LINCOLN NATIONAL CORP – 10-K – Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
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The following Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") is intended to help the reader understand the financial condition as of December 31, 2011 , compared with December 31, 2010 , and the results of operations in 2011 and 2010, compared with the immediately preceding year of Lincoln National Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries. Unless otherwise stated or the context otherwise requires, "LNC," "Lincoln," "Company," "we," "our" or "us" refers to Lincoln National Corporation and its consolidated subsidiaries. The MD&A is provided as a supplement to, and should be read in conjunction with our consolidated financial statements and the accompanying notes to the consolidated financial statements ("Notes") presented in "Part II - Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data," as well as "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" above. In this report, in addition to providing consolidated revenues and net income (loss), we also provide segment operating revenues and income (loss) from operations because we believe they are meaningful measures of revenues and the profitability of our operating segments. Financial information that follows is presented in conformity with accounting principles generally accepted in the United States of America ("GAAP"), unless otherwise indicated. See Note 1 for a discussion of GAAP. Operating revenues and income (loss) from operations are the financial performance measures we use to evaluate and assess the results of our segments. Accordingly, we define and report operating revenues and income (loss) from operations by segment in Note 22. Our management believes that operating revenues and income (loss) from operations explain the results of our ongoing businesses in a manner that allows for a better understanding of the underlying trends in our current businesses because the excluded items are unpredictable and not necessarily indicative of current operating fundamentals or future performance of the business segments, and, in many instances, decisions regarding these items do not necessarily relate to the operations of the individual segments. In addition, we believe that our definitions of operating revenues and income (loss) from operations will provide investors with a more valuable measure of our performance because it better reveals trends in our business.
Certain reclassifications have been made to prior periods' financial information.
FORWARD-LOOKING STATEMENTS - CAUTIONARY LANGUAGE Certain statements made in this report and in other written or oral statements made by us or on our behalf are "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 ("PSLRA"). A forward-looking statement is a statement that is not a historical fact and, without limitation, includes any statement that may predict, forecast, indicate or imply future results, performance or achievements, and may contain words like: "believe," "anticipate," "expect," "estimate," "project," "will," "shall" and other words or phrases with similar meaning in connection with a discussion of future operating or financial performance. In particular, these include statements relating to future actions, trends in our businesses, prospective services or products, future performance or financial results and the outcome of contingencies, such as legal proceedings. We claim the protection afforded by the safe harbor for forward-looking statements provided by the PSLRA. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ materially from the results contained in the forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to vary materially, some of which are described within the forward-looking statements, include, among others:
· Deterioration in general economic and business conditions that may affect
account values, investment results, guaranteed benefit liabilities, premium
levels, claims experience and the level of pension benefit costs, funding and
investment results;
· Adverse global capital and credit market conditions could affect our ability
to raise capital, if necessary, and may cause us to realize impairments on
investments and certain intangible assets, including goodwill and a valuation
allowance against deferred tax assets, which may reduce future earnings and/or
affect our financial condition and ability to raise additional capital or
refinance existing debt as it matures;
· Because of our holding company structure, the inability of our subsidiaries to
pay dividends to the holding company in sufficient amounts could harm the
holding company's ability to meet its obligations;
· Legislative, regulatory or tax changes, both domestic and foreign, that affect
the cost of, or demand for, our subsidiaries' products, the required amount of
reserves and/or surplus, or otherwise affect our ability to conduct business,
including changes to statutory reserve requirements related to secondary
guarantees under universal life, such as a change to reserve calculations
under Actuarial Guideline 38 (also known as The Application of the Valuation
of Life Insurance Policies Model Regulation, or "AG38"), and variable annuity
products under Actuarial Guideline 43 (also known as Commissioners Annuity
Reserve Valuation Method for Variable Annuities, or "AG43"); restrictions on
revenue sharing and 12b-1 payments; and the potential for U.S. federal tax
reform;
· Uncertainty about the effect of rules and regulations to be promulgated under
the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act on us and the
economy and the financial services sector in particular;
· The initiation of legal or regulatory proceedings against us, and the outcome
of any legal or regulatory proceedings, such as: adverse actions related to
present or past business practices common in businesses in which we compete;
adverse decisions in 35
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significant actions including, but not limited to, actions brought by federal
and state authorities and class action cases; new decisions that result in
changes in law; and unexpected trial court rulings;
· Changes in or sustained low interest rates causing a reduction in investment
income, the interest margins of our businesses, estimated gross profits and
demand for our products;
· A decline in the equity markets causing a reduction in the sales of our
subsidiaries' products, a reduction of asset-based fees that our subsidiaries
charge on various investment and insurance products, an acceleration of the
net amortization of deferred acquisition costs ("DAC"), value of business
acquired ("VOBA"), deferred sales inducements ("DSI") and deferred front-end
loads ("DFEL") and an increase in liabilities related to guaranteed benefit
features of our subsidiaries' variable annuity products;
· Ineffectiveness of our risk management policies and procedures, including
various hedging strategies used to offset the effect of changes in the value
of liabilities due to changes in the level and volatility of the equity
markets and interest rates;
· A deviation in actual experience regarding future persistency, mortality,
morbidity, interest rates or equity market returns from the assumptions used
in pricing our subsidiaries' products, in establishing related insurance
reserves and in the net amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL, which may
reduce future earnings;
· Changes in GAAP, including the potential incorporation of International
Financial Reporting Standards ("IFRS") into the U.S. financial reporting
system, that may result in unanticipated changes to our net income;
· Lowering of one or more of our debt ratings issued by nationally recognized
statistical rating organizations and the adverse effect such action may have
on our ability to raise capital and on our liquidity and financial condition;
· Lowering of one or more of the insurer financial strength ratings of our
insurance subsidiaries and the adverse effect such action may have on the
premium writings, policy retention, profitability of our insurance
subsidiaries and liquidity;
· Significant credit, accounting, fraud, corporate governance or other issues
that may adversely affect the value of certain investments in our portfolios,
as well as counterparties to which we are exposed to credit risk, requiring
that we realize losses on investments;
· The effect of acquisitions and divestitures, restructurings, product
withdrawals and other unusual items;
· The adequacy and collectibility of reinsurance that we have purchased;
· Acts of terrorism, a pandemic, war or other man-made and natural catastrophes
that may adversely affect our businesses and the cost and availability of
reinsurance;
· Competitive conditions, including pricing pressures, new product offerings and
the emergence of new competitors, that may affect the level of premiums and
fees that our subsidiaries can charge for their products;
· The unknown effect on our subsidiaries' businesses resulting from changes in
the demographics of their client base, as aging baby-boomers move from the
asset-accumulation stage to the asset-distribution stage of life; and
· Loss of key management, financial planners or wholesalers.
The risks included here are not exhaustive. Other sections of this report, our quarterly reports on Form 10-Q, current reports on Form 8-K and other documents filed with theSecurities and Exchange Commission ("SEC") include additional factors that could affect our businesses and financial performance, including "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors," "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk" and the risk discussions included in this section under "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates," "Consolidated Investments" and "Reinsurance," which are incorporated herein by reference. Moreover, we operate in a rapidly changing and competitive environment. New risk factors emerge from time to time, and it is not possible for management to predict all such risk factors. Further, it is not possible to assess the effect of all risk factors on our businesses or the extent to which any factor, or combination of factors, may cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in any forward-looking statements. Given these risks and uncertainties, investors should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements as a prediction of actual results. In addition, we disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that occur after the date of this report. INTRODUCTION Executive Summary We are a holding company that operates multiple insurance and retirement businesses through subsidiary companies. Through our business segments, we sell a wide range of wealth protection, accumulation and retirement income products and solutions. These products include fixed and indexed annuities, variable annuities, universal life insurance ("UL"), variable universal life insurance ("VUL"), linked-benefit UL, term life insurance, employer-sponsored defined contribution retirement plans, mutual funds and group life, disability and dental. We provide products and services and report results through our Annuities, Retirement Plan Services (formerly referred to as "Defined Contribution"), Life Insurance and Group Protection segments. We also have Other Operations. These segments and Other Operations are described in "Part I - Item 1. Business" above. 36 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
For information on how we derive our revenues, see the discussion in results of operations by segment below.
Current Market Conditions
Recent unfavorable market conditions including, but not limited to, the following concerns are weighing on and threatening the financial stability of the economy:
· The effects of low interest rates;
· The effects of the European debt crisis;
· The effects of volatile equity and capital markets; and
· Slow growth in the U.S. economy:
§ Uncertainty regarding the long-term effect of the Budget Control Act of 2011;
§ Downgrades and threatened downgrades by credit rating agencies;
§ The interest rate on overnight loans between banks controlled by the Federal
Reserve Board remaining unchanged in
rates expected to continue at least through late 2014, in anticipation of
weakening economic conditions and a subdued outlook on inflation, an indicator of general interest rate trends;
§ Persistent high unemployment, shrinking unemployment benefits and weak job
creation; § Continued slow and unpredictable U.S. housing market; and
§ Historically low consumer confidence as the Consumer Confidence Index fell
during 2011 to a level not seen since
officially in recession, reflecting the lowest percentile since the inception
of the index. The Federal Reserve's projections for 2012 announced in the fourth quarter of 2011 reflect weak growth and a slowing economic recovery. In the face of these economic challenges, we continue to focus on building our businesses through these difficult markets and beyond by developing and introducing high quality products, expanding distribution into new and existing key accounts and channels and targeting market segments that have high growth potential while maintaining a disciplined approach to managing our expenses.
Significant Operational Matters
Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses
Because the profitability of our fixed annuity, UL, VUL and defined contribution insurance business depends in part on interest rate spreads, interest rate fluctuations could negatively affect our profitability. Changes in interest rates may reduce both our profitability from spread businesses and our return on invested capital. Some of our products, principally our fixed annuities, UL and VUL, have interest rate guarantees that expose us to the risk that changes in interest rates or prolonged low interest rates will reduce our spread, or the difference between the interest that we are required to credit to contracts and the yields that we are able to earn on our general account investments supporting our obligations under the contracts. Although we have been proactive in our investment strategies, product designs, crediting rate strategies and overall asset-liability practices to mitigate the risk of unfavorable consequences in this type of environment, declines in our spread, or instances where the returns on our general account investments are not enough to support the interest rate guarantees on these products, could have an adverse effect on some of our businesses or results of operations. Given the level of interest rates as of the end of 2011, we have provided disclosures around the effects of sustained low interest rates in "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Interest Rate Risk - Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses - Falling Rates" and "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Changes in interest rates and sustained low interest rates may cause interest rate spreads to decrease and changes in interest rates may also result in increased contract withdrawals."
Earnings from Account Values
The Annuities and Retirement Plan Services segments are the most sensitive to the equity markets, as well as, to a lesser extent, our Life Insurance segment. We discuss the earnings effect of the equity markets on account values and the related asset-based earnings below in "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Equity Market Risk - Effect of Equity Market Sensitivity." FromDecember 31, 2010 , toDecember 31, 2011 , our account values were up$2.7 billion driven primarily by positive net flows during 2011. 37 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Variable Annuity Hedge Program Performance
We offer variable annuity products with living benefit guarantees. As described below in "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Derivatives - Guaranteed Living Benefits," we use derivative instruments to hedge our exposure to the risks and earnings volatility that result from the guaranteed living benefit ("GLB") embedded derivatives in certain of our variable annuity products. The change in fair value of these instruments tends to move in the opposite direction of the change in embedded derivative reserves. These results are excluded from the Annuities and Retirement Plan Services segments' operating revenues and income from operations. See "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking - Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" below for information on our methodology for calculating the non-performance risk ("NPR"), which affects the discount rate used in the calculation of the GLB embedded derivative reserves. We also offer variable products with death benefit guarantees. As described below in "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Future Contract Benefits and Other Contract Holder Obligations - Guaranteed Death Benefits," we use derivative instruments to attempt to hedge the income statement effect in the opposite direction of the guaranteed death benefit ("GDB") benefit ratio unlocking for movements in equity markets. These results are excluded from income (loss) from operations.
The costs of derivative instruments that we use to hedge these variable annuity products may increase as a result of the low interest rate environment.
The variable annuity hedge program ended 2011 with assets of$2.9 billion , which were in excess of the estimated liability of$2.6 billion as ofDecember 31, 2011 .
Credit Losses, Impairments and Unrealized Losses
Related to our investments in fixed income and equity securities, we experienced net realized losses that reduced net income by$76 million for 2011 and included credit-related write-downs of securities for other-than-temporary impairments ("OTTI") of$77 million . Although economic conditions have improved, we expect a continuation of some level of OTTI. If we were to experience another period of weakness in the economic environment, it could lead to increased credit defaults, resulting in additional write-downs of securities for OTTI.
Declines in overall market yields driven by improved credit fundamentals resulted in a
Improvement of Return on Equity
One of our highest priorities continues to be increasing our return on equity ("ROE"). Growth in ROE will be driven by a number of items including:
· Earnings mix shift to businesses with higher returns;
· Sales of products that have higher returns than the products already in force;
and
· Capital management actions consisting of redeployment of excess capital
(including returning capital to common stockholders) and further generation of
excess capital. Strategic Investments We continue to make strategic investments in our businesses to grow revenues, further spur productivity and improve our efficiency and service to our customers. These efforts include investments in technology and system upgrades, new products for the voluntary market and expanded distribution focus.
Industry Trends
We continue to be influenced by a variety of trends that affect the industry.
Financial Environment
The level of long-term interest rates and the shape of the yield curve can have a negative effect on the demand for and the profitability of spread-based products such as fixed annuities and UL. A flat or inverted yield curve and low long-term interest rates will be a concern if new money rates on corporate bonds are lower than our overall life insurer investment portfolio yields. Equity market performance can also affect the profitability of life insurers, as product demand and fee revenue from variable annuities and fee revenue from pension products tied to separate account balances often reflect equity market performance. A steady economy is important as it provides for continuing demand for insurance and investment-type products. Insurance 38 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- premium growth, with respect to group life and disability products, for example, is closely tied to employers' total payroll growth. Additionally, the potential market for these products is expanded by new business creation.
Demographics
In the coming decade, a key driver shaping the actions of the insurance industry will be the escalation of income protection and wealth accumulation goals and needs of the retiring baby-boomers. As a result of increasing longevity, retirees will need to accumulate sufficient savings to finance retirements that may span 30 or more years. Helping the baby-boomers to accumulate assets for retirement and subsequently to convert these assets into retirement income represents an opportunity for the insurance industry. Insurers are well positioned to address the baby-boomers' rapidly increasing need for savings tools and for income protection. We believe that, among insurers, those with strong brands, high financial strength ratings and broad distribution are best positioned to capitalize on the opportunity to offer income protection products to baby-boomers. Moreover, the insurance industry's products, and the needs they are designed to address, are complex. We believe that individuals approaching retirement age will need to seek information to plan for and manage their retirements. In the workplace, as employees take greater responsibility for their benefit options and retirement planning, they will need information about their possible individual needs. One of the challenges for the insurance industry will be the delivery of this information in a cost effective manner.
Competitive Pressures
The insurance industry remains highly competitive. The product development and product life cycles have shortened in many product segments, leading to more intense competition with respect to product features. Larger companies have the ability to invest in brand equity, product development, technology and risk management, which are among the fundamentals for sustained profitable growth in the life insurance industry. In addition, several of the industry's products can be quite homogeneous and subject to intense price competition. Sufficient scale, financial strength and financial flexibility are becoming prerequisites for sustainable growth in the life insurance industry. Larger market participants tend to have the capacity to invest in additional distribution capability and the information technology needed to offer the superior customer service demanded by an increasingly sophisticated industry client base.
Regulatory Changes
The insurance industry is regulated at the state level, with some products and services also subject to federal regulation. Regulators may refine capital requirements and introduce new reserving standards for the life insurance industry. Regulations recently adopted or currently under review, such as the Dodd-Frank Act, can potentially affect the capital requirements of the industry and result in increased regulation and oversight for the industry. In addition, changes in GAAP, including future convergence with IFRS, as well as the methodologies, estimations and assumptions thereunder, may result in unanticipated changes to our net income.See "Part I - Item 1. Business - Regulatory" for a discussion of the potential effects of regulatory changes on our industry. Issues and Outlook
Going into 2012, significant issues include:
· Continuation of the low interest rate environment in comparison to historical
periods;
· Planned reductions in sales levels, especially in our UL products with
secondary guarantees, due to economic factors; and
· Increased actions by government and regulatory authorities to introduce
regulations or change existing regulations or guidance in a manner that could
have a significant effect on our capital, earnings and/or business models,
such as changing long-standing reserving methods for products with guarantee
features.
In the face of these issues and potential issues, we expect to focus on the following:
· Closely monitoring our capital and liquidity positions taking into account the
uncertain economic recovery and changing statutory accounting and reserving
practices;
· Continuing to explore additional financing strategies addressing the statutory
reserve strain related to our secondary guarantee UL products in order to
manage our capital position effectively;
· Taking actions to manage the risk of a continuation of lower interest rates,
including re-pricing our products;
· Closely monitoring ongoing activities in the legal and regulatory environment
and taking an active role in the legislative and/or regulatory process;
· Continuing to make investments in our businesses to grow revenues and further
spur productivity; 39
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· Shifting focus toward other life insurance products, such as indexed UL and
linked-benefit rider products, that have greater market acceptance in the
current environment; and
· Managing our expenses aggressively through process improvement initiatives
combined with continued financial discipline and execution excellence throughout our operations.
For additional factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates We have identified the accounting policies below as critical to the understanding of our results of operations and our financial position. In applying these critical accounting policies in preparing our financial statements, management must use critical assumptions, estimates and judgments concerning future results or other developments, including the likelihood, timing or amount of one or more future events. Actual results may differ from these estimates under different assumptions or conditions. On an ongoing basis, we evaluate our assumptions, estimates and judgments based upon historical experience and various other information that we believe to be reasonable under the circumstances. For a detailed discussion of other significant accounting policies, see Note 1. DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL Accounting for intangible assets requires numerous assumptions, such as estimates of expected future profitability for our operations and our ability to retain existing blocks of life and annuity business in force. Our accounting policies for DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL affect the Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance and Group Protection segments.
Deferrals
Qualifying deferrable acquisition expenses are recorded as an asset on our Consolidated Balance Sheets as DAC for products we sold during a period or VOBA for books of business we acquired during a period. In addition, we defer costs associated with DSI and revenues associated with DFEL. DSI increases interest credited and reduces income when amortized. DFEL is a liability included within other contract holder funds on our Consolidated Balance Sheets, and when amortized, increases insurance fees on our Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss).
Our DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL balances (in millions) by business segment as of
Retirement Plan Life Group Annuities Services Insurance Protection Total DAC and VOBA Gross $ 2,941 $ 526 $ 7,227 $ 195 $ 10,889 Unrealized (gain) loss (623 ) (195 ) (1,880 ) - (2,698 ) Carrying value $ 2,318 $ 331 $ 5,347 $ 195 $ 8,191 DSI Gross $ 322 $ 3 $ - $ - $ 325 Unrealized (gain) loss (53 ) (1 ) - - (54 ) Carrying value $ 269 $ 2 $ - $ - $ 271 DFEL Gross $ 268 $ - $ 1,810 $ - $ 2,078 Unrealized (gain) loss (5 ) - (704 ) - (709 ) Carrying value $ 263 $ - $ 1,106 $ - $ 1,369 AFS securities and certain derivatives are stated at fair value with unrealized gains and losses included within accumulated other comprehensive income (loss), net of associated DAC, VOBA, DSI, other contract holder funds and deferred income taxes. The unrealized balances in the table above represent the DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL balances for these effects of unrealized gains and losses on AFS securities and certain derivatives as of the end-of-period. 40 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
New DAC Methodology
InOctober 2010 , theFinancial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued Accounting Standards Update No. 2010-26, "Accounting for Costs Associated with Acquiring or Renewing Insurance Contracts" (referred to herein as the "new DAC methodology"), which clarifies the types of costs incurred by an insurance entity that can be capitalized in the acquisition of insurance contracts. Only those costs incurred that result directly from and are essential to the successful acquisition of new or renewal insurance contracts may be capitalized as deferrable acquisition costs. This determination of deferability must be made on a contract-level basis. This new DAC methodology contrasts to the existing guidance we follow that defines deferrable acquisition costs as costs that vary with and are related primarily to new or renewal business, regardless of whether the acquisition efforts were successful or unsuccessful.
Some examples of acquisition costs that remain subject to deferral as part of the new DAC methodology include the following:
· Employee, agent or broker commissions for successful contract acquisitions;
· Wholesaler production bonuses for successful contract acquisitions;
· Renewal commissions and bonuses to agents or brokers;
· Medical and inspection fees for successful contract acquisitions;
· Premium-related taxes and assessments; and
· A portion of the salaries and benefits of certain employees involved in the
underwriting, contract issuance and processing, medical and inspection and
sales force contract selling functions related to the successful issuance or
renewal of an insurance contract.
All other acquisition-related costs, including costs incurred by the insurer for soliciting potential customers, market research, training, administration, management of distribution and underwriting functions, unsuccessful acquisition or renewal efforts and product development, are considered non-deferrable acquisition costs and must be expensed in the period incurred.
In addition, the following indirect costs are considered non-deferrable acquisition costs as part of the new DAC methodology and must be charged to expense in the period incurred:
· Administrative costs; · Rent; · Depreciation; · Occupancy costs;
· Equipment costs (including data processing equipment dedicated to acquiring
insurance contracts); and · Other general overhead. We will adopt the new DAC methodology effectiveJanuary 1, 2012 , and have elected to apply the guidance retrospectively. We expect that our adoption of the new DAC methodology will result in an overall reduction in deferrable acquisition costs, partially offset by lower DAC amortization, in each of our business segments. We currently estimate that retrospective adoption will result in the restatement of all years presented with a cumulative effect adjustment to the opening balance of retained earnings for the earliest period presented of approximately$950 million to $1.15 billion . In addition, the adoption of this accounting guidance will result in a lower DAC adjustment associated with unrealized gains and losses on AFS securities and certain derivatives; therefore, we will also adjust these DAC balances through a cumulative effect adjustment to the opening balance of accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) ("AOCI"). This adjustment is dependent on our unrealized position as of the date of adoption. We believe that the total of our segment results would have declined by approximately 5% to 7% for 2011 had we applied the provisions of the new DAC methodology during 2011. This decline would not have been uniform across our segments as the effect on the Life Insurance segment would have been greater due to its products having longer contract lives and its more significant VOBA balance that is not affected by the new methodology. This estimate does not include changes that management may make to mitigate the effects of this new DAC methodology.
Amortization
Deferrable acquisition costs for variable annuity and deferred fixed annuity contracts and UL and VUL policies are amortized over the lives of the contracts in relation to the incidence of estimated gross profits ("EGPs") derived from the contracts. Broker commissions or broker-dealer expenses, which vary with and are related to sales of mutual fund products, respectively, are expensed as incurred. For our traditional products, we amortized deferrable acquisition costs either on a straight-line basis or as a level percent of premium of the related contracts, depending on the block of business. EGPs vary based on a number of sources including policy persistency, mortality, fee income, investment margins, expense margins and realized gains and losses on investments, including assumptions about the expected level of credit-related losses. Each of these sources of profit is, in turn, driven by other factors. For example, assets under management and the spread between earned and 41 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- credited rates drive investment margins; net amount at risk ("NAR") drives the level of cost of insurance ("COI") charges and reinsurance premiums. The level of separate account assets under management is driven by changes in the financial markets (equity and bond markets, hereafter referred to collectively as "equity markets") and net flows. Realized gains and losses on investments include amounts resulting from differences in the actual level of impairments and the levels assumed in calculating EGPs. We amortize DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL in proportion to our EGPs for interest-sensitive products. When actual gross profits are higher in the period than EGPs, we recognize more amortization than planned. When actual gross profits are lower in the period than EGPs, we recognize less amortization than planned. In a calendar year where the gross profits for a certain group of policies, or "cohorts," are negative, our actuarial process limits, or floors, the amortization expense offset to zero.
For a discussion of the periods over which we amortize our DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL see "DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL" in Note 1.
Unlocking
As discussed and defined in "DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL" in Note 1, we may record retrospective unlocking, prospective unlocking - assumption changes and prospective unlocking - model refinements on a quarterly basis that result in increases or decreases to the carrying values of DAC, VOBA, DSI, DFEL, embedded derivatives and reserves for life insurance and annuity products with living benefit and death benefit guarantees. The primary distinction between retrospective and prospective unlocking is that retrospective unlocking is driven by the difference between actual gross profits compared to EGPs each period, while prospective unlocking is driven by changes in assumptions or projection models related to our expectations of future EGPs. For illustrative purposes, the following presents the hypothetical effects to EGPs and DAC (1) amortization attributable to changes in assumptions from those our model projections assume (i.e., prospective unlocking), assuming all other factors remain constant: Hypothetical Hypothetical Effect to Actual Experience Differs Effect to Net Income From Those Our Model Net Income for DAC (1) Projections Assume for EGPs Amortization Description of Expected Effect Increase to fee income and decrease to Higher equity markets Favorable Favorable changes in reserves. Decrease to fee income and increase to Lower equity markets Unfavorable Unfavorable changes in reserves. Higher investment Increase to interest rate spread on our margins Favorable Favorable fixed product line, including fixed portion of variable. Lower investment Decrease to interest rate spread on our margins Unfavorable Unfavorable fixed product line, including fixed portion of variable. Decrease to realized gains on Higher credit losses Unfavorable Unfavorable investments. Increase to realized gains on Lower credit losses Favorable Favorable investments. Decrease to fee income, partially offset Higher lapses Unfavorable Unfavorable by decrease to benefits due to shorter contract life. Increase to fee income, partially offset Lower lapses Favorable Favorable by increase to benefits due to longer contract life. Decrease to fee income and increase to Higher death claims Unfavorable Unfavorable changes in reserves due to shorter contract life. Increase to fee income and decrease to Lower death claims Favorable Favorable changes in reserves due to longer contract life.
