UNITED FIRE GROUP INC - 10-Q - MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS - Insurance News | InsuranceNewsNet

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May 9, 2023 Newswires
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UNITED FIRE GROUP INC – 10-Q – MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

Edgar Glimpses

The following Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and
Results of Operations should be read in conjunction with Part I, Item 1
"Financial Statements."

CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES


Critical accounting policies are defined as those that are representative of
significant judgments and uncertainties and that potentially may result in
materially different results under different assumptions and conditions. We base
our discussion and analysis of our consolidated financial condition and results
of operations on the amounts reported in our Consolidated Financial Statements,
which we have prepared in accordance with U.S. generally accepted accounting
principles ("GAAP"). As we prepare these Consolidated Financial Statements, we
must make estimates and assumptions that affect the reported amounts of assets
and liabilities, the disclosure of contingent assets and liabilities at the date
of the financial statements, and the reported amounts of revenues and expenses
for the reporting period. We evaluate our estimates on an ongoing basis. We base
our estimates on historical experience and on other assumptions that we believe
to be reasonable under the circumstances. Actual results could differ from those
estimates. Our critical accounting policies are more fully described in our
Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of
Operations presented in Part II, Item 7 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for
the year ended December 31, 2022. There have been no changes in our critical
accounting policies from December 31, 2022.

INTRODUCTION


The purpose of this Management's Discussion and Analysis is to provide an
understanding of our results of operations and consolidated financial condition.
Our Management's Discussion and Analysis should be read in conjunction with our
Consolidated Financial Statements and related notes, including those in Part II,
Item 8 of our Annual Report on Form 10-K/A for the year ended December 31, 2022.
Our Consolidated Financial Statements are prepared in accordance with GAAP. We
also prepare financial statements for each of our insurance company subsidiaries
based on statutory accounting principles and file them with insurance regulatory
authorities in the states where they do business.

When we provide information on a statutory or other basis, we label it as such,
otherwise all other data is presented in accordance with GAAP.

BUSINESS OVERVIEW


Founded in 1946 as United Fire & Casualty Company, United Fire Group, Inc.
("UFG, the "Company," "we," "us," or "our") and its consolidated insurance
subsidiaries provide insurance protection for individuals and businesses through
several regional offices. Our property and casualty insurance company
subsidiaries are licensed in 50 states plus the District of Columbia and are
represented by approximately 1,000 independent agencies.

Our primary sources of revenue are premiums and investment income. Major
categories of expenses from our operations include losses and loss settlement
expenses, underwriting and other operating expenses.

Reportable Segments

Our property and casualty insurance business operates and reports as one
business segment. For more information, refer to Part I, Item 1, Note 1. "Nature
of Operations and Basis of Presentation."

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Lloyd's Syndicates

As of January 1, 2021, the Company became a member of Lloyd's of London
("Lloyd's"). As a member of Lloyd's, the Company is required to maintain capital
at Lloyd's, referred to as Funds at Lloyd's ("FAL"), to support underwriting of
property and casualty and reinsurance business by Syndicate 1492, Syndicate
1729, Syndicate 1969, Syndicate 1971, Syndicate 4747, Syndicate 2988, Syndicate
1699 and Syndicate 5623. At March 31, 2023, the Company's FAL investments were
comprised of cash of $23.7 million on deposit with Lloyd's in order to satisfy
these FAL requirements.

Personal Lines Business

In May 2020, the Company entered into a renewal rights agreement for our
personal lines business, providing our independent insurance agents with the
opportunity to transfer their personal lines policies to Nationwide Mutual
Insurance Company beginning in the third quarter of 2020. The majority of this
transfer was completed by December 31, 2021. There is an immaterial amount of
personal lines business remaining primarily in New Jersey as of March 31, 2023.
The business remaining in New Jersey is scheduled to lapse by the end of 2025.

Pooling Arrangement


All of our property and casualty insurance subsidiaries are members of an
intercompany reinsurance pooling arrangement. The Company's pooling arrangement
permits the participating companies to rely on the capacity of the entire pool's
capital and surplus, rather than being limited to policy exposures of a size
commensurate with each participant's own surplus level.

Geographic Concentration

For the three-month period ended March 31, 2023, approximately 46.9 percent of
our property and casualty premiums were written in Texas, California, Iowa,
Missouri, and Louisiana.

