First Quarter 2024 Prepared Remarks
First Quarter 2024
CFO Video Update/Earnings Call
Prepared Remarks
For more information contact:
Investor and Rating Agency Relations
800.235.2667
Because technical difficulties during the call, on replays and on transcripts can make prepared remarks indiscernible, we are providing copies of prepared remarks for
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a "safe harbor" to encourage companies to provide prospective information, so long as those informational statements are identified as forward-looking and are accompanied by meaningful cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those included in the forward-looking statements. The company desires to take advantage of these provisions. This document contains cautionary statements identifying important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected herein, and in any other statements made by company officials in communications with the financial community and contained in documents filed with the
The company cautions readers that the following factors, in addition to other factors mentioned from time to time, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by the forward-looking statements:
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difficult conditions in global capital markets and the economy, |
confidentiality, integrity or privacy of sensitive data residing on such |
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including inflation |
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systems |
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defaults and credit downgrades of investments |
subsidiaries' ability to pay dividends to the Parent Company |
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global fluctuations in interest rates and exposure to significant |
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inherent limitations to risk management policies and procedures |
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interest rate risk |
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operational risks of third-party vendors |
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concentration of business in |
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tax rates applicable to the Company may change |
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limited availability of acceptable yen-denominated investments |
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failure to comply with restrictions on policyholder privacy and |
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foreign currency fluctuations in the yen/dollar exchange rate |
information security |
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extensive regulation and changes in law or regulation by |
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differing interpretations applied to investment valuations |
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governmental authorities |
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significant valuation judgments in determination of expected credit |
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competitive environment and ability to anticipate and respond to |
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losses recorded on the Company's investments |
market trends |
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decreases in the Company's financial strength or debt ratings |
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catastrophic events, including, but not limited to, as a result of |
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decline in creditworthiness of other financial institutions |
climate change, epidemics, pandemics, tornadoes, hurricanes, |
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the Company's ability to attract |
and |
retain |
qualified |
sales |
earthquakes, tsunamis, war or other military action, major public |
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associates, brokers, employees, and distribution partners |
health issues, terrorism or other acts of violence, and damage |
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incidental to such events |
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deviations |
in |
actual |
experience |
from |
pricing |
and reserving |
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ability to protect the Aflac brand and the Company's reputation |
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assumptions |
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ability to effectively manage key executive succession |
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ability to continue to |
develop and |
implement improvements in |
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changes in accounting standards |
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information technology systems and on successful execution of |
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level and outcome of litigation or regulatory inquiries |
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revenue growth and expense management initiatives |
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allegations or determinations of worker misclassification in the |
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interruption |
in |
telecommunication, |
information |
technology |
and |
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other operational systems, or a failure to maintain the security,
NON-
This document includes references to the Company's financial performance measures which are not calculated in accordance with
Due to the size of
The company defines the non-
Adjusted earnings are adjusted revenues less benefits and adjusted expenses. Adjusted earnings per share (basic or diluted) are the adjusted earnings for the period divided by the weighted average outstanding shares (basic or diluted) for the period presented. The adjustments to both revenues and expenses account for certain items that cannot be predicted or that are outside management's control. Adjusted revenues are
Adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact are computed using the average foreign currency exchange rate for the comparable prior-year period, which eliminates fluctuations driven solely by foreign currency exchange rate changes. Adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact divided by the weighted average outstanding diluted shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted earnings excluding current period foreign currency impact and adjusted earnings per diluted share excluding current period foreign currency impact important because a significant portion of the Company's business is conducted in