(1) DAC refers to the associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL and
changes in future contract benefits. 42
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Details underlying the effect to income (loss) from continuing operations from prospective unlocking (in millions) were as follows:
Assumption Changes Model Refinements For the Years Ended December 31, For the Years Ended December 31, 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 2009
Income (loss) from operations:
Annuities $ (17 ) $ 27 $ (9 ) $ - $ (6 ) $ - Retirement Plan Services - 10 5 (2 ) (5 ) - Life Insurance 26 (101 ) (7 ) 25 18 - Excluded realized gain (loss) (72 ) 18 (151 ) - - (6 ) Income (loss) from continuing operations $ (63 ) $ (46 ) $ (162 ) $ 23 $ 7 $ (6 )
Our prospective unlocking - assumption changes were attributable primarily to the following:
2011
· For Annuities, we lowered our long-term equity market growth rate and interest
margin assumptions, partially offset by lowering our lapse assumptions;
·
actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates; and
· For excluded realized gain (loss), we increased our lapse assumptions,
partially offset by lowering our assumptions for long-term volatility.
2010
· For Annuities, we included an estimate in our models for rider fees related to
our annuity products with living benefit guarantees and lowered our lapse
assumptions, partially offset by completing the planned conversion of our
actuarial valuation systems to a uniform platform for certain blocks of
business (see more discussion below);
· For Retirement Plan Services, we completed the planned conversion of our
actuarial valuation systems to a uniform platform for certain blocks of
business (see more discussion below);
·
reflect the then current new money rates and to approximate the forward curve
for interest rates relevant at such time, as this effect alone represented
· For excluded realized gain (loss), we lowered our lapse assumptions, which was
significantly offset by shifting the mapping of approximately 5% of variable
annuity account values to blended equity and fixed maturity hedging indices,
whereas previously we had been mapped almost exclusively to equity.
During 2010, we completed the planned conversion of our actuarial valuation systems to a uniform platform for certain blocks of business for our Annuities and Retirement Plan Services segments. This conversion harmonized assumptions, methods of calculations and processes and upgraded a critical platform for our financial reporting and analysis capabilities for these blocks of business. We recorded unfavorable prospective unlocking for Annuities and favorable prospective unlocking for Retirement Plan Services as a result of the planned conversion. We are in the process of completing a similar conversion for Life Insurance and also have other blocks of business in Annuities that we intend to convert. Although we expect some differences to emerge as a result of this exercise, based upon the current status of these efforts, we are not able to provide an estimate or range of the effects to our results of operations until completion of the conversion. 2009
· For Annuities, we increased our assumptions related to maintenance expenses,
partially offset by increasing our assumptions for expense assessments and
modifying the valuation of variable annuity products that have elements of
both benefit reserves and embedded derivative reserves;
· For Retirement Plan Services, we modified our assumptions related to
compensation in our wholesaling distribution organization that lowered deferrals as a percentage of total expenses incurred and revised our assumptions related to maintenance expenses;
·
our expense, death claim and lapse assumptions; and 43
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· For excluded realized gain (loss), we modified the valuation of variable
annuity products that have elements of both benefit reserves and embedded
derivative reserves, and we revised our fund assumptions related to hedged
indices.
Details underlying the effect to income (loss) from continuing operations from retrospective unlocking (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, 2011 2010 2009
Income (loss) from operations:
Annuities $ 104 $ 81 $ 29 Retirement Plan Services 10 (3 ) (1 ) Life Insurance (10 ) (3 ) (18 ) Benefit ratio unlocking (14 ) 10 89 Income (loss) from continuing operations $ 90 $ 85 $ 99
Our retrospective unlocking was attributable primarily to the following:
2011
· For Annuities, we experienced higher average equity markets and prepayment and
bond makewhole premiums and lower lapses than our model projections assumed;
· For Retirement Plan Services, we experienced lower lapses and higher average
equity markets than our model projections assumed;
·
claims than our model projections assumed; and
· For benefit ratio unlocking, the period to period equity markets were less
favorable than our model projections assumed.
2010
· For Annuities, we experienced higher average equity markets and expense
assessments and lower lapses than our model projections assumed;
· For Retirement Plan Services, we experienced higher lapses, partially offset
by higher average equity markets, than our model projections assumed;
·
claims, partially offset by lower lapses and expenses, than our model
projections assumed; and
· For benefit ratio unlocking, the period to period equity markets were more
favorable than our model projections assumed.
2009
· For Annuities, we experienced lower lapses and higher average equity markets
than our model projections assumed;
· For Retirement Plan Services, we experienced higher lapses and maintenance
expenses and lower average equity markets than our model projections assumed;
·
investment income on alternative investments and prepayment and bond makewhole
premiums, partially offset by lower death claims and lapses, than our model
projections assumed; and
· For benefit ratio unlocking, the period to period equity markets were more
favorable than our model projections assumed.
Reversion to the Mean ("RTM")
Because equity market movements have a significant effect on the value of variable annuity and VUL products and the fees earned on these accounts, EGPs could increase or decrease with movements in the equity markets; therefore, significant and sustained changes in equity markets have had and could in the future have an effect on DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL amortization for our variable annuity, annuity-based 401(k) and VUL businesses. As equity markets do not move in a systematic manner, we reset the baseline of account values from which EGPs are projected, which we refer to as our RTM process. Under our RTM process, on each valuation date, future EGPs are projected using stochastic modeling of a large number of future equity market scenarios in conjunction with best estimates of lapse rates, interest 44 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- rate spreads and mortality to develop a statistical distribution of the present value of future EGPs for our variable annuity, annuity-based 401(k) and VUL blocks of business. Because future equity market returns are unpredictable, the underlying premise of this process is that best estimate projections of future EGPs need not be affected by random short-term and insignificant deviations from expectations in equity market returns. However, long-term or significant deviations from expected equity market returns require a change to best estimate projections of EGPs and prospective unlocking of DAC, VOBA, DSI, DFEL and changes in future contract benefits. The statistical distribution is designed to identify when the equity market return deviations from expected returns have become significant enough to warrant a change of the future equity return EGP assumption. The stochastic modeling performed for our variable annuity blocks of business as described above is used to develop a range of reasonably possible future EGPs. We compare the range of the present value of the future EGPs from the stochastic modeling to that used in our amortization model. A set of intervals around the mean of these scenarios is utilized to calculate two separate statistical ranges of reasonably possible EGPs. These intervals are then compared again to the present value of the EGPs used in the amortization model. If the present value of EGP assumptions utilized for amortization were to exceed the margin of the reasonable range of statistically calculated EGPs, a revision of the EGPs used to calculate amortization would occur. If a revision is deemed necessary, future EGPs would be re-projected using the current account values at the end of the period during which the revision occurred along with a revised long-term annual equity market gross return assumption such that the re-projected EGPs would be our best estimate of EGPs. Notwithstanding these intervals, if a severe decline or advance in equity markets were to occur or should other circumstances, including contract holder behavior, suggest that the present value of future EGPs no longer represents our best estimate, we could determine that a revision of the EGPs is necessary. Our practice is not necessarily to unlock immediately after exceeding the first of the two statistical ranges, but, rather, if we stay between the first and second statistical range for several quarters, we would likely unlock. Additionally, if we exceed the ranges as a result of a short-term market reaction, we would not necessarily unlock. However, if the second statistical range is exceeded for more than one quarter, it is likely that we would unlock. While this approach reduces adjustments to DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL due to short-term equity market fluctuations, significant changes in the equity markets that extend beyond one or two quarters could result in a significant favorable or unfavorable unlocking. Our long-term equity market growth rate assumption, which is used in the determination of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL amortization for the variable component of our variable annuity and VUL products, is an immediate drop of approximately 8% followed by growth going forward of 8% to 9% depending on the block of business and reflecting differences in contract holder fund allocations between fixed income and equity-type investments. If we were to have unlocked our RTM assumption in the corridor as ofDecember 31, 2011 , we would have recorded a favorable prospective unlocking of approximately$175 million , pre-tax, for Annuities, approximately$20 million , pre-tax, for Retirement Plan Services, and approximately$15 million , pre-tax, for Life Insurance.
Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets
Goodwill and intangible assets with indefinite lives are not amortized, but are subject to impairment tests conducted at least annually as ofOctober 1 . Intangibles that do not have indefinite lives are amortized over their estimated useful lives. We are required to perform a two-step test in our evaluation of the carrying value of goodwill for each of our reporting units, and the results of one test on one reporting unit cannot subsidize the results of another reporting unit. In Step 1 of the evaluation, the fair value of each reporting unit is determined and compared to the carrying value of the reporting unit. If the fair value is greater than the carrying value, then the carrying value of the reporting unit is deemed to be recoverable, and Step 2 is not required. If the fair value estimate is less than the carrying value, it is an indicator that impairment may exist, and Step 2 is required. In Step 2, the implied fair value of goodwill is determined for each reporting unit. The reporting unit's fair value as determined in Step 1 is assigned to all of its net assets (recognized and unrecognized) as if the reporting unit were acquired in a business combination as of the date of the impairment test. If the implied fair value of the reporting unit's goodwill is lower than its carrying amount, goodwill is impaired and written down to its fair value. The fair values of our insurance and annuities businesses are comprised of two components: the value of new business and the value of in-force business. Factors could cause us to believe our estimated fair value of the total business may be lower than the carrying value and trigger a Step 1 test, but may not require a Step 2 test if the fair value of the reporting unit is greater than its carrying value. We may also conduct a Step 2 test, but it may not result in goodwill impairment because the implied fair value of goodwill may exceed our carrying amount of goodwill. The value of our goodwill asset is supported by our value of new business, which is not affected by the same factors as our value of in-force business. The implied fair value of goodwill is most sensitive to new business production levels, profitability and discount rates. Factors that could affect production levels and profitability include mix of new business, pricing changes, customer acceptance of our products and distribution strength. Recent declines in interest rates have applied downward pressure to the interest rate inputs used in the discount rate calculation. Spread compression and related effects to profitability caused by lower interest rates affect the valuation 45 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- of in-force business much more significantly than the valuation of new business. The effect of interest rate movements on the value of new business is primarily related to the discount rate. However, current market conditions have led to re-pricing actions in the life insurance industry creating additional uncertainty around future sales returns and levels, which we believe has resulted in an increase in the discount rate a market participant would assume for new business in our Life Insurance segment. Refer to Note 10 of our consolidated financial statements for goodwill and specifically identifiable intangible assets by segment as well as the results of our recoverability analysis for the years endedDecember 31, 2010 and 2009. All the discussion that follows represents our analysis as ofOctober 1, 2011 . We performed a Step 1 analysis on all of our reporting units including: Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance, Group Protection and Media. Our Annuities, Retirement Plan Services and Group Protection reporting units passed the Step 1 analysis, and although the carrying value of the net assets for Group Protection was within the estimated fair value range, we deemed it prudent to validate the carrying value of goodwill through a Step 2 analysis. Given the Step 1 results, we also performed a Step 2 analysis for our Life Insurance and Media reporting units.
Step 1 Results and Information for our Annuities and Retirement Plan Services Reporting Units
For Annuities and Retirement Plan Services, we estimated the fair values of the reporting units based on a discounted cash flow valuation technique ("income approach") similar to that of our Life Insurance and Group Protection reporting units discussed below. We also updated our estimates of discount rates based upon current market observable inputs. We used discount rates ranging from 12.0% to 13.0% for both Annuities and Retirement Plan Services based upon the weighted average cost of capital adjusted for risks associated with the operations.
Based upon our Step 1 analysis for Annuities and Retirement Plan Services, our estimated implied fair value was well in excess of each reporting unit's carrying value of net assets, including goodwill.
Step 2 Results and Information for our Life Insurance, Group Protection and Media Reporting Units
In our Step 2 analyses of Life Insurance, Group Protection and Media, we estimated the implied fair value of goodwill for each reporting unit primarily through an income approach, although limited available market data was also considered. In determining the estimated implied fair value of goodwill for these reporting units, we considered discounted cash flow calculations and assumptions that market participants would make in valuing the new business of these reporting units. These analyses required us to make judgments about new business revenues, earnings projections, capital market assumptions and discount rates.
The key assumptions used in the analyses to determine the implied fair value of goodwill for the Life Insurance and Group Protection reporting units included:
· New business for 10 years;
· Expense synergies assumption that would be expected to be realized in a
market-participant transaction similar to prior market observable transactions
and our prior experience; and
· Interest rates used to discount new business cash flows; we considered
discount rates ranging from 9.0% to 10.5% for our Life Insurance reporting
unit and from 9.0% to 10.0% for our Group Protection reporting unit based on
the weighted average cost of capital adjusted for the risk factors associated
with the operations. Based upon our Step 2 analysis for Life Insurance, we recorded a goodwill impairment of$650 million that was attributable primarily to marketplace dynamics, including product changes that we have implemented or will implement shortly that we believe will have an unfavorable effect on our sales levels for a period of time. We believe the assumptions used in our estimates of the implied fair value of our goodwill are reasonable.
Based upon our Step 2 analysis for Group Protection, we determined that there was no impairment.
The key assumptions used in the analysis to determine the fair value of the Media reporting unit included:
· Broadcast cash flows for 10 years and a terminal value in year 11; and
· Interest rates used to discount broadcast cash flows; we considered discount
rates ranging from 12.0% to 14.0% that were based on the weighted average cost
of capital adjusted for the risk factors associated with the operations.
Based upon our Step 2 analysis for Media, we recorded a goodwill impairment of$97 million , which represented the entire remaining balance of goodwill for this reporting unit. The goodwill impairment was primarily a result of the deterioration in operating environment and outlook for the business. 46 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Control Premium Information and Outlook
We believe that our stock price has been unfavorably affected by macroeconomic events and concerns about the economic recovery as discussed above in "Current Market Conditions." Our stock price has experienced increased volatility and continues to be lower than our book value. We believe that our stock price is not representative of the underlying fair value of our reporting units.
In addition, as discussed above in "New DAC Methodology," we currently estimate that retrospective adoption will result in lower carrying values for our Annuities, Retirement Plan Services, Life Insurance and Group Protection reporting units by approximately
Because our stock is trading at a price below book value, we are required to evaluate and reassess each reporting period whether or not there is an indicator that would require us to perform an impairment test. Factors that can influence the value of goodwill include the capital markets, competitive landscape, regulatory environment, consumer confidence and any items that can directly or indirectly affect new business future cash flows. For example, unfavorable changes to assumptions as compared to ourOctober 1, 2011 , analysis or factors that could result in impairment include, but are not limited to, the following:
· Lower expectations for future sales levels or future sales profitability;
· Higher discount rates on new business assumptions;
· Weakened expectations for the ability to execute future reinsurance
transactions for life insurance business over the long-term or expectations
for significant increases in the associated costs.
· Legislative, regulatory or tax changes that affect the cost of, or demand for,
our subsidiaries' products, the required amount of reserves and/or surplus, or
otherwise affect our ability to conduct business, including changes to statutory reserve requirements or changes to risk-based capital ("RBC") requirements; and
· Valuations of mergers or acquisitions of companies or blocks of business that
would provide relevant market-based inputs for our impairment assessment that
could support different conclusions regarding the estimated fair value of our
reporting units. Investments Invested assets are an integral part of our operations, and we invest in fixed maturity and equity securities that are primarily classified as available-for-sale and carried at fair value with the difference from amortized cost included in stockholders' equity as a component of AOCI. See "Consolidated Investments" below for more information.
Investment Valuation
Our measurement of fair value is based on assumptions used by market participants in pricing the asset or liability, which may include inherent risk, restrictions on the sale or use of an asset or non-performance risk, which would include our own credit risk. Our estimate of an exchange price is the price in an orderly transaction between market participants to sell the asset or transfer the liability ("exit price") in the principal market, or the most advantageous market in the absence of a principal market, for that asset or liability, as opposed to the price that would be paid to acquire the asset or receive a liability ("entry price"). Pursuant to the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topic of the FASB Accounting Standards CodificationTM ("ASC"), we categorize our financial instruments carried at fair value into a three-level fair value hierarchy, based on the priority of inputs to the respective valuation technique. The three-level hierarchy for fair value measurement is defined in Note 1. 47
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The following summarizes our AFS and trading securities and derivative investments carried at fair value by pricing source and fair value hierarchy level (in millions): As of December 31, 2011 Quoted Prices in Active Markets for Significant Significant Identical Observable Unobservable Total Assets Inputs Inputs Fair (Level 1) (Level 2) (Level 3) Value Priced by third party pricing services $ 700 $ 67,361 $ - $ 68,061 Priced by independent broker quotations - - 3,058 3,058 Priced by matrices - 9,063 - 9,063 Priced by other methods (1) - - 1,916 1,916 Total $ 700 $ 76,424 $ 4,974 $ 82,098 Percent of total 1 % 93 % 6 % 100 %
(1) Represents primarily securities for which pricing models were used to
compute fair value.
For the categories and associated fair value of our AFS fixed maturity securities classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy as of
Our investment securities are valued using market inputs, including benchmark yields, reported trades, broker-dealer quotes, issuer spreads, two-sided markets, benchmark securities, bids, offers and reference data. In addition, market indicators and industry and economic events are monitored, and further market data is acquired if certain triggers are met. Credit risk is also considered in the valuation of our investment securities as we incorporate the issuer's credit rating and a risk premium, if warranted, given the issuer's industry and the security's time to maturity. The credit rating is based upon internal and external analysis of the issuer's financial strength. We use an internationally recognized pricing service as our primary pricing source, and we do not adjust prices received from third parties or obtain multiple prices when measuring the fair value of our investments. We generally use prices from the pricing service rather than broker quotes because we have documentation from the pricing service on the observable market inputs they use, which contrasts to the broker quotes where we have limited information on the pricing inputs. For certain security types, additional inputs may be used, or some of the inputs described above may not be applicable. For private placement securities, we use pricing matrices that utilize observable pricing inputs of similar public securities and Treasury yields as inputs to the fair value measurement. It is possible that different valuation techniques and models, other than those described above, could produce materially different estimates of fair value.
When the volume and level of activity for an asset or liability has significantly decreased in relation to normal market activity for the asset or liability, we believe that the market is not active as indicated by the following:
· Few recent transactions based on volume and level of activity in the market;
therefore, there is not sufficient frequency and volume to provide pricing
information on an ongoing basis;
· Price quotations are not based on current information;
· Price quotations vary substantially either over time or among market makers;
· Indexes that previously were highly correlated with the fair values of the
asset are demonstrably uncorrelated with recent fair values;
· Abnormal, or significant increases in, liquidity risk premiums or implied
yields for quoted prices when compared with reasonable estimates using
realistic assumptions of credit and other nonperformance risk for the asset
class;
· Abnormally wide bid-ask spread or significant increases in the bid-ask spread;
and
· Limited public information available.
After evaluating all factors and considering the significance and relevance of each factor, we evaluate whether there has been a significant decrease in the volume and level of activity for the asset when the market for that asset is not active. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , we evaluated the markets that our securities trade in and concluded that none were inactive. We will continue to re-evaluate this conclusion, as needed, based on market conditions. 48 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We use unobservable inputs to measure the fair value of securities trading in less liquid or illiquid markets with limited or no pricing information. We obtain broker quotes for securities such as synthetic convertibles, index-linked certificates of deposit and collateralized debt obligations ("CDOs") when sufficient security structure or other market information is not available to produce an evaluation. For broker-quoted only securities, non-binding quotes from market makers or broker-dealers are obtained from sources recognized as market participants. Broker-quoted securities are based solely on receipt of updated quotes from a single market maker or a broker-dealer recognized as a market participant. Our broker-quoted only securities are generally classified as Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , we used broker quotes for 77 securities as our final price source, representing approximately 2% of total securities owned. In order to validate the pricing information and broker-dealer quotes, we employ, where possible, procedures that include comparisons with similar observable positions, comparisons with subsequent sales and observations of general market movements for those security classes. Our primary third-party pricing service has policies and processes to ensure that it is using objectively verifiable observable market data. The pricing service regularly reviews the evaluation inputs for securities covered, including broker quotes, executed trades and credit information, as applicable. If the pricing service determines it does not have sufficient objectively verifiable information about a security's valuation, it discontinues providing a valuation for the security. The pricing service regularly publishes and updates a summary of inputs used in its valuations by major security type. In addition, we have policies and procedures in place to review the process that is utilized by the third-party pricing service and the output that is provided to us by the pricing service. On a periodic basis, we test the pricing for a sample of securities to evaluate the inputs and assumptions used by the pricing service, and we perform a comparison of the pricing service output to an alternative pricing source. In addition, we check prices provided by our primary pricing service to ensure that they are not stale or unreasonable by reviewing the prices for unusual changes from period to period based on certain parameters or for lack of change from one period to the next. If such anomalies in the pricing are observed, we may use pricing information from another pricing source.
Valuation of Alternative Investments
Recognition of investment income on alternative investments is delayed due to the availability of the related financial statements, which are generally obtained from the partnerships' general partners, as our venture capital, real estate and oil and gas portfolios are generally reported to us on a three-month delay, and our hedge funds are reported to us on a one-month delay. In addition, the effect of audit adjustments related to completion of calendar-year financial statement audits of the investees are typically received during the first or second quarter of each calendar year. Accordingly, our investment income from alternative investments for any calendar year period may not include the complete effect of the change in the underlying net assets for the partnership for that calendar year period. Annually, typically during the first or second quarter, we obtain audited financial statements for our alternative investment partnerships for the preceding calendar year and recognize adjustments to the extent that the audited equity of the investee differs from the equity used for reporting in prior quarters. Recorded audit adjustments affect our investment income on alternative investments in the period that the adjustments are recorded.
Write-downs for OTTI and Allowance for Losses
We regularly review our AFS securities for declines in fair value that we determine to be other-than-temporary. For additional details, see "Consolidated Investments" below and Notes 1, 2 and 5.
For certain securitized fixed maturity securities with contractual cash flows, including asset-backed securities, we use our best estimate of cash flows for the life of the security to determine whether there is an OTTI of the security. In addition, we review for other indicators of impairment as required by the Investments - Debt and Equity Securities Topic of the FASB ASC. Based on our evaluation of securities with an unrealized loss as ofDecember 31, 2011 , we do not believe that any additional OTTI, other than those already reflected in the financial statements, are necessary. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , there were AFS securities with gross unrealized losses totaling$1.1 billion , pre-tax, and prior to the effect of DAC, VOBA, DSI and other contract holder funds. As the discussion in Notes 1, 2 and 5 indicates, there are risks and uncertainties associated with determining whether declines in the fair value of investments are other-than-temporary. These include subsequent significant changes in general overall economic conditions, as well as specific business conditions affecting particular issuers, future financial market effects such as interest rate spreads, stability of foreign governments and economies, future rating agency actions and significant accounting, fraud or corporate governance issues that may adversely affect certain investments. In addition, there are often significant estimates and assumptions that we use to estimate the fair values of securities, including projections of expected future cash flows and pricing of private securities. We continually monitor developments and update underlying assumptions and financial models based upon new information. 49 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Write-downs and allowances for losses on select mortgage loans, real estate and other investments are established when the underlying value of the property is deemed to be less than the carrying value. All mortgage loans that are impaired have an established allowance for credit loss. Changing economic conditions affect our valuation of mortgage loans. Increasing vacancies, declining rents and the like are incorporated into the discounted cash flow analysis that we perform for monitored loans and may contribute to the establishment of (or an increase in) an allowance for credit losses. In addition, we continue to monitor the entire commercial mortgage loan portfolio to identify risk. Areas of emphasis include properties that have deteriorating credits or have experienced debt-service coverage and/or loan-to-value reduction. Where warranted, we have established or increased loss reserves based upon this analysis.