Profit Factors


Our profitability is influenced by many factors, including price, competition,
economic conditions, investment returns, interest rates, catastrophic events and
other natural disasters, man-made disasters, state regulations, court decisions,
and changes in the law. To manage these risks and uncertainties, we seek to
achieve consistent profitability through strong agency relationships,
exceptional customer service, fair and prompt claims handling, disciplined
underwriting, superior loss control services, prudent management of our
investments, appropriate matching of assets and liabilities, effective use of
ceded reinsurance and effective and efficient use of technology.



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FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
                                                                                   Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands, Except Ratios)                                              2023                  2022                 %
Revenues
Net premiums earned                                                  $     256,127           $ 234,228                  9.3  %
Investment income, net of investment expenses                               12,722              11,276                 12.8

Net investment gains (losses)                                               (1,745)               (465)              (275.3)
Other income (loss)                                                              -                 (25)               100.0
Total revenues                                                       $     267,104           $ 245,014                  9.0  %

Benefits, Losses and Expenses
Losses and loss settlement expenses                                  $     174,597           $ 130,376                 33.9  %
Amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs                           59,835              50,471                 18.6
Other underwriting expenses                                                 31,876              28,644                 11.3
Interest expense                                                               797                 797                    -

Total benefits, losses and expenses                                  $     267,105           $ 210,288                 27.0  %

Income (loss) before income taxes                                    $          (1)          $  34,726               (100.0) %
Federal income tax expense (benefit)                                          (695)              6,377               (110.9)
Net income (loss)                                                    $         694           $  28,349                (97.6)

GAAP Ratios:
Net underlying loss ratio (1)                                                 63.5   %            57.5  %              10.4  %
Catastrophes - effect on net loss ratio (1)                                    4.6                 2.6                 76.9
Reserve development-effect on net loss ratio (1)                               0.1                (4.4)               102.3
Net loss ratio (2)                                                            68.2   %            55.7  %              22.4  %
Expense ratio (3)                                                             35.8                33.8                  5.9
Combined ratio (4)                                                           104.0   %            89.5  %              16.2  %


(1) Net underlying loss ratio is defined as the net loss ratio less impacts of
catastrophes and non-catastrophe prior year reserve development.
(2) Net loss ratio is calculated by dividing the sum of losses and loss
settlement expenses by net premiums earned. We use the net loss ratio as a
measure of the overall underwriting profitability of the insurance business we
write and to assess the adequacy of our pricing. Our net loss ratio is
meaningful in evaluating our financial results as reported in our Consolidated
Financial Statements.
(3) Expense ratio is calculated by dividing non-deferred underwriting expenses
and amortization of deferred policy acquisition costs by net premiums earned.
The expense ratio measures a company's operational efficiency in producing,
underwriting and administering its insurance business.
(4) Combined ratio is a commonly used financial measure of property and casualty
underwriting performance. A combined ratio below 100.0 percent generally
indicates a profitable book of business. The combined ratio is the sum of the
net loss ratio and the underwriting expense ratio.
NM = Not meaningful


The following is a summary of our financial performance for the three-month
period ended March 31, 2023:

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS


For the three-month period ended March 31, 2023, net income was $0.7 million
compared to a net income of $28.3 million for the same period of 2022. The
change was primarily due to higher loss and loss adjustment expenses offset by
an increase in earned premium.

Net premiums earned increased 9.3 percent during the three-month period ended
March 31, 2023 compared to the same period of 2022. Profitable growth is our
primary consideration when putting new business on the books and these results
reflect growth in assumed reinsurance, other liability, and surety. For the
three-month period ended


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March 31, 2023, the overall average increase in renewal premiums was 7.4%, with
2.9% from exposure changes and 4.5% from rate increases. Excluding the workers'
compensation line of business, the overall average increase in renewal premiums
was 8.9%, with 3.1% from exposures changes and 5.8% from rate increases.

Net investment income was $12.7 million for the first quarter of 2023 as
compared to $11.3 million for the same period in 2022. The first quarter of 2023
experienced increased fixed maturity income of $2.4 million which was a result
of higher investment yields due to higher interest rates. This was partially
offset by the change in fair value of our investments in limited liability
partnerships. The valuation of these investments in limited liability
partnerships varies from period to period due to the current equity market
conditions, specifically related to financial institutions.

The Company recognized net investment losses of $1.7 million during the first
quarter of 2023, compared to net investment losses of $0.5 million for the same
period in 2022. The change in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as
compared to the same period in 2022 was primarily due to the change in the fair
value of our investments in equity securities.

