MBIA INC – 10-Q – Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
The following discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations ofMBIA Inc. should be read in conjunction with our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 and the consolidated financial statements and notes thereto included in this Form 10-Q. In addition, this discussion and analysis of financial condition and results of operations includes statements of the opinion ofMBIA Inc.'s management which may be forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to certain risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical earnings and those presently anticipated or projected. Refer to "Risk Factors" in Part II, Item 1A and "Forward-Looking Statements" and "Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A ofMBIA Inc.'s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 for a further discussion of risks and uncertainties. INTRODUCTIONMBIA Inc. , together with its consolidated subsidiaries, (collectively, "MBIA", the "Company", "we", "us", or "our") operates within the financial guarantee insurance industry. MBIA manages its business within three operating segments: 1)United States ("U.S.") public finance insurance; 2) corporate; and 3) international and structured finance insurance. OurU.S. public finance insurance portfolio is managed throughNational Public Finance Guarantee Corporation ("National"), our corporate segment is managed throughMBIA Inc. and several of its subsidiaries, including our service company,MBIA Services Corporation ("MBIA Services") and our international and structured finance insurance business is primarily managed throughMBIA Insurance Corporation and its subsidiary ("MBIA Corp. "). National's primary objectives are to maximize the performance of its existing insured portfolio through effective surveillance and remediation activity and effectively manage its investment portfolio. Our corporate segment consists of general corporate activities, including providing support services to MBIA's operating subsidiaries and asset and capital management.MBIA Corp.'s primary objectives are to satisfy all claims by its policyholders and to maximize future recoveries, if any, for its senior lending and surplus note holders, and then its preferred stock holders.MBIA Corp. is executing this strategy by, among other things, taking steps to maximize the collection of recoveries and reducing and mitigating potential losses on its insurance exposures. We do not expect National orMBIA Corp. to write significant new business. EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW COVID-19 The number of novel coronavirus COVID-19 ("COVID-19") cases, hospitalizations and deaths continues to decrease. Nevertheless, the current and longer-term impacts of the virus, including those caused by any new strains, continues to remain uncertain. In addition, the attendant governmental policy and social responses, and economic and financial consequences, continue to be the subject of considerable attention. Insured portfolios Any adverse developments on macroeconomic factors resulting from COVID-19, including without limitation reduced economic activity and certainty, increased unemployment, increased loan defaults or delinquencies, and increased stress on municipal budgets, including due to reduced tax revenues and the ability to raise taxes or limit spending, could materially and adversely affect the performance of the Company's insured portfolios. Any impact of the pandemic on the Company's financial guarantee credits would vary based on the nature of the taxes, fees and revenues pledged to debt repayment and their sensitivity to the related slowdown in economic activity. The duration of the pandemic, the efficacy of vaccines, spending of federal aid to state and local governments, and the breadth and speed of economic recovery will determine the degree of economic stress, if any, incurred by the credits in the Company's insured portfolios. Further, any economic impact that may result from the pandemic and its aftermath could present additional but yet unknown credit risks to the Company's insured portfolios. Federal legislation passed to combat the economic impact of the pandemic has been significant, including the$2.7 trillion Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security ("CARES") Act in 2020, which included significant aid to offset COVID-19 related expenditures of public sector issuers including states, territories, healthcare, higher education and transportation issuers. Also, theFederal Reserve has shown a willingness to promote the stability of the financial system that is directly supportive of the municipal market, such as the Municipal Lending Facility created in 2020. In March of 2021, the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 was enacted, a$1.9 trillion economic stimulus package designed to further stabilize the financial system. This law allocated nearly$350 billion of aid to state and local governments to replace lost revenues resulting from the pandemic with relatively few restrictions on use of said funds. While the unprecedented amount of federal aid directed to state and local municipalities has blunted the impact of the pandemic, not all of the issuers of the obligations in National's insured portfolio are eligible to receive it. Further, if issuers are unable to raise taxes, reduce spending, or receive federal assistance, the Company may experience new or additional losses or impairments on those obligations, which could materially and adversely affect its business, financial condition and financial results. 50 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW (continued)
Certain ofMBIA Corp.'s structured finance policies, including those in which the underlying principal obligations are comprised of residential or commercial mortgages and mortgage-backed securities ("MBS"), could be negatively impacted by delays or failures of borrowers to make payments of principal and interest when due, or delays or moratoriums on foreclosures or enforcement actions with respect to delinquent or defaulted mortgages imposed by governmental authorities.MBIA Corp. has recorded significant loss reserves on its residential mortgage-backed securities ("RMBS") and collateralized debt obligations ("CDO") exposures, and there can be no assurance that these reserves will be sufficient if the pandemic causes further deterioration to the economy. These transactions are also subject to servicer risks, which relate to problems with the transaction's servicer that could adversely impact performance of the underlying assets. Additionally, several of our credits, particularly within our international public finance sector, feature large, near term debt-service payments, and there can be no assurance that the liquidity position ofMBIA Corp. will enable it to satisfy any claims that arise if the issuers of such credits are unable or unwilling to refinance or repay their obligations.MBIA Corp. has recorded expected recoveries on certain RMBS transactions, and the forbearance options that mortgage borrowers who were facing financial difficulties took advantage of under the CARES Act may delay or impair collections on these recoveries. Liquidity The Company continues to monitor its cash and liquid asset resources using cash forecasting and stress-scenario testing. Members of the Company's senior management meet regularly to review liquidity metrics, discuss contingency plans and establish target liquidity levels. The full long-term impact the pandemic may have on our future liquidity position and needs remains uncertain. Declines in the market value or rating eligibility of assets pledged against the Company's obligations as a result of credit market deterioration caused by COVID-19 or other factors may require additional eligible assets to be pledged in order to meet minimum required collateral amounts against these obligations. This could require the Company to sell assets, potentially with substantial losses or use free cash or other assets to meet the collateral requirements, thus negatively impacting the Company's liquidity position. Additionally, declines in the yields in our insurance companies' fixed-income portfolios could materially impact investment income. 2021 Business Developments The following is a summary of 2021 business developments:Puerto Rico (Refer to the "U.S. Public Finance Insurance Puerto Rico Exposures" section for additional information on ourPuerto Rico exposures)
• On
certain of its instrumentalities ("Puerto Rico") defaulted on scheduled
debt service for National insured bonds and National paid gross claims in
the aggregate of$277 million . As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , National had$2.6 billion of debt service outstanding related toPuerto Rico . 51
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EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW (continued)
• In January of 2021, the reconstitution of the Oversight Board with the
reappointment of three existing members and appointment of four new
members for three year terms, including the newly elected Governor
sitting as an ex officio member, was confirmed.
• On
dated as ofFebruary 22, 2021 (the "GO PSA"), among the Financial Oversight andManagement Board for Puerto Rico (the "Oversight Board"), certain holders of GO Bonds and PBA Bonds,Assured Guaranty Corp. and
with the GO and PBA Title III cases. The GO PSA provides that, among
other things, National shall receive a pro rata share of allocable cash,
newly issued General Obligation bonds, a contingent value instrument and
certain fees. OnApril 12, 2021 , National,Assured Guaranty Corp. ,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board reached an
agreement in principle settling certain clawback claims and providing for
a distribution of cash, bonds and a contingent value instrument to Puerto
completing negotiations on a plan support agreement in respect of an HTA
plan of adjustment (the "HTA PSA"). On
Guaranty Corp.,
entered into the HTA PSA. The Oversight Board has committed to filing a
plan of adjustment for HTA by
Commonwealth plan becoming effective on or before
however there can be no assurance that such plans will become effective,
or on the contemplated timeline.
• On
Plan of Adjustment and Disclosure Statement, incorporating certain
changes in connection with the disclosure statement objections. The
Disclosure Statement hearing for the Fifth Amended Plan began on
2021, and onJuly 14, 2021 , theBankruptcy Court (i) continued the hearing untilJuly 27, 2021 for the sole purpose of considering a possible settlement of objections byAmbac Assurance Corporation andFinancial Guaranty Insurance Company , and (ii) overruled all other objections to the Disclosure Statement but required the Oversight Board
to include certain additional disclosure on financial and legislative
risks. The Court also approved confirmation procedures, subject to the
approval of the Disclosure Statement at the continued hearing, including
commencing the confirmation hearing on
Amended Plan and Disclosure Statement, and on
approved the amended Disclosure Statement for distribution to
claimholders of record. On
Seventh Amended Plan of Adjustment.
• On
Adjustment. Bondholders were required to choose between commuting their
insurance policy with National or having their insurance policy
accelerated and receiving a one-time payment of par and accrued interest
from National. Approximately 27% of bondholders voted by the deadline of
expected commutation and acceleration should occur shortly after Plan
effectiveness and will reduce National's insured
GO ("GO") exposure to zero.
• In October of 2021, National sold certain bankruptcy claims in a private
transaction through the transfer of ownership of
of bonds, representing approximately 16% of the principal amount of the
current bond claims in the
Title III case. The bonds included in this transaction had been fully
satisfied by National's insurance claim payments. This transaction
monetizes a portion of National's salvage asset at a discount to
National's previous carrying value, and reduces potential volatility and
ongoing risk of remediation around the PREPA credit. Subsequent to the sale of these PREPA bankruptcy claims, National has approximately$230 million of additional par claims to PREPA that have matured and can be sold. • OnOctober 25, 2021 ,Judge Swain held an emergency hearing in light of
the failure of the
to enabling legislation authorizing the distributions under the Plan.
parties commence in order to resolve the legislation needed by the Plan.
