ENACT HOLDINGS, INC. – 10-K – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion and analysis of our consolidated financial condition and results of operations should be read in conjunction with our audited consolidated financial statements and related notes for the years endedDecember 31, 2021 , 2020 and 2019 included in Item 8 of this Annual Report. This discussion includes forward-looking statements and involves numerous risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from management's expectations, all of which may be exacerbated by COVID-19 and related developments. For factors that could cause such differences refer to the sections entitled "Cautionary Note Regarding Forward-Looking Statements" and "Item 1A. Risk Factors." We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or other statements we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward-looking statements or other statements were made. Future results could differ significantly from the historical results presented in this section. References to EHI, the "Company," "we" or "our" herein are, unless the context otherwise requires, to EHI on a consolidated basis.
Overview of Business
We are a leading private mortgage insurance company, having servedthe United States housing finance market since 1981, and operate in all 50 states and theDistrict of Columbia . Our mortgage insurance products provide credit protection to mortgage lenders, covering a portion of the unpaid principal balance of Low-Down Payment Loans in the event of a default. We believe we have built a leading platform based on long-tenured customer relationships, underwriting excellence and prudent risk and capital management practices. Our business objective is to leverage our competitive strengths to drive market share, maintain our strong capitalization and strong earnings profile and deliver attractive risk-adjusted returns to our stockholders. We generate revenues by providing mortgage credit protection to our customers in exchange for premiums, which we set based on our evaluation of the underlying risk we insure. Once the premium rate is established and coverage is activated, the premium rate remains unchanged for the first ten years of the policy; thereafter the premium rate resets to a lower rate used for the remaining life of the policy. In general, we can only cancel coverage for a failure to pay premiums or at servicer direction when the borrowers achieve the required amount of home equity. Our premium rate is applied predominantly to the original loan balance to determine either a monthly payment that the lender adds to the borrower's monthly loan payment or a single upfront payment made by either the borrower or lender at loan closing. The amount of premiums earned from our insurance portfolio and the timing of premium recognition are also affected by persistency, which we measure as the percentage of loans that remain on our books based on the annualized cancellations for the period. We also employ a CRT program to transfer a portion of our risk through both traditional XOL reinsurance arrangements and the issuance of MILNs. In exchange, we cede a negotiated amount of our premiums to the reinsurers and MILN investors that participate in our CRT transactions. Our net premiums earned (i.e., materially, the gross premiums charged less premiums ceded as part of our CRT program) represent the largest source of our revenues. Importantly, our CRT program helps to de-risk our operating model and spread the risk of loss across our counterparties while also providing capital relief. 81 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We also invest our premiums in high quality, predominantly fixed income assets with the primary business objectives of preserving capital, generating investment income and maintaining sufficient liquidity to cover our operating expenses and pay future claims. The investment income generated through our investment portfolio is another significant source of our revenues. We generate profits through collection of premiums less losses, operating expenses, interest expense and taxes. Our mortgage insurance coverage protects lenders against loss in the event of a borrower default by covering a portion of the outstanding principal balance of a loan. In the event of a borrower default, our coverage reduces and, in certain instances eliminates, losses to the insured by transferring the covered portion of the economic loss to us. Borrower defaults are first reported to us as new delinquencies when the borrower fails to make two consecutive monthly mortgage payments. Incurred losses are our estimate of future claims on these new delinquencies as well as any change in the prior estimates for previously existing delinquencies. In addition, incurred losses include estimates of future claims on incurred-but-not-reported ("IBNR") delinquencies. Our incurred losses are based on estimates of both the rate at which delinquencies will go to claim (i.e., claim rate) and the ultimate claim amount (i.e., claim severity). Claim frequency and severity estimates are established based on historical experience focusing on certain delinquency and loan attributes that influence the probability and amount of ultimate claim. Our estimates of ultimate claim amounts for each delinquency include loss adjustment expense ("LAE") that are costs incurred in the settlement of the claim process such as legal fees and costs to record, process and adjust claims. Incurred losses are generally affected by macroeconomic conditions, borrower credit quality, certain loan attributes, underwriting quality and our loss mitigation efforts among other factors detailed below.
Key Factors Affecting Our Results
Our financial position and results of operations depend to a significant extent on the following factors, each of which may be affected by COVID-19 as noted below in "-Trends and Conditions."
Mortgage Origination Volume
The level of mortgage origination volume is a key driver of our future revenues. The overall mortgage origination market is influenced by macroeconomic factors such as the rate of economic growth, the unemployment rate, interest rates, home affordability, household savings rates, the inventory of unsold homes, demographics of potential homebuyers and credit availability. The mortgage origination market is also influenced by various legislative and regulatory actions and GSE programs and policies that impact the housing and mortgage finance industries.
Penetration
The penetration rate of private mortgage insurance is mainly influenced by the competitiveness of private mortgage insurance compared to alternative products for Low-Down Payment Loans provided by government agencies (principally the FHA and theVA ), portfolio lenders that self-insure, reinsurers and capital market transactions designed to mitigate risk. In addition, the private mortgage insurance industry's penetration rate is driven by the relative percentage of purchase mortgage originations versus refinances. Private mortgage insurance penetration tends to be significantly higher on new mortgages for purchased homes than on the refinance of existing mortgages, because average LTV ratios are typically higher on home purchases and therefore are more likely to require mortgage insurance. Lastly, we believe the penetration rate of private mortgage insurance is influenced by other factors, including lender preference, FHA competitiveness and risk appetite, loan limits, contractual terms including cancellability and loss mitigation practices.
Credit and Regulatory Environment
The level of private mortgage insurance market penetration ("market
penetration") and eventual market size is affected in part by actions taken by
the GSEs and
82 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- actions have included announced changes, or potential changes, to underwriting standards, FHA pricing, GSE guaranty fees and loan limits, as well as low-down payment programs available through the FHA or GSEs.
Competition and Market Share
Competitors include other private mortgage insurers that are eligible to write business for the GSEs. We compete with other private mortgage insurers based on pricing, underwriting guidelines, customer relationships, service levels, policy terms, loss mitigation practices, perceived financial strength (including comparative credit ratings), reputation, strength of management, product features and technology ease-of-use. We also compete with governmental agencies (principally the FHA and theVA ) primarily based on price and underwriting guidelines. Pricing is highly competitive in the mortgage insurance industry, with industry participants competing for market share, customer relationships and overall value. Recent pricing trends have introduced an increasing number of loan, borrower, lender and property attributes, resulting in expanded granularity in pricing regimes and a shift from traditional published rate cards to dynamic pricing engines that better align price and risk. Our proprietary risk-based pricing engine evaluates returns and volatility under both the PMIERs capital framework and our internal economic capital framework, which is sensitive to economic cycles and current housing market conditions. The model assesses the performance of new business under expected and stress scenarios on an individualized loan basis, which is used to determine pricing and inform our risk selection strategy that optimizes economic value by balancing return and volatility. Seasonality Consistent with the seasonality of home sales, purchase mortgage origination volumes typically increase in late spring and peak during summer months, leading to a rise in NIW volume during the second and third quarters of a given year. Refinancing volume, however, does not follow a similar seasonal trend and instead is primarily influenced by interest rates, which can overwhelm typical seasonal trends. Delinquency performance (new delinquency formation and cure behavior) is generally favorable in the first and second quarters of the year. Therefore, we typically experience lower levels of losses resulting from favorable delinquency activity in the first and second quarters, as typically compared to the third and fourth quarters. As the COVID-19 pandemic andUnited States housing market continue to evolve, we may see varying levels of delinquencies and cures from period to period.
The following table presents our NIW, number of cures and new delinquencies for
primary policies, excluding our run-off insurance block with reference
properties in
Seasonality Three months ended
Mar 31 ,
(Dollar amounts in Millions)
2020 2020 2020 2020 2021 2021 Sep.30, 2021 Dec. 31, 2021 NIW$17,908 $28,396 $26,550 $27,017 $24,934 $26,657 $23,972 $21,441 % Change (1.4)% 58.6% (6.5)% 1.8% (7.7)% 6.9% (10.1)% (10.6)% Cure Counts 8,649 9,795 20,404 16,548 13,478 14,473 11,746 11,929 % Change 15.9% 13.3% 108.3% (18.9)% (18.6)% 7.4% (18.8)% 1.6% New Delinquency Count 8,114 48,373 16,664 11,923 10,053 6,862 7,427 8,282 % Change (6.3)% 496.2% (65.6)% (28.5)% (15.7)% (31.7)% 8.2% 11.5% NIW
NIW occurs when a lender activates mortgage insurance coverage on a closed
mortgage loan. NIW increases our IIF, premiums written and premiums earned. NIW
is affected by the overall size of the mortgage origination market, the
penetration rate of private mortgage insurance into the overall mortgage
origination market and our market share of the private mortgage insurance
market.
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Pricing
Our pricing strategy is designed to charge premium rates commensurate with the underlying risk of each loan we insure. Our proprietary platform provides us with a more flexible, granular and analytical approach to selecting and pricing risk. Using our platform, we can quickly change price to modify our risk selection levels, respond to industry pricing trends or adjust to changing economic conditions. We believe that our platform, powered by our proprietary risk model and our understanding of mortgage risk volatility, provides us with a highly sophisticated pricing regime that improves our risk selection and is designed to yield attractive risk adjusted returns through credit cycles.
IIF
IIF at the time of origination is used to determine premiums as the premium rate is expressed as a percentage of IIF. IIF is one of the primary drivers of our future earned premium. Based on the composition of our insurance portfolio, with monthly premium policies comprising a larger proportion of our total portfolio than single premium policies, an increase or decrease in IIF generally has a corresponding impact on premiums earned. Cancellations of our insurance policies as a result of prepayments and other reductions of IIF, such as rescissions of coverage and claims paid, generally have a negative effect on premiums earned.
Persistency Rate and Business Mix
The percentage of IIF that remains insured by us after taking into account
annualized cancellations for the period presented is defined as our persistency
rate. Because our insurance premiums are earned over the life of a policy,
higher or lower persistency rates can have a significant impact on our
profitability.
Loan prepayment speeds and the relative mix of business between single premium policies and monthly premium policies also impact our profitability. Assuming all other factors remain constant over the life of the policies, prepayment speeds have an inverse impact on IIF and the expected premium from our monthly policies. Slower prepayment speeds, demonstrated by a higher persistency rate, result in IIF remaining in place, providing increased premium from monthly policies over time as premium payments continue. Earlier than anticipated prepayments, demonstrated by a lower persistency rate, reduce IIF and the premium from our monthly policies. The following table presents the weighted average mortgage interest rate on outstanding primary IIF as ofDecember 31, 2021 , excluding our run-off business. Prepayment speeds may be affected by changes in interest rates, among other factors. An increasing interest rate environment generally will reduce refinancing activity and result in lower prepayments. A declining interest rate environment generally will increase refinancing activity and increase prepayments. 84 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Weighted
average
Policy Year rate (1)
2004 and prior 6.20 %
2005 to 2008 5.58 %
2009 to 2013 4.32 %
2014 4.49 %
2015 4.17 %
2016 3.89 %
2017 4.26 %
2018 4.78 %
2019 4.20 %
2020 3.23 %
2021 3.08 %
Total portfolio 3.52 %
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(1)Average Annual Mortgage Interest Rate weighted by IIF.
In contrast to monthly premium policies, when single premium policies are cancelled by the insured because the loan has been paid off or otherwise, any remaining unearned premiums are earned at cancellation. Although these cancellations reduce IIF, assuming all other factors remain constant, the profitability of our single premium business increases when persistency rates are lower. As ofDecember 31, 2021 and 2020, single premium policies comprised 13% and 15% of primary IIF, respectively.
Credit Quality
Improved analytics, stronger loan manufacturing quality controls and the regulatory implementation of the QM Rule have resulted in a significant improvement in the credit quality for loans originated in the private mortgage insurance market over time. Additionally, private mortgage insurers and the GSEs have maintained strong credit standards over the past decade, with average FICO scores for NIW persisting at levels significantly above historical averages. As a result, the industry is insuring loans from borrowers who should be better positioned to meet their mortgage obligations. More recently, in response to FTHB demand, there has been modest credit expansion that accommodates LTV over 95% and higher DTI ratios. Even after this expansion, private mortgage insurers and the GSEs have maintained strong credit standards well above historical norms.
