FEDERAL HOME LOAN BANK OF CINCINNATI – 10-K – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
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EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW Financial Condition Mission Asset Activity The following table summarizes our financial condition. Year Ended December 31, Ending Balances Average Balances (In millions) 2012 2011 2012 2011 Total Assets $ 81,562 $ 60,397 $ 66,702 $ 67,288 Mission Asset Activity: Advances (principal) 53,621 27,839 32,273 28,635 MPP: Mortgage loans held for portfolio (principal) 7,366 7,752 7,821 7,610 Mandatory Delivery Contracts (notional) 124 431 260 268 Total MPP 7,490 8,183 8,081 7,878 Letters of Credit (notional) 10,152 4,838 4,584 5,219 Total Mission Asset Activity $ 71,263 $ 40,860 $
44,938
In 2012, the FHLBank continued to effectively fulfill its mission by providing readily available and competitively priced wholesale funding to its member financial institutions, supporting its commitment to affordable housing, and paying stockholders a competitive dividend return on their capital investment. As in the last few years, the vast majority of our members had limited demand for Advance growth due to the tepid economic expansion and significant amounts of liquidity available to members as a result of the actions of theFederal Reserve System . However, we did experience a significant amount of Advance growth in the second half of the year from one new, large-asset member.
Total assets at
The balance of Mission Asset Activity - comprising Advances, Letters of Credit, and the MPP - was$71.3 billion atDecember 31, 2012 , an increase of$30.4 billion (74 percent) from year-end 2011. The growth was led by a$25.8 billion increase in the principal balance of Advances. Average Advance principal balances in 2012 increased$3.6 billion (13 percent) from 2011's average.
The principal balance of mortgage loans held for portfolio in the MPP at
Despite the recent years' difficulties in the economy and housing market, in 2012 members funded on average 3.1 percent of their assets with Advances, and the penetration rate was relatively stable with almost 75 percent of members holding Mission Asset Activity. These ratios were similar to those of 2011. Also, the number of active sellers and participants, and member interest, in the MPP remained at strong levels. Based on 2012 earnings, we contributed$27 million to theAffordable Housing Program pool of funds to be awarded to members in 2013. This continued a trend of adding to the available funds each year since the inception of the program in 1990. In addition, we also continued to sponsor a voluntary housing program (theCarol M. Peterson Housing Fund ) and established a new voluntary program (the Disaster Reconstruction Program). In 2012,$3 million was awarded under these programs, both of which have been authorized by the Board of Directors to be continued in 2013. 26
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Other Assets The balance of investments atDecember 31, 2012 was$20.0 billion , a decrease of$2.0 billion (nine percent) from year-end 2011. Average investment balances were$25.7 billion in 2012, a decrease of$4.3 billion (14 percent) from 2011's average. Year-end 2012 investments included$12.8 billion of mortgage-backed securities and$7.2 billion of other investments, which are mostly short-term liquidity instruments. Although the amount of liquidity investments declined in 2012 (which corresponded to the growth in Advances), we maintained an adequate amount of asset liquidity throughout the year under standard liquidity measures. All of our mortgage-backed securities held atDecember 31, 2012 were issued and guaranteed by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac or a U.S. agency.
Capital
Capital adequacy continued to be strong in 2012, exceeding all minimum regulatory capital requirements. The GAAP capital-to-assets ratio atDecember 31, 2012 was 5.56 percent, while the regulatory capital-to-assets ratio was 5.84 percent. Both ratios were well above the regulatory required minimum of four percent but were lower than year-end 2011's ratios due to an increase in financial leverage resulting from the Advance growth. Regulatory capital includes mandatorily redeemable capital stock accounted for as a liability under GAAP. The amounts of GAAP and regulatory capital increased$978 million and$914 million , respectively, between year-end 2011 and 2012, resulting from members' capital stock purchases to support Advance growth and additional retained earnings. Total retained earnings were$538 million atDecember 31, 2012 , an increase of$94 million (21 percent) from year-end 2011. Retained earnings were comprised of$479 million unrestricted and$59 million restricted.
Results of Operations
The table below summarizes our results of operations.
Year Ended December 31, (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011 2010 Net income $ 235 $ 138 $ 164 Affordable Housing Program accrual 27 17
20
Return on average equity (ROE) 6.20 % 3.89 % 4.67 % Return on average assets 0.35 0.21
0.24
Weighted average dividend rate 4.44 4.25
4.38
Average 3-month LIBOR 0.43 0.34
0.34
Average overnight Federal funds effective rate 0.14 0.10
0.18
ROE spread to 3-month LIBOR 5.77 3.55
4.33
Dividend rate spread to 3-month LIBOR 4.01 3.91
4.04
ROE spread to Federal funds effective rate 6.06 3.79
4.49
Dividend rate spread to Federal funds effective rate 4.30 4.15
4.20
The spreads between ROE and short-term interest rates, for which we use 3-month LIBOR and Federal funds as a proxy, are market benchmarks we believe stockholders use to assess the competitiveness of the return on their capital investment in our company. Earnings continued to be sufficient to provide competitive returns to stockholders' capital investment. Consistent with experience over the last several years, ROE was significantly above short-term rates, resulting in the ROE spreads being wider than the historical average spreads. Using our current balance sheet and operating expense structure, we estimate that the long-term average ROE in a stable market and interest rate environment would be in the range of 2.50 to 3.50 percentage points above short-term interest rates. Ongoing factors determining the current elevated trend level of ROE spread to market interest rates, compared to the long-term historical range, include the extremely low level of short-term rates, our ability to retire a large amount of high-cost Bonds before their final maturities, and muted acceleration of mortgage prepayment speeds. 27
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The$97 million increase in net income and the 2.31 percentage point increase in ROE in 2012 over 2011 resulted primarily from the following favorable factors, in order of magnitude: ?The FHLBank System's REFCORP obligation was satisfied at the end of the second quarter of 2011. Payment of the REFCORP obligation, which had been
recorded as a reduction to net income, was replaced with an allocation of
20 percent of net income to a separate restricted retained earnings account under the Joint Capital Enhancement Agreement. This change increased net income by$19 million in 2012.
? Portfolio funding costs declined due to our strategies and actions related
to asset-liability management, which improved net interest income by an
estimated
points. As in the last several years, we continued to call a significant
amount of high-cost debt (Bonds) before their final maturities and
replaced them with new debt at substantially lower rates. Second, the
amount of mortgage assets we funded with short-term debt increased in the
third quarter of 2012. Third, the spread between LIBOR-indexed assets and
Discount Note funding costs widened slightly in 2012.
? Prepayment fees on Advances rose
? Realized gains from the clean-up sales of certain mortgage-backed
securities rose
percent of the original acquired principal remaining and were sold under a
periodic clean-up process.
? The growth in average Advance balances and new capital stock purchased to
support this growth improved net interest income by an estimated $12
million and ROE by an estimated 0.08 percentage points. The net impact on
ROE was relatively modest because of the additional stock associated with the Advance growth. ? The provision for credit losses was reduced$11 million due to improvements in the housing market.
? Unrealized market values of derivatives and hedging activities increased
$11 million . ? Net amortization expense of purchase premiums on mortgage assets and of premium/discounts and concession costs on Consolidated Obligations
decreased
Several of the factors contributing to the increase in 2012's profitability will not significantly affect future earnings from ongoing business operations. These factors--which include the Advance prepayment fees, securities gains, and changes to derivatives values--represented approximately 0.87 percentage points of the total 2.31 percentage points increase in ROE and approximately 1.38 percentage points of the 6.20 percent total 2012 ROE. Therefore, even if these factors had not been present in 2012, profitability as represented by ROE would have remained significantly above short-term interest rates.
Business Outlook and Risk Management
This section summarizes the business outlook and what we believe are our current major risk exposures. Item 1A's "Risk Factors" has a detailed discussion of risk factors that could affect our corporate objectives, financial condition, and results of operations. "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management" provides details on current risk exposures. Many of the issues related to our financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity discussed throughout this document relate directly to the ongoing effects of the weak economic recovery and to the federal government's actions to stimulate economic growth. Strategic/Business Risk Advances. We cannot predict the future trend of Mission Asset Activity because it depends on, among other things, the state of the economy, conditions in the housing markets, the government's liquidity programs, the willingness and ability of financial institutions to expand lending, regulatory initiatives that could affect demand for our Mission Asset Activity, and the actions of several large members. Our business is cyclical and Mission Asset Activity normally grows slowly, stabilizes, or declines in periods of difficult macro-economic conditions, when financial institutions have ample liquidity, or when there is significant growth in the money supply. All of these conditions continue to exist. We would expect to see a broad-based increase in Advance demand when the economy experiences a sustained improvement or if changes in Federal Reserve policy reduce other sources of liquidity available to our members. Additionally, there are$3.6 billion of Advances held by former members that will mature over the next several years. Two national financial institutions became members in 2012. One had Advance borrowings atDecember 31, 2012 totaling$26.0 billion . The addition of these new members may, over time, result in further increases to Advance balances that also may further change the concentration of Advances and the identity of our largest Advance borrowers. 28
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We continue to be concerned about several regulatory initiatives that could affect Advance demand over time. One rule already implemented increasedFDIC assessments for large financial institutions that utilize Advances, effectively raising the cost of borrowing from an FHLBank for certain members. Although we cannot determine whether this rule has affected Advance balances to date (due in part to members' already subdued demand for Advances), it could adversely affect Advance demand over time to the extent the changes in assessments increase the cost of Advances for affected members.
There are several potential statutory and regulatory changes, as well as existing changes that must be implemented, that could affect our Advance business. These are discussed in Item 1A's "Risk Factors."
MPP. Our strategy for the MPP continues to emphasize moderate growth and a prudent principal balance limit relative to capital. This strategy will help ensure that our exposure to market and credit risk remains consistent with our conservative risk management principles. We will continue to emphasize recruiting community financial institution members and increasing the number of regular sellers. The primary regulation currently affecting growth of MPP balances is that if our purchases in a calendar year exceed$2.5 billion , we are required by regulation to enact affordable housing goals for the MPP. We believe these could be operationally costly to administer and could increase our credit risk exposure and reputational risk. As a result, we currently plan to limit our calendar year purchases to less than$2.5 billion as long as this regulatory requirement is in place. Regulatory and Legislative RiskThe FHLBank System currently faces heightened legislative and regulatory risks and uncertainties, which we believe has affected, and could continue to affect, Mission Asset Activity, capitalization, and results of operations. Current such risks are discussed in Item 1A's "Risk Factors." Market Risk and Profitability Average market risk exposure in 2012 remained moderate and well within policy limits. Based on the totality of our market risk analysis, we expect that profitability, defined as the level of ROE compared with short-term market rates, will remain competitive unless interest rates change by extremely large amounts in a short period of time. Decreases in long-term interest rates, even up to two percentage points (which would put fixed-rate mortgages at two percent or less), would still result in ROE being above market interest rates. However, sharp reductions in long-term rates could result in an immediate large accelerated recognition of amortization of mortgage asset premiums, which could negatively impact our results of operations. We believe that profitability would not become uncompetitive unless long-term rates were to increase immediately and permanently by four percentage points or more combined with short-term rates increasing to at least eight percent. Such large changes in interest rates would not result in negative earnings, unless these rate environments occurred quickly, lasted for a long period of time, and were coupled with very unfavorable changes in other market and business variables or our business model. We believe such a scenario is extremely unlikely to occur. Capital Adequacy We have always maintained compliance with our capital requirements. We believe that the amount of retained earnings is sufficient to protect against impairment risk of capital stock and to provide the opportunity to stabilize dividends. Our Capital Plan has safeguards to prevent financial leverage from increasing beyond regulatory minimums or safe levels. We believe members continue to place a high value on their capital investment in our company. Capital ratios in 2012 were well above the regulatory required minimum of four percent but were lower than year-end 2011's ratios due to an increase in financial leverage resulting from the Advance growth. Credit Risk We continued in 2012 to experience limited overall credit risk exposure from offering Advances, making investments, and executing derivative transactions. We believe policies and procedures related to credit underwriting, Advance collateral management, and transactions with investment and derivative counterparties continue to fully mitigate these risks. The FHLBank is a collateral-based asset lender for Advances and Letters of Credit. We have robust policies, strategies and processes designed to manage credit risk on Credit Services. Advances are overcollateralized and we have a perfected first lien position on all pledged loan collateral, as well as conservative policies and procedures related to managing credit risk on Advances. We do not anticipate any losses from Advances or Letters of Credit. 29
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The MPP is comprised of conforming fixed-rate conventional loans and loans fully insured by theFederal Housing Administration . Credit enhancements on the MPP's conventional loans are designed to adequately protect the FHLBank against credit losses in scenarios of severe downward movements in housing prices and unfavorable changes in other factors that can affect loan delinquencies and defaults. Actual MPP delinquencies and defaults on conventional loans are well below national averages on similar loans. At the end of 2012, the allowance for credit losses in the MPP was$18 million . We believe the portfolio's credit risk will remain moderate and manageable. However, in an adverse scenario of further large reductions in home prices, sustained elevated levels of unemployment, or failure of one or more mortgage insurance providers, credit losses experienced in the portfolio net of credit enhancements could increase substantially. We believe we face limited credit risk exposure in our investments. As in prior years, we did not evaluate any investments to be other-than-temporarily impaired in 2012. As of the end of 2012, we held no private label mortgage-backed securities; all our mortgage-backed securities were issued and guaranteed by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac, which we believe have the backing of the U.S. government, or by theNational Credit Union Administration , which issues guaranteed securities. Liquidity investments are either unsecured, guaranteed by the U.S. government, or secured (i.e., collateralized). For unsecured liquidity investments, we invest in the debt securities of highly rated, investment-grade institutions, have conservative limits on dollar and maturity exposure to each institution, and have strong credit underwriting practices. We believe our exposure within investment activity to European sovereign debt is limited. Finally, we collateralize most of the credit risk exposure resulting from interest rate swap transactions. The uncollateralized portion of our derivative asset position, which is normally relatively small, presents unsecured credit risk exposure to us. Funding and Liquidity Risk Our liquidity position remained ample and strong during 2012, as did our overall ability to fund operations through Consolidated Obligation issuances at acceptable terms, availability, and interest costs. While there can be no assurances, we believe there is only a remote possibility of a funding or liquidity crisis in theFHLBank System that could impair our FHLBank's ability to access the capital markets, service debt or pay competitive dividends. The System continued to experience uninterrupted access on acceptable terms to the capital markets for its debt issuance and funding needs. Spreads on the System's longer-term Consolidated Obligations to U.S. Treasury rates and LIBOR did not change materially in 2012.
CONDITIONS IN THE ECONOMY AND FINANCIAL MARKETS
Effect of Economy and Financial Markets on Mission Asset Activity
The primary external factors that affect our Mission Asset Activity and earnings are the general state and trends of the economy and financial institutions, especially in ourFifth District ; conditions in the financial, credit, mortgage, and housing markets; interest rates; and competitive alternatives to our products, such as retail deposits and other sources of wholesale funding. In the last several years, the relatively weak economy and continued housing and mortgage market stresses have resulted in slow growth in consumer, mortgage and commercial loans across the broad membership both in absolute terms and relative to deposit growth. This trend has limited many members' demand for Advances. FromSeptember 30, 2011 toSeptember 30, 2012 (the most recent period for which data are available), aggregate loan portfolios ofFifth District depository institutions' grew$69.4 billion (6.3 percent) while their aggregate deposit balances rose$52.2 billion (2.9 percent). However, most of the loan growth in this period occurred from our largest members, which is consistent with nationwide trends in the last several years of increasing concentration of financial activity among large financial companies. Excluding the five members with assets over$50 billion , aggregate loans increased only$3.7 billion (2.0 percent) in the 12-month period while aggregate deposits grew$5.7 billion (2.5 percent). We have no reason to believe that these trends changed materially in the fourth quarter of 2012.
Other factors also continuing to negatively impact demand for our credit services are the extremely low levels of interest rates and the Federal Reserve's ongoing actions to provide an extraordinary amount of liquidity to stimulate economic growth, as discussed elsewhere.
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Interest Rates
Trends in market interest rates affect members' demand for Mission Asset Activity, earnings, spreads on assets, funding costs and decisions in managing the tradeoffs in our market risk/return profile. The following tables present key market interest rates (obtained fromBloomberg L.P. ). Year 2012 Year 2011 Year 2010 Ending Average Ending Average Ending Average Federal funds target 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% Federal funds effective 0.09 0.14 0.04 0.10 0.13 0.18 3-month LIBOR 0.31 0.43 0.58 0.34 0.30 0.34 2-year LIBOR 0.39 0.50 0.72 0.72 0.79 0.93 5-year LIBOR 0.86 0.98 1.23 1.79 2.17 2.17 10-year LIBOR 1.84 1.88 2.04 2.90 3.38 3.26 2-year U.S. Treasury 0.25 0.27 0.24 0.44 0.60 0.69 5-year U.S. Treasury 0.72 0.75 0.83 1.51 2.01 1.92 10-year U.S. Treasury 1.76 1.78 1.88 2.76 3.30 3.20 15-year mortgage current coupon (1) 1.71 1.64 2.05 2.83 3.43 3.14 30-year mortgage current coupon (1) 2.22 2.54 2.92 3.74 4.15 3.98 15-year mortgage note rate (2) 2.86 3.15 3.24 3.68 4.20 4.10 30-year mortgage note rate (2) 3.52 3.84 3.95 4.45 4.86 4.69 Year 2012 by Quarter - Average Quarter 1 Quarter 2 Quarter 3 Quarter 4 Federal Funds Target 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% 0-0.25% Federal Funds Effective 0.10 0.15 0.14 0.16 3-month LIBOR 0.51 0.47 0.42 0.32 2-year LIBOR 0.59 0.59 0.44 0.38 5-year LIBOR 1.17 1.09 0.86 0.81 10-year LIBOR 2.12 1.95 1.73 1.74 2-year U.S. Treasury 0.28 0.28 0.25 0.26 5-year U.S. Treasury 0.89 0.78 0.66 0.69 10-year U.S. Treasury 2.02 1.80 1.63 1.69
15-year mortgage current coupon (1) 1.92 1.77 1.34
1.55
30-year mortgage current coupon (1) 2.90 2.78 2.32
2.16
15-year mortgage note rate (2) 3.19 3.04 2.84
2.89
30-year mortgage note rate (2) 3.92 3.79 3.55
3.55
(1) Simple average of current coupon rates of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac par mortgage-backed security indications. (2) Simple weekly average of 125 national lenders' mortgage rates for prime borrowers having a 20 percent down payment as surveyed and published by Freddie Mac. Short-term rates remained at historic lows in 2012. The Federal Reserve maintained the overnight Federal funds target and effective rates between zero and 0.25 percent, with other short-term rates generally consistent with their historical relationships to Federal funds. 31
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Intermediate- and long-term rates, including those on fixed-rate mortgages, declined throughout 2012 and atDecember 31, 2012 were generally lower than at the end of 2011. Average intermediate- and long-term rates declined more than ending rates because rates also fell throughout 2011. The interest rate trends had several effects on our results of operations in 2012, as discussed in "Executive Overview" and "Results of Operations." The Federal Reserve has indicated that it currently plans to hold certain short-term rates at or near zero until at least mid-2015. This projection could change if actual economic growth or inflation, or its forecast thereof, accelerate. Future changes in long-term rates are more difficult to predict since the Federal Reserve has less control over these rates. As discussed in "Executive Overview" and the "Market Risk" section of "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management," we believe our market risk profile is positioned to remain moderate and our profitability competitive across a wide range of interest rate environments. Despite the continued trend of declining intermediate- and long-term rates during 2012, the interest rate environment remained favorable for our results of operations in terms of the spread between our level of profitability (ROE) and the levels of interest rates. This spread averaged 5.77 percentage points (relative to 3-month LIBOR) in 2012 and 3.55 percentage points in 2011. In the 10 years prior to 2011, which had higher interest rate environments across all maturities on the yield curve, this spread averaged 3.18 percentage points.
