Q2 2023 Radian Group Earnings Conference Call Slides
Safe Harbor Statements
All statements in this presentation that address events, developments or results that we expect or anticipate may occur in the future are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 and the
- the health of the
U.S. housing market generally and changes in economic conditions that impact the size of the insurable mortgage market, the credit performance of our insured mortgage portfolio and our business prospects, including more recently, changes resulting from inflationary pressures, the higher interest rate environment and the risks of a recession and of higher unemployment rates, as well as other macroeconomic stresses such as the continuingRussia -Ukraine conflict or other geopolitical events; - changes in the way customers, investors, ratings agencies, regulators or legislators perceive our performance, financial strength and future prospects;
Radian Guaranty Inc.'s ("Radian Guaranty") ability to remain eligible under the Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility Requirements (the "PMIERs") to insure loans purchased byFannie Mae andFreddie Mac (collectively, the "GSEs");- our ability to maintain an adequate level of capital in our insurance subsidiaries to satisfy current and future regulatory requirements;
- changes in the charters or business practices of, or rules or regulations imposed by or applicable to, the GSEs or loans purchased by the GSEs, which may include changes in furtherance of housing policy objectives such as the accessibility and affordability of homeownership for low- and moderate-income borrowers and underrepresented communities, or changes in the requirements for Radian Guaranty to remain an approved insurer to the GSEs, such as changes in the PMIERs or the GSEs' interpretation and application of the PMIERs or other applicable requirements;
- the effects of the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework, which establishes a new regulatory capital framework for the GSEs, and which, as finalized, increases the capital requirements for the GSEs, and among other things, could impact the GSEs' operations and pricing as well as the size of the insurable mortgage market, and which may form the basis for future changes to the PMIERs to better align with the Enterprise Regulatory Capital Framework;
- changes in the current housing finance system in
the United States , including the roles of theFederal Housing Administration (the "FHA"), the GSEs and private mortgage insurers in this system; - our ability to successfully execute and implement our capital plans, including our risk distribution strategy through the capital markets and traditional reinsurance markets, and to maintain sufficient holding company liquidity to meet our liquidity needs;
- our ability to successfully execute and implement our business plans and strategies, including plans and strategies that may require GSE and/or regulatory approvals and licenses, that are subject to complex compliance requirements that we may be unable to satisfy, or that may expose us to new risks, including those that could impact our capital and liquidity positions;
- risks associated with the discontinuance of LIBOR and transition to one or more alternative benchmarks that could cause interest rate volatility and, among other things, impact our investment portfolio, cost of debt and cost of reinsurance through mortgage insurance-linked notes transactions;
- risks related to the quality of third-party mortgage underwriting and mortgage servicing;
- a decrease in the "Persistency Rates" (the percentage of insurance in force that remains in force over a period of time) of our mortgage insurance on monthly premium products;
- competition in the private mortgage insurance industry generally, and more specifically: price competition in our mortgage insurance business, including the prevalence of formulaic, granular risk-based pricing methodologies that are less transparent than historical rate-card-based pricing practices; and competition from the FHA and the
U.S. Department of Veterans Affairs as well as from other forms of credit enhancement, such as any potential GSE-sponsored alternatives to traditional mortgage insurance; U.S. political conditions and legislative and regulatory activity (or inactivity), including adoption of (or failure to adopt) new laws and regulations, or changes in existing laws and regulations, or the way they are interpreted or applied;- legal and regulatory claims, assertions, actions, reviews, audits, inquiries and investigations that could result in adverse judgments, settlements, fines, injunctions, restitutions or other relief that could require significant expenditures, new or increased reserves or have other effects on our business;
- the amount and timing of potential payments or adjustments associated with federal or other tax examinations;
- the possibility that we may fail to estimate accurately, especially in the event of an extended economic downtuor a period of extreme market volatility and economic uncertainty, the likelihood, magnitude and timing of losses in establishing loss reserves for our mortgage insurance business or to accurately calculate and/or project our Available Assets and Minimum Required Assets under the PMIERs, which could be impacted by, among other things, the size and mix of our insurance in force, future changes to the PMIERs, the level of defaults in our portfolio, the reported status of defaults in our portfolio, (including whether they are subject to mortgage forbearance, a repayment plan or a loan modification trial period), the level of cash flow generated by our insurance operations and our risk distribution strategies;
- volatility in our financial results caused by changes in the fair value of our assets and liabilities, including with respect to our use of derivatives and within our investment portfolio;
- changes in "GAAP" (accounting principles generally accepted in the
U.S. ) or
"SAP" (statutory accounting principles and practices including those required or permitted, if applicable, by the insurance departments of the respective states of domicile of our insurance subsidiaries) rules and guidance, or their interpretation; - risks associated with investments to grow our existing businesses, or to pursue new lines of business or new products and services, including our ability and related costs to develop, launch and implement new and innovative technologies and digital products and services, whether these products and services receive broad customer acceptance or disrupt existing customer relationships, and additional financial risks related to these investments, including required changes in our investment, financing and hedging strategies, risks associated with our increased use of financial leverage, which could expose us to liquidity risks resulting from changes in the fair values of assets, and the risk that we may fail to achieve forecasted results, which could result in lower or negative earnings contribution and/or impairment charges associated with intangible assets;
- the effectiveness and security of our information technology systems and digital products and services, including the risk that these systems, products or services fail to operate as expected or planned or expose us to cybersecurity or third-party risks, including due to malware, unauthorized access, cyberattack, ransomware or other similar events;
- our ability to attract and retain key employees;
- the amount of dividends, if any, that our insurance subsidiaries may distribute to us, which under applicable regulatory requirements is based primarily on the financial performance of our insurance subsidiaries, and therefore, may be impacted by general economic, competitive and other factors, many of which are beyond our control; and
- the ability of our operating subsidiaries to distribute amounts to us under our internal tax- and expense-sharing arrangements, which for our insurance subsidiaries are subject to regulatory review and could be terminated at the discretion of such regulators.