On
legislation after it was adopted by both houses of the
legislature. On
with the court that the interested parties had engaged in good faith best
efforts and it reasonably believed that the Confirmation Hearing can be
expected to move forward as currently scheduled, commencing
2021. 52
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EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW (continued)
Credit Suisse In January of 2021, the Court overseeingMBIA Corp.'s litigation againstCredit Suisse Securities (USA) LLC andDLJ Mortgage Capital, Inc. (collectively, "Credit Suisse"), involving the ineligibility of a majority of the loans in the HEMT 2007-2 RMBS transaction sponsored by Credit Suisse, issued an order declaring that Credit Suisse was liable to MBIA for approximately$604 million in damages. In February of 2021, the parties to the litigation entered into a settlement agreement pursuant to which Credit Suisse paidMBIA Corp. $600 million , and the Court entered an order dismissing the case. Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of our Credit Suisse put-back claims. Financial Highlights The following table presents our financial highlights. A detailed discussion of our financial results is presented within the "Results of Operations" section included herein. Refer to the "Capital Resources-Insurance Statutory Capital " section for a discussion of National's andMBIA Insurance Corporation's capital position under statutory accounting principles ("U.S. STAT"). Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, In millions except per share amounts 2021 2020 2021 2020 Net income (loss) $ (123) $
(58) $ (290) $ (497)
Net income (loss) per diluted share
(1.11)
Adjusted net income (loss)
(1)
$ (76) $ (18) $ (155) $ (137) Adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share (1)$ (1.54) $ (0.34) $ (3.14) $ (2.20) Cost of shares repurchased $ - $ 62 $ - $ 198 (1) - Adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share are non-GAAP measures. Refer to the following "Results of Operations" section for a discussion of adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted share and a reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to adjusted net income (loss) and GAAP net income (loss) per diluted share to
adjusted net
income (loss) per diluted share. Economic and Financial Market Trends TheU.S. economy continued to improve during the third quarter of 2021 as progress on vaccinations dramatically reduced the spread of COVID-19, which along with strong policy support, has bolstered economic activity and employment. Certain sectors of the economy most negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic are improving, but remain relatively weak largely due to the prevalence of the highly transmissible Delta variant. Financial conditions have improved due to measures taken byCongress and theFederal Reserve to support the economy and enhance access to credit forU.S. households and businesses. However, economic activity, employment and inflation remain at risk as the path of economic recovery will still be significantly affected by the course of the virus, including new variants, and the continuing progress on vaccinations throughout the country. Inflation remained elevated during the third quarter of 2021, however, according to theFederal Reserve this increase is largely due to transitory factors and until the labor market has improved it will allow inflation to run above its 2 percent target. The enactment of the$1.9 trillion American Rescue Plan, along with potential additional government spending in the form of an infrastructure plan, will continue to support economic growth. TheFederal Open Market Committee currently projects an increase in gross domestic product in the range of 6 percent for 2021. TheFederal Open Market Committee maintained its target range for the federal funds rate at 0 to 1 / 4 percent at its most recent meeting. TheFederal Reserve has committed to keeping interest rates at or near zero in order to lower borrowing costs until they are confident that the economy has stabilized and the health crisis has subsided. Furthermore, theFederal Reserve has remained committed to using all of its resources and tools to support the economy by assisting households, employers, and state and local governments during the coronavirus pandemic. Economic and financial market trends could impact the Company's financial results. As a result of the pandemic, many states and municipalities will experience financial distress through delayed tax collections, inability to reduce spending and not receiving timely financial assistance. Economic deterioration at the state and local level weakens the credit quality of the issuers of our insured municipal bonds, reduces the performance of our insuredU.S. public finance portfolio and could increase the amount of National's potential incurred losses. In addition, lower interest rates could result in decreased returns on our Company's investment portfolios. Refer to the "COVID-19" section above for further information about the pandemic. 53 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations CRITICAL ACCOUNTING POLICIES AND ESTIMATES We prepare our consolidated financial statements in accordance with accounting principles generally accepted inthe United States of America ("GAAP"), which requires the use of estimates and assumptions. Management has discussed and reviewed the development, selection, and disclosure of critical accounting estimates with the Company's Audit Committee. Our most critical accounting estimates include loss and loss adjustment expense ("LAE") reserves and valuation of financial instruments, since these estimates require significant judgment. Any modifications in these estimates could materially impact our financial results. For a discussion of the Company's critical accounting estimates, refer to "Critical Accounting Estimates" in Part II, Item 7, "Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations" included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 . In addition, refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" and "Note 6: Fair Value of Financial Instruments" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a current description of estimates used in our insurance loss reserving process and information about our financial assets and liabilities that are accounted for at fair value, including valuation techniques and significant inputs. RECENT ACCOUNTING PRONOUNCEMENTS Refer to "Note 3: Recent Accounting Pronouncements" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of accounting guidance recently adopted by the Company. 54 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations RESULTS OF OPERATIONS Summary of Consolidated Results The following table presents a summary of our consolidated financial results for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020: Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, In millions except for per share amounts 2021 2020 2021 2020 Total revenues $ 72 $ 71 $ 162 $ 179 Total expenses 195 129 452 676 Income (loss) before income taxes (123 ) (58 ) (290 ) (497 ) Provision (benefit) for income taxes - - - - Net income (loss)$ (123 ) $ (58 )$ (290 ) $ (497 ) Net income (loss) per common share: Basic$ (2.49 )
Diluted
$ (2.49 ) $ (1.11 ) $ (5.87 ) $ (7.97 ) Weighted average number of common shares outstanding: Basic 49.6 52.6 49.4 62.4 Diluted 49.6 52.6 49.4 62.4 Three Months EndedSeptember 30, 2021 vs. Three Months EndedSeptember 30, 2020 The slight increase in consolidated total revenues in the third quarter of 2021 was primarily due to favorable changes in gains on extinguishment of debt in 2021 as a result of gains from purchases, at discounts, of medium-term notes ("MTNs") issued by the Company and an increase in net premiums earned as a result of the acceleration of premium earnings related to the termination of an international public finance insurance policy, partially offset by unfavorable changes in revenues of consolidated variable interest entities ("VIEs"). Net VIE losses during the third quarter of 2021 were due to the deconsolidation of a VIE. Net VIE gains in the third quarter of 2020 were primarily related to the reversal of an allowance for credit losses on the assets of a VIE. Consolidated total expenses for the three months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020 included net insurance loss and LAE of$125 million and$48 million , respectively. Partially offsetting the increase in loss and LAE was a decrease in interest expense of VIEs, which resulted from the deconsolidation of VIEs and the repayment of VIE debt in 2021. The increase in loss and LAE was primarily due to changes in loss reserving assumptions on certainPuerto Rico credits. Refer to the following "Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses" sections ofNational and MBIA Corp. for additional information on our insurance losses and LAE. Nine Months EndedSeptember 30, 2021 vs. Nine Months EndedSeptember 30, 2020 The decrease in consolidated total revenues was primarily due to net losses of consolidated VIEs during 2021 compared with net gains during 2020, partially offset by fair value gains during 2021 on our interest rate swaps for which we receive floating rates compared with fair value losses during 2020 on our interest rate swaps and gains during 2021 from purchases, at discounts, of MTNs issued by the Company. The unfavorable changes in VIE revenues were primarily due to gains in 2020 from an increase in the Credit Suisse put-back recoveries. These put-back claims were settled and received in the first quarter of 2021. In addition, the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 included losses from the deconsolidation of VIEs compared with gains primarily related to the reversal of an allowance for credit losses on the assets of a VIE in the same period of 2020. Also, the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 included net investment income of VIEs with no comparable income for the same period of 2021 due to the deconsolidation of VIEs in 2020. The fair value gains on our interest rate swaps in 2021 were due to favorable changes in interest rates compared with the same period of 2020. Consolidated total expenses for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020 included net insurance loss and LAE of$232 million and$427 million , respectively. The decrease in loss and LAE was primarily due to less of a decline in expected salvage collections from insured CDOs in 2021 when compared with 2020 and an incurred benefit from changes in risk-free rates on first-lien RMBS in 2021. Refer to the following "Loss and Loss Adjustment Expenses" sections ofNational and MBIA Corp. for additional information on our insurance losses and LAE. 55 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
Non-GAAP Adjusted Net Income (Loss) In addition to our results prepared in accordance with GAAP, we also analyze the operating performance of the Company using adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share, both non-GAAP measures. Since adjusted net income (loss) is used by management to assess performance and make business decisions, we consider adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share fundamental measures of periodic financial performance which are useful in understanding our results. Adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share are not substitutes for net income (loss) and net income (loss) per diluted common share determined in accordance with GAAP, and our definitions of adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share may differ from those used by other companies. Adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share include the after-tax results of the Company and remove the after-tax results of our international and structured finance insurance segment, comprising the results ofMBIA Corp. which given its capital structure and business prospects, we do not expect its financial performance to have a material economic impact onMBIA Inc. , as well as the following:
• Mark-to-market gains (losses) on financial instruments
- We remove the impact of mark-to-market gains (losses) on financial
instruments that primarily include interest rate swaps and hybrid
financial instruments. These amounts fluctuate based on market interest
rates, credit spreads and other market factors. • Foreign exchange gains (losses) - We remove foreign exchange gains (losses) on the remeasurement of certain assets and liabilities and transactions in non-functional
currencies. Given the possibility of volatility in foreign exchange
markets, we exclude the impact of foreign exchange gains (losses) to
provide a measurement of comparability of adjusted net income (loss). • Net gains (losses) on sales of investments, impaired securities and extinguishment of debt
- We remove gains (losses) on the sale of investments, net investment
losses related to impairment of securities and net gains (losses) on
extinguishment of debt since the timing of these transactions are subject
to management's assessment of market opportunities and conditions and capital liquidity positions. • Income taxes
-We apply a zero effective tax rate for federal income tax purposes to
our pre-tax adjustments, if applicable.
The following table presents our adjusted net income (loss) and adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share and provides a reconciliation of GAAP net income (loss) to adjusted net income (loss) for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020: Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, In millions except share and per share amounts 2021 2020 2021 2020 Net income (loss)$ (123 ) $ (58 )$ (290 ) $ (497 ) Less: adjusted net income (loss) adjustments: Income (loss) before income taxes of our international and structured finance insurance segment and eliminations (80 ) (59 ) (223 ) (338 )
Adjustments to income before income taxes of our
public finance insurance and corporate segments:
Mark-to-market gains (losses) on financial instruments
(1)
10 13 39 (47 ) Foreign exchange gains (losses) (1) 5 (16 ) 18 (16 ) Net gains (losses) on sales of investments (1) 2 22 1 41 Net gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt 16 - 30 - Adjusted net income adjustment to the (provision) benefit for income tax (2) - - - - Adjusted net income (loss) $ (76 ) $ (18 )$ (155 ) $ (137 ) Adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share (3)$ (1.54 ) $ (0.34 ) $ (3.14 ) $ (2.20 ) (1) - Reported within "Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange" on the Company's consolidated statements of operations. (2) - Reported within "Provision (benefit) for income taxes" on the Company's consolidated statements of operations. (3) - Adjusted net income (loss) per diluted common share is calculated by taking adjusted net income (loss) divided by the GAAP weighted average number of diluted common shares outstanding. 56 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
Book Value Adjustments Per Share In addition to GAAP book value per share, for internal purposes management also analyzes adjusted book value ("ABV") per share, changes to which we view as an important indicator of financial performance. ABV is also used by management in certain components of management's compensation. Since many of the Company's investors and analysts continue to use ABV to evaluate MBIA's share price and as the basis for their investment decisions, we present GAAP book value per share as well as the individual adjustments used by management to calculate its internal ABV metric. Management adjusts GAAP book value to remove the book value ofMBIA Corp. and for certain items which the Company believes will reverse from GAAP book value through GAAP earnings and comprehensive income, as well as add in the impact of certain items which the Company believes will be realized in GAAP book value in future periods. The Company has limited such adjustments to those items that it deems to be important to fundamental value and performance and for which the likelihood and amount can be reasonably estimated. The following provides a description of management's adjustments to GAAP book value:
• Negative Book value of
- We remove the negative book value of
given
which it operates, the priority given to its policyholders, surplus note
holders and preferred stock holders with respect to the distribution of
assets, and its legal structure, it is not and will not likely be in a
position to upstream any economic benefit to
does not face any material financial liability arising fromMBIA Corp. • Net unrealized (gains) losses on available-for-sale ("AFS") securities
excluding
- We remove net unrealized gains and losses on AFS securities recorded in
accumulated other comprehensive income since they will reverse from GAAP
book value when such securities mature. Gains and losses from sales and
impairments of AFS securities are recorded in book value through earnings.
