Press release 9M Activity Indicators(11/02/2023)
9M23 Activity Indicators
- Gross written premiums and other revenues1up 2% to
Euro 78.8 billion -
- P&C Commercial lines2 premiums up 9% to
Euro 25.8 billion - P&C Personal lines premiums up 5% to
Euro 13.9 billion - Protection premiums up 3% to
Euro 11.5 billion
- P&C Commercial lines2 premiums up 9% to
- Solvency II ratio3 at 230% down 5 points vs. 1H23
"AXA achieved another very good performance in the first nine months of 2023", said
"In P&C Commercial lines, which is our largest business, premiums were up 9% benefiting from good customer demand and disciplined pricing. In P&C Personal lines, we saw continued repricing with overall premiums now up 5%. Life & Health revenues were again of high quality with good organic growth across Protection, Capital-light G/A4 business and Health, although the environment remained challenging for Unit-Linked. The right-sizing of our non-prioritized businesses is now almost complete across Property Catastrophe Reinsurance, traditional G/A Savings, and some
"Our model continues to deliver strong capital generation. AXA's Solvency II ratio stood at 230% at the end of September, in particular reflecting our decision not to refinance over
"In line with our strategy, we continue to focus our footprint on our core markets where we have leading positions, while exiting non-core markets. The Group recently finalized the acquisition of
"The Group is on track to achieve its earnings outlook target for the year and fully deliver on its four main "Driving Progress 2023" financial targets7. AXA is in a position of strength ahead of launching its new Strategic Plan, which will be communicated on
"I would like to thank all our colleagues, agents and partners for their commitment and support, as well as our clients for their continued trust."
Unless otherwise specified, all comparative figures for prior periods in this press release are for 9M22 restated under the IFRS17/9 accounting standards that became effective on
All the footnotes related to this press release can be found on page 9.
KEY HIGHLIGHTS
9M23 key highlights
Key figures (in Euro billion, unless otherwise noted)
versus 9M22 under IFRS17/9 |
9M22 |
9M23 |
Change on a |
Change on a |
|
IFRS17/9 |
IFRS17/9 |
reported basis |
comparable basis |
||
Gross written premiums & other revenues1 |
78.0 |
78.8 |
+1% |
+2% |
|
o/w Property & Casualty |
40.0 |
41.8 |
+5% |
+7% |
|
o/w Life & Health |
36.7 |
35.7 |
-3% |
-2% |
|
o/w Asset Management |
1.2 |
1.2 |
-3% |
-2% |
|
1H23 |
9M23 |
Change on a |
|||
reported basis |
|||||
Solvency II ratio (%)3 |
235% |
230% |
-5 pts |
Total gross written premiums and other revenues1were up 2%, driven by (i) Property & Casualty (+7%), with growth in Commercial lines2(+9%) from continued favorable price effects8across all geographies as well as higher volumes notably in
Solvency II ratio3 was 230% as of
Outlook10: The Group expects to maintain its good operating performance and affirms that it is on track to meet its 2023 underlying earnings target of above
Management does not expect any additional debt issuances for the remainder of the year, considering the strong capital position of the Group and current market conditions. Consequently, total debt at year-end is expected to remain broadly stable versus last year.
Page 2
LINES OF BUSINESS
Property & Casualty
Key figures (in Euro billion, unless otherwise noted) |
||||
9M22 |
9M23 |
Change on a |
9M23 Price effects8 |
|
IFRS17/9 |
IFRS17/9 |
comparable basis |
(in %) |
|
Gross written premiums and other revenues |
40.0 |
41.8 |
+7% |
+5.6% |
o/w Commercial lines2 |
24.4 |
25.8 |
+9% |
+4.3% |
o/w Personal lines |
13.3 |
13.9 |
+5% |
+7.3% |
o/w AXA XL Reinsurance |
2.3 |
2.1 |
-3% |
+10.6% |
Gross written premiums & other revenues were up 7% to
- Commercial lines premiums increased by 9% to
Euro 25.8 billion , driven by (i)AXA XL Insurance (+6%) reflecting disciplined growth in Property and Specialty lines, partly offset by challenging pricing conditions in North America Professional lines and a prudent underwriting stance on International Casualty, (ii)Europe (+8%) both from favorable price effects and higher volumes, (iii)Asia ,Africa & EME-LATAM (+31%) mostly driven byTurkey , and (iv)France (+8%) mostly from favorable price effects. - Personal lines premiums increased by 5% to
Euro 13.9 billion , driven by Motor (+7%), reflecting favorable price effects with further improvement in the third quarter across all countries, with the exception ofSwitzerland where pricing was stable, and by Non-Motor (+3%), from favorable price effects, in particular inEurope , partly offset by lower volumes. - AXA XL Reinsurance premiums decreased by 3% to
Euro 2.1 billion , driven by lower premiums in Property Catastrophe reflecting a reduction in exposure, in line with the Group's strategy, partly offset by favorable pricing. Casualty and Specialty premiums were higher, mostly from favorable price effects.
