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May 9, 2022 Newswires
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AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP INC – 10-Q – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Edgar Glimpses

INDEX TO MD&A

                                                          Page                                                             Page
  Forward-Looking     Statements                          29           Managed Investment Entities                         36
  Overview                                                30           Results of Operations                               39
  Critical Accounting Policies                            30           General                                             39
  Liquidity and Capital Resources                         31           Segmented Statement of Earnings                     40
  Ratios                                                  31           Property and Casualty Insurance                     41
  Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows                       31           Holding Company, Other and Unallocated              49
                                                                       Real 

Estate Entities Acquired from the

  Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity                         32         Annuity Operations                                    52
  Investments                                             33           Discontinued Annuity Operations                     52
  Uncertainties                                           36



FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS

The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a safe harbor for
forward-looking statements. Some of the forward-looking statements can be
identified by the use of words such as "anticipates", "believes", "expects",
"projects", "estimates", "intends", "plans", "seeks", "could", "may", "should",
"will" or the negative version of those words or other comparable terminology.
Such forward-looking statements include statements relating to: expectations
concerning market and other conditions and their effect on future premiums,
revenues, earnings, investment activities, and the amount and timing of share
repurchases; recoverability of asset values; expected losses and the adequacy of
reserves for asbestos, environmental pollution and mass tort claims; rate
changes; and improved loss experience.

Actual results and/or financial condition could differ materially from those
contained in or implied by such forward-looking statements for a variety of
reasons including but not limited to:
•changes in financial, political and economic conditions, including changes in
interest and inflation rates, currency fluctuations and extended economic
recessions or expansions in the U.S. and/or abroad;
•performance of securities markets;
•new legislation or declines in credit quality or credit ratings that could have
a material impact on the valuation of securities in AFG's investment portfolio;
•the availability of capital;
•changes in insurance law or regulation, including changes in statutory
accounting rules, including modifications to capital requirements;
•the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic;
•changes in the legal environment affecting AFG or its customers;
•tax law and accounting changes;
•levels of natural catastrophes and severe weather, terrorist activities
(including any nuclear, biological, chemical or radiological events), incidents
of war or losses resulting from pandemics, civil unrest and other major losses;
•disruption caused by cyber-attacks or other technology breaches or failures by
AFG or its business partners and service providers, which could negatively
impact AFG's business and/or expose AFG to litigation;
•development of insurance loss reserves and establishment of other reserves,
particularly with respect to amounts associated with asbestos and environmental
claims;
•availability of reinsurance and ability of reinsurers to pay their obligations;
•competitive pressures;
•the ability to obtain adequate rates and policy terms;
•changes in AFG's credit ratings or the financial strength ratings assigned by
major ratings agencies to AFG's operating subsidiaries; and
•the impact of the conditions in the international financial markets and the
global economy relating to AFG's international operations.

The forward-looking statements herein are made only as of the date of this
report. The Company assumes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking
statements.

                                       29

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  Table of Contents

                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued

OBJECTIVE

The objective of Management's Discussion and Analysis is to provide a discussion
and analysis of the financial statements and other statistical data that
management believes will enhance the understanding of AFG's financial condition,
changes in financial condition and results of operations. The tables and
narrative that follow are presented in a manner that is consistent with the
information that AFG's management uses to make operational decisions and
allocate capital resources. They are provided to demonstrate the nature of the
transactions and events that could impact AFG's financial results. This
discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements beginning
on page   2  .

OVERVIEW

Financial Condition
AFG is organized as a holding company with almost all of its operations being
conducted by subsidiaries. AFG, however, has continuing cash needs for
administrative expenses, the payment of principal and interest on borrowings,
shareholder dividends, and taxes. Therefore, certain analyses are most
meaningfully presented on a parent only basis while others are best done on a
total enterprise basis. In addition, because its businesses are financial in
nature, AFG does not prepare its consolidated financial statements using a
current-noncurrent format. Consequently, certain traditional ratios and
financial analysis tests are not meaningful.

Results of Operations
Through the operations of its subsidiaries, AFG is engaged primarily in property
and casualty insurance, focusing on specialized commercial products for
businesses. AFG's former annuity operations are reported as discontinued
operations.

