TrueCar.com Forecasts New and Used Auto Sales; Incentives Spending for June 2011
(Logo: http://photos.prnewswire.com/prnh/20110401/LA75616LOGO)
- For June 2011, new light vehicle sales in the U.S. (including fleet) is expected to be 1,115,397 units, up 13.5 percent from June 2010 and up 5.3 percent from May 2011 (on an unadjusted basis)
- The
June 2011 forecast translates into a Seasonally Adjusted Annualized Rate (SAAR) of 12.17 million new car sales, up from 11.83 million inMay 2011 and up from 11.16 million inJune 2010 - Retail sales are up 12.1 percent compared to
June 2010 and up 5.5 percent fromMay 2011 - Fleet and rental sales are expected to make up 22 percent of total industry sales in
June 2011 - The industry average incentive spending per unit will be approximately
$2,300 inJune 2011 , which represents a drop of 0.2 percent fromMay 2011 and down 19.8 percent fromJune 2010 - Used car sales* are estimated to be 4,384,294, down 21.8 percent from
June 2010 and up 6.2 percent fromMay 2011 . The ratio of new to used is estimated to be 1:4 forJune 2011
"Uncertainty in the economy as well as high gas prices and shortages in small car inventory contributed to the limited gains in sales in June." said
Forecasts for the top seven manufacturers for
|
Unit Sales Forecast |
||||
|
Manufacturer |
June 2011 Forecast |
% Change vs. May 2011 |
% Change vs. June 2010 |
|
|
Chrysler |
124,332 |
9.4% |
34.4% |
|
|
Ford |
196,461 |
2.6% |
15.1% |
|
|
GM |
222,049 |
0.4% |
14.2% |
|
|
Honda |
91,858 |
1.2% |
-13.9% |
|
|
Hyundai/Kia |
118,909 |
10.7% |
43.1% |
|
|
Nissan |
79,795 |
4.8% |
23.6% |
|
|
Toyota |
126,219 |
16.5% |
-10.2% |
|
|
Industry |
1,115,397 |
5.3% |
13.5% |
|
|
Market Share Forecast |
||||
|
Manufacturer |
June 2011 Forecast |
May 2011 |
Jun 2010 |
|
|
Chrysler |
11.1% |
10.7% |
9.4% |
|
|
Ford |
17.6% |
18.1% |
17.4% |
|
|
GM |
19.9% |
20.9% |
19.8% |
|
|
Honda |
8.2% |
8.6% |
10.8% |
|
|
Hyundai/Kia |
10.7% |
10.1% |
8.5% |
|
|
Nissan |
7.2% |
7.2% |
6.6% |
|
|
Toyota |
11.3% |
10.2% |
14.3% |
|
|
Incentive Spending Forecast |
|||||
|
Manufacturer |
June 2011 Incentives |
Change vs. May 2011 |
Change vs. June 2010 |
Total Spending |
|
|
Chrysler |
$2,944 |
-1.9% |
-20.5% |
$366,047,343 |
|
|
Ford |
$2,373 |
-2.4% |
-21.8% |
$466,293,110 |
|
|
GM |
$3,022 |
-2.0% |
-20.4% |
$670,958,254 |
|
|
Honda |
$1,581 |
4.5% |
-26.0% |
$145,208,862 |
|
|
Hyundai/Kia |
$1,456 |
-3.6% |
-33.9% |
$173,159,715 |
|
|
Nissan |
$2,424 |
7.8% |
-24.2% |
$193,385,368 |
|
|
Toyota |
$1,507 |
9.3% |
-24.0% |
$190,242,512 |
|
|
Industry |
$2,300 |
-0.2% |
-19.8% |
$2,565,482,917 |
|
"Industry incentive spending is flat compared to last month and is at its lowest level in more than five years, domestics continue to trim incentive spending dramatically with Ford having its lowest incentive spend since
TrueCar.com also projects sales down to the brand level, which can be viewed in its entirety at the Truth Blog on TrueCar.com. Brand level incentive spending forecasts are available upon request.
TrueCar.com bases its forecast on actual transaction data. The transaction data based forecast is refined by other current and historical factors that impact vehicle sales, including: sales, inventory, incentives, fuel prices, and macro economic data (major stock market indexes, consumer confidence, new home starts, and CPI). TrueCar.com does not adjust for selling days in year-over-year percentage change calculations.
*Used car sales figures include sales from franchise dealerships, independent dealerships and private party sales
About
About TrueCar Data
TrueCar obtains data directly from numerous sources including automotive dealers, technology companies, data aggregators, and analytics companies within the automotive space. We also acquire vehicle configuration data, customer and dealer incentives data, financing and loan data, vehicle registration and insurance data, and much, much more. TrueCar is insatiable about data with our goal to find 100% of all purchase transactions, even if that means finding the same transaction multiple times from multiple sources within the car-buying ecosystem. Our data is among the most timely and comprehensive in the industry, as we are able to process most car sales within a week of the actual sales date, and have a substantial fraction on the site within 48 hours of the actual sale. TrueCar believes the greater our informational accuracy, the greater benefit we provide to both dealers and consumers.
Disclaimer
This press release and the information contained herein is for noncommercial use on "as-is, as available" basis and may be used for informational purposes only. TrueCar makes no representations or warranties, express or implied, with respect to the information contained in this press release and the results of the use of such information, including but not limited to implied warranty of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose and non-infringement. The information contained in this press release may include technical inaccuracies or typographical errors. Neither TrueCar nor any of its parents, subsidiaries, affiliates or respective partners, officers, or directors, employees or agents shall be held liable for any damages, whether direct, incidental, indirect, special or consequential, including without limitation lost revenues or lost profits, arising from or in connection with your use or reliance on the information presented in this press release.
Available Topic Expert(s): For information on the listed expert(s), click appropriate link.
https://profnet.prnewswire.com/Subscriber/ExpertProfile.aspx?ei=94534
SOURCE TrueCar.com



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