SPEECH BY GOVERNOR BARR ON THE BALANCE SHEET
The following information was released by the
Efficient and Effective Central Banking: Beyond the Balance Sheet
Governor
At the Money Marketeers of
Thank you for the opportunity to speak to you today.1
There has been a lot of discussion of late about reducing the size of the balance sheet of the
That's because the Fed's footprint in the financial system consists not only of the duration, composition, and size of our balance sheet (which are distinct issues), but also our roles in promoting the safety and soundness of banks, running the backbone of the payment system, and supporting financial stability. It doesn't make sense to talk about "the Fed's footprint" without taking into account these key functions and the way they interact. Some of the prominent proposals to reduce the Fed's balance sheet would have perverse effects that would actually increase the Fed's footprint in the financial system. For example, some proposals would increase the frequency of Fed lending and transactions in markets, both to implement monetary policy on an ongoing basis and, in extremis, to engage in interventions to preserve financial stability.
Today I am going talk about what I see as efficient and effective central bankingcentral banking that holistically implements monetary policy, provides meaningful oversight of financial institutions, supports payment system functioning, and, in the Fed's case, also includes serving as the fiscal agent to the
I will make two broad points today. First, the size of the Fed's balance sheet is the wrong measure of the Fed's footprint in financial markets, and, second, many of the proposals being floated to address this purported problem would make our monetary policy operations less efficient and effective and raise financial stability risks.
Let's start with an understanding of the Fed's balance sheet.
The
The Role of Reserves in the Banking System
Currently, reserves, which as I said are deposits of depository institutions at the Fed, represent
As Chair
Our provision of reserves has broader and important benefits beyond monetary policy implementation. If banks don't have enough reserves, the payment system suffers, because it gives them an incentive to economize on their liquidity by slowing down their outgoing payments, leading to bottlenecks and stresses in funding markets. And, as we know, during stress if banks do not have enough reserves when depositors ask for withdrawals, panic can ensue. These aren't theoretical problems, which is why we have regulations that support sound liquidity risk management, and reserves play an important role in banks' portfolios of high-quality liquid assets (HQLA). The indispensable benefits of the Fed's reserve provision need to be at the forefront of any discussion about our balance sheet.
Furthermore, creating reserves is costless to the Fed.
Implementing Monetary Policy Efficiently and Effectively
Let me now turn to efficient and effective monetary policy implementation. In keeping with our commitment to effective implementation, after substantially shrinking the balance sheet for a couple of years, the Fed is now slowly growing our balance sheet to keep up with demand for our liabilities. Over the many decades since our creation, we typically have grown our balance sheet through gradual purchases of
Instead, I will get straight to a discussion on how I see monetary policy implementation today as efficient and effective. Effective monetary policy implementation means that the federal funds rate, as well as other short-term interest rates such as repo rates, should trade near the rate the Fed pays on reserve balances. The current regime has achieved that for many years. Effective policy implementation also supports smooth market functioning.
On the question of efficiency, Dallas Fed President
The footprint of reserve scarcity
Some people believe that we should return to a scarce reserves regime, rather than an ample one. That policy would mean a smaller balance sheet, but it would not reduce the Fed's footprint in the market, given the degree of regulation and intervention that would be needed to operate this regime.11 Moreover, as I noted, there is no net cost to providing reserves, and making a free good scarce makes little economic sense.12 I will return to this topic in a bit, when I discuss attempting to implement monetary policy with minimally ample reserves.
The footprint of balance sheet duration
Some people argue that the Fed's footprint is too big in the sense that the duration of our portfolio is longer than that of
Concerns about the duration or the composition of our asset portfolio need to be differentiated from concerns about the size of the balance sheet. In my judgment, the
A different point about the duration of the Fed's portfolio is that it exposes us to interest rate risk, given that the value of our assets fluctuates, as do the rates we pay on some of our liabilities. This is not about the size of the balance sheet, but about its duration. Again, the whole point of what people refer to as "quantitative easing" was for the Fed to take on duration risk to reduce interest rates at the effective lower bound. When economic circumstances demand it, the Fed is well positioned to take on interest rate risk beyond what is implied by mirroring
Proposals to Reduce Reserve Demand
I've already discussed the duration and composition of the Fed's balance sheet and why returning to a scarce reserves approach doesn't make sense. There are also arguments that we should reduce the size of the balance sheet within the ample-reserves framework.
Many commentators understand that to reduce the Fed's balance sheet in a significant way, one would have to reduce reserve demand. Reserve demand is driven by banks' payment needs, their own assessment of liquidity needs, and liquidity regulations, including the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR), internal liquidity stress tests, and resolution requirements. Some commentators have argued that we should reduce liquidity requirements to reduce demand for reserves. As I have explained, that's the wrong goal. But if we're pursuing it, this is also the wrong means.