As of the end of September, despite elevated natural catastrophe experience in the third quarter, the Group was still on track to be within its budget of 4 points of combined ratio11 for the year. The Group currently estimates its loss from Hurricane Otis which made landfall in
Page 3
LINES OF BUSINESS
Life & Health
Key figures (in Euro billion, unless otherwise noted) |
|||
9M22 |
9M23 |
Change on a |
|
IFRS17/9 |
IFRS17/9 |
comparable basis |
|
Gross written premiums & other revenues |
36.7 |
35.7 |
-2% |
o/w Life |
23.8 |
23.5 |
0% |
o/w Health |
12.9 |
12.2 |
-7% |
PVEP1,13,14 |
37.0 |
33.0 |
-8% |
NBV (post-tax)1,13,14 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
-4% |
NBV margin1,13,14 |
5.1% |
5.1% |
+0.2 pt |
Net flows14 |
+2.8 |
||
-2.9 |
|||
Gross written premiums & other revenues were down 2% to
- Life premiums were stable, with higher sales of capital-light G/A Savings products (+12%), driven by the continued success of Eurocroissance in
France , as well as growth in Protection (+3%), notably inJapan and also inHong Kong from higher sales to Mainland China visitors, offset by lower premiums in Unit-Linked(-13%) due to challenging market conditions, notably inFrance andItaly , albeit with some recovery in the third quarter, and lower sales of traditional G/A products (-13%), in line with the Group's strategy. - Health premiums decreased by 7% following the non-renewal of two large legacy international Group contracts in
France . Excluding the impact of those two large contracts, Health premiums increased by 7%, with continued growth across all geographies mostly from price effects.
Present value of expected premiums (PVEP)1,13,14 was down 8% to
NBV(post-tax)1,13,14 was down 4% to
NBV margin1,13,14 increased by 0.2 point to 5.1%, mainly driven by favorable market conditions, partly offset by the impact of assumption changes.
Net flows14 amounted to
Page 4
LINES OF BUSINESS
Asset Management
Key figures (in Euro billion, unless otherwise noted) |
|||||
9M22 |
9M23 |
Change on a |
|||
IFRS17/9 |
IFRS17/9 |
comparable basis |
|||
AUM |
838 |
842 |
+1% |
||
Average AUM16 |
760 |
736 |
-5% |
||
Net inflows |
18.0 |
-0.4 |
|||
Gross revenues (in Euro million) |
1,185 |
1,153 |
-2% |
||
Average assets under management16 decreased by 5% to
Asset Management net flows were negligible, with strong inflows from third-party clients (
Asset Management revenues decreased by 2% to
Page 5
RATINGS AND GLOSSARY
Ratings
Insurer financial strength ratings |
Credit ratings |
||||||
Date of last |
AXA's |
||||||
Agency |
|
principal insurance |
Outlook |
|
|||
review |
|||||||
subsidiaries |
|||||||
|
|
A+ |
AA- |
Stable |
A+ |
||
Moody's Investor Service |
|
Aa3 |
Aa3 |
Stable |
A1 |
||
AM Best |
|
A+ Superior |
Stable |
aa- Superior |
|||
Glossary
- Asset Management net inflows: Net inflows represent inflows of client money less outflows of client money. Net inflows are used by the Management to measure the impact of sales efforts, product attractiveness (mainly dependent on performance and innovation), and the general market trend in investment allocation.
- Assets under management ("AUM"): the assets the management of which has been delegated by their owner to an asset management company such as
AXA Investment Managers . AUM only includes funds and mandates which generate fees and exclude double counting. - Average assets under management ("Average AUM"): a measure of assets during the period taking into account net flows, market effect and foreign exchange to compute the year-to-date average. It also excludes assets held in joint venture companies which are consolidated under the equity method.
- Capital-LightG/A Products: encompass all products with no guarantees, with guarantees at maturity only, or with guarantees equal to or lower than 0%.
- Contractual Service Margin ("CSM"): a component of the carrying amount of the asset or liability for a group of insurance contracts representing the unearned profit to be recognized as services are provided to policyholders.