Derivatives
We use derivative instruments to manage a variety of equity market and interest rate risks that are inherent in many of our life insurance and annuity products. Assessing the effectiveness of these hedging programs and evaluating the carrying values of the related derivatives often involve a variety of assumptions and estimates. We use derivatives to hedge equity market risks, interest rate risk and foreign currency exposures that are embedded in our annuity and life insurance product liabilities or investment portfolios. Derivatives held as ofDecember 31, 2011 , contain industry standard terms. Our accounting policies for derivatives and the potential effect on interest spreads in a falling rate environment are discussed in "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk," Note 1 and Note 6. We measure our derivative instruments at fair value, which fluctuates from period to period due to the volatility of the inputs some of which are significantly affected by economic conditions. The effect to revenue is reported in realized gain (loss) and such amount along with the associated federal income taxes is excluded from income (loss) from operations of our segments. Subsequent to the adoption of the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topic of the FASB ASC, we did not make any material changes to valuation techniques or models used to determine the fair value of the liabilities we carry at fair value. As part of our on-going valuation process, we assess the reasonableness of all our valuation techniques or models and make adjustments as necessary. Our insurance liabilities that contain embedded derivatives are valued based on a stochastic projection of scenarios of the embedded derivative fees, benefits and expenses. The scenario assumptions, at each valuation date, are those we view to be appropriate for a hypothetical market participant and include assumptions for capital markets, actuarial lapse, benefit utilization, mortality, risk margin, administrative expenses and a margin for profit. In addition, anNPR component is determined at each valuation date that reflects our risk of not fulfilling the obligations of the underlying liability. The spread for theNPR is added to the discount rates used in determining the fair value from the net cash flows. We believe these assumptions are consistent with those that would be used by a market participant; however, as the related markets develop we will continue to reassess our assumptions. It is possible that different valuation techniques and assumptions could produce a materially different estimate of fair value.
Our future contract benefits (embedded derivatives) carried at fair value on a recurring basis are all classified as Level 3.
Changes of our future contract benefits carried at fair value and classified within Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy result from changes in market conditions, as well as changes in mix and increases and decreases in fair values as a result of those classifications. During 2011, there was a significant increase in future contract benefits classified as Level 3 of the fair value hierarchy due primarily to lower equity markets and increased volatility as compared to 2010. For more information, see Notes 1 and 21.
Guaranteed Living Benefits
We have a dynamic hedging strategy designed to mitigate selected risk and income statement volatility caused by changes in the equity markets, interest rates and market implied volatilities associated with the Lincoln SmartSecurity® Advantage guaranteed withdrawal benefit ("GWB") feature and our i4LIFE® Advantage and 4LATER® Advantage guaranteed income benefit ("GIB") features that are available in our variable annuity products. We have certain GLB variable annuity products with GWB and GIB features that are embedded derivatives. Certain features of these guarantees, notably our GIB, 4LATER® and Lincoln Lifetime IncomeSMAdvantage features, have elements of both insurance benefits accounted for under the Financial Services - Insurance - Claim Costs and Liabilities for Future Policy Benefits Subtopic of the FASB ASC ("benefit reserves") and embedded derivative reserves. We calculate the value of the embedded derivative reserve and the benefit reserve based on the specific characteristics of each GLB feature. In addition to mitigating selected risk and income statement volatility, the hedge program is also focused on a long-term goal of accumulating assets that could be used to pay claims under these benefits, recognizing that such claims are likely to begin no earlier than approximately a decade in the future. The hedging strategy is designed such that changes in the value of the hedge contracts move in the opposite direction of changes in GLB embedded derivative reserves. This dynamic hedging strategy utilizes options on U.S.-based equity indices, futures on U.S.- 50
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- based and international equity indices and variance swaps on U.S.-based equity indices, as well as interest rate futures and swaps. The notional amounts of the underlying hedge instruments are such that the magnitude of the change in the value of the hedge instruments due to changes in equity markets, interest rates and implied volatilities is designed to offset the magnitude of the change in the fair value of the GLB guarantees caused by those same factors. See "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking - Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" for information on how we determine ourNPR . As part of our current hedging program, equity market, interest rate and market implied volatility conditions are monitored on a daily basis. We rebalance our hedge positions based upon changes in these factors as needed. While we actively manage our hedge positions, these positions may not completely offset changes in the fair value embedded derivative reserve caused by movements in these factors due to, among other things, differences in timing between when a market exposure changes and corresponding changes to the hedge positions, extreme swings in the equity markets, interest rates and market implied volatilities, realized market volatility, contract holder behavior, divergence between the performance of the underlying funds and the hedging indices, divergence between the actual and expected performance of the hedge instruments or our ability to purchase hedging instruments at prices consistent with our desired risk and return trade-off. Approximately 48% of our variable annuity account values contained a GWB rider as ofDecember 31, 2011 . Declines in the equity markets increase our exposure to potential benefits under the GWB contracts, leading to an increase in our existing liability for those benefits. For example, a GWB contract is "in the money" if the contract holder's account balance falls below the guaranteed amount. As ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, 80% and 35% respectively, of all GWB in-force contracts were "in the money," and our exposure to the guaranteed amounts, after reinsurance, as ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, was$2.5 billion and$1.1 billion , respectively. Our exposure before reinsurance for these same periods was$2.7 billion and$1.2 billion , respectively. However, the only way the GWB contract holder can monetize the excess of the guaranteed amount over the account value of the contract is upon death or through a series of withdrawals that do not exceed a specific percentage per year of the guaranteed amount. If, after the series of withdrawals, the account value is exhausted, the contract holder will receive a series of annuity payments equal to the remaining guaranteed amount, and, for our lifetime GWB products, the annuity payments can continue beyond the guaranteed amount. The account value can also fluctuate with equity market returns on a daily basis resulting in increases or decreases in the excess of the guaranteed amount over account value. As a result of these factors, the ultimate amount to be paid by us related to GWB guarantees is uncertain and could be significantly more or less than$2.5 billion , net of reinsurance. Our fair value estimates of the GWB liabilities, which are based on detailed models of future cash flows under a wide range of market-consistent scenarios, reflect a more comprehensive view of the related factors and represent our best estimate of the present value of these potential liabilities. The market-consistent scenarios used in the determination of the fair value of the GWB liabilities are similar to those used by an investment bank to value derivatives for which the pricing is not transparent and the aftermarket is nonexistent or illiquid. In our calculation, risk-neutralMonte Carlo simulations resulting in over 35 million scenarios are utilized to value the entire block of guarantees. The market-consistent scenario assumptions, at each valuation date, are those we view to be appropriate for a hypothetical market participant. The market consistent inputs include assumptions for the capital markets (e.g., implied volatilities, correlation among indices, risk-free swap curve, etc.), policyholder behavior (e.g., policy lapse, benefit utilization, mortality, etc.), risk margins, administrative expenses and a margin for profit. We believe these assumptions are consistent with those that would be used by a market participant; however, as the related markets develop, we will continue to reassess our assumptions. It is possible that different valuation techniques and assumptions could produce a materially different estimate of fair value.
For information on our variable annuity hedge program performance, see our discussion in "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking - Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" below.
51 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The following table presents our estimates of the potential instantaneous effect to realized gain (loss), which could result from sudden changes that may occur in equity markets, interest rates and implied market volatilities (in millions) at the levels indicated in the table and excludes the net cost of operating the hedging program. The amounts represent the estimated difference between the change in the portion of GLB reserves that is calculated on a fair value basis and the change in the value of the underlying hedge instruments after the amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL and taxes. These effects do not include any estimate of retrospective or prospective unlocking that could occur, nor do they estimate any change in theNPR component of the GLB reserve or any estimate of effects to our GLB benefit ratio unlocking. These estimates are based upon the recorded reserves as ofDecember 30, 2011 , and the related hedge instruments in place as of that date. The effects presented in the table below are not representative of the aggregate impacts that could result if a combination of such changes to equity market returns, interest rates and implied volatilities occurred. In-Force Sensitivities Equity Market Return -20% -10% -5% 5%
Hypothetical effect to net income $ (60 ) $ (16 ) $ (4 ) $
(3 )
Interest Rates -50 bps -25 bps +25 bps +50
bps
Hypothetical effect to net income $ (14 ) $ (4 ) $ (1 ) $
(6 )
Implied Volatilities -4% -2% 2% 4%
Hypothetical effect to net income $ 16 $ 8 $ (9 ) $ (18 )
The following table shows the effect (dollars in millions) of indicated changes in instantaneous shifts in equity market returns, interest rate scenarios and market implied volatilities: Assumptions of Changes In Hypothetical Equity Interest Market Effect to Market Rate Implied Net Return Yields Volatilities Income Scenario 1 -5 % -12.5 bps +1 % $ (11 ) Scenario 2 -10 % -25.0 bps +2 % (36 ) Scenario 3 -20 % -50.0 bps +4 % (130 ) The actual effects of the results illustrated in the two tables above could vary significantly depending on a variety of factors, many of which are out of our control, and consideration should be given to the following:
· The analysis is only valid as of
conditions, contract holder activity, hedge positions and other factors;
· The analysis assumes instantaneous shifts in the capital market factors and no
ability to rebalance hedge positions prior to the market changes;
· The analysis assumes constant exchange rates and implied dividend yields;
· Assumptions regarding shifts in the market factors, such as assuming parallel
shifts in interest rate and implied volatility term structures, may be overly
simplistic and not indicative of actual market behavior in stress scenarios;
· It is very unlikely that one capital market sector (e.g., equity markets) will
sustain such a large instantaneous movement without affecting other capital
market sectors; and
· The analysis assumes that there is no tracking or basis risk between the funds
and/or indices affecting the GLB reserves and the instruments utilized to
hedge these exposures.
Standard & Poor's ("S&P") 500 Index® ("S&P 500") Benefits
Our indexed annuity and indexed UL contracts permit the holder to elect a fixed interest rate return or a return where interest credited to the contracts is linked to the performance of the S&P 500. Contract holders may elect to rebalance among the various accounts within the product at renewal dates, either annually or biannually. At the end of each 1-year or 2-year indexed term we have the opportunity to re-price the indexed component by establishing different caps, spreads or specified rates, subject to contractual guarantees. We purchase S&P 500 options that are highly correlated to the portfolio allocation decisions of our contract holders, such that we are economically hedged with respect to equity returns for the current reset period. The mark-to-market of the options held generally offsets the change in value of the embedded derivative within the indexed annuity, both of which are recorded as a component of realized gain (loss) on our Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss). The Derivatives and Hedging and the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topics of the FASB ASC require that we calculate fair values of index options we may purchase in the future to hedge contract holder index allocations in future reset periods. These fair values 52
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- represent an estimate of the cost of the options we will purchase in the future, discounted back to the date of the balance sheet, using current market indicators of volatility and interest rates. Changes in the fair values of these liabilities are included as a component of realized gain (loss) on our Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss). For information on our S&P 500 benefits hedging results, see our discussion in "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking" below.
Future Contract Benefits and Other Contract Holder Obligations
Reserves
Reserves are the amounts that, with the additional premiums to be received and interest thereon compounded annually at certain assumed rates, are calculated to be sufficient to meet the various policy and contract obligations as they mature. Establishing adequate reserves for our obligations to contract holders requires assumptions to be made regarding mortality and morbidity. The applicable insurance laws under which insurance companies operate require that they report, as liabilities, policy reserves to meet future obligations on their outstanding contracts. These laws specify that the reserves shall not be less than reserves calculated using certain specified mortality and morbidity tables, interest rates, and methods of valuation. The reserves reported in our financial statements contained herein are calculated in accordance with GAAP and differ from those specified by the laws of the various states and carried in the statutory financial statements of the life insurance subsidiaries. These differences arise from the use of mortality and morbidity tables, interest, persistency and other assumptions that we believe to be more representative of the expected experience for these contracts than those required for statutory accounting purposes and from differences in actuarial reserving methods. The assumptions on which reserves are based are intended to represent an estimation of experience for the period that policy benefits are payable. If actual experience is better than or equal to the assumptions, then reserves should be adequate to provide for future benefits and expenses. If experience is worse than the assumptions, additional reserves may be required. This would result in a charge to our net income during the period the increase in reserves occurred. The key experience assumptions include mortality rates, policy persistency and interest rates. We periodically review our experience and update our policy reserves for new issues and reserve for all claims incurred, as we believe appropriate. Guaranteed Death Benefits The reserves related to the GDB features available in our variable annuity products are based on the application of a "benefit ratio" (the present value of total expected benefit payments over the life of the contract divided by the present value of total expected assessments over the life of the contract) to total variable annuity assessments received in the period. The level and direction of the change in reserves will vary over time based on the emergence of the benefit ratio and the level of assessments associated with the variable annuity. We utilize a delta hedging strategy for variable annuity products with a GDB feature, which uses futures on U.S.-based equity market indices to hedge against movements in equity markets. The hedging strategy is designed such that changes in the value of the hedge contracts move in the opposite direction of equity market driven changes in the reserve for GDB contracts subject to the hedging strategy. Because the GDB reserves are based upon projected long-term equity market return assumptions, and because the value of the hedging contracts will reflect current capital market conditions, the quarterly changes in values for the GDB reserves and the hedging contracts may not exactly offset each other.
For information on our variable annuity hedge program performance, see our discussion in "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking - Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" below.
UL Products with Secondary Guarantees
We issue UL contracts where we contractually guarantee to the contract holder a secondary guarantee. The policy can remain in force, even if the base policy account value is zero, as long as contractual secondary guarantee requirements have been met. The reserves related to UL products with secondary guarantees are based on the application of a benefit ratio the same as our GDB features, which are discussed above. The level and direction of the change in reserves will vary over time based on the emergence of the benefit ratio and the level of assessments associated with the contracts. For more discussion, see "Results of Life Insurance." Contingencies Management establishes separate reserves for each contingent matter when it is deemed probable and can be reasonably estimated. The outcomes of contingencies, which relate to corporate litigation and regulatory matters, are inherently difficult to predict, and the reserves that have been established for the estimated settlement are subject to significant changes. It is possible that the ultimate cost to LNC, including the tax-deductibility of payments, could exceed the reserve by an amount that would have a 53 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- material adverse effect on our consolidated results of operations or cash flows in a particular quarterly or annual period. See Note 13 for more information on our contingencies.
Stock-Based Incentive Compensation
Determining the fair value of stock options at the grant date requires judgment, including estimates for the average risk-free interest rate, expected volatility, expected exercise behavior, expected dividend yield and expected forfeitures. If any of those assumptions differ significantly from actual, stock-based compensation expense could be affected, which could have a material effect on our consolidated results of operations in a particular quarterly or annual period. See Note 19 for more information on our stock-based incentive compensation plans. Income Taxes Management uses certain assumptions and estimates in determining the income taxes payable or refundable for the current year, the deferred income tax liabilities and assets for items recognized differently in its financial statements from amounts shown on its income tax returns, and the federal income tax expense. Determining these amounts requires analysis and interpretation of current tax laws and regulations. Management exercises considerable judgment in evaluating the amount and timing of recognition of the resulting income tax liabilities and assets. These judgments and estimates are re-evaluated on a continual basis as regulatory and business factors change. Legislative changes to the Internal Revenue Code of 1986, as amended, modification or new regulations, administrative rulings, or court decisions could increase our effective tax rate. The application of GAAP requires us to evaluate the recoverability of our deferred tax assets and establish a valuation allowance, if necessary, to reduce our deferred tax asset to an amount that is more likely than not to be realizable. Considerable judgment and the use of estimates are required in determining whether a valuation allowance is necessary, and if so, the amount of such valuation allowance. In evaluating the need for a valuation allowance, we consider many factors, including: the nature and character of the deferred tax assets and liabilities; taxable income in prior carryback years; future reversals of existing temporary differences; the length of time carryovers can be utilized; and any tax planning strategies we would employ to avoid a tax benefit from expiring unused. Although realization is not assured, management believes it is more likely than not that the deferred tax assets, including our capital loss deferred tax asset, will be realized. For additional information on our income taxes, see Note 7. Acquisitions and Dispositions
For information about acquisitions and divestitures, see Note 3.
54 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF CONSOLIDATED OPERATIONS
Details underlying the consolidated results, deposits, net flows and account values (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Net Income (Loss) Income (loss) from operations: Annuities $ 592 $ 484 $ 353 22 % 37 % Retirement Plan Services 167 154 133 8 % 16 % Life Insurance 604 513 569 18 % -10 % Group Protection 101 72 124 40 % -42 % Other Operations (146 ) (186 ) (237 ) 22 % 22 % Excluded realized gain (loss), after-tax (252 ) (95 ) (780 ) NM 88 % Gain (loss) on early extinguishment of debt, after-tax (5 ) (3 ) 42 -67 % NM
Income (expense) from reserve changes (net of related amortization) on business sold through reinsurance, after-tax
<pre> 2 2 2 0 % 0 % Impairment of intangibles, after-tax (747 ) - (710 ) NM 100 % Benefit ratio unlocking, after-tax (14 ) 10 89 NM -89 % Income (loss) from continuing operations, after-tax 302 951 (415 ) -68 % NM Income (loss) from discontinued operations, after-tax (8 ) 29 (70 ) NM 141 % Net income (loss) $ 294 $ 980 $ (485 ) -70 % NM For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Deposits Annuities $ 10,650 $ 10,667 $ 10,362 0 % 3 % Retirement Plan Services 5,566 5,301 4,952 5 % 7 % Life Insurance 5,393 4,934 4,451 9 % 11 % Total deposits $ 21,609 $ 20,902 $ 19,765 3 % 6 % Net Flows Annuities $ 2,191 $ 3,555 $ 3,893 -38 % -9 % Retirement Plan Services 504 (291 ) 995 273 % NM Life Insurance 3,683 3,057 2,421 20 % 26 % Total net flows $ 6,378 $ 6,321 $ 7,309 1 % -14 % As of December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Account Values Annuities $ 85,534 $ 84,848 $ 74,281 1 % 14 % Retirement Plan Services 39,133 38,824 35,302 1 % 10 % Life Insurance 35,278 33,585 31,744 5 % 6 % Total account values $ 159,945 $ 157,257 $ 141,327 2 % 11 % 55
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Comparison of 2011 to 2010
Net income decreased due primarily to goodwill impairment in our Life Insurance segment and media business during 2011 (see "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets" for more information).
The decrease in net income was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Positive net flows and more favorable average equity markets driving higher
average daily variable account values;
· Growth in business and interest crediting rate actions driving higher net
investment income and flat interest credited, partially offset by new money
rates averaging below portfolio yields;
· Higher legal expenses during 2010; and
· Higher EGPs on rider fees related to our products with living benefit
guarantees resulting in a lower DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL amortization rate.
Comparison of 2010 to 2009
Net income increased due primarily to the following:
· Market volatility, the corresponding increase in discount rates and lower
annuity sales leading to goodwill impairment in our Annuities segment during
2009; and declining results and forecasted advertising revenues for the entire
radio market leading to goodwill and
licenses impairment related to our radio clusters during 2009;
· Volatile capital markets during 2009 leading to realized losses;
· Positive net flows and more favorable average equity markets driving higher
average daily variable account values;
· More favorable investment income on alternative investments and higher
prepayment and bond makewhole premiums;
· The effect of unlocking during 2010 as compared to 2009;
· Income from discontinued operations during 2010 compared to loss from
discontinued operations during 2009, both related to our former
Investment Management segments; and
· Unfavorable adjustments during 2009 related to rescinding the reinsurance
agreement on certain disability income business sold to
America, Inc. ("Swiss Re").
The increase in net income was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Higher death claims in our Life Insurance segment, and unfavorable claims
incidence and termination experience in the long-term disability product line
in our Group Protection segment;
· Early extinguishing long-term debt resulting in a gain in 2009;
· Settlement of the Transamerica litigation matter during 2010; and
· Higher account values driving higher trail commissions.
56
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF ANNUITIES
Income (Loss) from Operations
Details underlying the results for Annuities (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Operating Revenues Insurance premiums (1) $ 74 $ 53 $ 89 40 % -40 % Insurance fees 1,247 1,098 841 14 % 31 % Net investment income 1,106 1,119 1,037 -1 % 8 % Operating realized gain (loss) 89 69 54 29 % 28 % Other revenues and fees (2) 349 315 280 11 % 13 % Total operating revenues 2,865 2,654 2,301 8 % 15 % Operating Expenses Interest credited 698 726 682 -4 % 6 % Benefits 213 174 242 22 % -28 % Underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses 1,248 1,168 983 7 % 19 % Total operating expenses 2,159 2,068 1,907 4 % 8 % Income (loss) from operations before taxes 706 586 394 20 % 49 % Federal income tax expense (benefit) 114 102 41 12 % 149 % Income (loss) from operations $ 592 $ 484 $ 353 22 % 37 %
(1) Includes primarily our single-premium immediate annuities ("SPIA"), which
have a corresponding offset in benefits for changes in reserves. (2) Consists primarily of fees attributable to broker-dealer services that are subject to market volatility.
Comparison of 2011 to 2010
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· Higher insurance fees attributable to more favorable average equity markets
driving higher average daily variable account values;
· More favorable tax return true-ups recorded in 2011 than in 2010 driven by the
separate account dividends-received deduction ("DRD") and other items; and
· Higher net investment income net of interest credited driven primarily by:
§ Actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates;
§ The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information);
§ Positive net flows and interest credited to contract holders driving higher
average fixed account values; and § An increase in surplus investments;
partially offset by:
§ New money rates averaging below our portfolio yields; and
§ Transfers from fixed to variable reducing average fixed account values; and
· Higher insurance premiums due to growth in our SPIA business.
The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Higher underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses due to:
§ Higher account values driving higher trail commissions; and § Investments in strategic initiatives related to updating information technology and expanding distribution and support during 2011;
partially offset by:
§ Higher EGPs on rider fees related to our products with living benefit guarantees resulting in a lower amortization rate; and
§ The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information); and 57
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· Higher benefits attributable to:
§ The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information); and § Growth in our SPIA business;
partially offset by:
§ More favorable average equity markets that reduced our expected GDB benefit
payments; and § Favorable mortality experience on SPIA.
Comparison of 2010 to 2009
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· Higher insurance fees attributable to more favorable average equity markets
driving higher average daily variable account values;
· Higher net investment income, partially offset by higher interest credited,
driven by:
§ Positive net flows and interest credited to contract holders, partially
offset by transfers from fixed to variable, driving higher average fixed
account values; § More favorable investment income on alternative investments within our
surplus portfolio, and higher prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (see
"Consolidated Investments - Alternative Investments" and "Consolidated Investments - Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below for more information); and
§ Holding less cash during 2010, and actions implemented to reduce interest
crediting rates; and
· Lower benefits attributable primarily to more favorable average equity markets
that reduced our expected GDB benefit payments.
The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Higher underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses due to:
§ Negative gross profits in total for certain cohorts during 2009 resulting in
a higher DAC and VOBA amortization rate during 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Amortization" for more
information); and § Higher account values driving higher trail commissions;
partially offset by:
§ The effect of unlocking in 2010 as compared to 2009 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information); and
· More favorable tax return true-ups recorded in 2009 than in 2010.
Additional Information
We are in the process of completing the planned conversion of our actuarial valuation systems to a uniform platform for certain blocks of business. See "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information.
We expect to continue making strategic investments during 2012 that will result in higher expenses.
New deposits are an important component of net flows and key to our efforts to grow our business. Although deposits do not significantly affect current period income from operations, they are an important indicator of future profitability. The other component of net flows relates to the retention of the business. An important measure of retention is the lapse rate, which compares the amount of withdrawals to the average account values. The overall lapse rate for our annuity products was 8%, 7% and 8% for 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Our fixed annuity business includes products with discretionary crediting rates that are reset on an annual basis and are not subject to surrender charges. Our ability to retain annual reset annuities will be subject to current competitive conditions at the time interest rates for these products reset. We expect to manage the effects of spreads on near-term income from operations through portfolio management and, to a lesser extent, crediting rate actions, which assumes no significant changes in net flows into or out of our fixed accounts or other changes that may cause interest rate spreads to differ from our expectations. For information on interest rate spreads and the interest rate risk due to falling interest rates, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Market Conditions - Changes in interest rates and sustained low interest rates may cause interest rate spreads to decrease and changes in interest rates may also result in increased contract withdrawals" and "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Interest Rate Risk - Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses - Falling Rates." 58 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We provide information about this segment's operating revenue and operating expense line items, the period in which amounts are recognized, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items and their associated drivers below. For detail on the operating realized gain (loss), see "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking" below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Insurance Fees
Details underlying insurance fees, account values and net flows (in millions) were as follows: For the Years EndedDecember 31 , Change Over Prior Year 2011
2010 2009 2011 2010 Insurance Fees Mortality, expense and other assessments
$ 1,258 $ 1,113 $ 860 13 % 29 % Surrender charges 34 37 36 -8 % 3 % DFEL: Deferrals (61 ) (75 ) (56 ) 19 % -34 %
Amortization, net of interest:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes 6 1 3 NM -67 % Retrospective unlocking (11 ) (1 ) 2 NM NM Amortization, net of interest, excluding unlocking 21 23 (4 ) -9 % NM Total insurance fees $ 1,247 $ 1,098 $ 841 14 % 31 % As of or for the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Account Value Information Variable annuity deposits, excluding the fixed portion of variable
$ 5,871 $ 5,099 $ 4,007 15 % 27 %
Net flows for variable annuities, excluding the fixed portion of variable
(396 ) 7 (27 ) NM 126 %
Change in market value on variable, excluding the fixed portion of variable
(2,296 ) 6,087 11,995 NM -49 %
Transfers to the variable portion of variable annuity products from the fixed portion of variable annuity products
2,844 3,396 2,475 -16 % 37 % Average daily variable annuity account values, excluding the fixed portion of variable 66,007 58,188 46,551 13 % 25 % Average daily S&P 500 1,268.03 1,138.78 947.53 11 % 20 % Variable annuity account values, excluding the fixed portion of variable 65,010 64,858 55,368 0 % 17 % We charge contract holders mortality and expense assessments on variable annuity accounts to cover insurance and administrative expenses. These assessments are a function of the rates priced into the product and the average daily variable account values. Average daily account values are driven by net flows and the equity markets. In addition, for our fixed annuity contracts and for some variable contracts, we collect surrender charges when contract holders surrender their contracts during their surrender charge periods to protect us from premature withdrawals. Insurance fees include charges on both our variable and fixed annuity products, but exclude the attributed fees on our GLB products; see "Realized Gain (Loss) and Benefit Ratio Unlocking - Operating Realized Gain (Loss)" below for discussion of these attributed fees. 59 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Net Investment Income and Interest Credited
Details underlying net investment income, interest credited (in millions) and our interest rate spread were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Net Investment Income Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
$ 975 $ 1,002 $ 955 -3 % 5 % Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (1) 27 23 5 17 % NM Alternative investments (2) 1 1 - 0 % NM Surplus investments (3) 103 93 77 11 % 21 %
Total net investment income $ 1,106 $ 1,119 $ 1,037 -1 % 8 % Interest Credited Amount provided to contract holders $ 697 $ 738 $ 730 -6 % 1 % DSI deferrals (39 ) (65 ) (75 ) 40 % 13 % Interest credited before DSI amortization 658 673 655 -2 % 3 %
DSI amortization:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes 2 3 - -33 % NM Retrospective unlocking (17 ) (7 ) (5 ) NM -40 % Amortization, excluding unlocking 55 57 32 -4 % 78 % Total interest credited $ 698 $ 726 $ 682 -4 % 6 %
(1) See "Consolidated Investments - Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond
Makewhole Premiums" below for additional information.