AFG reported net earnings from continuing operations of $290 million ($3.40 per
share, diluted) for the first three months of 2022 compared to $267 million
($3.08 per share, diluted) for the first three months of 2021 reflecting higher
underwriting profit, higher net investment income and lower holding company
expenses in 2022 compared to 2021, partially offset by net realized losses on
securities in first three months of 2022 compared to net realized gains on
securities in the first three months of 2021.

Sale of the Annuity Business
In May 2021, AFG sold its annuity business, including Great American Life
Insurance Company ("GALIC") and its two insurance subsidiaries, Annuity
Investors Life Insurance Company and Manhattan National Life Insurance Company
to Massachusetts Mutual Life Insurance Company ("MassMutual"). Total proceeds
from the sale were $3.57 billion and AFG realized an after-tax gain on the sale
of $656 million in the first six months of 2021.

Outlook

AFG's financial condition, results of operations and cash flows are impacted by
the economic, legal and regulatory environment. Inflation, supply chain
disruption, labor shortages and other economic conditions may impact premium
levels, loss cost trends and investment returns. Management believes that AFG's
strong financial position and current liquidity and capital at its subsidiaries
will give AFG the flexibility to continue to effectively address and respond to
the ongoing uncertainties presented by rising inflation, the conflict between
Russia and Ukraine and the COVID-19 pandemic. AFG's insurance subsidiaries
continue to have capital at or in excess of the levels required by ratings
agencies in order to maintain their current ratings, and the parent company does
not have any near-term debt maturities.

Management expects continued premium growth and strong underwriting results in
the ongoing favorable property and casualty insurance market. In addition, the
deployment of cash in a rising interest rate environment is expected to result
in improved investment returns in 2022 compared to 2021.

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES


Significant accounting policies are summarized in Note A - "Accounting Policies"
to the financial statements. The preparation of financial statements in
conformity with GAAP requires management to make estimates and assumptions that
can have a significant effect on amounts reported in the financial statements.
As more information becomes known, these estimates and assumptions change and,
thus, impact amounts reported in the future. The areas where
                                       30

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  Table of Contents

                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued
management believes the degree of judgment required to determine amounts
recorded in the financial statements is most significant are as follows:
•the establishment of insurance reserves, especially asbestos and
environmental-related reserves,
•the recoverability of reinsurance,
•the establishment of asbestos and environmental liabilities of former railroad
and manufacturing operations, and
•the valuation of investments, including the determination of impairment
allowances.

For a discussion of these policies, see Management's Discussion and Analysis -
"Critical Accounting Policies" in AFG's 2021 Form 10-K.

LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES

Ratios

AFG's debt to total capital ratio on a consolidated basis is shown below
(dollars in millions):

                                              March 31, 2022                 December 31,
                                         Actual       Adjusted (*)        2021          2020
Principal amount of long-term debt     $ 1,945       $     1,568       $ 1,993       $ 1,993
Total capital                            6,893             5,835         6,869         7,486
Ratio of debt to total capital:
Including subordinated debt               28.2  %           26.9  %       29.0  %       26.6  %
Excluding subordinated debt               18.4  %           15.3  %       19.2  %       17.6  %


(*)  Reflects the retirement of AFG's 3.50% Senior Notes due in August 2026,
which have been called for redemption on June 3, 2022 and the $8.00 special
dividend payable on May 27, 2022 as if both transactions happened on March 31,
2022.

The ratio of debt to total capital is a non-GAAP measure that management
believes is useful for investors, analysts and ratings agencies to evaluate
AFG's financial strength and liquidity and to provide insight into how AFG
finances its operations. In addition, maintaining a ratio of debt, excluding
subordinated debt and debt secured by real estate (if any), to total capital of
35% or lower is a financial covenant in AFG's bank credit facility. The ratio is
calculated by dividing the principal amount of AFG's long-term debt by its total
capital, which includes long-term debt and shareholders' equity (excluding
unrealized gains (losses) related to fixed maturity investments).