Adjusted retuon equity is adjusted earnings divided by average shareholders' equity, excluding accumulated other comprehensive income (AOCI). Management uses adjusted retuon equity to evaluate the financial performance of the Company's insurance operations on a consolidated basis and believes that a presentation of this financial measure is vitally important to an understanding of the underlying profitability drivers and trends of the Company's insurance business. The Company considers adjusted retuon equity important as it excludes components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable
Adjusted retuon equity excluding foreign currency impact is adjusted earnings excluding the current period foreign currency impact divided by average shareholders' equity, excluding AOCI. The Company considers adjusted retuon equity excluding foreign currency
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impact important as it excludes changes in foreign currency and components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control. The most comparable
Amortized hedge costs/income represent costs/income incurred or recognized as a result of using foreign currency derivatives to hedge certain foreign exchange risks in the Company's Japan segment or in Corporate and other. These amortized hedge costs/ income are estimated at the inception of the derivatives based on the specific terms of each contract and are recognized on a straight-line basis over the term of the hedge. The Company believes that amortized hedge costs/income measure the periodic currency risk management costs/income related to hedging certain foreign currency exchange risks and are an important component of net investment income. There is no comparable
Adjusted book value is the
Adjusted book value including unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses is adjusted book value plus unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses. Adjusted book value including unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses per common share is adjusted book value plus unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses at the period end divided by the ending outstanding common shares for the period presented. The Company considers adjusted book value including unrealized foreign currency translation gains and losses, and its related per share financial measure, important as they exclude certain components of AOCI, which fluctuate due to market movements that are outside management's control; however, it includes the impact of foreign currency as a result of the significance of Aflac's Japan operation. The most comparable
Adjusted net investment income is net investment income adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, and ii) net interest cash flows from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are reclassified from net investment gains and losses to net investment income. The Company considers adjusted net investment income important because it provides a more comprehensive understanding of the costs and income associated with the Company's investments and related hedging strategies. The most comparable
Adjusted net investment gains and losses are net investment gains and losses adjusted for i) amortized hedge cost/income related to foreign currency exposure management strategies and certain derivative activity, ii) net interest cash flows from foreign currency and interest rate derivatives associated with certain investment strategies, which are both reclassified to net investment income, and iii) the impact of interest cash flows from derivatives associated with notes payable, which is reclassified to interest expense as a component of total adjusted expenses. The Company considers adjusted net investment gains and losses important as it represents the remainder amount that is considered outside management's control, while excluding the components that are within management's control and are accordingly reclassified to net investment income and interest expense. The most comparable
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Max K. Brodén
Q1 2024 CFO Video Update
Thank you for joining me as I provide a financial update on
For the quarter, adjusted earnings per diluted share increased 7.1% year over year to
Adjusted book value per share including foreign currency translation gains and losses increased 8.7%, and the adjusted ROE was 13.7%, an acceptable spread to our cost of capital. Overall, we view these results in the quarter as solid.
Starting with our Japan segment, net earned premiums for the quarter declined 6.0%. This decline reflects a ¥6.2 billion negative impact from paid up policies. In addition, there is a ¥7 billion negative impact from internal reinsurance transactions1 and a ¥1.4 billion positive impact from deferred profit liability. Lapses were somewhat elevated, but within our expectations. At the same time, policies in force declined 2.3%.
Japan's total benefit ratio came in at 67.0% for the quarter, flat year over year, and the third sector benefit ratio was 57.5%, down approximately 20 basis points year over year. We continue to experience favorable actual to expected on our well-priced, large and mature in-force block. We estimate the impact from remeasurement gains to be 144 basis points favorable to the benefit ratio in Q1 2024. Long-term experience trends, as it relates to treatment of cancer and hospitalization, continue to be in place, leading to continued favorable underwriting experience.
Persistency remained solid with a rate of 93.4%, which was down 50 basis points year over year, but flat quarter over quarter. We tend to experience some elevation in lapses as customers update and refresh their coverage. This change in persistency is not out of line with expectations.
Our expense ratio in
Adjusted net investment income in yen terms was up 19.3%, mainly by lower hedge costs and favorable impact from FX on USD investments in yen terms as well as a higher retuon our alternatives portfolio compared to first quarter 2023. This was offset by the transfer of assets due to reinsurance in the previous year leading to a lower asset base and lower floating rate income.
The pretax margin for Japan in the quarter was 32.8%, up 460 basis points year over year; a very good result.