In general, when interest rates decline, our profitability relative to short-term interest rates widens. The rate environment has been a net benefit to our profitability relative to interest rate levels, for several reasons: ? Reductions in market interest rates raise ROE compared to market rates to
the extent we fund a portion of long-term assets with shorter-term debt.
? The lower intermediate- and long-term rates have provided us the
opportunity to retire many Bonds before their final maturities and replace
them with lower cost Obligations, at a pace exceeding mortgage paydowns.
? Earnings generated from funding assets with interest-free capital have not
decreased as much as the reduction in overall interest rates because long-term assets do not reprice immediately to the lower rates. 32
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ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION
Credit Services
Credit Activity and Advance Composition The tables below show annual and quarterly trends in Advance balances by major programs and in the notional amount of Letters of Credit. (Dollars in millions)December 31, 2012
Balance Percent(1) Balance Percent(1) Adjustable/Variable Rate Indexed: LIBOR $ 35,578 66 % $ 9,649 35 % Other 406 1 229 1 Total 35,984 67 9,878 36 Fixed-Rate: REPO 7,655 14 3,085 11 Regular Fixed Rate 4,573 9 5,013 18 Putable (2) 2,587 5 6,204 22 Convertible (2) 63 - 1,178 4 Amortizing/Mortgage Matched 2,353 4 2,232 8 Other 406 1 249 1 Total 17,637 33 17,961 64 Other Advances - - - - Total Advances Principal $ 53,621 100 % $ 27,839 100 % Letters of Credit (notional) $ 10,152 $ 4,838 December 31, 2012 September 30, 2012 June 30, 2012 March 31, 2012 Balance Percent(1) Balance Percent(1) Balance Percent(1) Balance Percent(1) Adjustable/Variable Rate Indexed: LIBOR $ 35,578 66 % $ 17,337 49 % $ 13,641 39 % $ 9,659 36 % Other 406 1 216 - 263 1 155 1 Total 35,984 67 17,553 49 13,904 40 9,814 37 Fixed-Rate: REPO 7,655 14 6,389 18 6,126 18 2,322 9 Regular Fixed Rate 4,573 9 5,154 15 7,983 23 4,940 19 Putable (2) 2,587 5 2,649 7 2,832 8 5,992 22 Convertible (2) 63 - 1,100 3 1,143 3 1,174 4 Amortizing/Mortgage Matched 2,353 4 2,308 7 2,315 7 2,209 8 Other 406 1 364 1 299 1 213 1 Total 17,637 33 17,964 51 20,698 60 16,850 63 Other Advances - - - - - - - - Total Advances Principal $ 53,621 100 % $ 35,517 100 % $ 34,602 100 % $ 26,664 100 % Letters of Credit (notional) $ 10,152 $ 3,971 $ 3,997 $ 4,218
(1) As a percentage of total Advances principal.
(2) Excludes Putable/Convertible Advances where the related put/conversion
options have expired. Such Advances are classified based on their current
terms. 33
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The increase in Advance balances in 2012 occurred from borrowings by a small number of large-asset institutions, particularly a large new member. Advance growth was comprised almost entirely of adjustable-rate LIBOR Advances and short-term REPO Advances (mostly having overnight maturities). We do not know if the Advance growth experienced in 2012 will continue or develop into increased Advance usage by members more broadly. Economic factors continuing to limit Advance demand are discussed in "Conditions in the Economy and Financial Markets" and "Executive Overview." Additionally, former members hold$3.6 billion in Advances (seven percent), of which approximately$2.0 billion are scheduled to mature in 2013. When these are paid down, the former members will not be able to replace them with new Advances. Members increased their available lines in the Letters of Credit program by$5.3 billion in 2012. The lines rose principally because of more activity from a few large members who heavily use Letters of Credit and whose usage can be volatile. We believe these members increased usage of Letters of Credit in response to the year-end 2012 expiration of the government's Transaction Account Guarantee program. We earn fees on Letters of Credit based on the actual notional amount of the Letters utilized, which normally is less than the available lines. Advance Usage The following table presents Advances outstanding by member type. Commercial banks continued in 2012 to hold the largest portion of Advances. This reflects both the number of commercial bank members (see "Membership and Stockholders" below) and the fact that there are more large commercial banks than large members with other charter types in theFifth District . (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Percent of Percent of Total Par Total Par Par Value of Value of Par Value of Value of Advances Advances Advances Advances Commercial banks $ 43,453 81 % $ 16,792 60 % Thrifts and Savings Banks 2,978 5 3,094 11 Credit unions 554 1 589 2 Insurance companies 3,017 6 2,608 10 Total member Advances 50,002 93 23,083 83 Former member borrowings 3,619 7 4,756 17 Total par value of Advances $ 53,621 100 % $ 27,839 100 % The following tables present principal balances for our top five Advance borrowers. (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Percent of Percent of Total Par Total Par Par Value of Value of Par Value of Value of Name Advances Advances Name Advances Advances JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A. $ 26,000 48 % U.S. Bank, N.A. $ 7,314 26 % Fifth Third Bank 4,732 9 PNC Bank, N.A. (1) 3,996 14 U.S. Bank, N.A. 4,586 8 Fifth Third Bank 2,533 9 Protective Life PNC Bank, N.A. (1) 2,986 6 Insurance Company 1,000 4 Protective Life Republic Bank & Insurance Company 1,071 2 Trust Company 935 4 Total of Top 5 $ 39,375 73 % Total of Top 5 $ 15,778 57 % (1)Former member. The concentration ratio of the top five borrowers had fluctuated in the range of 50 to 65 percent in the several years prior to 2012. In 2012, the concentration increased to 73 percent due to new borrowings fromJPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A . We believe that having large financial institutions who actively use our Mission Asset Activity augments the value of membership to all members because it improves operating efficiency, increases financial leverage and earnings, and may enable us to obtain more favorable funding costs and maintain competitively priced Mission Asset Activity. 34
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The following table shows the unweighted average ratio of each member's Advance balance to its most-recently available figures for total assets.
December 31, 2012 September 30, 2012 June 30, 2012 March 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Average Advances-to-Assets for Members Assets less than$1.0 billion (678 members) 3.12 % 3.20 % 3.29 % 3.43 % 3.69 % Assets over$1.0 billion (64 members) 2.90 % 3.07 % 3.04 % 2.80 % 3.04 % All members 3.10 % 3.19 % 3.27 % 3.37 % 3.63 % Advance usage ratios continued to decline in 2012 consistent with the several years prior. Despite the difficult economic environment and significant levels of financial institution liquidity as a result of actions of the Federal Reserve, our members as a whole funded over three percent of their assets with Advances.
Mortgage Loans Held for Portfolio (Mortgage Purchase Program, or "MPP")
Our focus for the MPP continues to be on recruiting community-based members to sell us mortgage loans and on increasing the number of regular sellers. The number of regular sellers remains at a high level compared to historical trends, and a substantial number of other members either are actively interested in joining or are in the process of joining the MPP. The table below shows principal paydowns and purchases of loans in the MPP for each of the last two years. (In millions) 2012 2011 Balance, beginning of year $ 7,752 $ 7,701 Principal purchases 2,285 1,975 Principal paydowns (2,671 ) (1,924 ) Balance, end of year $ 7,366 $ 7,752 The principal loan balance fell moderately, by$386 million (five percent), in 2012. The decline in balance resulted from the moderately fast prepayments and our need to manage annual purchases below the regulatory threshold of$2.5 billion . The purchases reflected activity with the largest seller in the MPP, ongoing sales by over 65 community-based financial institutions, and a continuing trend of growth in the number of regular sellers. The trend in stable to declining mortgage rates throughout 2012 also prompted an increase in loan refinancings. The following tables show the percentage of principal balances from PFIs supplying five percent or more of total principal and the percentage of principal balances from all other PFIs. (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Principal % of Total Principal % of Total Union Savings Bank $ 1,984 27 % PNC Bank, N.A. (1) $ 2,338 30 % PNC Bank, N.A. (1) 1,818 25 Union Savings Bank 2,068 27 Guardian Savings Bank FSB 431 6 Guardian Savings Bank FSB 643 8 All others 3,133 42 Liberty Savings Bank 419 5 Total $ 7,366 100 % All others 2,284 30 Total $ 7,752 100 % (1)Former member. The unpaid principal balance supplied by sellers providing less than five percent of balances increased by$0.8 billion (37 percent) and by the end of 2012 these sellers accounted for 42 percent of total unpaid principal compared to 30 percent at the end of 2011. We closely track the refinancing incentives of our mortgage assets (including the MPP and mortgage-backed securities) because the option for homeowners to change their principal payments normally represents almost all of our market risk exposure. MPP 35
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principal paydowns in 2012 equated to a 29 percent annual constant prepayment rate, an increase from the 20 percent rate for all of 2011.
The MPP's composition of balances by loan type and original final maturity did not change materially in 2012 versus the prior several years. At the end of the year, the MPP was comprised of 74 percent 30-year mortgages, 23 percent 15-year mortgages and 3 percent 20-year mortgages. Conventional loans made up 87 percent of the portfolio, with the remainder being government-guaranteed FHA loans. All of the 2012 purchases were conventional loans. The weighted average mortgage note rate fell from 5.09 percent at the end of 2011 to 4.74 percent at the end of 2012. This decline reflected prepayments of higher rate mortgages and purchases of lower rate mortgages.
MPP yields earned during 2012, relative to funding costs, continued to offer acceptable risk-adjusted returns, despite the substantial fluctuations in mortgage premium amortization described in "Results of Operations." For discussion of net amortization, see the "Net Interest Income" section of "Results of Operations."
Housing and Community Investment
In 2012, we accrued$27 million of earnings for the Affordable Housing Program, which will be awarded to members in 2013. This amount represents a$10 million (62 percent) increase from 2011, due to 2012's higher income. Including funds available in 2012 from previous years, we had$25 million of funds available for the Affordable Housing Program in 2012. Of that total,$19 million was awarded to 69 projects through two competitive offerings. In addition,$6 million was awarded to 138 members on behalf of more than 1,200 homebuyers through the Welcome Home Program. This Program is a set-aside of the Affordable Housing Program that assists homebuyers with down payments and closing costs. In total, almost one-quarter of members received approval for funding under the Affordable Housing Program. Additionally, in 2012 our Board authorized$1 million to continue theCarol M. Peterson Housing Fund (CMP Fund ) and$5 million for the establishment of the Disaster Reconstruction Program (DRP). Both are voluntary programs beyond the 10 percent of earnings that we are required by law to set aside for the Affordable Housing Program. InJanuary 2013 , the Board elected to reauthorize another$1 million for theCMP Fund and continued the current DRP. Finally, our activities to support affordable housing include offering Advances through the Affordable Housing Program with below-market interest rates at or near zero profit for us. At the end of 2012, Advance balances related to the Affordable Housing Program declined slightly to$137 million due to higher demand for affordable housing subsidy in the form of grants. Community Investment and Economic Development Program Advances declined to$334 million , which reflected the overall decline in demand for Advances.
Investments
We hold investments in order to provide liquidity, enhance earnings, and help manage market risk. We hold both shorter-term investments, which we refer to as "liquidity investments" because most of them serve to augment asset liquidity, and longer-term mortgage-backed securities. The table below presents the ending and average balances of our investments. (In millions) 2012 2011 Ending Balance Average Balance Ending Balance Average Balance Liquidity investments $ 7,176 $ 13,943 $ 10,737 $ 18,411 Mortgage-backed securities 12,774 11,375 11,204 11,100 Other investments (1) - 408 - 469 Total investments $ 19,950 $ 25,726 $ 21,941 $ 29,980
(1) The average balance includes the rights or obligations to cash collateral,
which are included in the fair value of derivative assets or derivative
liabilities on the Statements of Condition at period end.
Liquidity investment levels can vary significantly as based on liquidity needs, the availability of acceptable net spreads, the number of eligible counterparties that meet our unsecured credit risk criteria, and changes in the amount of Mission Assets. The decline in the amount of liquidity investments in 2012 corresponded to the growth in Advances. We continued to maintain an adequate amount of asset liquidity throughout the year under standard liquidity measures. 36
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The investment balances atDecember 31, 2012 and 2011 exclude$16 million and$2,034 million , respectively, in funds held in deposits at the Federal Reserve, which are reflected in cash and due from banks on the Statements of Condition. The large balance in such deposits at year-end 2011 was due to the extremely low yields available on short-term investments. Our overarching strategy for mortgage-backed securities is to keep our holdings as close as possible to the regulatory maximum of three times capital, subject to the availability of securities that we believe provide favorable risk/return tradeoffs. The balance of mortgage-backed securities atDecember 31, 2012 represented a 2.68 multiple of regulatory capital and consisted of$11.4 billion of securities issued by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac (of which$1.9 billion were floating-rate securities) and$1.4 billion of floating-rate securities issued by theNational Credit Union Administration . We held no private-label mortgage-backed securities atDecember 31, 2012 . The table below shows principal purchases, paydowns and sales of our mortgage-backed securities for each of the last two years. (In millions) Mortgage-backed Securities Principal 2012 2011 Balance, beginning of year $ 11,163 $ 11,591 Principal purchases 5,335 3,836 Principal paydowns (3,263 ) (3,699 ) Principal sales (478 ) (565 ) Balance, end of year $ 12,757 $ 11,163 Principal paydowns in 2012 equated to a 24 percent annual constant prepayment rate, down slightly from the 28 percent rate in 2011. The securities sales were composed of securities that had less than 15 percent of the original acquired principal outstanding at the time of the sale. Purchases during the year were concentrated in fixed-rate CMO securities, with purchase prices near par. This practice was driven by our assessment that these types of securities had a more favorable risk/return tradeoff compared to traditional pass-through mortgage-backed securities and floating-rate securities, especially in light of the relatively high premium prices of many fixed-rate pass-through securities. Only 10 percent of total pass-through mortgage-backed securities had 30-year fixed-rate mortgages as collateral. Because approximately 75 percent of MPP loans have 30-year original terms, purchasing pass-throughs with shorter than 30-year original terms is one way we diversify mortgage assets to help manage market risk exposure.
Yields earned during 2012 on new mortgage-backed securities, relative to funding costs, continued to offer acceptable risk-adjusted returns.
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Consolidated Obligations
The table below presents the ending and average balances of our participations in Consolidated Obligations. (In millions) 2012 2011 Ending Balance Average Balance Ending Balance Average Balance Discount Notes: Par $ 30,848 $ 29,504 $ 26,138 $ 32,295 Discount (8 ) (5 ) (2 ) (3 ) Total Discount Notes 30,840 29,499 26,136 32,292 Bonds: Unswapped fixed-rate 21,689 18,680 18,882 20,123 Unswapped adjustable-rate 14,830 3,086 1,440 681 Swapped fixed-rate 7,704 9,197 8,404 7,904 Total par Bonds 44,223 30,963 28,726 28,708 Other items (1) 123 128 129 140 Total Bonds 44,346 31,091 28,855 28,848
Total Consolidated Obligations (2) $ 75,186 $ 60,590
$ 54,991 $ 61,140 (1) Includes unamortized premiums/discounts, fair value option valuation adjustments, hedging and other basis adjustments.
(2) The 12 FHLBanks have joint and several liability for the par amount of all
of the Consolidated Obligations issued on their behalves. The par amount
of the outstanding Consolidated Obligations of all 12 FHLBanks was (in millions)$687,902 and$691,868 atDecember 31, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The increase in the ending balances of unswapped adjustable-rate Bonds and short-term Discount Notes funded the growth in Advances. The increase in the ending balance of unswapped fixed-rate Bonds reflected primarily growth in mortgage assets, while the decline in its average balance reflected actions during the year related to asset-liability management (as discussed in the "Net Interest Income" section of "Results of Operations"). Long-term Bonds normally have an interest cost at a spread above U.S. Treasury securities and below LIBOR. Discount Notes, swapped Bonds, and adjustable-rate Bonds normally have interest costs below LIBOR. The level of these spreads and their volatility in 2012 were comparable to historical ranges. The following table shows the allocation onDecember 31, 2012 of unswapped fixed-rate Bonds according to their final remaining maturity and next call date (for callable Bonds). The allocations were similar compared to those of the last several years. We believe that the allocations of Bonds among these classifications provide effective mitigation of market risk exposure to both higher and lower mortgage rates. Year of Next (In millions) Year of Maturity Call Callable Noncallable Amortizing Total Callable Due in 1 year or less $ - $ 5,612 $ 5 $ 5,617 $ 5,349 Due after 1 year through 2 years - 2,477 1 2,478 200 Due after 2 years through 3 years 425 1,791 48 2,264 15 Due after 3 years through 4 years 690 1,705 2 2,397 - Due after 4 years through 5 years 722 1,857 - 2,579 - Thereafter 3,727 2,627 - 6,354 - Total $ 5,564 $ 16,069 $ 56 $ 21,689 $ 5,564 Deposits Members' deposits with us are normally a relatively minor source of low-cost funding. Total interest bearing deposits atDecember 31, 2012 were$1.2 billion , an increase of$0.1 billion (nine percent) from year-end 2011. The average balance of total interest bearing deposits in 2012 was$1.2 billion , a decrease of six percent from the average balance in 2011. 38
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Derivatives Hedging Activity and Liquidity
Our use of and accounting for derivatives is discussed in the "Effect of the Use of Derivatives on Net Interest Income" section in "Results of Operations." Liquidity is discussed in the "Liquidity Risk" section in "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management." We did not change our strategy of using derivatives solely to manage market risk exposure in 2012.
Capital Resources
The GLB Act and Finance Agency Regulations specify limits on how much we can leverage capital by requiring that we maintain, at all times, at least a four percent regulatory capital-to-assets ratio. A lower ratio indicates more leverage. If financial leverage increases too much, or becomes too close to the regulatory limit, we have discretionary ability within our Capital Plan to enact changes to ensure capitalization remains strong and in compliance with regulatory limits. The following tables present capital amounts and capital-to-assets ratios, on both a GAAP and regulatory basis. GAAP and Regulatory Capital Year Ended December 31, 2012 2011 (In millions) Period End Average Period End Average GAAP Capital Stock $ 4,010 $ 3,297 $ 3,126 $ 3,109 Mandatorily Redeemable Capital Stock 211 252 275 327 Regulatory Capital Stock 4,221 3,549 3,401 3,436 Retained Earnings 538 501 444 455 Regulatory Capital $ 4,759 $ 4,050 $ 3,845 $ 3,891 GAAP and Regulatory Capital-to-Assets Ratio 2012 2011 Period End Average Period End Average GAAP 5.56 % 5.68 % 5.89 % 5.29 % Regulatory 5.84 6.07 6.37 5.78 The following table presents the sources of change in our regulatory capital stock balance in 2011 and 2012. (In millions) 2012 2011 Regulatory stock balance at beginning of year $ 3,401 $ 3,449 Stock purchases: Membership stock 63 37 Activity stock 862 11 Stock repurchases: Member redemptions (40 ) (22 ) Withdrawals (65 ) (74 )
Regulatory stock balance at the end of the year
Both the GAAP and regulatory capital-to-assets ratios were well above the regulatory required minimum of four percent. We consider the regulatory ratio to be a better representation of financial leverage than the GAAP ratio because, although the GAAP ratio treats mandatorily redeemable capital stock as a liability, it protects investors in our debt in the same way that GAAP capital stock and retained earnings do. Financial leverage is defined as the inverse of capital ratios, and therefore increases as capital ratios decline. Our capital base increased substantially in 2012 due mostly to required stock purchases. The$820 million increase in regulatory capital stock (net of$105 million of redemptions and repurchases) from year-end 2011 toDecember 31, 2012 was due mostly to stock purchases (stock required to support Mission Assets) from two large, national financial institutions that became members in 2012, one of which had significant Advance borrowings resulting in$851 million growth in activity stock. 39
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The increase in financial leverage from year-end 2011 to year-end 2012 (as represented by a lower regulatory capital-to-assets ratio) resulted from the Advance growth, partially offset by more capital and a reduction in short-term investment balances.