• Net unearned premium revenue in excess of expected losses of National
- We include net unearned premium revenue in excess of expected losses.
Net unearned premium revenue in excess of expected losses consists of the
financial guarantee unearned premium revenue of National in excess of
expected insurance losses, net of reinsurance and deferred acquisition
costs. In accordance with GAAP, a loss reserve on a financial guarantee
policy is only recorded when expected losses exceed the amount of unearned premium revenue recorded for that policy. As a result, we only add to GAAP book value the amount of unearned premium revenue in excess
of expected losses for each policy in order to reflect the full amount of
our expected losses. The Company's net unearned premium revenue will be recognized in GAAP book value in future periods, however, actual amounts could differ from estimated amounts due to such factors as credit defaults and policy terminations, among others. Since the Company has a full valuation allowance against its net deferred tax asset, the book value per share adjustments were adjusted by applying a zero effective tax rate. The following table provides the Company's GAAP book value per share and management's adjustments to book value per share used in our internal analysis: As of As ofSeptember 30 ,December 31 , In millions except share and per share amounts 2021
2020
Total shareholders' equity of MBIA Inc.$ (170 ) $ 136 Common shares outstanding 54,406,076 53,677,148 GAAP book value per share$ (3.12 ) $ 2.55 Management's adjustments described above: Remove negative book value per share of MBIA Corp. (35.00 ) (31.97 ) Remove net unrealized gains (losses) on available-for-sale securities included in other comprehensive income (loss) 1.81
2.86
Include net unearned premium revenue in excess of expected losses 3.71 4.29 57
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RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
U.S. Public Finance Insurance OurU.S. public finance insurance portfolio is managed through National. The financial guarantees issued by National provide unconditional and irrevocable guarantees of the payment of the principal of, and interest or other amounts owing on, insured obligations when due or, in the event National has exercised, at its discretion, the right to accelerate the payment under its policies upon the acceleration of the underlying insured obligations due to default or otherwise. National's guarantees insure municipal bonds, including tax-exempt and taxable indebtedness ofU.S. political subdivisions, as well as utility districts, airports, healthcare institutions, higher educational facilities, housing authorities and other similar agencies and obligations issued by private entities that finance projects that serve a substantial public purpose. Municipal bonds and privately issued bonds used for the financing of public purpose projects are generally supported by taxes, assessments, user fees or tariffs related to the use of these projects, lease payments or other similar types of revenue streams. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , National had total insured gross par outstanding of$37.7 billion . National continues to monitor and remediate its existing insured portfolio and may also pursue strategic alternatives that could enhance shareholder value. Some state and local governments and territory obligors that National insures are experiencing financial and budgetary stress which may be exacerbated by COVID-19. As a result of COVID-19, we have increased our monitoring of certain credits. Financial and budgetary stress could lead to an increase in defaults by such entities on the payment of their obligations and losses or impairments on a greater number of the Company's insured transactions. In particular,Puerto Rico had been experiencing significant fiscal stress and constrained liquidity, and in response,Congress passed PROMESA, which established the Oversight Board vested with the sole power to certify fiscal plans forPuerto Rico . Refer to the "U.S. Public Finance Insurance Puerto Rico Exposures" section for additional information on PROMESA and ourPuerto Rico exposures. We continue to monitor and analyze these situations and other stressed credits closely, and the overall extent and duration of stress affecting our insured credits remains uncertain. The following table presents ourU.S. public finance insurance segment results for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020: Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change
Net premiums earned $ 13 $ 12 8% $ 41 $ 42 -2% Net investment income 15 15 -% 43 55 -22% Fees and reimbursements - 1 -100% 2 2 -% Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange 1 23 -96% 1 30 -97% Total revenues 29 51 -43% 87 129 -33% Losses and loss adjustment 68 14 n/m 135 134 1% Amortization of deferred acquisition costs 2 - n/m 9 7 29% Operating 15 12 25% 41 35 17% Total expenses 85 26 n/m 185 176 5% Income (loss) before income taxes $ (56 ) $ 25 n/m $ (98 ) $ (47 ) 109% n/m - Percent change not meaningful. NET PREMIUMS EARNED Net premiums earned on financial guarantees represent gross premiums earned net of premiums ceded to reinsurers, and include scheduled premium earnings and premium earnings from refunded issues. Refunding activity over the past several years has accelerated premium earnings in prior years and reduced the amount of scheduled premiums that would have been earned in the current year. Refunding activity can vary significantly from period to period based on issuer refinancing behavior. NET INVESTMENT INCOME The decrease in net investment income for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same period of 2020 was primarily due to a lower average invested asset base resulting from claim payments, payment of a dividend toMBIA Inc. , and purchases ofMBIA Inc. common shares.NET GAINS (LOSSES) ON FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AT FAIR VALUE AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE For the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , net gains on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange included gains from the sales of securities from the ongoing management of ourU.S. public finance investment portfolio. 58 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
LOSS AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES OurU.S. public finance insured portfolio management group is responsible for monitoring ourU.S. public finance segment's insured obligations. The level and frequency of monitoring of any insured obligation depends on the type, size, rating and our assessed performance of the insured issue. As a result of COVID-19, we have increased our monitoring of certain credits. Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information related to the Company's loss reserves. For the three months endedSeptember 30, 2021 , the loss and LAE incurred primarily related to the changes in loss scenario assumptions on thePuerto Rico GO and PREPA credits. In the third quarter of 2021, National modified its GO scenario assumptions to incorporate the final terms of the Plan of Adjustment. This includes a commutation of 27% of National's outstanding insured bonds and an acceleration of National's remaining insured bonds. In addition, National updated its GO loss reserve scenarios to include certain assumptions about recovery valuation on the date it expects to receive cash, bonds and a contingent value instrument. These assumption changes decreased expected GO recoveries. Also in the third quarter of 2021, National modified its PREPA scenario assumptions to reflect the market insight gained from the anticipated sale of a portion of the recoverable on PREPA bankruptcy claims that had been fully satisfied by National's insurance claim payments, which decreased its expected PREPA recoveries, partially offset by additional expected recoveries under the PREPA RSA. For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 , the loss and LAE incurred primarily related to the changes in loss reserve scenario assumptions on the PREPA credit discussed above, and reflects changes in loss reserve scenario assumptions on HTA exposure to reflect the most recent Plan of Adjustment. In addition, an increase in the risk-free rates used to discount the value of long-dated future recoveries onPuerto Rico exposures contributed to loss and LAE incurred. For the three months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , losses and LAE primarily related to certainPuerto Rico exposures. For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , losses and LAE incurred reflect changes in assumptions on HTA exposure and losses incurred on an investor owned utility exposure. These losses were partially offset by a decrease in the risk-free rates used to discount the value of long-dated future recoveries onPuerto Rico exposures. The following table presents information about ourU.S. public finance insurance loss recoverable asset and loss and LAE reserves liabilities as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 : September 30, December 31, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change Assets: Insurance loss recoverable$ 1,286 $ 1,220 5% Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses (1) 3 6 -50% Liabilities: Loss and LAE reserves 386 469 -18% Insurance loss recoverable - ceded (2) 53 48 10% Net reserve (salvage)$ (850 ) $ (709 ) 20% (1) - Reported within "Other assets" on our consolidated balance sheets. (2) - Reported within "Other liabilities" on our consolidated balance sheets. The insurance loss recoverable as ofSeptember 30, 2021 increased compared withDecember 31, 2020 primarily as a result of expected recoveries related to claims paid on certainPuerto Rico exposures, which was partially offset by a change in recovery assumptions surrounding certainPuerto Rico exposures as well as increases in discount rates used to present value future expected recoveries on paid claims. The change in recovery assumptions is primarily the result of the changes in GO and PREPA loss reserve scenario assumptions discussed above. Loss and LAE reserves as ofSeptember 30, 2021 declined compared withDecember 31, 2020 primarily due to actual payments made related to certainPuerto Rico exposures, partially offset by an increase in expected payments and unfavorable changes in future recoveries of unpaid losses due to changes in assumptions and an increase in risk-free discount rates. 59 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS AND OPERATING EXPENSESU.S. public finance insurance segment expenses for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020 are presented in the following table: Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change Gross expenses $ 15 $ 12 25% $ 41 $ 35 17% Amortization of deferred acquisition costs $ 2 $ - n/m $ 9 $ 7 29% Operating 15 12 25% 41 35 17% Total insurance operating expenses $ 17 $ 12 42% $ 50 $ 42 19% n/m - Percent change not meaningful. Gross expenses represent total insurance expenses before the deferral of any policy acquisition costs. Operating expenses increased for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same periods of 2020 primarily due to increases in legal costs. When an insured obligation refunds, we accelerate any remaining deferred acquisition costs associated with the policy covering the refunded insured obligation. We did not defer a material amount of policy acquisition costs during the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 or 2020. INSURED PORTFOLIO EXPOSURE Financial guarantee insurance companies use a variety of approaches to assess the underlying credit risk profile of their insured portfolios. National uses both an internally developed credit rating system as well as third-party rating sources in the analysis of credit quality measures of its insured portfolio. In evaluating credit risk, we obtain, when available, the underlying rating(s) of the insured obligation before the benefit of National's insurance policy from nationally recognized rating agencies,Moody's Investor Services ("Moody's") andStandard & Poor's Financial Services LLC ("S&P"). Other companies within the financial guarantee industry may report credit quality information based upon internal ratings that would not be comparable to our presentation. We maintain internal ratings on our entire portfolio, and our ratings may be higher or lower than the underlying ratings assigned by Moody's or S&P. The following table presents the credit quality distribution of National'sU.S. public finance outstanding gross par insured as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . Capital appreciation bonds ("CABs") are reported at the par amount at the time of issuance of the insurance policy. All ratings are as of the period presented and represent S&P underlying ratings, where available. If transactions are not rated by S&P, a Moody's equivalent rating is used. If transactions are not rated by either S&P or Moody's, an internal equivalent rating is used. Gross Par Outstanding In millions September 30, 2021 December 31, 2020 Rating Amount % Amount % AAA$ 1,744 4.6%$ 2,080 5.0% AA 15,035 39.9% 16,299 39.0% A 10,986 29.1% 12,888 30.8% BBB 6,611 17.5% 7,019 16.7% Below investment grade 3,339 8.9% 3,570 8.5% Total$ 37,715 100.0%$ 41,856 100.0% 60
