward-looking statement include:
These risks and uncertainties are further discussed in the reports that Sempra has filed with the
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Table of Contents
- Executive Summary
- Business Updates
- Financial Results
- Closing Remarks
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Executive Summary
- Strong positions in some of the most attractive markets in
North America - Infrastructure investments improving safety, reliability, and access to cleaner forms of energy
- Prudent balance sheet management reducing interest rate exposure
- Continuing strong financial performance across all three growth platforms
$40B five-year capital plan to be updated on Q4 call and expect 10% - 20% increase focused on utility investments1
Financial Updates2
• Completed 2-for-1 stock split effective |
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• Reporting Q3-2023 adjusted EPS of |
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• Expecting to be at or above high end of FY-2023 adjusted EPS guidance range of |
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• Affirming FY-2024 EPS guidance range of |
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• Affirming projected long-term EPS growth rate of 6% - 8%4 |
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1. |
Refers to Sempra's 2023 - 2027 capital plan which includes Sempra's proportionate ownership share of projected CapEx at unconsolidated entities and excludes projected CapEx attributable to NCI. |
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Sempra's capital plan and expectations regarding potential increases to its capital requirements are based on a number of assumptions, the failure of which to be accurate could materially impact |
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Sempra's capital expenditures and their potential impact on rate base growth. |
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2. |
All share and per share information in this presentation reflects the two-for-one split of our common stock in the form of a 100% stock dividend that was distributed to shareholders on |
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3. |
See Appendix for information regarding Adjusted EPS and Adjusted EPS guidance range, which represent non-GAAP financial measures. GAAP EPS for Q3-2023 and YTD-2023 was |
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4. |
Based on midpoint of 2023 adjusted EPS guidance range. |
Business Updates |
Strong Operational Performance
- Oncor accomplishments in Q3
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- Connected ~20,000 additional premises
- Built, re-built, and upgraded ~630 miles of T+D lines
- Improved SAIDI by 9% - representing reduced restoration time and increased reliability for customers1
Constructive Regulatory Environment
Texas completed constructive legislative session for T+D utilities- SB 1015 - Oncor filed 2nd DCRF in September; expected to reduce regulatory lag; substantially all CapEx now recoverable through capital trackers2
- HB 2555 - Designed to improve system resiliency and reliability for customers, and allows for recovery of necessary investments in rates; expect rulemaking to be complete in Q4-2023 with initial Oncor system resiliency plan filing targeted Q1-2024
High Growth Potential
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- Oncor is one of the largest pure-play T+D utilities in the
U.S. with long-term annual premise growth of 2%3 ERCOT set 10 peak demand records this summer with new all-time peak of 85 GW, representing 16% growth since 20184Total Permian Basin load demand projected to increase from 4.2 GW to 17.2 GW by 20325- Significant C&I growth in Oncor service territory evidenced by ~34% year-over-year increase in active transmission point of interconnection requests
- Oncor is one of the largest pure-play T+D utilities in the
- SAIDI refers to System Average Interruption Duration Index performance for the 12 months ended
September 30, 2023 as compared to the same period in 2022. SAIDI is calculated as the average number of minutes electric service is interrupted per consumer in 12 months. - Capex subject to commission review at next base rate review.
- Based on T+D miles in service territory presented in company materials. Based on Oncor's average premise growth of ~2% per year from 2018-2022.
- ERCOT News Release
September 14, 2023 . All-time peak demand record of 85 GW onAugust 10, 2023 .July 2018 peak demand was 73 GW. |5
5. 2023 S&P Global Report prepared for
Sempra Texas Spotlight | Driving Higher Growth1
Experiencing strong economic growth from a diverse set of industries across service territory
AllianceTexas
- Logistics hub + planned future development includes large concentration of data centers
- Expansion + support of major entertainment / sporting events
DFW Airport Upgrades
- Announced new terminal + major expansion
Large Semiconductor Sector Growth - Increased expansion could create additional projects
S&P (IHS) Published Long-Term Load Forecast
- Expects region to remain high oil + gas producer for many years
- Validates electrification should have significant impact on upstream + midstream processes
- Confirms focus on
Delaware Basin where production outlooks double that ofMidland Basin
Synchronous Condensers for System Strength
- Continued investment needed to meet industrial growth
Samsung Microchip Manufacturing in
- Expansion plans for Samsung site
- Requirement for suppliers to be located in close proximity to plant
Hutto Megasite
- 1,400-acreplanned industrial development including proposed 300 MW data center
State Highway 130 Corridor
- Distribution center growth and proximity to Tesla gigafactory
SoutheDallas
International Inland Port
- Union Pacific Railway Intermodal Facility
Prime Pointe Industrial Park - Manufacturing, distribution, and cold storage
Large Data Center Cluster - Google + Compass Data Centers under construction
- 5+ large-scale data centers in the planning phase
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1. Third-party development and expansion projects are outside of our control and subject to a number of risks and uncertainties.