Net Investment Income
Net investment income is determined primarily by the invested assets held and
the average yield on our overall investment portfolio.
Net Investment Gains (Losses)
The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the activity is highly discretionary based on such factors as market opportunities, our capital profile and overall market cycles that impact the timing of selling securities.
Losses Incurred
Losses incurred represent current payments and changes in the estimated future
payments on claims that result from delinquent loans. We estimate an expense
only for delinquent loans as explained in Note
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2 to our consolidated financial statements. Incurred losses depend to a
significant extent on the following factors, each of which in turn may be
affected by COVID-19 as noted below in "-Trends and Conditions."
•deterioration of regional or national economic conditions leading to a
reduction in borrowers' income and thus their ability to make mortgage payments;
•legislative, regulatory, FHFA or GSE action, or executive orders permitting or mandating forbearance or a moratorium on foreclosures or evictions due to events such as natural disasters or COVID-19; •a drop in housing values that could expose us to greater loss on resale of properties obtained through foreclosure proceedings and an adverse change in the effectiveness of loss mitigation actions that could result in an increase in the frequency of expected claim rates;
•a drop in housing values that negatively impacts a borrower's willingness to
continue mortgage payments, potentially leading to higher delinquencies and
ultimately claims;
•if the foreclosure occurs in a state that imposes judicial process, which
generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be
completed, which impacts severity of the claim;
•the credit characteristics in our in-force portfolio, as loans with higher risk
characteristics generally result in more delinquencies and claims;
•the size of loans we insure, as loans with relatively higher average loan
amounts generally result in higher incurred losses;
•the coverage percentage on insured loans, as loans with higher percentages of
insurance coverage generally correlate with higher incurred losses;
•the level and amount of reinsurance coverage maintained with third parties; and
•the distribution of claims over the life of a book. Historically, the first few years after origination have relatively low claims, with claims increasing for several years subsequently and then declining. However, persistency, the condition of the economy, including unemployment and housing prices and other factors can affect this pattern.
Credit Risk Transfer
We use CRT transactions to transfer a portion of our risk to third parties, through both traditional XOL reinsurance and the issuance of MILNs. Our CRT program reduces the volatility of our in-force portfolio and provides capital relief under PMIERs. When we enter into a CRT transaction, the reinsurer receives a premium and, in exchange, insures an agreed upon portion of incurred losses. These arrangements have the impact of reducing our earned premiums but also provide capital relief under PMIERs in exchange for a negotiated ceded premium rate. Under certain stress scenarios, our incurred losses are also reduced by any incurred losses ceded in accordance with our reinsurance agreements.
Operating Expenses
Our operating expenses include costs related to the acquisition and ongoing
maintenance of our insurance contracts, including sales, underwriting and
general operating costs. Acquisition expenses are influenced by the amount of
our NIW. Acquisition costs that are related directly to the successful
acquisition of new insurance policies, such as underwriting expenses, are
deferred and amortized over the life of the underlying insurance policies. These
deferred acquisition costs are referred to as "DAC." The ongoing maintenance
expenses of our insurance contracts are generally fixed in nature and include
costs such as information technology, finance and legal, among others, including
costs allocated from our Parent for certain activities on our behalf. See Note
11 to our consolidated financial statements regarding our related party
transactions.
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Critical Accounting Estimates
The accounting estimates (including sensitivities) discussed in this section are those that we consider to be particularly critical to an understanding of our consolidated financial statements because their application places the most significant demands on our ability to judge the effect of inherently uncertain matters on our financial results. The sensitivities included in this section involve matters that are also inherently uncertain and involve the exercise of significant judgment in selecting the factors and amounts used in the sensitivities. Small changes in the amounts used in the sensitivities or the use of different factors could result in materially different outcomes from those reflected in the sensitivities. For all of these accounting estimates, we caution that future events seldom develop as estimated and management's best estimates often require adjustment.
Loss Reserves
Loss reserves represents the amount needed to provide for the estimated ultimate
cost of settling claims relating to insured events that have occurred on or
before the end of the respective reporting period. The estimated liability
includes requirements for future payments of: (a) losses that have been reported
to the insurer; (b) losses related to insured events that have occurred but that
have not been reported to the insurer as of the date the liability is estimated;
and (c) loss adjustment expenses ("LAE"). Loss adjustment expenses include costs
incurred in the claim settlement process such as legal fees and costs to record,
process and adjust claims. Consistent with U.S. GAAP and industry accounting
practices, we do not establish loss reserves for future claims on insured loans
that are not in default or believed to be in default.
Estimates and actuarial assumptions used for establishing loss reserves involve
the exercise of significant judgment, and changes in assumptions or deviations
of actual experience from assumptions can have material impacts on our loss
reserves and net income (loss). Because these assumptions relate to factors that
are not known in advance, change over time, are difficult to accurately predict
and are inherently uncertain, we cannot determine with precision the ultimate
amounts we will pay for actual claims or the timing of those payments. The
sources of uncertainty affecting the estimates are numerous and include factors
internal and external to us. Internal factors include, but are not limited to,
changes in the mix of exposures, loss mitigation activities and claim settlement
practices. Significant external influences include changes in home prices,
unemployment, government housing policies, state foreclosure timeline, general
economic conditions, interest rates, tax policy, credit availability and
mortgage products. Small changes in assumptions or small deviations of actual
experience from assumptions can have, and in the past have had, material impacts
on our reserves, results of operations and financial condition.
We establish reserves to recognize the estimated liability for losses and LAE
related to defaults on insured mortgage loans. Loss reserves are established by
estimating the number of loans in our inventory of delinquent loans that will
result in a claim payment, which is referred to as the claim rate, and further
estimating the amount of the claim payment, which is referred to as claim
severity. The estimates are determined using a factor-based approach, in which
assumptions of claim rates for loans in default and the average amount paid for
loans that result in a claim are calculated using traditional actuarial
techniques. Over time, as the status of the underlying delinquent loans moves
toward foreclosure and the likelihood of the associated claim loss increases,
the amount of the loss reserves associated with the potential claims may also
increase.
Management monitors actual experience, and where circumstances warrant, will
revise its assumptions. Our liability for loss reserves is reviewed regularly,
with changes in our estimates of future claims recorded through net income.
Estimation of losses are based on historical claim and cure experience and
covered exposures and is inherently judgmental. Future developments may result
in losses greater or less than the liability for loss reserves provided.
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Loss reserves as of December 31, 2021 , were $641 million , an increase of $86
million since December 31, 2020 . In considering the potential sensitivity of the
factors underlying management's best estimate of our loss reserve, it is
possible that even a relatively small change in the estimated claim and severity
rates could have a significant impact on loss reserves and, correspondingly, on
results of operations. For example, based on our actual experience during the
three-year period immediately preceding December 31, 2021 , a change of 6
percentage points, or 16%, in the average claim rate would change the gross loss
reserve amount for such quarter by approximately $95 million . Likewise, a change
of 4 percentage points, or a change of 4%, in the average severity rate would
change the gross loss reserve amount for such quarter by approximately $24
million .
Investments
Valuation of
Our portfolio of fixed maturity securities was valued at
The methodologies, estimates and assumptions used in valuing our fixed maturity securities evolve over time and are subject to different interpretations, all of which can lead to materially different estimates of fair value. Additionally, because the valuation is based on market conditions at a specific point in time, the period-to-period changes in fair value may vary significantly due to changing interest rates, external macroeconomic and credit market conditions. For example, widening credit spreads will generally result in a decrease, while tightening of credit spreads will generally result in an increase, in the fair value of our fixed maturity securities. As well, during periods of increasing interest rates, the market values of lower-yielding assets will decline. See "Item 7A-Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk-Sensitivity Analysis-Interest Rate Risk" for the impact of hypothetical changes in interest rates on our investments portfolio. Our portfolio of fixed maturity securities comprises primarily investment grade securities, which are carried at fair value. Estimates of fair values for fixed maturity securities are obtained primarily from industry-standard pricing methodologies utilizing market observable inputs. For our less liquid securities, such as our privately placed securities, we utilize independent market data to employ alternative valuation methods commonly used in the financial services industry to estimate fair value. Based on the market observability of the inputs used in estimating the fair value, the pricing level is assigned.
See Notes 2, 3 and 4 to our consolidated financial statements for additional
information related to the valuation of fixed maturity securities and a
description of the fair value measurement estimates and level assignments.
Allowance for Credit Losses on
As of each balance sheet date, we evaluate fixed maturity securities in an unrealized loss position for changes to the allowance for credit losses. Determining the value of the unrealized losses is dependent on the same methodologies and assumptions used in our valuation of fixed maturity securities. We also consider all available information relevant to the collectability of the security, including information about past events, current conditions and reasonable and supportable forecasts, when developing the estimate of cash flows expected to be collected. There is no recorded allowance for credit losses on available-for-sale securities as ofDecember 31, 2021 .
See Note 2 and 3 to our consolidated financial statements for additional
information related to the allowance for credit losses on fixed maturity
securities.
Investment in Unconsolidated Affiliate
Prior to
outstanding common shares of
publicly traded company on the
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Genworth Canada primarily due to board representation, and therefore, classified
our investment in Genworth Canada as an equity method investment.
We elected to account for the investment in Genworth Canada under the fair value option because the investment had a readily determinable fair value. Accordingly, the investment was recorded at fair value, and changes in the fair value of the investment for each reporting period were recorded in the consolidated statements of income. The change in fair value of the investment in Genworth Canada, including dividends and the sale of common shares, was$127.4 million in 2019 and was included within change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate in the consolidated statements of income, net of provision for income taxes of$12.1 million in 2019. OnDecember 12, 2019 , we completed the sale of our investment in Genworth Canada to an affiliate of Brookfield Business Partners L.P. and received approximately$501.8 million in net cash proceeds.