Losses and loss settlement expenses increased by 33.9 percent during the
three-month period ended March 31, 2023, compared to the same period of 2022,
driven by an increase in underlying losses due primarily to the impact of
emerging loss trends that led to adverse prior period development in the third
and fourth quarters of 2022 as well as increased ceded reinsurance costs and
higher retentions across the broader portfolio. There is an additional increase
attributable to a shift in accident year loss ratio assumed reinsurance
business. This business continues to perform in line with our expectations.

The GAAP combined ratio increased by 14.5 percentage points to 104.0 percent for
the first quarter of 2023, compared to 89.5 percent in the same period in 2022.
The deterioration was driven by an increase in the underlying loss ratio of 6.0
percentage points, unfavorable prior period reserve development in the current
quarter compared to favorable development in the prior period leading to an
increase of 4.5 percentage points, and increases in catastrophe loss and
underwriting expenses contributing 2.0 percentage points each. Each of these are
explained in more detail below.

The net loss ratio increased 12.5 percentage points during the first quarter of
2023 as compared to the same period in 2022. The underlying loss ratio of 63.5%
increased 6.0 percentage points which was partially driven by the impacts of the
third and fourth quarter 2022 reserve strengthening in long-tailed other
liability lines of business that increased our prospective view of loss costs as
well as increased ceded reinsurance costs and retentions across the broader
portfolio. Also contributing was a shift in accident year loss ratio assumptions
for the assumed reinsurance book resulting in a greater portion of loss
attributed to the current accident year that better reflects the exposure for
this business. This shift was effectively neutral across the total loss ratio.
Unfavorable prior period reserve development was 0.1% this quarter compared to
favorable development of 4.4% in the first quarter of 2022.

Pre-tax catastrophe losses in the first quarter of 2023 added 4.6 percentage
points to the combined ratio compared to 2.6 percentage points added to the
combined ratio in the first quarter of 2022. Elevated severe weather losses
resulted in this increase of 2.0 percentage points compared to last year. The
catastrophe loss ratio was 1.3 percentage points above our 10-year historic mean
catastrophe loss ratio, and in line with our 5-year historical average for the
first quarter.

The underwriting expense ratio for the first quarter of 2023 was 35.8 percent
compared to 33.8 percent for the first quarter of 2022. The expense ratio
increased 2.0 percentage points compared to the first quarter of 2022 as a
result of strategic investments in talent and technology, as well as changes to
our post-retirement benefit plans that reduced expenses in 2022 but have since
concluded.

For a detailed discussion of our investment results, refer to the "Investment
Portfolio" section below.


Reserve Development

For many liability claims, significant periods of time, ranging up to several
years, and for certain construction defect claims, more than a decade, may
elapse between the occurrence of the loss, the reporting of the loss to us

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and the settlement or other disposition of the claim. As a result, loss
experience in the more recent accident years for the long-tail liability
coverages has limited statistical credibility in our reserving process because a
relatively small proportion of losses in these accident years are reported
claims and an even smaller proportion are paid losses. In addition, long-tail
liability claims are more susceptible to litigation and can be significantly
affected by changing contract interpretations and the legal environment.
Consequently, the estimation of loss reserves for long-tail coverages is more
complex and subject to a higher degree of variability. Reserves for these
long-tail coverages represent a significant portion of our overall carried
reserves.


When establishing reserves and monitoring reserve adequacy, we analyze
historical data and consider the potential impact of various loss development
factors and trends, including historical loss experience, legislative
enactments, judicial decisions, legal developments in imposition of damages,
experience with alternative dispute resolution, results of our medical bill
review process, the potential impact of salvage and subrogation, and changes and
trends in general economic conditions, including the effects of inflation. All
of these factors influence our estimates of required reserves and, for long-tail
lines these factors can change over the course of the settlement of the claim.
However, there is no precise method for evaluating the specific dollar impact of
any individual factor on the development of reserves.

Our reserving philosophy is to reserve claims to their ultimate expected loss
amount as soon as practicable after information about a claim becomes available.
This approach tends to produce, on average, conservative case reserves, which we
expect to result in some level of favorable development over the course of
settlement.

2023 Development


The property and casualty insurance business experienced $4.1 million
unfavorable development in our net reserves for prior accident years for the
three-month period ended March 31, 2023. This was driven by development on
catastrophe losses. Fire and allied lines experienced unfavorable development on
wind and hail catastrophes primarily from 2022 storms, as well as unfavorable
development in assumed reinsurance. Non-catastrophe reserve development was flat
with unfavorable development in commercial other liability and workers'
compensation offset by favorable development in fire and allied lines and
commercial automobile.

