Essent Group Ltd Q3 2024 Presentation
INVESTOR PRESENTATION 3Q24
NYSE:
Essent Is A Leading Mortgage Insurer
Company Overview
Essent Group Ltd. is aBermuda -based holding company that went public in 2013 and is traded on theNew York Stock Exchange (NYSE:ESNT ).- Two primary operating companies:
Essent Guaranty, Inc. (Radnor, PA ) andEssent Reinsurance Ltd. (Hamilton, Bermuda ). - Offers private mortgage insurance, reinsurance and title insurance and settlement services to serve the
U.S. housing finance industry. - Transformed primary MI business model from "Buy and Hold" to "Buy, Manage & Distribute" through use of programmatic reinsurance.
- Developed proprietary credit engine EssentEDGE®, a cloud-based platform that leverages machine learning for MI pricing and risk management.
Essent Guaranty, Inc. is rated A3 by Moody's, A (Excellent) by AM
Best, and A- by S&P.
Recent Developments
- Effective
July 1 st, we entered into an excess of loss transaction with a panel of third-party reinsurers covering 15% of all eligible 2024 NIW. - In September, we closed our 10th mortgage insurance linked note transaction, which provides
$363 million of collateralized reinsurance coverage for NIW fromJuly 2023 toJuly 2024 .
2Q24 |
3Q24 |
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Consolidated Financial Results |
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Net Income ($M) |
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Combined Ratio |
26.0% |
38.7% |
Annualized ROE |
15.4% |
12.8% |
Shareholders' Equity ($B) |
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IIF ($B) |
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NIW ($B) |
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Portfolio Default Rate |
1.71% |
1.95% |
PMIERs Sufficiency Ratio |
171% |
189% |
% IIF With Reinsurance Protection |
94% |
96% |
Risk-to-Capital Ratio(1) |
9.9:1 |
9.7:1 |
Capital Distribution To Shareholders
- In conjunction with our 3Q24 earnings release, we announced Board approval of a quarterly dividend of
$0.28 per common share, payable during 4Q24. - During the third quarter, we repurchased approximately 170 thousand common shares for
$9.6 million .
1 The combined risk-to-capital ratio equals the net risk in force of
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© 2024 |
Delivering Shareholder Value
BOOK VALUE PER SHARE GROWTH
Annualized growth rate of 18.8% since
Dec-13 |
Dec-14 |
Dec-15 |
Dec-16 |
Dec-17 |
Dec-18 |
Dec-19 |
Dec-20 |
Dec-21 |
Dec-22 |
Dec-23 |
Sep-24 |
Strong Cash Flows
& Earnings
Programmatic
Reinsurance
Protection
Steadily Increasing
Dividends
Management
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© 2024 |
Key Milestones in
Launch |
IPO |
Launch of |
First CRT |
EssentEDGE®EssentEDGE® |
Essent Title |
Inaugural Debt |
of |
Essent Re |
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Next Generation |
Offering |
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Guaranty |
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Essent Re |
A cloud-based |
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completes |
its first credit- |
launches |
title insurance |
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completes first |
proprietary credit |
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IPO; emerges |
risk transfer |
proprietary |
operations |
its inaugural |
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obtains GSE |
GSE risk share |
engine powered |
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as a key |
program |
innovative |
senior notes |
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approvals and |
deal and |
by machine |
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player in |
pricing |
offering of |
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writes first MI |
reinsures |
learning |
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future of MI |
platform |
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policy |
Guaranty |
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2010 |
2013 |
2014 |
2018 |
2019 |
2021 |
2023 |
2024 |
2009 |
2024+ |
25+ years Experienced Management Team
Essent Advantage |
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Strong |
Conservative |
Highly |
Efficient |
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Capital |
Financial |
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Operating |
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Position |
Leverage |
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Platform |
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Best in Class
Analytics &
Technologies
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© 2024 |
Industry Fundamentals
STABLE DEMAND OF FIRST-TIME HOMEBUYER POPULATION
Favorable demographic trends should continue to provide fundamental support to housing demand as the projected population of people in the average age range of a first-time homebuyer is forecasted to increase over the next 5+ years.
PERSISTENCY vs. 30-YEAR MORTGAGE RATE
MONTHS' SUPPLY OF HOUSING INVENTORY
Total housing inventory remains low at approximately 4 months, driven by existing home inventory pressures from various macro trends (e.g. reductions in supply from the "lock-in" effect of existing homeowners in low-rate mortgages).
Note: The months' supply is the ratio of houses for sale to houses sold.
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE vs. DEFAULT RATE
Our annual persistency has historically had a positive correlation with the quarterly average rate on a 30-year fixed rate mortgage, with periods of higher mortgage rates translating to higher persistency.
