HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. - 10-K - Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations - Insurance News | InsuranceNewsNet

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March 13, 2023 Newswires
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HERITAGE INSURANCE HOLDINGS, INC. – 10-K – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Edgar Glimpses

Overview


We are a super-regional property and casualty insurance holding company that
primarily provides personal and commercial residential insurance products across
our multi-state footprint. We provide personal residential insurance in Alabama,
California, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Hawaii, Maryland,
Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, North Carolina, Rhode Island,
South Carolina, and Virginia and commercial residential insurance in Florida,
New Jersey, and New York. We provide personal residential insurance in Florida
on both an admitted and non-admitted basis and in California on a non-admitted
basis. As a vertically integrated insurer, we control or manage substantially
all aspects of risk management, underwriting, claims processing and adjusting,
actuarial rate making and reserving, customer service, and distribution. Our
financial strength ratings are important to us in establishing our competitive
position and can impact our ability to write policies.

Trends

Inflation, Underwriting and Pricing


We continue to address rising reinsurance and loss costs in the property
insurance sector through continued implementation of increased rates and
inflation guard factors resulting in an increase in the average premium per
policy of 18.1% for the year ended December 31, 2022 as compared to the prior
year 2021. New rates, which are subject to approval by our regulators, become
effective when a policy is written or renewed, and the premium is earned pro
rata over the policy period of one year. As a result of this timing, it can take
up to twenty-four months for the complete impact of a rate change to be fully
earned in our financial statements. For that reason, we account for inflation in
our rate indications and filings with our regulators.

We invest in data analytics, using software and experienced personnel, to
continuously evaluate our underwriting criteria and manage exposure to
catastrophe and other losses. Our retention has remained steadily in the range
of 90% despite the rate increases we have implemented, in large part due to a
challenging property insurance market in many of the regions in which we
operate. Weather losses and a higher cost of reinsurance have impacted these
markets. While we believe our rates are generally competitive with private
market insurers operating in our space, we are focused on managing exposure and
achieving rate adequacy throughout our book of business.

We continue to experience rising inflation in the form of increased labor and
material costs, which drive up claim costs throughout all states in which we
conduct business. Our Florida personal lines market is also seeing claim costs
impacted by litigated claims, which substantially increases loss costs thereby
driving up rates for the insurance buying public. Our response to this
phenomenon is a combination of raising rates and reducing exposure. Claims abuse
has extended throughout much of Florida, generated from assignment of benefits,
excessive roof claims, and unwarranted litigated claims which far exceeds levels
experienced in other states. Correspondingly, our exposure reduction plan
expanded to personal lines business throughout the state of Florida.

Our industry experienced higher reinsurance costs and more constrained
availability for catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance in the Spring 2022
renewals. We anticipate continued cost increases and availability constraints
for the 2023 renewal season. As described herein, we are carefully managing
exposure by reducing new business written in certain geographies, non-renewing
unprofitable business in compliance with regulatory requirements, increasing
rates, where permitted by regulators, and narrowing our underwriting
requirements.

While we see improvement in the geographic distribution of our business, which
is becoming more rate adequate, our Florida loss costs have continued to
increase from a combination of adverse weather and exacerbation of losses on
weather and other claims resulting from the litigated claims environment.

Recent legislative changes have been made in Florida in each of the last three
years, which we believe is making some progress toward reducing losses from
abusive claim reporting practices.


The special legislative session of December 2022 included a number of additional
provisions aimed at driving down claims abuses and stabilizing the Florida
property insurance market. We plan to evaluate the impact of this legislation
before growing exposures in the Florida personal lines market.

The table below provides policy count, premiums-in-force, and TIV for Florida
and all other states. Our goal is to reduce exposure in Florida given historical
abusive claims practices. Florida policies-in-force and TIV have each declined
from the prior year but premiums in force increased as a result of rate actions
taken. For markets outside of Florida, the premiums-in-force increased while the
policy count decreased due to rate actions taken.


                                       28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                            At December 31,
Policies in force:           2022                  2021             % Change
Florida                          182,673               215,074          (15.1 ) %
Other States                     347,234               356,242           (2.5 ) %
Total                            529,907               571,318           (7.2 ) %

Premiums in force:
Florida              $       599,596,526   $       560,431,244            7.0   %
Other States                 684,469,189           611,972,698           11.8   %
Total                $     1,284,065,715   $     1,172,103,942            9.6   %

Total Insured Value:
Florida              $   103,752,777,168   $   107,144,880,580           (3.2 ) %
Other States             306,070,446,229       290,830,572,887            5.2   %
Total                $   409,823,223,397   $   397,975,453,467            3.0   %

Strategic Profitability Initiatives

The following provides an update to our strategic initiatives that we expect
will enable us to achieve consistent long-term quarterly earnings and drive
shareholder value.

•

Generate underwriting profit though rate adequacy and more selective
underwriting.


o

Significant rating actions throughout the book of business resulting in an
increase in average premium per policy of 18.1% over fourth quarter 2021 and
5.6% over third quarter 2022.


o

Premiums-in-force of $1.3 billion are up 9.6% from fourth quarter 2021 while
policy count is down 7.2% through more selective underwriting.


o
Continued focus on timely rate actions, tightening underwriting criteria, and
expanding restrictions on new business written in over-concentrated markets or
products.

•

Optimize capital allocation toward products and geographies that maximize
long-term returns.


o

Increased commercial residential premium by 41.1% year over year while TIV only
increased 21.5% and policies in force increased by only 0.4%.


o
Reduced policy count for Florida personal lines business by 16.2% as compared
fourth quarter 2021. The disciplined underwriting and rating actions have
reduced Florida personal lines TIV by 11.1% while reducing premiums in force by
only 1.9%.

o

This disciplined underwriting approach resulted in a policy count reduction of
2.5% in other states while generating a 11.9% increase in premiums in force.


•
Improve portfolio diversity.

o

No state represents over 26% of the Company's TIV.


o

The top four states grew TIV by an average 2.2% while the smallest five states
grew by 56.7%.


o

As a result of diversification efforts, the top five personal lines states
represented 79.2% of all TIV at fourth quarter 2022 compared to 79.8% of all TIV
at fourth quarter 2021.

•

Provide coverages suitable to the market and return targets.


o

Offering Excess & Surplus lines ("E&S") policies in California and Florida.


o

Expanding E&S to South Carolina during second quarter of 2023.


o

Continue to evaluate other states for E&S and other products.

                                       29

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Key Components of our Results of Operations

Revenue


Gross premiums written represent, with respect to a period, the sum of direct
premiums written (premiums from policies written during the period, net of any
midterm cancellations and renewals of voluntary policies) and assumed premiums
written (primarily premiums from state fair plan policies), in each case prior
to ceding premiums to reinsurers.

Gross premiums earned represent the total premiums earned during a period from
policies written. Premiums associated with new and renewal policies are earned
ratably over the twelve-month term of the policy and premiums associated with
assumed policies are earned ratably over the remaining term of the policy.

Ceded premiums represent the cost of our reinsurance during a period. We
recognize the cost of our reinsurance program ratably over term of the
arrangement, which is typically twelve months. Our catastrophe excess of loss
reinsurance generally incepts June 1 and runs through May 31 of the following
year. Our net quota share treaty incepts December 31. Our other reinsurance
programs may be purchased on a calendar or fiscal year basis.