2022 Development


The property and casualty insurance business experienced $6.7 million of
favorable development in our net reserves for prior accident years for the
three-month period ended March 31, 2022. The majority of the favorable
development came from the commercial automobile line of business which had $12.7
million favorable development. Partially offsetting the favorable development
was unfavorable development from three lines of business: commercial other
liability experienced $3.7 million of unfavorable development, commercial fire
and allied experienced $2.9 million of unfavorable development, and reinsurance
assumed experienced $2.3 million of unfavorable development. All other lines of
business, in total, contributed $2.9 million of favorable development. The
favorable development for commercial automobile was from both loss and loss
adjustment expense ("LAE") where reductions of reserves for unpaid liabilities
were more than sufficient to offset actual paid loss and paid LAE. Commercial
other liability experienced unfavorable development primarily from paid LAE
which was greater than reductions in reserves for unpaid LAE. Commercial fire
and allied experienced unfavorable development primarily from loss development
in accident year 2021 from four large claims. Reinsurance assumed developed
unfavorably due to paid loss and increased claim reserves which were greater
than reductions in reserves for incurred but not reported ("IBNR") claims.

Reserve development amounts can vary significantly from quarter-to-quarter and
year-to-year depending on a number of factors, including the number of claims
settled and the settlement terms, and are subject to reallocation between
accident years and lines of business. At March 31, 2023, our total reserves were
within a reasonable range of our actuarial estimates.


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The following tables display our net premiums earned, net losses and loss
settlement expenses and net loss ratio by line of business:

Three Months Ended March 31,                               2023                                                          2022
                                                      Net Losses                                                   Net Losses
                                                       and Loss                                                     and Loss
                                      Net             Settlement               Net                 Net             Settlement                Net
(In Thousands, Except Ratios)       Premiums           Expenses               Loss               Premiums           Expenses                Loss
Unaudited                            Earned            Incurred               Ratio               Earned            Incurred                Ratio
Commercial lines
Other liability(1)                $  78,405          $   52,844                  67.4  %       $  70,569          $   36,801                    52.1  %
Fire and allied lines(2)             56,466              45,881                  81.3             58,748              45,236                    77.0
Automobile                           48,972              36,781                  75.1             53,232              32,333                    60.7
Workers' compensation                13,245               8,051                  60.8             14,609               5,078                    34.8
Surety(3)                            11,946               1,221                  10.2              8,120                 375                     4.6
Miscellaneous                           265                 137                  51.7                279                 162                    58.1
Total commercial lines            $ 209,299          $  144,915                  69.2  %       $ 205,557          $  119,985                    58.4  %

Personal lines
Fire and allied lines(4)          $   1,952          $    2,186                 112.0  %       $     950          $    1,191                   125.4
Automobile                                -                (254)                      NM               1                (729)                        NM
Miscellaneous                             7                 (46)                      NM              17                 (18)                 (105.9)
Total personal lines              $   1,959          $    1,886                  96.3  %       $     968          $      444                    45.9  %
Assumed reinsurance               $  44,869          $   27,796                  61.9  %       $  27,703          $    9,947                    35.9  %

Total                             $ 256,127          $  174,597                  68.2  %       $ 234,228          $  130,376                    55.7  %


(1) Commercial lines "Other liability" is business insurance covering bodily
injury and property damage arising from general business operations, accidents
on the insured's premises and products manufactured or sold.
(2) Commercial lines "Fire and allied lines" includes fire, allied lines,
commercial multiple peril and inland marine.
(3) Commercial lines "Surety" previously referred to as "Fidelity and surety".
(4) Personal lines "Fire and allied lines" includes fire, allied lines,
homeowners and inland marine.
NM = Not meaningful



Below are explanations regarding significant changes in the net loss ratios by
line of business:


•Other liability lines - The net loss ratio deteriorated 15.3 percentage points
in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to the same period in
2022. This deterioration is related to an increase in severity driven by
construction defect and an increase in frequency in standard umbrella. During
the last half of 2022, a combination of deeper analytical insights and emerging
claim experience has increased our view of potential exposure within this line.
Our prospective view of loss costs in these long-tailed lines increased during
the last half of 2022.

•Commercial fire and allied lines - The net loss ratio deteriorated 4.3
percentage points in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to
the same period in 2022 primarily due to an increase in catastrophe losses. The
first quarter of 2023 experienced both unfavorable development from prior year
catastrophes as well as losses from winter storms and wind and hail events that
occurred in the current quarter. In addition, there has been a modest impact
from increased ceded reinsurance costs and higher retentions across the broader
portfolio.