(2) See "Consolidated Investments - Alternative Investments" below for
additional information.
(3) Represents net investment income on the required statutory surplus for this
segment and includes the effect of investment income on alternative
investments for such assets that are held in the portfolios supporting
statutory surplus versus the portfolios supporting product liabilities. Basis Point Change For the Years Ended December 31, Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Interest Rate Spread Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
5.13 % 5.50 % 5.50 % (37 ) (0 ) Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums 0.14 % 0.13 % 0.03 % 1
10 Alternative investments
0.00 % 0.01 % 0.00 % (1 ) 1
Net investment income yield on reserves
5.27 % 5.64 % 5.53 % (37 ) 11
Interest rate credited to contract holders 3.33 % 3.52 % 3.77 % (19 ) (25 ) Interest rate spread 1.94 % 2.12 % 1.76 % (18 ) 36 60
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As of or for the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Other Information Fixed annuity deposits, including the fixed portion of variable
$ 4,779 $ 5,568 $ 6,355 -14 % -12 %
Net flows for fixed annuities, including the fixed portion of variable
2,587 3,548 3,920 -27 % -9 %
Transfers from the fixed portion of variable annuity products to the variable portion of variable annuity products
(2,844 ) (3,396 ) (2,475 ) 16 % -37 % Average invested assets on reserves 19,071 18,248 17,363 5 % 5 % Average fixed account values, including the fixed portion of variable 20,728 20,029 18,249 3 % 10 % Fixed annuity account values, including the fixed portion of variable 20,524 19,990 18,913 3 % 6 % A portion of our investment income earned is credited to the contract holders of our fixed annuity products, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts. We expect to earn a spread between what we earn on the underlying general account investments supporting the fixed annuity product line, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts, and what we credit to our fixed annuity contract holders' accounts, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts. Changes in commercial mortgage loan prepayments and bond makewhole premiums, investment income on alternative investments and surplus investment income can vary significantly from period to period due to a number of factors and, therefore, may contribute to investment income results that are not indicative of the underlying trends.
Benefits
Details underlying benefits (dollars in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Benefits Prospective unlocking - assumption changes $ 43 $ (3 ) $ 7 NM NM Net death and other benefits, excluding unlocking 170 177 235 -4 % -25 % Total benefits $ 213 $ 174 $ 242 22 % -28 % Benefits for this segment include changes in reserves of immediate annuity account values driven by premiums, changes in benefit reserves and our expected costs associated with purchases of derivatives used to hedge our benefit ratio unlocking. 61
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Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses
Details underlying underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses Commissions: Deferrable $ 466 $ 474 $ 463 -2 % 2 % Non-deferrable 260 223 165 17 % 35 % General and administrative expenses 360 337 317 7 % 6 %
Inter-segment reimbursement associated with reserve financing and LOC expenses (1)
(2 ) (1 ) 1 -100 % NM Taxes, licenses and fees 21 20 20 5 % 0 % Total expenses incurred, excluding broker-dealer 1,105 1,053 966 5 % 9 % DAC deferrals (618 ) (624 ) (624 ) 1 % 0 %
Total pre-broker-dealer expenses incurred, excluding
amortization, net of interest 487 429 342 14 % 25 %
DAC and VOBA amortization, net of interest
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes (13 ) (41 ) 10 68 % NM Prospective unlocking - model refinements - 9 - -100 % NM Retrospective unlocking (114 ) (84 ) (19 ) -36 % NM Amortization, net of interest, excluding unlocking 535 535 360 0 % 49 % Broker-dealer expenses incurred 353 320 290 10 % 10 % Total underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses $ 1,248 $ 1,168 $ 983 7 % 19 % DAC Deferrals As a percentage of sales/deposits 5.8 % 5.8 % 6.0 %
(1) Represents reimbursements to the Annuities segment from the Life Insurance
segment for reserve financing, net of expenses incurred for this segment's
use of letters of credit ("LOCs").
Commissions and other costs that vary with and are related primarily to the production of new business are deferred to the extent recoverable and are amortized over the lives of the contracts in relation to EGPs. Certain of our commissions, such as trail commissions that are based on account values, are expensed as incurred rather than deferred and amortized.
Broker-dealer expenses that vary with and are related to sales are expensed as incurred and not deferred and amortized. Fluctuations in these expenses correspond with fluctuations in other revenues and fees.
62 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF RETIREMENT PLAN SERVICES
Income (Loss) from Operations
Details underlying the results for Retirement Plan Services (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Operating Revenues Insurance fees $ 210 $ 201 $ 183 4 % 10 % Net investment income 793 769 732 3 % 5 % Other revenues and fees (1) 14 18 11 -22 % 64 % Total operating revenues 1,017 988 926 3 % 7 % Operating Expenses Interest credited 437 440 445 -1 % -1 % Benefits 2 2 (3 ) 0 % 167 % Underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses 344 332 301 4 % 10 % Total operating expenses 783 774 743 1 % 4 % Income (loss) from operations before taxes 234 214 183 9 % 17 % Federal income tax expense (benefit) 67 60 50 12 % 20 % Income (loss) from operations $ 167 $ 154 $ 133 8 % 16 %
(1) Consists primarily of mutual fund account program fees for mid to large
employers. Comparison of 2011 to 2010
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· Higher net investment income and relatively flat interest credited driven by:
§ Transfers from variable to fixed and interest credited to contract holders
driving higher average fixed account values;
§ Higher prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (see "Consolidated Investments -
Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below for
more information); and § Actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates;
partially offset by:
§ Negative net flows reducing average fixed account values; and § New money rates averaging below our portfolio yields; and
· Higher insurance fees attributable to more favorable average equity markets
driving higher average daily variable account values, partially offset by an
overall shift in business mix toward products with lower expense assessment
rates and negative variable net flows.
The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by higher underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses attributable to the following:
· Investments in strategic initiatives related to updating information
technology and expanding distribution and support during 2011; and
· Higher account values driving higher trail commissions;
partially offset by: · A lower amortization rate during 2011 due primarily to no VOBA amortization as
our VOBA balance became fully amortized during the fourth quarter of 2010; and
· The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information). 63
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Comparison of 2010 to 2009
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· Higher net investment income and relatively flat interest credited driven by:
§ Transfers from variable to fixed and interest credited to contract holders,
partially offset by negative net flows, driving higher average fixed account
values; § Actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates;
§ More favorable investment income on alternative investments within our surplus
portfolio and higher prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (see "Consolidated
Investments - Alternative Investments" and "Consolidated Investments -
Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below for
more information); and § Holding less cash during 2010; and
· Higher insurance fees attributable to more favorable average equity markets
driving higher average daily variable account values, partially offset by an
overall shift in business mix toward products with lower expense assessment
rates.
The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by higher underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses attributable to the following:
· Investments in strategic initiatives related to updating information
technology and expanding distribution during 2010; and
· Higher account values driving higher trail commissions;
partially offset by: · An overall shift in business mix toward products with lower deferrable expense
rates resulting in a lower amortization rate during 2010.
Additional Information
We expect to continue making strategic investments during 2012 to improve our infrastructure and product offerings that will result in higher expenses.
Net flows in this business fluctuate based on the timing of larger plans rolling onto our platform and rolling off over the course of the year, and we expect this trend will continue during 2012. New deposits are an important component of net flows and key to our efforts to grow our business. Although deposits do not significantly affect current period income from operations, they are an important indicator of future profitability. The other component of net flows relates to the retention of the business. An important measure of retention is the lapse rate, which compares the amount of withdrawals to the average account values. The overall lapse rate for our annuity and mutual fund products was 13%, 15% and 13% for 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Our lapse rate is negatively affected by the continued net outflows from our oldest blocks of annuities business (as presented on our Account Value Roll Forward table below as "Total Multi-Fund® and Other Variable Annuities"), which are also our higher margin product lines in this segment, due to the fact that they are mature blocks with much of the account values out of their surrender charge period. The proportion of these products to our total account values was 40%, 42% and 45% for 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively. Due to this expected overall shift in business mix toward products with lower returns, a significant increase in new deposit production will be necessary to maintain earnings at current levels. Our fixed annuity business includes products with discretionary and index-based crediting rates that are reset on a quarterly basis. Our ability to retain quarterly reset annuities will be subject to current competitive conditions at the time interest rates for these products reset. We expect to manage the effects of spreads on near-term income from operations through portfolio management and, to a lesser extent, crediting rate actions, which assumes no significant changes in net flows into or out of our fixed accounts or other changes that may cause interest rate spreads to differ from our expectations. For information on interest rate spreads and the interest rate risk due to falling interest rates, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Market Conditions - Changes in interest rates and sustained low interest rates may cause interest rate spreads to decrease and changes in interest rates may also result in increased contract withdrawals" and "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Interest Rate Risk - Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses - Falling Rates." We provide information about this segment's operating revenue and operating expense line items, the period in which amounts are recognized, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items and their associated drivers below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above. 64 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Insurance Fees
Details underlying insurance fees, account values and net flows (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Insurance Fees Annuity expense assessments $ 178 $ 172 $ 157 3 % 10 % Mutual fund fees 30 26 22 15 % 18 % Total expense assessments 208 198 179 5 % 11 % Surrender charges 2 3 4 -33 % -25 % Total insurance fees $ 210 $ 201 $ 183 4 % 10 % 65
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For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Account Value Roll Forward - By Product Total Micro - Small Segment: Balance as of beginning-of-year $ 6,396 $ 5,863 $ 4,888 9 % 20 % Gross deposits 1,301 1,242 1,157 5 % 7 % Withdrawals and deaths (1,402 ) (1,377 ) (1,273 ) -2 % -8 % Net flows (101 ) (135 ) (116 ) 25 % -16 % Transfers between fixed and variable accounts 5 4 (2 ) 25 % 300 % Investment increase and change in market value (139 ) 664 1,093 NM -39 % Balance as of end-of-year $ 6,161 $ 6,396 $ 5,863 -4 % 9 % Total Mid - Large Segment: Balance as of beginning-of-year $ 16,207 $ 13,653 $ 9,540 19 % 43 % Gross deposits 3,563 3,308 2,954 8 % 12 % Withdrawals and deaths (2,095 ) (2,558 ) (1,110 ) 18 % NM Net flows 1,468 750 1,844 96 % -59 % Transfers between fixed and variable accounts (68 ) 16 12 NM 33 % Other (1) - 186 - -100 % NM Investment increase and change in market value (166 ) 1,602 2,257 NM -29 % Balance as of end-of-year $ 17,441 $ 16,207 $ 13,653 8 % 19 % Total Multi-Fund® and Other Variable Annuities: Balance as of beginning-of-year $ 16,221 $ 15,786 $ 14,450 3 % 9 % Gross deposits 702 751 841 -7 % -11 % Withdrawals and deaths (1,565 ) (1,657 ) (1,574 ) 6 % -5 % Net flows (863 ) (906 ) (733 ) 5 % -24 % Transfers between fixed and variable accounts - - (1 ) NM 100 % Investment increase and change in market value 173 1,341 2,070 -87 % -35 % Balance as of end-of-year $ 15,531 $ 16,221 $ 15,786 -4 % 3 % Total Annuities and Mutual Funds: Balance as of beginning-of-year $ 38,824 $ 35,302 $ 28,878 10 % 22 % Gross deposits 5,566 5,301 4,952 5 % 7 % Withdrawals and deaths (5,062 ) (5,592 ) (3,957 ) 9 % -41 % Net flows 504 (291 ) 995 273 % NM Transfers between fixed and variable accounts (63 ) 20 9 NM 122 % Other (1) - 186 - -100 % NM Investment increase and change in market value (132 ) 3,607 5,420 NM -33 % Balance as of end-of-year (2) $ 39,133 $ 38,824 $ 35,302 1 % 10 %
(1) Represents
that were not previously included in the account value roll
forward. Effective
activity was included in the account value roll forward. (2) Includes mutual fund account values and other third-party trustee-held assets. These items are not included in the separate accounts reported on
our Consolidated Balance Sheets as we do not have any ownership interest in
them. 66
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As of or for the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Account Value Information Variable annuity deposits, excluding the fixed portion of variable
$ 1,615 $ 1,614 $ 1,586 0 % 2 %
Net flows for variable annuities, excluding the fixed portion of variable
(497 ) (544 ) (302 ) 9 % -80 %
Change in market value on variable, excluding the fixed portion of variable
(280 ) 1,687 2,843 NM -41 %
Transfers from the variable portion of variable annuity products to the fixed portion of variable annuity products
(283 ) (169 ) (176 ) -67 % 4 % Average daily variable annuity account values, excluding the fixed portion of variable 13,611 12,930 11,315 5 % 14 % Average daily S&P 500 1,268.03 1,138.78 947.53 11 % 20 % Variable annuity account values, excluding the fixed portion of variable 12,867 13,927 12,953 -8 % 8 % We charge expense assessments to cover insurance and administrative expenses. Expense assessments are generally equal to a percentage of the daily variable account values. Average daily account values are driven by net flows and the equity markets. Our expense assessments include fees we earn for the services that we provide to our mutual fund programs. In addition, for both our fixed and variable annuity contracts, we collect surrender charges when contract holders surrender their contracts during the surrender charge periods to protect us from premature withdrawals.
Net Investment Income and Interest Credited
Details underlying net investment income, interest credited (in millions) and our interest rate spread were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Net Investment Income Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
$ 719 $ 705 $ 681 2 % 4 % Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (1) 21 9 5 133 % 80 % Alternative investments (2) 1 3 1 -67 % 200 % Surplus investments (3) 52 52 45 0 % 16 %
Total net investment income $ 793
$ 769 $ 732 3 % 5 % Interest Credited $ 437 $ 440 $ 445 -1 % -1 %
(1) See "Consolidated Investments - Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond
Makewhole Premiums" below for additional information.
(2) See "Consolidated Investments - Alternative Investments" below for
additional information.
(3) Represents net investment income on the required statutory surplus for this
segment and includes the effect of investment income on alternative
investments for such assets that are held in the portfolios supporting
statutory surplus versus the portfolios supporting product liabilities.
67 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Basis Point Change For the Years Ended December 31, Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Interest Rate Spread Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses 5.53 %
5.70 % 5.76 % (17 ) (6 ) Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums
0.16 % 0.08 % 0.04 % 8 4 Alternative investments 0.01 % 0.02 % 0.01 % (1 ) 1 Net investment income yield on reserves 5.70 % 5.80 % 5.81 % (10 ) (1 ) Interest rate credited to contract holders 3.32 % 3.49 % 3.70 % (17 ) (21 ) Interest rate spread 2.38 % 2.31 % 2.11 % 7 20 As of or for the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Other Information Fixed annuity deposits, including the fixed portion of variable
$ 1,436 $ 1,332 $ 1,342 8 % -1 %
Net flows for fixed annuities, including the fixed portion of variable
(106 ) (347 ) (62 ) 69 % NM
Transfers to the fixed portion of variable annuity products from the variable portion of variable annuity products
283 169 176 67 % -4 % Average invested assets on reserves 12,988 12,360 11,815 5 % 5 % Average fixed account values, including the fixed portion of variable 13,168 12,580 12,024 5 % 5 % Fixed annuity account values, including the fixed portion of variable 13,630 12,779 12,246 7 % 4 % A portion of our investment income earned is credited to the contract holders of our fixed annuity products, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts. We expect to earn a spread between what we earn on the underlying general account investments supporting the fixed annuity product line, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts, and what we credit to our fixed annuity contract holders' accounts, including the fixed portion of variable annuity contracts. Commercial mortgage loan prepayments and bond makewhole premiums, investment income on alternative investments and surplus investment income can vary significantly from period to period due to a number of factors and, therefore, may contribute to investment income results that are not indicative of the underlying trends.
Benefits
Benefits for this segment include changes in benefit reserves and our expected costs associated with purchases of derivatives used to hedge our benefit ratio unlocking. 68
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Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses
Details underlying underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses Commissions: Deferrable $ 22 $ 27 $ 28 -19 % -4 % Non-deferrable 45 38 36 18 % 6 % General and administrative expenses 273 242 221 13 % 10 % Taxes, licenses and fees 13 13 12 0 % 8 % Total expenses incurred 353 320 297 10 % 8 % DAC deferrals (69 ) (67 ) (69 ) -3 % 3 %
Total expenses recognized before amortization 284 253 228 12 % 11 %
DAC and VOBA amortization, net of interest:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes - (16 ) (8 ) 100 % -100 % Prospective unlocking - model refinements 3 8 - -63 % NM Retrospective unlocking (15 ) 4 2 NM 100 % Amortization, net of interest, excluding unlocking 72 83 79 -13 % 5 % Total underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses $ 344 $ 332 $ 301 4 % 10 % DAC Deferrals As a percentage of annuity sales/deposits 2.3 %
2.3 % 2.4 %
Commissions and other costs that vary with and are related primarily to the sale of annuity contracts are deferred to the extent recoverable and are amortized over the lives of the contracts in relation to EGPs. Certain of our commissions, such as trail commissions that are based on account values, are expensed as incurred rather than deferred and amortized. We do not pay commissions on sales of our mutual fund products, and distribution expenses associated with the sale of these mutual fund products are expensed as incurred. 69 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF LIFE INSURANCE
Income (Loss) from Operations
Details underlying the results for Life Insurance (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Operating Revenues Insurance premiums $ 441 $ 439 $ 392 0 % 12 % Insurance fees 1,979 1,934 1,901 2 % 2 % Net investment income 2,294 2,186 1,975 5 % 11 % Other revenues and fees 25 31 27 -19 % 15 % Total operating revenues 4,739 4,590 4,295 3 % 7 % Operating Expenses Interest credited 1,235 1,199 1,185 3 % 1 % Benefits 1,669 1,734 1,373 -4 % 26 % Underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses 948 908 923 4 % -2 % Total operating expenses 3,852 3,841 3,481 0 % 10 % Income (loss) from operations before taxes 887 749 814 18 % -8 % Federal income tax expense (benefit) 283 236 245 20 % -4 % Income (loss) from operations $ 604 $ 513 $ 569 18 % -10 % Comparison of 2011 to 2010
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· Higher net investment income, only partially offset by higher interest
credited attributable to: § Growth in business in force; and § Actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates;
partially offset by:
§ New money rates averaging below our portfolio yields;
· Lower benefits attributable primarily to:
§ The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information); partially offset by: § Higher death claims; and § Model refinements and continued growth in our secondary guarantee life insurance business; and
· Higher insurance fees due to growth in insurance in force, partially offset by
the effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information).
The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by an increase in underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other underwriting expenses attributable to:
· The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information);
· Higher pricing of reserve financing transactions supporting our secondary
guarantee UL and term business in reaction to the unfavorable market
conditions experienced during the recession and our continued efforts to
reduce the strain of these statutory reserves (see "Strategies to Address
Statutory Reserve Strain" below for more information); and
· The effect of the inter-company reinsurance agreement effective December 31,
2010. 70
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Comparison of 2010 to 2009
Income from operations for this segment decreased due primarily to the following:
· Higher benefits attributable to:
§ The effect of unlocking in 2010 as compared to 2009 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information); § Higher death claims;
§ Harmonizing certain processes resulting in an increase in traditional product
reserves; and
§ Continued growth in our secondary guarantee life insurance business; and
· More favorable tax return true-ups recorded in 2009 than in 2010.
The decrease in income from operations was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Higher net investment income and relatively flat interest credited
attributable to: § More favorable investment income on alternative investments and higher prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (see "Consolidated Investments -
Alternative Investments" and "Consolidated Investments - Commercial Mortgage
Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below); § Growth in business in force; and § Actions implemented to reduce interest crediting rates; and
· Lower underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses attributable to:
§ The effect of unlocking in 2010 as compared to 2009 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information);
partially offset by:
§ Reducing projected EGPs for this segment (discussed in "Additional Information" below) resulting in a higher amortization rate; and
§ Higher pricing of reserve financing transactions supporting our secondary
guarantee UL and term business in reaction to the unfavorable market
conditions experienced during the recession and our continued efforts to
reduce the strain of these statutory reserves (see "Strategies to Address
Statutory Reserve Strain" below for more information).
Strategies to Address Statutory Reserve Strain
Our insurance subsidiaries have statutory surplus and RBC levels above current regulatory required levels. Products containing secondary guarantees require reserves calculated under AG38. Our insurance subsidiaries are employing strategies to reduce the strain of increasing AG38 and Valuation of Life Insurance Policies Model Regulation ("XXX") statutory reserves associated with secondary guarantee UL and term products. As discussed below, we have been successful in executing reinsurance solutions to release capital to Other Operations. We expect to regularly execute transactions designed to release capital as we continue to sell products that are subject to these reserving requirements. We also plan to refinance prior transactions with long-term structured solutions. Included in the LOCs issued as of December 31, 2011 , and reported in the credit facilities table in Note 12, was approximately $2.0 billion of long-dated LOCs issued to support inter-company reinsurance arrangements, of which approximately $200 million and $1.0 billion was issued for UL business with secondary guarantees through 2015 and 2031, respectively, and approximately $800 million was issued for term business through 2023. We have also used the proceeds from senior note issuances of approximately $1.1 billion to execute long-term structured solutions supporting secondary guarantee UL and term business. LOCs and related capital market alternatives lower the capital effect of secondary guarantee UL products. An inability to obtain the necessary LOC capacity or other capital market alternatives could affect our returns on our in-force secondary guarantee UL business. However, we believe that our insurance subsidiaries have sufficient capital to support the increase in statutory reserves, based on our current reserve projections, if such structures are not available. See "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Legislative, Regulatory and Tax - Changes to the calculation of reserves and attempts to mitigate the impact of Regulation XXX and Actuarial Guideline 38 may fail in whole or in part resulting in an adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations" for further information on XXX and AG38 reserves. See the table in "Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses" below for the presentation of our expenses associated with reserve financing.
Additional Information
We are in the process of completing the planned conversion of our actuarial valuation systems to a uniform platform for certain blocks of business. See "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more information.
We expect to continue making strategic investments during 2012 that will result in higher expenses.
71 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We expect to manage the effects of spreads on near-term income from operations through portfolio management and, to a lesser extent, crediting rate actions, which assumes no significant changes in net flows into or out of our fixed accounts or other changes that may cause interest rate spreads to differ from our expectations. During the third quarter of 2010, we lowered our new money investment yield assumption. This assumption revision had the effect of lowering the projected EGPs for this segment, thereby increasing our rate of amortization, which results in higher DAC, VOBA and DFEL amortization and lower earnings for this segment. For information on interest rate spreads and the interest rate risk due to falling interest rates, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Market Conditions - Changes in interest rates and sustained low interest rates may cause interest rate spreads to decrease and changes in interest rates may also result in increased contract withdrawals" and "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Interest Rate Risk - Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses - Falling Rates." Sales are not recorded as a component of revenues (other than for traditional products) and do not have a significant effect on current quarter income from operations but are indicators of future profitability. Generally, we have higher sales during the second half of the year with the fourth quarter being our strongest. However, we face conditions in the marketplace as discussed in "Introduction - Executive Summary - Current Market Conditions" above that may challenge our sales volume in 2012. For example, we are implementing pricing changes to our products that reflect the current low interest rate environment that we believe will lower our sales volumes and could potentially reduce our market share until competitive conditions change. We provide information about this segment's operating revenue and operating expense line items, the period in which amounts are recognized, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items and their associated drivers below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Insurance Premiums
Insurance premiums relate to traditional products and are a function of the rates priced into the product and the level of insurance in force. Insurance in force, in turn, is driven by sales, persistency and mortality experience.