Net premiums earned reflect gross premiums earned less ceded premiums during the
period.

Net investment income represents interest earned on fixed maturity securities,
short term securities and other investments, dividends on equity securities.

Net realized and unrealized gains or losses represent gains or losses on
investment sales and unrealized gains or losses on equity securities.


Other revenue includes rental income due under non-cancelable leases for space
at the Company's commercial property in Clearwater, Florida, and all policy and
pay-plan fees. Our regulators have approved a policy fee on each policy written
for certain states; to the extent these fees are not subject to refund, the
Company recognizes the income immediately when collected. The Company also
charges pay-plan fees to policyholders that pay premiums in more than one
installment and record the fees as income when collected.

Expenses


Losses and loss adjustment expenses ("LAE") reflect losses paid, expenses paid
to resolve claims, such as fees paid to adjusters, attorneys and investigators,
and changes in our reserves for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses
during the period, in each case net of losses ceded to reinsurers. Our reserves
for unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses represent the estimated ultimate
cost of resolving all reported claims plus all losses we incurred related to
insured events that we assume have occurred as of the reporting date, but that
policyholders have not yet reported to us (which are commonly referred to as
incurred but not reported, or "IBNR"). We estimate our reserves for unpaid
losses using individual case-based estimates for reported claims and actuarial
estimates for IBNR losses. We continually review and adjust our estimated losses
as necessary based on our evolving claims experience, new information obtained
and industry development trends. If our unpaid losses and loss adjustment
expenses are considered deficient or redundant, we increase or decrease the
liability in the period in which we identify the difference and reflect the
change in our current period results of operations.

Policy acquisition costs ("PAC") consist of: (i) commissions paid to outside
agents at the time of policy issuance, (ii) policy administration fees paid to a
third-party administrator at the time of policy issuance, (iii) premium taxes
and (iv) inspection fees. We recognize policy acquisition costs ratably over the
term of the underlying policy. We earn ceding commissions on our net quota share
reinsurance contract and certain other reinsurance contracts, which are reported
as a reduction to policy acquisition costs and general and administrative
expenses based upon the proportion these costs bear to production of new
business. Refer to Note 11 "Deferred Policy Acquisition Costs" to our
consolidated financial statements under Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form
10K. Ceding commission income is deferred and earned over the contract period.
The amount and rate of ceding commissions earned on the net quota share contract
can slide within a prescribed minimum and maximum, depending on loss performance
and how future losses develop.

General and administrative expenses ("G&A") include compensation and related
benefits, professional fees, office lease and related expenses, information
system expenses, corporate insurance, and other general and administrative
costs. As noted above, a certain portion of our ceding commissions are allocated
to general and administrative expenses.

                                       30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Provision for income taxes consists of federal and state corporate level income
taxes. The effective tax rate can fluctuate throughout the year as estimates
used in the quarterly tax provision are updated with additional information
throughout the year. The effective tax rate can vary from the 26.5% statutory
federal and state blended rate depending on the amount of pretax income in
proportion to permanent tax differences as well as state tax apportionment. The
2022 and 2021 effective tax rates were adversely impacted by the mostly
non-deductible goodwill impairment reported of $92.0 million and $60.5 million,
respectively. At December 31, 2022, the Company recognized a valuation allowance
of $6.4 million against the net deferred tax asset generated at its foreign
domiciled captive reinsurer, Osprey Re. The Company can only realize those net
deferred tax assets to the extent Osprey Re generates future taxable income.

Ratios

Ceded premium ratio represents ceded premiums earned as a percentage of gross
premiums earned.

Net loss ratio represents net losses and LAE as a percentage of net premiums
earned.

Net expense ratio represents PAC and G&A expenses as a percentage of net
premiums earned. Ceding commission income is reported as a reduction of policy
acquisition costs and G&A expenses.


Net combined ratio represents the sum of the net loss and expense ratio. The net
combined ratio is a key measure of underwriting performance traditionally used
in the property and casualty insurance industry. A net combined ratio under 100%
generally reflects profitable underwriting results.

Recent Developments

Economic and Market Factors


We continue to monitor the effects of general changes in economic and market
conditions on our business. As a result of general supply chain disruptions and
inflationary pressures, we have experienced, and may continue to experience,
increased cost of materials and labor needed for repairs and to otherwise
remediate claims.

Goodwill impairment Charge


We evaluate goodwill and other intangible assets for impairment annually, or
whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that it is likely that the
carrying amount of goodwill and other intangible assets may exceed the implied
fair value. Any impairment is charged to operations in the period that the
impairment is identified. The evaluation of goodwill impairment requires
considerable management judgment and includes a review of a variety of factors
as described in Note 3, Goodwill and Other Intangible assets to our consolidated
financial statements. Any adverse change in those factors could have a
significant impact on the recoverability of goodwill and a material impact on
our financial results. During the second quarter of 2022, we concluded it was
appropriate to perform an interim evaluation of goodwill for potential
impairment given a variety of market trends. As a result of the analysis,
management determined the entire amount of remaining goodwill was impaired,
which reduced our carrying value of goodwill from $92.0 million to $0 based on
the following factors: (i) disruptions in the equity markets, specifically for
property and casualty insurance companies, largely due to recent weather-related
catastrophe events; (ii) elevated loss ratios for property insurers in our
markets; and (iii) trading of our stock below book value. These factors reduced
our previously modeled fair value of the Company and resulted in a $92.0 million
non-cash goodwill impairment charge, most of which is not tax deductible.

Overview of 2022 Financial Results


In the following section, we discuss our financial condition and results of
operations for the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to the year ended
December 31, 2021. For a discussion of the year ended December 31, 2021 compared
to the year ended December 31, 2020, please Refer to Part II, Item 7
"Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31,
2021, which was filed with the SEC on March 14, 2022.

The discussion of our financial condition and results of operations that follows
provides information that will assist the reader in understanding our
consolidated financial statements, the changes in certain key items in those
financial statements from year to year, including certain key performance
indicators such as net combined ratio, ceded premium ratio, net expense ratio
and net loss ratio, and the primary factors that accounted for those changes, as
well as how certain accounting principles, policies and estimates affect our
consolidated financial statements. This discussion should be read in conjunction
with our consolidated financial statements and the related notes included under
Part II, Item 8 of this Annual Report on Form 10-K.

•

Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $154.4 million or $5.86 per
diluted share, compared to a net loss of $74.7 million or $2.69 per diluted
share in the prior year, with the increase stemming from a $90.8 million, net of
income tax, non-cash goodwill impairment charge in the second quarter
contributing a $3.45 loss per share, compared to a $60.5

                                       31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
million, non-cash goodwill impairment charged reported in the fourth quarter of
2021 contributing a $2.18 loss per share; combined with higher losses and loss
adjustments expenses incurred for the year ended December 31, 2022, which
included net losses associated with Hurricanes Ian and Nicole. In addition, the
Company recorded a $6.4 million valuation allowance against our net deferred tax
asset related to certain tax elections made by Osprey Re, our captive reinsurer
domiciled in Bermuda. The total amount of these expenses exceeded the increase
in total revenue as described below.