The table below shows the amount of excess capital stock. (In millions)
December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Excess capital stock (Capital Plan definition) $ 1,071 $ 1,321 Cooperative utilization of capital stock $ 385 $ 197 Mission Asset Activity capitalized with cooperative capital stock $ 9,633 $ 4,917 The amount of excess capital stock declined by$250 million in 2012 due to the Advance growth. The substantial amount of excess stock (over$1.0 billion ) provides a base of capital to manage financial leverage at prudent levels, augment loss protections for bondholders, and capitalize a portion of potential growth in new Mission Assets. A Finance Agency Regulation prohibits us from paying stock dividends if the amount of our regulatory excess stock (as defined by theFinance Agency ) exceeds one percent of our total assets on a dividend payment date. Since the end of 2008, this regulatory threshold has been exceeded and, therefore, we have been required to pay cash dividends. AtDecember 31, 2012 , retained earnings were comprised of$479 million unrestricted (an increase of$47 million from year-end 2011) and$59 million restricted (an increase of$47 million ), which are not permitted to be distributed as dividends. We believe that the amount of retained earnings is sufficient to protect against impairment risk of capital stock and to provide the opportunity to stabilize dividends if earnings experience exceptional stress. Further discussion is in the "Capital Adequacy" section of "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management."
Membership and Stockholders
In 2012, we added 15 new member stockholders and lost 14, ending the year at 742. The new member stockholders were comprised of eight credit unions, three insurance companies, three commercial banks, and one community development financial institution. With regard to the 14 institutions that are no longer members, 10 merged into other members in our district, three were closed by theTennessee Department of Financial Institutions , and one member's charter was terminated by its parent company. The impact on our earnings and Mission Asset Activity from the members lost was negligible. We estimate there are approximately 50 eligible non-member institutions with assets of at least$100 million remaining in our district.
In 2012, there were no material changes in the allocation of membership by state, charter type, or asset size except for two large, national financial institutions that became members during the year. At the end of 2012, the composition of membership by state was
The following table provides the number of member stockholders by charter type. December 31, 2012 2011 Commercial Banks 469 470 Thrifts and Savings Banks 113 119 Credit Unions 121 117 Insurance Companies 35 32 Community Development Financial Institutions 4 3 Total 742 741 40
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The following table provides the ownership of capital stock by charter type. (In millions) December 31, 2012 2011 Commercial Banks $ 3,197 $ 2,310 Thrifts and Savings Banks 418 450 Credit Unions 116 107 Insurance Companies 279 259 Total GAAP Capital Stock 4,010 3,126
Mandatorily Redeemable Capital Stock 211 275 Total Regulatory Capital Stock
Credit union members hold relatively less stock than their membership proportion because they tend to be smaller than the average member and borrow less. Insurance company members hold relatively more stock than their membership proportion because they tend to be larger than the average member and borrow more. The following table provides a summary of member stockholders by asset size. December 31, Member Asset Size (1) 2012 2011 Up to $100 million 204 210
>
64 > $1 billion 64 62 Total Member Stockholders 742 741
(1) The
September 30 . Most members are small financial institutions, with 82 percent having assets up to$500 million . As noted elsewhere, having larger members is important to help achieve our mission objectives, including providing valuable products and services to all members. 41
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS
Components of Earnings and Return on Equity The following table is a summary income statement for each of the last three years. Each ROE percentage is computed by dividing income or expense for the category by the average amount of stockholders' equity for the period. Factors determining the level of, and changes in, net income and ROE are explained in the remainder of this section. (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011 2010 Amount ROE (a) Amount ROE (a) Amount ROE (a) Net interest income $ 308 8.14 % $ 249 7.00 % $ 275 7.82 % Provision for credit losses (1 ) (0.04 ) (12 ) (0.35 ) (13 ) (0.39 ) Net interest income after provision for credit losses 307 8.10 237 6.65 262 7.43 Net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities 9 0.23 (2 ) (0.05 ) 8 0.22 Other non-interest income (loss) 4 0.12 (3 ) (0.09 ) 12 0.34 Total non-interest income (loss) 13 0.35 (5 ) (0.14 ) 20 0.56 Total revenue 320 8.45 232 6.51 282 7.99 Total other expense (58 ) (1.53 ) (57 ) (1.59 ) (56 ) (1.58 ) Assessments (27 ) (0.72 ) (37 ) (1.03 ) (62 ) (1.74 ) Net income $ 235 6.20 % $ 138 3.89 % $ 164 4.67 % (a) The ROE amounts have been computed using dollars in thousands.
Accordingly, recalculations based upon the disclosed amounts (millions) in
this table may produce nominally different results.
The$97 million increase in net income and 2.31 percentage point increase in ROE in 2012 versus 2011 resulted mostly from the following favorable factors (in order of magnitude):
? satisfaction of the
second half of 2011, which had been assessed against earnings at an annual
rate of approximately 20 percent; ? the continuation from 2011 of management's asset-liability actions to respond to the low interest rate environment;
? higher prepayment fees on Advances;
? realized gains on sales of certain mortgage-backed securities;
? growth in the balances of Mission Asset Activity, especially Advances;
? reduced provision for credit losses;
? an increase in unrealized market value gains on derivatives and hedging
activities; and
? decrease in net amortization expense.
Profitability in 2011 was below that of 2010 due primarily to several effects from the reductions in long-term interest rates and lower balances of Mission Asset Activity. Net Interest Income The largest component of net income has historically been net interest income. We manage net interest income with a view to managing tradeoffs between market risk and return. Effective risk/return management requires us to focus principally on the relationships among assets and liabilities that affect net interest income, rather than individual balance sheet and income statement accounts in isolation. Our ROE normally is lower than that of many other financial institutions because of the cooperative wholesale business model, the moderate overall risk profile and the management of our balance sheet that results in a positive correlation of dividends to short-term interest rates. 42
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Components of Net Interest Income We generate net interest income from the following two components:
? Net interest rate spread. This component equals the balance of total
earning assets multiplied by the difference between the book yield on
interest-earning assets and the book cost of interest-bearing liabilities.
It is composed of net (amortization)/accretion, prepayment fees on Advances, and all other earnings from interest-earning assets net of funding costs. The latter is the largest component and represents the coupon yields of interest-earning assets net of the coupon costs of Consolidated Obligations and deposits. ? Earnings from funding assets with capital ("earnings from capital"). Because of our relatively low net interest rate spread compared to other financial institutions, we have historically derived a substantial
proportion of net interest income from deploying interest-free capital in
interest-earning assets. We deploy much of the capital in short-term and adjustable-rate assets in order to help ensure that ROE moves in the same direction as short-term interest rates and to help control market risk exposure. The following table shows the major components of net interest income for each of the last three years. Reasons for the variance in net interest income between the periods are discussed below. (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011 2010 Pct of Pct of Pct of Earning Earning Earning Amount Assets Amount Assets Amount Assets Components of net interest rate spread: Other components of net interest rate spread $ 293 0.44 % $ 247 0.37 % $ 230 0.33 % Net (amortization)/accretion (1) (2) (49 ) (0.07 ) (56 ) (0.09 ) (32 ) (0.04 ) Prepayment fees on Advances, net (2) 20 0.03 6 0.01 8 0.01 Total net interest rate spread 264 0.40 197 0.29 206 0.30 Earnings from funding assets with interest-free capital 44 0.06 52 0.08 69 0.10 Total net interest income/net interest margin (3) $ 308 0.46 % $ 249
0.37 %
(1) Includes (amortization)/accretion of premiums/discounts on mortgage
assets and Consolidated Obligations and deferred transaction costs
(concession fees) for Consolidated Obligations.
(2) These components of net interest rate spread have been segregated here to
display their relative impact.
(3) Net interest margin is net interest income before provision for credit
losses as a percentage of average total interest earning assets.
Earnings From Capital. The earnings from funding assets with interest-free capital has become a smaller proportion of net interest income due to the low interest rate environment. Although long-term market interest rates continued on downward trends in 2012, the reduction in overall average rates of assets and liabilities was tempered because short-term rates remained relatively constant, and therefore, the earnings from capital fell$8 million in 2012 after declining$17 million in 2011 and by larger amounts in the three years prior to 2011. See "Conditions in the Economy and Financial Markets" and the "Average Balance Sheet and Rates" table below for information on interest rates. Net Amortization/Accretion. Net amortization/accretion (generally referred to as "amortization") includes monthly recognition of premiums and discounts paid on purchases of mortgage assets and premiums, discounts and concessions paid on most Consolidated Obligations. Periodic amortization adjustments do not necessarily indicate a trend in economic return over the entire life of mortgage assets, although amortization over the entire lives is one component of lifetime economic returns. AtDecember 31, 2012 , the net premium balance of mortgage assets totaled$199 million compared to$161 million at the end of 2011. In 2012, the MPP net premium balance increased from$120 million to$182 million while the mortgage-backed securities portfolio net premium balance decreased from$41 million to$17 million . The growth in net premium balance in the MPP portfolio was partially offset in 2012 by the purchase of mortgage-backed securities at prices near par or in some cases at slight discounts. Premium prices on MPP loans continued to be elevated in 2012 as they have been in the last several years. Conditions prevailing in the mortgage markets limited the widespread availability and risk-return attractiveness of loans in the MPP that were priced close to par or at discounts. In addition, a change we made in early 2011 to the MPP's credit enhancement structure (described further in the "Credit Risk" section of "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management") resulted 43
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in increased premium balances on new loans (with the benefit of reducing overall expense for the same level of credit risk protection).
As it has been in other periods in the last several years, net amortization expense in 2012 was substantial (as reflected in the table above) and volatile across quarters and months. For both 2012 and 2011 net amortization was at relatively "normal" levels consistent with the amount of book premiums. Although the premium balance increased in 2012, there was a$7 million reduction in net amortization due to: ? a comparatively smaller decline in long-term LIBOR and primary mortgage
rates in 2012; and,
? ongoing enhancements in 2012 to our modeling estimates of future mortgage
rates and prepayment speeds derived from our market risk and prepayment
models.
The modeling enhancements are discussed in the "Market Risk" section of "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management." Regarding mortgage amortization, the model enhancements resulted in both one-time favorable adjustments to mortgage amortization and reduced volatility of future amortization.
Despite the large amount of, and volatility in, recent periodic net amortization, we believe that the economic profitability of current and new premium mortgage assets has offered and will continue to offer acceptable compensation for the risks of unprofitable or volatile returns that could occur under extremely unfavorable stressed interest rate scenarios.
Prepayment Fees on Advances. Fees for members' early repayment of certain Advances are designed to make us economically indifferent to whether members hold Advances to maturity or repay them before maturity. Advance prepayment fees can be, and in the past have been, significant. Prepayment fees totaled$20 million in 2012,$13 million of which occurred in the fourth quarter. The 2012 fees were$14 million higher compared to those in 2011. Other Components of Net Interest Rate Spread. Excluding net amortization and prepayment fees, the other components of net interest rate spread rose$46 million (18 percent) in 2012 compared to 2011 and$17 million (seven percent) in 2011 compared to 2010. The following factors, discussed below in estimated approximate order of impact from largest to smallest, were responsible for the changes in net interest rate spread due to other components.
2012 Versus 2011
? Asset-liability management-Favorable: Management strategies and actions
related to asset-liability management and market risk exposure improved
earnings by lowering our portfolio funding costs, as follows: 1) In 2012, we called$7.6 billion of unswapped Bonds (most of which funded mortgage assets) before their final maturities and replaced them with new Consolidated Obligations at substantially lower rates than the Bonds called. Additionally,$3.5 billion of unswapped Bonds were called in the second half of 2011, which benefited
earnings for
all of 2012. A total of$5.9 billion in mortgage assets were paid down in 2012. We replaced these principal paydowns with new mortgage assets at lower rates, reducing interest income. However, the net effect of replacing Bonds called and mortgages paid down was to increase the net interest spread. This is because the amount of Bond calls exceeded the amount of mortgage paydowns, and because, the book rates of the unswapped Bonds fell more than the book rates on the mortgage assets. 2) Market risk exposure to higher interest rates increased in the third quarter of 2012, primarily as a result of our actions to lower the average maturity of remaining long-term Bonds and to fund more mortgage assets with short-term debt by replacing a portion of the called Bonds with short-term Discount Notes. We returned average short funding levels and bond maturities in the fourth quarter to levels more consistent with historical levels. 3) We normally fund a substantial amount of LIBOR-indexed assets (mostly Advances) with Discount Notes. In 2012, the average portfolio market spread between LIBOR and Discount Notes widened slightly compared to 2011.
We estimate that the overall impact of asset-liability management increased interest income by
during 2012, although average Advance balances increased by only$3.5 billion . We estimate the direct impact on net interest income from the
average Advance growth was approximately
with the Capital Plan, the Advance growth 44
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required members to make new capital stock purchases (net of redemptions and repurchases of other stock), which we leveraged with mortgage-backed securities. This resulted in a secondary effect on net interest from the Advance growth, totaling an estimated$4 million . Although the total$12 million earnings increase from Advance growth was similar to the effect of asset-liability management, the total impact on ROE -- 0.08 percentage points -- from Advance growth was less than the effect of asset-liability management because of the additional stock associated with the Advance growth. ? Trading securities-Favorable: In 2012, we held a portion of our investment
portfolio in short-term trading securities (including instruments of the
U.S. Treasury and government-sponsored enterprises) in order to enhance
asset liquidity and manage counterparty credit risk. Many of the trading
securities were purchased with above-market coupon rates, which resulted
in an estimated
compared to 2011. However, this was offset by earnings reductions in other
non-interest income (specifically, net unrealized market value losses on
trading securities), with the resulting combined earnings from the trading
securities reflecting at-market rates. See "Non-Interest Income and
Non-Interest Expense" below for a discussion of the net losses on trading
securities. ? Lower balances and tighter spreads on the short-term investment portfolio-Unfavorable: Average balances for short-term investments
decreased
to management actions to extend maturities on short-term funding to
enhance liquidity. We estimate the earnings reduction from changes in the
short-term investment portfolio was approximately
? Additional factors-Favorable: Other factors included a modestly higher
average MPP balance, modestly wider spreads on new MPP purchases, and
lower average balances of mandatorily redeemable stock (which lowers interest expense). 2011 Versus 2010
? Asset-liability management-Favorable: In the last six months of 2010 and
all of 2011, reductions in intermediate- and long-term interest rates
enabled us to call
maturities and replace them with new Consolidated Obligations, most at
substantially lower rates than the Bonds called. Most of the Bonds called
funded mortgage assets. The Bonds called in the second half of 2010 benefited our earnings for all of 2011. ? Trading securities-Favorable: As indicated in the 2012 versus 2011 analysis, in 2011 we began holding a large amount of investments in
short-term trading securities purchased with above-market coupon rates.
This resulted in an estimated
in 2011.
? Decrease in mortgage asset balances-Unfavorable: The average principal
balance on MPP loans and mortgage-backed securities decreased$1.3 billion . These assets normally earn wider spreads than most of our other assets. ? Narrower net spreads on new mortgage assets-Unfavorable: In 2011, we purchased$5.8 billion of new mortgage assets. Net spreads relative to funding costs on the purchased assets were on average narrower than the net spreads that had been earned on the mortgages that paid down.
? Wider portfolio spreads on LIBOR-indexed assets-Favorable: The average
spread between LIBOR and Discount Notes widened approximately eight basis points which increased interest income approximately$10 million . 45
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Average Balance Sheet and Rates The following table provides average rates and average balances for major balance sheet accounts, which determine the changes in the net interest rate spread. All data include the impact of interest rate swaps, which we allocate to each asset and liability category according to their designated hedging relationship. The changes in the net interest rate spread and net interest margin in 2012 versus 2011 and in 2011 versus 2010 occurred mostly from the net impact of the factors discussed above in "Components of Net Interest Income." (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011 2010 Average Average Average Average Average Average Balance Interest Rate (1) Balance Interest Rate (1) Balance Interest Rate (1) Assets Advances $ 32,781 $ 261 0.80 % $ 29,261 $ 236 0.81 % $ 32,158 $ 294 0.91 % Mortgage loans held for portfolio (2) 7,981 313 3.92 7,705 335 4.35 8,696 413 4.75 Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements 8,004 11 0.14 6,858 7 0.10 9,414 17 0.17 Interest-bearing deposits in banks (3) (4) (5) 1,955 3 0.17 4,303 9 0.20 5,535 13 0.24 Mortgage-backed securities 11,375 293 2.58 11,100 385 3.47 11,414 510 4.47 Other investments (4) 4,392 40 0.90 7,719 39 0.51 1,927 7 0.37 Loans to other FHLBanks 3 - 0.12 3 - 0.10 5 - 0.16 Total earning assets 66,491 921 1.39 66,949 1,011 1.51 69,149 1,254 1.81 Less: allowance for credit losses on mortgage loans 20 15 1 Other assets 231 354 219 Total assets $ 66,702 $ 67,288 $ 69,367 Liabilities and Capital Term deposits $ 114 - 0.22 $ 161 - 0.24 $ 221 1 0.37 Other interest bearing deposits (5) 1,050 - 0.01 1,077 - 0.02 1,415 - 0.04 Short-term borrowings 29,499 31 0.10 32,292 28 0.09 27,914 41 0.15 Unswapped fixed-rate Bonds 18,738 544 2.90 20,186 700 3.47 23,719 897 3.78 Unswapped adjustable-rate Bonds 3,086 7 0.23 681 1 0.19 852 1 0.15 Swapped Bonds 9,267 19 0.21 7,981 19 0.23 10,080 21 0.21 Mandatorily redeemable capital stock 252 12 4.64 327 14 4.27 413 18 4.28 Other borrowings 1 - 0.29 - - - 1 - 0.32 Total interest-bearing liabilities 62,007 613 0.99 62,705 762 1.22 64,615 979 1.51
Non-interest bearing deposits 18 14 9 Other liabilities 888 1,013 1,222 Total capital 3,789 3,556 3,521 Total liabilities and capital $ 66,702 $ 67,288 $ 69,367 Net interest rate spread 0.40 % 0.29 % 0.30 % Net interest income and net interest margin (6) $ 308 0.46 % $ 249 0.37 % $ 275 0.40 % Average interest-earning assets to interest-bearing liabilities 107.23 % 106.77 % 107.02 %
(1) Amounts used to calculate average rates are based on dollars in thousands.
Accordingly, recalculations based upon the disclosed amounts (millions)
may not produce the same results. (2) Non-accrual loans are included in average balances used to determine average rate. (3) Includes certificates of deposit and bank notes that are classified as available-for-sale securities.
(4) Includes available-for-sale securities based on their amortized costs. The
yield information does not give effect to changes in fair value that are
reflected as a component of stockholders' equity for available-for-sale
securities. (5) The average balance amounts include the rights or obligations to cash
collateral, which are included in the fair value of derivative assets or
derivative liabilities on the Statements of Condition at period end.
