2023 Annual Report
Our Business
We are a holding company and through wholly-owned subsidiaries, including
Financial Summary
2021 |
2022 |
2023 |
||||
Net income ($ millions) |
$ |
635.0 |
$ |
865.3 |
$ |
712.9 |
Diluted income per share ($) |
$ |
1.85 |
$ |
2.79 |
$ |
2.49 |
Adjusted net operating income (1) ($ millions) |
$ |
658.6 |
$ |
904.8 |
$ |
724.4 |
Adjusted net operating income per diluted share (1) ($) |
$ |
1.91 |
$ |
2.91 |
$ |
2.53 |
New Insurance Written
($ billions)
202120222023
Revenue
($ millions)
($ billions)
202120222023
Book Value per Share
202120222023
202120222023
Losses incurred, net
($ millions)
(
(
202120222023
Default Inventory
(# loans)
33,290
26,387 25,650
202120222023
- We believe that use of the Non-GAAP measures of adjusted net operating income and adjusted net operating income per diluted share facilitate the evaluation of the company's core financial performance thereby providing relevant information. For a description of how we calculate these measures and for a reconciliation of these measure to their nearest comparable GAAP measures, see "Explanation and Reconciliation of our use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures" in Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations.
To Our Shareholders:
I am pleased that we delivered another year of excellent financial results while returning meaningful capital to our shareholders.
We are often asked what differentiates us. First and foremost, it is our people. Our performance is a testament to the dedication and hard work of our team. Additionally, the breadth of customers and the relationships we have cultivated with them for over 65 years remain a key driver of our long-term success. We continue to demonstrate an unwavering commitment to deliver quality offerings and solutions to our customers in order to meet their evolving needs so that together we can help borrowers achieve their dream of affordable and sustainable homeownership sooner. We take pride in knowing what we do everyday matters and has an impact on families and communities.
Below are a few highlights from 2023:
- Earned
$713 million of net income ($2.49 per diluted share) for the year and produced an annualized 15.4% retuon equity. - Wrote
$46 billion of new insurance written (NIW). Underwriting standards remain solid and our NIW continues to have strong credit characteristics. - At the end of the year, insurance in force (IIF) stood at
$294 billion and annual persistency increased to approximately 86%, up from approximately 82% year over year. - Maintained financial strength and capital flexibility while returning approximately
$465 million of capital to our shareholders through a combination of common stock repurchases and common stock dividends. - Increased book value per outstanding share by 18%.
- Expanded our reinsurance program by securing additional quota share and excess of loss reinsurance. These transactions reduce the volatility of losses in adverse economic environments and provide diversification and flexibility to our sources of capital.
- Published our fourth annual Corporate Sustainability Report detailing how we strive to do right by our shareholders, customers, borrowers, community, co-workers, and the environment.
Our company has a rich history, and we are proud of the critical role we play in supporting the housing market. We have navigated through many dynamic economic cycles, uncertainties, and complexities, demonstrating resilience and adaptability. We embrace and build on our past and our ability to continuously adapt and evolve has been instrumental in our long-term success.
In closing, as we celebrate our success and achievements, I want to express my appreciation and gratitude to our shareholders, customers, and business partners for your ongoing trust, confidence, and support in MGIC. Looking ahead, we are keenly focused on the new year and beyond. With our solid foundation, talented and dedicated team, financial strength, and capital flexibility, we are well-positioned to continue to execute our business strategies in 2024 and we look forward to the new opportunities the year will bring.
Respectfully,
Chief Executive Officer
From left:
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
We have reproduced below the "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations," "Risk Factors" and "Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" that appeared in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended
INTRODUCTION
As used below, "we" and "our" refer to
The following is a discussion and analysis of the financial conditions and results of operations for the years ended
Forward Looking and Other Statements
As discussed under "Forward Looking Statements and Risk Factors" in this Annual Report, actual results may differ materially from the results contemplated by forward looking statements. We are not undertaking any obligation to update any forward looking statements or other statements we may make in the following discussion or elsewhere in this document even though these statements may be affected by events or circumstances occurring after the forward looking statements or other statements were made. Therefore, no reader of this document should rely on these statements being current as of any time other than the time at which this document was filed with the
OVERVIEW
This Overview of the MD&A highlights selected information and may not contain all of the information that is important to readers of this Annual Report. Hence, this Overview is qualified by the information that appears elsewhere in this Annual Report, including the other portions of the MD&A.