•

Gross premiums written of $1.3 billion, up 9.5% from $1.2 billion in the prior
year, driven primarily by rate actions taken in all states with a policy count
reduction of 7.2% driven substantially by a reduction in the number of Florida
personal lines policies. Rate increases continued to meaningfully benefit
written premiums throughout the book of business.

•

Gross premiums earned of $1.2 billion, up 5.7% from $1.1 billion in the prior
year, reflecting higher gross premiums written over the last twelve months
driven by a higher average premium per policy.

•

Net premiums earned of $637.1 million, up 4.3% from $611.1 million in the prior
year, reflecting the higher gross earned premium outpacing the increase in ceded
premiums for the year.

•

Losses and loss adjustment expenses incurred of $501.2 million, up 17.3% from
$427.4 million in the prior year. The increase primarily stems from retained
losses from Hurricanes Ian and Nicole in 2022 as well as an increase in
attritional losses. Additionally, we experienced $3.7 million of adverse prior
year development compared to $3.5 million of favorable prior year development in
the prior year.

•

Ceded premium ratio of 47.3%, up 0.7 points from 46.6% in the prior year driven
by a higher cost of the 2022-2023 catastrophe excess of loss program, stemming
primarily from higher costs, which was partly offset by a higher cost for severe
convective storm coverage in 2021 which did not recur in 2022. The ceded premium
ratio change was dampened by the increase in gross premiums earned which
exceeded the increase in the cost of the reinsurance program.

•

Net loss ratio of 78.7%, 8.8 points higher than the prior year of 69.9%, driven
by higher losses incurred and higher ceded premium as described above.

•

Net expense ratio of 35.6%, up 0.9 points from the prior year amount of 34.7%,
driven by a higher ceded premium ratio as described above, as well as higher
policy acquisition associated with the increase in gross premiums written.

•

Net combined ratio of 114.3%, up 9.7 points from 104.6% in the prior year,
driven by higher net loss and net expense ratios as described above.

•

Effective tax rate was 7.1% compared to 1.7% in the prior year. The effective
tax rate for 2022 was significantly lower than the statutory rate due to a
non-cash, mostly tax non-deductible goodwill impairment of $92.0 million
recorded in the second quarter as well as a $6.4 million valuation allowance
against our Osprey Re net deferred tax assets whose utilization may be limited
under the Internal Revenue Code. The effective tax rate for 2021 was lower than
the statutory rate primarily due to a mostly non-deductible non-cash goodwill
impairment of $60.5 million. The effective tax rate can also vary driven by the
impact of permanent differences in relation to the pre-tax income or loss each
year.

                                       32

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Consolidated Results of Operations


The following table summarizes our results of operations for the years
indicated:


                                                       Year Ended December 31,
                                         2022            2021          $ Change       % Change
                                               (in thousands, expect per share amounts)
REVENUE:
Gross premiums written                $ 1,275,031     $ 1,164,879     $  110,152             9.5 %
Change in gross unearned premiums         (66,207 )       (20,717 )      (45,490 )         219.6 %
Gross premiums earned                   1,208,824       1,144,162         64,662             5.7 %
Ceded premiums                           (571,759 )      (533,091 )      (38,668 )           7.3 %
Net premiums earned                       637,065         611,071         25,994             4.3 %
Net investment income                      11,977           5,652          6,325           111.9 %
Net realized gains                           (258 )           (16 )         (242 )            NM
Other revenue                              13,676          14,854         (1,178 )          (7.9 %)
Total revenue                         $   662,460     $   631,561     $   30,899             4.9 %

OPERATING EXPENSES:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses $ 501,162 $ 427,370 $ 73,792

            17.3 %
Policy acquisition costs                  156,304         145,968         10,335             7.1 %
General and administrative expenses        70,396          65,787          4,610             7.0 %
Goodwill impairment                        91,959          60,500         31,459            52.0 %
Total operating expenses                  819,821         699,625        120,196            17.2 %
Operating (loss) income                  (157,361 )       (68,064 )      (89,296 )         131.2 %
Interest expense, net                       8,809           7,970            839            10.5 %
Loss before income taxes                 (166,170 )       (76,035 )      (90,135 )         118.5 %
Benefit for income taxes                  (11,807 )        (1,307 )      (10,500 )         803.4 %
Net loss                              $  (154,362 )   $   (74,727 )   $  (79,635 )         106.6 %
Basic net loss per share              $     (5.86 )   $     (2.69 )   $    (3.17 )         118.0 %
Diluted net loss per share            $     (5.86 )   $     (2.69 )   $    (3.17 )         118.0 %


NM - not meaningful

Total revenue

Total revenue was $662.5 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 4.9%
compared to $631.6 million in the prior year. The increase primarily stems from
higher net premiums earned and investment income partly offset by a reduction in
policy fee income, as described below.

Gross premiums written


Gross premiums written of $1.3 billion, up 9.5% year-over-year from $1.2
billion. We experienced premiums written growth of 12.1% outside Florida and
7.1% in Florida. Growth throughout our book of business was largely driven by
rate increases resulting in a higher average premium per policy.
Premiums-in-force were $1.3 billion as of December 31, 2022, representing a 9.6%
increase from the prior year due to continued proactive underwriting and rate
actions despite a reduction in policy count reduction of approximately 40,000.
The reduction in policies-in-force from the fourth quarter of 2021 reflects our
intentional exposure management initiatives.

Gross premiums earned


Gross premiums earned were $1.2 billion for the year ended December 31, 2022, up
5.7% compared to $1.1 billion in the prior year. The increase in gross premiums
earned reflects higher gross premiums written over the last twelve months driven
by rate increases, which resulted in higher average premium per policy, as
described above.

Ceded premiums


Ceded premiums were $571.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 7.3%
compared to $533.1 million in the prior year. The increase is primarily
attributable to a higher cost of catastrophe excess of loss reinsurance coupled
with higher ceded premiums for our quota share coverage due to the higher gross
premiums written in the northeast, partly offset by a lower cost for our severe
convective storm coverage from the prior year.

Net premiums earned


Net premiums earned were $637.1 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, up
4.3% compared to $611.1 million in the prior year. The increase primarily stems
from higher gross premiums earned, partly offset by higher ceded premiums as
described above.

                                       33

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Net investment income


Net investment income, inclusive of realized investment gains (losses) and
unrealized gains (losses) on equity securities, was $11.7 million for the year
ended December 31, 2022, up 109.0% compared to $5.6 million in the prior year.
The increase stems from a higher interest rate environment in 2022 as compared
to the prior year.

Other revenue

Other revenue was $13.7 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, down 7.9%
compared to $14.9 million in the prior year. The decrease was driven largely by
lower policy fee income as a result of the reduction in policy count in Florida.


                                                    Year Ended December 31,
                                        2022          2021        $ Change       % Change
OPERATING EXPENSES:
Losses and loss adjustment expenses   $ 501,162     $ 427,370     $  73,792           17.3 %
Policy acquisition costs                156,304       145,968        10,335            7.1 %

General and administrative expenses 70,396 65,787 4,610

           7.0 %
Goodwill impairment                      91,959        60,500        31,459           52.0 %
Total operating expenses              $ 819,821     $ 699,625     $ 120,196           17.2 %


Total operating expenses

Total operating expenses were $819.8 million, or 17.2% from $699.6 million in
the prior year. As described below, the drivers included the increase in losses
and loss adjustment expenses, an increase in acquisition costs, and additional
goodwill impairment.