Business Updates | Sempra California
Strong Operational Performance
- SDGE awarded "Best in the West" 18 years in a row and national Grid Sustainability award1
- 35% year-over-year increase in EVs in SDGE's service territory2
Palomar Hydrogen Blending Project commissioning in November3- SoCalGas expecting to meet CA's 2030 methane emissions reduction goal of 40% 5-years early4
Constructive Regulatory Environment
- Requested CPUC adoption of 2024 GRC settlement agreements reached with key intervenors on certain portions related to safety and reliability - PD anticipated Q2-20245
- SB 410 allows recovery of additional energization spend between GRC cycles, designed to reduce regulatory lag
- CPUC approved increase in
Aliso Canyon's authorized storage capacity from 41.2 Bcf to 68.6 Bcf, which is expected to improve reliability and customer affordability - CCM triggered - SDGE and SoCalGas each filed advice letters to increase ROEs by 70 bps6
High Growth Potential3
• SDGE requested approval for ~160 MW of utility-owned energy storage |
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• SDGE assigned |
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2022 - 2023 Transmission Plan FERC 1000 solicitation process |
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• CA Governor announced an "all-of-government" approach to develop H2 economy of future |
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• CA awarded up to |
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SoCalGas7 |
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1. |
ReliabilityOne award for Outstanding Reliability Performance in the West and application of clean energy technology and investment in the grid. |
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2. |
Represents 2022 compared to 2021 Data. Amount is approximate. Total Light Duty Electric Vehicles including electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles in SDGE's service territory. |
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3. |
The ability to complete major development and construction projects is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. |
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4. |
Based upon a 2015 emissions baseline. SB 1371 and D.19-08-020 require |
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5. |
Parties to file comments by |
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6. |
Also seeking increase in cost of debt at SDGE and SoCalGas of 29 bps and 47 bps, respectively. ROR at SDGE and SoCalGas would each increase to 7.67%. Protests due by |
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7. The award is preliminary and subject to change based on award negotiations between
Business Updates |
Strong Operational Performance
- ECA LNG Phase 1 and Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 collectively achieved over 13.5 million work hours without loss time injury
- Cameron LNG Phase 1 operating above capacity and has exported 650 cargoes (over 2,150 Bcf of natural gas) since commencement of commercial operations2
- Completed sale of 42% indirect, noncontrolling interest in Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 project to KKR
Constructive Regulatory Environment
- Received
FERC approval for Port Arthur LNG Phase 2
High Growth Potential
- Collaborating with
Mitsubishi Corporation and a consortium of Japanese utility companies to explore development of carbon-neutral gas production infrastructure inNorth America - The HyVelocity Hub, in which
Sempra Infrastructure is one of seven partners, selected to receive up to$1.2B fromDOE to enable hydrogen infrastructure3
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The ability to complete major development and construction projects is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. |
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2. |
Since commencement of commercial operations through 9/30/2023. |
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3. |
The award is preliminary and subject to change based on award negotiations between HyVelocity and |
Q3-2023 Financial Results
Three months ended |
Nine months ended |
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(Dollars and shares in millions, except EPS) |
2023 |
2022 |
2023 |
2022 |
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(Unaudited) |
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GAAP Earnings |
$ |
721 |
$ |
485 |
$ |
2,293 |
$ |
1,656 |
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Impact associated with |
- |
101 |
- |
199 |
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Equity losses from write-off of rate base disallowances resulting from PUCT's final order in Oncor's |
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comprehensive base rate review |
- |
- |
44 |
- |
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Impact from foreign currency and inflation on monetary positions in |
(36) |
(2) |
166 |
89 |
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Net unrealized losses (gains) on derivatives |
- |
38 |
(319) |
108 |
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Net unrealized losses on contingent interest rate swap related to PA LNG Phase 1 project |
- |
- |
17 |
- |
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Deferred income tax expense associated with change in indefinite reinvestment assertion related to |
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sale of NCI to ADIA |
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- |
- |
120 |
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Adjusted Earnings1 |
$ |
685 |
$ |
622 |
$ |
2,201 |
$ |
2,172 |
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Diluted Weighted-Average Common Shares Outstanding |
632 |
632 |
632 |
633 |
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GAAP EPS |
$ |
1.14 |
$ |
0.77 |
$ |
3.63 |
$ |
2.62 |
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Adjusted EPS1 |
$ |
1.08 |
$ |
0.98 |
$ |
3.48 |
$ |
3.43 |
Improved third quarter results, as compared to prior period, driven by
utility growth and strong operational performance
1. See Appendix for information regarding non-GAAP financial measures and descriptions of adjustments.
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Q3-2023 Adjusted Earnings Drivers
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( |
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Lower income |
Higher transmission |
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tax benefit + + CPUC operating |
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higher net |
margin + regulatory |
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interest |
interest income + |
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expense |
lower authorized |
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+ other |
CoC |
Q3-20221
Higher weather- driven and other consumption + new base rates
- customer growth
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( |
Higher |
Higher interest |
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transportation |
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Higher |
expense + net |
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tariffs + other |
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capitalized |
income tax benefit |
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interest |
Other
Q3-20231
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1. See Appendix for information regarding Adjusted Earnings, which is a non-GAAP financial measure. GAAP Earnings for Sempra for Q3-2022 and Q3-2023 were
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