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
U.S. Public Finance Insurance Puerto Rico Exposures The following is a summary of exposures within the insured portfolio of ourU.S. public finance insurance segment related toPuerto Rico as ofSeptember 30, 2021 . Debt National Gross Par Service Internal In millions Outstanding
Outstanding
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
d Puerto Rico Commonwealth GO 224 295 dPuerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) (1) 155 199 dPuerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority Transportation Revenue (PRHTA) 523 856 dPuerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority-Subordinated Transportation Revenue (PRHTA) 27 34 d Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation (2) Authority Highway Revenue (PRHTA) 39 58 d University of Puerto Rico System Revenue 70 91 d Inter American University of Puerto Rico Inc. 19 23 a3 Total$ 1,866 $ 2,640 (1) - Additionally secured by the guarantee of theCommonwealth of Puerto Rico . (2) - Includes CABs that reflect the gross par amount at the time of issuance of the insurance policy. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , gross par outstanding plus CABs accreted interest was$41 million . OnJune 30, 2016 , PROMESA was signed into law by the President ofthe United States . PROMESA provides for the creation of the Oversight Board with powers relating to the development and implementation of a fiscal plan for the Commonwealth and each of its instrumentalities as well as a court-supervised Title III process that allowsPuerto Rico to restructure its debt if voluntary agreements cannot be reached with creditors through a collective action process. Following the resignation and replacement of several Oversight Board members, the Oversight Board has been reconstituted with four new members while three existing members have been reappointed by the President for another three year term. The newly elected Governor ofPuerto Rico has appointed himself as a non-voting member of the reconstituted Oversight Board. OnMay 3, 2017 , the Oversight Board certified and filed a petition under Title III of PROMESA forPuerto Rico with theDistrict Court of Puerto Rico thereby commencing a bankruptcy-like case for the Commonwealth GO. Under separate petitions, the Oversight Board subsequently commenced Title III proceedings for COFINA, PRHTA, PREPA and PBA onMay 5, 2017 ,May 21, 2017 ,July 2, 2017 andSeptember 27, 2019 , respectively. One of the proceedings was resolved onFebruary 4, 2019 , when the District ofPuerto Rico entered the order confirming the Third Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment for COFINA. The plan became effective onFebruary 12, 2019 , and as ofDecember 31, 2019 , we no longer have exposure to COFINA. There can be no assurance that the other Title III proceedings will be resolved with similar outcomes. As a result of prior defaults, various stays and the Title III cases,Puerto Rico failed to make certain scheduled debt service payments for National insured bonds. As a consequence, National has paid gross claims in the aggregate amount of$1.8 billion relating to GO bonds, PBA bonds, PREPA bonds and PRHTA bonds throughJune 30, 2021 , inclusive of the commutation payment and the additional payment in the amount of$66 million onDecember 17, 2019 related to COFINA. OnMay 2, 2019 , the Oversight Board and theOfficial Committee of Unsecured Creditors of all Title III Debtors (other than COFINA) (the "Committee") filed lien avoidance adversary complaints against several hundred defendants, including National, challenging the existence, extent, and enforceability of GO bondholders' liens. After an approximately five-month stay of litigation entered by the Court onJuly 24, 2019 , these adversary proceedings resumed pursuant to an interim schedule entered by the Court inDecember 2019 . OnFebruary 5, 2020 ,National andAssured Guaranty Municipal Corp. filed a motion to dismiss the adversary proceeding. The adversary proceeding hearing was stayed indefinitely by further order of the Court. 61 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
OnFebruary 22, 2021 , National agreed to join a plan support agreement, dated as ofFebruary 22, 2021 (the "GO PSA"), among the Oversight Board, certain holders of GO Bonds and PBA Bonds,Assured Guaranty Corp. andAssured Guaranty Municipal Corp , andSyncora Guarantee Inc. in connection with the GO and PBA Title III cases. The GO PSA provides that, among other things, National shall receive a pro rata share of allocable cash, newly issued General Obligation bonds, a contingent value instrument and certain fees. The GO PSA contemplates a Commonwealth plan becoming effective on or beforeDecember 15, 2021 ; however there can be no assurance that such plans will become effective, or on the contemplated timeline. Pursuant to the GO PSA, the Oversight Board and National jointly obtained the entry of an order in the Title III court staying National's participation in actions related to the clawback of HTA funds from the Commonwealth, and National shall take no further action with respect to those proceedings subject to the Commonwealth plan becoming effective. OnApril 12, 2021 , National,Assured Guaranty Corp. ,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board reached an agreement in principle settling certain clawback claims and providing for a distribution of cash, bonds and a contingent value instrument to HTA bondholders subject to completing negotiations on a plan support agreement in respect of the HTA PSA. OnMay 5, 2021 , National, Assured Guaranty Corp.,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board entered into the HTA PSA. The Oversight Board has committed to filing a plan of adjustment for HTA byJanuary 31, 2022 . OnJuly 12, 2021 , the Oversight Board filed the Fifth Amended Title III Plan of Adjustment and Disclosure Statement, incorporating certain changes in connection with certain disclosure statement objections. OnJuly 14, 2021 , theBankruptcy Court (i) continued the disclosure statement hearing untilJuly 27, 2021 for the sole purpose of considering a possible settlement of objections byAmbac Assurance Corporation andFinancial Guaranty Insurance Company , and (ii) overruled all other objections to the disclosure statement but required the Oversight Board to include certain additional disclosure on financial and legislative risks. The court also approved confirmation procedures, subject to the approval of the disclosure statement at the continued hearing, including commencing the confirmation hearing onNovember 8, 2021 and concluding onNovember 23, 2021 . OnJuly 27, 2021 , the Oversight Board filed the Sixth Amended Plan and Disclosure Statement, and onJuly 29, 2021 the Court approved the amended Disclosure Statement for distribution to claimholders of record. OnJuly 30, 2021 , the Oversight Board filed the Seventh Amended Plan of Adjustment. OnOctober 25, 2021 ,Judge Swain held an emergency hearing in light of the failure of thePuerto Rico legislature to agree byFriday, October 22 to enabling legislation authorizing the distributions under the Plan.Judge Swain ruled at this hearing that mediation with the interested parties commence in order to resolve the legislation needed by the Plan. OnOctober 26, 2021 , the Governor ofPuerto Rico signed the enabling legislation after it was adopted by both houses of thePuerto Rico legislature. OnOctober 28, 2021 , the mediation team filed its statement with the court that the interested parties had engaged in good faith best efforts and it reasonably believed that the Confirmation Hearing can be expected to move forward as currently scheduled, commencingNovember 8, 2021 . In October of 2021, bondholders voted to approve the GO PSA which included the option for National insured bondholders to choose between commuting their insurance policy with National or receiving a one-time cash payment equal to outstanding par and accrued interest via an acceleration of National's insurance policy. Insured bondholders were required to choose one of these two options. Therefore, shortly after implementation of the PSA National's insured GO exposure will be reduced to zero. OnJuly 24, 2019 ,Judge Swain entered an order staying certain adversary proceedings and contested matters untilDecember 31, 2019 , and imposing mandatory mediation underJudge Houser . Among the matters stayed in which National is either a party in interest or intervenor are the (i) PBA adversary proceeding seeking to recharacterize the PBA bonds as financings and (ii) GO adversary and HTA adversary proceedings, both challenging bondholder liens. Pursuant to interim schedules entered by the Court inDecember 2019 , the PBA adversary proceeding and the HTA adversary proceeding were to remain stayed untilMarch 11, 2020 , but the Court subsequently stayed all such adversary proceedings indefinitely subject to the progress of the GO confirmation process. As part of the GO PSA, National's participation in this litigation will be stayed subject to the effective date of the Commonwealth plan of adjustment. 62 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
PBA
OnDecember 21, 2018 , the Oversight Board filed an adversary complaint seeking to disallow the PBA's administrative rent claims against the Commonwealth. The PBA bonds are payable from the rent the Commonwealth pays under its lease agreements with the PBA. The Oversight Board alleges that the Commonwealth has no obligation to make rent payments under section 365(d)(3) of the Bankruptcy Code and that the PBA is not entitled to a priority administrative expense claim under the leases. OnApril 16, 2019 ,Judge Swain entered an order setting a discovery schedule. OnSeptember 27, 2019 , the Oversight Board filed a Title III petition for the PBA. The proceeding is currently stayed in the Title III court subject to the occurrence of the effective date of the Commonwealth plan of adjustment. PREPA National's largest exposure toPuerto Rico , by gross par outstanding, is to PREPA. OnOctober 3, 2018 , National, together withAssured Guaranty Corp. ,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. , andSyncora Guarantee Inc. (collectively, "Movants") filed a motion in the Title III case for PREPA for relief from the automatic stay to allow Movants to exercise their statutory right to have a receiver appointed at PREPA (the "Receiver Motion"). This motion is stayed pending a resolution of the 9019 Order, discussed below. OnMay 3, 2019 , PREPA, the Oversight Board, thePuerto Rico Fiscal Agency andFinancial Advisory Authority ("AAFAF"), theAd Hoc Group of PREPA bondholders (the "Ad Hoc Group "), andAssured Guaranty Corp. andAssured Guaranty Municipal Corp. ("Assured") entered into the a restructuring support agreement ("RSA") which was amended onSeptember 9, 2019 to includeNational andSyncora Guarantee, Inc. ("Syncora") as supporting parties. Approximately 90% of PREPA's bondholders have joined the RSA. The RSA initially contemplated the filing of a plan of adjustment for PREPA byMarch 31, 2020 ; the timing of that action is now uncertain. The Oversight Board filed a status report with the Court onOctober 5, 2021 in which it stated its intention to file a PREPA plan of adjustment by the end of 2021 or early 2022. Pursuant to the RSA, the Oversight Board filed a Rule 9019 motion with the Title III court inMay 2019 seeking approval of the RSA (the "Settlement Motion") and a Motion to Dismiss the Receiver Motion. The RSA requires, upon entry of the order approving the Settlement Motion (the "9019 Order"), that Movants will withdraw the Receiver Motion, and theAd Hoc Group will support such withdrawal. The Receiver Motion and the Motion to Dismiss the Receiver Motion have been delayed several times, and most recently were adjourned due to the outbreak of COVID-19 until further notice. The debt restructuring contemplated by the RSA will not be effective until (i) confirmation of a plan of adjustment under the Puerto Rico