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•Commercial automobile - The net loss ratio deteriorated 14.4 percentage points
in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to the same period in
2022 primarily due to favorable prior year reserve development being smaller in
2023 as compared to 2022. Benefits from our specialized claims operating model
drove favorable emergence in 2022.

•Workers' compensation - The net loss ratio deteriorated 26.0 percentage points
in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to the same period in
2022 primarily related to unfavorable prior year reserve development in the
current quarter as compared to favorable reserve development in the same period
of 2022. There was also a small number of large losses in the current quarter
contributing to the increase.

•Assumed reinsurance - The net loss ratio deteriorated 26.0 percentage points in
the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as compared to the same period in
2022. This deterioration is driven by a favorable release of catastrophe
reserves that occurred in the first quarter of 2022, and growth in reinsurance
treaties with less exposure to catastrophes.


Financial Condition


Stockholders' equity increased to $751.8 million at March 31, 2023, from $740.1
million at December 31, 2022. The Company's book value per share was $29.80,
which is an increase of $0.44 per share, or 1.5 percent, from December 31, 2022.
The increase is primarily attributable to the $14.7 million increase in the net
unrealized value from our fixed maturity securities, net of tax, and net income
of $0.7 million, offset by shareholder dividends of $4.0 million during the
first three months of 2023.

Investment Portfolio


Our invested assets totaled $1.9 billion at March 31, 2023, compared to $1.8
billion at December 31, 2022, an increase of $34.8 million. At March 31, 2023,
fixed maturity securities and equity securities made up 84.7 percent and 8.5
percent of the value of our investment portfolio, respectively. Because the
primary purpose of our investment portfolio is to fund future claims payments,
we use a conservative investment philosophy, investing in a diversified
portfolio of high-quality, intermediate-term taxable corporate bonds, taxable
U.S. government and government agency bonds and tax-exempt U.S. municipal bonds.
Our overall investment strategy is to stay fully invested (i.e., minimize cash
balances). If additional cash is needed, we have the ability to borrow funds
available under our revolving credit facility.

Composition


We develop our investment strategies based on a number of factors, including
estimated duration of reserve liabilities, short- and long-term liquidity needs,
projected tax status, general economic conditions, expected rates of inflation,
regulatory requirements, interest rates and credit quality of assets. We
administer our investment portfolio based on investment guidelines approved by
management and the investment committee of our Board of Directors that comply
with applicable statutory regulations.

The composition of our investment portfolio at March 31, 2023 is presented at
carrying value in the following table:

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                                        Property & Casualty Insurance
                                                                      Percent
(In Thousands, Except Ratios)                                        of Total
Fixed maturities (1)
Available-for-sale              $                  1,591,169          84.7  %

Equity securities                                    159,378           8.5
Mortgage loans                                        37,863           2.0
Other long-term investments                           91,003           4.8
Short-term investments                                   275             -
Total                           $                  1,879,688         100.0  %

(1) Available-for-sale securities fixed maturities are carried at fair value.

As of March 31, 2023 and December 31, 2022, we did not have direct exposure to
investments in subprime mortgages or other credit enhancement vehicles.





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Credit Quality

The table below shows the composition of fixed maturity securities held in our
available-for-sale security portfolios by credit rating at March 31, 2023 and
December 31, 2022. Information contained in the table is generally based upon
the issued credit ratings provided by Moody's, unless the rating is unavailable,
in which case we obtain credit ratings from Standard & Poor's.

(In Thousands, Except Ratios)                   March 31, 2023                                      December 31, 2022
Rating                            Carrying Value              % of Total                Carrying Value               % of Total
AAA                              $      551,231                       34.6  %        $         540,485                       34.8  %
AA                                      486,406                       30.6                     482,369                       31.1
A                                       239,669                       15.1                     232,668                       15.0
Baa/BBB                                 300,632                       18.9                     278,247                       17.9
Other/Not Rated                          13,231                        0.8                      17,567                        1.1
                                 $    1,591,169                      100.0  %        $       1,551,336                      100.0  %



Duration

Our investment portfolio is invested primarily in fixed maturity securities
whose fair value is susceptible to market risk, specifically interest rate
changes. Duration is a measurement we use to quantify our inherent interest rate
risk and analyze our ability to match our invested assets to our reserve
liabilities. If our invested assets and reserve liabilities have similar
durations, then any change in interest rates will have an equal effect on these
accounts. The primary purpose for matching invested assets and reserve
liabilities is liquidity. With appropriate matching, our investments will mature
when cash is needed, preventing the need to liquidate other assets prematurely.
Mismatches in the duration of assets and liabilities can cause significant
fluctuations in our results of operations.