Losses and loss adjustment expenses (LAE)


Losses and LAE were $501.2 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, up
17.3% compared to $427.4 million in the prior year. The increase was driven
primarily by more severe catastrophe weather activity in 2022 than in 2021. The
remainder was driven by higher attritional losses, as well as unfavorable loss
development of $3.7 million in 2022 compared to favorable loss development of
$3.5 million in 2021.

Policy acquisition costs

Policy acquisition costs were $156.3 million for the year ended December 31,
2022, up 7.1% compared to $146.0 million in the prior year. Higher acquisition
costs were driven by the increase in gross premiums written.

General and administrative expenses

General and administrative expenses were $70.4 million for the year ended
December 31, 2022, up 7.0% compared to $65.8 million in the prior year. The
increase is primarily attributable to higher human capital costs, mostly driven
by employee benefits costs, as well as the non-recurrence of a $1.5 million
state tax credit recorded in 2021.

Goodwill impairment


We evaluate goodwill and other intangible assets for impairment at least on an
annual basis or whenever events or changes in circumstances indicate that it is
more likely than not that the carrying amount of goodwill and other intangible
assets may exceed their implied fair value. Goodwill is evaluated at the
reporting unit level, for which we have one reporting unit level. Any impairment
is charged to operations in the period that the impairment is identified. The
Goodwill impairment evaluation includes a review of a variety of factors as
described below, which require considerable management judgment. Any adverse
change in these factors could have a significant impact on the recoverability of
goodwill and could have a material impact on our consolidated financial
statements.

As a result of our analysis for goodwill impairment, we impaired $60.5 million
of goodwill in the fourth quarter of 2021 and impaired the entire amount of
remaining goodwill in the second quarter of 2022, reducing our carrying value of
goodwill from $92.0 million at December 31, 2021 to $0 at December 31, 2022. See
the section titled "Goodwill Impairment Charge" above and Note 3 of the notes to
our consolidated financial statements for more detail on our impairment of
goodwill.

                                                     Year Ended December 31,
                                         2022          2021        $ Change       % Change
Operating income                      $ (157,361 )   $ (68,064 )   $ (89,296 )        131.2 %
Interest expense, net                      8,809         7,970           839           10.5 %
Loss before income taxes                (166,170 )     (76,035 )     (90,135 )        118.5 %
Benefit for income taxes                 (11,807 )      (1,307 )     (10,500 )        803.4 %
Net loss                              $ (154,362 )   $ (74,727 )   $ (79,635 )        106.6 %
Basic net (loss) income per share     $    (5.86 )   $   (2.69 )   $   (3.17 )        118.0 %
Diluted net (loss) income per share   $    (5.86 )   $   (2.69 )   $   (3.17 )        118.0 %




                                       34

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Net loss


Net loss for the year ended December 31, 2022 was $154.4 million, up 106.6% from
net loss of $74.7 million in the prior year. The increase primarily relates to a
goodwill impairment charge as described in Note 3 to the consolidated financial
statements coupled with higher catastrophe weather losses described above and a
$6.4 million valuation allowance against our net deferred tax asset as described
above, partly offset by higher total revenue as described above.

Interest expense, net

Interest expense was $8.8 million for the year ended December 31, 2022, above
the prior year by 10.5% as a result of rising interest rates.

Benefit for income taxes


The benefit for income taxes was $11.8 million for the year ended December 31,
2022 compared to a benefit for income taxes of $1.3 million for the year ended
December 31, 2021. The effective tax rate for the current year is 7.1% compared
to 1.7% for the prior year. Our effective tax rate for both years was impacted
by the non-deductible goodwill impairment of $92.0 million recognized during the
second quarter of 2022 and $60.5 million during the fourth quarter of 2021. See
further discussion of the goodwill impairment in the Note 3 of the Notes to our
consolidated financial statements. The effective tax rate for the year ended
December 31, 2022 was also impacted by a $6.4 million valuation allowance
against our net deferred tax asset related to certain tax elections made by
Osprey Re, our captive reinsurer domiciled in Bermuda, whose utilization may be
limited under the Internal Revenue Code. Finally, the effective tax rate can
fluctuate throughout the year as estimates used in the quarterly tax provision
are updated with additional information throughout the year, including changes
to pre-tax income and from the impact of permanent differences on pre-tax income
or loss.

Ratios
                             Year Ended December 31,
                             2022               2021
Ceded premium ratio              47.3 %             46.6 %

Net loss and LAE ratio           78.7 %             69.9 %
Net expense ratio                35.6 %             34.7 %
Net combined ratio              114.3 %            104.6 %


Net combined ratio

The net combined ratio was 114.3% for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 9.7
points from 104.6% in the prior year. The increase stems primarily from a higher
net loss and net expense ratios, described below.

Ceded premium ratio


The ceded premium ratio was 47.3% for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 0.7
points from 46.6% in the prior year. The increase primarily stems from ceded
premium growth that was partly offset by growth in gross premiums earned as
described above.

Net loss and LAE ratio


The net loss and LAE ratio was 78.7% for the year ended December 31, 2022, up
8.8 points from 69.9% in the prior year. The increase primarily relates to
higher weather and attritional losses in the current year as a percentage of net
premium earned, mostly driven by Hurricanes Ian and Nicole and $3.7 million of
unfavorable prior year reserve development in 2022 compared to $3.5 million of
favorable prior year reserve development in 2021, as a percentage of net
premiums earned.

Net expense ratio

The net expense ratio was 35.6% for the year ended December 31, 2022, up 0.9
points from 34.7% in the prior year. The increase primarily stems from the
impact of a higher ceded premium ratio as well as higher policy acquisition
associated with the increase in gross premiums written.

Liquidity and Capital Resources


Our principal sources of liquidity include cash flows generated from operations,
our cash, cash equivalents, our marketable securities balances and borrowings
available under our credit facilities. As of December 31, 2022, we held $280.9
million in cash and cash equivalents and $653.6 million in investments, compared
to $359.3 million and $694.7 million as of December 31, 2021. The decrease in
cash and cash equivalents was primarily driven by payment of reinsurance
premiums, claim payment, stock repurchases,

                                       35

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and payment of dividends. The decrease in investments was driven by higher
unrealized losses on our fixed income securities caused by rising interest
rates.


We generally hold substantial cash balances to meet seasonal liquidity needs
including amounts to pay quarterly reinsurance installments as well as meet the
collateral requirements of Osprey, our captive reinsurance company, which is
required to maintain a collateral trust account equal to the risk that it
assumes from our insurance company affiliates.

We believe that our sources of liquidity are adequate to meet our cash
requirements for at least the next twelve months.


We may continue to pursue the acquisition of complementary businesses and make
strategic investments. We may increase capital expenditures consistent with our
investment plans and anticipated growth strategy. Cash and cash equivalents may
not be sufficient to fund such expenditures. As such, in addition to the use of
our existing Credit Facilities, we may need to utilize additional debt to secure
funds for such purposes.