Oversight, Management and Economic Stability Act ("PROMESA"), (ii) negotiation and consummation of definitive documentation and legal opinions, (iii) enactment and implementation of supportivePuerto Rico legislation and (iv) receipt ofPuerto Rico regulatory approval, each of which outcome is uncertain and subject to varying degrees of risk. In addition, the restructuring the RSA contemplates has received criticism from various parties including members of thePuerto Rico government and other stakeholders. This opposition could adversely affect the ability of the Oversight Board and RSA Parties to obtain the Rule 9019 Order and approve the RSA. As contemplated by the RSA, onJuly 1, 2019 the Oversight Board and AAFAF also filed an adversary complaint against the Trustee for the PREPA Bonds, challenging the validity of the liens arising under the Trust Agreement that secure insured obligations of National. The adversary proceeding is stayed until the earlier of (a) 60 days after the Court denies the 9019 Motion, (b) consummation of a Plan, (c) 60 days after the filing by the Oversight Board and AAFAF of a Litigation Notice, or (d) further order of the Court. Certain objectors to the RSA have filed adversary proceedings challenging the payment priority arising under the PREPA Trust Agreement, alleging that they are entitled to be paid in full before National and other bondholders have any lien on or recourse to PREPA's assets, including pursuant to the RSA. All litigation on this matter has been stayed until the Court places the 9019 Motion back on the calendar for hearing. OnJune 22, 2020 , the Oversight Board and thePuerto Rico P3 Authority announced an agreement and contract withLUMA Energy, LLC ("LUMA") which calls forLUMA to take full responsibility for the operation and maintenance of PREPA's transmission and distribution system; the contract runs for 15-years following a transition period expected to take 12 months. PREPA retains ownership of the system as well as responsibility for the power generation system.LUMA assumed responsibility for operations onJune 1, 2021 . 63 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
OnSeptember 18, 2020 ,FEMA and thePR COR3 Authority announced the commitment byFEMA to provide approximately$11.6 billion (net of the required 10% cost share) to fund projects built by PREPA and thePR Department of Education ; approximately$9.4 billion (net) of this amount is designated for PREPA.LUMA is now involved in the planning of the related projects as well as proceedings related thereto in front thePR Energy Bureau as well as PR-COR3. In October of 2021, National sold certain bankruptcy claims in a private transaction through the transfer of ownership of$199 million face amount of bonds, representing approximately 16% of the principal amount of the current bond claims in the PREPA Title III case. The bonds included in this transaction had been fully satisfied by National's insurance claim payments. Subsequent to the sale of these PREPA bankruptcy claims, National has approximately$230 million of additional par claims to PREPA that have matured and can be sold. PRHTA OnMay 20, 2019 , the Oversight Board and the Committee filed a lien avoidance adversary complaint against fiscal agents, holders, and insurers of certain PRHTA bonds, including National. The complaint challenges the extent and enforceability of certain security interests in PRHTA's revenues. Pursuant to an interim schedule entered by the Court inDecember 2019 , the Court has stayed the proceedings, with the understanding that the issues raised in these proceedings would be addressed in new adversary proceedings filed by the Oversight Board onJanuary 16, 2020 . Subsequent to those filings, these proceedings were stayed by order of the Court. OnApril 12, 2021 , National,Assured Guaranty Corp. ,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board reached an agreement in principle settling certain HTA clawback claims in the Commonwealth Title III case and providing for a distribution to HTA holders of cash, bonds and a contingent value instrument subject to completing negotiations on a plan support agreement in respect of the HTA PSA. OnMay 5, 2021 , National,Assured Guaranty Corp. ,Assured Guaranty Municipal Corp. and the Oversight Board entered into the HTA PSA. The Oversight Board has committed to filing a plan of adjustment for HTA byJanuary 31, 2022 . Status ofPuerto Rico's Fiscal Plans In January of 2021, the Oversight Board requested that thePuerto Rico government submit a proposed updated Fiscal Plan for the Commonwealth. The Commonwealth submitted a revised fiscal plan onMarch 8, 2021 . OnMarch 15, 2021 , the Oversight Board deemed thePuerto Rico government's fiscal plan to be non-compliant, and has required the government to submit a revised updated fiscal plan, including all financial and supporting models. The Oversight Board certified the government's fiscal plan onApril 23, 2021 . For the remaining component units, the Oversight Board certified fiscal plans for PREPA, theUniversity of Puerto Rico (the "University") and PRHTA onMay 27, 2021 . The Oversight Board also certified the fiscal year 2022 budgets for Commonwealth, PREPA, the University and PRHTA onJune 27, 2021 .University of Puerto Rico The University is not a debtor in Title III and continues to be current on its debt service payment. However, the University is subject to a standstill agreement with its senior bondholders, which has been extended toNovember 30, 2021 . National is not a party to the standstill agreement. The following table presents our scheduled gross debt service due on ourPuerto Rico insured exposures for the three months endingDecember 31, 2021 , for each of the subsequent four years endingDecember 31 and thereafter: Three Months Ending In millions December 31, 2021 2022
2023 2024 2025 Thereafter
Puerto Rico Electric Power Authority
(PREPA)
$ -$ 140
Puerto Rico Commonwealth GO
- 19 14 13 75 174 295Puerto Rico Public Buildings Authority (PBA) - 9 27 43 36 84 199Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority Transportation Revenue (PRHTA) - 27 36 33 36 724 856Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority-Subordinated Transportation Revenue (PRHTA) - 9 1 1 1 22 34Puerto Rico Highway and Transportation Authority Highway Revenue (PRHTA) - 2 4 2 2 48 58University of Puerto Rico System Revenue - 7 12 11 16 45 91Inter American University of Puerto Rico Inc. 3 3 3 3 3 8 23 Total $ 3$ 216 $ 234 $ 243 $ 274 $ 1,670 $ 2,640 64
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
Corporate
Our corporate segment consists of general corporate activities, including providing support services toMBIA Inc.'s subsidiaries and asset and capital management. Support services are provided by our service company, MBIA Services, and include, among others, management, legal, accounting, treasury, information technology, and insurance portfolio surveillance, on a fee-for-service basis. Capital management includes activities related to servicing obligations issued byMBIA Inc. and its subsidiaries,MBIA Global Funding, LLC ("GFL") andMBIA Investment Management Corp. ("IMC"). During 2020, the remaining investment agreements issued by IMC matured, and as ofDecember 31, 2020 , there were no outstanding investment agreements issued by IMC.MBIA Inc. issued debt to finance the operations of the MBIA group. GFL raised funds through the issuance of medium-term notes ("MTNs") with varying maturities, which were in turn guaranteed byMBIA Corp. GFL lent the proceeds of these MTN issuances toMBIA Inc. IMC, along withMBIA Inc. , provided customized investment agreements, guaranteed byMBIA Corp. , for bond proceeds and other public funds for such purposes as construction, loan origination, escrow and debt service or other reserve fund requirements. The Company has ceased issuing new MTNs and investment agreements and the outstanding liability balances and corresponding asset balances have declined over time as liabilities matured, terminated or were called or repurchased. All of the debt within the corporate segment is managed collectively and is serviced by available liquidity. The following table summarizes the consolidated results of our corporate segment for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020: Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change Net investment income $ 7 $ 7 -% $ 21 $ 23 -9% Fees 13 13 -% 42 43 -2% Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange 13 (6 ) n/m 50 (62 ) n/m Net gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt 16 - n/m 30 - n/m Total revenues 49 14 n/m 143 4 n/m Operating 15 17 -12% 54 52 4% Interest 19 21 -10% 56 63 -11% Total expenses 34 38 -11% 110 115 -4% Income (loss) before income taxes $ 15 $ (24 ) n/m $ 33$ (111 ) -130% n/m-Percent change not meaningful.NET GAINS (LOSSES) ON FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AT FAIR VALUE AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE The favorable change in net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange for the three months endedSeptember 30, 2021 was primarily due to foreign currency gains on Euro denominated liabilities as a result of the strengthening of theU.S. dollar in 2021 compared with foreign exchange losses as a result of the weakening of theU.S. dollar in the same period of 2020. The favorable change in net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 was primarily due to the impact of increases in interest rates during the first nine months of 2021 on the fair values of interest rate swaps compared with fair value losses on these swaps in the same period of 2020 due to decreases in interest rates and foreign currency gains on Euro denominated liabilities as a result of the strengthening of theU.S. dollar in 2021 compared with foreign exchange losses as a result of the weakening of theU.S. dollar in the same period of 2020.NET GAINS (LOSSES) ON EXTINGUISHMENT OF DEBT Net gains (losses) on extinguishment of debt for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 include gains from purchases, at discounts, of MTNs issued by the Company. INTEREST EXPENSE Interest expense decreased for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same periods of 2020 primarily due to the redemption of debt in December of 2020. International andStructured Finance Insurance Our international and structured finance insurance portfolio is managed throughMBIA Corp. The financial guarantees issued byMBIA Corp. generally provide unconditional and irrevocable guarantees of the payment of the principal of, and interest or other amounts owing on, non-U.S. public finance and global structured finance insured obligations when due or, in the eventMBIA Corp. has the right, at its discretion, to accelerate insured obligations upon default or otherwise. 65 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
MBIA Corp. has insured sovereign-related and sub-sovereign bonds, privately issued bonds used for the financing of utilities, toll roads, bridges, airports, public transportation facilities, and other types of infrastructure projects serving a substantial public purpose. Global structured finance and asset-backed obligations typically are securities repayable from cash flows generated by a specified pool of assets, such as residential and commercial mortgages, insurance policies, consumer loans, corporate loans and bonds, and aircraft leases.MBIA Insurance Corporation insures the investment agreements written byMBIA Inc. , and ifMBIA Inc. were to have insufficient assets to pay amounts due upon maturity or termination,MBIA Insurance Corporation would be required to make such payments under its insurance policies.MBIA Insurance Corporation also insured debt obligations of other affiliates, includingGFL, IMC and MZ Funding LLC ("MZ Funding").MBIA Corp. had also written insurance policies guaranteeing the obligations under credit default swap ("CDS") contracts of an affiliate,LaCrosse Financial Products, LLC and certain other derivative contracts. Certain policies covered payments potentially due under CDS, including termination payments that may become due in certain circumstances, including the occurrence of certain insolvency or payment defaults under the CDS or derivative contracts by the insured counterparty or by the guarantor. We no longer insure new CDS contracts except for potential transactions related to the restructuring of existing exposures.MBIA Insurance Corporation provides 100% reinsurance to its subsidiary,MBIA Mexico S.A. de C.V. ("MBIA Mexico").MBIA Corp. has contributed to the Company's net operating loss ("NOL") carryforward, which is used in the calculation of our consolidated income taxes. IfMBIA Corp. becomes profitable, it is not expected to make any tax payments under our tax sharing agreement. Based onMBIA Corp.'s current projected earnings and our expectation that it will not write significant new business, we believe it is unlikely thatMBIA Corp. will generate significant income in the near future. As a result ofMBIA Corp.'s capital structure and business prospects, we do not expect its financial performance to have a material economic impact onMBIA Inc. The following table presents our international and structured finance insurance segment results for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020: Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change Net premiums earned $ 17 $ 5 n/m $ 28 $ 18 56% Net investment income 1 1 -% 4 3 33% Fees and reimbursements 8 2 n/m 15 9 67% Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange (3 ) (4 ) -25% (9 ) 6 n/m Revenues of consolidated VIEs: Net investment income - 5 -100% - 18 -100% Net gains (losses) on financial instruments at fair value and foreign exchange 4 (4 ) n/m (10 ) 34 -129% Other net realized gains (losses) (9 ) 23 -139% (14 ) 37 -138% Total revenues 18 28 -36% 14 125 -89% Losses and loss adjustment 57 34 -% 97 293 -67% Amortization of deferred acquisition costs 3 4 -25% 11 12 -8% Operating 5 6 -17% 18 20 -10% Interest 26 27 -4% 82 88 -7% Expenses of consolidated VIEs: Operating 2 1 100% 5 4 25% Interest 7 15 -53% 24 47 -49% Total expenses 100 87 15% 237 464 -49% Income (loss) before income taxes $ (82 ) $ (59 ) -%$ (223 ) $ (339 ) -34% n/m-Percent change not meaningful. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Corp.'s total insured gross par outstanding was$5.7 billion . 66 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
