ALLSTATE CORP – 10-Q – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations

Overview

The following discussion highlights significant factors influencing the
consolidated financial position and results of operations of The Allstate
Corporation (referred to in this document as "we," "our," "us," the "Company" or
"Allstate"). It should be read in conjunction with the condensed consolidated
financial statements and related notes thereto found under Part I. Item 1.
contained herein, and with the discussion, analysis, consolidated financial
statements and notes thereto in Part I. Item 1. and Part II. Item 7. and Item 8.
of The Allstate Corporation annual report on Form 10-K for 2021, filed
February 18, 2022.

Further analysis of our insurance segments is provided in the Property-Liability
Operations and Segment Results sections, including Allstate Protection and
Run-off Property-Liability, Protection Services and Allstate Health and
Benefits, of Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A"). The segments are
consistent with the way in which the chief operating decision maker reviews
financial performance and makes decisions about the allocation of resources.

Subsequent event

On October 18, 2022, Allstate closed the sale of its headquarters for
$232 million resulting in a gain of approximately $99 million, pre-tax in the
fourth quarter of 2022. $16 million of the gain will be classified in
Property-Liability net gains and losses on investments and derivatives and
$83 million will be classified as other income within the Corporate and Other
segment, but excluded from adjusted net income, the measure of segment profit or
loss. The sale will reduce real estate expenses and further advance Allstate's
multi-year Transformative Growth initiative.

The Novel Coronavirus Pandemic or COVID-19 ("Coronavirus")

The Coronavirus resulted in governments worldwide enacting emergency measures to
combat the spread of the virus, including travel restrictions,
government-imposed shelter-in-place orders, quarantine periods, social
distancing, and restrictions on large gatherings. These measures have moderated,
but new variants of the Coronavirus could result in further economic volatility.
We continue to closely monitor and proactively adapt to developments and
changing conditions. Currently, it is not possible to reliably estimate the
impact to our operations, but the effects have been and could be material.

Certain growth and profitability comparisons to the prior year were impacted, in
part, by the effects the Coronavirus had on our prior year results. Beginning in
March 2020, when shelter-in-place orders and other restrictions were initiated,
and throughout 2021, we experienced lower auto accident claim frequency and
different claim patterns than historically experienced. Total auto claim
frequency has increased through the first nine months of 2022 and during 2021,
but remains below pre-pandemic levels.

The Coronavirus has affected our operations and may continue to significantly
affect our results of operations, financial condition and liquidity. The impact
from the pandemic should be considered when comparing the current period to the
prior period, including:

•Sales of new and retention of existing policies

•Rate changes and average gross premiums

•Supply chain disruptions and labor shortages increasing the cost of settling
claims

•Premium for transportation network products

•Driving behavior and auto accident frequency

•Hospital and outpatient claim costs

•Investment valuations and returns

•Bad debt and credit allowance exposure

•Consumer utilization of Milewise®, our pay-per-mile insurance product

•Retail sales in Allstate Protection Plans

This list is not inclusive of all potential impacts and should not be treated as
such. Within the MD&A we have included further disclosures related to the
impacts of the Coronavirus on our 2022 results.

Russia/Ukraine Conflict

The Russia-Ukraine war and related sanctions imposed as a result of this
conflict have increased global economic and political uncertainty, including
inflationary pressures and an increased risk of cybersecurity incidents.
Allstate does not have operations or direct investments in Russia, Belarus or
Ukraine, but we could experience significant indirect impacts on the investment
portfolio, financial position, or results of operations.

Corporate Strategy

Our strategy has two components: increase personal property-liability market
share and expand protection offerings by leveraging the Allstate brand, customer
base and other core capabilities.

Transformative Growth is about creating a business model, capabilities and
culture that continually transform to better serve customers. This is done by
providing affordable, simple and connected protection through multiple
distribution partners. The ultimate objective is to create continuous
transformative growth in all businesses.

In the personal property-liability businesses this has five key components:

•Expanding customer access

•Improving customer value

•Increasing customer acquisition sophistication

•Modernizing the technology ecosystem

•Enhancing organizational capabilities

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Protection services businesses are being expanded by leveraging enterprise
capabilities and resources such as distribution, brand, analytics, claims,
investment expertise, talent and capital.

Acquisitions and Dispositions

Acquisitions On January 4, 2021, we completed the acquisition of National
General Holdings Corp. ("National General"), significantly enhancing our
strategic position in the independent agency channel. The transaction increased
our market share in personal property-liability by over one percentage point and
enhanced our independent agent-facing technology.

Discontinued operations and held for sale On October 1, 2021, we closed the sale
of Allstate Life Insurance Company of New York ("ALNY") to Wilton Reassurance
Company for $400 million. On November 1, 2021, we closed the sale of Allstate
Life Insurance Company ("ALIC") and certain affiliates to entities managed by
Blackstone for total proceeds of $4 billion, including a pre-close dividend of
$1.25 billion paid by ALIC.

