NCPERS Report Urges States to Strengthen Revenues Before Recession Hits by Ending Loopholes, Subsidies
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Public pensions are in better shape than they have been for a decade, yet pressure to reduce benefits persists due to the hangover effect of many years of state funding missteps, according to
State tax revenues are growing more slowly than the national economy, but it doesn’t have to be that way, the authors said. “Meeting future pension plan obligations and commitments to other public services will be much easier if states have an adequate and growing tax revenue structure,” Kennedy and Sims wrote. Unless states adopt more progressive tax systems, the next recession could hit public pensions hard, presenting them with “greater challenges in obtaining the funding to meet any budgetary gaps,” they warned.
The report outlines nine principles for making state tax systems stronger, more resilient, and fairer for both current and future taxpayers.
- Keep what you have. States should avoid tax cuts and other legislative actions that reduce tax revenues.
- Be skeptical of tax incentives and special breaks. Tax cuts and tax incentives that are often offered in the name of attracting businesses and jobs rarely work as advertised.
- Reverse previous tax cuts. Major tax increases are never easy, but the easiest tax to raise is probably one that was recently cut.
- Increase reliance on personal income tax. Personal income tax has the capability to grow at least as fast as the growth in the income of state residents.
- Minimize dependence on sales and other consumption taxes. Sales taxes are regressive, meaning they fall harder on low-income taxpayers than on those with higher incomes, and their revenues tend to diminish over time.
- Avoid income-to-sales tax swaps. Replacing a portion of income tax with sales tax is foolhardy because it means giving up revenues from the only major tax that is both progressive and elastic and substituting a tax that is both inelastic and regressive.
- Be leery of exotic revenue sources. Depending on lotteries, casinos, racetracks, riverboats, sports betting, and cannabis sales tends to displace existing revenues.
- Conduct comprehensive and ongoing reviews of tax expenditures. Carefully consider the budgetary impact of all items that would be taxed were it not for special provisions in the law.
- Sunset all tax breaks. Require that all tax breaks expire after some set period, preferably a fairly short one.
About NCPERS
About the Authors
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