The default rate for mortgage insurers tends to have a positive correlation with the
Sources:
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© 2024 |
Buy, Manage & Distribute Operating Model
EssentEDGE® Enables Rapid Execution of Targeted Pricing Strategies
- Lender utilization continues to increase
- The latest generation of EssentEDGE® is a cloud-basedproprietary credit engine powered by machine learning techniques that utilizes 400+ attributes to generate an MI quote in ~3 seconds
- Differentiated pricing strategy to deliver borrowers our best price
Committed To Programmatic Reinsurance
- Buy, Manage & Distribute model mitigates franchise volatility during weak economic cycles, with 96% of IIF subject to reinsurance protection
- As of
September 30, 2024 ,Essent has ceded$8.6 billion of RIF through four quota share treaties to a panel of highly rated third-party reinsurers - As of
September 30, 2024 ,Essent has access to$1.7 billion in ILN/XOL reinsurance coverage
CREDIT RISK
TRANSFER (CRT)
Strong Operating Results
- Last Twelve Months Operating Cash Flow of
$850 million - Continue to focus on optimizing unit economics
- Credit quality of portfolio remains strong
- Efficient platform enables increased operating leverage and profitability
Fortifying Balance Sheet and Enhancing Financial Flexibility
As of
$5.6 billion in GAAP Equity- Ample liquidity with
$991 million net cash and investments available for sale at the holding companies - An additional
$500 million in undrawn capacity with our credit facility Debt-to-Capital of 8.1%
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© 2024 |
Credit Risk Transfer
Since
- Capital market investors viaten(1) Radnor Re Insurance-Linked Note (ILN) issuances
- Reinsurers viasix(1) Excess of Loss (XOL) reinsurance transactions
- Reinsurers viafour Quota Share (QS) reinsurance programs
As of 9/30/24, 96% of IIF is subject to reinsurance protection
Capital Markets |
Excess of Loss |
Quota Share |
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remaining risk in force in ILNs |
in risk limit reinsured by |
of RIF ceded to a panel of |
highly rated third-party |
highly rated third-party |
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sold to investors |
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reinsurers |
reinsurers |
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1) As of 9/30/24, we have 5 active ILN deals and 5 active XOL deals.
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© 2024 |
Essent Re
Essent Reinsurance Ltd. ("Essent Re") is aBermuda -based reinsurance company, rated A (Excellent) by AM Best and A- by S&P. AtSeptember 30, 2024 , Essent Re's GAAP equity was$1.8 billion .- Essent Re primarily focuses on three business lines:
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- Affiliate quota share to reinsure
Essent Guaranty and leverage ourBermuda platform - Third party reinsurance on GSE and other risks to access larger mortgage credit universe
- Managing
General Agent (MGA) to serve reinsurer clients and generate fee income
- Affiliate quota share to reinsure
Affiliate Quota Share |
Third Party Reinsurance |
MGA |
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Provide Quota Share reinsurance |
Active participant in GSE and other |
Offer underwriting and surveillance |
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to |
risk share business with |
services to reinsurers writing |
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In Force of |
billion Risk In Force |
mortgage risk |
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Third Party Premiums Earned & Risk In Force |
Total Equity $B |
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3Q23 |
4Q23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24 |
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3Q23 |
4Q23 |
1Q24 |
2Q24 |
3Q24 |
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3rd Party RIF $B |
3rd Party NPE $M |
GAAP Equity $B |
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© 2024 |
essentgroup.com | 9 |
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Investment Portfolio
As of
Portfolio by Asset Class |
Portfolio by Rating1 |
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Other Invested Assets 2 |
Non- |
Below Baa3 |
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Government |
1.5% |
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4.7% |
1.2% |
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Money |
Baa |
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11.3% |
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market |
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funds |
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Government |
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12.5% |
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and Agency |
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Debt |
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RMBS & |
28.2% |
Aaa |
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CMBS |
A |
49.2% |
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8.1% |
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25.7% |
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ABS 8.8%
Corporates |
Aa |
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Municipals |
27.3% |
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12.3% |
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9.2% |
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- Annualized yield for investments available for sale was 3.8% for 3Q24, up from 3.6% in 3Q23
- New money yield in 3Q24 of ~4.8%
- Other Invested Assets of
$295M invested across venture funds, PE and structured funds along with direct investments into several companies
- 99% of the portfolio is investment grade
- 62% of the portfolio has a credit rating of Aaa to Aa
- Based on ratings issued by Moody's, if available. S&P or Fitch rating utilized if Moody's not available. Credit rating is for the investments available for sale portfolio only and excludes money market funds and Other Invested Assets.
- Other Invested Assets includes limited partnership investments in real estate, consumer credit and traditional venture capital and private equity investments.
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© 2024 |
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