Insurance Fees
Details underlying insurance fees, sales, net flows, account values and in-force face amount (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Insurance Fees Mortality assessments $ 1,312 $ 1,287 $ 1,299 2 % -1 % Expense assessments 935 844 759 11 % 11 % Surrender charges 96 100 112 -4 % -11 % DFEL: Deferrals (483 ) (472 ) (439 ) -2 % -8 %
Amortization, net of interest:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes (11 ) 56 20 NM 180 % Prospective unlocking - model refinements (26 ) (56 ) - 54 % NM Retrospective unlocking (4 ) 24 15 NM 60 % Amortization, net of interest, excluding unlocking 160 151 135 6 % 12 % Total insurance fees $ 1,979 $ 1,934 $ 1,901 2 % 2 % 72
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For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Sales by Product UL: Excluding MoneyGuard® $
317 $ 353 $ 397 -10 % -11 % MoneyGuard® 186 108 67 72 % 61 % Total UL 503 461 464 9 % -1 % VUL 50 43 36 16 % 19 % COLI and BOLI 92 63 51 46 % 24 % Term 55 70 59 -21 % 19 % Total sales $ 700 $ 637 $ 610 10 % 4 % Net Flows Deposits $ 5,393 $ 4,934 $ 4,451 9 % 11 % Withdrawals and deaths (1,710 ) (1,877 ) (2,030 ) 9 % 8 % Net flows $ 3,683 $ 3,057 $ 2,421 20 % 26 % Contract holder assessments $ 3,286 $ 3,119 $ 2,996 5 % 4 % As of December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Account Values UL (1) $ 28,052 $ 26,199 $ 24,994 7 % 5 % VUL (1) 4,929 5,108 4,468 -4 % 14 % Interest-sensitive whole life 2,297 2,278 2,282 1 % 0 % Total account values $ 35,278 $ 33,585 $ 31,744 5 % 6 % In-Force Face Amount UL and other (1) $ 307,900 $ 297,837 $ 291,879 3 % 2 % Term insurance (2) 271,931 265,154 248,726 3 % 7 % Total in-force face amount $ 579,831 $ 562,991 $ 540,605 3 % 4 %
(1) Effective with the
policies to a third party, UL and VUL account values were reduced by $938
million and
force was reduced by
(2) Excludes
assumption of the mortality risk effective
business mentioned in footnote one above.
Insurance fees relate only to interest-sensitive products and include mortality assessments, expense assessments (net of deferrals and amortization related to DFEL) and surrender charges. Mortality and expense assessments are deducted from our contract holders' account values. These amounts are a function of the rates priced into the product and premiums received, face amount in force and account values. Insurance in force, in turn, is driven by sales, persistency and mortality experience. In-force growth should be considered independently with respect to term products versus UL and other products, as term products have a lower profitability relative to face amount compared to interest-sensitive and other products.
Sales in the table above and as discussed above were reported as follows:
· UL (excluding linked-benefit products) and VUL (including COLI and BOLI) -
first year commissionable premiums plus 5% of excess premiums received,
including an adjustment for internal replacements of approximately 50% of
commissionable premiums;
· MoneyGuard® (our linked-benefit product) - 15% of premium deposits; and
· Term - 100% of first year paid premiums.
UL and VUL products with secondary guarantees represented approximately 38% of interest-sensitive life insurance in force as ofDecember 31, 2011 , and approximately 43% of sales for 2011. Changes in the marketplace and product focuses are resulting in a shift in our business mix away from products with secondary guarantees to accumulation products like Indexed UL, VUL, and 73 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- COLI. For example, during the fourth quarter of 2011, UL and VUL products with secondary guarantees represented only 29% of sales. Actuarial Guideline 37, or Variable Life Reserves for Guaranteed Minimum Death Benefits, and AG38 impose additional statutory reserve requirements for these products.
Net Investment Income and Interest Credited
Details underlying net investment income, interest credited (in millions) and our interest rate spread were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Net Investment Income Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
$ 2,092 $ 2,000 $ 1,942 5 % 3 % Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (1) 23 30 12 -23 % 150 % Alternative investments (2) 62 49 (69 ) 27 % 171 % Surplus investments (3) 117 107 90 9 % 19 %
Total net investment income $ 2,294
$ 2,186 $ 1,975 5 % 11 % Interest Credited $ 1,235 $ 1,199 $ 1,185 3 % 1 %
(1) See "Consolidated Investments - Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond
Makewhole Premiums" below for additional information.
(2) See "Consolidated Investments - Alternative Investments" below for
additional information.
(3) Represents net investment income on the required statutory surplus for this
segment and includes the effect of investment income on alternative
investments for such assets that are held in the portfolios supporting
statutory surplus versus the portfolios supporting product liabilities. Basis Point Change For the Years Ended December 31, Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Interest Rate Yields and Spread Attributable to interest-sensitive products: Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
5.79 % 5.87 % 5.93 % (8 ) (6 ) Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums
0.07 % 0.09 % 0.04 % (2 ) 5 Alternative investments
0.19 % 0.17 % -0.25 % 2 42 Net investment income yield on reserves
6.05 % 6.13 % 5.72 % (8 ) 41 Interest rate credited to contract holders
4.08 % 4.16 % 4.23 % (8 ) (7 )
Interest rate spread
1.97 % 1.97 % 1.49 % (0 ) 48
Attributable to traditional products: Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses
5.90 % 6.12 % 5.99 % (22 ) 13 Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums
0.03 % 0.07 % 0.01 % (4 ) 6 Alternative investments
0.01 % 0.02 % 0.00 % (1 ) 2
Net investment income yield on reserves 5.94 % 6.21 % 6.00 % (27 ) 21 74
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For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Averages Attributable to interest-sensitive products: Invested assets on reserves (1) $ 31,752 $ 29,391 $ 27,824 8 % 6 % Account values - universal and whole life (1) 30,066 28,465 27,674 6 % 3 % Attributable to traditional products: Invested assets on reserves 4,297 4,465 4,896 -4 % -9 %
(1) We experienced declines in our average invested assets on reserves and
account values attributable to interest-sensitive products subsequent to the
transfer of certain life insurance policies to a third party, which reduced
these balances by
2009. A portion of the investment income earned for this segment is credited to contract holder accounts. Invested assets will typically grow at a faster rate than account values because of the AG38 reserve requirements, which cause statutory reserves to grow at a faster rate than account values. Invested assets are based upon the statutory reserve liabilities and are therefore affected by various reserve adjustments, including capital transactions providing relief from AG38 reserve requirements, which leads to a transfer of invested assets from this segment to Other Operations for use in other corporate purposes. We expect to earn a spread between what we earn on the underlying general account investments and what we credit to our contract holders' accounts. We use our investment income to offset the earnings effect of the associated build of our policy reserves for traditional products. Commercial mortgage loan prepayments and bond makewhole premiums and investment income on alternative investments can vary significantly from period to period due to a number of factors, and, therefore, may contribute to investment income results that are not indicative of the underlying trends. Benefits
Details underlying benefits (dollars in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Benefits Death claims direct and assumed $ 2,847 $ 2,538 $ 2,260 12 % 12 % Death claims ceded (1,368 ) (1,154 ) (993 ) -19 % -16 % Reserves released on death (452 ) (433 ) (394 ) -4 % -10 % Net death benefits 1,027 951 873 8 % 9 %
Change in secondary guarantee life insurance product reserves:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes (297 ) 84 (3 ) NM NM Prospective unlocking - model refinements 155 71 - 118 % NM Change in reserves, excluding unlocking 467 306 249 53 % 23 %
Other benefits:
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes 33 - - NM NM Other benefits, excluding unlocking (1) 284 322 254 -12 % 27 % Total benefits $ 1,669 $ 1,734 $ 1,373 -4 % 26 % Death claims per $1,000 of in-force 1.80 1.72 1.63 5 % 6 %
(1) Includes primarily traditional product changes in reserves and dividends.
Benefits for this segment includes claims incurred during the period in excess of the associated reserves for its interest-sensitive and traditional products. In addition, benefits includes the change in secondary guarantee life insurance product reserves. The reserve for secondary guarantees is affected by changes in expected future trends of expense assessments causing unlocking adjustments to this liability similar to DAC, VOBA and DFEL. 75 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses
Details underlying underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses Commissions
$ 678 $ 664 $ 676 2 % -2 % General and administrative expenses 473 451 451 5 % 0 % Expenses associated with reserve financing 57 37 6 54 % NM Taxes, licenses and fees 145 129 115 12 % 12 % Total expenses incurred 1,353 1,281 1,248 6 % 3 % DAC and VOBA deferrals (948 ) (915 ) (900 ) -4 % -2 %
Total expenses recognized before amortization 405 366 348 11 % 5 %
DAC and VOBA amortization, net of interest
Prospective unlocking - assumption changes 215 129 33 67 % 291 % Prospective unlocking - model refinements (219 ) (155 ) - -41 % NM Retrospective unlocking 12 28 42 -57 % -33 % Amortization, net of interest, excluding unlocking 531 536 496 -1 % 8 % Other intangible amortization 4 4 4 0 % 0 % Total underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses $ 948 $ 908 $ 923 4 % -2 % DAC and VOBA Deferrals As a percentage of sales 135.4 % 143.6 % 147.5 % Commissions and other general and administrative expenses that vary with and are related primarily to the production of new business are deferred to the extent recoverable and for our interest-sensitive products are generally amortized over the lives of the contracts in relation to EGPs. For our traditional products, DAC and VOBA are amortized on either a straight-line basis or as a level percent of premium of the related contracts, depending on the block of business. When comparing DAC and VOBA deferrals as a percentage of sales for 2011 to 2010 and for 2010 to 2009, the decrease is primarily a result of incurred deferrable commissions declining at a rate higher than sales attributable primarily to changes in sales mix to products with lower commission rates. 76 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF GROUP PROTECTION
Income (Loss) from Operations
Details underlying the results for Group Protection (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Operating Revenues Insurance premiums $ 1,778 $ 1,682 $ 1,579 6 % 7 % Net investment income 152 141 127 8 % 11 % Other revenues and fees 9 8 7 13 % 14 % Total operating revenues 1,939 1,831 1,713 6 % 7 % Operating Expenses Interest credited 3 3 3 0 % 0 % Benefits 1,314 1,296 1,116 1 % 16 % Underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses 467 422 403 11 % 5 % Total operating expenses 1,784 1,721 1,522 4 % 13 % Income (loss) from operations before taxes 155 110 191 41 % -42 % Federal income tax expense (benefit) 54 38 67 42 % -43 % Income (loss) from operations $ 101 $ 72 $ 124 40 % -42 % For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Income (Loss) from Operations by Product Line Life $ 34 $ 37 $ 42 -8 % -12 % Disability 64 34 79 88 % -57 % Dental (2 ) (4 ) (2 ) 50 % -100 % Total non-medical 96 67 119 43 % -44 % Medical 5 5 5 0 % 0 % Income (loss) from operations $ 101 $ 72 $ 124 40 % -42 % Comparison of 2011 to 2010
Income from operations for this segment increased due primarily to the following:
· More favorable non-medical loss ratio experience;
· Growth in insurance premiums driven by normal, organic business growth in our
non-medical products; and
· Higher net investment income driven by an increase in business.
<pre> The increase in income from operations was partially offset primarily by higher underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses attributable to an increase in business and investments in strategic initiatives associated with enhancements to sales and distribution processes and improvements to technology platforms during 2011. Comparison of 2010 to 2009 Income from operations for this segment decreased due to unfavorable claims incidence and, to a lesser extent, termination experience on our long-term disability business and adverse mortality and morbidity experience on our life business resulting in a non-medical loss ratio of 76.2% during 2010 that was above the high end of our historical expected range of 71% to 74%. 77 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The decrease in income from operations was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Growth in insurance premiums driven by normal, organic business growth in our
non-medical products and strong case persistency; and
· Higher net investment income driven by an increase in business and more
favorable investment income on alternative investments within our surplus
portfolio (see "Consolidated Investments - Alternative Investments" below for
more information). Additional Information During 2011, our non-medical loss ratio was 72.9%, below the 76.2% we experienced during 2010, attributable primarily to improvement in disability claim incidence rates. Non-medical loss ratios in general are likely to remain within our long-term expectation of 71% to 74% during 2012. For every one percent increase in the loss ratio above our expectation, we would expect an approximate annual$10 million to $12 million decrease to income from operations. Management compares trends in actual loss ratios to pricing expectations because group-underwriting risks change over time. We expect normal fluctuations in our composite non-medical loss ratios of this segment, as claims experience is inherently uncertain. We have taken actions to manage the effects of our loss ratio results, such as implementing price adjustments on our product lines upon renewal to better reflect our experience going forward. In addition, we have been focusing on managing the higher volume of incidence through claims risk management, including contracting additional resources to help reduce caseloads and improve claim recovery experience so that incidence volumes do not detract from our claim recovery efforts. We have also been employing tools to identify and support claimants who will return to work.
We expect to continue making strategic investments during 2012 that will result in higher expenses.
We are evaluating the potential effects that health care reform may have on the value and profitability of this segment's products and income from operations, including, but not limited to, potential changes to traditional sources of income for our brokers who may seek additional portfolio options and/or modification to compensation structures. During the second quarter of 2011, we reviewed the discount rate assumptions associated with reserves for long-term disability and life waiver claim incurrals. Due to the persistent decline in new money investment yields, we lowered the discount rate by 50 basis points to 4.25% on new incurrals, which decreased income from operations by$3 million during the second quarter of 2011. For information on the effects of current interest rates on our long-term disability claim reserves, see "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk - Interest Rate Risk - Interest Rate Risk on Fixed Insurance Businesses - Falling Rates." Sales relate to long-duration contracts sold to new contract holders and new programs sold to existing contract holders. We believe that the trend in sales is an important indicator of development of business in force over time. We provide information about this segment's operating revenue and operating expense line items, the period in which amounts are recognized, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items and their associated drivers below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above. 78 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Insurance Premiums
Details underlying insurance premiums (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Insurance Premiums by Product Line Life $ 693 $ 639 $ 584 8 % 9 % Disability 757 727 692 4 % 5 % Dental 183 167 149 10 % 12 % Total non-medical 1,633 1,533 1,425 7 % 8 % Medical 145 149 154 -3 % -3 %
Total insurance premiums $ 1,778
$ 1,682 $ 1,579 6 % 7 % Sales $ 395 $ 353 $ 361 12 % -2 % Our cost of insurance and policy administration charges are embedded in the premiums charged to our customers. The premiums are a function of the rates priced into the product and our business in force. Business in force, in turn, is driven by sales and persistency experience. Sales in the table above are the combined annualized premiums for our life, disability and dental products.
Net Investment Income
We use our investment income to offset the earnings effect of the associated build of our policy reserves, which are a function of our insurance premiums and the yields on our invested assets.
Benefits and Interest Credited
Details underlying benefits and interest credited (in millions) and loss ratios by product line were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Benefits and Interest Credited by Product Line Life $ 518 $ 484 $ 420 7 % 15 % Disability 529 548 443 -3 % 24 % Dental 143 136 121 5 % 12 % Total non-medical 1,190 1,168 984 2 % 19 % Medical 127 131 135 -3 % -3 %
Total benefits and interest credited $ 1,317
$ 1,299 $ 1,119 1 % 16 % Loss Ratios by Product Line Life 74.8 % 75.8 % 72.0 % Disability 69.9 % 75.4 % 64.0 % Dental 77.9 % 81.5 % 81.7 % Total non-medical 72.9 % 76.2 % 69.1 % Medical 87.9 % 87.6 % 87.9 % 79
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Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses
Details underlying underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Underwriting, Acquisition, Insurance and Other Expenses Commissions
$ 201 $ 190 $ 176 6 % 8 % General and administrative expenses 244 208 204 17 % 2 % Taxes, licenses and fees 41 39 36 5 % 8 % Total expenses incurred 486 437 416 11 % 5 % DAC deferrals (65 ) (61 ) (59 ) -7 % -3 %
Total expenses recognized before amortization 421 376 357 12 % 5 % DAC and VOBA amortization, net of interest 46 46 46 0 % 0 % Total underwriting, acquisition, insurance and other expenses $ 467 $ 422 $ 403 11 % 5 % DAC Deferrals As a percentage of insurance premiums 3.7 %
3.6 % 3.7 %
Expenses, excluding broker commissions, that vary with and are related primarily to the production of new business are deferred to the extent recoverable and are amortized on either a straight-line basis or as a level percent of premium of the related contracts depending on the block of business. Broker commissions, which vary with and are related to paid premiums, are expensed as incurred. The level of expenses is an important driver of profitability for this segment as group insurance contracts are offered within an environment that competes on the basis of price and service. 80
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- RESULTS OF OTHER OPERATIONS
Income (Loss) from Operations
Details underlying the results for Other Operations (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Operating Revenues Insurance premiums $ 1 $ 2 $ 4 -50 % -50 % Net investment income 307 326 307 -6 % 6 % Amortization of deferred gain on business sold through reinsurance 72 72 73 0 % -1 % Media revenues (net) 77 75 68 3 % 10 % Other revenues and fees 4 12 13 -67 % -8 % Total operating revenues 461 487 465 -5 % 5 % Operating Expenses Interest credited 113 120 148 -6 % -19 % Benefits 126 139 258 -9 % -46 % Media expenses 69 59 53 17 % 11 % Other expenses 90 176 125 -49 % 41 % Interest and debt expense 285 286 261 0 % 10 %
Total operating expenses 683 780 845 -12 % -8 % Income (loss) from operations before taxes (222 ) (293 ) (380 ) 24 % 23 % Federal income tax expense (benefit) (76 ) (107 ) (143 ) 29 % 25 % Income (loss) from operations $ (146 ) $ (186 ) $ (237 ) 22 % 22 % Comparison of 2011 to 2010 Loss from operations for Other Operations decreased due primarily to lower other expenses attributable to higher legal and merger-related expenses in 2010, partially offset by an assessment associated with theNew York State Department of Financial Services' liquidation plan forExecutive Life Insurance Company of New York during 2011. State guaranty funds assess insurance companies to cover losses to contract holders of insolvent or rehabilitated companies.
The decrease in loss from operations was partially offset primarily by lower net investment income, net of interest credited, attributable to the following:
· Repurchases of common stock, net cash used in operating activities due
primarily to interest payments and transfers to other segments for OTTI, partially offset by distributable earnings received from our insurance segments, resulting in lower average invested assets; and
· New money rates averaging below our portfolio yields.
Comparison of 2010 to 2009
Loss from operations for Other Operations decreased due primarily to the following:
· The unfavorable effect during 2009 related to rescinding the reinsurance
agreement on certain disability income business sold to Swiss Re (discussed in
"Reinsurance" below), which resulted in pre-tax increases in benefits of $78
million, interest credited of
partially offset by a
· Higher benefits during 2009 associated with our run-off disability income
business due to increasing reserves supporting this business and writing off
certain receivables upon rescinding the reinsurance agreement; and
· Higher net investment income due to distributable earnings received from our
insurance segments, issuances of common stock and preferred stock and proceeds
from the sale of
our Series B preferred stock and repurchase and cancellation of associated
common stock warrants, resulting in higher average invested assets. 81
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The decrease in loss from operations was partially offset primarily by the following:
· Higher other expenses due to:
§ Settlement of the Transamerica litigation matter during 2010 (see Note 13 for
more information); § More favorable state income tax true-ups in 2009; and § Higher branding expenses in 2010;
partially offset by:
§ Restructuring charges for expense initiatives in 2009; and § Higher merger-related expenses in 2009; and
· Higher interest and debt expense attributable to higher average balances of
outstanding debt during 2010.
Additional Information
The deferred gain on business sold through reinsurance will be fully amortized during the first half of 2017.
The results of Other Operations include our thrift business. We completed the liquidation of this business on
We provide information about Other Operations' operating revenue and operating expense line items, the period in which amounts are recognized, key drivers of changes and historical details underlying the line items and their associated drivers below. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Net Investment Income and Interest Credited
We utilize an internal formula to determine the amount of capital that is allocated to our business segments. Investment income on capital in excess of the calculated amounts is reported in Other Operations. If regulations require increases in our insurance segments' statutory reserves and surplus, the amount of capital retained by Other Operations would decrease and net investment income would be negatively affected. Write-downs for OTTI decrease the recorded value of our invested assets owned by our business segments. These write-downs are not included in the income from operations of our operating segments. When impairment occurs, assets are transferred to the business segments' portfolios and will reduce the future net investment income for Other Operations, but should not have an effect on a consolidated basis unless the impairments are related to defaulted securities. Statutory reserve adjustments for our business segments can also cause allocations of invested assets between the affected segments and Other Operations. The majority of our interest credited relates to our reinsurance operations sold to Swiss Re in 2001. A substantial amount of the business was sold through indemnity reinsurance transactions, which is still recorded in our consolidated financial statements. The interest credited corresponds to investment income earnings on the assets we continue to hold for this business. There is no effect to income or loss in Other Operations or on a consolidated basis for these amounts because interest earned on the blocks that continue to be reinsured is passed through to Swiss Re in the form of interest credited.
Benefits
Benefits are recognized when incurred for Institutional Pension products and disability income business.
82 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Other Expenses
Details underlying other expenses (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Other Expenses General and administrative expenses: Legal $ 1 $ 77 $ 14 -99 % NM Branding 29 27 18 7 % 50 % Non-brand marketing 4 11 9 -64 % 22 % Other (1) 38 59 52 -36 % 13 % Total general and administrative expenses 72 174 93 -59 % 87 % Merger-related expenses (2) - 9 17 -100 % -47 % Restructuring charges (recoveries) for expense initiatives (3) - (1 ) 34 100 % NM Taxes, licenses and fees 27 (4 ) (19 ) NM 79 % Inter-segment reimbursement associated with reserve financing and LOC expenses (4) (9 ) (2 ) - NM NM Total other expenses $ 90 $ 176 $ 125 -49 % 41 %
(1) Includes expenses that are corporate in nature including charitable
contributions, amortization of media intangible assets with a definite life,
other expenses not allocated to our business segments and inter-segment
expense eliminations.
(2) Includes the result of actions undertaken by us to eliminate duplicate
operations and functions as a result of the
costs related to the implementation of our unified product portfolio and
other initiatives. These actions were completed during 2010. Our cumulative
integration expense was approximately
amounts capitalized or recorded as goodwill.
(3) Includes expenses associated with a restructuring plan implemented starting
in
volatility, which focused on reducing expenses. These actions were completed
during 2009. Our cumulative pre-tax charges amounted to
severance, benefits and related costs associated with the plan for workforce
reduction and other restructuring actions.
(4) Consists of reimbursements to Other Operations from the Life Insurance
segment for the use of proceeds from certain issuances of senior notes that
were used as long-term structured solutions, net of expenses incurred by Other Operations for its use of LOCs.
Interest and Debt Expense
Our current level of interest expense may not be indicative of the future due to, among other things, the timing of the use of cash, the availability of funds from our inter-company cash management program and the future cost of capital. For additional information on our financing activities, see "Review of Consolidated Financial Condition - Liquidity and Capital Resources - Sources of Liquidity andCash Flow - Financing Activities" below. 83 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- REALIZED GAIN (LOSS) AND BENEFIT RATIO UNLOCKING
Details underlying realized gain (loss), after-DAC (1) and benefit ratio unlocking (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Components of Realized Gain (Loss), Pre-Tax Total operating realized gain (loss) $ 89 $ 69 $ 54 29 % 28 % Total excluded realized gain (loss) (388 ) (146 ) (1,200 ) NM 88 %
Total realized gain (loss), pre-tax $ (299 ) $ (77 ) $ (1,146 ) NM
93 % Reconciliation of Excluded Realized Gain (Loss) Net of Benefit Ratio Unlocking, After-Tax Total excluded realized gain (loss) $ (252 ) $ (95 ) $ (780 ) NM 88 % Benefit ratio unlocking (14 ) 10 89 NM -89 % Excluded realized gain (loss) net of benefit ratio unlocking, after-tax $ (266 ) $ (85 ) $ (691 ) NM 88 % Components of Excluded Realized Gain (Loss) Net of Benefit Ratio Unlocking, After-Tax Realized gain (loss) related to certain investments $ (99 ) $ (118 ) $ (350 ) 16 % 66 % Gain (loss) on the mark-to-market on certain instruments (54 ) 49 23 NM 113 %
Variable annuity net derivatives results:
Hedge program performance (106 ) (27 ) 103 NM NM Unlocking for GLB reserves hedged (72 ) 18 (157 ) NM 111 % GLB NPR component 65 (19 ) (313 ) NM 94 % Total variable annuity net derivatives results (113 ) (28 ) (367 ) NM 92 % Indexed annuity forward-starting option - 12 2 -100 % NM Realized gain (loss) on sale of subsidiaries/businesses - - 1 NM -100 % Excluded realized gain (loss) net of benefit ratio unlocking, after-tax $ (266 ) $ (85 ) $ (691 ) NM 88 %
(1) DAC refers to the associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL and
changes in other contract holder funds and funds withheld reinsurance liabilities. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
For information on our counterparty exposure, see "Part II - Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."