Condensed Consolidated Cash Flows
AFG's principal sources of cash include insurance premiums, income from its
investment portfolio and proceeds from the maturities, redemptions and sales of
investments. Insurance premiums in excess of acquisition expenses and operating
costs are invested until they are needed to meet policyholder obligations or
made available to the parent company through dividends to cover debt obligations
and corporate expenses, and to provide returns to shareholders through share
repurchases and dividends. Cash flows from operating, investing and financing
activities as detailed in AFG's Consolidated Statement of Cash Flows are shown
below (in millions):

                                                     Three months ended March 31,
                                                           2022                     2021
Net cash provided by operating activities    $           503                      $  627
Net cash used in investing activities                 (1,111)               

(938)

Net cash used in financing activities                   (342)               

(172)

Net change in cash and cash equivalents      $          (950)               

$ (483)




Net Cash Provided by Operating Activities  AFG's property and casualty insurance
operations typically produce positive net operating cash flows as premiums
collected and investment income exceed policy acquisition costs, claims payments
and operating expenses. AFG's net cash provided by operating activities is
impacted by the level and timing of property and casualty premiums, claim and
expense payments and recoveries from reinsurers. AFG's discontinued annuity
operations, which were sold in May 2021, typically produced positive net
operating cash flows as investment income exceeded acquisition costs and
operating expenses. Interest credited on annuity policyholder funds is a
non-cash increase in AFG's annuity benefits accumulated liability and annuity
premiums, benefits and withdrawals are considered
                                       31

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                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued
financing activities due to the deposit-type nature of annuities. Cash flows
provided by operating activities also include the activity of AFG's managed
investment entities (collateralized loan obligations ("CLO")) other than those
activities included in investing or financing activities. The changes in the
assets and liabilities of the managed investment entities included in operating
activities increased cash flows from operating activities by $172 million during
the first three months of 2022 and reduced cash flows from operating activities
by $38 million in the first three months of 2021, accounting for a $210 million
increase in cash flows from operating activities in the 2022 period compared to
the 2021 period. As discussed in Note A - "Accounting Policies - Managed
Investment Entities" to the financial statements, AFG has no right to use the
CLO assets and no obligation to pay the CLO liabilities and such assets and
liabilities are shown separately in AFG's Balance Sheet. Excluding the impact of
the managed investment entities, net cash provided by operating activities was
$331 million in the first three months of 2022 compared to $665 million in the
first three months of 2021, a decrease of $334 million reflecting the sale of
the annuity operations.

Net Cash Used in Investing Activities  AFG's investing activities consist
primarily of the investment of funds provided by its property and casualty
businesses and, prior to the May 2021 sale, its discontinued annuity operations.
Net cash used in investing activities was $1.11 billion for the first three
months of 2022 compared to $938 million in the first three months of 2021,
an increase of $173 million as the opportunistic investment of cash on hand in
the property and casualty operations during the rising interest rate environment
in the first three months of 2022 more than offset the absence of investing
activities from the disposed annuity operations. In addition to the investment
of funds provided by the insurance operations, investing activities also include
the purchase and disposal of managed investment entity investments, which are
presented separately in AFG's Balance Sheet. Net investment activity in the
managed investment entities was a $140 million use of cash in the first three
months of 2022 compared to a $30 million source of cash in the comparable 2021
period, accounting for a $170 million increase in net cash used in investing
activities in the first three months of 2022 compared to the same 2021 period.
See Note A - "Accounting Policies - Managed Investment Entities" and Note G -
"Managed Investment Entities" to the financial statements.

Net Cash Used in Financing Activities  AFG's financing activities consist
primarily of issuances and retirements of long-term debt, issuances and
repurchases of common stock, dividend payments and, prior to the sale of the
annuity business, transactions with annuity policyholders. Net cash used in
financing activities was $342 million for the first three months of 2022
compared to $172 million in the first three months of 2021, an increase of
$170 million. The impact of a special dividend and $48 million in debt
retirements in the first three months of 2022 was substantially offset by lower
repurchases of AFG Common Stock compared to the first three months of 2021.
During the first three months of 2022, AFG repurchased $5 million of its Common
Stock compared to $192 million in the comparable 2021 period. In addition to its
regular quarterly cash dividends, AFG paid a special cash dividend of $2.00 per
share in March 2022, which resulted in total cash dividends paid of $216 million
in the first three months of 2022 compared to $43 million in the first three
months of 2021. Financing activities also include issuances and retirements of
managed investment entity liabilities, which are nonrecourse to AFG and
presented separately in AFG's Balance Sheet. Retirements of managed investment
entity liabilities exceeded issuances by $76 million in the first three months
of 2022 compared to issuances exceeding retirements by $27 million in the first
three months of 2021, accounting for a $103 million increase in net cash used in
financing activities in the 2022 period compared to the 2021 period. See Note A
- "Accounting Policies - Managed Investment Entities" and Note G - "Managed
Investment Entities" to the financial statements.