(6) Net interest margin is net interest income before provision for credit
losses as a percentage of average total interest earning assets. 46
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2012 Versus 2011
Net interest spread and net interest margin increased due primarily to asset and liability management actions as described in the previous section, higher Advance prepayment fees, and lower net amortization in 2012.
The average rate on both total earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities decreased, driven by principal paydowns at higher rates than the rates on replacement and new instruments. This is most evident in the mortgage asset and unswapped fixed-rate Bonds yields in the table above. The average rate on other investments increased in 2012 for two reasons. First, the average balance of GSE Discount Notes, which are shorter term and typically earn lower yields, decreased$4 billion in 2012. Second, most of the remaining investments in this portfolio were trading securities with above-market coupons purchased at premiums, with corresponding market value adjustments reflected in other non-interest income as losses to the securities' fair values, as discussed further in "Non-Interest Income and Non-Interest Expense."
2011 Versus 2010
The average rate on both total earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities decreased, driven by lower average rates on long-term assets and long-term liability accounts. As the long-term assets and liabilities mature or are paid down over time, new long-term assets and liabilities are put on the balance sheet at lower rates, which cumulatively builds over time to reduced portfolio rates. A much higher amortization of mortgage purchase premiums in 2011 also contributed to the declines in average rates on earnings assets.
Average rates on our short-term and adjustable-rate assets and liabilities experienced small fluctuations in 2011. However, short-term LIBOR rose moderately in the fourth quarter. This resulted in a small increase in the average rate on the swapped Bonds account and the adjustable-rate Bonds account, which are both tied to short-term LIBOR.
The average rate on other investments increased due to a shift towards longer term investments, which typically earn higher yields, and, as stated in the 2012 versus 2011 comparison, many of these investments were trading securities with above market coupons purchased at premiums. 47
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Volume/Rate Analysis Changes in both average balances (volume) and interest rates influence changes in net interest income. The following table summarizes these changes and trends in interest income and interest expense. (In millions) 2012 over 2011 2011 over 2010 Volume (1)(3) Rate (2)(3) Total Volume (1)(3) Rate (2)(3) Total Increase (decrease) in interest income Advances $ 28 $ (3 ) $ 25 $ (25 ) $ (33 ) $ (58 ) Mortgage loans held for portfolio 12 (34 ) (22 ) (45 ) (33 ) (78 ) Federal funds sold and securities purchased under resale agreements 1 3 4 (4 ) (6 ) (10 ) Interest-bearing deposits in banks (4 ) (2 ) (6 ) (2 ) (2 ) (4 ) Mortgage-backed securities 9 (101 ) (92 ) (14 ) (111 ) (125 ) Other investments (21 ) 22 1 29 3 32 Loans to other FHLBanks - - - - - - Total 25 (115 ) (90 ) (61 ) (182 ) (243 ) Increase (decrease) in interest expense Term deposits - - - (1 ) - (1 ) Other interest-bearing deposits - - - - - - Short-term borrowings (3 ) 6 3 6 (19 ) (13 ) Unswapped fixed-rate Bonds (48 ) (108 ) (156 ) (126 ) (71 ) (197 ) Unswapped adjustable-rate Bonds 6 - 6 - - - Swapped Bonds 3 (3 ) - (5 ) 3 (2 ) Mandatorily redeemable capital stock (3 ) 1 (2 ) (4 ) - (4 ) Other borrowings - - - - - - Total (45 ) (104 ) (149 ) (130 ) (87 ) (217 ) Increase (decrease) in net interest income $ 70 $ (11 ) $ 59 $ 69 $ (95 ) $ (26 ) (1) Volume changes are calculated as the change in volume multiplied by the prior year rate.
(2) Rate changes are calculated as the change in rate multiplied by the prior
year average balance.
(3) Changes that are not identifiable as either volume-related or
rate-related, but rather are equally attributable to both volume and rate
changes, have been allocated to the volume and rate categories based upon
the proportion of the absolute value of the volume and rate changes.
Effect of the Use of Derivatives on Net Interest Income The following table shows the effect of using derivatives on net interest income. The table does not show the effect on earnings from the non-interest components of derivatives related to market value adjustments. This is provided in the next section "Non-Interest Income and Non-Interest Expense." (In millions) 2012 2011
2010
Advances:
Amortization/accretion of hedging activities in net interest income $ (4 ) $ (2 ) $ (1 ) Net interest settlements included in net interest income (245 ) (364 ) (439 ) Mortgage loans: Amortization of derivative fair value adjustments in net interest income (3 ) (1 ) - Consolidated Obligation Bonds: Amortization/accretion of hedging activities in net interest income - - 2 Net interest settlements included in net interest income 37 64
113
Decrease to net interest income $ (215 ) $ (303
) $ (325 )
Most of our derivatives synthetically convert the intermediate- and long-term fixed interest rates on certain Advances and Bonds to adjustable-coupon rates tied to short-term LIBOR (mostly one-and three-month repricing resets). These adjustable- 48
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rate coupons normally carry lower interest rates than the fixed rates. The use of derivatives lowered net interest income in each period primarily because the Advances that were swapped to short-term LIBOR had higher fixed interest rates than the Bonds that were swapped to short-term LIBOR. This reduction in earnings was acceptable because it enabled us, as designed, to significantly lower market risk exposure by creating a much closer match of actual cash flows between assets and liabilities than would occur otherwise. See Item 1 and the section "Use of Derivatives in Market Risk Management" in "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management" for further information on our use of derivatives.
Provision for Credit Losses
In 2012, we recorded a$1.5 million provision for credit losses in the MPP compared to$12.6 million in 2011. The decreases in estimated credit losses were a result of improvements in the housing market, partially offset by a reduction in estimated collectability on supplemental mortgage insurance policies we hold due to potential non-performance of mortgage insurers. Further information is in the "Credit Risk - MPP" section in "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management" and Note 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements.
Non-Interest Income and Non-Interest Expense
The following table presents non-interest income and non-interest expense for each of the last three years. (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011
2010
Other Non-Interest Income Net gains on held-to-maturity securities $ 29 $ 16 $ 8 Net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities 9 (2 ) 8 Other non-interest (loss) income, net (25 ) (19 ) 4 Total other non-interest income (loss) $ 13 $ (5 ) $ 20 Other Expense Compensation and benefits $ 31 $ 31 $ 34 Other operating expense 14 15 15 Finance Agency 6 5 4 Office of Finance 3 4 3 Other 4 2 - Total other expense $ 58 $ 57 $ 56 Average total assets $ 66,702 $ 67,288 $ 69,367 Average regulatory capital 4,050 3,891 3,942 Total other expense to average total assets (1) 0.09 % 0.08 % 0.08 % Total other expense to average regulatory capital (1) 1.43 1.46
1.42
Accordingly, recalculations based upon the disclosed amounts (millions)
may not produce the same results.
The net gains on held-to-maturity securities in 2012 occurred from the sales of$478 million of mortgage-backed securities. Each of the securities sold had less than 15 percent of the original acquired principal remaining and were sold under the FHLBank's periodic clean-up process. The gains represent potential future lost income from the higher yielding securities sold. The larger other non-interest loss in 2012 and 2011 was due primarily to higher losses on trading securities. As discussed above in "Components of Net Interest Income," the losses on the trading securities occurred because these securities had above-market coupon rates and, therefore, were purchased at prices above par. The related premiums paid are reflected as mark-to-market losses to the securities as their fair values approach par at maturity. As noted earlier, the resulting net earnings from the trading securities reflected at-market returns.
Other expenses continued to be relatively stable in 2012 compared to 2011 and 2010.
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Effect of Derivatives and Hedging Activities (In millions) 2012 2011
2010
Net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities Advances: Gains on fair value hedges $ 7 $ 8 $ 8 Losses on derivatives not receiving hedge accounting (5 ) (9 ) (7 ) Mortgage loans: Gains (losses) on derivatives not receiving hedge accounting 1 (4 ) 2 Consolidated Obligation Bonds: Gains on fair value hedges - 1 1 Gains on derivatives not receiving hedge accounting 6 2 4 Total net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities 9 (2 ) 8 Net gains (losses) on financial instruments held at fair value (1) 2 (3 ) - Total net effect of derivatives and hedging activities $ 11 $ (5 ) $ 8 (1) Includes only those gains or losses on financial instruments held at fair value that have an economic derivative "assigned." The changes in net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities represented unrealized market value adjustments. The amounts of income volatility in derivatives and hedging activities were relatively modest compared to the notional principal amounts, well within the range of normal historical fluctuation, and consistent with the close hedging relationships of our derivative transactions. In each of the years shown, the market value adjustment, as a percentage of notional derivatives principal, was less than 0.10 percentage points.
REFCORP and Affordable Housing Program Assessments
Until the third quarter of 2011, assessments against earnings had included both a REFCORP obligation and expenses for the Affordable Housing Program.The FHLBank System's REFCORP obligation was satisfied at the end of the second quarter of 2011. Under the Capital Agreement of 2011, the REFCORP obligation, which had been recorded as reduction to net income, was replaced with a 20 percent allocation of net income to restricted retained earnings for all FHLBanks. Although the restricted retained earnings are not recorded in the income statement, they are not available to be distributed as dividends to stockholders. Therefore, the replacement of REFCORP with the Capital Agreement had only a marginal impact on net earnings available for distribution as dividends. See Item 1's "Capital Resources" section for more information. This change resulted in a$19 million increase in 2012's net income compared to that in 2011 and a corresponding reduction in assessments. There have been no changes in our Affordable Housing Program.
In 2012, assessments totaled
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Analysis of Quarterly ROE
The following table summarizes the components of 2012's quarterly ROE and provides quarterly ROE for 2011 and 2010.
1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total Components of 2012 ROE: Net interest income: Other net interest income 9.39 % 8.75 % 9.37 % 8.12 % 8.88 % Net (amortization)/accretion (0.63 ) (3.13 ) (0.85 ) (0.61 ) (1.27 ) Prepayment fees 0.39 0.18 0.19 1.26 0.53 Total net interest income 9.15 5.80 8.71 8.77 8.14 (Provision)/reversal for credit losses (0.16 ) - 0.05 (0.05 ) (0.04 ) Net interest income after (provision)/reversal for credit losses 8.99 5.80 8.76 8.72 8.10 Net gains (losses) on derivatives and hedging activities 0.42 0.35 0.36 (0.16 ) 0.23 Other non-interest (loss) income (0.50 ) 2.10 (0.80 ) (0.22 ) 0.12 Total non-interest (loss) income (0.08 ) 2.45 (0.44 ) (0.38 ) 0.35 Total revenue 8.91 8.25 8.32 8.34 8.45 Total other expense (1.64 ) (1.52 ) (1.57 ) (1.40 ) (1.53 ) Assessments (0.77 ) (0.70 ) (0.70 ) (0.72 ) (0.72 ) 2012 ROE 6.50 % 6.03 % 6.05 % 6.22 % 6.20 % 2011 ROE 4.80 % 4.28 % 2.07 % 4.44 % 3.89 % 2010 ROE 4.98 % 4.66 % 4.11 % 4.94 % 4.67 % Quarterly ROEs increased to levels above six percent in 2012 due to the factors discussed above, most notably management's asset-liability and market risk strategies, higher Advance prepayment fees, lower net amortization, and the reduction in provision for credit losses. The growth in Advance balances affected primarily the third and fourth quarters of the year. In the second quarter of 2012, almost all of the unfavorable impact of an increase in net amortization was offset by gains from the clean-up sale of mortgage-backed securities, which is accounted for in the "Other non-interest (loss) income" component in the table above. Because quarterly ROE was modestly volatile in 2012 and significantly higher than short-term interest rates, we were able to distribute relatively stable quarterly dividend returns to stockholders in 2012.
ROE in the third quarter of 2011 was negatively affected mostly by a large increase in net amortization due to declines in mortgage rates in that quarter. Excluding that quarter, quarterly ROE was relatively stable in 2010 and 2011.
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Segment Information
Note 19 of the Notes to Financial Statements presents information on our two operating business segments. We manage financial operations and market risk exposure primarily at the macro level, and within the context of the entire balance sheet, rather than exclusively at the level of individual segments. Under this approach, the market risk/return profile of each segment may not match, or possibly even have the same trends as, what would occur if we managed each segment on a stand-alone basis. The tables below summarize each segment's operating results for the periods shown. (Dollars in millions) Traditional Member Mortgage Purchase Finance Program Total 2012 Net interest income after provision for credit losses $ 210 $ 97 $ 307 Net income $ 154 $ 81 $ 235 Average assets $ 58,708 $ 7,994 $ 66,702 Assumed average capital allocation $ 3,335 $ 454 $ 3,789 Return on Average Assets (1) 0.26 % 1.01 % 0.35 % Return on Average Equity (1) 4.62 % 17.76 % 6.20 % 2011 Net interest income after provision for credit losses $ 176 $ 61 $ 237 Net income $ 100 $ 38 $ 138 Average assets $ 59,563 $ 7,725 $ 67,288 Assumed average capital allocation $ 3,148 $ 408 $ 3,556 Return on Average Assets (1) 0.17 % 0.49 % 0.21 % Return on Average Equity (1) 3.18 % 9.35 % 3.89 % 2010 Net interest income after provision for credit losses $ 180 $ 82 $ 262 Net income $ 109 $ 55 $ 164 Average assets $ 60,632 $ 8,735 $ 69,367 Assumed average capital allocation $ 3,077 $ 444 $ 3,521 Return on Average Assets (1) 0.18 % 0.63 % 0.24 % Return on Average Equity (1) 3.55 % 12.45 % 4.67 %
(1) Amounts used to calculate returns are based on numbers in thousands.
Accordingly, recalculations based upon the disclosed amounts (millions)
may not produce the same results. Traditional Member Finance Segment The increase in net income and ROE in 2012 reflected primarily the following factors (each factor is discussed in more detail in sections above):
? the ending of the REFCORP obligation;
? our actions on asset-liability management and market risk exposure;
? higher Advance prepayment fees;
? gains on sales of mortgage-backed securities;
? Advance growth; 52
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? increase in unrealized gains on derivatives and hedging activities; and
? a
due to our actions to reduce the premium balance of mortgage-backed securities. MPP Segment The MPP continued to earn a substantial level of return compared with market interest rates, with a moderate amount of market risk and credit risk. In 2012, the MPP averaged 12 percent of total average assets but accounted for 34 percent of earnings. The substantial increase in the MPP's net income and ROE in 2012 reflected the following factors in estimated order of importance, which are discussed in more detail above; ? our actions related to asset-liability management and market risk exposure;
? the decrease in the provision for credit losses; and
? the ending of the REFCORP obligation.
The previous factors were partially offset by lower spreads on new MPP loans relative to spreads earned on MPP principal paid down. The amount of MPP net amortization was similar in 2012 and 2011,$38 million versus$35 million , respectively. Compared to the Traditional Member Finance segment, the MPP segment can exhibit more earnings volatility relative to short-term interest rates and more credit risk exposure, but also provides the opportunity for enhancing risk-adjusted returns which normally augments earnings. As discussed elsewhere, although mortgage assets are the largest source of our market risk, we believe that we have historically managed the risk prudently and that these assets do not excessively elevate the balance sheet's overall market risk exposure.
QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT RISK MANAGEMENT
Market Risk
Overview
Market risk exposure is the risk that net income and the value of stockholders' capital investment in the FHLBank may decrease, and that our profitability may be uncompetitive as a result of changes and volatility in the market environment and business conditions. Along with business/strategic risk, market risk is normally one of our largest residual risks. We attempt to minimize market risk exposure within a prudent range while earning a competitive return on members' capital stock investment. There is normally a tradeoff between long-term market risk exposure and shorter-term exposure. Effective management of both components is important in order to attract and retain members and capital and to support Mission Asset Activity. The primary challenges in managing market risk exposure arise from 1) the tradeoff between earning a competitive return and correlating profitability with short-term interest rates and 2) the market risk exposure of owning mortgage assets. Mortgage assets grant homeowners prepayment options that tend to adversely affect us when interest rates increase or decrease. We mitigate the market risk of mortgage assets primarily with a portfolio of long-term unswapped fixed-rate callable and noncallable Bonds that have expected cash flows similar to the aggregate cash flows expected from mortgage assets under a wide range of interest rate and prepayment environments. Because it is normally cost-prohibitive to completely mitigate mortgage prepayment risk, a residual amount of market risk normally remains after funding and hedging activities. We analyze market risk using numerous analytical measures under a variety of interest rate and business scenarios, including stressed scenarios, and perform sensitivity analyses on the many variables that can affect market risk, using several market risk models from third-party software companies. These models employ rigorous valuation techniques for the optionality that exists in mortgage prepayments, call and put options, and caps/floors. We regularly assess the effects of different assumptions, techniques and methodologies on the measurements of market risk exposure, including comparisons to alternative models and information from brokers/dealers. We have historically emphasized strategies aimed at ensuring a moderate level of market risk, with the goal of providing a competitive earnings stream over a wide variety of market and business environments and having a relatively small amount of earnings volatility. These strategies include, among others: 1) conservative management of market risk exposure, 2) controlled growth in mortgage assets and 3) accounting and hedging practices that attempt to appropriately minimize earnings volatility from the use of derivatives. 53
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Policy Limits on Market Risk Exposure We have five sets of policy limits regarding market risk exposure, which primarily address long-term market risk exposure. We determine compliance with our policy limits at every month end or more frequently if market or business conditions change significantly or are volatile. ? Market Value of Equity Sensitivity. The market value of equity for the entire balance sheet in two hypothetical interest rate scenarios (up 200 basis points and down 200 basis points from the current interest rate environment) must be between positive and negative 15 percent of the current balance sheet's market value of equity. The interest rate
movements are "shocks," defined as instantaneous, permanent, and parallel
changes in interest rates in which every point on the yield curve is changed by the same amount.
? Duration of Equity. The duration of equity for the entire balance sheet in
the current ("flat rate" or "base case") interest rate environment must be
between positive and negative six years. In addition, the duration of
equity in each of the two interest rate shock scenarios must be within
positive and negative eight years. ? Market Capitalization. The market capitalization ratio (defined as the
ratio of the market value of equity to the par value of regulatory stock)
must be above 95 percent in the current rate environment and must be above
85 percent in each of the two interest rate shock scenarios.