Through MGIC, the principal subsidiary of
Summary of financial results of
Year Ended |
||||||
(in millions, except per share data) |
2023 |
2022 |
Change |
|||
Selected statement of operations data |
||||||
Net premiums earned |
$ |
952.6 |
$ |
1,007.1 |
(5)% |
|
Investment income, net of expenses |
214.7 |
167.5 |
28 % |
|||
Losses incurred, net |
(20.9) |
(254.6) |
(92)% |
|||
Other underwriting and operating expenses, net |
226.0 |
236.7 |
(5)% |
|||
Loss on debt extinguishment |
- |
40.2 |
N/M |
|||
Income before tax |
902.2 |
1,090.0 |
(17)% |
|||
Provision for income taxes |
189.3 |
224.7 |
(16)% |
|||
Net income |
712.9 |
865.3 |
(18)% |
|||
Diluted income per share |
$ |
2.49 |
$ |
2.79 |
(11)% |
|
Non-GAAP Financial Measures (1) |
||||||
Adjusted pre-tax operating income |
$ |
917.8 |
$ |
1,140.0 |
(19)% |
|
Adjusted net operating income |
724.4 |
904.8 |
(20)% |
|||
Adjusted net operating income per diluted share |
$ |
2.53 |
$ |
2.91 |
(13)% |
|
- See "Explanation and Reconciliation of our use of Non-GAAP Financial Measures."
SUMMARY OF 2023 FINANCIAL RESULTS
Net income for 2023 was
Adjusted net operating income for 2023 was
income per diluted share was
Premiums earned for 2023 were
Net investment income in 2023 was
Losses incurred, net were
delinquency notices added approximately
We did not record a loss on debt extinguishment in 2023. In 2022, we recorded a loss on debt extinguishment of
Our provision for income taxes decreased to
BUSINESS ENVIRONMENT
Economic conditions
Home purchases decreased in 2023, compared to 2022, due to higher interest rates and higher home prices. Higher interest rates also resulted in decreased refinance activity during 2023. This led to a decrease in our NIW, to
The level of interest rates and home prices may change in the future. For information about the possible effects of such changes, see our risk factors titled "If the volume of low down payment home mortgage originations declines, the amount of insurance that we write could decline," "Downturns in the domestic economy or declines in home prices may result in more homeowners defaulting and our losses increasing, with a corresponding decrease in our returns," and "Changes in interest rates, house prices or mortgage insurance cancellation requirements may change the length of time that our policies remain in force."
Mortgage insurance market
The strong credit quality of our insurance portfolio reflects several years of favorable housing fundamentals and in our view, generally favorable risk characteristics on our recently insured loans. Our insurance in force was relatively flat during the year as a result of a lower NIW, offset by increased annual persistency.
The percentage of our NIW with DTI ratios over 45% and LTVs over 95% will fluctuate based on the mortgage conditions that could include the percentage of NIW from purchase transactions, changes in home prices, changes in mortgage rates, and GSE activities. Refer to "Mortgage Insurance Portfolio" for information on our NIW mix during 2023.
Competition
PMI
The private mortgage insurance industry is highly competitive and is expected to remain so. We believe that we currently compete with other private mortgage insurers based on premium rates, underwriting requirements, financial strength (including based on credit or financial strength ratings), customer relationships, name recognition, reputation, strength of management teams and field organizations, the ancillary products and services provided to lenders, and the effective use of technology and innovation in the delivery and servicing of our mortgage insurance products.
Pricing practices
In recent years, the industry has materially reduced its use of standard rate cards, which were fairly consistent among competitors, and correspondingly increased its use of (i) "risk-based pricing systems" that use a spectrum of filed rates to allow for formulaic, risk-based pricing based on multiple attributes that may be quickly adjusted within certain parameters, and (ii) customized rate plans. We monitor various competitive and economic factors while seeking to balance both profitability and market share considerations in developing our pricing strategies.