84 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Comparison of 2011 to 2010
We had higher realized losses in 2011 as compared to 2010 due primarily to the following:
· Losses on the mark-to-market on certain instruments during 2011 as compared to
gains in 2010 attributable to spreads widening on corporate credit default
swaps, partially offset by declines in interest rates leading to an increase
in the value of our trading securities; and
· Higher losses on variable annuity net derivatives results attributable to:
§ Volatile capital markets during 2011 resulting in higher losses in our hedge
program; and
§ The effect of unlocking in 2011 as compared to 2010 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information);
partially offset by:
§ Widening of our credit spreads during 2011 resulting in a favorable GLB NPR
component (see "Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" below for a discussion of how ourNPR adjustment is determined).
Comparison of 2010 to 2009
We had lower realized losses in 2010 as compared to 2009 due primarily to the following:
· More favorable variable annuity net derivatives results attributable to:
§ Narrowing of our credit spreads during 2009 resulting in an unfavorable GLB
NPR component (see "Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results" below for a discussion of how ourNPR adjustment is determined); and
§ The effect of unlocking in 2010 as compared to 2009 (see "Critical Accounting
Policies and Estimates - DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL - Unlocking" for more
information);
partially offset by:
§ Less favorable hedge program performance;
· General improvement in the credit markets leading to a decline in OTTI (see
"Consolidated Investments - Realized Gain (Loss) Related to Certain
Investments" below for more information); and
· Higher gains on the mark-to-market on certain instruments attributable to
spreads narrowing on corporate credit default swaps and declines in interest
rates leading to an increase in the value of our trading securities.
Operating Realized Gain (Loss)
Operating realized gain (loss) includes indexed annuity net derivatives results representing the net difference between the change in the fair value of the S&P 500 call options that we hold and the change in the fair value of the embedded derivative liabilities of our indexed annuity products. The change in the fair value of the liability for the embedded derivative represents the amount that is credited to the indexed annuity contract. Our GWB, GIB and 4LATER® features have elements of both benefit reserves and embedded derivative reserves. We calculate the value of the embedded derivative reserves and the benefit reserves based on the specific characteristics of each GLB feature. For our GLBs that meet the definition of an embedded derivative under the Derivatives and Hedging Topic of the FASB ASC, we record them at fair value on our Consolidated Balance Sheets with changes in fair value recorded in realized gain (loss) on our Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss). In bifurcating the embedded derivative, we attribute to the embedded derivative the portion of total fees collected from the contract holder that relates to the GLB riders (the "attributed fees"). These attributed fees represent the present value of future claims expected to be paid for the GLB at the inception of the contract (the "net valuation premium") plus a margin that a theoretical market participant would include for risk/profit (the "risk/profit margin"). We also include the risk/profit margin portion of the GLB attributed rider fees in operating realized gain (loss) and include the net valuation premium of the GLB attributed rider fees in excluded realized gain (loss). For our Annuities and Retirement Plan Services segments, the excess of total fees collected from the contract holders over the GLB attributed rider fees is reported in insurance fees.
Details underlying the effect to operating realized gain (loss) from unlocking (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Retrospective unlocking $ 39 $ 34 $ 20 15 % 70 % 85
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Realized Gain (Loss) Related to Certain Investments
See "Consolidated Investments - Realized Gain (Loss) Related to Certain Investments" below.
Gain (Loss) on the Mark-to-Market on Certain Instruments
Gain (loss) on the mark-to-market on certain instruments, including those associated with our consolidated variable interest entities ("VIEs") and trading securities represents changes in the fair values of certain derivative instruments (including the credit default swaps and contingent forwards associated with consolidated VIEs), total return swaps (embedded derivatives that are theoretically included in our various modified coinsurance and coinsurance with funds withheld reinsurance arrangements that have contractual returns related to various assets and liabilities associated with these arrangements) and trading securities.
See Note 4 for information about our consolidated VIEs.
Variable Annuity Net Derivatives Results
Our variable annuity net derivatives results include the net valuation premium, the change in the GLB embedded derivative reserves and the change in the fair value of the derivative instruments we own to hedge them, including the cost of purchasing the hedging instruments. In addition, these results include the changes in reserves not accounted for at fair value and resulting benefit ratio unlocking on our GDB and GLB riders and the change in the fair value of the derivative instruments we own to hedge them. We use derivative instruments to hedge our exposure to the risks and earnings volatility that result from changes in the GLB embedded derivative reserves. The change in fair value of these derivative instruments is designed to generally offset the change in embedded derivative reserves. Our variable annuity net derivatives results can be volatile especially when sudden and significant changes in equity markets and/or interest rates occur. We do not attempt to hedge the change in theNPR component of the liability. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , the net effect of theNPR resulted in a$211 million decrease in the liability for our GLB embedded derivative reserves. TheNPR factors affect the discount rate used in the calculation of the GLB embedded derivative reserve. Our methodology for calculating theNPR component of the embedded derivative reserve utilizes an extrapolated 30-yearNPR spread curve applied to a series of expected cash flows over the expected life of the embedded derivative. Our cash flows consist of both expected fees to be received from contract holders and benefits to be paid, and these cash flows are different on a pre- and post-NPR basis. We utilize a model based on our holding company's credit default swap ("CDS") spreads adjusted for items, such as the liquidity of our holding company CDS. Because the guaranteed benefit liabilities are contained within our insurance subsidiaries, we apply items, such as the effect of our insurance subsidiaries' claims-paying ratings compared to holding company credit risk and the over-collateralization of insurance liabilities, in order to determine factors that are representative of a theoretical market participant's view of theNPR of the specific liability within our insurance subsidiaries.
Details underlying the
As of As of As of As of As of December 31, September 30, June 30, March 31, December 31, 2011 2011 2011 2011 2010 10-year CDS spread 3.65 % 4.42 % 2.02 % 1.78 % 1.98 % NPR factor related to 10-year CDS spread 0.43 % 0.51 % 0.24 % 0.17 % 0.17 % Unadjusted embedded derivative liability $ 2,418 $
2,642
Estimating what the absolute amount of theNPR effect will be period to period is difficult due to the utilization of all cash flows and the shape of the spread curve. Currently, we estimate that if theNPR factors as ofDecember 31, 2011 , were to have been zero along all points on the spread curve, then theNPR offset to the unadjusted liability would have resulted in an unfavorable effect to net income of approximately$315 million , pre-DAC and pre-tax. Alternatively, if theNPR factors were 20 basis points higher along all points on the spread curve as ofDecember 31, 2011 , then there would have been a favorable effect to net income of approximately$120 million , pre-DAC and pre-tax. In the preceding two sentences, "DAC" refers to the associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL. Changing market conditions could cause this relationship to deviate significantly in future periods. Sensitivity within this range is primarily a result of volatility in our CDS spreads and the slope of the CDS spread term structure.
For additional information on our guaranteed benefits, see "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Derivatives - Guaranteed Living Benefits" above.
86 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indexed Annuity Forward-Starting Option
The liability for the forward-starting option reflects changes in the fair value of embedded derivative liabilities related to index call options we may purchase in the future to hedge contract holder index allocations applicable to future reset periods for our indexed annuity products accounted for under the Derivatives and Hedging and the Fair Value Measurements and Disclosures Topics of the FASB ASC. These fair values represent an estimate of the cost of the options we will purchase in the future, discounted back to the date of the balance sheet, using current market indications of volatility and interest rates, which can vary significantly from period to period due to a number of factors and therefore can provide results that are not indicative of the underlying trends. CONSOLIDATED INVESTMENTS Details underlying our consolidated investment balances (in millions) were as follows: Percentage of Total Investments As of December 31, As of December 31, 2011 2010 2011 2010 Investments AFS securities: Fixed maturity $ 75,433 $ 68,030 81.0 % 81.6 % VIEs' fixed maturity 700 584 0.8 % 0.7 % Total fixed maturity 76,133 68,614 81.8 % 82.3 % Equity 139 197 0.1 % 0.2 % Trading securities 2,675 2,596 2.9 % 3.1 % Mortgage loans on real estate 6,942 6,752 7.4 % 8.1 % Real estate 137 202 0.1 % 0.3 % Policy loans 2,884 2,865 3.1 % 3.5 % Derivative investments 3,151 1,076 3.4 % 1.3 % Alternative investments 807 750 0.9 % 0.9 % Other investments 262 288 0.3 % 0.3 % Total investments $ 93,130 $ 83,340 100.0 % 100.0 % Investment Objective Invested assets are an integral part of our operations. We follow a balanced approach to investing for both current income and prudent risk management, with an emphasis on generating sufficient current income, net of income tax, to meet our obligations to customers, as well as other general liabilities. This balanced approach requires the evaluation of expected return and risk of each asset class utilized, while still meeting our income objectives. This approach is important to our asset-liability management because decisions can be made based upon both the economic and current investment income considerations affecting assets and liabilities. For a discussion on our risk management process, see "Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk."
Investment Portfolio Composition and Diversification
Fundamental to our investment policy is diversification across asset classes. Our investment portfolio, excluding cash and invested cash, is composed of fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate, real estate (either wholly-owned or in joint ventures) and other long-term investments. We purchase investments for our segmented portfolios that have yield, duration and other characteristics that take into account the liabilities of the products being supported. We have the ability to maintain our investment holdings throughout credit cycles because of our capital position, the long-term nature of our liabilities and the matching of our portfolios of investment assets with the liabilities of our various products.
Fixed Maturity and Equity Securities Portfolios
Fixed maturity securities and equity securities consist of portfolios classified as AFS and trading. Mortgage-backed and private securities are included in both of the AFS and trading portfolios. 87 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Details underlying our fixed maturity and equity securities portfolios by industry classification (in millions) are presented in the tables below. These tables agree in total with the presentation of AFS securities in Note 5; however, the categories below represent a more detailed breakout of the AFS portfolio; therefore, the investment classifications listed below do not agree to the investment categories provided in Note 5. As of December 31, 2011 Unrealized % Amortized Unrealized Losses Fair Fair Cost Gains and OTTI Value ValueFixed Maturity AFS Securities Industry corporate bonds: Financial services $ 8,926 $ 607 $ 158 $ 9,375 12.3 % Basic industry 3,394 323 27 3,690 4.8 % Capital goods 3,933 455 9 4,379 5.8 % Communications 3,247 364 37 3,574 4.7 % Consumer cyclical 3,226 345 36 3,535 4.6 % Consumer non-cyclical 7,956 1,190 1 9,145 12.0 % Energy 5,026 690 6 5,710 7.5 % Technology 1,682 192 3 1,871 2.5 % Transportation 1,360 166 1 1,525 2.0 % Industrial other 755 74 3 826 1.1 % Utilities 10,644 1,457 27 12,074 15.8 %
Collateralized mortgage and other obligations ("CMOs"):
Agency backed 3,226 357 - 3,583 4.7 % Non-agency backed 1,481 12 199 1,294 1.7 %
Mortgage pass through securities ("MPTS"):
Agency backed 2,982 179 - 3,161 4.2 % Non-agency backed 1 - - 1 0.0 %
Commercial mortgage-backed securities ("CMBS"):
Non-agency backed 1,642 73 115 1,600 2.1 %
Corporate asset-backed securities ("ABS"):
CDOs 88 - 6 82 0.1 % Commercial real estate ("CRE") CDOs 33 - 13 20 0.0 % Credit card 790 47 - 837 1.1 % Home equity 905 3 271 637 0.8 % Manufactured housing 85 5 1 89 0.1 % Auto loan 52 1 - 53 0.1 % Other 246 29 1 274 0.4 % Municipals: Taxable 3,452 565 9 4,008 5.3 % Tax-exempt 38 1 - 39 0.1 %
Government and government agencies:
United States 1,468 232 - 1,700 2.2 % Foreign 1,746 152 4 1,894 2.5 % Hybrid and redeemable preferred securities 1,277 50 170 1,157 1.5 % Total fixed maturity AFS securities 69,661
7,569 1,097 76,133 100.0 %
135 16 12 139 Total AFS securities 69,796 7,585 1,109 76,272 Trading Securities (1) 2,301 408 34 2,675 Total AFS and trading securities $ 72,097 $ 7,993 $ 1,143 $ 78,947 88
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As of December 31, 2010 Unrealized % Amortized Unrealized Losses Fair Fair Cost Gains and OTTI Value ValueFixed Maturity AFS Securities Industry corporate bonds: Financial services $ 8,377 $ 438 $ 148 $ 8,667 12.7 % Basic industry 2,478 203 20 2,661 3.9 % Capital goods 3,425 243 45 3,623 5.3 % Communications 3,050 251 32 3,269 4.8 % Consumer cyclical 2,772 185 47 2,910 4.2 % Consumer non-cyclical 7,259 628 20 7,867 11.5 % Energy 4,533 428 17 4,944 7.2 % Technology 1,414 108 9 1,513 2.2 % Transportation 1,379 116 3 1,492 2.2 % Industrial other 884 53 10 927 1.4 % Utilities 9,800 708 62 10,446 15.2 % CMOs: Agency backed 3,975 308 1 4,282 6.2 % Non-agency backed 1,718 16 259 1,475 2.1 % MPTS: Agency backed 2,978 106 5 3,079 4.5 % Non-agency backed 2 - - 2 0.0 % CMBS: Non-agency backed 2,144 95 186 2,053 3.0 % ABS: CDOs 128 22 8 142 0.2 % CRE CDOs 46 - 14 32 0.0 % Credit card 831 33 4 860 1.3 % Home equity 1,002 6 268 740 1.1 % Manufactured housing 110 3 4 109 0.2 % Auto loan 162 2 - 164 0.2 % Other 211 21 1 231 0.3 % Municipals: Taxable 3,219 27 94 3,152 4.6 % Tax-exempt 3 - - 3 0.0 %
Government and government agencies:
United States 931 120 2 1,049 1.5 % Foreign 1,438 94 7 1,525 2.2 % Hybrid and redeemable preferred securities 1,476 56 135 1,397 2.0 % Total fixed maturity AFS securities 65,745
4,270 1,401 68,614 100.0 %
179 25 7 197 Total AFS securities 65,924 4,295 1,408 68,811 Trading Securities (1) 2,340 297 41 2,596 Total AFS and trading securities $ 68,264 $ 4,592 $ 1,449 $ 71,407 (1) Certain of our trading securities support our modified coinsurance
arrangements ("Modco") and the investment results are passed directly to the
reinsurers. Refer to the "Trading Securities" section for further details.
89 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
In accordance with the AFS accounting guidance, we reflect stockholders' equity as if unrealized gains and losses were actually recognized, and consider all related accounting adjustments that would occur upon such a hypothetical recognition of unrealized gains and losses. Such related balance sheet effects include adjustments to the balances of DAC, VOBA, DFEL, other contract holder funds and deferred income taxes. Adjustments to each of these balances are charged or credited to accumulated OCI. For instance, DAC is adjusted upon the recognition of unrealized gains or losses because the amortization of DAC is based upon an assumed emergence of gross profits on certain insurance business. Deferred income tax balances are also adjusted because unrealized gains or losses do not affect actual taxes currently paid.
The quality of our AFS fixed maturity securities portfolio, as measured at estimated fair value and by the percentage of fixed maturity securities invested in various ratings categories, relative to the entire fixed maturity AFS security portfolio (in millions) was as follows:
Rating Agency As of December 31, 2011 As of December 31, 2010 NAIC Equivalent Amortized Fair % of Amortized Fair % of Designation Designation (1) (1) Cost Value Total Cost Value TotalInvestment Grade Securities Aaa / Aa / 1 A $ 42,436 $ 47,490 62.4 % $ 40,573 $ 42,769 62.3 % 2 Baa 23,323 25,237 33.1 % 21,032 22,286 32.5 %
Total investment grade securities 65,759 72,727 95.5 % 61,605 65,055 94.8 %
Below
3 Ba 2,466 2,350 3.1 % 2,620 2,403 3.5 % 4 B 960 750 1.0 % 796 665 1.0 % Caa and 5 lower 318 218 0.3 % 476 325 0.5 % In or near 6 default 158 88 0.1 % 248 166 0.2 %
Total below investment grade
securities 3,902 3,406 4.5
% 4,140 3,559 5.2 %
Total fixed maturity AFS
securities $ 69,661 $ 76,133 100.0
%
Total securities below investment
grade as a percentage of total fixed maturity AFS securities 5.6 % 4.5 % 6.3 % 5.2 %
(1) Based upon the rating designations determined and provided by the National
agencies (Fitch Ratings ("Fitch"), Moody's Investors Service ("Moody's") and
S&P). For securities where the ratings assigned by the major credit
agencies are not equivalent, the second highest rating assigned is used.
For those securities where ratings by the major credit rating agencies are
not available, which does not represent a significant amount of our total
fixed maturity AFS securities, we base the ratings disclosed upon internal
ratings. Comparisons between the NAIC ratings and rating agency designations are published by the NAIC. The NAIC assigns securities quality ratings and uniform valuations, which are used by insurers when preparing their annual statements. The NAIC ratings are similar to the rating agency designations of the Nationally Recognized Statistical Rating Organizations for marketable bonds. NAIC ratings 1 and 2 include bonds generally considered investment grade (rated Baa3 or higher by Moody's, or rated BBB- or higher by S&P and Fitch), by such ratings organizations. However, securities rated NAIC 1 and NAIC 2 could be deemed below investment grade by the rating agencies as a result of the current RBC rules for residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS") and CMBS for statutory reporting. NAIC ratings 3 through 6 include bonds generally considered below investment grade (rated Ba1 or lower by Moody's, or rated BB+ or lower by S&P and Fitch). We have identified direct and indirect exposure to select countries in Europe that are currently experiencing stress in the credit markets, notably Greece , Ireland , Italy , Portugal , Spain , Hungary and Cyprus . These countries were identified due to high credit spreads and political and economic uncertainty in these countries. The exposure was determined by country of domicile, provided that a meaningful portion of revenues is generated from the country of domicile. As of December 31, 2011 , we had direct sovereign exposure only to Italy with an amortized cost of $3 million and fair value of $2 million . We had no exposure to any issuers, sovereign or non-sovereign, located in Greece , Hungary or Cyprus . Our non-sovereign exposure in Ireland , Italy , Portugal and Spain was limited to two large banks in which we had investments with an amortized cost and fair value of $77 million as of December 31, 2011 . 90 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Our total non-banking and non-sovereign AFS securities exposure to Ireland , Italy , Portugal and Spain had an amortized cost of $770 million and a fair value of $798 million as of December 31, 2011 , of which approximately 50% was related to large multinational companies domiciled in those countries. The detailed breakout by country was as follows (in millions): Amortized Fair Cost Value Spain $ 367 $ 386 Ireland 215 227 Italy 148 154 Portugal 40 31 Total $ 770 $ 798 We purchased a European subordinated investment grade financial index hedge in the amount of €35 million with a maturity of December 20, 2016 , to provide some protection on possible defaults on our European investments. We manage European and other investment risks through our internal investment department and outside asset managers. The risk management is focused on monitoring spreads, pricing and monitoring of global economic developments. We have incorporated these risks into our stress testing. As of December 31, 2011 and 2010, 67.4% and 79.8%, respectively, of the total publicly traded and private securities in an unrealized loss status were rated as investment grade. See Note 5 for maturity date information for our fixed maturity investment portfolio. Our gross unrealized losses on AFS securities as of December 31, 2011 , decreased $299 million . This change was attributable to a decline in overall market yields, which was driven by market uncertainty and weakening economic activity. As more fully described in Note 1, we regularly review our investment holdings for OTTI. We believe the unrealized loss position as of December 31, 2011 , does not represent OTTI as we do not intend to sell these debt securities, it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the debt securities before recovery of their amortized cost basis, the estimated future cash flows are equal to or greater than the amortized cost basis of the debt securities, or we have the ability and intent to hold the equity securities for a period of time sufficient for recovery. For further information on our unrealized losses on AFS securities see "Composition by Industry Categories of our Unrealized Losses on AFS Securities " below.
Selected information for certain AFS securities in a gross unrealized loss position (dollars in millions) was as follows:
As of December 31, 2011 Gross Estimated Estimated Unrealized Years Average Losses until Call Years Fair and or until Subordination Level Value OTTI Maturity Recovery Current Origination CMBS $ 324 $ 115 1 to 41 27 22.1 % 15.3 % Hybrid and redeemable preferred securities 677 170 1 to 55 31 N/A N/A As provided in the table above, many of the securities in these categories are long-dated with some of the preferred securities being perpetual. This is purposeful as it matches the long-term nature of our liabilities associated with our life insurance and annuity products. See "Item 7A. Quantitative and Qualitative Disclosures About Market Risk" where we present information related to maturities of securities and the expected cash flows for rate sensitive liabilities and maturities of our holding company debt, which also demonstrates the long-term nature of the cash flows associated with these items. Because of this relationship, we do not believe it will be necessary to sell these securities before they recover or mature. For these securities, the estimated range and average period until recovery is the call or maturity period. It is difficult to predict or project when the securities will recover as it is dependent upon a number of factors including the overall economic climate. We do not believe it is necessary to impair these securities as long as the expected future cash flows are projected to be sufficient to recover the amortized cost of these securities. The actual range and period until recovery could vary significantly depending on a variety of factors, many of which are out of our control. There are several items that could affect the length of the period until recovery, such as the pace of economic recovery, level of delinquencies, performance of the underlying collateral, changes in market interest rates, exposures to various industry or geographic conditions, market behavior and other market conditions. 91 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We concluded that it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the fixed maturity AFS securities before recovery of their amortized cost basis, that the estimated future cash flows are equal to or greater than the amortized cost basis of the debt securities and that we have the ability to hold the equity AFS securities for a period of time sufficient for recovery. This conclusion is consistent with our asset-liability management process. Management considers the following as part of the evaluation: · The current economic environment and market conditions; · Our business strategy and current business plans;
· The nature and type of security, including expected maturities and exposure to
general credit, liquidity, market and interest rate risk;
· Our analysis of data from financial models and other internal and industry
sources to evaluate the current effectiveness of our hedging and overall risk
management strategies;
· The current and expected timing of contractual maturities of our assets and
liabilities, expectations of prepayments on investments and expectations for
surrenders and withdrawals of life insurance policies and annuity contracts;
· The capital risk limits approved by management; and
· Our current financial condition and liquidity demands.
To determine the recoverability of a debt security, we consider the facts and circumstances surrounding the underlying issuer including, but not limited to, the following:
· Historic and implied volatility of the security;
· Length of time and extent to which the fair value has been less than amortized
cost;
· Adverse conditions specifically related to the security or to specific
conditions in an industry or geographic area;
· Failure, if any, of the issuer of the security to make scheduled payments; and
· Recoveries or additional declines in fair value subsequent to the balance
sheet date. As reported on our Consolidated Balance Sheets, we had$97.6 billion of investments and cash, which exceeded the liabilities for our future obligations under insurance policies and contracts, net of amounts recoverable from reinsurers, which totaled$82.8 billion as ofDecember 31, 2011 . If it were necessary to liquidate securities prior to maturity or call to meet cash flow needs, we would first look to those securities that are in an unrealized gain position, which had a fair value of$69.1 billion , excluding consolidated VIEs in the amount of$700 million , as ofDecember 31, 2011 , rather than selling securities in an unrealized loss position. The amount of cash that we have on hand at any point of time takes into account our liquidity needs in the future, other sources of cash, such as the maturities of investments, interest and dividends we earn on our investments and the on-going cash flows from new and existing business.
See "
As of
For information regarding our VIEs' fixed maturity securities, see Note 1 and Note 4.
Trading Securities Trading securities, which in certain cases support reinsurance funds withheld and ourModco reinsurance agreements, are carried at estimated fair value and changes in estimated fair value are recorded in net income as they occur. Investment results for these certain portfolios, including gains and losses from sales, are passed directly to the reinsurers through the contractual terms of the reinsurance arrangements. Offsetting these amounts in certain cases are corresponding changes in fair value of the embedded derivative liability associated with the underlying reinsurance arrangement. See Notes 1 and 9 for more information regarding our accounting forModco .