? Mortgage Assets Portfolio. The net market value of the mortgage assets
portfolio as a percentage of the book value of portfolio assets must be
between positive and negative three percent in each of the two interest
rate shock scenarios. Net market value is defined as the market value of
assets minus the market value of liabilities, with no assumed capital
allocation. ? Mortgage Assets as a Multiple ofRegulatory Capital . The amount of
mortgage assets must be less than seven times the amount of regulatory
capital. In addition, Finance Agency Regulations and an internal policy provide controls on market risk exposure by restricting the types of mortgage loans, mortgage-backed securities and other investments we can hold. Historically, our purchases of collateralized mortgage obligations have tended to be the front-end prepayment tranches, which can have less prepayment volatility than other tranches. We also manage market risk exposure by charging members prepayment fees on many Advance programs where an early termination of an Advance would result in an economic loss to us. 54
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Market Value of Equity and Duration of Equity - Entire Balance Sheet Two key measures of long-term market risk exposure are the sensitivities of the market value of equity and the duration of equity to changes in interest rates and other variables, as presented in the following tables for various instantaneous and permanent interest rate shocks. Average results are compiled using data for each month end. Given the current very low level of rates, the down rate shocks are nonparallel scenarios, with short-term rates decreasing less than long-term rates so that no rate falls below zero. Market Value of Equity (Dollars in millions) Down 300 Down 200 Down 100 Flat Rates Up 100 Up 200 Up 300 Average Results 2012 Full Year Market Value of Equity $ 4,281 $ 4,279 $ 4,292 $ 4,330 $ 4,337 $ 4,186 $ 3,955 % Change from Flat Case (1.1 )% (1.2 )% (0.9 )% - 0.2 % (3.3 )% (8.7 )% 2011 Full Year Market Value of Equity $ 3,944 $ 3,972 $ 4,026 $ 4,108 $ 4,075 $ 3,904 $ 3,692 % Change from Flat Case (4.0 )% (3.3 )% (2.0 )% - (0.8 )% (5.0 )% (10.1 )% Month-End Results December 31, 2012 Market Value of Equity $ 4,991 $ 4,976 $ 4,947 $ 4,878 $ 4,759 $ 4,585 $ 4,401 % Change from Flat Case 2.3 % 2.0 % 1.4 % - (2.4 )% (6.0 )% (9.8 )% December 31, 2011 Market Value of Equity $ 3,958 $ 3,964 $ 3,996 $ 4,090 $ 4,191 $ 4,102 $ 3,915 % Change from Flat Case (3.2 )% (3.1 )% (2.3 )% - 2.5 % 0.3 % (4.3 )% Duration of Equity
(In years) Down 300 Down 200 Down 100 Flat Rates Up 100
Up 200 Up 300 Average Results 2012 Full Year 1.8 1.3 0.4 (1.4 ) 2.0 4.9 6.4 2011 Full Year (0.2 ) (0.8 ) (1.4 ) (1.1 ) 3.2 5.3 6.0 Month-End Results December 31, 2012 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9 3.2 4.1 4.1 December 31, 2011 0.5 (0.3 ) (1.2 ) (3.8 ) 0.5 3.7 5.5 In 2012, the average market risk exposure to both higher and lower interest rates, similar to 2011, was moderate, well within policy limits, and below long-term historical average exposure. Overall market risk exposure and earnings trends to further reductions in long-term rates are benefiting from slower mortgage prepayment speeds, given the level of rates, than would be expected under normal conditions for housing markets where homeowner equity is widely sufficient and credit is more accessible. Consistent with 2011, there were several periods in 2012 where long-term rates fell to historical lows, which were key contributors in the moderate levels of market risk exposure, particularly to rising rate scenarios. Late in the second quarter and during the third quarter of 2012, we took actions to moderately raise market risk exposure, primarily by increasing beyond the long-term historical average the amount of long-term mortgage assets we funded with short-term debt and lowering the average maturity of long-term Bonds. The elevated market risk exposure substantially raised earnings in the third quarter and somewhat less for the full year, as discussed in "Results of Operations." In the fourth quarter, we reduced market risk exposure to within the historical range by issuing long-term Bonds. Over the last several years and especially in the latter half of 2012, we and our model vendors made several changes to the market risk and prepayment models we use, in order to adapt them to the constantly evolving and unprecedented conditions in 55
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the mortgage and housing markets. These modeling enhancements modestly slowed prepayment speeds in many rate environments and reduced the sensitivity of the market risk measures to rate changes. Overall, the impacts of the modeling changes were to moderately increase measured market risk exposure to rising interest rate scenarios and to moderately increase expected earnings trends. We have no current plans to implement any additional model enhancements, but there is a possibility we will make future improvements as conditions in the mortgage and housing markets continue to evolve. Based on the totality of our market risk analysis, we expect that profitability, defined as the level of ROE compared with short-term market rates, will remain competitive unless interest rates change by extremely large amounts in a short period of time. Decreases in long-term interest rates even up to two percentage points (which would put fixed-rate mortgages at two percent or less) would still result in ROE being above market interest rates. We believe that profitability would not become uncompetitive unless long-term rates were to permanently increase in a short period of time by four percentage points or more combined with short-term rates increasing to at least seven percent. Such large changes in interest rates would not result in negative earnings, unless these rate environments occurred quickly, lasted for a long period of time, and were coupled with very unfavorable changes in other market and business variables or our business model. We believe such a scenario is extremely unlikely to occur. Market Capitalization Ratio The ratio of the market value of equity to the par value of regulatory capital stock (called the "market capitalization ratio") indicates the theoretical net market value of portfolio assets after subtracting the theoretical net market cost of liabilities. The market capitalization ratio excludes retained earnings in the denominator and therefore shows the ability of the market value of equity to protect the value of stockholders' investment in our company. To the extent the market capitalization ratio differs from 100 percent, it can represent potential real economic gains or losses, unrealized opportunity benefits or costs, temporary fluctuations in asset or liability prices, or market value remaining in a liquidation of the FHLBank in which all assets were sold and all liabilities were terminated or transferred. The ratio does not sufficiently measure the value of our company as a going concern because it does not consider franchise value, future new business activity, future risk management strategies, or the net profitability of assets after funding costs.
The following table presents the market capitalization ratios for the interest rate environments for which we have policy limits, as described above.
Monthly Average Year Ended December 31, December 31, 2012 2012 December 31, 2011 Market Value of Equity to Par Value of Regulatory Capital Stock 116 % 121 % 120 % Market Value of Equity to Par Value of Regulatory Capital Stock - Down Shock of 200 bps 117 120
118
Market Value of Capital to Par Value of Regulatory Capital Stock - Up Shock of 200 bps 109 117 121 In 2012, the market capitalization ratios in the scenarios indicated continued to be well above 100 percent and in compliance with policy limits, but trended modestly lower during the fourth quarter of 2012. The overall favorable level of these measures provides additional support for our assessment that we have a moderate amount of overall market risk exposure. Even with the recent decline, the ratios remain at favorable (high) levels due to the combination of 1) the fact that retained earnings are currently 13 percent of regulatory capital stock, 2) we have maintained market risk exposure at moderate levels, and 3) market prices of mortgage assets continue to be at elevated levels compared to prices of our Bonds. The factors causing the modest reduction observed in the fourth quarter were moderately lower mortgage asset pricing and an overall reduction in total mortgage assets relative to capital. 56
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Market Risk Exposure of the Mortgage Assets Portfolio The mortgage assets portfolio accounts for almost all of our market risk exposure because of prepayment volatility that we cannot completely hedge while maintaining positive net spreads. Sensitivities of the market value of equity allocated to the mortgage assets portfolio under interest rate shocks (in basis points) are shown below. AtDecember 31, 2012 the mortgage assets portfolio had an assumed par-value equity (capital) allocation of$1.2 billion based on the entire balance sheet's regulatory capital-to-assets ratio. Average results are compiled using data for each month-end. The market value sensitivities are one measure we use to analyze the portfolio's estimated market risk exposure.
% Change in Market Value of Equity-Mortgage Assets Portfolio
Down 300 Down 200 Down 100 Flat Rates Up 100 Up 200 Up 300 Average Results 2012 Full Year (9.2 )% (8.2 )% (5.4 )% - 2.0 % (8.2 )% (24.7 )% 2011 Full Year (20.1 )% (15.8 )% (9.2 )% - (1.0 )% (14.6 )% (32.1 )% Month-End Results December 31, 2012 3.5 % 3.5 % 3.1 % - (10.0 )% (24.0 )% (39.1 )% December 31, 2011 (17.1 )% (15.2 )% (10.3 )% - 10.3 % 4.2 % (10.6 )% The sensitivities indicate that the market risk exposure of the mortgage assets portfolio had similar trends across interest rate shocks as those of the entire balance sheet. The dollar amount of exposure for any individual rate shock can be obtained by multiplying the percentage change by the assumed equity allocation. We believe the mortgage assets portfolio continues to have a moderate amount of market risk exposure relative to the inherent market risks of owning mortgages and relative to their actual and expected profitability. We believe this exposure is consistent with our conservative risk philosophy and cooperative business model. 57
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Use of Derivatives in Market Risk Management The following table presents the notional principal amounts of the derivatives used to hedge other financial instruments classified by how we designate the hedging relationship. (In millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Hedged Item/Hedging Instrument Hedging Objective Fair Value Hedge Economic Hedge Fair Value Hedge Economic Hedge Advances: Pay-fixed, receive Converts the Advance's floating interest rate fixed rate to a swap (without options) variable rate index. $ 1,519 $ - $ 2,269 $ - Pay-fixed, receive Converts the Advance's floating interest rate fixed rate to a swap (with options) variable rate index and offsets option risk in the Advance. 2,604 174 7,326 184 Pay-float with embedded Reduces interest-rate features, receive sensitivity and floating interest rate repricing gaps by swap (non-callable) offsetting embedded option risk in the Advance. 35 - 70 - Total Advances 4,158 174 9,665 184 Mortgage Loans: Forward settlement Protects against agreement changes in market value of fixed rate Mandatory Delivery Contracts resulting from changes in interest rates. - - - 375 Consolidated Obligations Bonds: Receive-fixed, pay Converts the Bond's floating interest rate fixed rate to a swap (without options) variable rate index. 2,269 3,400 2,229 3,570 Receive-fixed, pay Converts the Bond's floating interest rate fixed rate to a swap (with options) variable rate index and offsets option risk in the Bond. 1,835 200 1,780 1,325 Total Consolidated Obligations Bonds 4,104 3,600 4,009 4,895 Stand-Alone Derivatives: Mandatory Delivery Protects against fair Contracts value risk associated with fixed rate mortgage purchase commitments. - 124 - 431 Total $ 8,262 $ 3,898 $ 13,674 $ 5,885
In addition to issuing long-term Bonds, an important way that we manage and hedge market risk exposure is by engaging in derivatives transactions, primarily interest rate swaps. Our hedging and risk management strategies in using derivatives did not change materially in 2012 from 2011, nor were there any changes in the accounting treatment of new or existing derivative hedge transactions that materially affected our results of operations.
The amount of derivatives we used to hedge Advances decreased in 2012 because such Advances matured, whereas most of the Advance growth in 2012 was funded by unswapped Consolidated Obligations.
In 2011, we began to account for certain Bond-related derivatives using an accounting election called "fair value option," which is included in the economic hedge category in the table. This change in accounting election resulted in a negligible amount of additional unrealized earnings volatility from accounting for derivatives. See "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" for further discussion.
The differences between accounting under "fair value option" and under "fair value hedge" are:
1) "Fair value hedge" accounting carries the risk that hedge effectiveness
testing may fail, which results in recording the derivative at its fair
market value with no offsetting changes in the market value of the hedged
instrument.
2) "Fair value option" accounting records the fair market value of the hedged
instrument at its full fair value instead of only the value of hedging the
benchmark interest rate (designated to be LIBOR for these swaps). 58
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Table of Contents Capital Adequacy Capital Leverage Prudent risk management dictates that we maintain effective financial leverage to minimize risk to our capital stock while preserving profitability and that we hold an adequate amount of retained earnings. Pursuant to these objectives, Finance Agency Regulations stipulate that we must comply with three limits on capital leverage and risk-based capital.
? We must maintain at least a four percent minimum regulatory
capital-to-assets ratio. This has historically been the regulatory capital
requirement that has the greatest effect on our operations.
? We must maintain at least a five percent minimum leverage ratio of capital
divided by total assets, which includes a 1.5 weighting factor applicable
to permanent capital. Because all of our Class B stock is permanent capital, this requirement is met automatically if we satisfy the four percent unweighted capital requirement.
? We are subject to a risk-based capital rule, as discussed below.
We have always complied with each capital requirement. The regulatory capital ratio averaged 6.07 percent in 2012. The regulatory capital-to-assets ratio atDecember 31, 2012 was 5.84 percent, which means that, given the amount of regulatory capital, total assets could increase by at least$37 billion before the capital-to-assets ratio would fall to four percent. This amount of growth in assets is unlikely to occur and, if it did, our Capital Plan would require us to obtain additional amounts of capital well before the four percent policy limit on capitalization would be reached. See the "Capital Resources" section of "Analysis of Financial Condition" and Note 16 of the Notes to Financial Statements for more information on our capital adequacy. Retained Earnings Our Board-approved Retained Earnings and Dividend Policy sets forth a range for the amount of retained earnings we believe is needed to mitigate impairment risk and augment dividend stability in light of the risks we face. The current minimum retained earnings requirement is$375 million , based on mitigating quantifiable risks under stress scenarios to at least a 99 percent confidence level. Given the recent financial and regulatory environment, we have been carrying a greater amount of retained earnings in the last several years than required by the Policy. As discussed elsewhere, we will continue to bolster capital adequacy over time by allocating a portion of earnings to a separate restricted retained earnings account in accordance with theFHLBank System's Capital Agreement. Risk-Based Capital Regulatory Requirement We must hold sufficient capital to protect against exposure to market risk, credit risk, and operational risk. The GLB Act and Finance Agency Regulations require total permanent capital, which includes retained earnings and the regulatory amount of Class B capital stock, to be at least equal to the amount of risk-based capital. Risk-based capital is the sum of market, credit, and operational risk-based capital as specified by the Regulations. The following table shows the amount of risk-based capital required based on the measurements, the amount of permanent capital, and the amount of excess permanent capital. Monthly Average (Dollars in millions) Year-end 2012 2012 Year-end 2011 Market risk-based capital $ 171 $ 148 $ 125 Credit risk-based capital 205 178 173 Operational risk-based capital 113 98 89 Total risk-based capital requirement 489 424 387 Total permanent capital 4,759 4,050 3,845 Excess permanent capital $ 4,270 $ 3,626 $ 3,458 Risk-based capital as a percent of permanent capital 10 % 10 % 10 % The risk-based capital requirement has historically not been a constraint on operations and we do not use it to actively manage any of our risks. It has normally ranged from 10 to 20 percent, which is significantly less than the amount of permanent capital. This measure has been at the low end of the range for several years, primarily due to the low level of interest rates during this period truncating estimated exposure to extreme lower rate scenarios. 59
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Table of Contents Credit Risk Overview We assume a substantial amount of inherent credit risk exposure in our dealings with members, purchases of investments, and transactions of derivatives. For the reasons detailed below, we believe we have a minimal overall amount of residual credit risk exposure related to our Credit Services, purchases of investments, and transactions in derivatives and a moderate amount of legacy credit risk exposure related to the MPP. Credit Services Overview. We have policies and practices to manage credit risk exposure from our secured lending activities, which include Advances and Letters of Credit. The objective of our credit risk management is to equalize risk exposure across members and counterparties to a zero level of expected losses, consistent with our conservative risk management principles and desire to have no residual credit risk related to member borrowings. Despite continued effects from the deterioration in the last five years in the credit conditions of many of our members and in the value of some pledged collateral, we believe that credit risk exposure in our secured lending activities continued to be minimal in 2012. We base this assessment on the following factors:
? a conservative approach to collateralizing credit services that results in
significant over-collateralization;
? close monitoring of members' financial conditions and repayment capacities;
? a risk-focused process for reviewing and verifying the quality, documentation, and administration of pledged loan collateral;
? significant upward adjustments on collateral margins assigned to almost
all of the subprime and nontraditional mortgages pledged as collateral;
and
? a history of never experiencing a credit loss or delinquency on any Advance.
Because of these factors, we have never established a loan loss reserve for Advances. We expect to collect all amounts due according to the contractual terms of Advances and Letters of Credit.
Collateral. We require each member to provide us a security interest in eligible collateral before it can undertake any secured borrowing. AtDecember 31, 2012 , our policy of over-collateralization resulted in total collateral pledged of$198.0 billion to serve members' total borrowing capacity of$140.4 billion . Lower borrowing capacity results because we apply Collateral Maintenance Requirements (CMRs) to discount the estimated value of pledged collateral in order to mitigate market, credit, and liquidity risks that may affect the collateral's realizable value in the event we must liquidate it. Over-collateralization by one member is not applied to another member.
The table below shows the total pledged collateral (unadjusted for CMRs) on
December 31, 2012
Collateral Amount Percent of Total Collateral Amount Percent of Total ($ Billions) Pledged Collateral ($ Billions) Pledged Collateral Single family loans $ 111.6 56 % $ 97.0 62 % Bond securities 25.0 13 13.5 8 Home equity loans/lines of credit 24.1 12 26.2 17 Commercial real estate 19.2 10 17.1 11 Multi-family loans 17.6 9 2.6 2 Farm real estate 0.5 (a) 0.4 (a) Total $ 198.0 100 % $ 156.8 100 %
(a) Less than one percent of total pledged collateral.