Investment Results


We invest the premiums received from our policyholders in order to generate
investment income, which is an important component of our revenues and
profitability. The amount of investment income that we are able to generate is
affected by many factors, some of which are beyond our control. Some of these
factors are volatility in the financial markets, economic growth, inflation,
interest rates, world political conditions, terrorist attacks or threats of
terrorism, adverse events affecting other companies in our industry or the
industries in which we invest and other unpredictable national or world events.
Our net investment income increased slightly in the three-month period ended
March 31, 2023, compared with the same period of 2022 primarily due to the
higher yields in the fixed income portfolio offset by the change in the fair
value of our investments in limited liability partnerships.

                                Investment Results
(unaudited)                                     Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands)                                 2023                        2022
Investment income:
Interest on fixed maturities             $      13,297                  $ 10,891
Dividends on equity securities                   1,243                     

1,268

Income on other long-term investments           (1,080)                      531
Other                                            1,860                       708
Total investment income                  $      15,320                  $ 13,398
Less investment expenses                         2,598                     2,122
Net investment income                    $      12,722                  $ 11,276

Average yields:

Fixed income securities:
Pre-tax (1)                                       3.26   %                  2.68  %

(1) Fixed income securities yield excluding net unrealized investment
gains/losses and expenses

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We hold certain investments in limited liability partnerships that are recorded
on the equity method of accounting, with changes in value of these investments
recorded in investment income. In the three-month period ended March 31, 2023,
the change in value of our investments in limited liability partnerships
resulted in an investment loss of $1.1 million as compared to investment income
of $0.5 million in the same period of 2022.

We had net investment losses of $1.7 million during the three-month period ended
March 31, 2023, as compared to net investment losses of $0.5 million in the same
period of 2022. The change in the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 as
compared to the same period in 2022 was primarily due to the change in the fair
value of our equity securities investments driven by equity market losses in
2023.

We regularly monitor the difference between our cost basis and the estimated
fair value of our investments. For our available-for-sale fixed-maturity
portfolio an allowance for credit losses is recorded net of available-for-sale
fixed maturities in the Consolidated Balance Sheets and a corresponding credit
loss recognized as a realized loss or gain in the Consolidated Statements of
Income and Comprehensive Income. The Company determines if an allowance for
credit losses is recorded based on a number of factors including the current
economic conditions, management's expectations of future economic conditions and
performance indicators, such as market value versus amortized cost, investment
spreads widening or contracting, rating actions, payment and default history.

Non-credit related changes in unrealized gains and losses on available-for-sale
fixed maturity securities are recognized as a component of other comprehensive
income, impact stockholders' equity and book value per share, but do not affect
net income. We believe that any unrealized losses on our available-for-sale
securities at March 31, 2023 are temporary based upon our current analysis of
the issuers of the securities that we hold and current market conditions. We
have no intent to sell, and it is more likely than not that we will not be
required to sell, these securities until the fair value recovers to at least
equal our cost basis or the securities mature.

For mortgage loans, an allowance for losses is established based on historical
loss information of the collective pool of the Company's commercial mortgage
loan investments that have similar risk characteristics. This allowance is
presented as a separate line in the Consolidated Balance Sheets with an offset
to "Net investment gains (losses)" in the Consolidated Statements of Income and
Comprehensive Income.

To calculate the allowance for mortgage loan losses, the Company starts with
historical loan experience to predict the future expected losses and then layers
on a market-linked adjustment. An example of a market-linked adjustment is the
change in commercial market price appreciation or change in gross domestic
product, with every point of fall leading to an increase in loss reserve. Local
market economics are also considered. On a quarterly basis, quantitative credit
risk metrics, including for example, cash flows, rent rolls and financial
statements are reviewed for each loan to determine if it is performing in line
with its expectations.


LIQUIDITY AND CAPITAL RESOURCES


Liquidity measures our ability to generate sufficient cash flows to meet our
short- and long-term cash obligations. Our cash inflows are primarily a result
of the receipt of premiums, reinsurance recoveries, sales or maturities of
investments, and investment income. Cash provided from these sources is used to
fund the payment of losses and loss settlement expenses, the purchase of
investments, operating expenses, dividends, pension plan contributions, and in
recent years, common stock repurchases.