Our fixed maturity securities include MBS. These securities are subject to risks associated with variable prepayments. This may result in differences between the actual cash flow and maturity of these securities than that expected at the time of purchase. Securities that have an amortized cost greater than par and are backed by mortgages that prepay faster than expected will incur a reduction in yield or a loss. Those securities with an amortized cost lower than par that prepay faster than expected will generate an increase in yield or a gain. In addition, we may incur reinvestment risks if market yields are lower than the book yields earned on the securities. Prepayments occurring slower than expected have the opposite effect. We may incur reinvestment risks if market yields are higher than the book yields earned on the securities and we are forced to sell the securities. The degree to which a security is susceptible to either gains or losses is influenced by: the difference between its amortized cost and par; the relative 92
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- sensitivity of the underlying mortgages backing the assets to prepayment in a changing interest rate environment; and the repayment priority of the securities in the overall securitization structure. We limit the extent of our risk on MBS by prudently limiting exposure to the asset class, by generally avoiding the purchase of securities with a cost that significantly exceeds par, by purchasing securities backed by stable collateral and by concentrating on securities with enhanced priority in their trust structure. Such securities with reduced risk typically have a lower yield (but higher liquidity) than higher-risk MBS. A significant amount of assets in our MBS portfolio are either guaranteed by U.S. government-sponsored enterprises or are supported in the securitization structure by junior securities enabling the assets to achieve high investment grade status. Our exposure to subprime mortgage lending is limited to investments in banks and other financial institutions that may be affected by subprime lending and direct investments in CDOs, ABS and RMBS. Mortgage-related ABS are backed by home equity loans and RMBS are backed by residential mortgages. These securities are backed by loans that are characterized by borrowers of differing levels of creditworthiness: prime; Alt-A; and subprime. Prime lending is the origination of residential mortgage loans to customers with excellent credit profiles. Alt-A lending is the origination of residential mortgage loans to customers who have prime credit profiles but lack documentation to substantiate income. Subprime lending is the origination of loans to customers with weak or impaired credit profiles. Delinquency and loss rates on residential mortgages and home equity loans have been showing positive trends, and as long as the unemployment rate remains stable to improving, we expect these trends to continue. We continue to expect to receive payments in accordance with contractual terms for a significant amount of our securities, largely due to the seniority of the claims on the collateral of the securities that we own. The tranches of the securities will experience losses according to their seniority level with the least senior (or most junior), typically the unrated residual tranche, taking the initial loss. The credit ratings of our securities reflect the seniority of the securities that we own. Our RMBS had a market value of$8.3 billion and an unrealized gain of$365 million , or 4%, as ofDecember 31, 2011 . 93 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The market value of AFS securities and trading securities backed by subprime loans was$442 million and represented less than 1% of our total investment portfolio as ofDecember 31, 2011 . AFS securities represented$428 million , or 97%, and trading securities represented$14 million , or 3%, of the subprime exposure as ofDecember 31, 2011 . AFS securities and trading securities rated A or above represented 45% of the subprime investments and$223 million in market value of our subprime investments was backed by loans originating in 2005 and forward. The table below summarizes our investments in AFS securities backed by pools of residential mortgages (in millions): As of December 31, 2011 Prime Agency Prime/ Non-Agency Alt-A Subprime Total Fair Amortized Fair Amortized Fair Amortized Fair Amortized Fair Amortized Value Cost Value Cost Value Cost Value Cost Value Cost Type RMBS $ 6,743 $ 6,207 $ 835 $ 911 $ 461 $ 567 $ - $ 4 $ 8,039 $ 7,689 ABS home equity 4 4 - - 205 280 428 621 637 905 Total by type (1)(2) $ 6,747 $ 6,211 $ 835 $ 911 $ 666 $ 847 $ 428 $ 625 $ 8,676 $ 8,594 Rating AAA $ 6,672 $ 6,142 $ 62 $ 60 $ 32 $ 31 $ 79 $ 82 $ 6,845 $ 6,315 AA 60 56 52 51 6 6 44 50 162 163 A 15 13 54 56 33 36 64 68 166 173 BBB - - 52 55 63 64 23 24 138 143 BB and below - - 615 689 532 710 218 401 1,365 1,800
Total by rating (1)(2)(3)
911 $ 666 $ 847 $ 428 $ 625 $ 8,676 $ 8,594 Origination Year 2004 and prior $ 1,562 $ 1,445 $ 215 $ 221 $ 228 $ 255 $ 209 $ 265 $ 2,214 $ 2,186 2005 842 754 119 141 245 300 158 230 1,364 1,425 2006 246 217 162 175 158 237 60 128 626 757 2007 1,097 963 339 374 35 55 - - 1,471 1,392 2008 240 217 - - - - - - 240 217 2009 1,197 1,121 - - - - 1 2 1,198 1,123 2010 1,074 1,020 - - - - - - 1,074 1,020 2011 489 474 - - - - - - 489 474
Total by origination year (1)(2)
911
Total AFS RMBS as a percentage of total AFS securities 11.4 % 12.3 % Total prime/non-agency, Alt-A and subprime as a percentage of total AFS securities 2.5 % 3.4 %
(1) Does not include the fair value of trading securities totaling
which support our
these agreements are passed directly to the reinsurers. The
trading securities consisted of
million subprime.
(2) Does not include the amortized cost of trading securities totaling $255
million, which support our
results for these agreements are passed directly to the reinsurers. The $255
million in trading securities consisted of
Alt-A and
(3) Based upon the rating designations determined and provided by the major credit
rating agencies (Fitch, Moody's and S&P). For securities where the ratings
assigned by the major credit agencies are not equivalent, the second highest
rating assigned is used. For those securities where ratings by the major
credit rating agencies are not available, which does not represent a
significant amount of our total fixed maturity AFS securities, we base the
ratings disclosed upon internal ratings.
None of these investments included any direct investments in subprime lenders or mortgages. We are not aware of material exposure to subprime loans in our alternative asset portfolio.
94 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The following summarizes our investments in AFS securities backed by pools of commercial mortgages (in millions):
As of December 31, 2011 Multiple Property Single Property CRE CDOs Total Fair Amortized Fair
Amortized Fair Amortized Fair Amortized
Value Cost Value Cost Value Cost Value Cost Type CMBS $ 1,553 $ 1,551 $ 47 $ 91 $ - $ - $ 1,600 $ 1,642 CRE CDOs - - - - 20 33 20 33 Total by type (1)(2) $ 1,553 $ 1,551 $ 47 $ 91 $ 20 $ 33 $ 1,620 $ 1,675 Rating AAA $ 1,028 $ 967 $ 14 $ 13 $ - $ - $ 1,042 $ 980 AA 215 213 10 10 - - 225 223 A 134 138 5 6 1 1 140 145 BBB 108 114 5 6 7 8 120 128 BB and below 68 119 13 56 12 24 93 199
Total by rating (1)(2)(3)
$ 91 $ 20 $ 33 $ 1,620 $ 1,675 Origination Year 2004 and prior $ 901 $ 893 $ 23 $ 23 $ 4 $ 5 $ 928 $ 921 2005 325 309 23 60 7 8 355 377 2006 136 149 1 8 9 20 146 177 2007 136 146 - - - - 136 146 2010 55 54 - - - - 55 54
Total by origination year (1)(2)
$ 91
Total AFS securities backed by pools of commercial mortgages as a percentage of total AFS securities 2.1 % 2.4 %
(1) Does not include the fair value of trading securities totaling
which support our
for these agreements are passed directly to the reinsurers. The
in trading securities consisted of
(2) Does not include the amortized cost of trading securities totaling $39
million, which support our
results for these agreements are passed directly to the reinsurers. The $39
million in trading securities consisted of
CRE CDOs.
(3) Based upon the rating designations determined and provided by the major
credit rating agencies (Fitch, Moody's and S&P). For securities where the
ratings assigned by the major credit agencies are not equivalent, the second
highest rating assigned is used. For those securities where ratings by the
major credit rating agencies are not available, which does not represent a
significant amount of our total fixed maturity AFS securities, we base the ratings disclosed upon internal ratings.
As of
Composition by Industry Categories of our Unrealized Losses on
When considering unrealized gain and loss information, it is important to recognize that the information relates to the status of securities at a particular point in time and may not be indicative of the status of our investment portfolios subsequent to the balance sheet date. Further, because the timing of the recognition of realized investment gains and losses through the selection of which securities are sold is largely at management's discretion, it is important to consider the information provided below within the context of the overall unrealized gain or loss position of our investment portfolios. These are important considerations that should be included in any evaluation of the potential effect of unrealized loss securities on our future earnings. 95 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The composition by industry categories of all securities in unrealized loss status (in millions), was as follows:
As of December 31, 2011 % % % Unrealized Unrealized Fair Fair Amortized Amortized Loss Loss Value Value Cost Cost and OTTI and OTTI ABS $ 680 10.5 % $ 972 12.7 % $ 292 26.3 % Banking 1,507 23.2 % 1,769 23.2 % 262 23.6 % CMOs 946 14.5 % 1,142 15.0 % 196 17.7 % CMBS 324 5.0 % 439 5.8 % 115 10.4 % Property and casualty insurers 108 1.7 % 136 1.8 % 28 2.5 % Media - non-cable 155 2.4 % 182 2.4 % 27 2.4 % Electric 217 3.3 % 240 3.2 % 23 2.1 % Retailers 67 1.0 % 88 1.2 % 21 1.9 % Paper 102 1.6 % 122 1.6 % 20 1.8 % Life 117 1.8 % 129 1.7 % 12 1.1 % Local authorities 40 0.6 % 51 0.7 % 11 1.0 % Wirelines 159 2.4 % 170 2.2 % 11 1.0 % Brokerage 87 1.3 % 97 1.3 % 10 0.9 % Industries with unrealized losses less than $10 million 1,994 30.7 % 2,075 27.2 % 81 7.3 % Total by industry $ 6,503 100.0 % $ 7,612 100.0 % $ 1,109 100.0 % Total by industry as a percentage of total AFS securities 8.5 % 10.9 % 100.0 % As ofDecember 31, 2011 , the amortized cost and fair value of securities subject to enhanced analysis and monitoring for potential changes in unrealized loss status was$1,015 million and$701 million , respectively.
Mortgage Loans on Real Estate
The following tables summarize key information on mortgage loans on real estate (in millions): As of December 31, 2011 As of December 31, 2010 Carrying Carrying Value % Value % Credit Quality Indicator Current $ 6,854 98.7 % $ 6,699 99.2 % Delinquent and in foreclosure (1) 88 1.3 % 53 0.8 % Total mortgage loans on real estate $ 6,942 100.0 % $ 6,752 100.0 % (1) As ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, there were 16 and 10 mortgage loans on real estate that were delinquent and in foreclosure, respectively. 96
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As of December 31, 2011 2010 By Segment Annuities $ 1,341 $ 1,172 Retirement Plan Services 1,080 920 Life Insurance 3,731 3,856 Group Protection 278 285 Other Operations 512 519
Total mortgage loans on real estate $ 6,942 $ 6,752 As of December 31, 2011 Allowance for Losses Balance as of beginning-of-year $ 13 Additions 24 Charge-offs, net of recoveries (6 ) Balance as of end-of-year $ 31 As of December 31, 2011 As of December 31, 2011 Carrying Carrying Value % Value % Property Type State Exposure Office building $ 2,207 31.8 % CA $ 1,579 22.7 % Industrial 1,775 25.6 % TX 636 9.2 % Retail 1,557 22.4 % MD 420 6.1 % Apartment 1,022 14.7 % VA 350 5.0 % Mixed use 152 2.2 % NC 285 4.1 % Hotel/Motel 132 1.9 % TN 279 4.0 % Other commercial 97 1.4 % FL 272 3.9 % Total $ 6,942 100.0 % WA 264 3.8 % GA 233 3.4 % Geographic Region AZ 216 3.1 % Pacific $ 1,965 28.3 % IN 208 3.0 % South Atlantic 1,689 24.3 % IL 189 2.7 % East North Central 671 9.7 % NV 184 2.7 % West South Central 656 9.5 % OH 177 2.5 % Mountain 553 8.0 % PA 174 2.5 % East South Central 475 6.8 % NY 150 2.2 % Middle Atlantic 442 6.4 % MN 149 2.1 % West North Central 349 5.0 % Other states under 2% 1,177 17.0 % New England 142 2.0 % Total $ 6,942 100.0 % Total $ 6,942 100.0 % 97
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As of December 31, 2011 As of December 31, 2011 Principal Principal Amount % Amount % Origination Year Future Principal Payments 2004 and prior $ 2,486 35.7 % 2012 $ 309 4.4 % 2005 783 11.3 % 2013 379 5.4 % 2006 647 9.3 % 2014 402 5.8 % 2007 911 13.1 % 2015 622 8.9 % 2008 796 11.4 % 2016 518 7.5 % 2009 148 2.1 % 2017 and thereafter 4,730 68.0 % 2010 280 4.0 % Total $ 6,960 100.0 % 2011 909 13.1 % Total $ 6,960 100.0 % The global financial markets and credit market conditions experienced a period of extreme volatility and disruption that began in the second half of 2007 and continued and substantially increased throughout 2008 that led to a decrease in the overall liquidity and availability of capital in the mortgage loan market, and in particular a decrease in activity by securitization lenders. These conditions and the overall economic downturn put pressure on the fundamentals of mortgage loans through rising vacancies, falling rents and falling property values.
See Note 5 for information regarding our loan-to-value and debt-service coverage ratios.
There were 12 and 9 impaired mortgage loans on real estate, or 1% and less than 1% of the total dollar amount of mortgage loans on real estate as ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. The carrying value on the mortgage loans on real estate that were two or more payments delinquent as ofDecember 31, 2011 , was$76 million , or 1% of total mortgage loans on real estate. The total principal and interest past due on the mortgage loans on real estate that were two or more payments delinquent as ofDecember 31, 2011 , was$41 million . The carrying value on the mortgage loans on real estate that were two or more payments delinquent as ofDecember 31, 2010 , was$48 million , or less than 1% of total mortgage loans on real estate. The total principal and interest past due on the mortgage loans on real estate that were two or more payments delinquent as ofDecember 31, 2010 , was$5 million . See Note 1 for more information regarding our accounting policy relating to the impairment of mortgage loans on real estate. Alternative Investments
Investment income (loss) on alternative investments by business segment (in millions) was as follows:
For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Annuities $ 10 $ 14 $ 3 -29 % NM Retirement Plan Services 6 10 2 -40 % NM Life Insurance 71 63 (66 ) 13 % 195 % Group Protection 3 5 1 -40 % NM Other Operations - 1 5 -100 % -80 % Total (1) $ 90 $ 93 $ (55 ) -3 % 269 %
(1) Represents net investment income on the alternative investments supporting
the required statutory surplus of our insurance businesses.
As ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, alternative investments included investments in approximately 96 and 95 different partnerships, respectively, and the portfolio represented less than 1% of our overall invested assets. The partnerships do not represent off-balance sheet financing and generally involve several third-party partners. Some of our partnerships contain capital calls, which require us to contribute capital upon notification by the general partner. These capital calls are contemplated during the initial investment decision and are planned for well in advance of the call date. The capital calls are not material in size and are not material to our liquidity. Alternative investments are accounted for using the equity method of accounting and are included in other investments on our Consolidated Balance Sheets. 98 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- As discussed in "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates - Investments - Valuation of Alternative Investments," we update the carrying value of our alternative investment portfolio whenever audited financial statements of the investees for the preceding year become available. Net investment income (loss) derived from our consolidated alternative investments by segment (in millions) related to the effect of preceding year audit adjustments recorded during the indicated year at the investee was as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Annuities $ 4 $ 2 $ (3 ) 100 % 167 % Retirement Plan Services 2 1 (3 ) 100 % 133 % Life Insurance 30 14 (65 ) 114 % 122 % Group Protection 2 1 (1 ) 100 % 200 % Total $ 38 $ 18 $ (72 ) 111 % 125 %
Non-Income Producing Investments
As of
Net Investment Income
Details underlying net investment income (in millions) and our investment yield were as follows:
For the Years EndedDecember 31 ,
Change Over Prior Year
2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Net Investment Income Fixed maturity AFS securities $ 3,842 $ 3,694 $ 3,474 4 % 6 % VIEs' fixed maturity AFS securities 14 14 - 0 % NM Equity AFS securities 5 6 8 -17 % -25 % Trading securities 154 157 159 -2 % -1 % Mortgage loans on real estate 408 424 462 -4 % -8 % Real estate 22 24 18 -8 % 33 % Standby real estate equity commitments 1 1 1 0 % 0 % Policy loans 165 169 172 -2 % -2 % Invested cash 4 7 15 -43 % -53 % Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (1) 82 67 24 22 % 179 % Alternative investments (2) 90 93 (55 ) -3 % 269 % Consent fees 3 8 5 -63 % 60 % Other investments (27 ) (3 ) 9 NM NM Investment income 4,763 4,661 4,292 2 % 9 % Investment expense (111 ) (120 ) (114 ) 8 % -5 %
Net investment income $ 4,652 $ 4,541 $ 4,178 2 % 9 %
(1) See "Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below
for additional information. (2) See "Alternative Investments" above for additional information. 99
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Basis Point Change For the Years Ended December 31, Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Interest Rate Yield Fixed maturity securities, mortgage loans on real estate and other, net of investment expenses 5.49 % 5.63 % 5.81 % (14 ) (18 ) Commercial mortgage loan prepayment and bond makewhole premiums 0.10 % 0.09 % 0.03 % 1 6 Alternative investments 0.11 % 0.12 % -0.08 % (1 ) 20 Consent fees 0.00 % 0.01 % 0.01 % (1 ) -
Net investment income yield on
invested assets 5.70 % 5.85 % 5.77 % (15 ) 8 For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Average invested assets at amortized cost $ 81,640 $ 77,558 $ 72,359 5 % 7 % We earn investment income on our general account assets supporting fixed annuity, term life, whole life, UL, interest-sensitive whole life and fixed portion of retirement plan and VUL products. The profitability of our fixed annuity and life insurance products is affected by our ability to achieve target spreads, or margins, between the interest income earned on the general account assets and the interest credited to the contract holder on our average fixed account values, including the fixed portion of variable. Net investment income and the interest rate yield table each include commercial mortgage loan prepayments and bond makewhole premiums, alternative investments and contingent interest and standby real estate equity commitments. These items can vary significantly from period to period due to a number of factors and therefore can provide results that are not indicative of the underlying trends. The increase in net investment income when comparing 2011 to 2010 was attributable to higher prepayment and bond makewhole premiums (see "Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums" below for more information) and higher invested assets driven primarily by favorable net flows on fixed account values, including the fixed portion of variable, partially offset by new money rates averaging below our portfolio yields.
Standby Real Estate Equity Commitments
Historically, we have entered into standby commitments, which obligated us to purchase real estate at a specified cost if a third-party sale does not occur within approximately one year after construction is completed. These commitments were used by a developer to obtain a construction loan from an outside lender on favorable terms. In return for issuing the commitment, we received an annual fee and a percentage of the profit when the property is sold. During 2009, we suspended the practice of entering into new standby real estate commitments. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , we did not have any standby real estate equity commitments. During 2011, we funded commitments of$19 million and recorded a gain of$6 million due to our funding being less than our estimated allowance for loss related to these commitments. As ofDecember 31, 2010 , we had standby real estate equity commitments totaling$53 million . During 2010, we funded commitments of$142 million and recorded a loss of$8 million . During 2009, we recorded a$69 million estimated allowance for loss related to the probable funding of our outstanding commitments. As a result of the 2011 and 2010 funding, the allowance for loss related to these commitments was$0 and$13 million as ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively.
Commercial Mortgage Loan Prepayment and Bond Makewhole Premiums
Prepayment and makewhole premiums are collected when borrowers elect to call or prepay their debt prior to the stated maturity. A prepayment or makewhole premium allows investors to attain the same yield as if the borrower made all scheduled interest payments until maturity. These premiums are designed to make investors indifferent to prepayment. 100 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The increase in prepayment and makewhole premiums when comparing 2011 to 2010 was attributable primarily to a decline in interest rates coupled with improvements in the capital markets and real estate financing environment, which resulted in more refinancing activity and more prepayment income.
Realized Gain (Loss) Related to Certain Investments
The detail of the realized gain (loss) related to certain investments (in millions) was as follows:
For the Years EndedDecember 31 ,
Change Over Prior Year
2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Fixed maturity AFS securities:
Gross gains $ 86 $ 107 $ 161 -20 % -34 % Gross losses (227 ) (248 ) (709 ) 8 % 65 % Equity AFS securities: Gross gains 12 9 6 33 % 50 % Gross losses - (3 ) (27 ) 100 % 89 % Gain (loss) on other investments (9 ) (53 ) (130 ) 83 % 59 % Associated amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI, and DFEL and changes in other contract holder funds (13 ) 8 161 NM -95 %
Total realized gain (loss)
related to certain investments, pre-tax $ (151 ) $ (180 ) $ (538 ) 16 % 67 % Amortization of DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL and changes in other contract holder funds reflect an assumption for an expected level of credit-related investment losses. When actual credit-related investment losses are realized, we recognize a true-up to our DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL amortization and changes in other contract holder funds within realized loss reflecting the incremental effect of actual versus expected credit-related investment losses. These actual to expected amortization adjustments could create volatility in net realized gains and losses. The write-down for impairments includes both credit-related and interest-rate related impairments. Realized gains and losses generally originate from asset sales to reposition the portfolio or to respond to product experience. During 2011 and 2010, we sold securities for gains and losses. In the process of evaluating whether a security with an unrealized loss reflects declines that are other-than-temporary, we consider our ability and intent to sell the security prior to a recovery of value. However, subsequent decisions on securities sales are made within the context of overall risk monitoring, assessing value relative to other comparable securities and overall portfolio maintenance. Although our portfolio managers may, at a given point in time, believe that the preferred course of action is to hold securities with unrealized losses that are considered temporary until such losses are recovered, the dynamic nature of portfolio management may result in a subsequent decision to sell. These subsequent decisions are consistent with the classification of our investment portfolio as AFS. We expect to continue to manage all non-trading invested assets within our portfolios in a manner that is consistent with the AFS classification. We consider economic factors and circumstances within countries and industries where recent write-downs have occurred in our assessment of the status of securities we own of similarly situated issuers. While it is possible for realized or unrealized losses on a particular investment to affect other investments, our risk management has been designed to identify correlation risks and other risks inherent in managing an investment portfolio. Once identified, strategies and procedures are developed to effectively monitor and manage these risks. The areas of risk correlation that we pay particular attention to are risks that may be correlated within specific financial and business markets, risks within specific industries and risks associated with related parties. When the detailed analysis by our credit analysts and investment portfolio managers leads us to the conclusion that a security's decline in fair value is other-than-temporary, the security is written down to estimated recovery value. In instances where declines are considered temporary, the security will continue to be carefully monitored. See "Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates" for additional information on our portfolio management strategy. 101 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Details underlying write-downs taken as a result of OTTI (in millions) were as follows:
For the Years EndedDecember 31 ,
Change Over Prior Year
2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Fixed maturity securities: Corporate bonds $ (14 ) $ (90 ) $ (214 ) 84 % 58 % RMBS (79 ) (65 ) (250 ) -22 % 74 % CMBS (57 ) (41 ) - -39 % NM CDOs (1 ) (1 ) (39 ) 0 % 97 %
Hybrid and redeemable preferred
securities (2 ) (5 ) (67 ) 60 % 93 %
Total fixed maturity securities (153 ) (202 ) (570 )
24 % 65 % Equity securities - (3 ) (27 ) 100 % 89 %
Gross OTTI recognized in net
income (loss) (153 ) (205 ) (597 ) 25 % 66 %
Associated amortization of DAC,
VOBA, DSI and DFEL 35 53 205 -34 % -74 %
Net OTTI recognized in net
income (loss), pre-tax $ (118 ) $ (152 ) $ (392 )
22 % 61 %
Portion of OTTI Recognized in OCI Gross OTTI recognized in OCI $ 58 $ 98 $ 357
-41 % -73 % Change in DAC, VOBA, DSI and DFEL (11 ) (10 ) (82 ) -10 % 88 %
Net portion of OTTI recognized in
OCI, pre-tax $ 47 $ 88 $ 275 -47 % -68 % The decrease in write-downs for OTTI when comparing 2011 to 2010 was primarily due to a decline in write-downs for OTTI on our corporate bonds attributable to continued strengthening of the associated market, partially offset by an increase in write-downs for OTTI on our AFS MBS attributable primarily to continued weakness within the commercial and residential real estate market that affected select RMBS and CMBS holdings. The$211 million of impairments taken during 2011 were split between$153 million of credit-related impairments and$58 million of noncredit-related impairments. The credit-related impairments were largely attributable to our RMBS and CMBS holdings primarily as a result of continued weakness within the commercial and residential real estate market that affected select RMBS and CMBS holdings. The noncredit-related impairments were incurred due to declines in values of securities for which we do not have an intent to sell or it is not more likely than not that we will be required to sell the securities before recovery. REINSURANCE Our insurance companies cede insurance to other companies. The portion of risks exceeding each of our insurance companies' retention limits is reinsured with other insurers. We seek reinsurance coverage within the businesses that sell life insurance to limit our exposure to mortality losses and enhance our capital management. We utilize inter-company reinsurance agreements to manage our statutory capital position as well as our hedge program for variable annuity guarantees. These inter-company agreements do not have an effect on our consolidated financial statements. Portions of our deferred annuity business have been reinsured on a modified coinsurance basis with other companies to limit our exposure to interest rate risks. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , the reserves associated with these reinsurance arrangements totaled$878 million . To cover products other than life insurance, we acquire other insurance coverage with retentions and limits that management believes are appropriate for the circumstances. The consolidated financial statements included in "Item 8. Financial Statements and Supplementary Data" reflect insurance premiums, insurance fees, benefits and DAC, net of insurance ceded. Our insurance companies remain liable if their reinsurers are unable to meet contractual obligations under applicable reinsurance agreements. Our amounts recoverable from reinsurers represent receivables from and reserves ceded to reinsurers. The amounts recoverable from reinsurers were$6.5 billion as ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010. We obtain reinsurance from a diverse group of reinsurers, and we monitor concentration and financial strength ratings of our principal reinsurers. Swiss Re represents our largest exposure. In 2001, we sold our reinsurance business to Swiss Re primarily through indemnity reinsurance arrangements. Because we are not relieved of our liability to the ceding companies for this business, the liabilities and obligations associated with the reinsured policies remain on our Consolidated Balance Sheets with a corresponding reinsurance receivable from Swiss Re, which totaled$2.8 billion and$3.0 billion as ofDecember 31, 2011 and 2010, respectively. Swiss Re has funded a trust with a balance of$2.2 billion 102 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- as ofDecember 31, 2011 , to support this business. In addition to various remedies that we would have in the event of a default by Swiss Re, we continue to hold assets in support of certain of the transferred reserves. These assets consist of those reported as trading securities and certain mortgage loans. Our liabilities for funds withheld and embedded derivatives included$1.0 billion and$142 million , respectively, as ofDecember 31, 2011 , related to the business sold to Swiss Re. We sold a block of disability income business to Swiss Re as part of several indemnity reinsurance transactions executed in 2001, as discussed above. OnJanuary 24, 2009 , an award of rescission was declared related to an ongoing dispute between us and Swiss Re for this treaty, which requires us to be fully responsible for all claims incurred and liabilities supporting this block as if the reinsurance treaty never existed. We completed a review of the adequacy of the reserves supporting the liabilities during the fourth quarter of 2009. See Note 13 for a discussion of the effects of the rescission.