At--------------------------------------------------------------------------------December 31, 2012 , 68 percent of collateral was related to residential mortgage lending in single family loans and home equity lines. The increase in multi-family loans and bond securities between these two periods was due to the collateral pledged by a large new member. 60
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We assign each member one of four levels of collateral status-Blanket, Securities, Listing, and Physical Delivery-based in part on our internal credit rating model that reflects our view of the member's current financial condition, capitalization, level of problem assets, and other risk factors. Blanket collateral status, which we assign to approximately 85 percent of borrowers, is the least restrictive status and is available for lower risk institutions. Over 90 percent of single family mortgage loan collateral and commercial real estate collateral and almost all home equity loan collateral are under the Blanket status. We monitor eligible collateral pledged under Blanket status using quarterly regulatory financial reports or periodic collateral "Certification" documents submitted by all significant borrowers. Under Listing collateral status, a member pledges and provides us detailed information on specifically identified individual loans and securities that meet certain minimum qualifications. Physical Delivery is the most restrictive collateral status, which we assign to members experiencing significant financial difficulties, insurance companies pledging loans, and newly chartered institutions. We require borrowers assigned to Physical Delivery to deliver into our possession securities and/or original notes, mortgages or deeds of trust. Some members may pledge bond securities, which we hold in Physical Delivery collateral status. We regularly estimate market values of collateral under Listing and Physical status using detailed information on the collateral and a third-party pricing service. Borrowing Capacity/Lendable Value. We determine borrowing capacity against pledged collateral by applying CMRs. CMRs are intended to capture market, credit, liquidity, and prepayment risks that may affect the realizable value of each pledged asset in the event we must liquidate collateral. CMRs are discounts determined by statistical analysis and certain management assumptions applied to the estimated market value of pledged collateral, and therefore their application results in borrowing capacity that is less than the amount of pledged collateral. The discounts are determined by dividing one by the CMR; for example, a CMR of 150 percent translates into a discount of 66.7 percent, which means that 66.7 percent of the value is eligible for borrowing. Members and collateral with a higher risk profile, more risky credit quality, and/or less favorable performance are generally assigned higher CMRs. The table below indicates the range of lendable values remaining after the application of CMRs for each major collateral type pledged atDecember 31, 2012 . Lending Values Applied to Collateral Blanket Status 1-4 family loans 67-83% Multi-family loans 41-53% Home equity loans/lines of credit 48-63% Commercial real estate loans 44-56% Farm real estate loans 51-69%
Listing Status/Physical Delivery Cash/
90-96% Private-label MBS/CMOs 65-87% Commercial mortgage-backed securities 48-83%Small Business Administration certificates 91% 1-4 family loans 70-83% Multi-family loans 57-83% Home equity loans/lines of credit 53-69% Commercial real estate loans 53-67% The ranges of lendable values for Blanket collateral status are expressed as percentages of collateral book value and exclude subprime and nontraditional mortgage loan collateral. The ranges of lendable value for Listing and Physical collateral status are expressed as a percentage of estimated market value. Loans pledged under a Blanket status generally are discounted more heavily than loans on which we have detailed loan structure and underwriting information. We periodically evaluate the CMRs applied by completing internal evaluations or engaging third-party specialists. Beginning in June, we engaged a market-recognized vendor to perform this regular update to the CMRs. The first update, completed in July, addressed collateral composed of multi-family loans because the amount of that collateral type grew materially in June. The 61
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result of the update was to increase lendable values approximately 20 to 33 percent, for this type of collateral pledged by members to whom we assign strong internal credit ratings and who elect to pledge collateral under Listing status. The second update, implemented in the first quarter of 2013, addressed all other collateral types and generally increased lendable values by a range of 5 to 30 percent, with the most notable increases existing in commercial real estate collateral. Some collateral types received no changes or minor decreases in lendable values. The changes in CMRs were influenced by the general stabilization in the credit environment. We believe these updated CMRs maintain a rigorous amount of credit protection consistent with our conservative risk management principles. Subprime and Nontraditional Mortgage Loan Collateral. We have policies and processes to identify subprime loans pledged by members to which we have high credit risk exposure or have extended significant credit. We perform on-site collateral reviews, sometimes engaging third parties, of members we deem to have high credit risk exposure. The reviews include identification of loans that meet our definitions of subprime and nontraditional. Our definitions of subprime loans and nontraditional mortgage loans (NTM) are expansive and conservative. During the review process, we estimate overall subprime and nontraditional mortgage exposure levels by performing random statistical sampling of residential loans in the members' pledged portfolios. Based on our collateral reviews, we estimate that approximately 20 to 25 percent of pledged residential loan collateral has one or more subprime characteristics and that approximately five to seven percent of pledged collateral meets the industry definition of "nontraditional." These percentages have increased slightly over the last several years. We apply significantly higher adjustments to the standard CMRs on almost all collateral identified as subprime and/or nontraditional mortgages. No security known to have more than one-third subprime collateral is eligible for pledge to support additional credit borrowings. Internal Credit Ratings. We assign all member and nonmember borrowers an internal credit rating, based on a combination of internal credit analysis and consideration of available credit ratings from independent credit rating organizations. The analysis focuses on asset quality, financial performance, earnings quality, liquidity, and capital adequacy. The credit ratings are used in conjunction with other measures of the credit risk posed by members and pledged collateral, as described above, in managing credit risk exposure of Advances. A lower internal credit rating can cause us to 1) decrease the institution's borrowing capacity via higher CMRs, 2) require the institution to provide an increased level of detail on pledged collateral, 3) require it to deliver collateral into our custody, and/or 4) prompt us to more closely and/or frequently monitor the institution using several established processes. Collateralization of Former Members. Underwriting criteria, including the forms of collateral that may be pledged, are generally the same for members and former members. One exception is that former members of our FHLBank with outstanding Advances must either deliver sufficient collateral into our custody to cover their Advances (regardless of whether they would qualify for Blanket or Listing status as a member) or have their Advances covered by a subordination or other acceptable form of intercreditor agreement from/by another FHLBank. OnDecember 31, 2012 , we had$3,619 million of Advances outstanding to former members. Of this amount,$3,029 million was supported by subordination or other intercreditor security agreements with other FHLBanks, with collateral totaling$3,786 million based on our required collateral levels. The remaining$590 million of Advances was collateralized by$20 million of marketable securities and$1,521 million in loan collateral held in our custody. Subordination agreements mitigate our risk in the event of borrower default by giving our claim to the value of collateral priority over the interests of the subordinating FHLBank, thus providing that FHLBank an incentive to ensure pledged collateral values are sufficient to cover all parties. 62
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The following tables show the distribution of internal credit ratings we assigned to member and nonmember borrowers, which we use to help manage credit risk exposure. The lower the numerical rating, the higher our assessment of the member's credit quality. (Dollars in billions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Borrowers Borrowers Collateral-Based Collateral-Based Credit Borrowing Credit Borrowing Rating Number Capacity Rating Number Capacity 1-3 485 $ 67.9 1-3 420 $ 57.0 4 126 66.2 4 181 41.0 5 71 4.3 5 72 2.0 6 31 0.8 6 34 0.7 7 38 1.2 7 46 1.8 Total 751 $ 140.4 Total 753 $ 102.5 A "4" rating is our assessment of the lowest level of satisfactory performance. Many members continue to be adversely affected by the last recession, the weak economic recovery, and the continued distress in the housing market, although at a lower overall level compared to trends in 2008-2011. As ofDecember 31, 2012 , 140 borrowers (19 percent of the total) had credit ratings of 5 through 7, a net decrease of 12 from the end of 2011. These members had$6.3 billion of borrowing capacity at year end. There was a net decrease of 55 members who had a 4 credit rating and a net increase of 65 members with credit ratings of 1, 2, or 3. There was a net decrease of 11 members with the two lowest credit ratings. We believe these trends indicate a general stabilization and improvement in the overall financial condition of our members, although the improvement to date has been most evident among members with already-acceptable "4" credit ratings.
Member Failures, Closures, and Receiverships. There were three member failures during 2012. These institutions had no Advances outstanding with us.
MPP
Overview. We believe that the residual amount of credit risk exposure to loans in the MPP is moderate, based on the following factors:
? various credit enhancements for conventional loans, which are designed to
protect us against credit losses; ? conservative underwriting and loan characteristics consistent with favorable expected credit performance; ? a relatively moderate overall amount of delinquencies and defaults experienced when compared to national averages; ? charge-offs totaling only$4.3 million in 2012 and$9.7 million
program-to-date through
conventional loans unpaid principal balance atDecember 31, 2012 ; and
? in addition to the low program-to-date charge-offs, financial analysis
suggesting that future credit losses will not harm capital adequacy and
will not significantly affect profitability except under the most extreme
and unlikely credit conditions. 63
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Portfolio Loan Characteristics. The following table showsFair Isaac and Company (FICO®) credit scores of homeowners at origination dates for the conventional loan portfolio. FICO® Score (1) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 < 620 - % - % 620 to < 660 3 4 660 to < 700 9 10 700 to < 740 18 18 >= 740 70 68 Weighted Average 757 754
(1) Represents the original FICO® score.
There was little change in the FICO® score distribution in 2012 compared with 2011. We believe the distribution of FICO® scores at origination is one indication of the portfolio's overall favorable credit quality. At the end of 2012, 70 percent of the portfolio had scores at an excellent level of 740 or above and 88 percent had scores above 700 which is a threshold generally considered indicative of homeowners' good credit quality. A high loan-to-value ratio, in which a homeowner has little or no equity at stake, is a driver in many mortgage delinquencies and defaults. The following tables show loan-to-value ratios for conventional loans based on values estimated at the origination dates and current values estimated at the noted periods. The estimated current ratios are based on original loan values, principal paydowns that have occurred since origination, and a third-party estimate of changes in historical home prices for the metropolitan statistical area in which each loan resides. Both measures are weighted by current unpaid principal. Based on Estimated Origination Value Based On Estimated Current Value Loan-to-Value December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Loan-to-Value December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 <= 60% 20 % 21 % <= 60% 27 % 26 % > 60% to 70% 18 18 > 60% to 70% 20 17 > 70% to 80% 52 52 > 70% to 80% 29 29 > 80% to 90% 6 6 > 80% to 90% 14 14 > 90% 4 3 > 90% to 100% 5 6 > 100% 5 8 Weighted Average 70 % 70 % Weighted Average 69 % 72 % Overall loan-to-value ratios of the current portfolio of loans have deteriorated moderately since origination. AtDecember 31, 2012 , 24 percent of loans were estimated to have current loan-to-value ratios above 80 percent, up from 10 percent at origination. We believe the overall trend is consistent with an acceptable credit quality of the portfolio, in light of the significant deterioration in national average housing prices in recent years. In 2012, the loan-to-value ratios improved modestly; the percentage of loans having estimated current loan-to-value ratios above 80 percent declined by four percent. We believe this decline results from, in part, the overall sustained improvement in the housing market observed in 2012. Based on the available data, we believe we have little exposure to loans in the MPP considered to have characteristics of "subprime" or "alternative/nontraditional" loans. Further, we do not knowingly purchase any loan that violates the terms of our Anti-Predatory Lending Policy. 64
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The geographical allocation of conventional loans in the MPP is concentrated in
December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Ohio 56 % Ohio 53 % Kentucky 11 Kentucky 11 Indiana 9 Indiana 8 California 3 California 3 Tennessee 2 Maryland 2 All others 19 All others 23 Total 100 % Total 100 % Lender Risk Account. Conventional mortgage loans are supported against credit losses by various combinations of primary mortgage insurance (PMI), supplemental mortgage insurance (SMI) and the Lender Risk Account. The Lender Risk Account is a purchase-price holdback that PFIs may receive back from us, starting after five years from the loan purchase date, for managing credit risk to pre-defined acceptable levels of exposure on loan pools they sell to us. The Lender Risk Account is funded by the FHLBank from a portion of the purchase proceeds to cover expected credit losses for a specific pool of loans. As a result, some pools of loans may have sufficient credit enhancements to recapture all losses while other pools of loans may not have enough credit enhancements to recapture all losses. The amount of loss claims against the Lender Risk Account in 2012 was approximately$3 million . The Account had balances of$103 million and$69 million atDecember 31, 2012 and 2011, respectively. The increase in the balance of the Account from year-end 2011 is a result of the discontinued use of SMI in 2011 as a credit enhancement and instead, augmenting credit enhancement with a greater amount of the purchase proceeds added to the Lender Risk Account. For more information, see Note 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements.
Credit Performance. The table below provides an analysis of conventional loans delinquent or in foreclosure, along with the national average serious delinquency rate.
Conventional Loan Delinquencies (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Early stage delinquencies - unpaid principal balance (1) $ 64 $ 82 Serious delinquencies - unpaid principal balance (2) 76 91 Early stage delinquency rate (3) 1.0 % 1.3 % Serious delinquency rate (4) 1.2 1.4 National average serious delinquency rate (5) 3.7 4.1
(1) Includes conventional loans 30 to 89 days delinquent and not in foreclosure.
(2) Includes conventional loans that are 90 days or more past due or where the
decision of foreclosure or a similar alternative such as pursuit of deed-in-lieu has been reported. (3) Early stage delinquencies expressed as a percentage of the total conventional loan portfolio.
(4) Serious delinquencies expressed as a percentage of the total conventional
loan portfolio.
(5) National average number of fixed-rate prime conventional loans that are 90
days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure is based on the most recent national delinquency data available. TheDecember 31, 2012 rate is based onSeptember 30, 2012 data. The MPP has experienced a moderate amount of delinquencies and foreclosures. The rates continued to be well below national averages and we expect this to continue to be the case. Delinquency rates for both the early stage and serious categories declined in 2012. We are cautiously optimistic that these data indicate an improving trend in housing market conditions, and we continue to closely monitor these data to evaluate the sustainability of the trend. We consider a high risk loan as having a current loan-to-value ratio above 100 percent. AtDecember 31, 2012 , high risk loans had experienced relatively moderate serious delinquencies (i.e., delinquencies that are 90 days or more past due or in the process of foreclosure). For example, of the$299 million of conventional principal balances with current estimated loan-to-values above 100 percent, only$26 million (nine percent) were seriously delinquent. We believe these data further support our view that the overall portfolio is comprised of high quality loans. 65
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Credit Losses. The following table shows the effects of credit enhancements on the determination of the allowance for credit losses at the noted periods: (In millions)
December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Estimated incurred credit losses, before credit enhancements $ (56 ) $ (64 ) Estimated amounts deemed recoverable by: Primary mortgage insurance 5 5 Supplemental mortgage insurance 25 30 Lender Risk Account 8 8 Allowance for credit losses, after credit enhancements $ (18 ) $ (21 ) The data presented above are aggregated information on the health of the overall portfolio. Credit risk exposure depends on the actual and potential credit performance of the loans in each pool compared to the pool's equity (on individual loans) and credit enhancements, including PMI (for individual loans), the Lender Risk Account, and SMI. The reduction in the allowance for credit losses at the end of 2012 compared to the end of 2011 was based primarily on a modest growth in national home prices of approximately 5 to 7 percent. This growth in national home prices resulted in a stabilization of loss severities and contributed to the decrease in the number of loans assessed to have incurred losses. We cannot predict the future course of factors that determine incurred credit losses, including home prices, macro-economic conditions such as unemployment rates, estimated loss severities, the health of mortgage insurance providers, and regulatory or accounting guidance. In addition to the allowance for credit losses recorded, we regularly analyze, using recognized third-party credit and prepayment models, potential ranges of additional lifetime credit risk exposure for the loans in the MPP. Even under adverse scenarios for either home prices or unemployment rates (and assuming the two SMI providers continue to pay claims), we do not expect further credit losses to significantly decrease our overall annual profitability or dividends payable to members, or to materially affect our capital adequacy. For example, for an additional 20 percent decline in all home prices over the next two years, we estimate that our lifetime credit losses could increase by approximately$60 million , which would decrease annual ROE by approximately 0.23 percentage points over the next five years (most of the losses are estimated to occur in the next five years). Credit Risk Exposure to Insurance Providers.Primary Mortgage Insurance Some of our conventional loans carry PMI as a credit enhancement feature. Based on the guidelines of the MPP, we have assessed that we do not have any credit risk exposure to the primary mortgage insurance providers.Supplemental Mortgage Insurance Another credit enhancement feature is SMI purchased from Genworth and MGIC. BeginningFebruary 1, 2011 , we discontinued use of SMI as a credit enhancement for new loan purchases; instead, we augment credit enhancements with a greater amount of the purchase proceeds added to the Lender Risk Account. However, we have$3.3 billion of conventional loans purchased prior toFebruary 2011 with outstanding SMI coverage through Genworth and MGIC. Over time, as existing loans in the MPP are paid off and replaced with new loans that do not rely on SMI, the amount of SMI exposure will diminish. We subject both SMI providers to a standard credit underwriting analysis. Both providers have experienced weakened financial conditions in the last several years. Currently, the lowest credit rating from nationally recognized statistical rating organizations (NRSROs) is B- for MGIC and B for Genworth, with both on negative outlook. Our exposure to these providers is that they may be unable to fulfill their contractual coverage on loss claims. In a scenario in which home prices do not change and both providers fail to pay their insurance coverage on defaulting loans (with an assumption that we would obtain a 50 percent recovery rate), we estimate our exposure atDecember 31, 2012 to the providers over the life of the MPP loans to be approximately$17 million . In an adverse scenario in which home prices decline an additional 20 percent over the next two years and both providers fail to pay claims (with the same recovery assumption), we estimate exposure to be approximately$28 million .
Based on our most-recent analysis including consulting with a third-party rating agency, we believe it is likely each provider will fulfill its contractual insurance obligations. However, this assessment is uncertain because of the combination
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of potential impacts on the mortgage insurance industry from the current conditions in the economy and housing markets, the providers' stressed financial performance and condition, and their below-investment grade credit ratings and negative outlooks. Based on these factors, we concluded, as ofDecember 31, 2012 , that payments on a portion of our SMI coverage may not be probable and have incorporated an estimate of such in our loan loss reserve. Of the total amount of estimated exposure from the providers (assuming a 50 percent recovery rate), we believe that$2.0 million of payments may not be probable atDecember 31, 2012 .
Investments
Liquidity Investments. The following table presents the carrying value of liquidity investments outstanding in relation to the counterparties' lowest long-term credit ratings provided by Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and/or Fitch Advisory Services. (For resell agreements, the ratings shown are based on ratings on the associated collateral.) (In millions) December 31, 2012 Long-Term Rating AAA AA A
Total
Unsecured Liquidity Investments Federal funds sold $ - $ 1,640 $ 1,710 $ 3,350 Total unsecured liquidity investments - 1,640 1,710
3,350
Guaranteed/Secured Liquidity Investments Securities purchased under agreements to resell - 3,800 -
3,800
Government-sponsored enterprises (1) - 26 -
26
Total guaranteed/secured liquidity investments - 3,826 -
3,826 Total liquidity investments $ - $ 5,466 $ 1,710 $ 7,176 December 31, 2011 Long-Term Rating AAA AA A Total Unsecured Liquidity Investments Federal funds sold $ - $ 540 $ 1,730 $ 2,270 Certificates of deposit - 2,329 1,625 3,954 Other (2) 217 - - 217 Total unsecured liquidity investments 217 2,869 3,355
6,441
Guaranteed/Secured Liquidity Investments U.S. Treasury obligations - 331 -
331
Government-sponsored enterprises (1) - 2,554 -
2,554
TLGP (3) - 1,411 -
1,411
Total guaranteed/secured liquidity investments - 4,296 -
4,296 Total liquidity investments $ 217 $ 7,165 $ 3,355 $ 10,737
(1) Consists of securities that are issued and effectively guaranteed by
Fannie Mae and/or Freddie Mac, which have the support of the U.S.
government, although they are not obligations of the U.S. government.
(2) Consists of debt securities issued byInternational Bank for Reconstruction and Development. (3) Represents corporate debentures issued or guaranteed by theFederal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) under the Temporary Liquidity Guarantee Program (TLGP). We actively monitor our credit exposure and the credit quality of all of our counterparties. This includes ongoing assessments of each counterparty's financial condition, performance, and capital adequacy, sovereign support, the market's current perceptions of the counterparty's market presence and activities, and general macro-economic, political, and market conditions. We believe all of the liquidity investments were purchased from counterparties that have a strong ability to repay principal and interest. We currently limit such investments to counterparties with credit ratings at time of purchase at single-A or above, and we are aggressive in restricting maturities, reducing dollar exposure, and suspending new investments with counterparties we deem to represent elevated credit risk. In the last few years, we have generally invested in secured resale agreements, guaranteed investments, overnight Federal funds, and certificates of deposit which are negotiable and held in available-for-sale accounts. AtDecember 31, 2012 and 2011, a substantial amount of liquidity investments were purchased from counterparties that provide explicit guarantees from the U.S. 67
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government, that are effectively guaranteed (government-sponsored enterprises), or that are secured with collateral (securities purchased under agreements to resell). We believe the guaranteed and secured investments represent no credit risk exposure to us. The following table presents credit ratings of our unsecured investment credit exposures by the domicile of the counterparty or the domicile of the counterparty's parent for U.S. branches and agency offices of foreign commercial banks. More discussion on the reduction in unsecured balances can be found in "Analysis of Financial Condition." (In millions) December 31, 2012 Counterparty Rating (1) Sovereign Rating Domicile of Counterparty (1) AA A Total Domestic AA+ $ - $ 555 $ 555 U.S. branches and agency offices of foreign commercial banks: Canada AAA - 770 770 Australia AAA 595 - 595 Finland AAA 595 - 595 Netherlands AAA 450 - 450 Sweden AAA - 385 385 Total U.S. branches and agency offices of foreign commercial banks 1,640 1,155 2,795 Total unsecured investment credit exposure $ 1,640 $ 1,710 $ 3,350 (1) Represents the lowest long-term credit rating provided by Standard & Poor's, Moody's, and/or Fitch Advisory Services. AtDecember 31, 2012 , all of the$3.4 billion of unsecured liquidity exposure was to counterparties with holding companies domiciled in countries receiving between triple-A and double-A long-term sovereign ratings, and all of the unsecured investments had overnight maturities. By Finance Agency Regulations, all counterparties exposed to non-U.S. countries are required to be domestic U.S. branches of foreign counterparties. We believe we face minimal exposure in our unsecured investments to counterparties and countries that could have significant direct or indirect exposure to European sovereign debt, especially to those countries currently experiencing financial distress, and we are aggressive in limiting exposure to such counterparties. The exposure to non-U.S. countries atDecember 31, 2012 was comprised of lending to six institutions.