We monitor our capital adequacy to support our business on a regular basis. The
future capital requirements of our business will depend on many factors,
including our ability to write new business successfully and to establish
premium rates and reserves at levels sufficient to cover losses. Our ability to
underwrite is largely dependent upon the quality of our claims paying and
financial strength ratings as evaluated by independent rating agencies. In
particular, we require (1) sufficient capital to maintain our financial strength
ratings, as issued by various rating agencies, at a level considered necessary
by management to enable our insurance company subsidiaries to compete and (2)
sufficient capital to enable our insurance company subsidiaries to meet the
capital adequacy tests performed by regulatory agencies in the United States.


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Cash outflows may be variable because of the uncertainty regarding settlement
dates for losses. In addition, the timing and amount of individual catastrophe
losses are inherently unpredictable and could increase our liquidity
requirements. The timing and amount of reinsurance recoveries may be affected by
reinsurer solvency and reinsurance coverage disputes.

Historically, we have generated substantial cash inflows from operations. It is
our policy to invest the cash generated from operations in securities with
maturities that, in the aggregate, correlate to the anticipated timing of
payments for losses and loss settlement expenses. The majority of our assets are
invested in available-for-sale fixed maturity securities.

The following table displays a consolidated summary of cash sources and uses for
the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022:


   Cash Flow Summary                                Three Months Ended 

March 31,

   (In Thousands)                                       2023                

2022

Cash provided by (used in)

   Operating activities                      $        (6,786)                $   1,595
   Investing activities                              (32,501)                  (20,061)
   Financing activities                               (4,133)                   (4,116)
   Net change in cash and cash equivalents   $       (43,420)               

$ (22,582)



Our cash flows were sufficient to meet our liquidity needs for the three-month
periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022 and we anticipate they will be sufficient
to meet our future liquidity needs for at least the next twelve months. We also
have the ability to draw on our credit facility if needed.

Operating Activities


Net cash flows from operating activities had outflows of $6.8 million and
inflows of $1.6 million for the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and
2022, respectively. In the three-month period ended March 31, 2023, the net
operating cash outflows were driven by loss and expense outflows not being fully
offset by premium and reinsurance related cash inflows.

Investing Activities


Cash in excess of operating requirements is generally invested in fixed maturity
securities and equity securities. Fixed maturity securities provide regular
interest payments and allow us to match the duration of our liabilities. Equity
securities provide dividend income, potential dividend income growth and
potential appreciation. For further discussion of our investments, including our
philosophy and our strategy for our portfolio, see the "Investment Portfolio"
section of this Item 2.

In addition to investment income, possible sales of investments and proceeds
from calls or maturities of fixed maturity securities also can provide
liquidity. During the next five years, $522.1 million, or 32.8 percent, of our
fixed maturity portfolio will mature.

We invest funds required for short-term cash needs primarily in money market
accounts, which are classified as cash equivalents. At March 31, 2023, our cash
and cash equivalents included $18.0 million related to these money market
accounts, compared to $31.3 million at December 31, 2022.

Net cash flows used by investing activities were $32.5 million for the
three-month period ended March 31, 2023, compared to net cash flows used by
investing activities of $20.1 million for the three-month period ended March 31,
2022. For the three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, we had cash
inflows from scheduled and unscheduled investment maturities, redemptions,
prepayments, and sales of investments of $31.3 million and $67.0 million,
respectively. Our cash outflows for investment purchases were $61.2 million for
the three-month period ended March 31, 2023, compared to $84.5 million for the
same period of 2022.


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Financing Activities

Net cash flows used in financing activities was $4.1 million for the three-month
period ended March 31, 2023 which was flat compared to $4.1 million used in the
three-month period ended March 31, 2022.

Credit Facilities


On March 31, 2020, United Fire & Casualty Company, as borrower ("Borrower"),
wholly owned subsidiary of United Fire Group, Inc. entered into a credit
agreement (the "Credit Agreement") with Wells Fargo Bank, National Association
("Wells Fargo"), as administrative agent, issuing lender, swing line lender and
lender, and the other lenders from time to time party thereto (collectively with
Wells Fargo, the "Lenders"), providing for a $50 million revolving credit
facility, which includes a $20 million letter of credit sub-facility and a $5
million swing line loan for working capital and other general corporate
purposes. The Credit Agreement is provided on an unsecured basis, and the
Borrower has the option to increase the Credit Agreement by $100 million if
agreed to by the Lenders providing such incremental facility. As of March 31,
2023 and 2022, there were no balances outstanding under the Credit Agreement.
For the three-month period ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, we did not incur any
interest expense related to the credit facility. For further discussion of the
Credit Agreement, refer to Part I, Item 1, Note 8 "Debt."