Revenue Recognition
The majority of our insurance contracts have recurring monthly premiums. We recognize recurring premiums over the terms of the related insurance policy on a pro-rata basis. Premiums written on single premium policies and annual premium policies are initially deferred as unearned premium reserve and earned over the policy life. A portion of the revenue from single premium policies is recognized in premiums earned in the current period, and the remaining portion is deferred as unearned premiums and earned over the estimated expiration of risk of the policy. If single premium policies are cancelled and the premium is non-refundable, then the remaining unearned premium related to each cancelled policy is recognized to earned premiums upon notification of the cancellation. For borrower-paid mortgage insurance, coverage ceases at the earlier of prepayment, or when the original principal is amortized to a 78% loan-to-value ratio in accordance with the Homeowners Protection Act of 1998. Variation in cancellation rates and projected losses are inputs into our premium recognition models, causing uncertainty within our estimates. We periodically review our premium earnings recognition models with any adjustments to the estimates reflected as a cumulative adjustment on a retrospective basis in current period net income. These reviews include the consideration of recent and projected loss and policy cancellation experience, and adjustments to the estimated earnings patterns are made, if warranted. In 2019, the review resulted in an increase in earned premiums of$13.7 million . Unearned premium was$246 million as ofDecember 31, 2021 , a decrease of$61 million compared toDecember 31, 2020 . Changes in market conditions could cause a decline in mortgage originations, mortgage insurance penetration rates, persistency and our market share, all of which could impact new insurance written. For example, a decline in primary new insurance written of$1.0 billion would result in a reduction in earned premiums of approximately$4 million in the first full year. Likewise, if primary persistency rates declined on our existing insurance in-force by 10%, earned premiums would decline by approximately$88 million during the first full year, partially offset by higher policy cancellations in our single premium products. These reductions in earned premiums could be potentially offset by lower reserves due to policies no longer being in-force. 89
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Trends and Conditions
The United States economy and consumer confidence continued to improve during 2021. The unemployment rate has continued to decrease since the beginning of the pandemic and was 3.9% inDecember 2021 . While this is elevated compared to the pre-pandemic level of 3.5% inFebruary 2020 , it has steadily decreased from a peak of 14.8% inApril 2020 . Even after the continued recovery in 2021, the number of unemployed Americans stands at approximately 6.3 million, which is 0.6 million higher than inFebruary 2020 . Among the unemployed, those on temporary layoff continued to decrease to 0.8 million from a peak of 18 million inApril 2020 , and the number of permanent job losses decreased to approximately 1.7 million. In addition, the number of long term unemployed over 26 weeks has continued to decrease sinceMarch 2021 , falling to approximately 2.0 million inDecember 2021 . Mortgage origination activity remained robust, fueled by strong home sales and refinancing, and home prices continued to climb, increasing our average loan amount on new insurance written to$305 thousand for 2021 from$276 thousand for the year. Interest rates remained low throughout 2021, but they ended the year slightly higher than 2020. Housing affordability declined as ofNovember 2021 compared to one year ago due to rising home prices modestly offset by the low interest rate environment and rising median family income according to theNational Association of Realtors Housing Affordability Index , but it remains above a level that a family with a median income can afford a median-priced home. FHFA and the GSEs are focused on increasing the accessibility and affordability of homeownership, in particular for low- and moderate-income borrowers and underserved minority communities. Among other things, FHFA directed the GSEs to submit Equitable Housing Plans by the end of 2021 to identify and address barriers to sustainable housing opportunities to advance equity in housing finance. Any new practices or programs subsequently implemented under the GSEs' Equitable Housing Plans or other affordability initiatives may impact the fees, underwriting and servicing standards on mortgage loans purchased by the GSEs. InJanuary 2022 , the FHFA introduced new upfront fees for some high-balance and second-home loans sold to Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Upfront fees for high balance loans will increase between 0.25% and 0.75%, tiered by loan-to-value ratio. For second home loans, the upfront fees will increase between 1.125% and 3.875%, also tiered by loan-to-value ratio. The new pricing framework will take effectApril 1, 2022 . We do not anticipate this will significantly impact the mortgage insurance market or our growth projections. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security ("CARES") Act requires mortgage servicers to provide up to 180 days of forbearance for borrowers with a federally backed mortgage loan who assert they have experienced a financial hardship related to COVID-19. Forbearance may be extended for an additional 180 days up to a year in total or shortened at the request of the borrower. In addition, onFebruary 25, 2021 , the FHFA announced that borrowers with a mortgage backed by the GSEs who are in an active COVID-19 forbearance plan as ofFebruary 28, 2021 , may request up to two additional forbearance extensions for a maximum of 18 months of total forbearance relief. In addition, the CARES Act provides that furnishers of credit reporting information, including servicers, should continue to report a loan as current to credit reporting agencies if the loan is subject to a payment accommodation, such as forbearance, so long as the borrower abides by the terms of the accommodation. Servicer reported forbearance slowed meaningfully beginning inJune 2020 and ended 2021 with approximately 2.3% or 21,899 of our active primary policies reported in a forbearance plan, of which approximately 47% were reported as delinquent. It is difficult to predict the future level of reported forbearance and how many of the policies in a forbearance plan that remain current on their monthly mortgage payment will go delinquent. The foreclosure moratorium for mortgages that are purchased by the GSEs expired onJuly 31, 2021 . However, onJune 28, 2021 theConsumer Financial Protection Bureau ("CFPB") issued a final rule to amend Regulation X of the Real Estate Settlement Procedures Act effectiveAugust 31, 2021 , to assist mortgage borrowers affected by the COVID-19 emergency. The final rule establishes temporary 90 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- procedural changes that require a loss mitigation review prior to a servicer's first notice or foreclosure filing on certain mortgages. OnJune 29, 2021 , the FHFA announced that servicers were immediately prohibited from making a first notice or foreclosure filing for mortgages backed by the GSEs before they were formally prohibited by the CFPB Regulation X Final Rule that took effect onAugust 31, 2021 . These announcements generally prohibited servicers from starting foreclosures on mortgages purchased by the GSEs until afterDecember 31, 2021 . The pandemic continued to affect our financial results in 2021 but to a lesser extent than in 2020 as we experienced elevated, but declining, servicer reported forbearance. New delinquencies decreased during 2021, and the annual new delinquency rate of 3.5% in 2021 was consistent with pre-pandemic levels. Despite continued economic recovery through 2021, the full impact of COVID-19 and its ancillary economic effects on our future business results are difficult to predict. Given the maximum length of forbearance plans, the resolution of a delinquency in a plan may not be known for several quarters. While we continue to monitor regulatory and government actions and the resolution of forbearance delinquencies, it is possible the pandemic could have a significant adverse impact on our future results of operations and financial condition. Private mortgage insurance market penetration ("market penetration") and eventual market size are affected in part by actions that impact housing or housing finance policy taken by the GSEs and theU.S. government, including but not limited to, theFederal Housing Administration ("FHA") and the FHFA. In the past, these actions have included announced changes, or potential changes, to underwriting standards, including changes to the GSEs' automated underwriting systems, FHA pricing, GSE guaranty fees, loan limits and alternative products. OnDecember 17, 2020 , the FHFA published the Enterprise Capital Framework, which includes significantly higher regulatory capital requirements for the GSEs over current requirements. However, onSeptember 15, 2021 , the FHFA announced a Notice of Proposed Rulemaking to amend the Enterprise Capital Framework, including technical corrections to provisions that were published onDecember 17, 2020 . Higher GSE capital requirements could ultimately lead to increased costs to borrowers of GSE loans, which in turn could shift the market away from the GSEs to the FHA or lender portfolios. Such a shift could result in a smaller market for private mortgage insurance. In conjunction with preparing to release the GSEs from conservatorship, onJanuary 14, 2021 , the FHFA and theTreasury Department agreed to amend the Preferred Stock Purchase Agreements ("PSPAs") between theTreasury Department and each of the GSEs to increase the amount of capital each GSE may retain. Among other things, the amendments to the PSPAs limit the number of certain mortgages the GSEs may acquire with two or more prescribed risk factors, including certain mortgages with combined loan-to-value ("LTV") ratios above 90%. However, onSeptember 14, 2021 , theFHFA and Treasury Department suspended certain provisions of the amendments to the PSPAs, including the limit on the number of mortgages with two or more risk factors that the GSEs may acquire. Such suspensions terminate on the later of one year afterSeptember 14, 2021 , or six months after theTreasury Department notifies the GSEs of termination. The limit on the number of mortgages with two or more risk factors was based on the market size at the time, and we do not expect any material impact to the private mortgage market in the near term. TheCFPB's Qualified Mortgage ("QM") regulations also include a temporary category (the "QM Patch") for mortgages that comply with certain prohibitions and limitations and meet the GSE underwriting and product guidelines. Mortgages that meet certain requirements are deemed to be QMs until the earlier of the time in which the GSEs exit the FHFA conservatorship or the mandatory compliance date of the final amendments to theCFPB rule defining what constitutes a QM (the "QM Rule"). OnApril 27, 2021 , theCFPB promulgated a final rule delaying the mandatory compliance date of the amended QM Rule untilOctober 1, 2022 . As provided under the final rule, the prior 43% debt-to-income-based QM Rule definition, the new price-based average prime offer rate ("APOR") definition and the QM Patch will all remain available to lenders for loan applications received prior toOctober 1, 2022 . However, onApril 8, 2021 , the GSEs issued notices stating that due to the requirements of the PSPAs they would only acquire loans that meet the new price-based APOR definition set forth under the amended QM Rule for 91
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- applications received on or afterJuly 1, 2021 . We believe that loans which previously qualified under the 43% Debt-to-Income ("DTI") based QM Rule definition and the QM Patch will continue to qualify under the new price-based APOR definition, and therefore, we expect little impact from this change. For more information about the potential future impact, see "Item 1A. Risk Factors-Risks Relating to Our Business-Changes to the charters or practices of the GSEs, including actions or decisions to decrease or discontinue the use of mortgage insurance, could adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition" and "Item 1A. Risk Factors-Risks Relating to Our Business-The amount of mortgage insurance we write could decline significantly if alternatives to private mortgage insurance are used or lower coverage levels of mortgage insurance are selected".
New insurance written of
primarily due to lower estimated private mortgage insurance market in the
current year. The year-over-year decrease in estimated private mortgage
insurance available market was primarily driven by lower refinance originations.
Our primary persistency increased to 62% during 2021 compared to 59% during 2020
but remained below historic levels of approximately 80%. The increase in
persistency was primarily driven by a decline in the percentage of our in-force
policies with mortgage rates above current mortgage rates. Low persistency has
impacted business performance trends in several ways including, but not limited
to, offsetting insurance in-force growth from new insurance written,
accelerating the recognition of earned premiums due to single premium policy
cancellations, accelerating the amortization of our existing reinsurance
transactions reducing their associated Private Mortgage Insurer Eligibility
Requirements ("PMIERs") capital credit and shifting the concentration of our
primary IIF to more recent years of policy origination. As of December 31, 2021 ,
our primary insurance in-force has approximately 5% concentration in 2014 and
prior book years. More specifically, our 2005 through 2008 book year
concentration is approximately 3%. In contrast, our 2020 book year represents
31% of our primary insurance in-force concentration while our 2021 book year is
40% as of December 31, 2021 .
The U.S. private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive. Our market
share is influenced by the execution of our go to market strategy, including but
not limited to, pricing competitiveness relative to our peers and our selective
participation in forward commitment transactions. Since our IPO, we have held
discussions with customers that in recent years, have not sent us new business.
During the fourth quarter of 2021, we reactivated our relationship with a key
customer, and we continued to deepen existing relationships and develop new
ones. We continue to manage the quality of new business through pricing and our
underwriting guidelines, which are modified from time to time when circumstances
warrant. We see the market and underwriting conditions, including the pricing
environment, as being well within our risk adjusted return appetite enabling us
to write new business at attractive returns. Ultimately, we expect our new
insurance written with its strong credit profile and attractive pricing to
positively contribute to our future profitability and return on equity.
Net earned premiums increased in 2021 compared to 2020 primarily from insurance
in force growth, partially offset by the continued lapse of older, higher priced
policies, a decrease in single premium cancellations and higher ceded premiums
as the use of credit risk transfer increased in 2021. The total number of
delinquent loans has declined from the COVID-19 peak in the second quarter of
2020 but remains elevated compared to pre-COVID-19 levels. During this time and
consistent with prior years, servicers continued the practice of remitting
premiums during the early stages of default. Additionally, we have a business
practice of refunding the post-delinquent premiums to the insured party if the
delinquent loan goes to claim. We record a liability and a reduction to net
earned premiums for the post-delinquent premiums we expect to refund. The
post-delinquent premium liability recorded since the beginning of COVID-19 in
the second quarter of 2020 through 2021 was not significant to the change in
earned premiums for those periods as a result of the high concentration of new
delinquencies being subject to a servicer reported forbearance plan and the
lower estimated rate at which delinquencies go to claim ("claim rate") for these
loans. As a result of COVID-19, certain state insurance regulators required or
requested the provision of grace periods of varying lengths to insureds in the
event of non-payment of premium. Regulators differed greatly in their approaches
but generally focused on the avoidance of
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cancellation of coverage for non-payment. While most of these requirements and
requests have lapsed, it is possible that some or all of them could be re-issued
in the event of declarations of new states of emergency that might result from
worsening pandemic conditions. We currently comply with all state regulatory
requirements. If timely payment is not made, future premiums could decrease and
the certificate of insurance could be subject to cancellation after 60 days, or
such longer time as required under applicable law.
Our loss reserves continue to be impacted by COVID-19. Borrowers who have
experienced a financial hardship including, but not limited to, the loss of
income due to the closing of a business or the loss of a job, have taken
advantage of available forbearance programs and payment deferral options. During
the peak of the pandemic, we experienced elevated new delinquencies subject to
forbearance plans which may ultimately cure at a higher rate than traditional
delinquencies. Unlike a hurricane where the natural disaster occurs at a point
in time and the rebuild starts soon after, COVID-19 brought ongoing displacement
to the mortgage insurance market, making it more difficult to determine the
effectiveness of forbearance and the resulting claim rates for new delinquencies
in forbearance plans. Given this difference, we initially leveraged our prior
hurricane experience and have recently layered in cure activity from COVID-19
related delinquencies as considerations in the establishment of an appropriate
claim rate estimate for new delinquencies in forbearance plans that have emerged
as a result of COVID-19. Approximately 42% of our primary new delinquencies in
2021 were subject to a forbearance plan as compared to 66% in 2020 and less than
5% in recent quarters prior to COVID-19.