GSE Mortgage-Backed Securities Historically, almost all of our mortgage-backed securities have been residential GSE securities issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, which provide credit safeguards by guaranteeing either timely or ultimate payments of principal and interest, and agency securities issued byGinnie Mae , which the federal government guarantees. We believe that the conservatorships of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac lower the chance that they would not be able to fulfill their credit guarantees; we believe the securities issued by these two GSEs are effectively government guaranteed. In addition, based on the data available to us and on our purchase practices, we believe that most of the mortgage loans backing our GSE mortgage-backed securities are of high quality with acceptable credit performance. Mortgage-Backed Securities Issued by Other Government Agencies Beginning in the fourth quarter of 2010, we invested in mortgage-backed securities issued and guaranteed by theNational Credit Union Administration . These investments totaled$1.4 billion atDecember 31, 2012 . These securities have floating rate coupons tied to one-month LIBOR with interest rate caps ranging from seven to eight percent. We believe that the strength of the issuer's guarantee and backing by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government is sufficient to protect us against credit losses on these securities.
Private Label Mortgage-Backed Securities The FHLBank did not hold any private-label mortgage-backed securities at
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Derivatives
Credit Risk Exposure. The table below presents the gross credit risk exposure (i.e., the market value) and net exposure of derivatives outstanding atDecember 31, 2012 . Based on both the gross and net exposures, we had a minimal amount of residual credit risk exposure throughout 2012, totaling$6 million at the end of the year. Gross exposure would likely increase if interest rates rise and could increase if the composition of our derivatives change; however, contractual collateral provisions in these derivatives limit our exposure to acceptable levels. (In millions) Credit Exposure Gross Credit Net of Cash Credit Rating (1) Total Notional Exposure Cash Collateral Held Collateral Held Aaa/AAA $ - $ - $ - $ - Aa/AA 1,385 5 - 5 A 8,051 3 (2 ) 1 Baa/BBB 2,600 - - - Member institutions (2) 124 - - - Total $ 12,160 $ 8 $ (2 ) $ 6
(1) Each category includes the related plus (+) and minus (-) ratings (i.e.,
"A" includes "A+" and "A-" ratings).
(2) Represents Mandatory Delivery Contracts.
The following table presents counterparties that provided 10 percent or more of the total notional amount of interest rate swap derivatives outstanding. (In millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Credit Rating Notional Net Unsecured
Credit Rating Notional Net Unsecured Counterparty Category Principal Exposure Counterparty
Category Principal Exposure BNP Paribas A $ 2,181 $ - Barclays Bank PLC A $ 3,596 $ -Citigroup Financial Products Inc. Baa/BBB 1,542 - BNP Paribas A 2,830 - Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. Aa/AA 1,365 4 Deutsche Bank AG A 2,116 - Royal Bank of Royal Bank of Scotland PLC A 1,324 - Scotland PLC A 1,981 - All others (10 Baa/BBB All others counterparties) to Aa/AA 5,624 2 (9 counterparties) A to Aa/AA 8,230 3 Total $ 12,036 $ 6 Total $ 18,753 $ 3 Although we cannot predict if we will realize credit risk losses from any of our derivatives counterparties, we do not believe that any of them will be unable to continue making timely interest payments or, more generally, to continue to satisfy the terms and conditions of their derivative contracts with us. Several of our larger members are approved as eligible unsecured counterparties; however, our preference is to conduct lending to these members through Advance activities. In addition, because of their credit ratings from NRSROs, several of these members are currently suspended as unsecured counterparties. The actual amount of any unsecured lending to our members depends also on members' preferences for borrowing Advances versus funds in the money market, yields available for Advances compared to unsecured lending, and the timing of members' intra-day funding needs. As ofDecember 31, 2012 , we had$0.6 billion of notional principal of interest rate swaps outstanding to one member,JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A ., which also had outstanding credit services with us totaling$26.0 billion . Due to the amount of market value collateralization, we had no outstanding derivatives credit exposure to this counterparty. 69
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Lehman Brothers Derivatives. OnSeptember 15, 2008 , Lehman Brothers Holdings, Inc. ("Lehman Brothers") filed a petition for bankruptcy protection under Chapter 11 of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. We had 87 derivative transactions (interest rate swaps) outstanding with a subsidiary of Lehman Brothers,Lehman Brothers Special Financing, Inc. ("LBSF"), with a total notional principal amount of$5.7 billion . Under the provisions of our master agreement with LBSF, all of these swaps automatically terminated immediately prior to the bankruptcy filing by Lehman Brothers. The close-out provisions of the Agreement required us to pay LBSF a net settlement of approximately$189 million , which represented the swaps' total estimated market value at the close of business onFriday, September 12, 2008 . We paid LBSF approximately$14 million to settle all of the transactions, comprised of the$189 million market value amount minus the value of collateral we had delivered previously and other interest and expenses. OnSeptember 16, 2008 , we replaced these swaps with new swaps transacted with other counterparties. The new swaps had the same terms and conditions as the terminated LBSF swaps. The counterparties to the new swaps paid us a net amount of approximately$232 million to enter into these transactions based on the estimated market values at the time we replaced the swaps. The$43 million difference between the settlement amount we paid Lehman and the market value payment we received on the replacement swaps represented an economic gain to us based on changes in the interest rate environment between the termination date and the replacement date. Although the difference was a gain to us in this instance, because it represented exposure from terminating and replacing derivatives, it could have been a loss if the interest rate environment had been different. We are amortizing the gain into earnings according to the swaps' final maturities, most of which occurred by the end of 2012. InMarch 2010 , representatives of the Lehman bankruptcy estate advised us that they believed that we had been unjustly enriched and that the bankruptcy estate was entitled to the$43 million difference between the settlement amount we paid Lehman and the market value payment we received on the replacement swaps. InMay 2010 , we received a Derivatives Alternative Dispute Resolution notice from the Lehman bankruptcy estate with a settlement demand of$65.8 million , plus interest accruing primarily at LIBOR plus 14.5 percent since the bankruptcy filing, based on their view of how the settlement amount should have been calculated. In accordance with the Alternative Dispute Resolution Order of theBankruptcy Court administering the Lehman estate, senior management participated in a non-binding mediation inNew York inAugust 2010 , and our legal counsel continued discussions with the court-appointed mediator for several weeks thereafter. The mediation concluded inOctober 2010 without a settlement of the claims asserted by the Lehman bankruptcy estate. We believe that we correctly calculated, and fully satisfied, our obligation to Lehman inSeptember 2008 , and we intend to vigorously dispute any claim for additional amounts.
Liquidity Risk
Liquidity Overview Our principal long-term source of funding and liquidity is from cost effective access to the capital markets through participation in the issuance ofFHLBank System debt securities (Consolidated Obligations) and through execution of derivative transactions. We also raise liquidity via our liquidity investment portfolio and the ability to sell certain investments without significant accounting consequences. As shown on the Statements of Cash Flows, in 2012, our participations in the System's debt issuances totaled$250.6 billion for Discount Notes and$35.1 billion for Bonds. The System's favorable debt ratings, the implicit U.S. government backing of our debt, and our effective funding management were, and continue to be, instrumental in ensuring satisfactory access to the capital markets. Our liquidity position remained strong during 2012 and our overall ability to fund our operations through debt issuances at acceptable interest costs remained sufficient. Although we can make no assurances, we expect this to continue to be the case, and we believe the possibility of a liquidity or funding crisis in theFHLBank System that would impair our FHLBank's ability to participate in issuances of new debt, service outstanding debt, maintain adequate capitalization, or pay competitive dividends is remote. We must meet both operational and contingency liquidity requirements. We satisfied the operational liquidity requirement both by meeting the contingency liquidity requirement and because we were able to adequately access the capital markets to issue Obligations. In addition,Finance Agency guidance requires us to target at least 15 consecutive days of positive liquidity based on specific assumptions. In practice, we tend to hold over 20 days of positive liquidity. The amount of liquidity per theFinance Agency guidance and our internal operational liquidity measures was generally in the range of$4 billion to $8 billion during 2012. 70
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Contingency Liquidity Requirement Contingency liquidity risk is the potential inability to meet liquidity needs because our access to the capital markets to issue Consolidated Obligations is restricted or suspended for a period of time due to a market disruption, operational failure, or real or perceived credit quality problems. In 2012, we continued to hold an ample amount of liquidity reserves to protect against contingency liquidity risk. Contingency Liquidity Requirement (in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Total Contingency Liquidity Reserves (1) $ 23,199 $ 23,599 Total Requirement (2) (10,942 ) (6,669 ) Excess Contingency Liquidity Available $ 12,257 $ 16,930
(1) Includes, among others, cash, overnight Federal funds, overnight deposits,
self-liquidating term Federal funds, 95 percent of the market value of
available-for-sale negotiable securities, and 75 percent of the market
value of certain held-to-maturity obligations, including obligations of
securities.
(2) Includes net liabilities maturing in the next seven business days, assets
traded not yet settled, Advance commitments outstanding, Advances maturing
in the next seven business days, and a three percent hypothetical increase
in Advances. Deposit Reserve Requirement To support our member deposits, we also must meet a statutory deposit reserve requirement. The sum of our investments in obligations ofthe United States , deposits in eligible banks or trust companies, and Advances with a final maturity not exceeding five years must equal or exceed the current amount of member deposits. The following table presents the components of this liquidity requirement. Deposit Reserve Requirement (in millions) December 31, 2012 December 31, 2011 Total Eligible Deposit Reserves $ 54,943 $ 33,733 Total Member Deposits (1,158 ) (1,067 ) Excess Deposit Reserves $ 53,785 $ 32,666 Contractual Obligations The following table summarizes our contractual obligations atDecember 31, 2012 . The allocations according to the expiration terms and payment due dates of these obligations were not materially different from those at the end of 2011. Changes reflected normal business variations. We believe that, as in the past, we will continue to have sufficient liquidity, including from access to the debt markets to issue Consolidated Obligations, to satisfy these obligations timely. (In millions) < 1 year 1<3 years 3<5 years > 5 years Total Contractual Obligations Long-term debt (Bonds) - par (1) $ 18,660 $ 13,987 $ 5,207 $ 6,369 $ 44,223 Operating leases (include premises and equipment) 1 1 2 7 11 Mandatorily redeemable capital stock 3 208 - - 211 Commitments to fund mortgage loans 124 - - - 124 Pension and other postretirement benefit obligations 3 5 5 19 32
Total Contractual Obligations
(1) Does not include Discount Notes and contractual interest payments related
to Bonds. Total is based on contractual maturities; the actual timing of
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Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements The following table summarizes our off-balance sheet items atDecember 31, 2012 . The allocations according to the expiration terms and payment due dates of these items were not materially different from those at the end of 2011, and changes reflected normal business variations. (In millions) < 1 year 1<3 years 3<5 years > 5 years Total Off-balance sheet items (1) Standby Letters of Credit $ 9,959 $ 102 $ 37 $ 54 $ 10,152 Standby bond purchase agreements 313 67 - - 380 Consolidated Obligations traded, not yet settled 750 40 50 20 860
Total off-balance sheet items
(1) Represents notional amount of off-balance sheet obligations.
Operational Risk
Operational risk is defined as the risk of an unexpected loss resulting from human error, fraud, unenforceability of legal contracts, or deficiencies in internal controls or information systems. We mitigate operational risk through adherence to internal policies, conformance with entity level controls, department procedures and controls, use of tested information systems, disaster recovery provisions for those systems, acquisition of insurance coverage to help protect us from financial exposure relating to errors or fraud by our personnel, and comprehensive policies and procedures related to Human Resources. In addition, theInternal Audit Department , which reports directly to the Audit Committee of the Board of Directors, regularly monitors and tests compliance with our policies, procedures, applicable regulatory requirements and best practices. In 2013, we will implement an integrated and comprehensive framework for operational risk management and document our activities regarding a regulation on prudential management and operating standards.
A development related to operational risk exposure is discussed in Item 1A's "Risk Factors."
Internal Department Procedures and Controls Each of our departments maintains and regularly reviews and enhances, as needed, a system of internal procedures and controls, including those that address proper segregation of duties. Each system is designed to prevent any one individual from processing the entirety of a transaction that affects member accounts, correspondent FHLBank accounts or third-party servicers providing support to us. We review daily and periodic transaction activity reports in a timely manner to detect erroneous or fraudulent activity. Procedures and controls also are assessed on an enterprise-wide basis, independently from the business unit departments. We also are in compliance with Sarbanes-Oxley Sections 302 and 404, which focus on the control environment over financial reporting. Information Systems We rely heavily upon internal and third-party information systems and other technology to conduct and manage our business. Our operations rely on the secure processing, storage and transmission of confidential and other information in our computer systems and networks. Our computer systems, software and networks may be subjected to "cyberattacks" (e.g., breaches, unauthorized access, misuse, computer viruses or other malicious code and other events) that could jeopardize the confidentiality or integrity of such information, or otherwise cause interruptions or malfunctions in our operations. We seek to mitigate the risk associated with "cyberattacks" through the implementation of multiple layers of security controls. Administrative, physical, and logical controls are in place for establishing, administering and actively monitoring system access, sensitive data, and system change. Additionally, separate groups within our organization and/or third parties validate the strength of our security and confirm that established policies and procedures are being followed. We also have a committee of the Board of Directors that has oversight responsibility to ensure our investment in and utilization of information technology supports our strategic business plan and associated mission and goals. A related management committee reports to the Board Committee, approves short- and long-range information technology initiatives and annual disaster recovery test plans, and reviews data security policy and related standards and safeguards. We employ a systems development life cycle methodology to implement business solutions via significant software changes, new applications, or system upgrades as well as a business resumption and contingency plan to mitigate solution availability risk. The testing and validation of this plan, which includes documented test plans, cases and evaluations, is designed to ensure continuity of business processing. 72
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Disaster Recovery Provisions We have a Business Resumption Contingency Plan that provides us with the ability to maintain operations in various scenarios of business disruption. A committee of staff reviews and updates this plan periodically to ensure that it serves our changing operational needs and those of our members. We have an off-site facility in a suburb ofCincinnati, Ohio , which is tested at least annually. We also have a back-up agreement in place with the FHLBank ofIndianapolis in the event that both of ourCincinnati -based facilities are inoperable. Insurance Coverage We have insurance coverage for employee fraud, forgery and wrongdoing, as well as Directors' and Officers' liability coverage that provides protection for claims alleging breach of duty, misappropriation of funds, neglect, acts of omission, employment practices, and fiduciary liability. We also have property, casualty, computer equipment, automobile, and various types of other coverage as well. Human Resources Policies and Procedures The risks associated with our Human Resources function are categorized as either Employment Practices Risk or Human Capital Risk. Employment Practices Risk is the potential failure to properly administer our policies regarding employment practices and compensation and benefit programs for eligible staff and retirees, and the potential failure to observe and properly comply with federal, state and municipal laws and regulations. Human Capital Risk is the potential inability to attract and retain appropriate levels of qualified human resources to maintain efficient operations. Comprehensive policies and procedures are in place to limit Employment Practices Risk. These are supported by an established internal control system that is routinely monitored and audited. With respect to Human Capital Risk, we strive to maintain a competitive salary and benefit structure, which is regularly reviewed and updated as appropriate to attract and retain qualified staff. In addition, we have a management succession plan that is reviewed and approved by our Board of Directors.
CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES
Introduction
The preparation of financial statements in accordance with GAAP requires management to make a number of significant judgments, estimates, and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities (if applicable), and the reported amounts of income and expenses during the reported periods. Although management believes its judgments, estimates, and assumptions are reasonable, actual results may differ and other parties could arrive at different conclusions. We have identified the following critical accounting policies that require management to make subjective or complex judgments about inherently uncertain matters. Our financial condition and results of operations could be materially affected under different conditions or different assumptions related to these accounting policies.
Accounting for Derivatives and Hedging Activity
In accordance with Finance Agency Regulations, we execute all derivatives to reduce market risk exposure, not for speculation or solely for earnings enhancement. As in past years, in 2012 all outstanding derivatives hedged specific assets, liabilities, or Mandatory Delivery Contracts. We record derivative instruments at their fair values on the Statements of Condition, and we record changes in these fair values in current period earnings. We generally plan our use of derivatives to maximize the probability that they are highly effective in offsetting changes in the market values of the designated balance sheet instruments. Fair Value Hedges As indicated in the "Use of Derivatives in Market Risk Management" section of "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management," we designate the majority of our derivatives as fair value hedges. Fair value hedge accounting permits the changes in fair values of the hedged risk in the hedged instruments to be recorded in the current period, thus offsetting, partially or fully, the change in fair value of the derivatives. For derivatives accounted as fair value hedges, the hedged risk is designated to be changes in LIBOR benchmark interest rates. The result is that there has been a relatively small amount of unrealized earnings volatility from hedging market risk with derivatives. In order to determine if a derivative qualifies for fair value hedge accounting, we must assess how effective the derivative has been, and is expected to be, in hedging changes in the fair values of the risk being hedged. To do this, each month we perform 73
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effectiveness testing using a consistently applied standard statistical methodology, regression analysis, that measures the degree of correlation and relationship between the fair values of the derivative and hedged instrument. The results of the statistical measures must pass pre-defined threshold values to enable us to conclude that the fair values of the derivative transaction have a close correlation and strong relationship with the fair values of the hedged instrument. If any measure is outside of its respective tolerance, the hedge no longer qualifies for hedge accounting. This then means we must record the fair value change of the derivative in current earnings without any offset in the fair value change of the related hedged instrument. Due to the intentional matching of terms between the derivative and the hedged instrument, we expect that failing an effectiveness test will be infrequent, which has been the case historically. Each month, we compute fair values on all derivatives and related hedged instruments across a range of interest rate scenarios. As of year-end 2012, for derivatives receiving long-haul fair value hedge accounting, the total net difference between the fair values of the derivatives and related hedged instruments under an assumption of stressed interest rate environments was in a range of negative$1 million to positive$2 million . This range is minimal compared to the amount of notional principal amount. As noted previously, each derivative/hedged instrument transaction had very closely related, or exactly matched, characteristics such as notional amount, final maturity, options, interest payment frequencies, reset dates, etc. Fair value differences that have actually occurred have historically resulted in a relatively small amount of earnings volatility. These differences are primarily because of the following factors:
? Our interest rate swaps have an adjustable-rate LIBOR leg (which is
referenced to 1- or 3-month LIBOR), whereas the hedged instruments do not.
? Option values of the swaps versus those of hedged instruments may have different changes in values. ? Use of overnight indexed swap curves to value interest rate swaps may result in differences in fair values between derivatives and hedged items or less measured effectiveness of swap transactions. An important element of effectiveness testing is the duration of the derivative and the hedged instrument. The effective duration is affected primarily by the final maturity and any option characteristics. In general, the shorter the effective duration the more likely it is that effectiveness testing will fail. This is because, given a relatively short duration, the LIBOR leg of the swap is a relatively important component (i.e., very small dollar changes may result in relatively large statistical movements) of the monthly change in the derivative's fair value, and there is no offsetting LIBOR leg on the hedged instrument. If a derivative/hedged instrument transaction fails effectiveness testing, it does not mean that the hedge relationship is no longer successful in achieving its intended economic purpose. For example, an Obligation hedged with an interest rate swap creates adjustable-rate LIBOR funding, which is used to match fund adjustable-rate LIBOR and other short-term Advances. The hedge achieves the desired result (matching the net funding with the asset) because, economically, the Advance is part of the overall hedging strategy and the reason for engaging in the derivative transaction. Fair Value Option--Economic Hedge We account for certain Bond-related derivatives using an accounting election called "fair value option," which is included in the economic hedge category. An economic hedge under the fair value option does not require passing effectiveness testing to permit the derivatives' fair market value to be offset with the market value of the hedged instrument, as is required under a fair value hedge. However, it records the fair market value of the hedged instrument at its full fair value instead of only the value of hedging the benchmark interest rate (LIBOR). The effect of electing full fair value is that the hedged instruments' market value includes the impact of changes in spreads between LIBOR and the interest rate index related to the hedged instrument. Therefore, full fair value results in a different kind of unrealized earnings volatility (which could be higher or lower) compared to accounting under fair value hedge treatment. The magnitude and direction depends on changes in interest rates, changes in LIBOR versus Consolidated Obligation debt costs, and the dollar amount of hedges that may fail effectiveness testing under the fail value hedging treatment.