Parent and Subsidiary Liquidity


Parent Holding Company Liquidity  Management believes AFG has sufficient
resources to meet its liquidity requirements. If funds generated from
operations, including dividends, tax payments and borrowings from subsidiaries,
are insufficient to meet fixed charges in any period, AFG would be required to
utilize parent company cash and investments or to generate cash through
borrowings, sales of other assets, or similar transactions.

AFG's capital and liquidity was significantly enhanced as a result of the 2021
sale of its annuity business to MassMutual for proceeds of $3.57 billion.
Management has and will continue to evaluate opportunities for deploying AFG's
significant remaining excess capital, including returning capital to
shareholders in the form of regular and special cash dividends and through
opportunistic share repurchases. In addition, excess capital will be deployed
into AFG's property and casualty businesses as management identifies the
potential for healthy, profitable organic growth, and opportunities to expand
through acquisitions and start-ups that meet target return thresholds.

During the first three months of 2022, AFG repurchased 35,201 shares of its
Common Stock for $5 million and paid a special cash dividend of $2.00 per share
in March totaling $170 million. On May 4, 2022, AFG announced that it will

                                       32

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  Table of Contents

                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued

redeem all of its outstanding 3.50% Senior Notes due August 2026 on June 3,
2022
, using cash on hand at the parent. In addition, AFG declared a special cash
dividend of $8.00 per share (aggregate $680 million), payable on May 27, 2022.


During 2021, AFG repurchased 2,777,684 shares of its Common Stock for
$319 million and paid special cash dividends of $26.00 per share of AFG Common
Stock ($14.00 per share in June, $2.00 per share in August, $4.00 per share in
October, $4.00 per share in November and $2.00 per share in December) totaling
$2.21 billion.

AFG may, at any time and from time to time, seek to retire or purchase its
outstanding debt through cash purchases or exchanges for equity or debt, in
open-market purchases, privately negotiated transactions or otherwise. Such
repurchases or exchanges, if any, will be upon such terms and at such prices as
management may determine, and will depend on prevailing market conditions, AFG's
liquidity requirements, contractual restrictions and other factors. During the
first quarter of 2022, AFG repurchased $48 million principal amount of its 3.50%
Senior Notes due 2026 for $50 million cash, which resulted in a $2 million loss
on retirement of debt (included in other expenses).

In December 2021, AFG acquired Verikai, Inc., a machine learning and artificial
intelligence company that utilizes a predictive risk tool for assessing
insurance risk, for $120 million using cash on hand at the parent.


AFG can borrow up to $500 million under its revolving credit facility, which
expires in December 2025. Amounts borrowed under this agreement bear interest at
rates ranging from 1.00% to 1.875% (currently 1.375%) over LIBOR based on AFG's
credit rating. The credit facility also includes provisions relating to the
replacement of LIBOR with different floating rates in the event of the
discontinuance of LIBOR. There were no borrowings under this agreement, or under
any other parent company short-term borrowing arrangements, during 2021 or the
first three months of 2022.

Under a tax allocation agreement with AFG, all 80% (or more) owned U.S.
subsidiaries generally pay taxes to (or recover taxes from) AFG based on each
subsidiary's contribution to amounts due under AFG's consolidated tax return.


Subsidiary Liquidity  The liquidity requirements of AFG's insurance subsidiaries
relate primarily to the policyholder claims and underwriting expenses and
payments of dividends and taxes to AFG. Historically, cash flows from premiums
and investment income have generally provided more than sufficient funds to meet
these requirements. Funds received in excess of cash requirements are generally
invested in marketable securities. In addition, the insurance subsidiaries
generally hold a significant amount of highly liquid, short duration
investments.