The severity of loss on loans that do go to claim may be negatively impacted by
the extended forbearance timeline, the associated elevated expenses and the
higher loan amount of the recent new delinquencies. These negative influences on
loss severity could be mitigated, in part, by further home price appreciation.
For loans insured on or after October 1, 2014 , our mortgage insurance policies
limit the number of months of unpaid interest and associated expenses that are
included in the mortgage insurance claim amount to a maximum of 36 months.
Our loss ratio for the year ended December 31, 2021 , was 13% as compared to 39%
for the year ended December 31, 2020 . The decrease was largely from lower new
delinquencies from the improving economy and net favorable reserve adjustments
related to pre-COVID-19 delinquencies in 2021 compared to reserve strengthening
in 2020. New primary delinquencies were 32,624 in 2021 compared 85,074 in 2020.
We recorded $65 million of reserve strengthening in 2020 primarily driven by the
deterioration of early cure emergence patterns impacting claim frequency along
with a modest increase in claim severity while releasing reserves of $22 million
in 2021. In determining the loss expense estimate during 2021, considerations
were given to forbearance and non-forbearance delinquencies, recent cure and
claim experience and the ongoing economic impact due to the pandemic.
GMICO's risk-to-capital ratio under the current regulatory framework as
established under North Carolina law and enforced by the NCDOI, GMICO's domestic
insurance regulator, was approximately 12.3 as of December 31, 2021 and 2020.
GMICO's risk-to-capital ratio remains below the NCDOI's maximum risk-to-capital
ratio of 25:1. North Carolina's calculation of risk-to-capital excludes the
risk-in-force for delinquent loans given the established loss reserves against
all delinquencies. GMICO's ongoing risk-to-capital ratio will depend principally
on the magnitude of future losses incurred by GMICO, the effectiveness of
ongoing loss mitigation activities, new business volume and profitability, the
amount of policy lapses and the amount of additional capital that is generated
or distributed by the business or capital support provided.
Under PMIERs, we are subject to operational and financial requirements that
private mortgage insurers must meet in order to remain eligible to insure loans
that are purchased by the GSEs. During 2020, the GSEs issued several amendments
to PMIERs. The December 4, 2020 , version extended the application of reduced
PMIERs capital factors to each non-performing loan that had an initial missed
monthly payment occurring on or after March 1, 2020 and prior to April 1, 2021 ,
and extended the capital preservation period from March 31, 2021 , to June 30,
2021 . On June 30, 2021 , the GSEs issued a revised and restated version of the
PMIERs Amendment that replaced the version issued on December 4 ,
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2020. The June 30, 2021 , version allows loans that enter a forbearance plan due
to a COVID-19 hardship on or after April 1, 2021 , to remain eligible for
extended application of the reduced PMIERs capital factor for as long as the
loan remained in forbearance. The June 30, 2021 , version also extended the
capital preservation period through December 31, 2021 , with certain exceptions,
as described below.
The PMIERs Amendment implemented both permanent and temporary revisions to
PMIERs. For loans that became non-performing due to a COVID-19 hardship, PMIERs
was temporarily amended with respect to each non-performing loan that (i) had an
initial missed monthly payment occurring on or after March 1, 2020 , and prior to
April 1, 2021 , or (ii) is subject to a forbearance plan granted in response to a
financial hardship related to COVID-19, the terms of which are materially
consistent with terms of forbearance plans offered by the GSEs. The risk-based
required asset amount factor for the non-performing loan will be the greater of
(a) the applicable risk-based required asset amount factor for a performing loan
were it not delinquent, and (b) the product of a 0.30 multiplier and the
applicable risk-based required asset amount factor for a non-performing loan. In
the case of (i) above, absent the loan being subject to a forbearance plan
described in (ii) above, the 0.30 multiplier will be applicable for no longer
than three calendar months beginning with the month in which the loan became a
non-performing loan due to having missed two monthly payments. Loans subject to
a forbearance plan described in (ii) above include those that are either in a
repayment plan or loan modification trial period following the forbearance plan
unless reported to the approved insurer that the loan is no longer in such
forbearance plan, repayment plan, or loan modification trial period. The PMIERs
Amendment also imposed temporary capital preservation provisions through
December 31, 2021 , that require an approved insurer to meet certain PMIERs
minimum required assets buffers (150% in the third quarter of 2021 and 115% in
the fourth quarter of 2021) or otherwise obtain prior written GSE approval
before paying any dividends, pledging or transferring assets to an affiliate or
entering into any new, or altering any existing, arrangements under tax sharing
and intercompany expense-sharing agreements, even if such insurer had a surplus
of available assets. In addition, the PMIERs Amendment imposes permanent
revisions to the risk-based required asset amount factor for non-performing
loans for properties located in future Federal Emergency Management Agency
Declared Major Disaster Areas eligible for individual assistance.
In September 2020 , subsequent to the issuance of Enact Holdings' senior notes
due in 2025, the GSEs imposed certain restrictions (the "GSE Restrictions") with
respect to capital on our business. In May 2021 , in connection with their
conditional approval of the then potential partial sale of Enact Holdings , the
GSEs confirmed the GSE Restrictions will remain in effect until the following
collective conditions ("GSE Conditions") are met: (a) GMICO obtains
"BBB+"/"Baa1" (or higher) rating from S&P, Moody's or Fitch Ratings, Inc. for
two consecutive quarters and (b) Genworth achieves certain financial metrics.
Prior to the satisfaction of the GSE Conditions, the GSE Restrictions require:
•GMICO to maintain 115% of PMIERs minimum required assets through 2021, 120%
during 2022 and 125% thereafter;
•Enact Holdings to retain$300 million of net proceeds from the 2025 Senior Notes offering that can be drawn down exclusively for debt service of those notes or to contribute to GMICO to meet its regulatory capital needs including PMIERs; and
•written approval must be received from the GSEs prior to any additional debt
issuance by either GMICO or
Until the GSE Conditions imposed in connection with the GSE Restrictions are met,Enact Holdings' liquidity must not fall below 13.5% of its outstanding debt. In addition, Fannie Mae agreed to reconsider the GSE Restrictions if Genworth were to own 50% or less ofEnact Holdings at any point prior to their expiration. We understand that Genworth's current plans do not include a potential sale in which Genworth owns less than 80% ofEnact Holdings . The current balance of the 2025 Senior Notes proceeds required to be held by our holding company is approximately$252 million . 94 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As ofDecember 31, 2021 , we had estimated available assets of$5,077 million against$3,074 million net required assets under PMIERs compared to available assets of$4,588 million against$3,359 million net required assets as ofDecember 31, 2020 . The sufficiency ratio as ofDecember 31, 2021 , was 165% or$2,003 million above the published PMIERs requirements, compared to 137% or$1,229 million above the published PMIERs requirements as ofDecember 31, 2020 . PMIERs sufficiency is based on the published requirements applicable to private mortgage insurers and does not give effect to the GSE Restrictions imposed on our business. The increase in the PMIERs sufficiency was driven by CRT transactions. During 2021, we executed a series of credit risk transfer transactions including a series of MILNs and an XOL treaty. Credit risk transfer transactions provided an aggregate of approximately$1,404 million of PMIERS capital credit as ofDecember 31, 2021 compared to$936 million as ofDecember 2020 . This was coupled with elevated lapse driven by prevailing low interest rates, business cash flows and lower delinquencies, partially offset by elevated new insurance written. Our PMIERs required assets as ofDecember 31, 2021 , benefited from the application of a 0.30 multiplier applied to the risk-based required asset amount factor for certain non-performing loans. The application of the 0.30 multiplier to all eligible delinquencies provided$390 million of benefit to ourDecember 31, 2021 , PMIERs required assets. This amount is gross of any incremental reinsurance benefit from the elimination of the 0.30 multiplier. OnJanuary 27, 2022 , we executed an excess of loss reinsurance transaction with a panel of reinsurers, which will provide up to$294 million of reinsurance coverage on a portion of current and expected new insurance written for the 2022 book year, effectiveJanuary 1, 2022 . EHI announced and paid a dividend of$200 million during the fourth quarter of 2021. We believe this was an important milestone as we work to restart the return of capital to stockholders. We are in the process of evaluating our capital return objectives for 2022 which includes an assessment of holding company liquidity and financial flexibility. We expect a component of our capital return plan to include the initiation of a regular, common dividend to Company stockholders around mid-year 2022. In addition to this dividend, we will continue to evaluate the potential for an incremental return of capital based on our ongoing business performance and a review of the macroeconomic conditions and regulatory landscape. 95
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Results of Operations and Key Metrics
Results of Operations
Year Ended
The following table sets forth our consolidated results for the periods
indicated:
Increase (decrease)
Year ended and percentage
December 31, change
(Amounts in thousands) 2021 2020 2021 vs. 2020
Revenues:
Premiums$ 974,949 $ 971,365 $ 3,584 - % Net investment income 141,189 132,843 8,346 6 % Net investment gains (losses) (2,124) (3,324) 1,200 (36) % Other income 3,841 5,575 (1,734) (31) % Total revenues 1,117,855 1,106,459 11,396 1 % Losses and expenses: Losses incurred 125,473 379,834 (254,361) (67) % Acquisition and operating expenses, net of deferrals 231,453 215,024 16,429 8 % Amortization of deferred acquisition costs and intangibles 14,704 20,939 (6,235) (30) % Interest expense 51,009 18,244 32,765 180 % Total losses and expenses 422,639 634,041 (211,402) (33) % Income before income taxes 695,216 472,418 222,798 47 % Provision for income taxes 148,531 101,997 46,534 46 % Net income$ 546,685 $ 370,421 $ 176,264 48 % Loss ratio (1) 13 % 39 % Expense ratio (2) 25 % 24 % _______________ (1)Loss ratio is calculated by dividing losses incurred by net earned premiums. (2)Expense ratio is calculated by dividing acquisition and operating expenses, net of deferrals, plus amortization of DAC and intangibles by net earned premiums.
Revenues
Premiums increased mainly attributable to higher IIF partially offset by
continued lapse of our in-force portfolio as older, higher priced policies
continued to lapse in the current low interest rate environment, lower single
premium cancellations and higher ceded premiums from reinsurance transactions
executed in 2021.
Net investment income increased primarily from higher average invested assets in
the current year and higher income from bond calls, partially offset by lower
investment yields in 2021.
Net investment losses in the current year were primarily driven by credit losses
related to corporate available-for-sale fixed maturity securities and realized
losses from the sale of fixed maturity securities. Net investment losses in the
prior year were largely from impairments and net losses from the sale of fixed
maturity securities.
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Other income primarily includes underwriting fee revenue charged on a per-unit
or per-diem basis, as defined in the underwriting agreement. Other income
decreased primarily due to lower contract underwriting revenue.
Losses and expenses
Losses incurred decreased largely from lower new delinquencies from the improving economy and favorable development related to pre-COVID-19 claim years, compared to unfavorable reserve adjustments in the prior year as a result of COVID-19. New primary delinquencies were 32,624 in 2021 compared to 85,074 in 2020. During 2021, we recorded a$22 million reserve release related to pre-COVID-19 claim years. In 2020 we strengthened existing reserves by$65 million primarily driven by the deterioration of early cure emergence patterns impacting claim frequency along with a modest increase in claim severity.
The following table shows incurred losses related to current and prior accident
years for the year ended
(Amounts in thousands) 2021
2020
Losses and LAE incurred related to current accident year
Losses and LAE incurred related to prior accident years (15,822)
16,202 Total incurred (1)$ 125,403 $ 380,750 _______________ (1)Excludes run-off business.
Acquisition and operating expenses, net of deferrals, increased primarily
attributable to strategic transaction preparation costs, higher corporate
overhead and a one-time restructuring charge partially offset by lower
volume-related operating costs.