Statement of Cash Flows

The net increases (decreases) in cash and cash equivalents are summarized in the
following table:

                                                 For the Year Ended December 31,
                                                                        2022 vs 2021       2021 vs 2020
                             2022           2021           2020            Change             Change
Net cash provided by
(used in):                                                (in thousands)

Operating activities $ (34,260 ) $ 60,130 $ 170,211 $

   (94,390 )   $     (110,081 )
Investing activities         (37,862 )     (124,480 )       22,062             86,618           (146,542 )

Financing activities (5,058 ) (17,281 ) (28,898 )

    12,223             11,617
Net change in cash,
cash equivalents,

and restricted cash $ (77,180 ) $ (81,631 ) $ 163,376 $

4,451 $ (245,006 )

Operating Activities


Net cash used in operating activities for the year ended December 31, 2022 was
$34.3 million compared to net cash provided by of $60.1 million during the prior
year. The decrease in cash from operating activities relates primarily to timing
of cash flows associated with claim and reinsurance payments as well as
reinsurance reimbursements during the year ended December 31, 2022 compared to
the year ended December 31, 2021.

Investing Activities


Net cash used in investing activities for the year ended December 31, 2022 was
$37.9 million compared to net cash used of $124.5 million in the prior year. The
change in cash used in investing activities relates primarily to allocations of
funds for investment in each period. Strategic sales of investments to yield
realized gains in 2020 produced proceeds which were re-invested in 2021, driving
up the cash used for investing activities for that period.

Financing Activities


Net cash used in financing activities for the year ended December 31, 2022 was
$5.1 million, compared to net cash used of $17.3 million in the prior year. The
decrease in cash used for financing activities was primarily driven by draws
from our Revolving Credit Facility (defined below) totaling $35 million to
purchase and retire $22.5 million of Convertible Notes and contribute capital to
our captive reinsurer, Osprey Re.

Credit Facilities


The Company is party to a Credit Agreement by and among the Company, as
borrower, certain subsidiaries of the Company from time to time party thereto as
guarantors, the lenders from time to time party thereto (the "Lenders"), Regions
Bank, as Administrative Agent and Collateral Agent, BMO Harris Bank N.A., as
Syndication Agent, Hancock Whitney Bank and Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce,
as Co-Documentation Agents, and Regions Capital Markets and BMO Capital Markets
Corp., as Joint Lead Arrangers and Joint Bookrunners (as amended from time to
time, the "Credit Agreement").

Based on the Company's results for the third quarter of 2022, management
considered it likely at that time that the Company would be out of compliance
with certain financial covenants in the Credit Agreement. In order to avoid a
covenant violation, on November 7, 2022, the Company and its subsidiary
guarantors entered into an amendment to the Credit Agreement to, among other
things, (i) decrease the Revolving Credit Facility commitments from $75 million
to $50 million, (ii) establish a new $25 million Term Loan Facility (defined
below) to refinance loans outstanding under the existing Revolving Credit
Facility and to pay fees, costs and expenses related thereto, (iii) reduce, from
$50 million to $25 million, the aggregate amount of potential future increases
to the Revolving Credit Facility commitments and/or Term Loan Facility
commitments, (iii) modify the amortization of the existing term loan facility
and new term loan facility to 10% per annum, paid quarterly, and (iv) increase
the applicable margin for loans under the

                                       36

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Credit Agreement to a range from 2.75% to 3.25% per annum for SOFR loans (plus a
0.10% credit adjustment spread) and based on a leverage ratio (an increase from
the prior range of 2.50% to 3.00%). The amendment also modified certain
financial covenants in the Credit Agreement which may limit the Company's
flexibility in connection with future financing transactions and in the
allocation of capital in the future, including the Company's ability to pay
dividends and make stock repurchases, and contribute capital to its insurance
subsidiaries that are not parties to the Credit Agreement.

The Credit Agreement, as amended, provides for (1) a five-year senior secured
term loan facility in an aggregate principal amount of $100 million (the "Term
Loan Facility") and (2) a five-year senior secured revolving credit facility in
an aggregate principal amount of $50 million (inclusive of a sublimit for the
issuance of letters of credit equal to the unused amount of the revolving credit
facility and a sublimit for swingline loans equal to the lesser of $25 million
and the unused amount of the revolving credit facility) (the "Revolving Credit
Facility" and together with the Term Loan Facility, the "Credit Facilities").

Term Loan Facility. The principal amount of the Term Loan Facility amortizes in
quarterly installments, which began with the close of the fiscal quarter ending
March 31, 2019, in an amount equal to $1.9 million per quarter, payable
quarterly, decreasing to $875,000 per quarter commencing with the quarter ending
December 31, 2021, and increasing to $2.4 million per quarter commencing with
the quarter ending December 31, 2022, with the remaining balance payable at
maturity. The Term Loan Facility matures on July 28, 2026. As of November 7,
2022, after giving effect to the additional term loan advance that was used to
refinance amounts outstanding under the Revolving Credit Facility and to pay
fees, costs and expenses related thereto, there was $73.9 million in aggregate
principal outstanding under the Term Loan Facility. As of December 31, 2022,
there was $89.1 million in aggregate principal outstanding under the Term Loan
Facility.

Revolving Credit Facility. The Revolving Credit Facility allows for borrowings
of up to $50 million inclusive of a sublimit for the issuance of letters of
credit equal to the unused amount of the Revolving Credit Facility and a
sublimit for swingline loans equal to the lesser of $25 million and the unused
amount of the Revolving Credit Facility. As of September 30, 2022, we had $25.0
million in borrowings and a $22.6 million letters of credit outstanding under
the Revolving Credit Facility. In connection with the incurrence of additional
amounts under the Term Loan Facility pursuant to the amendment, the borrowings
under the Revolving Credit Facility were repaid in full. On December 23, 2022,
the Company borrowed $10.0 million under the Revolving Credit facility. At
December 31, 2022, the Company had unused letters of credit totaling $32.6
million.

At our option, borrowings under the Credit Facilities bear interest at rates
equal to either (1) a rate determined by reference to SOFR, plus an applicable
margin (described below) and a credit adjustment spread equal to 0.10% or (2) a
base rate determined by reference to the highest of (a) the "prime rate" of
Regions Bank, (b) the federal funds rate plus 0.50%, and (c) the adjusted term
SOFR in effect on such day for an interest period of one month plus 1.00%, plus
an applicable margin (described below).

The applicable margin for loans under the Credit Facilities varies from 2.75%
per annum to 3.25% per annum (for SOFR loans) and 1.75% to 2.25% per annum (for
base rate loans) based on our consolidated leverage ratio ranging from 1.25-to-1
to greater than 2.25-to-1. Interest payments with respect to the Credit
Facilities are required either on a quarterly basis (for base rate loans) or at
the end of each interest period (for SOFR loans) or, if the duration of the
applicable interest period exceeds three months, then every three months. As of
December 31, 2022, the borrowings under the Term Loan Facility and Revolving
Credit Facility accruing interest at a rate of 7.32% and 7.42% per annum,
respectively.

In addition to paying interest on outstanding borrowings under the Revolving
Credit Facility, we are required to pay a quarterly commitment fee based on the
unused portion of the Revolving Credit Facility, which is determined by our
consolidated leverage ratio.