AFG believes its insurance subsidiaries maintain sufficient liquidity to pay
claims and underwriting expenses. In addition, these subsidiaries have
sufficient capital to meet commitments in the event of unforeseen events such as
reserve deficiencies, inadequate premium rates or reinsurer insolvencies. Even
in the current uncertain economic environment, management believes that the
capital levels in AFG's insurance subsidiaries are adequate to maintain its
business and rating agency ratings. Nonetheless, changes in statutory accounting
rules, significant declines in the fair value of the insurance subsidiaries'
investment portfolios or significant ratings downgrades on these investments,
could create a need for additional capital.

Investments

AFG's investment portfolio at March 31, 2022, contained $10.81 billion in fixed
maturity securities classified as available for sale and carried at fair value
with unrealized gains and losses included in accumulated other comprehensive
income and $30 million in fixed maturities classified as trading with holding
gains and losses included in net investment income. In addition, AFG's
investment portfolio includes $705 million in equity securities carried at fair
value with holding gains and losses included in realized gains (losses) on
securities and $317 million in equity securities carried at fair value with
holding gains and losses included in net investment income.

Fair values for AFG's portfolio are determined by AFG's internal investment
professionals using data from nationally recognized pricing services,
non-binding broker quotes and other market information. Fair values of equity
securities are generally based on published closing prices. For AFG's fixed
maturity portfolio, approximately 85% was priced using pricing services at
March 31, 2022 and 8% was priced primarily by using non-binding broker quotes.
When prices obtained for the same security vary, AFG's internal investment
professionals select the price they believe is most indicative of an exit price.

The pricing services use a variety of observable inputs to estimate fair value
of fixed maturities that do not trade on a daily basis. Based upon information
provided by the pricing services, these inputs include, but are not limited to,
recent reported trades, benchmark yields, issuer spreads, bids or offers,
reference data, and measures of volatility. Included in the pricing of
mortgage-backed securities ("MBS") are estimates of the rate of future
prepayments and defaults of principal
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  Table of Contents

                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued
over the remaining life of the underlying collateral. Due to the lack of
transparency in the process that brokers use to develop prices, valuations that
are based on brokers' prices are classified as Level 3 in the GAAP hierarchy
unless the price can be corroborated, for example, by comparison to similar
securities priced using observable inputs.

Valuation techniques utilized by pricing services and prices obtained from
external sources are reviewed by AFG's internal investment professionals who are
familiar with the securities being priced and the markets in which they trade to
ensure the fair value determination is representative of an exit price. To
validate the appropriateness of the prices obtained, these investment managers
consider widely published indices (as benchmarks), recent trades, changes in
interest rates, general economic conditions and the credit quality of the
specific issuers. In addition, AFG communicates directly with pricing services
regarding the methods and assumptions used in pricing, including verifying, on a
test basis, the inputs used by the services to value specific securities.

In general, the fair value of AFG's fixed maturity investments is inversely
correlated to changes in interest rates. The following table demonstrates the
sensitivity of such fair values to reasonably likely changes in interest rates
by illustrating the estimated effect on AFG's fixed maturity portfolio that an
immediate increase of 100 basis points in the interest rate yield curve would
have at March 31, 2022 (dollars in millions). Effects of increases or decreases
from the 100 basis points illustrated would be approximately proportional.

Fair value of fixed maturity portfolio                                  $ 

10,839

Percentage impact on fair value of 100 bps increase in interest rates (2.5 %)
Pretax impact on fair value of fixed maturity portfolio

                 $   

(271)



Approximately 90% of the fixed maturities held by AFG at March 31, 2022, were
rated "investment grade" (credit rating of AAA to BBB) by nationally recognized
rating agencies, 3% were rated "non-investment grade" and 7% were not rated.
Investment grade securities generally bear lower yields and lower degrees of
risk than those that are unrated and non-investment grade. Management believes
that the high-quality investment portfolio should generate a stable and
predictable investment return.

Municipal bonds represented approximately 15% of AFG's fixed maturity portfolio
at March 31, 2022. AFG's municipal bond portfolio is high quality, with more
than 99% of the securities rated investment grade at that date. The portfolio is
well diversified across the states of issuance and individual issuers. At
March 31, 2022, approximately 91% of the municipal bond portfolio was held in
revenue bonds, with the remaining 9% held in general obligation bonds.