Amortization of DAC and intangibles decreased primarily due to accelerated DAC
amortization of
The expense ratio increased mainly driven by$7 million of strategic transaction preparation costs and a one-time restructuring charge of$3 million , coupled with higher compensation and operating costs. The strategic transaction preparation costs and restructuring costs increased the expense ratio by approximately 1 point. Interest expense increased in the current year related to our 2025 Senior Notes issued inAugust 2020 . For additional details see Note 7 to our consolidated financial statements. Provision for income taxes
The effective tax rate was 21.4% and 21.6% for the years ended
and 2020, respectively, consistent with
income tax rate.
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Results of Operations
Year Ended
The following table presents our consolidated results for the periods indicated:
Increase (decrease)
Year ended and percentage
December 31, change
(Amounts in thousands) 2020 2019 2020 vs. 2019
Revenues:
Premiums $ 971,365 $ 856,976 $ 114,389 13 %
Net investment income 132,843 116,927 15,916 14 %
Net investment gains (losses) (3,324) 718 (4,042) (563) %
Other income 5,575 4,232 1,343 32 %
Total revenues 1,106,459 978,853 127,606 13 %
Losses and expenses:
Losses incurred 379,834 49,850 329,984 662 %
Acquisition and operating expenses, net of
deferrals 215,024 195,768 19,256 10 %
Amortization of deferred acquisition costs
and intangibles 20,939 15,065 5,874 39 %
Interest expense 18,244 - 18,244 NM (1)
Total losses and expenses 634,041 260,683 373,358 143 %
Income before income taxes and change in fair
value of unconsolidated affiliate 472,418 718,170 (245,752) (34) %
Provision for income taxes 101,997 155,832 (53,835) (35) %
Income before change in fair value of
unconsolidated affiliate 370,421 562,338 (191,917) (34) %
Change in fair value of unconsolidated
affiliate, net of taxes - 115,290 (115,290) (100) %
Net income $ 370,421 $ 677,628 $ (307,207) (45) %
Loss ratio (2) 39 % 6 %
Expense ratio (3) 24 % 25 %
_______________
(1)Not measurable.
(2)Loss ratio is calculated by dividing losses incurred by net earned premiums.
(3)Expense ratio is calculated by dividing acquisition and operating expenses,
net of deferrals, plus amortization of DAC and intangibles by net earned
premiums.
Revenues
Premiums increased mainly attributable to higher IIF and higher policy cancellations in our single premium mortgage insurance product driven largely by higher mortgage refinancing, partially offset by lower average premium rates in 2020. The year endedDecember 31, 2019 also included a favorable adjustment of$14 million related to our single premium earnings pattern review driven by our revised assessment of recent claim and cancellation experience and the refinement of loan attributes.
Net investment income increased primarily due to higher average invested assets
partially offset by lower investment yields in 2020.
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Net investment losses in 2020 were primarily driven by impairments and net
losses from the sale of fixed maturity securities. Net investment gains in 2019
were largely from net gains from the sale of fixed maturity securities.
Other income primarily includes underwriting fee revenue charged on a per-unit or per-diem basis, as defined in the underwriting agreement. Other income increased primarily due to higher contract underwriting revenue from a larger mortgage insurance market. Losses and expenses Losses incurred increased largely from new delinquencies driven primarily by a significant increase in borrower forbearance as a result of COVID-19 and strengthening of existing reserves of$65 million in 2020 primarily driven by the deterioration of early cure emergence patterns impacting claim frequency along with a modest increase in claim severity. We also experienced lower net benefits from cures and aging of existing delinquencies in 2020. Included in 2019 were favorable reserve adjustments of$23 million mostly associated with lower expected claim rates. Our loss ratio increased primarily from higher losses, partially offset by higher net earned premiums in 2020.
The following table shows incurred losses related to current and prior accident
years for the years ended
(Amounts in thousands) 2020
2019
Losses and LAE incurred related to current accident year
Losses and LAE incurred related to prior accident years 16,202
(55,917) Total incurred (1)$ 380,750 $ 49,817 _______________ (1)Excludes run-off business. Acquisition and operating expenses, net of deferrals, increased primarily driven by higher acquisition costs mainly driven by increased NIW in 2020 and higher information technology and other expenses due to continued investment in modernization of the business. Amortization of DAC and intangibles consists primarily of the amortization of acquisition costs that are capitalized and capitalized software. Amortization of DAC and intangibles increased primarily due to accelerated DAC amortization of$6 million driven by elevated lapses in 2020.
Our expense ratio decreased slightly primarily from higher earned premiums,
mostly offset by higher acquisition and operating expenses and higher DAC
amortization in 2020.
Interest expense in 2020 relates to our 2025 Senior Notes issued in
Provision for income taxes
The effective tax rate was 21.6% and 21.7% for the years ended
and 2019, respectively, consistent with
income tax rate.
Change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate, net of taxes
Change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate consists of the change in the fair value of our previously held investment in Genworth Canada, which also includes dividends and the sale of common shares, net of taxes. The decrease was driven by the sale of our investment in Genworth Canada, which closed onDecember 12, 2019 . See Note 3 to our consolidated financial statements for additional information. 99 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Use of Non-GAAP Measures
We use a non-U.S. GAAP ("non-GAAP") financial measure entitled "adjusted operating income." This non-GAAP financial measure aligns with the way our business performance is evaluated by both management and by our board of directors. This measure has been established in order to increase transparency for the purposes of evaluating our core operating trends and enabling more meaningful comparisons with our peers. Although "adjusted operating income" is a non-GAAP financial measure, for the reasons discussed above we believe this measure aids in understanding the underlying performance of our operations. Our senior management, including our chief operating decision maker, uses "adjusted operating income" as the primary measure to evaluate the fundamental financial performance of our business and to allocate resources. "Adjusted operating income" is defined asU.S. GAAP net income excluding the effects of (i) net investment gains (losses), (ii) change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate and (iii) Restructuring costs and infrequent or unusual non-operating items. (i)Net investment gains (losses)-The recognition of realized investment gains or losses can vary significantly across periods as the activity is highly discretionary based on the timing of individual securities sales due to such factors as market opportunities or exposure management. Trends in the profitability of our fundamental operating activities can be more clearly identified without the fluctuations of these realized gains and losses. We do not view them to be indicative of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, these items are excluded from our calculation of adjusted operating income. (ii)Change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate-The change in fair value of our previously held investment in Genworth Canada could vary significantly across periods and was highly dependent on the performance of the Canadian housing market and Genworth Canada's operating results. We managed the investment in Genworth Canada separately from our remaining investments portfolio through and up until the sale of our ownership interest in GenworthCanada inDecember 2019 . Prior to the sale, we did not view the results of our investment in Genworth Canada as part of our fundamental operating activities. Therefore, this item is excluded from our calculation of adjusted operating income. Additionally, given the divestiture of Genworth Canada onDecember 12, 2019 , we will no longer have any impact from Genworth Canada in our financial statements going forward.
(iii)Restructuring costs and infrequent or unusual non-operating items are also
excluded from adjusted operating income if, in our opinion, they are not
indicative of overall operating trends.
In reporting non-GAAP measures in the future, we may make other adjustments for expenses and gains we do not consider reflective of core operating performance in a particular period. We may disclose other non-GAAP operating measures if we believe that such a presentation would be helpful for investors to evaluate our operating condition by including additional information. Total adjusted operating income is not a measure of total profitability, and therefore should not be considered in isolation or viewed as a substitute forU.S. GAAP net income. Our definition of adjusted operating income may not be comparable to similarly named measures reported by other companies, including our peers.
Adjustments to reconcile net income to adjusted operating income assume a 21%
tax rate (unless otherwise indicated).
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The following table includes a reconciliation of net income to adjusted
operating income for the years ended
(Amounts in thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Net income$ 546,685 $ 370,421 $ 677,628 Adjustments to net income: Net investment (gains) losses 2,124 3,324 (718) Costs associated with reorganization 2,744 - - Change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate - - (127,397) Taxes on adjustments (1,022) (698) 12,259 Adjusted operating income$ 550,531 $ 373,047 $ 561,772 We recorded a pre-tax expense of$2.7 million for the year endedDecember 31, 2021 , related to restructuring costs as we evaluate and appropriately size our organizational needs and expenses. Adjusted operating income increased in 2021 compared to 2020 primarily attributable to lower losses mainly from lower new delinquencies from the improving economy and net favorable reserve adjustments in 2021 compared to unfavorable reserve adjustments in 2020, partially offset by interest expense associated with senior notes issued inAugust 2020 and higher operating costs in the current year. Adjusted operating income decreased in 2020 compared to 2019 primarily attributable to higher losses largely from new delinquencies driven in large part by a significant increase in borrower forbearance as a result of COVID-19, reserve strengthening of$51 million on existing delinquencies and from lower net benefits from cures and aging of existing delinquencies in 2020. These decreases were partially offset by higher premiums largely driven by higher IIF and an increase in policy cancellations in our single premium mortgage insurance product primarily due to higher mortgage refinancing in 2020. The year endedDecember 31, 2019 included favorable reserve adjustments of$18 million mostly associated with lower expected claim rates and a favorable adjustment of$11 million related to our single premium earnings pattern review. The change in fair value of the investment in Genworth Canada was$127.4 million for the year endedDecember 31, 2019 , and is included within change in fair value of unconsolidated affiliate in the consolidated statements of income, net of provision (benefit) for income taxes of$12.1 million . There were no infrequent or unusual items excluded from adjusted operating income during the periods presented. 101
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Key Metrics
Management reviews the key metrics included within this section when analyzing the performance of our business. The metrics provided in this section exclude activity related to our run-off business, which is immaterial to our consolidated results of operations.
The following table sets forth selected operating performance measures on a
primary basis as of or for the years ended
(Dollar amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 New insurance written$ 97,004 $ 99,871 $ 62,431 Primary insurance in-force (1)$ 226,514 $ 207,947 $ 181,785 Primary risk in-force$ 56,881 $ 52,475 $ 46,246 Persistency rate 62 % 59 % 76 % Policies in-force (count) 937,350 924,624 851,070 Delinquent loans (count) 24,820 44,904 16,392 Delinquency rate 2.65 % 4.86 % 1.93 % _______________
(1)Represents the aggregate unpaid principal balance for loans we insure.
Original loan balances are primarily used to determine premiums.
New insurance written
NIW for the year endedDecember 31, 2021 decreased 3% compared to 2020 primarily due to a smaller estimated private mortgage insurance market resulting in lower refinancing originations, partially offset by higher mortgage purchase originations. We manage the quality of new business through pricing and our underwriting guidelines, which we modify from time to time as circumstances warrant. The following table presents NIW by product for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 Primary$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 % Pool - - - - - - Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 % The following table presents primary NIW by underlying type of mortgage for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 Purchases$ 76,915 79 %$ 67,183 67 %$ 50,267 81 % Refinances 20,089 21 32,688 33 12,164 19 Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 % The following table presents primary NIW by policy payment type for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 Monthly$ 89,115 92 %$ 90,147 90 %$ 54,666 88 % Single 7,554 8 9,251 9 7,047 11 Other 335 - 473 1 718 1 Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 % 102
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The following table presents primary NIW by FICO score for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 Over 760$ 42,391 44 %$ 41,584 42 %$ 24,805 40 % 740-759 15,067 16 16,378 16 10,624 17 720-739 12,911 13 14,305 14 9,154 15 700-719 11,069 11 12,193 12 7,888 13 680-699 8,457 9 8,813 9 5,851 9 660-679 (1) 4,167 4 3,846 4 2,204 3 640-659 2,173 2 1,955 2 1,338 2 620-639 765 1 796 1 567 1 <620 4 - 1 - - - Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 % ______________
(1)Loans with unknown FICO scores are included in the 660-679 category.