We may prepay the loans under the Credit Facilities, in whole or in part, at any
time without premium or penalty, subject to certain conditions including minimum
amounts and reimbursement of certain costs in the case of prepayments of SOFR
loans. In addition, we are required to prepay the loan under the Term Loan
Facility with the proceeds from certain financing transactions, involuntary
dispositions or asset sales (subject, in the case of asset sales, to
reinvestment rights).

All obligations under the Credit Facilities are or will be guaranteed by each
existing and future direct and indirect wholly owned domestic subsidiary of the
Company, other than all of the Company's current and future regulated insurance
subsidiaries (collectively, the "Guarantors").

The Company and the Guarantors are party to a Pledge and Security Agreement, (as
amended from time to time the "Security Agreement"), in favor of Regions Bank,
as collateral agent. Pursuant to the Security Agreement, amounts borrowed under
the Credit Facilities are secured on a first priority basis by a perfected
security interest in substantially all of the present and future assets of the
Company and each Guarantor (subject to certain exceptions), including all of the
capital stock of the Company's domestic subsidiaries, other than its regulated
insurance subsidiaries.

The Credit Agreement contains, among other things, covenants, representations
and warranties and events of default customary for facilities of this type. The
Company is required to maintain, as of each fiscal quarter (1) a maximum
consolidated leverage ratio of 2.50 to 1.00, stepping down to 2.25 to 1.00 as of
the second quarter of 2024 and 2.00 to 1.00 as of the second quarter of 2025,
(2) a minimum consolidated fixed charge coverage ratio of 1.20 to 1.00 and (3) a
minimum consolidated net worth for the Company and its subsidiaries, which is
required to be not less than $100 million plus 50% of positive quarterly net
income (including its subsidiaries

                                       37

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and regulated subsidiaries) plus the net cash proceeds of any equity
transactions. Events of default include, among other events, (i) nonpayment of
principal, interest, fees or other amounts; (ii) failure to perform or observe
certain covenants set forth in the Credit Agreement; (iii) breach of any
representation or warranty; (iv) cross-default to other indebtedness; (v)
bankruptcy and insolvency defaults; (vi) monetary judgment defaults and material
nonmonetary judgment defaults; (vii) customary ERISA defaults; (viii) a change
of control of the Company; and (ix) failure to maintain specified catastrophe
retentions in each of the Company's regulated insurance subsidiaries.

Convertible Notes


On August 10, 2017, the Company and Heritage MGA, LLC (the "Notes Guarantor")
entered into a purchase agreement (the "Purchase Agreement") with Citigroup
Global Markets Inc., as the initial purchaser (the "Initial Purchaser"),
pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell, and the Initial
Purchaser agreed to purchase, $125.0 million aggregate principal amount of the
Company's 5.875% Convertible Senior Notes due 2037 (the "Convertible Notes") in
a private placement transaction pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act,
as amended (the "Securities Act"). The Purchase Agreement contained customary
representations, warranties and agreements of the Company and the Notes
Guarantor and customary conditions to closing, indemnification rights and
obligations of the parties and termination provisions. The net proceeds from the
offering of the Convertible Notes, after deducting discounts and commissions and
estimated offering expenses payable by the Company, were approximately $120.5
million. The offering of the Convertible Notes was completed on August 16, 2017.

The Company issued the Convertible Notes under an Indenture (the "Convertible
Note Indenture"), dated August 16, 2017, by and among the Company, as issuer,
the Notes Guarantor, as guarantor, and Wilmington Trust, National Association,
as trustee (the "Trustee").

The Convertible Notes bear interest at a rate of 5.875% per year. Interest is
payable semi-annually in arrears, on February 1 and August 1 of each year. The
Convertible Notes are senior unsecured obligations of the Company that rank
senior in right of payment to the Company's future indebtedness that is
expressly subordinated in right of payment to the Convertible Notes; equal in
right of payment to the Company's unsecured indebtedness that is not so
subordinated; effectively junior to any of the Company's secured indebtedness to
the extent of the value of the assets securing such indebtedness; and
structurally junior to all indebtedness or other liabilities incurred by the
Company's subsidiaries other than the Notes Guarantor, which fully and
unconditionally guarantee the Convertible Notes on a senior unsecured basis.

The Convertible Notes mature on August 1, 2037, unless earlier repurchased,
redeemed or converted.


Holders may convert their Convertible Notes at any time prior to the close of
business on the business day immediately preceding February 1, 2037, other than
during the period from, and including, February 1, 2022 to the close of business
on the second business day immediately preceding August 5, 2022, only under the
following circumstances: (1) during any calendar quarter commencing after the
calendar quarter ending on September 30, 2017, if the closing sale price of the
Company's common stock, for at least 20 trading days (whether or not
consecutive) in the period of 30 consecutive trading days ending on the last
trading day of the calendar quarter immediately preceding the calendar quarter
in which the conversion occurs, is more than 130% of the conversion price of the
Convertible Notes in effect on each applicable trading day; (2) during the ten
consecutive business-day period following any five consecutive trading-day
period in which the trading price for the Convertible Notes for each such
trading day was less than 98% of the closing sale price of the Company's common
stock on such date multiplied by the then-current conversion rate; (3) if the
Company calls any or all of the Convertible Notes for redemption, at any time
prior to the close of business on the second business day immediately preceding
the redemption date; or (4) upon the occurrence of specified corporate events.

During the period from and including February 1, 2022 to the close of business
on the second business day immediately preceding August 5, 2022, and on or after
February 1, 2037 until the close of business on the second business day
immediately preceding August 1, 2037, holders may surrender their Convertible
Notes for conversion at any time, regardless of the foregoing circumstances.

The conversion rate for the Convertible Notes was initially 67.0264 shares of
common stock per $1,000 principal amount of Convertible Notes (equivalent to an
initial conversion price of approximately $14.92 per share of common stock). The
conversion rate is subject to adjustment in certain circumstances and is subject
to increase for holders that elect to convert their Convertible Notes in
connection with certain corporate transactions (but not, at the Company's
election, a public acquirer change of control (as defined in the Convertible
Note Indenture)) that occur prior to August 5, 2022.

Upon the occurrence of a fundamental change (as defined in the Convertible Note
Indenture) (but not, at the Company's election, a public acquirer change of
control (as defined in the Convertible Note Indenture), holders of the
Convertible Notes may require the Company to repurchase for cash all or a
portion of their Convertible Notes at a fundamental change repurchase price
equal to 100% of the principal amount of the Convertible Notes to be
repurchased, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the fundamental
change repurchase date.

                                       38
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At any time prior to February 1, 2037, the Company may redeem for cash all or
any portion of the Convertible Notes, at the Company's option, at a redemption
price equal to 100% of the principal amount of the Convertible Notes to be
redeemed, plus accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the redemption
date. No sinking fund is provided for the Convertible Notes, which means that
the Company is not required to redeem or retire the Convertible Notes
periodically. Holders of the Convertible Notes are able to cause the Company to
repurchase their Convertible Notes for cash on any of August 1, 2022, August 1,
2027 and August 1, 2032, in each case at 100% of their principal amount, plus
accrued and unpaid interest to, but excluding, the relevant repurchase date.