NET PREMIUMS EARNED Our international and structured finance insurance segment
generates net premiums from insurance policies accounted for as financial
guarantee contracts. Certain premiums may be eliminated in our consolidated
financial statements as a result of the Company consolidating VIEs. The
following table provides net premiums earned from our financial guarantee
contracts for the three and nine months ended
Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change Net premiums earned: U.S. $ - $ 1 -100% $ 2 $ 2 0% Non-U.S. 17 4 n/m 26 14 86% Total net premiums earned $ 17 $ 5 n/m $ 28 $ 16 75% VIEs (eliminated in consolidation) $ 2 $ 1 100% $ 3 $ (2 ) n/m
n/m - Percent change not meaningful.
Net premiums earned represent gross premiums earned net of premiums ceded to reinsurers, and include scheduled premium earnings and premium earnings from refunded issues. The increase in net premiums earned for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same periods of 2020 was due to the acceleration of premium earnings related to the termination of an international public finance insurance policy during the third quarter of 2021. The negative VIE net premiums earned (eliminated in consolidation) for 2020 was primarily due to the termination of a policy, resulting in the reversal of previously eliminated net premiums in excess of cash received. FEES AND REIMBURSEMENTS The increases in fees and reimbursements for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same periods of 2020 were primarily due to an increase in waiver and consent fees related to the termination of an international public finance insurance policy during the third quarter of 2021. Due to the transaction-specific nature inherent in fees and reimbursements, these revenues can vary significantly from period to period.NET GAINS (LOSSES) ON FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS AT FAIR VALUE AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE The losses for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 were primarily due to losses from foreign currency revaluations of premiums receivables denominated in Chilean unidad de fomento as a result of the strengthening of theU.S. dollar. The gains for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 were primarily due to gains from foreign currency revaluations of Mexican peso-denominated loss reserves as a result of the strengthening of theU.S. dollar, partially offset by foreign exchange losses from foreign currency revaluations of premiums receivables denominated in Chilean unidad de fomento as a result of the strengthening of theU.S. dollar. REVENUES OF CONSOLIDATED VIEs The decreases in revenues of consolidated VIEs for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 compared with the same periods of 2020 were primarily due to gains related to reversals of allowances for credit losses, the increase in expected recoveries from the Credit Suisse put-back claims and higher net investment income in 2020 with no comparable income for the same periods of 2021. During 2020, we deconsolidated all remaining VIEs for which net investment income was recorded. The losses included in other net realized gains (losses) for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 related to losses from the deconsolidation of VIEs compared with a gains from the deconsolidation of a VIE in 2020. LOSSES AND LOSS ADJUSTMENT EXPENSES Our international and structured finance insured portfolio management group is responsible for monitoring international and structured finance insured obligations. The level and frequency of monitoring of any insured obligation depends on the type, size, rating and our assessed performance of the insured issue. As a result of COVID-19, we have increased our monitoring of certain credits. Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a description of the Company's loss reserving policy and additional information related to its loss reserves. Losses and LAE incurred increased for the three months endedSeptember 30, 2021 when compared with the same period of 2020 primarily due to more of a decline in expected salvage collections from insured CDOs in 2021 when compared with 2020, partially offset by a decrease in losses and LAE incurred on insured RMBS transactions. Losses and LAE incurred decreased for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 when compared with the same period of 2020 primarily due to favorable changes in risk-free rates used to discount the present value net loss reserves for first-lien RMBS transactions and less of a decline in expected salvage collections from insured CDOs in 2021 when compared with 2020. The first-lien RMBS risk-free rates increased in 2021 which decreased the present value of loss reserves compared with a decrease in risk-free rates in 2020 which increased the present value of loss reserves. As a result of the consolidation of VIEs, loss and LAE excludes losses and LAE benefits of$9 million and$24 million for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 , respectively, and excludes losses and LAE benefits of$10 million and$75 million for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , respectively, as VIE losses and LAE are eliminated in consolidation. 67 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for further information about our insurance loss recoverable and loss and LAE reserves. The following table presents information about our insurance loss recoverable and loss and LAE reserves as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . September 30, December 31, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change Assets: Insurance loss recoverable $ 251 $ 457 -45% Reinsurance recoverable on paid and unpaid losses (1) 4 5 -20% Liabilities: Loss and LAE reserves 464 521 -11% Net reserve (salvage) $ 209 $ 59 n/m (1) - Reported with in "Other assets" on our consolidated balance sheets. n/m - Percent change not meaningful. The insurance loss recoverable primarily relates to reimbursement rights arising from the payment of claims onMBIA Corp.'s policies insuring certain CDOs and RMBS. Such payments also entitleMBIA Corp. to exercise certain rights and remedies to seek recovery of its reimbursement entitlements. Refer to "Note 1: Business Developments and Risks and Uncertainties" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information regarding our estimates of recoveries. Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for additional information about our loss reserving policy, loss reserves and recoverables.POLICY ACQUISITION COSTS AND OPERATING EXPENSES International and structured finance insurance segment expenses for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020 are presented in the following table: Three Months Ended September 30, Percent Nine Months Ended September 30, Percent In millions 2021 2020 Change 2021 2020 Change Gross expenses $ 6 $ 7 -14% $ 19 $ 21 -10% Amortization of deferred acquisition costs $ 3 $ 4 -25% $ 11 $ 12 -8% Operating 5 6 -17% 18 20 -10% Total insurance operating expenses $ 8 $ 10 -20% $ 29 $ 32 -9% Gross expenses represent total insurance expenses before the deferral of any policy acquisition costs. We did not defer a material amount of policy acquisition costs during the first nine months of 2021 or 2020. Policy acquisition costs in these periods were primarily related to ceding commissions and premium taxes on installment policies written in prior periods. 68 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
INTEREST EXPENSE OF CONSOLIDATED VIEs For the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 , total interest expense of consolidated VIEs decreased compared with the same periods of 2020 due to the deconsolidation of VIEs in 2020 and the repayment ofMBIA Corp.'s financing facility between MZ Funding and certain purchasers, pursuant to which the purchasers or their affiliates agreed to refinance the outstanding insured senior notes of MZ Funding ("Refinanced Facility") during 2021. International and Structured Finance Insurance Portfolio Exposures Credit Quality The credit quality of our international and structured finance insured portfolio is assessed in the same manner as ourU.S. public finance insured portfolio. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 , 24% of our international and structured finance insured portfolio was rated below investment grade, before giving effect to MBIA's guarantees, based on MBIA's internal ratings, which are generally more current than the underlying ratings provided by S&P and Moody's for this subset of our insured portfolio. Selected Portfolio Exposures The following is a summary of selected significant exposures within our residential mortgage insured portfolio of our international and structured finance insurance segment. In addition, as ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Corp. insured$232 million of CDOs and related instruments. We may experience considerable incurred losses in certain of these sectors. There can be no assurance that the loss reserves recorded in our financial statements will be sufficient or that we will not experience losses on transactions on which we currently have no loss reserves, in particular if the economy deteriorates. We may seek to purchase, directly or indirectly, obligations guaranteed byMBIA Corp. or seek to commute policies. The amount of insurance exposure reduced, if any, and the nature of any such actions will depend on market conditions, pricing levels from time to time, and other considerations. In some cases, these activities may result in a reduction of loss reserves, but in all cases they are intended to limit our ultimate losses and reduce the future volatility in loss development on the related policies. Our ability to purchase guaranteed obligations and to commute policies will depend on management's assessment of available liquidity. Residential Mortgage ExposureMBIA Corp. insures RMBS backed by residential mortgage loans, including second-lien RMBS transactions (revolving home equity lines of credit ("HELOC") loans and closed-end second ("CES") mortgages).MBIA Corp. also insures MBS backed by first-lien alternative A-paper ("Alt-A") and subprime mortgage loans directly through RMBS securitizations. The following table presents the gross par outstanding ofMBIA Corp.'s total direct RMBS insured exposure as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . Amounts include the gross par outstanding related to transactions that the Company consolidates under accounting guidance for VIEs. In millions Gross Par Outstanding as of September 30, December 31, Percent Collateral Type 2021 2020 Change HELOC Second-lien $ 10 $ 269 -96% CES Second-lien 1 104 -99% Alt-A First-lien (1) 768 825 -7% Subprime First-lien 233 285 -18% Prime First-lien 5 6 -17% Total$ 1,017 $ 1,489 -32% (1) - Includes international exposure of$233 million and$237 million as of September 30, 2021 and December 31, 2020, respectively. 69