LTV ratio is calculated by dividing the original loan amount, excluding financed premium, by the property's acquisition value or fair market value at the time of origination. The following table presents primary NIW by LTV ratio for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 95.01% and above$ 12,064 12 %$ 11,625 11 %$ 9,652 15 % 90.01% to 95.00% 36,597 38 42,753 43 26,961 43 85.01% to 90.00% 30,717 32 28,750 29 17,874 29 85.00% and below 17,626 18 16,743 17 7,944 13 Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 %
The following table presents primary NIW by DTI ratio for the years ended
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 45.01% and above$ 14,979 15 %$ 13,672 14 %$ 13,587 22 % 38.01% to 45.00% 32,946 34 35,729 36 21,354 34 38.00% and below 49,079 51 50,470 50 27,490 44 Total$ 97,004 100 %$ 99,871 100 %$ 62,431 100 %
Insurance in-force and Risk in-force
IIF increased largely from NIW, partially offset by lapses and cancellations as we experienced lower persistency during the current year. Primary persistency was 62% and 59% for the years endedDecember 31, 2021 and 2020, respectively. RIF increased primarily as a result of higher IIF. 103 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following table sets forth IIF and RIF as of the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
Primary IIF $ 226,514 100 % $ 207,947 100 % $ 181,785 99 %
Pool IIF 641 - 883 - 1,084 1 %
Total IIF $ 227,155 100 % $ 208,830 100 % $ 182,869 100 %
Primary RIF $ 56,881 100 % $ 52,475 100 % $ 46,246 100 %
Pool RIF 105 - 146 - 188 -
Total RIF $ 56,986 100 % $ 52,621 100 % $ 46,434 100 %
The following table sets forth primary IIF by policy year as of the dates
indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
2004 and prior $ 541 - % $ 708 - % $ 865 1 %
2005 to 2008 7,655 3 10,614 5 13,775 8
2009 to 2013 1,404 1 3,030 2 5,656 3
2014 1,965 1 3,699 2 6,269 3
2015 4,488 2 7,887 4 13,109 7
2016 8,997 4 15,385 7 24,807 14
2017 8,962 4 16,289 8 27,839 15
2018 9,263 4 17,235 8 30,589 17
2019 21,730 10 39,463 19 58,876 32
2020 69,963 31 93,637 45 - -
2021 91,546 40 - - - -
Total $ 226,514 100 % $ 207,947 100 % $ 181,785 100 %
The following table sets forth primary RIF by policy year as of the dates
indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
2004 and prior $ 154 - % $ 202 - % $ 247 - %
2005 to 2008 1,958 3 2,716 5 3,523 8
2009 to 2013 370 1 832 2 1,572 3
2014 534 1 999 2 1,693 4
2015 1,197 2 2,104 4 3,471 8
2016 2,388 4 4,063 8 6,427 14
2017 2,324 4 4,180 8 7,091 15
2018 2,330 4 4,322 8 7,655 17
2019 5,454 10 9,840 19 14,567 31
2020 17,574 31 23,217 44 - -
2021 22,598 40 - - - -
Total $ 56,881 100 % $ 52,475 100 % $ 46,246 100 %
104
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The following table presents the development of primary IIF for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019 Beginning balance$207,947 $ 181,785 $ 157,103 NIW 97,004 99,871 62,431 Cancellations, principal repayments and other reductions (1) (78,437) (73,709) (37,749) Ending balance$226,514 $ 207,947 $ 181,785 _____________
(1)Includes the estimated amortization of unpaid principal balance of covered
loans.
The following table sets forth primary IIF by LTV ratio at origination as of the
dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
95.01% and above $ 35,455 16 % $ 34,520 17 % $ 32,502 18 %
90.01% to 95.00% 95,149 42 92,689 45 83,189 46
85.01% to 90.00% 64,549 28 56,341 27 49,305 27
85.00% and below 31,361 14 24,397 11 16,789 9
Total $ 226,514 100 % $ 207,947 100 % $ 181,785 100 %
The following table sets forth primary RIF by LTV ratio at origination as of the
dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
95.01% and above $ 9,907 17 % $ 9,279 18 % $ 8,365 18 %
90.01% to 95.00% 27,608 49 26,774 51 23,953 52 %
85.01% to 90.00% 15,644 27 13,562 26 11,933 26 %
85.00% and below 3,722 7 2,860 5 1,995 4 %
Total $ 56,881 100 % $ 52,475 100 % $ 46,246 100 %
The following table sets forth primary IIF by FICO score at origination as of
the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
Over 760 $ 89,982 40 % $ 78,488 38 % $ 69,129 38 %
740-759 35,874 16 33,635 16 29,961 16
720-739 31,730 14 30,058 14 26,184 14
700-719 27,359 12 25,870 12 21,567 12
680-699 21,270 9 20,140 10 16,935 9
660-679 (1) 10,549 5 9,819 5 8,504 5
640-659 6,124 3 5,935 3 5,379 3
620-639 2,783 1 2,902 1 2,794 2
<620 843 - 1,100 1 1,332 1
Total $ 226,514 100 % $ 207,947 100 % $ 181,785 100 %
______________
(1)Loans with unknown FICO scores are included in the 660-679 category.
105
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The following table sets forth primary RIF by FICO score at origination as of
the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Amounts in millions) 2021 2020 2019
Over 760 $ 22,489 40 % $ 19,691 37 % $ 17,606 38 %
740-759 9,009 16 8,497 16 7,685 17
720-739 8,055 14 7,673 15 6,717 14
700-719 6,907 12 6,579 12 5,464 12
680-699 5,334 9 5,100 10 4,286 9
660-679 (1) 2,638 5 2,442 5 2,113 5
640-659 1,530 3 1,472 3 1,322 3
620-639 702 1 737 1 709 1
<620 217 - 284 1 344 1
Total $ 56,881 100 % $ 52,475 100 % $ 46,246 100 %
______________
(1)Loans with unknown FICO scores are included in the 660-679 category.
Delinquent loans and claims
Our delinquency management process begins with notification by the loan servicer of a delinquency on an insured loan. "Delinquency" is defined in our master policies as the borrower's failure to pay when due an amount equal to the scheduled monthly mortgage payment under the terms of the mortgage. Generally, our master policies require an insured to notify us of a delinquency if the borrower fails to make two consecutive monthly mortgage payments prior to the due date of the next mortgage payment. We generally consider a loan to be delinquent and establish required reserves after the insured notifies us that the borrower has failed to make two scheduled mortgage payments. Borrowers default for a variety of reasons, including a reduction of income, unemployment, divorce, illness/death, inability to manage credit, falling home prices and interest rate levels. Borrowers may cure delinquencies by making all of the delinquent loan payments, agreeing to a loan modification, or by selling the property in full satisfaction of all amounts due under the mortgage. In most cases, delinquencies that are not cured result in a claim under our policy. The following table shows a roll forward of the number of primary loans in default for the years endedDecember 31 : (Loan count) 2021 2020
2019
Number of delinquencies, beginning of period 44,904 16,392
16,860 New defaults 32,624 85,074 33,236 Cures (51,626) (55,396) (31,363) Claims paid (1,050) (1,148) (2,323) Rescissions and claim denials (32) (18) (18) Number of delinquencies, end of period 24,820 44,904
16,392
The following table sets forth changes in our direct primary case loss reserves
for the years ended
(Amounts in thousands) (1) 2021 2020
2019
Loss reserves, beginning of period$ 516,863 $ 204,749 $ 262,171 Claims paid (32,816) (52,389) (103,578) Increase in reserves 122,055 364,503 46,156 Loss reserves, end of period$ 606,102 $ 516,863 $ 204,749 ______________
(1)Direct primary case reserves exclude LAE, pool, IBNR and reinsurance
reserves.
106 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following tables set forth primary delinquencies, direct case reserves and
RIF by aged missed payment status as of the dates indicated:
December 31, 2021
Direct case Risk Reserves as %
(Dollar amounts in millions) Delinquencies reserves (1) in-force of risk in-force
Payments in default:
3 payments or less 6,586 $ 35 $ 340 10 %
4 - 11 payments 7,360 111 426 26 %
12 payments or more 10,874 460 643 72 %
Total 24,820 $ 606 $ 1,409 43 %
December 31, 2020
Direct case Risk Reserves as %
(Dollar amounts in millions) Delinquencies reserves (1) in-force of risk in-force
Payments in default:
3 payments or less 10,484 $ 43 $ 549 8 %
4 - 11 payments 30,324 331 1,853 18 %
12 payments or more 4,096 143 204 70 %
Total 44,904 $ 517 $ 2,606 20 %
December 31, 2019
Direct case Risk Reserves as %
(Dollar amounts in millions) Delinquencies reserves (1) in-force of risk in-force
Payments in default:
3 payments or less 8,618 $ 28 $ 386 7 %
4 - 11 payments 4,876 78 225 35 %
12 payments or more 2,898 99 146 68 %
Total 16,392 $ 205 $ 757 27 %
______________
(1)Direct primary case reserves exclude LAE, pool, IBNR and reinsurance
reserves.
The total increase in reserves as a percentage of RIF as ofDecember 31, 2021 compared toDecember 31, 2020 was primarily driven by higher reserves in relation to a decrease in delinquent RIF. Delinquent RIF decreased mainly from lower total delinquencies as cures outpaced new delinquencies in 2021, while reserves increased in the current year primarily from new delinquencies, partially offset by net favorable reserve adjustments related to pre-COVID-19 delinquencies. As ofDecember 31, 2021 , we have experienced an increase in loans that are delinquent for 12 months or more due in large part to borrowers entering a forbearance plan over a year ago driven by COVID-19. Our current reserve estimate assumes that remaining delinquencies will have a higher likelihood of going to claim given foreclosure moratoriums and the uncertainty around the lack of progression through the foreclosure process. Forbearance plans may be extended up to 18 months, therefore, we could experience elevated delinquencies in this aged category during 2022. Resolution of a delinquency in a forbearance plan, whether it ultimately results in a cure or a claim, is difficult to estimate and may not be known for several quarters, if not longer.
The ratio of the claim paid to the current risk in-force for a loan is referred
to as "claim severity." The current risk in-force is equal to the unpaid
principal amount multiplied by the coverage percentage. The
107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- main determinants of claim severity are the age of the mortgage loan, the value of the underlying property, accrued interest on the loan, expenses advanced by the insured and foreclosure expenses. These amounts depend partly upon the time required to complete foreclosure, which varies depending upon state laws. Pre-foreclosure sales, acquisitions and other early workout and claim administration actions help to reduce overall claim severity. Our average primary mortgage insurance claim severity was 103%, 106% and 112% for the years endedDecember 31, 2021 , 2020 and 2019, respectively. The average claim severities do not include the effects of agreements on non-performing loans. Primary insurance delinquency rates differ from region to region inthe United States at any one time depending upon economic conditions and cyclical growth patterns. Delinquency rates are shown by region based upon the location of the underlying property, rather than the location of the lender. The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest states by our primary RIF as ofDecember 31, 2021 : Percent of direct primary case Delinquency Percent of RIF reserves rate By State: California 11 % 12 % 3.17 % Texas 8 8 2.89 % Florida (1) 7 9 2.97 % New York (1) 5 12 3.80 % Illinois (1) 5 6 3.09 % Michigan 4 2 1.87 % Arizona 4 2 2.31 % North Carolina 3 2 2.18 % Pennsylvania (1) 3 3 2.38 % Washington 3 3 2.98 % All Other States (2) 47 41 2.46 % Total 100 % 100 % 2.65 % ______________
(1)Jurisdiction predominantly uses a judicial foreclosure process, which
generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be
completed.
(2)Includes the
108 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest
states by our primary RIF as of
Percent of total Delinquency
Percent of RIF reserves rate
By State:
California 11 % 11 % 6.20 %
Texas 8 8 5.82 %
Florida (1) 7 10 6.92 %
Illinois (1) 5 6 5.21 %
New York (1) 5 11 6.92 %
Michigan 4 2 2.93 %
Washington 4 3 5.37 %
Pennsylvania (1) 4 3 4.11 %
North Carolina 4 2 3.84 %
Arizona 3 2 4.54 %
All other states (2) 45 42 4.32 %
Total 100 % 100 % 4.86 %
______________
(1)Jurisdiction predominantly uses a judicial foreclosure process, which
generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be
completed.
(2)Includes the
The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest
states by our primary RIF as of
Percent of total Delinquency
Percent of RIF reserves rate
By State:
California 11 % 6 % 1.42 %
Texas 7 5 2.02 %
Florida (1) 6 11 2.13 %
New York (1) 5 16 2.98 %
Illinois (1) 5 6 2.25 %
Washington 4 2 1.10 %
Michigan 4 2 1.43 %
Pennsylvania (1) 4 4 2.12 %
North Carolina 4 2 1.79 %
Ohio 3 3 1.87 %
All other states (2) 47 43 1.92 %
Total 100 % 100 % 1.93 %
______________
(1)Jurisdiction predominantly uses a judicial foreclosure process, which
generally increases the amount of time it takes for a foreclosure to be
completed.