For information about competition in the private mortgage insurance industry, see our risk factor titled "Competition or changes in our relationships with our customers could reduce our revenues, reduce our premium yields and/or increase our losses" in Risk Factors.
GSE Risk Share Transactions
In 2018, the GSEs initiated secondary mortgage market programs with loan level mortgage default coverage provided by various (re)insurers that are not mortgage insurers governed by PMIERs, and that are not selected by the lenders. These programs, which currently account for a small percentage of the low down payment market, compete with traditional private mortgage insurance and, due to differences in policy terms, they may offer premium rates that are below prevalent single premium lender-paid mortgage insurance ("LPMI") rates. We participate in these programs from time to time.
The GSEs (and other investors) have also used other forms of credit enhancement that did not involve traditional private mortgage insurance, such as engaging in credit-linked note transactions executed in the capital markets, or using other forms of debt issuances or securitizations that transfer credit risk directly to other investors, including competitors and an affiliate of MGIC; using other risk mitigation techniques in conjunction with reduced levels of private mortgage insurance coverage; or accepting credit risk without credit enhancement.
Government programs
PMI also competes against government mortgage insurance programs such as the FHA,
Refer to "Mortgage Insurance Portfolio" for additional discussion on market share and our operating measures including NIW, IIF and RIF.
PMIERs
We operate under the requirements of the PMIERs of the GSEs in order to insure loans delivered to or purchased by them. The PMIERs include financial requirements as well as business, quality control and certain transactional approval requirements. The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer's "Available Assets" (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its "Minimum Required Assets" (which are based on an insurer's book of risk in force, calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given for risk ceded under reinsurance transactions, and subject to a floor amount). Based on our application of PMIERs, MGIC's Available Assets under PMIERs totaled
BUSINESS OUTLOOK FOR 2024
Our outlook for 2024 should be viewed against the backdrop of the business environment discussed above.
NIW
Our NIW is affected by total mortgage originations, the percentage of total mortgage originations using private mortgage insurance (the "PMI penetration rate"), and our market share within the PMI industry. As of
The widespread use of risk based pricing systems by the PMI industry makes it more difficult to compare our rates to those offered by our competitors. We may not be aware of industry rate changes until we observe that our volume of NIW has changed. In addition, business under customized rate plans is awarded by certain customers for only limited periods of time. As a result, our NIW may fluctuate more than it had in the past.
IIF
Our IIF decreased 0.6% in 2023 and is expected to remain relatively flat in 2024. Our book of IIF is an important driver of our future revenues, and its growth is driven by our ability to generate NIW and the retention of our IIF, as measured by our annual persistency. Interest rates influence both our NIW and persistency. Generally speaking, in a rising rate environment, total mortgage originations may decline; however, we would also expect policy cancellation rates to decline, and in tuincrease annual persistency, although the impact generally lags the change in interest rates. In 2024, we expect interest rates to remain elevated compared to recent years and the rate of growth in home prices to continue to moderate.
Results of operations
Premiums
Our direct premiums written and earned are impacted by our IIF during the period and our in force premium yield, both of which are expected to be relatively flat in 2024 when compared to 2023. Premiums earned are also impacted by the amount of accelerated premiums from single premium policy cancellations, which generally decrease as refinance activity decreases. Our unearned premium decreased to
Our net premiums written and earned are primarily impacted by the changes in the direct premiums written and earned noted above and by the amount of premiums we cede under our quota share and excess of loss reinsurance transactions. The amount of premiums we cede in 2024 will be affected by any changes in our reinsurance coverage. Premiums we cede under our quota share transactions are also impacted by the profit commission we receive. The amount of profit commission is variable year-to-year and is dependent on the amount of losses incurred ceded. In 2023, compared to 2022, the increase in ceded losses incurred decreased the profit commission we received, resulting in higher ceded premiums. Increases in ceded losses incurred will benefit our losses incurred line, but will result in lower profit commission and higher ceded premiums.
Factors that affect the amount of premiums we eafrom our IIF are further discussed in our "Consolidated Results of Operations - Premium yield."