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
RESULTS OF OPERATIONS (continued)
U.S. Public Finance and International and Structured Finance Reinsurance Reinsurance enables the Company to cede exposure for purposes of syndicating risk. The Company generally retains the right to reassume the business ceded to reinsurers under certain circumstances, including a reinsurer's rating downgrade below specified thresholds. Currently, we do not intend to use reinsurance to decrease the insured exposure in our portfolio. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , the aggregate amount of insured par outstanding ceded by MBIA to reinsurers under reinsurance agreements was$1.0 billion compared with$1.5 billion as ofDecember 31, 2020 . Under National's reinsurance agreement withMBIA Corp. , if a reinsurer ofMBIA Corp. is unable to pay claims ceded byMBIA Corp. onU.S. public finance exposure, National will assume liability for such ceded claim payments. For a further discussion of the Company's reinsurance, refer to "Note 13: Insurance in Force" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 . Taxes Provision for Income Taxes The Company's income taxes and the related effective tax rates for the three and nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020 are presented in the following table: Three Months Ended September 30, Nine Months Ended September 30, In millions 2021 2020 2021 2020
Income (loss) before income taxes
Provision (benefit) for income taxes $
- $ - $ - $ - Effective tax rate 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 and 2020, our effective tax rate applied to our loss before income taxes was lower than theU.S. statutory tax rate of 21% due to the full valuation allowance on the changes in our net deferred tax asset. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 , the Company's valuation allowance against its net deferred tax asset was$1.0 billion and$966 million , respectively. Notwithstanding the full valuation allowance on its net deferred tax asset, the Company believes that it may be able to use some of its net deferred tax asset before the expirations associated with that asset based upon expected earnings at National and potential future sources of taxable income to be identified by the Company. Accordingly, the Company will continue to re-evaluate its net deferred tax asset on a quarterly basis. There is no assurance that the Company will reverse any of its valuation allowance on its net deferred tax asset in the future. Refer to "Note 9: Income Taxes" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a further discussion of income taxes, including the valuation allowance against the Company's net deferred tax asset and its accounting for tax uncertainties. The CARES Act established new tax provisions including, but not limited to: (1) five-year carryback of NOLs generated in 2018, 2019 and 2020; (2) accelerated refund of alternative minimum tax ("AMT") credit carryforwards; and (3) retroactive changes to allow accelerated depreciation for certain depreciable property. The legislation did not have a material impact on the Company's tax positions due to the lack of taxable income in the carryback periods. OnDecember 21, 2020 , The Consolidated Appropriations Act ("Act") was passed byCongress to respond to the health and economic impacts of COVID-19. The Act includes a number of tax law changes, including the expansion of the Employee Retention Credit, important changes to the Paycheck Protection Program, and extension of a variety of expiring tax provisions. OnMarch 6, 2021 , The American Rescue Plan Act was passed byCongress to further respond to the health and economic impacts of COVID-19. Among other changes, the legislation provides for an extension of the Employee Retention Credit through 2021. These two legislations do not have a material impact on the Company's tax positions. CAPITAL RESOURCES The Company manages its capital resources to minimize its cost of capital while maintaining appropriate claims-paying resources ("CPR") forNational and MBIA Corp. The Company's capital resources consist of total shareholders' equity, total debt issued byMBIA Inc. for general corporate purposes, surplus notes issued byMBIA Corp. , and the Refinanced Facility. Total capital resources were$1.1 billion and$1.6 billion as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 , respectively. 70 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CAPITAL RESOURCES (continued)
In addition to scheduled debt maturities, from time to time, we reduce unsecured debt through calls or repurchases. Also,MBIA Inc. may repurchase or National may purchase outstandingMBIA Inc. common shares when we deem it beneficial to our shareholders. Purchases or repurchases of debt and common stock may be made from time to time in the open market or in private transactions as permitted by securities laws and other legal requirements. We may also choose to redeem debt obligations where permitted by the relevant agreements.MBIA Inc. or National may acquire or redeem outstanding common shares ofMBIA Inc. and outstanding debt obligations at prices when we deem it beneficial to our shareholders.MBIA Inc. supports the MTN and investment agreement obligations issued by the Company. We seek to maintain sufficient liquidity and capital resources to meet the Company's general corporate needs and debt service. Based onMBIA Inc.'s debt service requirements and expected operating expenses, we expect thatMBIA Inc. will have sufficient resources to satisfy its debt obligations and its general corporate needs over time from distributions from its operating subsidiaries; however, there can be no assurance thatMBIA Inc. will have sufficient resources to do so. In addition, the Company may also consider raising third-party capital. Refer to "Capital, Liquidity and Market Related Risk Factors" in Part I, Item 1A of our Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 and the "Liquidity-Corporate Liquidity" section included herein for additional information aboutMBIA Inc.'s liquidity. Equity securities Currently,MBIA Inc. or National does not have an authorization approved by the Company's Board of Directors to repurchase or purchase outstandingMBIA Inc. common shares.MBIA Inc. or National did not repurchase or purchase anyMBIA Inc. common shares during 2021. For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2020 , National purchased 26 million common shares ofMBIA Inc. with an average price paid of$7.50 per share. Debt securities During the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Corp. repaid the remaining outstanding balance of the Refinanced Facility and the Company repurchased$106 million par value outstanding of GFL MTNs with maturity dates between 2024 and 2036 issued by our corporate segment at a weighted average cost of approximately 72% of par value. During the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Corp. purchased$3 million principal amount ofMBIA Inc. 6.625% Debentures due 2028 and$1 million principal amount ofMBIA Inc. 7.15% Debentures due 2027 at a weighted average cost of approximately 103% of par value.Insurance Statutory Capital National andMBIA Insurance Corporation are incorporated and licensed in, and are subject to primary insurance regulation and supervision byNew York State Department of Financial Services ("NYSDFS"). MBIA Mexico is regulated by the Comisión Nacional de Seguros y Fianzas inMexico .MBIA Corp.'s Spanish Branch is subject to local regulation inSpain .National andMBIA Insurance Corporation each are required to file detailed annual financial statements, as well as interim financial statements, with the NYSDFS and similar supervisory agencies in each of the other jurisdictions in which it is licensed. These financial statements are prepared in accordance withNew York State and theNational Association of Insurance Commissioners' statements ofU.S. STAT and assist our regulators in evaluating minimum standards of solvency, including minimum capital requirements, and business conduct. National Capital and Surplus National had statutory capital of$2.0 billion as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , National's unassigned surplus was$1.0 billion . For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 , National had statutory net income of$49 million . Refer to the "Claims-Paying Resources (Statutory Basis)" section below for additional information on National's statutory capital. In order to maintain itsNew York State financial guarantee insurance license, National is required to maintain a minimum of$65 million of policyholders' surplus. National is also required to maintain contingency reserves to provide protection to policyholders in the event of extreme losses in adverse economic events. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , National was in compliance with its aggregate risk limits under New York Insurance Law ("NYIL"), but was not in compliance with certain of its single risk limits. Since National does not comply with certain of its single risk limits, the NYSDFS could prevent National from transacting any new financial guarantee insurance business. 71 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
CAPITAL RESOURCES (continued)
NYIL regulates the payment of dividends by financial guarantee insurance companies and provides that such companies may not declare or distribute dividends except out of statutory earned surplus. Under NYIL, the sum of (i) the amount of dividends declared or distributed during the preceding 12-month period and (ii) the dividend to be declared may not exceed the lesser of (a) 10% of policyholders' surplus, as reported in the latest statutory financial statements or (b) 100% of adjusted net investment income for such 12-month period (the net investment income for such 12-month period plus the excess, if any, of net investment income over dividends declared or distributed during the two-year period preceding such 12-month period), unless the Superintendent of the NYSDFS approves a greater dividend distribution based upon a finding that the insurer will retain sufficient surplus to support its obligations. National had positive earned surplus as ofSeptember 30, 2021 from which it may pay dividends, subject to the limitations described above. We expect the as-of-right declared and paid dividend amounts from National to be limited to prior year adjusted net investment income for the foreseeable future. Claims-Paying Resources (Statutory Basis) CPR is a key measure of the resources available to National to pay claims under its insurance policies. CPR consists of total financial resources and reserves calculated on a statutory basis. CPR has been a common measure used by financial guarantee insurance companies to report and compare resources and continues to be used by MBIA's management to evaluate changes in such resources. We have provided CPR to allow investors and analysts to evaluate National using the same measure that MBIA's management uses to evaluate National's resources to pay claims under its insurance policies. There is no directly comparable GAAP measure. Our calculation of CPR may differ from the calculation of CPR reported by other companies. National's CPR and components thereto, as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 are presented in the following table: As of September 30, As of December 31, In millions 2021 2020 Policyholders' surplus $ 1,615 $ 1,526 Contingency reserves 410 445 Statutory capital 2,025 1,971 Unearned premiums 319 355 Present value of installment premiums (1) 126 129 Premium resources (2) 445 484 Net loss and LAE reserves (1) (577) (301) Salvage reserves on paid claims (1) 1,126 961 Gross loss and LAE reserves 549 660 Total claims-paying resources $ 3,019 $ 3,115 (1) - Calculated using a discount rate of 3.49% as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . (2) - Includes financial guarantee and insured derivative related premiums.MBIA Insurance Corporation Capital and SurplusMBIA Insurance Corporation had statutory capital of$143 million as ofSeptember 30, 2021 compared with$273 million as ofDecember 31, 2020 . As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Insurance Corporation's negative unassigned surplus was$1.9 billion . For the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Insurance Corporation had a statutory net loss of$89 million . Refer to the "Claims-Paying Resources (Statutory Basis)" section below for additional information onMBIA Insurance Corporation's statutory capital. In the first quarter of 2021, MBIA received a court decision against Credit Suisse holding it liable toMBIA Corp. for approximately$604 million in