Summarized information for the unrealized gains and losses recorded in AFG's
Balance Sheet at March 31, 2022, is shown in the following table (dollars in
millions). Approximately $559 million of available for sale fixed maturity
securities had no unrealized gains or losses at March 31, 2022.

                                                                        Securities          Securities
                                                                           With                With
                                                                        Unrealized          Unrealized
                                                                           Gains              Losses
Available for Sale Fixed Maturities
Fair value of securities                                               $    

3,293 $ 6,957
Amortized cost of securities, net of allowance for expected credit
losses

                                                                 $    3,211          $    7,177
Gross unrealized gain (loss)                                           $       82          $     (220)
Fair value as % of amortized cost                                             103  %               97  %
Number of security positions                                                  964               1,128
Number individually exceeding $2 million gain or loss                           2                   9
Concentration of gains (losses) by type or industry (exceeding 5% of
unrealized):
Mortgage-backed securities                                             $       36          $      (55)

States and municipalities                                                      22                 (13)

Other asset-backed securities                                                   5                 (68)

Asset managers                                                                  2                 (19)
Collateralized loan obligations                                                 2                 (14)

Percentage rated investment grade                                              90  %               95  %



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                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued
The table below sets forth the scheduled maturities of AFG's available for sale
fixed maturity securities at March 31, 2022, based on their fair values.
Securities with sinking funds are reported at average maturity. Actual
maturities may differ from contractual maturities because certain securities may
be called or prepaid by the issuers.

                                                                           Securities                Securities
                                                                              With                      With
                                                                           Unrealized                Unrealized
                                                                              Gains                    Losses
Maturity
One year or less                                                                     17  %                      1  %
After one year through five years                                                    34  %                     20  %
After five years through ten years                                                   10  %                      7  %
After ten years                                                                       3  %                      3  %
                                                                                     64  %                     31  %

Collateralized loan obligations and other asset-backed securities
(average life of approximately 3 years)

                                              27  %                     51  %

Mortgage-backed securities (average life of approximately 5 years)

          9  %                     18  %
                                                                                    100  %                    100  %


The table below (dollars in millions) summarizes the unrealized gains and losses
on fixed maturity securities by dollar amount:

                                        Aggregate        Aggregate          Fair
                                           Fair          Unrealized       Value as
                                          Value         Gain (Loss)       % of Cost
Fixed Maturities at March 31, 2022
Securities with unrealized gains:
Exceeding $500,000 (27 securities)     $      185      $         26           116  %
$500,000 or less (937 securities)           3,108                56         

102 %

                                       $    3,293      $         82           103  %
Securities with unrealized losses:
Exceeding $500,000 (128 securities)    $    2,272      $       (134)           94  %
$500,000 or less (1,000 securities)         4,685               (86)           98  %
                                       $    6,957      $       (220)           97  %



The following table (dollars in millions) summarizes the unrealized losses for
all securities with unrealized losses by issuer quality and the length of time
those securities have been in an unrealized loss position:

                                                              Aggregate           Aggregate                Fair
                                                                Fair              Unrealized             Value as
                                                                Value                Loss                % of Cost

Securities with Unrealized Losses at March 31, 2022
Investment grade fixed maturities with losses for:
Less than one year (898 securities)

                         $    6,326          $      (193)                     97  %
One year or longer (71 securities)                                 285                  (14)                     95  %
                                                            $    6,611          $      (207)                     97  %

Non-investment grade fixed maturities with losses for:
Less than one year (114 securities)

                         $      319          $       (10)                     97  %
One year or longer (45 securities)                                  27                   (3)                     90  %
                                                            $      346          $       (13)                     96  %



When a decline in the value of a specific investment is considered to be
other-than-temporary, an allowance for credit losses (impairment) is charged to
earnings (accounted for as a realized loss). The determination of whether
unrealized losses are other-than-temporary requires judgment based on subjective
as well as objective factors as detailed in AFG's 2021 Form 10-K under
Management's Discussion and Analysis - "Investments."
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                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of