(2)Includes the
109
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The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest
Metropolitan Statistical Areas ("MSA") or Metro Divisions ("MD") by our primary
RIF as of December 31, 2021 :
Percent of direct Delinquency
Percent of RIF primary case reserves rate
By MSA or MD:
Chicago-Naperville, IL MD 3 % 4 % 3.68 %
Phoenix, AZ MSA 3 2 2.36 %
New York, NY MD 3 8 5.32 %
Atlanta, GA MSA 2 3 3.28 %
Washington-Arlington, DC MD 2 2 2.96 %
Houston, TX MSA 2 3 3.61 %
Riverside-San Bernardino CA MSA 2 2 3.42 %
Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA MD 2 3 3.95 %
Dallas, TX MD 2 2 2.31 %
Nassau County, NY MD 2 4 5.55 %
All Other MSAs/MDs 77 67 2.44 %
Total 100 % 100 % 2.65 %
The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest
MSAs or MDs by our primary RIF as of
Percent of total Delinquency
Percent of RIF reserves rate
By MSA or MD:
Chicago-Naperville, IL MD 3 % 4 % 6.36 %
Phoenix, AZ MSA 3 2 4.63 %
New York, NY MD 3 8 10.25 %
Atlanta, GA MSA 2 3 6.68 %
Washington-Arlington, DC MD 2 2 6.09 %
Houston, TX MSA 2 3 7.59 %
Riverside-San Bernardino, CA MSA 2 2 7.08 %
Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA MD 2 2 7.57 %
Dallas, TX MD 2 2 5.10 %
Seattle-Bellevue, WA MD 2 2 6.33 %
All other MSAs/MDs 77 70 4.43 %
Total 100 % 100 % 4.86 %
110
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The table below sets forth our primary delinquency rates for the ten largest
MSAs or MDs by our primary RIF as of
Percent of total Delinquency
Percent of RIF reserves rate
By MSA or MD:
Chicago-Naperville, IL MD 3 % 5 % 2.50 %
New York, NY MD 3 10 3.68 %
Phoenix, AZ MSA 2 1 1.38 %
Atlanta, GA MSA 2 2 2.14 %
Washington-Arlington, DC MD 2 1 1.47 %
Houston, TX MSA 2 2 2.62 %
Los Angeles-Long Beach, CA MD 2 1 1.35 %
Seattle-Bellevue, WA MD 2 1 0.98 %
Riverside-San Bernardino, CA MSA 2 2 2.08 %
Nassau County-Suffolk County, NY Metro Division 2 5 3.47 %
All other MSAs/MDs 78 70 1.86 %
Total 100 % 100 % 1.93 %
The frequency of delinquencies often does not correlate directly with the number
of claims received because delinquencies may cure. The rate at which
delinquencies cure is influenced by borrowers' financial resources and
circumstances and regional economic differences. Whether a delinquency leads to
a claim correlates highly with the borrower's equity at the time of delinquency,
as it influences the borrower's willingness to continue to make payments, the
borrower's or the insured's ability to sell the home for an amount sufficient to
satisfy all amounts due under the mortgage loan, and the borrower's financial
ability to continue making payments. When we receive notice of a delinquency, we
use our proprietary model to determine whether a delinquent loan is a candidate
for a modification. When our model identifies such a candidate, our loan workout
specialists prioritize cases for loss mitigation based upon the likelihood that
the loan will result in a claim. Loss mitigation actions include loan
modification, extension of credit to bring a loan current, foreclosure
forbearance, pre-foreclosure sale and deed-in-lieu. These loss mitigation
efforts often are an effective way to reduce our claim exposure and ultimate
payouts.
111
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The following table sets forth the dispersion of primary RIF and loss reserves
by policy year and delinquency rates as of
Percent of direct Cumulative
Percent primary case Delinquency delinquency
of RIF reserves rate rate (1)
Policy Year:
2004 and prior - % 2 % 13.24 % 3.61 %
2005 to 2008 3 22 10.23 % 18.36 %
2009 to 2013 1 2 5.54 % 0.74 %
2014 1 3 5.51 % 0.99 %
2015 2 5 4.24 % 1.04 %
2016 4 8 3.69 % 1.16 %
2017 4 10 4.78 % 1.56 %
2018 4 13 5.93 % 1.88 %
2019 10 19 3.89 % 1.68 %
2020 31 14 1.50 % 1.14 %
2021 40 2 0.37 % 0.36 %
Total portfolio 100 % 100 % 2.65 % 4.42 %
______________
(1)Calculated as the sum of the number of policies where claims were ever paid
to date and number of policies for loans currently in default divided by
policies ever in-force.
The following table sets forth the dispersion of primary RIF and loss reserves
by policy year and delinquency rates as of
Cumulative
Percent Percent of total Delinquency delinquency
of RIF reserves rate rate (1)
Policy Year:
2004 and prior - % 3 % 16.82 % 3.62 %
2005 to 2008 5 25 13.35 18.79 %
2009 to 2013 2 2 5.44 0.91 %
2014 2 3 6.06 1.57 %
2015 4 5 5.66 1.97 %
2016 8 9 5.46 2.49 %
2017 8 12 6.51 3.34 %
2018 8 14 7.70 4.01 %
2019 19 19 5.60 3.93 %
2020 44 8 1.09 1.04 %
Total portfolio 100 % 100 % 4.86 % 4.86 %
______________
(1)Calculated as the sum of the number of policies where claims were ever paid
to date and number of policies for loans currently in default divided by
policies ever in-force.
112 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following table sets forth the dispersion of primary RIF and loss reserves
by policy year and delinquency rates as of
Cumulative
Percent Percent of total Delinquency delinquency
of RIF reserves rate rate (1)
Policy Year:
2004 and prior 1 % 7 % 14.62 % 3.61 %
2005 to 2008 8 51 8.47 % 18.48 %
2009 to 2012 1 2 2.42 % 0.87 %
2013 2 2 1.72 % 0.58 %
2014 4 4 2.04 % 0.94 %
2015 7 6 1.59 % 0.93 %
2016 14 9 1.22 % 0.89 %
2017 15 10 1.29 % 1.05 %
2018 17 7 1.05 % 0.88 %
2019 31 2 0.19 % 0.18 %
Total portfolio 100 % 100 % 1.93 % 4.69 %
______________
(1)Calculated as the sum of the number of policies where claims were ever paid
to date and number of policies for loans currently in default divided by
policies ever in-force.
Loss reserves in policy years 2005 through 2008 are outsized compared to their representation of RIF. The size of these policy years at origination combined with the significant decline in home prices led to significant losses in policy years prior to 2009. Although uncertainty remains with respect to the ultimate losses we will experience on these policy years, they have become a smaller percentage of our total mortgage insurance portfolio. The largest portion of loss reserves has shifted to newer book years as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic given their significant representation of RIF. As ofDecember 31, 2021 , our 2014 and newer policy years represented approximately 96% of our primary RIF and 74% of our total direct primary case reserves.
Investment Portfolio
Our investment portfolio is affected by factors described below, each of which in turn may be affected by COVID-19 as noted above in "-Trends and Conditions." Management of our investment portfolio has been delegated by our board of directors to our Parent's investment committee and chief investment officer. Our Parent's investment team, with oversight from our board of directors and our senior management team, is responsible for the execution of our investment strategy. Our investment portfolio is an important component of our consolidated financial results and represents our primary source of claims paying resources. Our investment portfolio primarily consists of a diverse mix of highly rated fixed income securities and is designed to achieve the following objectives:
•Meet policyholder obligations through maintenance of sufficient liquidity;
•Preserve capital;
•Generate investment income;
•Maximize statutory capital; and
•Increase value to our Parent and its stockholders, among other objectives.
To achieve our portfolio objectives, our investment strategy focuses primarily
on:
•Our business outlook, current and expected future investment conditions;
113 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
•Investments selection based on fundamental, research-driven strategies;
•Diversification across a mix of fixed income, low-volatility investments while
actively pursuing strategies to enhance yield;
•Regular evaluation and optimization of our asset class mix;
•Continuous monitoring of investment quality, duration and liquidity;
•Regulatory capital requirements; and
•Restriction of investments correlated to the residential mortgage market.
Fixed Maturity Securities Available-for-Sale
The following table presents the fair value of our fixed maturity securities
available-for-sale as of the dates indicated:
December 31, 2021 December 31, 2020 December 31, 2019
% of % of % of
(Amounts in thousands) Fair value total Fair value total Fair value total
U.S. government, agencies and GSEs $ 58,408 1.1 % $ 138,224 2.7 % $ 92,336 2.4 %
State and political subdivisions 538,453 10.2 187,377 3.7 98,159 2.6
Non-U.S. government 22,416 0.4 31,031 0.6 19,434 0.5
U.S. corporate 2,945,303 55.9 2,888,625 57.3 2,261,446 60.1
Non-U.S. corporate 666,594 12.7 607,669 12.0 364,469 9.7
Other asset-backed 1,035,165 19.7 1,193,670 23.7 928,588 24.7
Total available-for-sale fixed
maturity securities $ 5,266,339 100.0 % $ 5,046,596 100.0 % $ 3,764,432 100.0 %
Our investment portfolio did not include any direct residential real estate or
whole mortgage loans as of December 31, 2021 or December 31, 2020 and December
31, 2019 . We have no derivative financial instruments in our investment
portfolio.
As of December 31, 2021 , December 31, 2020 and December 31, 2019 , 97%, 98%, 99%
of our investment portfolio was rated investment grade, respectively. The
following table presents the security ratings of our fixed maturity securities
as of the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
2021 2020 2019
AAA 9 % 11 % 11 %
AA 17 % 13 % 12 %
A 34 % 36 % 36 %
BBB 37 % 38 % 39 %
BB & below 3 % 2 % 1 %
Total 100 % 100 % 100 %
114
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The table below presents the effective duration and investment yield on our
investments available-for-sale, excluding cash and cash equivalents:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
2021 2020 2019
Duration (in years) 3.9 3.4 3.1
Pre-tax yield (% of average investment portfolio
assets) 2.7 % 2.8 % 3.3 %
We manage credit risk by analyzing issuers, transaction structures and any
associated collateral. We also manage credit risk through country, industry,
sector and issuer diversification and prudent asset allocation practices.
We primarily mitigate interest rate risk by employing a buy and hold investment philosophy that seeks to match fixed income maturities with expected liability cash flows in modestly adverse economic scenarios.
Liquidity and Capital Resources
Cash Flows
The following table summarizes our consolidated cash flows for the years endedDecember 31 : (Amounts in thousands) 2021 2020 2019 Net cash provided by (used in): Operating activities$ 572,117 $ 704,350 $ 500,020 Investing activities (398,782) (1,136,912) 175,987 Financing activities (200,294) 300,298 (250,000) Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents$ (26,959) $
(132,264)
Our most significant source of operating cash flows is from premiums received from our insurance policies, while our most significant uses of operating cash flows are generally for claims paid on our insured policies and our operating expenses. Net cash from operating activities decreased principally due to increased taxes and interest payments during 2021, partially offset by premiums received from a larger IIF balance and lower claims paid in the current year. Investing activities are primarily related to purchases, sales and maturities of our investment portfolio. We had cash outflows from investing activities in 2021 as a result of continued fixed maturity security purchases driven by premium growth and lower losses paid. Outflows of cash in 2020 were primarily as a result of purchases of fixed maturity securities using the net proceeds from theDecember 2019 sale of our investment in Genworth Canada and our operating cash flows, partially offset by higher maturities and sales of our fixed maturity securities. We had cash inflows from investing activities in 2019 primarily from the sale of our investment in Genworth Canada, partially offset by net purchases of fixed maturity securities. Financing activities in 2021 reflect a$200 million dividend paid in the fourth quarter while financing activities in 2020 reflect$738 million net proceeds from the issuance of our 2025 Senior Notes, discussed below, partially offset by a$437 million dividend paid to our Parent from the net proceeds of the offering. We paid dividends of$250 million in 2019. The amount and timing of future dividends will depend on the economic recovery from COVID-19, among other factors as described below.
