New Solvency II Insurance Regulations Go Too Far and Policyholders will Ultimately Bear the Costs, Says BNY Mellon-Economist Intelligence Unit Study
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New research sponsored by
Encompassing a fundamental review of the capital adequacy regime for the European insurance industry and set for implementation in
<p>"However, the survey suggests there is a real concern that the cost of regulation may raise the cost of life cover and annuities, perhaps beyond a tipping point. It also suggests that, as currently calibrated, the regulations will inadvertently crowd out debt and equity capital for industry in favour of EU sovereign debt and unproductive cash holdings. That will make it ever more difficult for insurers to make those positive contributions to society."
Solvency II was designed to ensure better protection for policyholders, but raises important questions about the extent to which consumers and corporates will ultimately foot the bill for the new regulations - either directly through higher costs or indirectly via less comprehensive products. Meanwhile, the demands of the new regime threaten to disrupt the key role played by insurers as investors in the capital markets, by pushing them towards 'safer' assets with lower capital charges, and away from the equities and non-investment grade debt on which much private industry depends for financing.
Only 16% of respondents agreed that the proposed legislation strikes the right balance when it comes to ensuring insurers have sufficient capital to meet their guarantees. Insurers and FIs (excluding insurers) are more critical of Solvency II, with 55% believing the directive goes too far compared to 39% of corporates (non FIs). Less than one in five insurance respondents (18%) believe that most insurers are insufficiently capitalised under the present regime.
A majority of respondents believe that policyholders will end up paying for implementing the directive, although insurers are markedly less convinced (57%) than FIs (excluding insurers) (82%) and corporates (non FIs) (69%) raising the question of how they see the costs of regime change being met. Over half of survey respondents (51%) believe the shift to unit-linked policies, which put the investment risk on the policyholder, will have a negative long-term affect on pension and long-term savings provision, with life insurance and annuities considered the products most likely to be negatively affected.
Other key findings include:
Insurers expect to further de-risk their asset allocations - a clear shift down the risk spectrum is anticipated by respondents. Assets expected to attract more interest include investment-grade corporate bonds, cash and short-dated debt, at the expense of non-investment-grade bonds, equities and long-dated debt.
Corporates seem less aware of the impact Solvency II will have on debt issuance - among insurers and FIs (excluding insurers) there is a strong consensus that Solvency II will make the tenor and rating of bonds from corporate issuers more significant, as insurers, driven by capital charge considerations, are increasingly pushed towards investment-grade debt.
Regulators should revisit their capital charge levels - overall, less than a quarter of respondents (22%) believe that regulators should maintain the current capital charges.
Solvency II may create a 'squeezed middle' among insurers - only 16% of respondents expect no material impact from Solvency II on the structure of smaller friendlies and mutuals, and more than half (54%) believe the pressures of the new regime will result in a spate of consolidations to achieve scale.
The EIU is headquartered in
TNS C 71NayakRashmita 120302-MJ88-3792098 StaffFurigay
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