See Note 9 for further information regarding reinsurance transactions.
For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above. REVIEW OF CONSOLIDATED FINANCIAL CONDITION Liquidity and Capital Resources
Sources of Liquidity and
Liquidity refers to the ability of an enterprise to generate adequate amounts of cash from its normal operations to meet cash requirements with a prudent margin of safety. Our principal sources of cash flow from operating activities are insurance premiums and fees and investment income, while sources of cash flows from investing activities result from maturities and sales of invested assets. Our operating activities provided cash of$1.3 billion ,$1.7 billion and$937 million in 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively. When considering our liquidity and cash flow, it is important to distinguish between the needs of our insurance subsidiaries and the needs of the holding company, LNC. As a holding company with no operations of its own, LNC derives its cash primarily from its operating subsidiaries. The sources of liquidity of the holding company are principally comprised of dividends and interest payments from subsidiaries, augmented by holding company short-term investments, bank lines of credit and the ongoing availability of long-term public financing under anSEC -filed shelf registration statement. These sources of liquidity and cash flow support the general corporate needs of the holding company, including its common and preferred stock dividends, interest and debt service, funding of callable securities, securities repurchases, acquisitions and investment in core businesses. Our cash flows associated with collateral received from and posted with counterparties change as the market value of the underlying derivative contract changes. As the value of a derivative asset declines (or increases), the collateral required to be posted by our counterparties would also decline (or increase). Likewise, when the value of a derivative liability declines (or increases), the collateral we are required to post for our counterparties' benefit would also decline (or increase). During 2011, our payables for collateral on derivative investments increased by$2.2 billion as declines in the equity and credit markets and interest rates increased the fair values of the associated derivative investments. For additional information, see "Credit Risk" in Note 6. 103 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Details underlying the primary sources of our holding company cash flows (in millions) were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 The Lincoln National Life Insurance Company ("LNL") $ 836 $ 712 $ 405 17 % 76 % Lincoln Financial Media (1) - - 2 NM -100 % First Penn-Pacific 18 - 50 NM -100 % Delaware Investments (2) - 390 10 -100 % NM Lincoln Barbados - - 300 NM -100 % Newton County Loan & Savings, FSB ("NCLS") 21 - - NM NM Loan Repayments and Interest from Subsidiaries Interest on inter-company notes 105 93 94 13 % -1 % $ 980 $ 1,195 $ 861 -18 % 39 % OtherCash Flow and Liquidity Items Net proceeds on common stock issuance $ - $ 368 $ 652 -100 % -44 % Lincoln UK sale proceeds - 18 307 -100 % -94 % Increase (decrease) in commercial paper, net (100 ) 1 (216 ) NM 100 % Net capital received from (paid for taxes on) stock option exercises and restricted stock (1 ) - (1 ) NM 100 % $ (101 ) $ 387 $ 742 NM -48 %
(1) During May of 2009,
(2) For 2010, amount includes proceeds on the sale of
information, see Note 3.
The table above focuses on significant and recurring cash flow items and excludes the effects of certain financing activities, namely the periodic issuance and retirement of debt and cash flows related to our inter-company cash management program (discussed below). Taxes have been eliminated from the analysis due to a tax sharing agreement among our primary subsidiaries resulting in a modest effect on net cash flows at the holding company. Also excluded from this analysis is the modest amount of investment income on short-term investments of the holding company.See "Part IV - Item 15(a)(2) Financial Statement Schedules - Schedule II - Condensed Financial Information of Registrant" for the parent company cash flow statement.
Dividends from Subsidiaries
Our insurance subsidiaries are subject to certain insurance department regulatory restrictions as to the transfer of funds and payment of dividends to the holding company. UnderIndiana laws and regulations, ourIndiana insurance subsidiaries, including our primary insurance subsidiary, LNL, may pay dividends to LNC without prior approval of the Indiana Insurance Commissioner (the "Commissioner") only from unassigned surplus or must receive prior approval of the Commissioner to pay a dividend if such dividend, along with all other dividends paid within the preceding 12 consecutive months, would exceed the statutory limitation. The current statutory limitation is the greater of 10% of the insurer's contract holders' surplus, as shown on its last annual statement on file with the Commissioner or the insurer's statutory net gain from operations for the previous 12 months, but in no event to exceed statutory unassigned surplus. As discussed in "Part I - Item 1. Business - Regulatory - Insurance Regulation" above, we may not consider the benefit from the statutory accounting principles relating to our insurance subsidiaries' deferred tax assets in calculating available dividends.Indiana law gives the Commissioner broad discretion to disapprove requests for dividends in excess of these limits.New York , the state of domicile of our other major insurance subsidiary,Lincoln Life & Annuity Company of New York , has similar restrictions, except that inNew York it is the lesser of 10% of surplus to contract holders as of the immediately preceding calendar year or net gain from operations for the immediately preceding calendar year, not including realized capital gains. We expect our domestic insurance subsidiaries could pay dividends of approximately$675 million in 2012 without prior approval from the respective state commissioners. The amount of surplus that our insurance subsidiaries could pay as dividends is 104
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- constrained by the amount of surplus we hold to maintain our ratings, to provide an additional layer of margin for risk protection and for future investment in our businesses. We maintain an investment portfolio of various holdings, types and maturities. These investments are subject to general credit, liquidity, market and interest rate risks. An extended disruption in the credit and capital markets could adversely affect LNC and its subsidiaries' ability to access sources of liquidity, and there can be no assurance that additional financing will be available to us on favorable terms, or at all, in the current market environment. In addition, further OTTI could reduce our statutory surplus, leading to lower RBC ratios and potentially reducing future dividend capacity from our insurance subsidiaries.
Subsidiaries' Statutory Reserving and Surplus
The RBC ratio is an important factor in the determination of the credit and financial strength ratings of LNC and its subsidiaries, as a reduction in our insurance subsidiaries' surplus may affect their RBC ratios and dividend-paying capacity. For a discussion of RBC ratios, see "Part I - Item 1. Business - Regulatory - Insurance Regulation -Risk-Based Capital ." Statutory reserves established for variable annuity contracts and riders are sensitive to changes in the equity markets and are affected by the level of account values relative to the level of any guarantees, product design and reinsurance arrangements. As a result, the relationship between reserve changes and equity market performance is non-linear during any given reporting period. Market conditions greatly influence the ultimate capital required due to its effect on the valuation of reserves and derivative assets hedging these reserves. For example, if the level of the S&P 500 had been 10% lower as ofDecember 31, 2011 , we estimate that our RBC ratios would have declined by approximately 5% to 15% of RBC. Likewise, if the level of the S&P 500 had been 10% higher as ofDecember 31, 2011 , we estimate that our RBC ratios would have increased by approximately 1% to 10% of RBC. However, the magnitude of such sensitivities could vary significantly depending on a variety of factors, including, but not limited to, contract holder activity, hedge positions, changes in interest rates and the rate or volatility of market movements. Changes in equity markets may also affect the capital position of our captive reinsurance subsidiaries based on their hedge position at the time. We may decide to reallocate available capital between our insurance subsidiaries and captives, which would result in different RBC ratios for our insurance subsidiaries. In addition, changes in the equity markets can affect the value of our variable annuity separate accounts. When the market value of our separate account assets increases, the statutory surplus within our insurance subsidiaries also increases. Contrarily, when the market value of our separate account assets decreases, the statutory surplus within our insurance subsidiaries may also decrease, which may affect RBC ratios, and in the case of our separate account assets becoming less than the related product liabilities, we must allocate additional capital to fund the difference. We continue to analyze the use of existing captive reinsurance structures, as well as additional third-party reinsurance arrangements, and our current hedging strategies relative to managing the effects of equity markets and interest rates on the statutory reserves, statutory capital and the dividend capacity of our life insurance subsidiaries. For discussion of our strategies to lessen the burden of increased AG38 and XXX statutory reserves associated with certain UL products and other products with secondary guarantees on our insurance subsidiaries, see "Results of Life Insurance - Income (Loss) from Operations - Strategies to Address Statutory Reserve Strain."
Financing Activities
Although our subsidiaries currently generate adequate cash flow to meet the needs of our normal operations, periodically we may issue debt or equity securities to maintain ratings and increase liquidity, as well as to fund internal growth, acquisitions and the retirement of our debt and equity securities.
We currently have an effective shelf registration statement, which allows us to issue, in unlimited amounts, securities, including debt securities, preferred stock, common stock, warrants, stock purchase contracts, stock purchase units, depository shares and trust preferred securities of our affiliated trusts. 105 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Details underlying debt and financing activities (in millions) were as follows: For the Year Ended December 31, 2011 Change Maturities in Fair Beginning and Value Other Ending Balance Issuance Repayments Hedges Changes (1) Balance Short-Term Debt Commercial paper (2) $ 100 $ - $ - $ - $ (100 ) $ - Current maturities of long-term debt (3) 250 - (250 ) - 300 300 Other short-term debt (4) 1 - (1 ) - - - Total short-term debt $ 351 $ - $ (251 ) $ - $ 200 $ 300 Long-Term Debt Senior notes $ 3,464 $ 300 $ - $ 264 $ (298 ) $ 3,730 Bank borrowing 200 - - - - 200Federal Home Loan Bank of Indianapolis ("FHLBI") advance 250 - - - - 250 Capital securities 1,485 - (275 ) - 1 1,211 Total long-term debt $ 5,399 $ 300 $ (275
)
(1) Includes the net increase (decrease) in commercial paper, non-cash
reclassification of long-term debt to current maturities of long-term debt,
accretion of discounts and (amortization) of premiums, as applicable.
(2) During 2011, we had an average of
outstanding of
of 0.20%. (3) Consisted of a$300 million 5.65% fixed rate senior note that matures in less than one year. As ofDecember 31, 2010 , we reported$250 million in
short-term debt that consisted of a fixed rate senior note that matured on
(4) Consisted of advances from the FHLBI with a maturity of less than one year
when made.
For more information about our debt issuances, maturities and redemptions, see Note 12.
Within the next two years, we have a$300 million 5.65% fixed rate senior note maturing onAugust 27, 2012 , and a$200 million floating rate senior note maturing onJuly 18, 2013 . The specific resources or combination of resources that we will use to meet these maturities will depend upon, among other things, the financial market conditions present at the time of maturity. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , the holding company had$622 million in cash and cash equivalents and$25 million invested in fixed maturity corporate bonds; however, as discussed below, it had a$58 million payable under the inter-company cash management program. We have not accounted for repurchase agreements, securities lending transactions, or other transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase the transferred assets as sales and do have any other transactions involving the transfer of financial assets with an obligation to repurchase the transferred assets. For information about our collateralized financing transactions on our investments, see "Payables for Collateral on Investments" in Note 5.
For information about our credit facilities and LOCs, see Note 12.
If current credit ratings and claims-paying ratings were downgraded in the future, terms in our derivative agreements may be triggered, which could negatively affect overall liquidity. For the majority of our counterparties, there is a termination event should the long-term senior debt ratings of LNC drop below BBB-/Baa3 (S&P/Moody's). Our long-term senior debt held a rating of A-/Baa2 (S&P/Moody's) as ofDecember 31, 2011 . In addition, contractual selling agreements with intermediaries could be negatively affected, which could have an adverse effect on overall sales of annuities, life insurance and investment products.See "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Liquidity and Capital Position - A decrease in the capital and surplus of our insurance subsidiaries may result in a downgrade to our credit and insurer financial strength ratings" and "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Covenants and Ratings - A downgrade in our financial strength or credit ratings could limit our ability to market products, increase the number or value of policies being surrendered and/or hurt our relationships with creditors" for more information.See "Part I - Item 1. Business - Financial Strength Ratings" for additional information on our current financial strength ratings. Our indicative credit ratings published by the primary rating agencies are set forth below. Securities are rated at the time of issuance so actual ratings may differ from the indicative ratings. There may be other rating agencies that also provide credit ratings, which we do not disclose in our reports. 106 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The long-term credit rating scales ofA.M. Best , Fitch, Moody's and S&P are characterized as follows: ·A.M. Best - aaa to d · Fitch - AAA to D · Moody's - Aaa to C · S&P - AAA to D As ofFebruary 21, 2012 , our indicative long-term credit ratings, as published by the principal rating agencies that rate our long-term credit, were as follows: A.M. Best Fitch Moody's S&P a- BBB+ Baa2 A- (7th of 22) (8th of 21) (9th of 21) (7th of 22) The short-term credit rating scales ofA.M. Best , Fitch, Moody's and S&P are characterized as follows: ·A.M. Best - AMB-1+ to d · Fitch - F1+ to D · Moody's - P-1 to NP · S&P - A-1 to D As ofFebruary 21, 2012 , our indicative short-term credit ratings, as published by the principal rating agencies that rate our short-term credit, were as follows: A.M. Best Fitch Moody's S&P AMB-1 F2 P-2 A-2 (2nd of 6) (3rd of 8) (2nd of 4) (2nd of 9) A downgrade of our debt ratings could affect our ability to raise additional debt with terms and conditions similar to our current debt, and accordingly, likely increase our cost of capital. In addition, a downgrade of these ratings could make it more difficult to raise capital to refinance any maturing debt obligations, to support business growth at our insurance subsidiaries and to maintain or improve the current financial strength ratings of our principal insurance subsidiaries described in "Part I - Item 1. Business - Financial Strength Ratings." All ratings are on outlook stable, except Moody's ratings, which are on outlook positive. All of our ratings are subject to revision or withdrawal at any time by the rating agencies, and therefore, no assurance can be given that we can maintain these ratings. Each rating should be evaluated independently of any other rating.
Management monitors the covenants associated with LNC's capital securities.
If
we fail to meet capital adequacy or net income and stockholders' equity levels (also referred to as "trigger events"), terms in the agreements may be triggered, which would require us to make interest payments in accordance with an alternative coupon satisfaction mechanism ("ACSM"). This would require us to use commercially reasonable efforts to pay interest in full on the capital securities with the net proceeds from sales of our common stock and warrants to purchase our common stock with an exercise price greater than the market price. We would have to utilize the ACSM until the trigger events above no longer existed. If we were required to utilize the ACSM and were successful in selling sufficient shares of common stock or warrants to satisfy the interest payment, we would dilute the current holders of our common stock. Furthermore, while a trigger event is occurring and if we do not pay accrued interest in full, we may not, among other things, pay dividends on or repurchase our capital stock. We have not triggered either the net income test or the overall stockholders' equity test looking forward to the quarters ending March 31, 2012 , and June 30, 2012 . For more information, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors - Covenants and Ratings - We will be required to pay interest on our capital securities with proceeds from the issuance of qualifying securities if we fail to achieve capital adequacy or net income and stockholders' equity levels."
Alternative Sources of Liquidity
In order to manage our capital more efficiently, we have an inter-company cash management program where certain subsidiaries can lend to or borrow from the holding company to meet short-term borrowing needs. The cash management program is essentially a series of demand loans, which are permitted under applicable insurance laws, among LNC and its affiliates that reduces overall borrowing costs by allowing LNC and its subsidiaries to access internal resources instead of incurring third-party transaction costs. For ourIndiana -domiciled insurance subsidiaries, the borrowing and lending limit is currently the lesser of 3% 107 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- of the insurance company's admitted assets and 25% of its surplus, in both cases, as of its most recent year end. The holding company did not borrow from the cash management program during 2011; however, it had an outstanding payable of$58 million to certain subsidiaries resulting from amounts placed by the subsidiaries in the inter-company cash management account in excess of funds borrowed by those subsidiaries as ofDecember 31, 2011 . Any increase (decrease) in either of these holding company cash management program payable balances results in an immediate and equal increase (decrease) to holding company cash and cash equivalents. Our insurance subsidiaries, by virtue of their general account fixed income investment holdings, can access liquidity through securities lending programs and repurchase agreements. As ofDecember 31, 2011 , our insurance subsidiaries had securities with a carrying value of$200 million out on loan under the securities lending program and$280 million carrying value subject to reverse-repurchase agreements. The cash received in our securities lending program is typically invested in cash equivalents, short-term investments or fixed maturity securities. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Divestitures
For a discussion of our divestitures, see Note 3.
Uses of Capital
Our principal uses of cash are to pay policy claims and benefits, operating expenses, commissions and taxes, to purchase new investments, to purchase reinsurance, to fund policy surrenders and withdrawals, to pay dividends to our stockholders and to repurchase our stock and debt securities.
Return of Capital to Common Stockholders
One of the Company's primary goals is to provide a return to our common stockholders through share price accretion, dividends and stock repurchases. In determining dividends, the Board takes into consideration items such as current and expected earnings, capital needs, rating agency considerations and requirements for financial flexibility. The amount and timing of share repurchase depends on key capital ratios, rating agency expectations, the generation of free cash flow and an evaluation of the costs and benefits associated with alternative uses of capital. 108 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Details underlying this activity (in millions, except per share data), were as follows: For the Years Ended December 31, Change Over Prior Year 2011 2010 2009 2011 2010
Common dividends to stockholders $ 62 $ 12
NM -81 % Repurchase and cancellation of common stock warrants - 48 - -100 % NM Repurchase of common stock 576 25 - NM NM Total cash returned to stockholders $ 638 $ 85 $ 62 NM 37 % Number of shares issued - 14.138 46.000 -100 % -70 % Average price per share $ - $ 26.09 $ 14.34 -100 % 86 % Number of shares repurchased 24.661 1.048 - NM NM Average price per share $ 23.33 $ 23.87 $ - -4 % NM OnNovember 10, 2011 , our Board of Directors approved an increase of the dividend on our common stock from$0.05 to$0.08 per share. Additionally, we expect to repurchase additional shares of common stock during 2012 depending on market conditions and alternative uses of capital. For more information regarding share repurchases, see "Part II - Item 5(c)" above.
Other Uses of Capital
In addition to the amounts in the table above in "Return of Capital to Common Stockholders," other uses of holding company cash flow (in millions) were as follows: For the Years EndedDecember 31 ,
Change Over Prior Year
2011 2010 2009 2011 2010 Debt service (interest paid) $ 303 $ 280 $ 238 8 % 18 % Capital contribution to subsidiaries 17 125 1,260 -86 % -90 % Total $ 320 $ 405 $ 1,498 -21 % -73 % The above table focuses on significant and recurring cash flow items and excludes the effects of certain financing activities, namely the periodic retirement of debt and cash flows related to our inter-company cash management account. Taxes have been eliminated from the analysis due to a tax sharing agreement among our primary subsidiaries resulting in a modest effect on net cash flows at the holding company.
Contractual Obligations
Details underlying our future estimated cash payments for our contractual obligations (in millions) as of
Less More Than 1 - 3 3 - 5 Than 1 Year Years Years 5 Years
Total
Future contract benefits and other contract holder obligations (1) $ 14,598 $ 26,257 $ 22,501 $ 68,543 $ 131,899 Short-term debt (2) 300 - - - 300 Long-term debt (2) - 700 250 4,138 5,088 Payables for collateral on investments (3) 517 37 - - 554 Operating leases 40 67 48 56 211 Football stadium naming rights (4) 7 14 14 46 81 Outsourcing arrangements (5) 13 21 17 - 51 Retirement and other plans (6) 94 184 185 466 929 Totals $ 15,569 $ 27,280 $ 23,015 $ 73,249 $ 139,113 109
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
(1) We have made significant assumptions to determine the estimated undiscounted
cash flows of these policies and contracts, which include mortality,
morbidity, future lapse rates and interest crediting rates and assumed an 8%
rate to arrive at discounted cash flows. Due to the significance of the
assumptions used, the amounts presented could materially differ from actual
results. See Note 1 for details of what these liabilities include and represent. (2) Represents principal amounts of debt only. See Note 12 for additional information.
(3) Excludes collateral payable held for derivative investments. See Note 5 for
additional information.
(4) Includes a maximum annual increase related to the Consumer Price Index. See
Note 13 for additional information.
(5) Includes an information technology agreement and certain other outsourcing
arrangements. See Note 13 for additional information. (6) Includes anticipated funding for benefit payments for our retirement and postretirement plans through 2021 and known payments under deferred compensation arrangements. See Note 17 for additional information.
In addition to the contractual commitments outlined in the table above, we periodically fund the employees' defined benefit plans, discussed in "Defined Benefit Contributions" below.
Due to the uncertainty with respect to the timing of future cash flows associated with our unrecognized tax benefits as ofDecember 31, 2011 , we are unable to make reasonably reliable estimates of the period of cash settlement with the respective taxing authority. Therefore,$409 million of unrecognized tax benefits and its associated interest have been excluded from the contractual obligations table above. See Note 7 for additional information.
Contingencies and Off-Balance Sheet Arrangements
We do not have any off-balance sheet arrangements that are reasonably likely to have a material effect on our financial condition, results of operations, liquidity or capital resources. Details underlying our contingent commitments and off-balance sheet arrangements (in millions) as ofDecember 31, 2011 , were as follows: Amount of Commitment Expiring per Period Total Less Than 1 - 3 3 - 5 After Amount 1 Year Years Years 5 Years Committed Bank lines of credit $ - $ - $ 2,000 $ 1,821 $ 3,821 Investment commitments 345 124 72 - 541 Media commitments (1) 20 12 1 - 33 Total $ 365 $ 136 $ 2,073 $ 1,821 $ 4,395
(1) Consists primarily of employment contracts, sports rights fees and rating
service contracts. Defined Benefit Contributions We contributed$36 million ,$31 million and$11 million in 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively, to U.S. pension plans;$1 million , less than$1 million and$44 million in 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively, to ourU.K. pension plan; and$15 million ,$15 million and$16 million in 2011, 2010 and 2009, respectively, to our postretirement plan that provides medical, dental and life insurance benefits. Our U.S. defined benefit pension plans were frozen as ofDecember 31, 2007 , or earlier; and our non-U.S. defined benefit pension plan was frozen as ofSeptember 30, 2009 . For our frozen plans, there are no new participants and no future accruals of benefits from the date of the freeze. Based on our calculations, we expect to be required to make a$1 million contribution related to administrative expenses to our qualified pension plans in 2012 under applicable pension law. In addition, we analyze and review opportunities to make contributions in excess of those required under applicable pension law. Such excess contributions will be made from time to time if, based on our analysis, we believe that the excess contributions serve the best interests of both the Company and of plan participants.
We expect to fund approximately
The majority of contributions and benefit payments are made by our insurance subsidiaries with little holding company cash flow affects. See Note 17 for additional information.
110 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Significant Trends in Sources and Uses of
As stated above, LNC's cash flow, as a holding company, is largely dependent upon the dividend capacity of its insurance company subsidiaries as well as their ability to advance funds to it through inter-company borrowing arrangements, which may be affected by factors influencing the insurance subsidiaries' RBC and statutory earnings performance. We currently expect to be able to meet the holding company's ongoing cash needs and to have sufficient capital to offer downside protection in the event that the capital and credit markets experience another period of extreme volatility and disruption. A decline in capital market conditions, which reduces our insurance subsidiaries' statutory surplus and RBC, may require them to retain more capital and may pressure our subsidiaries' dividends to the holding company, which may lead us to take steps to preserve or raise additional capital. For factors that could affect our expectations for liquidity and capital, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors." OTHER MATTERS
Other Factors Affecting Our Business
In general, our businesses are subject to a changing social, economic, legal, legislative and regulatory environment. Some of the changes include initiatives to require more reserves to be carried by our insurance subsidiaries. Although the eventual effect on us of the changing environment in which we operate remains uncertain, these factors and others could have a material effect on our results of operations, liquidity and capital resources. For factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those set forth in this section, see "Part I - Item 1A. Risk Factors" and "Forward-Looking Statements - Cautionary Language" above.
Recent Accounting Pronouncements
See Note 2 for a discussion of recent accounting pronouncements that have been implemented during the periods presented or that have been issued and are to be implemented in the future.
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