Investment income
Net investment income is a material contributor to our results of operations. We expect net investment income in 2024 to increase in comparison to 2023, primarily due to higher average investment yields. The amount of investment income will be impacted by the change in the yield we can eaon investments and the level of invested assets. The level of invested assets will primarily be impacted by the amount of cash we expect to use in financing activities relative to our cash from operations. The magnitude of any change in our invested asset level will be subject to the timing of our financing activities.
Losses
Losses incurred, net is impacted by the level of new delinquency notices. Generally, on our primary business, the highest claim frequency years have been the third and fourth year after loan origination. As of
Our claims paid activity slowed at the start of the COVID-19 pandemic primarily due to forbearance and foreclosure moratoriums put in place, and it has not yet appreciably increased from those suppressed levels. Home price appreciation experienced in recent years has allowed some borrowers to cure their delinquencies through the sale of their property. In addition, an increase in third party property sales prior to claim settlement, has resulted in a decrease in the average claim paid on the claims we do receive. We expect net losses and LAE paid to increase; however, the magnitude and timing of the increases are uncertain.
Underwriting and operating expenses, net
We expect underwriting and operating expenses, net to be modestly lower in 2024 compared to 2023.
Income taxes
We expect our 2024 effective tax rate to be approximately 21%.
CAPITAL
MGIC dividend payments to our holding company
The ability of MGIC to pay dividends is restricted by insurance regulation. Amounts in excess of prescribed limits are deemed "extraordinary" and may not be paid if disapproved by the OCI. A dividend is extraordinary when the proposed dividend amount, plus dividends paid in the twelve months preceding the dividend payment date exceed the ordinary dividend level. In 2024, MGIC can pay
Dividends to shareholders
In the first and second quarters of 2023, we paid quarterly cash dividends of
Share repurchase programs
Repurchases may be made from time to time on the open market (including through 10b5-1 plans) or through privately negotiated transactions. The repurchase programs may be suspended for periods or discontinued at any time. We repurchased approximately 21.7 million shares in 2023 using approximately
The following table shows details of our share repurchase programs.
Repurchase Program |
Repurchased during 2023 (in |
Authorization Remaining |
Expiration Date |
||
millions) |
(in millions) at |
||||
2021 Authorization |
$ |
114 |
$ |
- |
N/A |
2023 Authorization |
$ |
226 |
$ |
274 |
|
As of
GSEs
We must comply with a GSE's PMIERs to be eligible to insure loans delivered to or purchased by that GSE. The PMIERs include financial requirements, as well as business, quality control and certain transaction approval requirements. The PMIERs provide that the GSEs may amend any provision of the PMIERs or impose additional requirements with an effective date specified by the GSEs. If MGIC ceases to be eligible to insure loans purchased by one or both of the GSEs, it would significantly reduce the volume of our NIW, the substantial majority of which is for loans delivered to or purchased by the GSEs.
The financial requirements of the PMIERs require a mortgage insurer's "Available Assets" (generally only the most liquid assets of an insurer) to equal or exceed its "Minimum Required Assets" (which are based on an insurer's book of risk in force and are calculated from tables of factors with several risk dimensions, reduced for credit given for risk ceded under reinsurance transactions, and subject to a floor amount). Based on our interpretation of the PMIERs as of
The PMIERs generally require us to hold significantly more Minimum Required Assets for delinquent loans than for performing loans and the Minimum Required Assets required to be held increases as the number of payments missed on a delinquent loan increases.
Our reinsurance transactions enable us to eahigher returns on our Minimum Required Assets than we would without them because they generally reduce the Minimum Required Assets we must hold under PMIERs. However, reinsurance may not always be available to us, or available only on terms, or costs, that we find unacceptable.
The calculated credit for XOL Transactions under PMIERs is generally based on the PMIERs requirement of the covered loans and the attachment and detachment point of the coverage. PMIERs credit is generally not given for the reinsured risk above the PMIERs requirement. Our existing reinsurance transactions are subject to periodic review by the GSEs and there is a risk we will not receive our current level of credit in future periods for the risk ceded under them. In addition, we may not receive the same level of credit under future transactions that we receive under existing transactions. If MGIC is not allowed certain levels of credit under the PMIERs, under certain circumstances, MGIC may terminate the reinsurance transactions without penalties.
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