Capital Resources and Financing Activities
We issued our 2025 Senior Notes in 2020 with interest payable semi-annually in arrears onFebruary 15 andAugust 15 of each year. During 2021 we made our first two interest payments of$23.6 million , each. The 2025 Senior Notes mature onAugust 15, 2025 . We may redeem the 2025 Senior 115 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Notes, in whole or in part, at any time prior toFebruary 15, 2025 at our option, by paying a make-whole premium, plus accrued and unpaid interest, if any. At any time on or afterFebruary 15, 2025 , we may redeem the 2025 Senior Notes, in whole or in part, at our option, at 100% of the principal amount, plus accrued and unpaid interest. The 2025 Senior Notes contain customary events of default, which subject to certain notice and cure conditions, can result in the acceleration of the principal and accrued interest on the outstanding 2025 Senior Notes if we breach the terms of the indenture. Pursuant to the GSE Restrictions, we are required to retain$300 million of our holding company cash that can be drawn down exclusively for our debt service or to contribute to GMICO to meet its regulatory capital needs including PMIERs. The current balance of the 2025 Senior Notes proceeds required to be held by our holding company is approximately$252 million . See "-Trends and Conditions" for additional information regarding the GSE Restrictions.
Restrictions on the Payment of Dividends
The ability of our regulated insurance operating subsidiaries to pay dividends and distributions to us is restricted by certain provisions ofNorth Carolina insurance laws. Our insurance subsidiaries may pay dividends only from unassigned surplus; payments made from sources other than unassigned surplus, such as paid-in and contributed surplus, are categorized as distributions. Notice of all dividends must be submitted to the Commissioner of the NCDOI (the "Commissioner") within 5 business days after declaration of the dividend or distribution, and at least 30 days before payment thereof. No dividend may be paid until 30 days after the Commissioner has received notice of the declaration thereof and (i) has not within that period disapproved the payment or (ii) has approved the payment within the 30-day period. Any distribution, regardless of amount, requires that same 30-day notice to the Commissioner, but also requires the Commissioner's affirmative approval before being paid. Based on our estimated statutory results and in accordance with applicable dividend restrictions, our insurance subsidiaries have the capacity to pay dividends of$69.7 million from unassigned surplus as ofDecember 31, 2021 , with 30 day advance notice to the Commissioner of the intent to pay. In addition to dividends and distributions, alternative mechanisms, such as share repurchases, subject to any requisite regulatory approvals, may be utilized from time to time to upstream surplus. OnJune 30, 2021 , the GSEs issued a revised and restated version of the PMIERs Amendment that imposed temporary capital preservation provisions throughDecember 31, 2021 that required an approved insurer to meet certain PMIERs minimum required asset buffers (150% in the third quarter of 2021 and 115% in the fourth quarter of 2021) or otherwise obtain prior written GSE approval before paying any dividends, pledging or transferring assets to an affiliate or entering into any new, or altering any existing, arrangements under tax sharing and intercompany expense-sharing agreements, even if such insurer had a surplus of available assets. In addition, prior to the satisfaction of the GSE Conditions, the GSE Restrictions require GMICO to maintain 115% of PMIERs Minimum Required Assets through 2021, 120% during 2022 and 125% thereafter. In addition, we review multiple other considerations in parallel to determine a prospective dividend strategy for our regulated insurance operating subsidiaries. Given the regulatory focus on the reasonableness of an insurer's surplus in relation to its outstanding liabilities and the adequacy of its surplus relative to its financial needs for any dividend, our insurance subsidiaries consider the minimum amount of policyholder surplus after giving effect to any contemplated future dividends. Regulatory minimum policyholder surplus is not codified inNorth Carolina law and limitations may vary based on prevailing business conditions including, but not limited to, the prevailing and future macroeconomic conditions. We estimate regulators would require a minimum policyholder surplus of approximately$300 million to meet their threshold standard. Given (i) we are subject to statutory accounting requirements that establish a contingency reserve of at least 50% of net earned premiums annually for ten years, after which time it is released into policyholder surplus and (ii) that no material 10-year contingency reserve releases are scheduled before 2024, we expect modest growth in policyholder surplus through 2024. As a result, minimum policyholder surplus could be a limitation on the future dividends of our regulated operating subsidiaries. 116 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As mentioned above, another consideration in the development of the dividend strategies for our regulated insurance operating subsidiaries is our expected level of compliance with PMIERs. Under PMIERs, GMICO is subject to operational and financial requirements that approved insurers must meet in order to remain eligible to insure loans purchased by the GSEs. Refer to "-Trends and Conditions" for recent updates related to these requirements. Our regulated insurance operating subsidiaries are also subject to statutory RTC requirements that affect the dividend strategies of our regulated operating subsidiaries. GMICO's domiciliary regulator, the NCDOI, requires the maintenance of a statutory RTC ratio not to exceed 25:1. See "-Risk-to-Capital Ratio" for additional RTC trend analysis. We consider potential future dividends compared to the prior year statutory net income in the evaluation of dividend strategies for our regulated operating subsidiaries. We also consider the dividend payout ratio, or the ratio of potential future dividends compared to the estimatedU.S. GAAP net income, in the evaluation of our dividend strategies. In either case, we do not have prescribed target or maximum thresholds, but we do evaluate the reasonableness of a potential dividend relative to the actual or estimated income generated in the proceeding or preceding calendar year after giving consideration to prevailing business conditions including, but not limited to the prevailing and future macroeconomic conditions. In addition, the dividend strategies of our regulated operating subsidiaries are made in consultation with our Parent.
Risk-to-Capital Ratio
We compute our RTC ratio on a separate company statutory basis, as well as for our combined insurance operations. The RTC ratio is net RIF divided by policyholders' surplus plus statutory contingency reserve. Our net RIF represents RIF, net of reinsurance ceded, and excludes risk on policies that are currently delinquent and for which loss reserves have been established. Statutory capital consists primarily of statutory policyholders' surplus (which increases as a result of statutory net income and decreases as a result of statutory net loss and dividends paid), plus the statutory contingency reserve. The statutory contingency reserve is reported as a liability on the statutory balance sheet. Certain states have insurance laws or regulations that require a mortgage insurer to maintain a minimum amount of statutory capital (including the statutory contingency reserve) relative to its level of RIF in order for the mortgage insurer to continue to write new business. While formulations of minimum capital vary in certain states, the most common measure applied allows for a maximum permitted RTC ratio of 25:1.
The following table presents the calculation of our RTC ratio for our combined
insurance subsidiaries as of the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Dollar amounts in millions) 2021 2020
2019
Statutory policyholders' surplus
1,632 Contingency reserves 3,042 2,518 2,032 Combined statutory capital$ 4,439 $ 4,073 $ 3,664 Adjusted RIF (1)$ 54,201 $ 49,104 $ 44,832 Combined risk-to-capital ratio 12.2 12.1
12.2
______________
(1)Adjusted RIF for purposes of calculating combined statutory RTC differs from
RIF presented elsewhere herein. In accordance with NCDOI requirements, adjusted
RIF excludes delinquent policies.
117
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The following table presents the calculation of our RTC ratio for our principal
insurance company, GMICO, as of the dates indicated:
December 31, December 31, December 31,
(Dollar amounts in millions) 2021 2020
2019
Statutory policyholders' surplus
1,555 Contingency reserves 3,041 2,518 2,032 Combined statutory capital$ 4,387 $ 3,993 $ 3,587 Adjusted RIF (1)$ 54,033 $ 49,021 $ 44,811 GMICO risk-to-capital ratio 12.3 12.3 12.5 ______________ (1)Adjusted RIF for purposes of calculating GMICO statutory RTC differs from RIF presented elsewhere herein. In accordance with NCDOI requirements, adjusted RIF excludes delinquent policies.
Liquidity
As ofDecember 31, 2021 , we maintained liquidity in the form of cash and cash equivalents of$426 million compared to$453 million as ofDecember 31, 2020 , and we also held significant levels of investment-grade fixed maturity securities that can be monetized should our cash and cash equivalents be insufficient to meet our obligations. OnAugust 21, 2020 , we issued the 2025 Senior Notes. The GSE Restrictions require us to retain$300 million of the net proceeds in our holding company cash that can be drawn down exclusively for our debt service or to contribute to GMICO to meet its regulatory capital needs including PMIERs, until the GSE Conditions are satisfied. We distributed$437 million of the net proceeds toGenworth Holdings at the closing of the offering of our 2025 Senior Notes. The 2025 Senior Notes were issued to persons reasonably believed to be qualified institutional buyers in a private offering exempt from registration pursuant to Rule 144A under the Securities Act and to non-U.S. persons outside ofthe United States in compliance with Regulation S under the Securities Act. The current balance of the 2025 Senior Notes proceeds required to be held by our holding company is approximately$252 million . The principal sources of liquidity in our business currently include insurance premiums, net investment income and cash flows from investment sales and maturities. We believe that the operating cash flows generated by our mortgage insurance subsidiary will provide the funds necessary to satisfy our claim payments, operating expenses and taxes. However, our subsidiaries are subject to regulatory and other capital restrictions with respect to the payment of dividends. The net proceeds of the 2025 Senior Notes offering retained by EHI comprise substantially all of the cash and cash equivalents held directly by EHI and initially available to pay interest on the 2025 Senior Notes. To the extent the net proceeds retained from the offering is used to provide capital support to GMICO, the GSEs and the NCDOI may seek to prevent GMICO from returning that capital to EHI in the form of a dividend, distribution or an intercompany loan. We currently have no material financing commitments, such as lines of credit or guarantees, that are expected to affect our liquidity over the next five years, other than the 2025 Senior Notes.
Financial Strength Ratings
Ratings with respect to the financial strength of operating subsidiaries are an
important factor in establishing the competitive position of insurance
companies. Ratings are important to maintaining public confidence in us and our
ability to market our products. Rating organizations review the financial
performance and condition of most insurers and provide opinions regarding
financial strength, operating performance and ability to meet obligations to
policyholders.
The financial strength ratings of our operating companies are not designed to
be, and do not serve as, measures of protection or valuation offered to our
stockholders. We cannot predict with any certainty the impact to us from any
future disruptions in the credit markets or downgrades by one or more of the
rating agencies of the financial strength ratings of our insurance company
subsidiaries and/or the credit
118
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ratings of our holding company as a result of the impact of the COVID-19
pandemic or otherwise. We also cannot predict the impact on our ratings or
future ratings of actions taken with respect to our Parent.
The following GMICO financial strength ratings have been independently assigned by third-party rating organizations and represent our current ratings, which are subject to change. Name of Agency Rating Outlook Change Date of Rating Moody's Investor Service, Inc. Baa2 Stable Upgrade September 24, 2021 Fitch Ratings, Inc. BBB+ Stable Upgrade September 17, 2021
September 24, 2021
Contractual Obligations and Commitments
We enter into agreements and other relationships with third parties in the ordinary course of our operations. However, we do not believe that our cash flow requirements can be assessed based upon this analysis of these obligations, as the funding of these future cash obligations will be from future cash flows from premiums and investment income that are not reflected in the following table. Future cash outflows, whether they are contractual obligations or not, also will vary based upon our future needs. Although some outflows are fixed, others depend on future events. An example of obligations that are fixed include future lease payments. An example of obligations that will vary include insurance liabilities that depend on losses incurred. Refer to Note 7 and Note 12 of our audited consolidated financial statements for discussion of borrowings and commitments in contingencies, respectively. We experienced an increase in loss reserves during the year endedDecember 31, 2021 , driven mostly by new delinquencies from borrower forbearance programs due to COVID-19. We expect a large portion of these delinquencies to cure before becoming an active claim; however, reserves recorded related to borrower forbearance have a high degree of estimation. Therefore, it is possible we could have higher contractual obligations related to these loss reserves if they do not cure as we expect. Refer to Note 5 in our audited consolidated financial statements for discussion of our loss reserves. Refer to Note 2 in our audited consolidated financial statements for the years endedDecember 31, 2021 , 2020 and 2019, for a discussion of recently adopted and not yet adopted accounting standards.



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