Post-GFC Liquidity Regulation, and Why Liquidity Self-Insurance Matters
After the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), bank regulators designed and adopted rules that require the largest banks to hold a portfolio of HQLA in amounts calibrated to what their needs would be in stress scenarios. This approach, along with capital requirements, was designed to help the largest banks survive stress events. Rather than allowing these firms to threaten the viability of the financial system, necessitating their bailouts, we instead said they have to basically self-insure by holding an appropriate amount of HQLA. Conditions change, and it is reasonable to consider if these regulations need to be recalibrated. But if anything, the bank stresses of 2023 suggest that liquidity requirements should go up and not down, as I have discussed in a number of previous speeches.15 Moreover, after the events, we saw banks increase their collateral pledged at the discount window by over
Lowering Liquidity Coverage Ratio requirements
The LCR treats reserves and
To date, regulators have drawn the line at allowing banks to decrease the amount of HQLA they hold by using our facilities, but some proposals are seeking to cross this line. One prominent proposal is to let banks count some percentage of non-HQLA assets they pledge to the discount window (such as corporate loans) to meet their liquidity requirements. This is really just a way to lower liquidity requirements, and it only reduces the amount of self-insurance and resilience the Fed requires of the largest banks. Moreover, I am also skeptical that adjusting the LCR will have a meaningful effect on reserve demand.18
Reducing other liquidity requirements
Other proposals to adjust regulations could have more of an effect on reserve demand. Some proposals would adjust other liquidity regulations, such as the regulation that requires big banks to perform internal liquidity stress tests to ensure that they can meet stressed outflows over a variety of time horizons, and the expectation that banks have liquid assets that are sufficient to support the process of orderly resolution.19 But here, again, we have to look at the tradeoffs when reducing self-insurance. The largest banks need to take responsibility for their systemic role in the markets, and that means they need to take out some amount of self-insurance to manage shocks to their balance sheets. The alternative is that these banks can't handle shocks, and, in the past, these dynamics have required exceptional interventions to preserve financial stability. This is an outcome no one considers desirable and one that obviously would not constitute a reduction in the Fed's footprint in the financial system.
Proposals about the
Another prominent proposal from those who want to reduce the Fed's balance sheet is for the
Another idea is for the Fed to "sterilize" fluctuations in the
Operating with "Minimally Ample" Reserves
Another set of proposals would call for the Fed to operate at somewhat lower levels of ample reservesthat is, without a buffer to ensure that shocks to reserve supply and demand do not bring reserves below ample. The risk of operating at lower levels of reserves (for a given reserve demand) is that we would see significant volatility and increased risk of losing control over rates. That's what we saw in 2019 when repo market rates spiked.
Of course, the
Although it is not my preferred approach, I recognize that there are some positive aspects to a system where central bank operations have to be used more frequently. Other central banks rely on ceiling tools as a key means of reserve provision.22 A benefit of this approach is that if ceiling tools are more frequently "in the money" and firms fully understand that they are expected to tap them, these tools would not atrophy from lack of use. Functional ceiling tools put the
In sum, operating with minimally ample reserves poses significant tradeoffs. We might have a slightly smaller balance sheet, but we would need to transact more frequently. There would be higher market volatility and less predictable rate control. If rates are consistently above the IORB rate, banks have an incentive to economize on reserves, and for some, they might economize beyond what's prudent, raising risks for them and the broader financial system.
Other Ideas: Buffer Usability, Intraday Lending, and Payment Sequencing
Some commentators have proposed more technical steps to reduce reserve demand, and the costs and benefits of these approaches are worth exploring.24
We should take steps to make sure banks understand that required liquidity is usable. My experience during the stress of 2023 was that banks in fact did use their liquidity, and there may be technical adjustments that would ease banks' fears about using their liquidity buffers. It is also worth taking a look at the Fed's daylight overdraft policies to see if they can be improved, encouraging usage. In addition, investments in our payment infrastructuresuch as through a liquidity savings mechanism that some have suggestedmight reduce reserve demand but might have other downside costs and should be weighed against other priorities for system improvement, including movement to a near continuous availability for Fedwire Funds and expanded use of FedNow, both of which I'd prioritize.25
Conclusion
The
1. The views expressed here are my own and are not necessarily those of my colleagues on the
2. A detailed balance sheet is published every Thursday; see
3. The System Open Market Account annual report provides a helpful discussion and depictions of Fed balance sheet developments and projections; see
4. See
5. See
6. See
7. After payment of expenses and transfers to surplus, all the net earnings of the Reserve Banks are transferred to the
8. How the
9. See
10. Trying to minimize reserve holdings is an undesirable practice because the holding of reserves is, as I noted, essential to healthy liquidity management, supports payment system function, and protects financial stability. Return to text
11. The monetary policy implementation regime before 2008 involved complex regulations and data collections to impose and assess those requirements and resulted in regulatory avoidance by banks. Implementing a scarce reserves regime again would likely necessitate creating a stable demand for reserves through similarly complex regulations. Return to text
12. See
13. A similar point is made about our MBS holdings, with some pointing out that our large portfolio puts downward pressure on mortgage rates, a form of credit allocation that some argue goes beyond monetary policy. Importantly, we are already reducing our MBS holdings carefully and gradually to avoid causing market disruptions. Return to text
14. For information on how the Fed's portfolio has been normalizing, see
15. See
16. See
17. For information on how banks can use the discount window to improve the LCR, see
18. In the LCR, both reserves and
19. Moreover, banks can already use access to Fed liquidity provision as part of the mix for monetization sources in these tests. See
20. See
21.
22. See
23. See, for example, Barr, "Supporting Market Resilience" (note 15). Return to text
24. See
25. For more information about liquidity savings mechanisms, see



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