The Convertible Note Indenture contains customary terms and covenants and events
of default. If an Event of Default (as defined in the Convertible Note
Indenture) occurs and is continuing, the Trustee by notice to the Company, or
the holders of at least 25% in aggregate principal amount of the Convertible
Notes then outstanding by notice to the Company and the Trustee, may declare
100% of the principal of, and accrued and unpaid interest, if any, on, all the
Convertible Notes to be immediately due and payable. In the case of certain
events of bankruptcy, insolvency or reorganization (as set forth in the
Convertible Note Indenture) with respect to the Company, 100% of the principal
of, and accrued and unpaid interest, if any, on, the Convertible Notes
automatically become immediately due and payable.

In January 2022, the Company repurchased $11.7 million principal amount of
outstanding Convertible Notes. As of December 31, 2022, there was $885,000
principal amount of outstanding Convertible Notes, net of $21.1 million of
Convertible Notes held by an insurance company subsidiary.


As discussed above, holders of the Convertible Notes issued by the Company had
an optional put right, pursuant to the indenture governing the Convertible
Notes, to require the Company to repurchase the aggregate principal amount of
Convertible Notes that are validly tendered. The Company received notice from
the Depositary for the Convertible Notes that, on July 29, 2022, $10.9 million
aggregate principal amount of the Convertible Notes has been validly tendered in
accordance with the terms of the indenture and the Company's notice with respect
to the optional put right of the Convertible Notes, and the Company has
requested that the Trustee cancel the Convertible Notes tendered. The
outstanding balance as of December 31, 2022 of non-affiliated Notes was
$885,000. On August 1, 2022, the Company made payments for the principal amount
of the Convertible Notes tendered and unpaid interest in the aggregate amounts
of $10.9 million and $320,041, respectively. The Company has drawn $10.0 million
from the Revolving Credit Facility to replenish the cash used to pay the $10.9
million for the purchase of the tendered Convertible Notes.

FHLB Loan Agreements


In December 2018, a subsidiary of the Company pledged U.S. government and agency
fixed maturity securities with an estimated fair value of $24.3 million as
collateral and received $19.2 million in a cash loan under an advance agreement
with the FHLB Atlanta. The loan originated on December 12, 2018 and bears a
fixed interest rate of 3.094% with interest payments due quarterly commencing in
March 2019. The principal balance on the loan has a maturity date of December
13, 2023. In connection with the agreement, the subsidiary became a member of
FHLB. Membership in the FHLB required an investment in FHLB's common stock which
was purchased on December 31, 2018 and valued at $1.4 million. As of December
31, 2022, the common stock was valued at $1.5 million. The subsidiary is
permitted to withdraw any portion of the pledged collateral over the minimum
collateral requirement at any time, other than in the event of a default by the
subsidiary. The proceeds from the loan were used to prepay the Company's Senior
Secured Notes due 2023 in 2018.

Contractual Obligations and Commitments

The following table summarizes our material contractual obligations and
commitments as of December 31, 2022:


Contractual Obligations and                       Less Than 1                                       More than
Commercial Commitments               Total           Year           1-3 

Years 3-5 Years 5 - Years

                                                                 (in 

thousands)

Term loans, notes and interest
(1)                                $ 119,873     $      16,563     $    30,253          73,057     $         -
Convertible debt (1)                   1,613                52             104             104           1,353
Mortgage loan (1)                     17,783               893           1,786           1,786          13,318
FHLB agreement (1)                    19,802            19,802               -               -               -
Operating lease obligations           36,898             4,678           9,301           9,360          13,559

Total Contractual Obligations $ 195,969 $ 41,988 $ 41,444 $ 84,307 $ 28,230

(1)

Amounts represent principal and interest payments to debt obligations. Debt
obligations are classified based on their stated maturity date. For further
information on long-term debt, Refer to Note 14 "Long Term Debt" of the Notes to
Consolidated Financial Statements included in Part II, Item 8 of this Annual
Report on Form 10-K.

                                       39
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The expected timing of payments of the obligations in the preceding table is
estimated based on current information. Timing of payments and actual amounts
paid may be different due to changes to agreed-upon amounts for some
obligations.

Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates


The following discussion and analysis presents the more significant factors that
affected our financial conditions as of December 31, 2022 and 2021 and results
of operations for each of the years then ended. The preparation of financial
statements in conformity with accounting principles of generally accepted in the
United States requires management to make estimates and assumptions that affect
the amounts reported in the financial statements and accompanying notes. While
we base estimates on historical experience, current information and other
factors deemed to be relevant, actual results could differ from those estimates.

We consider accounting estimates to be critical to reported financial results if
(i) the accounting estimate requires management to make assumptions about
matters that are highly uncertain and (ii) different estimates that management
reasonably could have used for the accounting estimates in the current period,
or changes in the accounting estimate that are reasonably likely to occur from
period to period, could have a material impact on our consolidated financial
statements. When we prepare our condensed consolidated financial statements and
accompanying notes in conformity with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles (GAAP), we must make estimates and assumptions about future events
that affect the amounts we report. Certain of these estimates result from
judgments that can be subjective and complex. As a result of that subjectivity
and complexity, and because we continuously evaluate these estimates and
assumptions based on a variety of factors, actual results could materially
differ from our estimates and assumptions if changes in one or more factors
require us to make accounting adjustments.

Premiums. We recognize direct and assumed premiums written as revenue, net of
ceded amounts, on a daily pro rata basis over the contract period of the related
policies that are in force. For any portion of premiums not earned at the end of
the reporting period, we record an unearned premium liability.

Premiums receivable represents amounts due from our policyholders for billed
premiums and related policy fees. Our billing system is equity based such that
policies are canceled if the unpaid premium exceeds the amount of premium
earned. When we receive payments on amounts previously charged off, we credit
bad debt expense in the period we receive the payment. Balances in premiums
receivable and the associated allowance account are removed upon cancellation of
the policy due to non-payment. We recorded bad debt expense of approximately $0,
$0 and $161,300 in 2022, 2021, 2020, respectively.

When we receive premium payments from policyholders prior to the effective date
of the related policy, we record an advance premium liability. On the policy
effective date, we reduce the advance premium liability and record the premiums
as described above.

Reserves for Unpaid Losses and Loss Adjustment Expenses. Reserves for unpaid
losses and loss adjustment expenses, also referred to as loss reserves,
represent the most significant accounting estimate inherent in the preparation
of our financial statements. These reserves represent management's best estimate
of the amount we will ultimately pay for losses and loss adjustment expenses and
we base the amount upon the application of various actuarial reserve estimation
techniques as well as considering other material facts and circumstances known
at the balance sheet date. We establish two categories of loss reserves as
follows: Case reserves-When a claim is reported, we establish an initial
estimate of the losses that will ultimately be paid on the reported claim. Our
initial estimate for each claim is based upon the judgment of our claims
professionals who are familiar with property and liability losses associated
with the coverage offered by our policies. Then, our claims personnel perform an
evaluation of the type of claim involved, the circumstances surrounding each
claim and the policy provisions relating to the loss and adjust the reserve, as
necessary. As claims mature, we increase or decrease the reserve estimates as
deemed necessary by our claims department based upon additional information we
receive regarding the loss, the results of on-site reviews and any other
information we gather while reviewing the claims. IBNR reserves-Our IBNR
reserves include true IBNR reserves plus "bulk" reserves. True IBNR reserves
represent amounts related to claims for which a loss occurred on or before the
date of the financial statements, but which have not yet been reported to us.
Bulk reserves represent additional amounts that cannot be allocated to
particular claims, but which are necessary to estimate ultimate losses on known
claims. We estimate our IBNR reserves by projecting our ultimate losses using
industry accepted actuarial methods and then deducting actual loss payments and
case reserves from the projected ultimate losses. We review and adjust our IBNR
reserves on a quarterly basis based on information available to us at the
balance sheet date.