1 Excludes the impact from reinsurance novated to Aflac Re in
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Turning to
Our total benefit ratio came in at 46.5%, 90 basis points higher than Q1 2023, driven by product mix and lower remeasurement gains than a year ago. We estimate that remeasurement gains impacted the benefit ratio by 200 basis points in the quarter. Claims utilization has stabilized, but as we incorporate more recent experience into our reserve models, we have released some reserves.
Our expense ratio in the
Our growth initiatives - group life & disability, network dental and vision and direct to consumer - increased our total expense ratio by 230 basis points. We would expect this impact to decrease going forward as these businesses grow to scale and improve their profitability.
Adjusted net investment income in the
Profitability in the
Our total commercial real estate watchlist remains approximately
Our portfolio of first lien senior secured middle market loans continue to perform well, with losses well below our expectations for this point in the cycle.
In our corporate segment, we recorded a pretax loss of
We are continuing to build out our reinsurance platform, and I am pleased with the outcome and performance.
Our capital position remains strong, and we ended the quarter with an SMR above 1,100% in
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impairments were ¥3.6 billion, or roughly
Adjusted leverage remains at a comfortable 20.4%, at the low end of our leverage corridor of 20% to 25%. In the quarter we issued ¥123.6 billion in multiple tranches with an average coupon of 1.72%. As we hold approximately 60% of our debt denominated in yen, our leverage will fluctuate with movements in the yen/dollar rate. This is intentional and part of our enterprise hedging program - protecting the economic value of
We repurchased
I look forward to discussing our results in further detail on tomorrow's earnings call. Thank you for your time and attention.
Q1 2024 Earnings Call
Thank you, David. Good morning, and we're glad you are joining us at this earlier hour. The first quarter marked a good start to the year in terms of earnings, but proved to be challenging for sales.
Beginning with Japan, our latest medical insurance launched in
Cancer insurance sales, however, were modestly better year over year. We entered the final stage of our new cancer insurance launch in
Being where consumers want to buy insurance remains an important element of our growth strategy in
In addition, we are initiating sales campaigns around Aflac's 50th anniversary in
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With the launch of a new policy this quarter, Koide-san and his team are working hard to achieve that objective. In addition, we have maintained disciplined underwriting and expense management to continue driving strong pretax profit margin of 32.8%.
Turning to the
I believe that the need for the products we offer is as strong, or stronger, than it has ever been before in both Japan and
We have also continued our disciplined approach to expense management. We are beginning to see progress on our expense ratio as group life and disability and consumer markets continue to grow to scale. We are continuing to focus on optimizing our dental and vision platform, and expect to see stronger second half sales this year.
At the same time, we have maintained a strong pretax margin of 21%. Overall, I am very pleased with what Virgil and his team are doing to balance profitable growth, enhance the value proposition for our policyholders and curb the expense ratio.
I'd like to end on addressing our ongoing commitment to prudent liquidity and capital management. I am very pleased with how Max has led the team to take proactive steps in recent years to defend our cash flow and deployable capital against a weakening yen, as well as the establishment of our reinsurance platform in
As an insurance company, our primary responsibility is to fulfill the promises we make to our policyholders, while being responsive to the needs of our shareholders. We remain committed to maintaining strong capital ratios on behalf of our policyholders. We balance this financial strength with tactical capital deployment. We intend to continue prudently managing our liquidity and capital to preserve the strength of our capital and cash flows. This supports both our dividend track record and tactical share repurchase.
We treasure our track record of 41 consecutive years of dividend growth and remain committed to extending it. I am pleased that the Board set us on a path to continue this record when it increased the first quarter 2024 dividend 19% to
Our management team, employees and sales distribution continue to be dedicated stewards of our business, being there for our policyholders when they need us most - just as we promise. This underpins our goal of providing customers with the best value in supplemental insurance products in
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In 2024, we celebrate our 50th year of doing business in
We believe in the underlying strengths of our business and our potential for continued growth in
I will now tuthe program over to Max to cover more details of the financial results.
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Attachments
Disclaimer



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