Q3 2024 Trading Update
2024 CHL Q3 Trading Update |
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Trading update for Q3 2024
Continued year-on-year growth of 25.2% in gross premiums written
CHL, the ultimate parent company of Conduit Re, a multi-line
Key highlights:
- Gross premiums written of
$957.3 million , a 25.2% increase over the first nine months of 2023 - Reinsurance revenue of
$588.2 million , a 30.3% increase over the first nine months of 2023 - Overall portfolio risk-adjusted rate change for the nine months ended
30 September 2024 was 1%, net of claims inflation - Activity across smaller and mid-size natural catastrophe and risk events has been elevated, and in aggregate our estimated undiscounted net loss recorded in the third quarter was approximately
$50 million , net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums - Following the loss events of the third quarter, our undiscounted combined ratio was in the mid-90s on a year to date basis through
30 September 2024 - High quality investment portfolio with average credit quality of AA; duration 2.5 years; book yield of 4.2% and market yield of 4.5% as at
30 September 2024 (respectively AA, 2.4 years, 2.8% and 5.0% as at30 September 2023 )
Outlook:
- Market conditions remain stable across the business classes we target, with Property and Specialty lines in particular providing continued opportunities for growth
- In October, Hurricane Milton made landfall in
Florida and while we are in the early stages of assessing the loss we expect our undiscounted net loss to be in the range of$30-50 million , net of reinsurance and reinstatement premiums - Recent natural catastrophe and risk events, as well as pre-2020 industry legacy reserve development, are expected to support a resilient pricing outlook
- The market outlook supports good risk / retudynamics, and our portfolio is well positioned to respond to market conditions. Rates in loss exposed classes, such as marine liability and civil unrest, are likely to respond positively
- Conduit Re's single location and efficient structure allow the team to be responsive to quickly changing market conditions
- Our partnership is valued in the market, and clients are engaging early in January renewal conversations
- Conduit Re remains well capitalised and positioned to deploy capacity to the classes it finds most attractive across its multi-line platform at upcoming renewals
Underwriting update
Premiums
Gross premiums written for the nine months ended
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2024 CHL Q3 Trading Update |
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2024 |
2023 |
Change |
Change |
||
Segment |
$m |
$m |
$m |
% |
|
Property |
536.0 |
403.3 |
132.7 |
32.9% |
|
Casualty |
223.6 |
219.2 |
4.4 |
2.0% |
|
Specialty |
197.7 |
141.9 |
55.8 |
39.3% |
|
Total |
957.3 |
764.4 |
192.9 |
25.2% |
|
Reinsurance revenue |
|||||
Reinsurance revenue for the nine months ended |
|||||
2024 |
2023 |
Change |
Change |
||
Segment |
$m |
$m |
$m |
% |
|
Property |
319.9 |
245.3 |
74.6 |
30.4% |
|
Casualty |
148.8 |
125.3 |
23.5 |
18.8% |
|
Specialty |
119.5 |
80.7 |
38.8 |
48.1% |
|
Total |
588.2 |
451.3 |
136.9 |
30.3% |
Pricing
Pricing levels and terms and conditions generally continued to be attractive in the nine months ended
Conduit Re is seeing an increasing number of opportunities to deploy its capital into the areas and products that it targets. The non-catastrophe elements of both Property and Specialty in particular are providing good opportunities for selective growth.
Conduit Re's overall risk-adjusted rate change for the nine months ended
Property |
Casualty |
Specialty |
3% |
(1%) |
1% |
Net reinsurance losses and loss related amounts
Activity across smaller and mid-size natural catastrophe and large risk events was elevated in the third quarter. In aggregate, our estimated undiscounted net loss, after reinsurance and reinstatement premiums, for these large loss events recorded in the third quarter was approximately
Our loss and reserve estimates have been derived from a combination of reports and statements from brokers and cedants, modelled loss projections, pricing loss ratio expectations and reporting patterns, all supplemented with market data and assumptions. We will continue to review these estimates as more information becomes available.