In 2021 and prior periods, the assets and liabilities of the businesses were
reclassified as held for sale and results were presented as discontinued
operations.

See Note 3 of the condensed consolidated financial statements for further
information on acquisitions and dispositions.

Measuring segment profit or loss

The measure of segment profit or loss used in evaluating performance is
underwriting income for the Allstate Protection and Run-off Property-Liability
segments and adjusted net income for the Protection Services, Allstate Health
and Benefits and Corporate and Other segments.

Underwriting income is calculated as premiums earned and other revenue, less
claims and claims expense ("losses"), amortization of deferred policy
acquisition costs ("DAC"), operating costs and expenses, amortization or
impairment of purchased intangibles and restructuring and related charges, as
determined using accounting principles generally accepted in the United States
of America ("GAAP"). We use this measure in our evaluation of results of
operations to analyze profitability.

Adjusted net income is net income (loss) applicable to common shareholders,
excluding:

  •   Net gains and losses on investments and derivatives
  •   Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses
  •   Business combination expenses and the amortization or impairment of purchased
      intangibles
  •   Income or loss from discontinued operations
  •   Gain or loss on disposition of operations
  •   Adjustments for other significant non-recurring, infrequent or unusual items, when (a)
      the nature of the charge or gain is such that it is reasonably unlikely to recur
      within two years, or (b) there has been no similar charge or gain within the prior two
      years
  •   Income tax expense or benefit on reconciling items



                                                 Third Quarter 2022 Form 10-Q 47

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Highlights

            Consolidated net income
($ in millions)


    Q1      Q2      Q3

[[Image Removed: all-20220930_g2.jpg]]
Consolidated net loss applicable to common shareholders was $694 million and $1.11 billion
in the third quarter and first nine months of 2022, respectively, compared to income of $508
million and $695 million in the third quarter and first nine months of 2021, respectively,
primarily due to higher losses, excluding catastrophes, and equity valuation decreases,
partially offset by increased Property-Liability premiums earned and the loss on the sale of
the life and annuities business in the first nine months of 2021.

For the twelve months ended September 30, 2022, return on Allstate common shareholders'
equity was (1.6)%, a decrease of 14.8% from 13.2% for the twelve months ended September 30,
2021.

        Total revenue
($ in millions)

[[Image Removed: all-20220930_g3.jpg]]

Total revenue increased 5.8% to $13.21 billion and increased 0.5% to $37.77 billion in the
third quarter and first nine months of 2022, respectively, compared to the same periods of
2021. The increase in both periods is due to increases of 9.9% and 8.4% in property and
casualty insurance premiums earned in the third quarter and first nine months of 2022,
respectively, partially offset by net losses on investments and derivatives in 2022 compared
to net gains in 2021 and decreases in net investment income.
Insurance premiums earned increased for Property-Liability and Protection Services.

       Net investment income
($ in millions)

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Net investment income decreased $74 million to $690 million in the third quarter of 2022 and
decreased $600 million to $1.85 billion in the first nine months of 2022 compared to the
same periods of 2021. The decrease in both periods was primarily due to lower
performance-based investment results, mainly from limited partnerships, partially offset by
higher market-based fixed income portfolio yields.

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Financial highlights

Investments totaled $61.01 billion as of September 30, 2022, decreasing from
$64.70 billion as of December 31, 2021.

Allstate shareholders' equity As of September 30, 2022, Allstate shareholders'
equity was $17.67 billion.

Book value per common share (ratio of Allstate common shareholders' equity to
total common shares outstanding and dilutive potential common shares
outstanding) was $58.35, a decrease of 31.0% from $84.62 as of September 30,
2021, and a decrease of 28.4% from $81.52 as of December 31, 2021.

Return on average Allstate common shareholders' equity For the twelve months
ended September 30, 2022, return on Allstate common shareholders' equity was
(1.6)%, a decrease of 14.8 points from 13.2% for the twelve months ended
September 30, 2021. The decrease was primarily due to lower net income
applicable to common shareholders for the trailing twelve-month period ending
September 30, 2022.

Pension and other postretirement remeasurement gains and losses We recorded
pension and other postretirement remeasurement losses of $79 million in the
third quarter of 2022, primarily related to unfavorable asset performance
compared to expected return on plan assets, partially offset by a reduction in
the projected benefit obligation due to an increase in the liability discount
rate.

We recorded losses of $91 million in the first nine months of 2022, primarily
related to unfavorable asset performance compared to expected return on plan
assets, partially offset by a reduction in the projected benefit obligation due
to an increase in the liability discount rate and changes in other assumptions,
primarily related to an increase in the long-term lump sum interest rate.