- Gross Written Premiums and Other Revenues: insurance premiums collected during the period (including risk premiums, premiums from pure investment contracts with no discretionary participating features, fees and revenues, net of commissions paid on assumed reinsurance business). Other Revenues represent premiums and fees collected on activities other than insurance (i.e. services, asset management, and banking activities).
- New Business Contractual Service Margin ("NB CSM"):a component of the carrying amount of the asset or liability for newly issued insurance contracts during the period, representing the unearned profit to be recognized as insurance contract services are provided.
- New Business Value ("NBV"): the value of newly issued contracts during the current year. It consists of the sum of
(i) the New Business Contractual Service Margin, (ii) the present value of the future profits of Short-Term Business newly issued contracts during the period, carried by Life entities, considering expected renewals, and (iii) the present value of the future profits of pure investment contracts accounted for under IFRS 9, net of (iv) the cost of reinsurance, (v) taxes, and (vi) minority interests.
Page 6
RATINGS AND GLOSSARY
- New Business Value Margin ("NBV Margin"): the ratio of (i) New Business Value representing the value of newly issued contracts during the current year to (ii) PVEP.
- Present Value of Expected Premiums ("PVEP"): the new business volume, equal to the present value at the time of issue of the total premiums expected to be received over the policy term. PVEP is net of reinsurance and presented group share.
Page 7
SCOPE AND EXCHANGE RATES
Scope
Exchange rates
For
USD
CHF
GBP
JPY
HKD
End of Period Exchange rate
FY22 |
9M23 |
|||
1.07 |
1.06 |
|||
0.99 |
0.97 |
|||
0.89 |
0.87 |
|||
141 |
158 |
|||
8.33 |
8.29 |
Average Exchange rate
9M22 |
9M23 |
1.06 |
1.08 |
1.01 |
0.98 |
0.85 |
0.87 |
136 |
150 |
8.33 |
8.49 |
Page 8
NOTES
Notes
- Change in Gross Written Premiums & Other Revenues, New Business Value ("NBV"), Present Value of Expected Premiums ("PVEP") and New Business Value Margin ("NBV Margin") is on a comparable basis (constant forex, scope and methodology), unless otherwise indicated.
- "Commercial lines" refers to P&C Commercial lines excluding AXA XL Reinsurance.
- The Solvency II ratio is estimated primarily using AXA's internal model calibrated based on an adverse 1/200-year shock. It includes a theoretical amount for dividends accrued for the first nine months of 2023, based on the full-year dividend of
Euro 1.70 per share paid in 2023 for FY22. Dividends are proposed by the Board, at its discretion based on a variety of factors described in AXA's 2022 Universal Registration Document, and then submitted to AXA's shareholders for approval. This estimate should not be considered in any way to be an indication of the actual dividend amount, if any, for the 2023 financial year. For further information on AXA's internal model and Solvency II disclosures, please refer toAXA Group's SFCR as ofDecember 31, 2022 , available on AXA's website (www.axa.com). - General account.
- The completion of the disposal is subject to customary closing conditions, including the receipt of regulatory approvals.
- Euro 30-50 billion of life in-force reserves ceded, to be announced by 2023 year-end.
- Including the Group's expectation to exceed underlying earnings per share CAGR 2020 rebased-23e target of 3%-7% and 2021-23e cumulative cash remittance target of
Euro 14 billion under Driving Progress 2023, based on normalized natural catastrophe charges and assuming current operating and market conditions persist. Including the Group's expectation to exceed underlying earnings per share CAGR 2020 rebased-23e target of 3%-7% and 2021- 23e cumulative cash remittance target ofEuro 14 billion under Driving Progress 2023, based on normalized natural catastrophe charges and assuming current operating and market conditions persist. For the purposes of the underlying earnings per share CAGR target, FY2020 underlying earnings rebased includes actual underlying earnings restating for "Covid-19 claims" and natural catastrophes in excess of normalized.AXA Group normalized level of expected Natural Catastrophe charges for 2020 set at ca. 3% of Gross Earned Premiums. Natural Catastrophe charges include natural catastrophe losses regardless of event size. "Covid-19 claims" include P&C, L&S and Health net claims related to Covid-19, as well as the impacts from solidarity measures and from lower volumes net of expenses, linked to Covid-19."Covid-19 claims" does not include any financial market impacts (including impacts on investment margin, unit-linked and asset management fees, etc.) related to the Covid-19 crisis. - Price effects calculated as a percentage of total gross written premiums of the prior year.