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When we establish our reserves, we analyze various factors such as the evolving
historical loss experience of the insurance industry as well as our experience,
claims frequency and severity, our business mix, our claims processing
procedures, legislative enactments, judicial decisions and legal developments in
imposition of damages, and general economic conditions, including inflation. A
change in any of these factors from the assumptions implicit in our estimates
will cause our ultimate loss experience to be better or worse than indicated by
our reserves, and the difference could be material. Due to the interaction of
the foregoing factors, there is no precise method for evaluating the impact of
any one specific factor in isolation, and an element of judgment is ultimately
required. Due to the uncertain nature of any future projections, the ultimate
amount we will pay for losses will be different from the reserves we record.

We determine our ultimate loss reserves by selecting an estimate within a
relevant range of indications that we calculate using generally accepted
actuarial techniques. Our selection of the point estimate is influenced by the
analysis of our paid losses and incurred losses since inception.


Our external reserving actuaries evaluated the adequacy of our reserves as of
December 31, 2022 and concluded that our reported loss reserves would meet the
requirements of the insurance laws of the states in which our insurance
subsidiaries are domiciled, be consistent with reserves computed in accordance
with accepted loss reserving standards and principles, and make a reasonable
provision for all unpaid loss and loss adjustment expense obligations under the
terms of our contracts and agreements. In addition to $300.6 million of recorded
case reserves, we recorded $831.2 million of IBNR reserves as of December 31,
2022 to achieve overall gross reserves of $1.1 billion. At December 31, 2022,
ceded IBNR and net IBNR were $546.0 million and $285.2 million, respectively.

The process of establishing our reserves is complex and inherently imprecise, as
it involves using judgment that is affected by many variables. We believe a
reasonably likely change in almost any of the factors we evaluate as part of our
loss reserve analysis could have an impact on our reported results, financial
position and liquidity.

The following table quantifies the pro forma impact of hypothetical changes in
our net loss reserves on our net income and stockholders' equity as of and for
the year ended December 31, 2022 (in thousands):

                                                                 % Change                       % Change
                                                     Low           from            High           from
                                     Actual       Estimate        Actual         Estimate        Actual
Net Loss Reserves                  $  372,126     $ 294,847           20.8 %    $  393,989           (5.9 )%

Impact on:
Net loss                           $ (154,363 )   $ (97,564 )        (36.8 )%   $ (170,433 )        (10.4 )%
Stockholders' equity               $  131,039     $ 187,838          (43.3 )%   $  114,969           12.3 %
Cash, cash equivalents and
investments(1)                     $  934,451     $ 991,250           (6.1 )%   $  918,381            1.7 %



(1)

Estimated cash, cash equivalents and investments is intended to reflect the
impact of loss reserves, net of taxes.


Policy Acquisition Costs. We incur policy acquisition costs that vary with, and
are directly related to, the production of new business. Policy acquisition
costs consist of the following four items: (i) commissions paid to outside
agents at the time of policy issuance, (ii) policy administration fees paid to a
third-party administrator at the time of policy issuance, (iii) premium taxes
and (iv) inspection fees. We capitalize policy acquisition costs to the extent
recoverable, then we amortize those costs over the contract period of the
related policy. We also earn ceding commission on our quota share reinsurance
contracts, which is presented as a reduction of policy acquisition costs with
any unearned ceding commission recognized as a liability. Ceding commission
income is deferred and earned over the contract period. The amount and rate of
ceding commissions earned on the net quota share contract can slide within a
prescribed minimum and maximum, depending on loss performance and how future
losses develop.

Our accounting policy is to allocate ceding commission between policy
acquisition costs and general and administrative expenses for financial
reporting purposes based upon the proportion these costs bear to production of
new business. For the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020, we earned
ceding commission income of $61.8 million, $62.7 million and $57.1 million of
which $46.5 million, $47.1 million and $43.0 million was allocable to policy
acquisition costs.

Deferred taxes. At December 31, 2022, we assessed our deferred tax position and
hold a $6.4 million valuation against our net deferred tax assets. We intend to
continue maintaining the valuation allowance on our net deferred tax asset until
there is sufficient evidence to support the reversal of all or some portion of
the allowance.

                                       41
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Provision for Premium Deficiency. At each reporting date, we determine whether
we have a premium deficiency. A premium deficiency would result if the sum of
our expected losses, deferred policy acquisition costs and policy maintenance
costs (such as costs to store records and costs incurred to collect premiums and
pay commissions) exceeded our related unearned premiums plus investment income.
Should we determine that a premium deficiency exists, we would write off the
unrecoverable portion of deferred policy acquisition costs. No accruals for
premium deficiency were considered necessary as of December 31, 2022 and 2021.

Reinsurance. We follow industry practice of reinsuring a portion of our risks.
Reinsurance involves transferring, or "ceding", all or a portion of the risk
exposure on policies we write to another insurer, known as a reinsurer. To the
extent that our reinsurers are unable to meet the obligations they assume under
our reinsurance agreements, we remain liable for the entire insured loss.

Our reinsurance agreements are prospective contracts. We record an asset,
prepaid reinsurance premiums, and a liability, reinsurance payable, for the
entire contract amount upon commencement of our new reinsurance agreements. We
amortize our prepaid reinsurance premiums over the 12-month contract period.


In the event that we incur losses recoverable under our reinsurance program, we
record amounts recoverable from our reinsurers on paid losses plus an estimate
of amounts recoverable on unpaid losses. The estimate of amounts recoverable on
unpaid losses is a function of our liability for unpaid losses associated with
the reinsured policies; therefore, the amount changes in conjunction with any
changes to our estimate of unpaid losses. In the event that we incur losses
recoverable under the reinsurance program, the estimate of amounts recoverable
from reinsurers on unpaid losses may change at any point in the future because
of its relation to our reserves for unpaid losses.

We estimate uncollectible amounts receivable from reinsurers based on an
assessment of factors including the creditworthiness of the reinsurers and the
adequacy of collateral obtained, where applicable. We had no uncollectible
amounts under our reinsurance program or bad debt expense related to reinsurance
for the years ended December 31, 2022, 2021 and 2020.

Recent Accounting Pronouncements Not Yet Effective


The Company describes the recent pronouncements that have had or may have a
significant effect on its financial statements or on its disclosures. The
Company does not discuss recent pronouncements that a) are not anticipated to
have an impact on, or b) are unrelated to its financial condition, results of
operations, or related disclosures. For accounting pronouncements not yet
adopted, Refer to Note 1 "Basis of Presentation, Nature of Business and
Significant Accounting Policies and Practices" to our consolidated financial
statements included in this Annual Report on Form 10-K, for further information.

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