For more information regarding these risks and uncertainties as well as certain additional risks that we face, you should refer to "Item 1A. Risk Factors" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
About Us
Our mortgage segment providescredit-relatedinsurance coverage, principally through private mortgage insurance on residentialfirst-lienmortgage loans, as well as contract underwriting and other credit risk management solutions, to mortgage lending institutions and mortgage credit investors.
Our homegenius segment offers an array of title, real estate and real estate technology products and services to consumers, mortgage lenders, mortgage and real estate investors, GSEs, real estate brokers and agents.
Our culture is built around a set of core organizational values that we live by, and define who we are as an enterprise:
Innovate for the Future
Deliver the Brand Promise
Our People are the Difference
Create Shareholder Value
Partner to Win
Do What's Right
NYSE: RDN | www.radian.com
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Q2 2023 Summary Financial Metrics
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Compared to |
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|
||
Net Income |
||
|
Compared to |
|
Diluted Net Income Per Share |
||
in Q2 2022 |
||
|
Compared to |
|
Adjusted Diluted Net Operating |
in Q2 2022 (1) |
|
Income Per Share (1) |
||
14.1% |
19.9% in Q2 2022 |
Compared to 15.7% in Q1 2023 and |
|
Retuon Average Equity |
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14.1% |
Compared to 15.7% in Q1 2023 and |
Adjusted Net Operating Return |
23.6% in Q2 2022 (1) |
on Average Equity (1) |
|
|
Compared to |
|
2023 and |
Liquidity |
|
Compared to |
This represents a 12% growth year-over- |
|
Book Value Per Share |
year. (2) |
PMIERs Excess Available Assets (3)
Compared to
- Adjusted results, including adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating retuon equity, as used in this presentation, are non-GAAP financial measures. For a reconciliation of the adjusted results to the comparable GAAP measures and the definitions of adjusted diluted net operating income (loss) per share and adjusted net operating retuon equity, see Appendix, Slides 27-31.
- Includes accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI") of
$(2.69) per share as ofJune 30, 2023 and$(1.98) per share as ofJune 30, 2022 , which, if excluded as of both dates, would represent 14% growth for the period. - Represents Radian Guaranty's excess or "cushion" of Available Assets over its Minimum Required Assets (MRA), calculated in accordance with the PMIERs financial requirements in effect for each date shown.
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Q2 2023 Summary Financial Metrics
Primary Insurance In Force
Compared to
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(1) |
Compared to |
and |
||
Total Revenues |
||
|
(1) |
Compared to |
and |
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Net Mortgage Premiums Earned |
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Compared to |
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New Insurance Written |
and |
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Compared to |
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Total Investments |
2023 and |
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2022. |
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Compared to |
and |
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Net Investment Income |
yield on our investment portfolio was |
4.0% at the end of Q2 2023. |
Provision for Losses
Compared to
Reserve for Losses and Loss Adjustment Expense
Compared to
Other Operating Expenses
Compared to
- Includes a reduction of
$21 million due to additional ceded premiums as a result of the completion of tender offers by Eagle Re 2019-1 Ltd. and Eagle Re 2020-1 Ltd. to purchase the mortgage insurance- linked notes that supported their reinsurance agreements with Radian Guaranty. The corresponding portions of the reinsurance agreements supported by the tendered notes were terminated. The reduction of$21 million consists of$16 million related to the cost of tender premiums and associated expenses and$5 million related to the acceleration of deferred costs from the original executions of these transactions.
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