- Early redemptions of
EUR 1,000,000,000 fixed to floating rate subordinated notes due 2043 onJuly 4, 2023 andUSD 225,000,000 undated subordinated callable floating rate notes onAugust 7, 2023 . - Based on normalized natural catastrophe charges and assuming current operating and market conditions persist. The underlying earnings target for 2023 (the "2023 Target") and all information in the "Outlook" section of this press release are subject to the disclaimer on forward-looking statements in this press release. Because the 2023 Target is provided exceptionally to enable analysts and investors to better assess the Group's underlying earnings trajectory in 2023 in connection with the implementation of IFRS17/9, it is not expected or intended that similar guidance will be issued in future periods beyond 2023, nor that such guidance will be updated, except as required by law. Neither the 2023 Target nor any information related thereto (including but not limited to its assumptions) has been audited.
- Combined ratio is a non-GAAP financial measure, or alternative performance measure ("APM"). A reconciliation from the APM combined ratio to the most directly reconcilable line item, subtotal or total in the financial statements of the corresponding period is provided on pages 18 and 19 of AXA's Half-
Year 2023 Financial Report as of
- Preliminary loss estimates, subject to change.
- New business value ("NBV"), present value of expected premiums ("PVEP"), new business value margin ("NBV margin"), contractual service margin ("CSM"), and new business contractual service margin ("NB CSM") are defined in the glossary section of this press release.
- Life & Health net flows, PVEP, CSM, NB CSM, NBV and NBV margin include Health business predominantly written in Life entities.
- NB CSM gross of reinsurance.
- Average AUM for
AXA IM is calculated excluding the contribution from Asian joint ventures and Capza, which are consolidated under the equity method.
All comments and changes are on a comparable basis for activity indicators (constant forex, scope and methodology).
Actuarial and financial assumptions used for the calculation of NBV and PVEP are updated on a semi-annual basis at half year and full year.
Please note that financial figures and information in this press release have not been audited and they have not been subject to any limited review by
AXA's statutory auditors.
Page 9
ABOUT THE AXA GROUP
ABOUT THE AXA GROUP |
FOR MORE INFORMATION: |
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Investor Relations: |
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serving 93 million clients in 51 countries. In 2022, IFRS revenues amounted to |
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underlying earnings to |
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including assets managed on behalf of third parties, as of |
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The AXA ordinary share is listed on compartment A of Euronext Paris under the ticker symbol CS |
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(ISN FR 0000120628 - Bloomberg: CS FP - Reuters: AXAF.PA). AXA's American Depository Share is also |
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quoted on the OTC QX platform under the ticker symbol AXAHY. |
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Individual Shareholder Relations: |
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Index (DJSI) and |
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It is a founding member of the UN Environment Programme's Finance Initiative (UNEP FI) Principles |
Media Relations: |
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This press release and the regulated information made public by AXA pursuant to article L. 451-1-2 of |
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the French Monetary and Financial Code and articles 222-1 et seq. of the Autorité des marchés |
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financiers' General Regulation are available on the |
Corporate Responsibility strategy: |
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THIS PRESS RELEASE IS AVAILABLE ON THE AXA GROUP WEBSITE axa.com |
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SRI ratings: |
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IMPORTANT LEGAL INFORMATION AND CAUTIONARY STATEMENTS CONCERNING FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS AND THE USE OF NON-GAAP FINANCIAL MEASURES
Certain statements contained herein may be forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements that are predictions of or indicate future events, trends, plans, expectations or objectives. Undue reliance should not be placed on such statements because, by their nature, they are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and can be affected by other factors that could cause AXA's actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied in such forward looking statements. Please refer to Part 5 - "Risk Factors and Risk Management" of AXA's Universal Registration Document for the year ended
In addition, this press release refers to certain non-GAAP financial measures, or alternative performance measures ("APMs"), used by Management in analyzing AXA's operating trends, financial performance and financial position and providing investors with additional information that Management believes to be useful and relevant regarding AXA's results. These non-GAAP financial measures generally have no standardized meaning and therefore may not be comparable to similarly labelled measures used by other companies. As a result, none of these non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in isolation from, or as a substitute for, the Group's consolidated financial statements and related notes prepared in accordance with IFRS. Underlying Earnings and combined ratio are APMs as defined in ESMA's guidelines and the AMF's related position statement issued in 2015. A reconciliation from Underlying Earnings and combined ratio to the most directly reconcilable line item, subtotal or total in the financial statements of the corresponding period is provided on pages 18 and 19 of AXA's Half-Year 2023 Financial Report. The above mentioned and other non-GAAP financial measures used in this press release are defined in the Glossary set forth on pages 36 to 41 of AXA's Half-Year 2023 Financial Report. The treatment of certain non-GAAP financial measures for these purposes may change over time in connection with the development of IFRS 17/9 reporting practices.
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