                             Operations - Continued

Based on its analysis, management believes AFG will recover its cost basis (net
of any allowance) in the fixed maturity securities with unrealized losses and
that AFG has the ability to hold the securities until they recover in value and
had no intent to sell them at March 31, 2022. Although AFG has the ability to
continue holding its fixed maturity investments with unrealized losses, its
intent to hold them may change due to deterioration in the issuers'
creditworthiness, decisions to lessen exposure to a particular issuer or
industry, asset/liability management decisions, market movements, changes in
views about appropriate asset allocation or the desire to offset taxable
realized gains. Should AFG's ability or intent change regarding a particular
security, a charge for impairment would likely be required. While it is not
possible to accurately predict if or when a specific security will become
impaired, increases in the allowance for credit losses could be material to
results of operations in future periods. Significant declines in the fair value
of AFG's investment portfolio could have a significant adverse effect on AFG's
liquidity. For information on AFG's realized gains (losses) on securities, see
"Results of Operations - Realized Gains (Losses) on Securities."

Uncertainties

Management believes that the areas posing the greatest risk of material loss are
the adequacy of its insurance reserves and contingencies arising out of its
former railroad and manufacturing operations. See Management's Discussion and
Analysis - "Uncertainties - Asbestos and Environmental-related ("A&E") Insurance
Reserves" in AFG's 2021 Form 10-K.

MANAGED INVESTMENT ENTITIES


Accounting standards require AFG to consolidate its investments in
collateralized loan obligation ("CLO") entities that it manages and owns an
interest in (in the form of debt). See Note A - "Accounting Policies - Managed
Investment Entities" and Note G - "Managed Investment Entities" to the financial
statements. The effect of consolidating these entities is shown in the tables
below (in millions). The "Before CLO Consolidation" columns include AFG's
investment and earnings in the CLOs on an unconsolidated basis.
                                       36

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  Table of Contents

                      AMERICAN FINANCIAL GROUP, INC. 10-Q

   Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
                             Operations - Continued

                     CONDENSED CONSOLIDATING BALANCE SHEET

                                                                                                        Managed
                                                                                Before CLO             Investment           Consol.                         Consolidated
                                                                               Consolidation            Entities            Entries                         As Reported
March 31, 2022
Assets:
Cash and investments                                                         $       15,720          $         -          $   (119)         (*)           $      15,601
Assets of managed investment entities                                                     -                5,231                 -                                5,231
Other assets                                                                          7,930                    -                 -          (*)                   7,930
Total assets                                                                 $       23,650          $     5,231          $   (119)                       $      28,762
Liabilities:
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums             $       14,192          $         -          $      -                        $      14,192
Liabilities of managed investment entities                                                -                5,201               (89)         (*)         

5,112

Long-term debt and other liabilities                                                  4,623                    -                 -                                4,623
Total liabilities                                                                    18,815                5,201               (89)                              23,927

Shareholders' equity:
Common Stock and Capital surplus                                                      1,425                   30               (30)                               1,425
Retained earnings                                                                     3,541                    -                 -                                3,541
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of tax                              (131)                   -                 -                                 (131)
Total shareholders' equity                                                            4,835                   30               (30)                               4,835

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity                                   $       23,650          $     5,231          $   (119)                       $      28,762

December 31, 2021
Assets:
Cash and investments                                                         $       15,821          $         -          $    (76)         (*)           $      15,745
Assets of managed investment entities                                                     -                5,296                 -                                5,296
Other assets                                                                          7,890                    -                 -          (*)                   7,890
Total assets                                                                 $       23,711          $     5,296          $    (76)                       $      28,931
Liabilities:
Unpaid losses and loss adjustment expenses and unearned premiums             $       14,115          $         -          $      -                        $      14,115
Liabilities of managed investment entities                                                -                5,296               (76)         (*)         

5,220

Long-term debt and other liabilities                                                  4,584                    -                 -                                4,584
Total liabilities                                                                    18,699                5,296               (76)                              23,919

Shareholders' equity:
Common Stock and Capital surplus                                                      1,415                    -                 -                                1,415
Retained earnings                                                                     3,478                    -                 -                                3,478
Accumulated other comprehensive income, net of tax                                      119                    -                 -                                  119
Total shareholders' equity                                                            5,012                    -                 -                                5,012

Total liabilities and shareholders' equity                                   $       23,711          $     5,296          $    (76)                     

$ 28,931

(*)Elimination of the fair value of AFG's investment in CLOs and related accrued
interest.

                                       37

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Table of Contents

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