Our undiscounted ultimate loss estimates, net of ceded reinsurance and reinstatement premiums, for prior years' reported loss events remain stable.
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2024 CHL Q3 Trading Update |
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Investments
In line with our stated strategy, we continue to maintain a conservative approach to managing our invested assets with a strong emphasis on preserving capital and liquidity. Our strategy is focused on maintaining a short-duration, highly-rated portfolio, with due consideration of the duration of our liabilities. Our investment portfolio does not hold any derivatives, equities, alternatives or emerging market debt.
The investment retufor the nine months ended
The breakdown of the managed investment portfolio is as follows:
As at 30 September |
As at 30 September |
|
2024 |
2023 |
|
Fixed maturity securities |
86.6% |
87.5% |
Cash and cash equivalents |
13.4% |
12.5% |
Total |
100.0% |
100.0% |
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2024 CHL Q3 Trading Update |
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Media contacts
H/Advisors Maitland - Vikki Kosmalska /
Investor relations and other enquiries: [email protected]
Panmure Liberum (Joint Corporate Broker)
+44 (0) 207 886 2500
Berenberg (Joint Corporate Broker)
+44 (0) 203 207 7800
+44 (0) 207 418 8900
About Conduit Re
Conduit Re is a multi-line
Leamore about Conduit Re: Website: https://conduitreinsurance.com/
LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/company/conduit-re
Important information (disclaimers)
This announcement includes statements that are, or may be deemed to be, "forward-looking statements". These forward-looking statements may be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology, including the terms "believes", "estimates", "plans", "goals", "objective", "rewards", "expectations", "projects", "growth","anticipates", "expects", "achieve", "intends", "tends", "on track", "well placed", "estimated", "projected", "may", "will", "aims", "could" or "should" or, in each case, their negative or other variations or comparable terminology, or by discussions of strategy, plans, objectives, goals, targets, future events or intentions. Forward-looking statements include statements relating to the following: (i) future capital expenditures, expenses, revenues, unearned premiums pricing rate changes, terms and conditions, earnings, synergies, economic performance, indebtedness, financial condition, dividend policy, claims development, losses and loss estimates and future business prospects; and (ii) business and management strategies and the expansion and growth of Conduit's operations.
Forward-looking statements may and often do differ materially from actual results. Forward-looking statements reflect CHL's current view with respect to future events and are subject to risks relating to future events and other risks, uncertainties and assumptions relating to Conduit's business, results of operations, financial position, liquidity, prospects, growth and strategies. These risks, uncertainties and assumptions include, but are not limited to: the possibility of greater frequency or severity of claims and loss activity than Conduit's underwriting, reserving or investment practices have anticipated; the reliability
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2024 CHL Q3 Trading Update |
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of catastrophe pricing, accumulation and estimated loss models; the actual development of losses and expenses impacting estimates for claims which arose as a result of recent loss activity, particularly for recent events where estimates are preliminary as more information arises, including but not limited to the
Forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made. No representation or warranty is made that any forward-looking statement will come to pass. CHL disclaims any obligation or undertaking to update or revise any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect actual results or any change in the assumptions, conditions or circumstances on which any such statements are based unless required to do so by law or regulation. All subsequent written and oral forward-looking statements attributable to CHL and/or the group or to persons acting on its behalf are expressly qualified in their entirety by the cautionary statements referred to above.
The Conduit renewal indicative rate change measure is an internal methodology that management intends to use to track risk-adjusted trends in premium rates of a portfolio of reinsurance contracts. The change measure reflects management's assessment of relative changes in price, exposure and terms and conditions. It is also net of the estimated impact of claims inflation. The calculation involves a degree of judgement in relation to comparability of contracts and the assessment noted above, particularly in Conduit's initial years of underwriting. To enhance the methodology, management may revise the methodology and assumptions underlying the change measure, so the trends in premium rates reflected in the change measure may not be comparable over time. Consideration is only given to renewals of a comparable nature so it does not reflect every contract in the portfolio of Conduit's contracts. The future profitability of the portfolio of contracts within the change measure is dependent upon many factors besides the trends in premium rates.
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