Accounting for Premiums and Discounts on
The accounting for amortization/accretion of premiums/discounts can result in substantial earnings volatility, most of which relates to our MPP, mortgage-backed securities, and Consolidated Obligations. Normally, earnings volatility associated with amortization/accretion of premiums/discounts for Obligations is less pronounced than that for mortgage assets. 74
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When we purchase or invest in mortgages, we normally pay an amount that differs from the principal balance. A premium price is paid if the purchase price exceeds the principal amount. A discount price is paid if the purchase price is less than the principal amount. Premiums/discounts are required to be deferred and amortized/accreted to net interest income in a manner such that the yield recognized each month on the underlying asset is constant over the asset's historical life and estimated future life. This is called the constant effective (level) yield method. We typically pay more than the principal balance when the interest rate on a purchased mortgage is greater than the prevailing market rate for similar mortgages. The net purchase premium is amortized as a reduction in the mortgage's book yield. Similarly, if we pay less than the principal balance, the net discount is accreted in the same manner as the premium, resulting in an increase in the mortgage's book yield. We have historically purchased most of the loans in the MPP at premiums. Overall, mortgage-backed securities have been purchased at net premium prices close to par. At the end of 2012, the MPP had a net premium balance of$182 million and mortgage-backed securities had a net premium balance of$17 million , resulting in a total mortgage net premium balance of$199 million . When mortgage principal cash flows are volatile, there can be substantial fluctuation in the accounting recognition of premiums and discounts. We update the constant effective yield method monthly using actual historical and projected principal cash flows. Projected principal cash flows requires us to estimate prepayment speeds, which are driven primarily by changes in interest rates. When interest rates decline, actual and projected prepayment speeds are likely to increase. This accelerates the amortization/accretion, resulting in a reduction in the mortgages' book yields on premium balances and an increase in book yields on discount balances. The opposite effect tends to occur when interest rates rise. The immediate adjustment and the schedules for future amortization/accretion are based on applying the new constant effective yield as if it had been in effect since the purchase of the assets. See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements for additional information. Our mortgages under the MPP are stratified for amortization purposes into multiple portfolios according to common characteristics such as coupon interest rate, state of origination, final original maturity (mostly 15, 20, and 30 years), loan age, and type of mortgage (i.e., conventional and FHA). We compute amortization/accretion for each mortgage-backed security separately. Projected prepayment speeds are derived using a market-tested third-party prepayment model. We estimate prepayment speeds using a single interest rate scenario of implied forward interest rates for LIBOR and residential mortgages computed from the daily average market interest rate environment from the previous month. We use implied forward interest rates because they underlie many market practices, both from a theoretical and operational perspective. We regularly test the reasonableness and accuracy of the prepayment model by comparing its projections to actual prepayment results experienced over time and to dealer prepayment indications. It is difficult to calculate how much amortization/accretion is likely to change over time because prepayment projections are inherently subject to uncertainty. Exact trends depend on the relationship between market interest rates and coupon rates on outstanding mortgage assets, the historical evolution of mortgage interest rates, the age of the mortgage loans, demographic and population trends, and other market factors. Changes in amortization/accretion also depend on 1) the accuracy of prepayment projections compared to actual realized prepayments and 2) term structure models used to simulate possible future evolution of various interest rates. The term structure models depend heavily on theories and assumptions related to future interest rates and interest rate volatility. We strive to maintain consistency in our use of prepayment and term structure models, although we do enhance these models based on developments in theories, technologies, best practices, and market conditions. We regularly perform analyses that test the sensitivity of premium/discount recognition for mortgage assets to changes in prepayment speeds. The following table shows, as of year-end 2012, the estimated adjustments to the immediate recognition of premium amortization/discount accretion for various interest rate shocks (with interest rates not permitted to fall below zero percent). Although some of the changes shown below would result in a substantial change in ROE in the quarter in which the rate change occurred, it currently would not materially threaten the competitiveness of profitability. (In millions) -200 -100 -50 Base +50 +100 +200 $ (32 ) $ (21 ) $ (13 ) $ (2 ) $ 9 $ 16 $ 23 Provision for Credit Losses
We evaluate Advances and the MPP to assure an adequate reserve is maintained to absorb probable losses inherent in these portfolios.
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Advances
We evaluate probable credit losses inherent in Advances due to borrower default or delayed receipt of interest and principal, taking into consideration the amount recoverable from the collateral pledged. This analysis is performed for each member separately on at least a quarterly basis. We believe we have adequate policies and procedures in place to effectively manage credit risk exposure on Advances. These include monitoring the creditworthiness and financial condition of the institutions to which we lend funds, reviewing the quality and value of collateral pledged by members to secure Advances, estimating borrowing capacity based on collateral value and type for each member, and evaluating historical loss experience. AtDecember 31, 2012 , we had rights to collateral (either loans or securities), on a member-by-member basis, with an estimated fair value that exceeds the amount of outstanding Advances. At the end of 2012, the aggregate estimated value of this collateral was$198.0 billion . Although some of this overcollateralization may reflect a desire to maintain excess borrowing capacity, all of a member's pledged collateral would be available as necessary to cover any of that member's credit obligations to the FHLBank. Based on the nature and quality of the collateral held as security for Advances, including overcollateralization, our credit analyses of members and collateral, and members' prior repayment history (i.e., we have never recorded a loss from an Advance), we believe that no allowance for losses was necessary atDecember 31, 2012 . See Notes 1 and 10 of the Notes to Financial Statements for additional information. Mortgage Loans Acquired Under the MPP We analyze loans in the MPP on at least a quarterly basis by 1) estimating the incurred credit losses inherent in the portfolio and comparing these to credit enhancements, including the recoverability of insurance, and 2) establishing reserves based on the results. We apply a consistent methodology to determine our estimates. We acquire both FHA and conventional fixed-rate mortgage loans under the MPP. Because FHA mortgage loans are U.S. government insured, we have determined that they do not require a loan loss allowance. We are protected against credit losses on conventional mortgage loans from several sources, in order of priority:
? having the related real estate as collateral, which effectively includes
the borrower's equity, ? by credit enhancements including 1) primary mortgage insurance, if applicable, 2) the member's available funds remaining in the Lender Risk
Account, and 3) if applicable,
to the policy limit, applied on a loan-by-loan basis.
We assume any credit exposure if losses exceed the related real estate value and credit enhancements. The key estimates and assumptions that affect our allowance for credit losses generally include: ? the characteristics of specific conventional loans outstanding under the MPP; ? evaluations of the overall delinquent loan portfolio through the use of migration analysis; ? loss severity estimates;
? historical claims and default experience;
? expected proceeds from credit enhancements;
? evaluation of exposure toSupplemental Mortgage Insurance providers and their ability to pay claims;
? comparisons to industry reported data; and
? current economic trends and conditions.
These estimates require significant judgments, especially considering the current national housing market, the inability to readily determine the fair value of all underlying properties, the application of pool level credit enhancements, and the uncertainty in other macroeconomic factors that make estimating defaults and severity imprecise.
Based on our analysis, as ofDecember 31, 2012 , we determined that an allowance for credit losses of$18 million was required for our conventional mortgage loans in the MPP. Further substantial reductions in home prices or other economic variables that affect mortgage defaults could increase credit losses experienced in the portfolio. 76
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Other-Than-Temporary Impairment Analysis for
Due to the decline in value of residential U.S. real estate and difficult conditions in the credit and mortgage markets, we closely monitor the performance of our investment securities to evaluate our exposure to the risk of loss of principal or interest on these investments and to determine on a quarterly basis whether this risk of loss represents an other-than-temporary impairment. An investment security is deemed impaired if the fair value of the security is less than its amortized cost. To determine whether an impairment is other-than-temporary, we assess whether the amortized cost basis of the security will be recovered by considering numerous factors, as described in Notes 1 and 7 of the Notes to Financial Statements. We must recognize impairment losses if we intend to sell the security or if available evidence indicates it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before the recovery of its amortized cost basis. We also must recognize impairment losses when any credit losses are expected for the security. This includes consideration of market conditions and projections of future results which requires significant judgments, estimates and assumptions, especially considering the unprecedented deterioration in the national housing market and the uncertainty in other macroeconomic factors that make estimating future results imprecise. If we were to determine that an other-than-temporary impairment existed, the security would initially be written down to current market value, with the loss recognized in non-interest income if we intend to sell the security or it is more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery of the amortized cost basis. If we do not intend to sell the security and it is not more likely than not we will be required to sell the security before recovery, the security would be written down to current market value with a separate display of losses related to credit deterioration and losses related to all other factors on the income statement. Any non-credit loss related amounts would then be reclassified and recorded in other comprehensive income, resulting in only net credit-related losses recorded on the income statement. As ofDecember 31, 2012 we did not consider any of our investment securities to be other-than-temporarily impaired.
Fair Values
Fair values play an important role in the valuation of certain assets, liabilities and derivative transactions, which may be presented in the Statements of Condition or related Notes to the Financial Statements at fair value. We carry investments classified as available-for-sale and trading, and all derivatives, on the Statements of Condition at fair value. Additionally, any financial instruments where the fair value option election has been made are carried at fair value on the Statements of Condition. Fair value is defined as the price - the "exit price" - that would be received to sell an asset, or paid to transfer a liability, in an orderly transaction between market participants at the measurement date. Because our investments currently do not have available quoted market prices, we determine fair values based on 1) our valuation models or 2) dealer indications, which may be based on the dealers' own valuation models and/or prices of similar instruments. Valuation models and their underlying assumptions are based on the best estimates of management with respect to discount rates, prepayments, market volatility, and other factors. These assumptions may have a significant effect on the reported fair values of assets and liabilities, including derivatives, and the income and expense related thereto. The use of different assumptions or changes in the models and assumptions, as well as changes in market conditions, could result in materially different net income and retained earnings. We have control processes designed to ensure that fair value measurements are appropriate and reliable, that they are based on observable inputs wherever possible and that our valuation approaches and assumptions are reasonable and consistently applied. Where applicable, valuations are also compared to alternative external market data (e.g., quoted market prices, broker or dealer indications, pricing services and comparative analyses to similar instruments). For further discussion regarding how we measure financial assets and financial liabilities at fair value, see Note 20 of the Notes to Financial Statements. We categorize each of our financial instruments carried at fair value into one of three levels in accordance with the fair value hierarchy. The hierarchy is based upon the transparency (observable or unobservable) of inputs to the valuation of an asset or liability as of the measurement date. Observable inputs reflect market data obtained from independent sources (Levels 1 and 2), while unobservable inputs reflect our assumptions of market variables (Level 3). Management utilizes valuation techniques that maximize the use of observable inputs and minimize the use of unobservable inputs. Because items classified as Level 3 are valued using significant unobservable inputs, the process for determining the fair value of these items is generally more subjective and involves a high degree of management judgment and use of assumptions. 77
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The following table summarizes our assets and liabilities measured at fair value on a recurring basis by level of valuation hierarchy. (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2012 Assets Liabilities Derivative Consolidated Trading Securities Derivative Assets(1) Total Liabilities(1) Obligation Bonds (2) Total Level 1 - % - % - % - % - % - % Level 2 100 100 100 100 100 100 Level 3 - - - - - - Total 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % Total GAAP Fair Value $ 2 $ 6 $ 8 $ 115 $ 3,402 $ 3,517 (Dollars in millions) December 31, 2011 Assets Liabilities Available-for-sale Derivative Consolidated Trading Securities Securities Derivative Assets(1) Total Liabilities(1) Obligation Bonds (2) Total Level 1 - % - % - % - % - % - % - % Level 2 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Level 3 - - - - - - - Total 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % 100 % Total GAAP Fair Value $ 2,863 $ 4,171 $ 5 $ 7,039 $ 105 $
4,900
(1) Based on total fair value of derivative assets and liabilities after effect of counterparty netting and cash collateral netting. (2) Represents Consolidated Obligation Bonds recorded under the fair value option.
RECENTLY ISSUED ACCOUNTING STANDARDS AND INTERPRETATIONS
See Note 2 of the Notes to Financial Statements for a discussion of recently issued accounting standards and interpretations.
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Table of Contents OTHER FINANCIAL INFORMATION Income Statements
Summary income statements for each quarter within the two years ended
2012 (In millions) 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total Interest income $ 246 $ 212 $ 232 $ 231 $ 921 Interest expense 165 159 149 140 613 Net interest income 81 53 83 91 308 Provision for credit loss 1 - - - 1 Non-interest (loss) income (1 ) 22 (4 ) (4 ) 13 Non-interest expense 21 20 22 22 85 Net income $ 58 $ 55 $ 57 $ 65 $ 235 2011 (In millions) 1st Quarter 2nd Quarter 3rd Quarter 4th Quarter Total Interest income $ 277 $ 263 $ 231 $ 240 $ 1,011 Interest expense 207 196 187 172 762 Net interest income 70 67 44 68 249 Provision for credit loss 2 1 2 7 12 Non-interest income (loss) 4 - (7 ) (2 ) (5 ) Non-interest expense 30 28 17 19 94 Net income $ 42 $ 38 $ 18 $ 40 $ 138 79
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Data on investments for the years endedDecember 31, 2012 , 2011 and 2010 are provided in the tables below. (In millions) Carrying Value at December 31, 2012 2011 2010 Trading securities: U.S. Treasury obligations $ - $ 331 $ 1,905 Government-sponsored enterprises - 2,530 4,496 Mortgage-backed securities: Other U.S. obligation residential mortgage-backed securities 2 2 2 Total trading securities 2 2,863 6,403 Available-for-sale securities: Certificates of deposit - 3,954 5,790 Other * - 217 - Total available-for-sale securities -
4,171 5,790
Held-to-maturity securities: Government-sponsored enterprises 26 24 22 States and local housing agency obligations - - 3 TLGP - 1,411 1,011 Mortgage-backed securities: Other U.S. obligation residential mortgage-backed securities 1,411 1,501 910
Government-sponsored enterprise residential
mortgage-backed securities 11,361 9,684 10,657 Private-label residential mortgage-backed securities - 17 88 Total held-to-maturity securities 12,798 12,637 12,691 Total securities 12,800 19,671 24,884 Securities purchased under agreements to resell 3,800 - 2,950 Federal funds sold 3,350 2,270 5,480 Total investments $ 19,950 $ 21,941 $ 33,314 * Consists of debt securities issued byInternational Bank for Reconstruction and Development . 80
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As ofDecember 31, 2012 , investments had the following maturity and yield characteristics. Due after one Due in one year year through Due after five Due after 10 (Dollars in millions) or less five years through 10 years years Carrying Value Trading securities: Mortgage-backed securities*: Other U.S. obligation residential mortgage-backed securities $ - $ - $ - $ 2 $ 2 Total trading securities - - - 2 2 Yield on trading securities - % - % - % 2.44 % Held-to-maturity securities: Government-sponsored enterprises 26 - - - 26 Mortgage-backed securities*: Other U.S. obligation residential mortgage-backed securities - 309 1,102 - 1,411
Government-sponsored enterprise
residential mortgage-backed securities - - 659 10,702 11,361 Total held-to-maturity securities 26 309 1,761 10,702 12,798 Yield on held-to-maturity securities 0.12 % 0.57 % 2.20 % 2.32 % Total securities 26 309 1,761 10,704 12,800 Securities purchased under agreements to resell 3,800 - - - 3,800 Federal funds sold 3,350 - - - 3,350 Total investments $ 7,176 $ 309 $ 1,761 $ 10,704 $ 19,950 * Mortgage-backed securities allocated based on contractual principal maturities assuming no prepayments. As ofDecember 31, 2012 , the FHLBank held securities of the following issuers with a book value greater than 10 percent of FHLBank capital. The table includes government-sponsored enterprises, securities of the U.S. government, and government agencies and corporations. (In millions) Total Total Name of Issuer Carrying Value Fair Value Freddie Mac $ 4,127 $ 4,246 Fannie Mae 7,260 7,516 National Credit Union Administration Trust 1,411
1,415
Government National Mortgage Association 2 2 Total investment securities $ 12,800 $ 13,179 81
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Loan Portfolio Analysis
The FHLBank's outstanding loans, loans 90 days or more past due and accruing interest, and allowance for credit loss information for the five years endedDecember 31 are shown below. The FHLBank's interest and related shortfall on non-accrual loans and loans modified in troubled debt restructurings was not material during the years presented below. (Dollars in millions) 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 Domestic: Advances $ 53,944 $ 28,424 $ 30,181 $ 35,818 $ 53,916 Real estate mortgages $ 7,548 $ 7,871 $ 7,782 $ 9,366 $ 8,632 Real estate mortgages past due 90 days or more (including those in process of foreclosure)
and still accruing interest
$ 135 $ 73 Non-accrual loans, unpaid principal balance (1) $ 3 $ 2 $ - $ - $ - Troubled debt restructurings (not included above) $ 3 $ 1 $ - $ - $ - Allowance for credit losses on mortgage loans, beginning of year $ 21 $ 12 $ - $ - $ - Charge-offs (4 ) (3 ) (1 ) - - Provision for credit losses 1 12 13 - - Allowance for credit losses on mortgage loans, end of year $ 18 $ 21 $ 12 $ - $ - Ratio of net charge-offs during the period to average loans outstanding during the period 0.06 % 0.05 % 0.02 %
- % - %
(1) See Note 1 of the Notes to Financial Statements for an explanation of the
FHLBank's non-accrual policy.
Other Borrowings
Borrowings with original maturities of one year or less are classified as short-term. The following is a summary of short-term borrowings exceeding 30 percent of total capital for the years ended
2012 2011
2010
Discount Notes Outstanding at year-end (book value) $ 30,840 $ 26,136 $ 35,003 Weighted average rate at year-end (1) (2) 0.13 % 0.03 % 0.11 % Daily average outstanding for the year (book value) $ 29,499 $ 32,292 $ 27,914 Weighted average rate for the year (2) 0.10 % 0.09 % 0.15 % Highest outstanding at any month-end (book value) $ 32,556 $ 37,902 $ 36,101 Bonds (short-term) Outstanding at year-end (par value) $ 9,140 $ 2,725 $ 2,350 Weighted average rate at year-end (2) (3) 0.17 % 0.20 % 0.43 % Daily average outstanding for the year (par value) $ 3,527 $ 2,635 $ 3,187 Weighted average rate for the year (2) (3) 0.19 % 0.29 % 0.56 % Highest outstanding at any month-end (par value) $ 9,140 $ 3,200
(1) Represents an implied rate without consideration of concessions.
(2) Amounts used to calculate weighted average rates for the year are based on
dollars in thousands. Accordingly, recalculations based upon amounts in
millions may not produce the same results.
(3) Represents the effective coupon rate.
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Term Deposits
At
Over 3
Over 6 Over 12
months but months but months but By remaining maturity at December within 6 within 12 within 24 31, 2012 3 months or less months months months Total (In millions) Time certificates of deposit ($1 or more) $ 41 $ 26 $ 36 $ 15 $ 118 Ratios 2012 2011 2010 Return on average assets 0.35 % 0.21 % 0.24 % Return on average equity 6.20 3.89 4.67
Average equity to average assets 5.68 5.29 5.08 Dividend payout ratio
60.09 % 95.42 % 84.13 %
Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk.
Information required under this Item is set forth in the "Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Risk Management" caption at Part II, Item 7, of this filing.
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