Dividends


Dividends paid to shareholders totaled $4.0 million and $3.8 million in the
three-month periods ended March 31, 2023 and 2022, respectively. Our practice
has been to pay quarterly cash dividends, which we have paid every quarter since
March 1968.

Payments of any future dividends and the amounts of such dividends will depend
upon factors such as net income, financial condition, capital requirements, and
general business conditions. We will only pay dividends if declared by our Board
of Directors out of legally available funds.

As a holding company with no independent operations of its own, we rely on
dividends received from our insurance company subsidiaries in order to pay
dividends to our common shareholders. Dividends payable by our insurance
subsidiaries are governed by the laws of the states in which they are domiciled,
and if applicable, commercially domiciled. In all cases, these state laws permit
the payment of dividends only from earned surplus arising from business
operations. For example, under Iowa law, the maximum dividend or distribution
that may be paid within a 12-month period without prior approval of the Iowa
Insurance Commissioner is generally restricted to the greater of 10 percent of
statutory surplus as of the preceding December 31, or net income of the
preceding calendar year on a statutory basis, not greater than earned statutory
surplus. Other states in which our insurance company subsidiaries are domiciled
may impose similar restrictions on dividends and distributions. Based on these
restrictions, at March 31, 2023, UFG's sole direct insurance company subsidiary,
United Fire & Casualty Company, is able to make a maximum of $62.8 million in
dividend payments without prior regulatory approval. We do not believe that
these restrictions have a material impact in meeting the cash obligations of
UFG.

Stockholders' Equity

Stockholders' equity increased to $751.8 million at March 31, 2023, from $740.1
million at December 31, 2022. The Company's book value per share was $29.80,
which is an increase of $0.44 per share, or 1.5 percent, from December 31, 2022.
The increase is primarily attributable to the $14.7 million increase in the net
unrealized value from our fixed maturity securities, net of tax, and net income
of $0.7 million, offset by shareholder dividends of $4.0 million during the
first three months of 2023.

Funding Commitments

Pursuant to an agreement with one of our limited liability partnership
investments, we are contractually committed through July 10, 2030, to make
capital contributions upon request of the partnership. Our remaining potential
contractual obligation was $40.0 million at March 31, 2023.

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In addition, the Company invested $25.0 million in December 2019 in a limited
liability partnership investment fund that is subject to a three-year lockup
with a 60-day minimum notice, with 4 possible repurchase dates per year after
the three-year lockup period has concluded. The fair value of the investment at
March 31, 2023 was $24.7 million and there are no remaining capital contribution
obligations with this investment.



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MEASUREMENT OF RESULTS

Management evaluates our operations by monitoring key measures of growth and
profitability. The following section provides further explanation of catastrophe
losses, a key measure management uses to evaluate our results.

Catastrophe losses is an operational measure which utilizes the designations of
the Insurance Services Office ("ISO") and are reported with losses and loss
settlement expense amounts net of reinsurance recoverables, unless specified
otherwise. According to the ISO, a catastrophe loss is defined as a single
unpredictable incident or series of closely related incidents that result in
$25.0 million or more in U.S. industry-wide direct insured losses to property
and that affect a significant number of insureds and insurers ("ISO
catastrophe"). In addition to ISO catastrophes, we also include as catastrophes
those events ("non-ISO catastrophes"), which may include U.S. or international
losses that we believe are, or will be, material to our operations, either in
amount or in number of claims made. Management, at times, may determine for
comparison purposes that it is more meaningful to exclude extraordinary
catastrophe losses and resulting litigation. The frequency and severity of
catastrophe losses we experience in any year affect our results of operations
and financial position. In analyzing the underwriting performance of our
property and casualty insurance business, we evaluate performance both including
and excluding catastrophe losses. Portions of our catastrophe losses may be
recoverable under our catastrophe reinsurance agreements. We include a
discussion of the impact of catastrophes because we believe it is meaningful for
investors to understand the variability in our periodic earnings.
                                   Three Months Ended March 31,
(In Thousands)                          2023                     2022
ISO catastrophes           $         12,562                    $ 7,905
Non-ISO catastrophes (1)               (898)                    (1,728)
Total catastrophes         $         11,664                    $ 6,177

(1) This number includes international assumed losses.

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