damages relating to put-back claims and the parties to the litigation subsequently entered into a settlement agreement pursuant to which Credit Suisse paidMBIA Corp. $600 million . As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Insurance Corporation's estimated salvage on a statutory basis primarily related to recoveries on CDOs and excess spread recoveries on RMBS. 72 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations CAPITAL RESOURCES (continued) In order to maintain itsNew York State financial guarantee insurance license,MBIA Insurance Corporation is required to maintain a minimum of$65 million of policyholders' surplus.MBIA Insurance Corporation is also required to maintain contingency reserves to provide protection to policyholders in the event of extreme losses in adverse economic events. Pursuant to a non-disapproval by the NYSDFS, and in accordance with NYIL,MBIA Insurance Corporation released to surplus$125 million of excessive contingency reserves during the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 . As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Insurance Corporation was in compliance with its aggregate risk limits under the NYIL, but was not in compliance with certain of its single risk limits. SinceMBIA Insurance Corporation does not comply with its single risk limits, the NYSDFS could preventMBIA Insurance Corporation from transacting any new financial guarantee insurance business. Due to its significant earned surplus deficit,MBIA Insurance Corporation has not had the statutory capacity to pay dividends sinceDecember 31, 2009 . Based on estimated future income,MBIA Insurance Corporation is not expected to have any statutory capacity to pay dividends. The NYSDFS has not approvedMBIA Insurance Corporation's requests to make interest payments onMBIA Insurance Corporation's Surplus Notes dueJanuary 15, 2033 (the "Surplus Notes") since, and including, theJanuary 15, 2013 interest payment. The NYSDFS has cited bothMBIA Insurance Corporation's liquidity and financial condition as well as the availability of "free and divisible surplus" as the basis for such non-approvals. As ofOctober 15, 2021 , the most recent scheduled interest payment date, there was$1.1 billion of unpaid interest on the par amount outstanding of$953 million of the Surplus Notes. Under Section 1307 of the NYIL and the Fiscal Agency Agreement governing the surplus notes, Surplus Note payments may be made only with the prior approval by the NYSDFS and ifMBIA Insurance Corporation has sufficient "Eligible Surplus", or as we believe, "free and divisible surplus" as an appropriate calculation of "Eligible Surplus." As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Insurance Corporation had "free and divisible surplus" of$88 million . There is no assurance the NYSDFS will approve Surplus Note payments, notwithstanding the sufficiency ofMBIA Insurance Corporation's liquidity and financial condition. The unpaid interest on the Surplus Notes will become due on the first business day on or after whichMBIA Insurance Corporation obtains approval to pay some or all of such unpaid interest. No interest has been accrued or will accrue on the deferred interest. Claims-Paying Resources (Statutory Basis) CPR is a key measure of the resources available toMBIA Corp. to pay claims under its insurance policies. CPR consists of total financial resources and reserves calculated on a statutory basis. CPR has been a common measure used by financial guarantee insurance companies to report and compare resources, and continues to be used by MBIA's management to evaluate changes in such resources. We have provided CPR to allow investors and analysts to evaluateMBIA Corp. , using the same measure that MBIA's management uses to evaluateMBIA Corp.'s resources to pay claims under its insurance policies. There is no directly comparable GAAP measure. Our calculation of CPR may differ from the calculation of CPR reported by other companies.MBIA Corp.'s CPR and components thereto, as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 are presented in the following table: As of September 30, As of December 31, In millions 2021 2020 Policyholders' surplus $ 106 $ 106 Contingency reserves 37 167 Statutory capital 143 273 Unearned premiums 50 79 Present value of installment premiums (1) 51 73 Premium resources (2) 101 152 Net loss and LAE reserves (1) 240 (478) Salvage reserves on paid claims (3) (4) (1) 244 1,045 Gross loss and LAE reserves 484 567 Total claims-paying resources $ 728 $ 992 (1) - Calculated using a discount rate of 5.10% as ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 . (2) - Includes financial guarantee and insured derivative related premiums. (3) - This amount primarily consists of expected recoveries related to the Company's CDOs and excess spread. (4) - This amount primarily consists of expected recoveries related to the Company's put-back, CDOs and excess spread. 73 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations
LIQUIDITY
We use a liquidity risk management framework, the primary objective of which is to match liquidity resources to needs. We monitor our cash and liquid asset resources using cash forecasting and stress-scenario testing. Members of MBIA's senior management meet regularly to review liquidity metrics, discuss contingency plans and establish target liquidity levels. We evaluate and manage liquidity on a legal-entity basis to take into account the legal, regulatory and other limitations on available liquidity resources within the enterprise. Additionally, we continue to monitor the current COVID-19 pandemic with respect to our cash and liquid asset positions and resources. Refer to the "Executive Overview - COVID-19" section for additional information about liquidity and COVID-19. The following is a discussion of our liquidity resources and requirements for our holding company and our insurance subsidiaries. National Liquidity The primary sources of cash available to National are:
• principal and interest receipts on assets held in its investment
portfolio, including proceeds from the sale of assets; • recoveries associated with insurance loss payments; and • installment premiums.
The primary uses of cash by National are:
• loss payments and LAE on insured transactions; • payments of dividends; and • payments of operating expenses, taxes and investment portfolio asset purchases. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 , National held cash and investments of$1.9 billion and$2.1 billion , respectively, of which$182 million and$359 million , respectively, were cash and cash equivalents or short-term investments comprised of highly rated commercial paper, money market funds and municipal,U.S. agency and corporate bonds. The insurance policies issued or reinsured by National provide unconditional and irrevocable guarantees of payments of the principal of, and interest or other amounts owing on, insured obligations when due. In the event of a default in payment of principal, interest or other insured amounts by an issuer, National generally promises to make funds available in the insured amount within one to three business days following notification. In some cases, the amount due can be substantial, particularly if the default occurs on a transaction to which National has a large notional exposure or on a transaction structured with large, bullet-type principal maturities. TheU.S. public finance insurance segment's financial guarantee contracts generally cannot be accelerated by a party other than the insurer which helps to mitigate liquidity risk in this segment. In October of 2021, National sold certain bankruptcy claims in a private transaction through the transfer of ownership of$199 million face amount of bonds, representing approximately 16% of the principal amount of the current bond claims in the PREPA Title III case. The bonds included in this transaction had been fully satisfied by National's insurance claim payments. This transaction monetizes a portion of National's salvage asset at a discount to National's previous carrying value and, as a result, strengthens National's balance sheet, increases National's projected investment income and furthers the Company's objective of reducing its exposure toPuerto Rico over the short to medium term. Subsequent to the sale of these PREPA bankruptcy claims, National has approximately$230 million of additional par claims to PREPA that have matured and can be sold. Corporate Liquidity The primary sources of cash available toMBIA Inc. are: • dividends from National; • available cash and liquid assets not subject to collateral posting requirements;
• principal and interest receipts on assets held in its investment
portfolio, including proceeds from the sale of assets; and • access to capital markets.
The primary uses of cash by
• servicing outstanding unsecured corporate debt obligations and MTNs;
• meeting collateral posting requirements under investment agreements and
derivative arrangements; • payments related to interest rate swaps; • payments of operating expenses; and • funding share repurchases and debt buybacks. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 , the liquidity positions ofMBIA Inc. were$210 million and$294 million , respectively, and included cash and cash equivalents and other investments comprised of highly rated commercial paper andU.S. government and asset-backed bonds. 74 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Table of Contents Item 2. Management's Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations LIQUIDITY (continued) During the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Inc. returned$10 million of tax payments to National as a result of tax losses incurred by National. The return was pursuant to the terms of the tax sharing agreement. Under the CARES Act, National's 2020 taxable loss became subject to a five-year NOL carry-back, which allowed it to recover taxes paid in years in which the tax rate was 35%. There can be no assurance that any future payments under the Tax Escrow Account from subsidiaries will be released toMBIA Inc. due to deductible or creditable tax attributes of those subsidiaries and/or the market value performance of the assets supporting the Tax Escrow Account. Based on our projections of National's andMBIA Corp.'s future earnings and losses, we expect that for the foreseeable future National will be the primary source of payments toMBIA Inc. There can be no assurance as to the amount and timing of any such future dividends or payments from the tax escrow account under the tax sharing agreement. Also, absent a special dividend subject to the approval of the NYSDFS, we expect the declared and paid dividend amounts from National to be limited to the prior twelve months of adjusted net investment income as reported in its most recent statutory filings. Refer to the "Capital Resources -Insurance Statutory Capital " section for additional information on payments of dividends. We do not expectMBIA Inc. to receive dividends or utilize the Company's tax escrow account fromMBIA Corp. Currently, a significant portion of the cash and securities held byMBIA Inc. is pledged against investment agreement liabilities, the Asset Swap (simultaneous repurchase and reverse repurchase agreement) and derivatives, which limits its ability to raise liquidity through asset sales. As the market value or rating eligibility of the assets which are pledged againstMBIA Inc.'s obligations declines, we are required to pledge additional eligible assets in order to meet minimum required collateral amounts against these liabilities. To mitigate these risks, we seek to maintain cash and liquidity resources that we believe will be sufficient to make all payments due on our obligations and to meet other financial requirements, such as posting collateral. Contingent liquidity resources include: (1) sales of invested assets exposed to credit spread stress risk, which may occur at losses; (2) termination and settlement of interest rate swap agreements; and (3) accessing the capital markets. These actions, if taken, are expected to result in either additional liquidity or reduced exposure to adverse credit spread movements. There can be no assurance that these actions will be sufficient to fully mitigate this risk.MBIA Corp. Liquidity The primary sources of cash available toMBIA Corp. are: • recoveries associated with insurance loss payments; • installment premiums and fees; and
• principal and interest receipts on assets held in its investment
portfolio, including the proceeds from the sale of assets.
The primary uses of cash by
• loss and LAE or commutation payments on insured transactions; • repayment of MZ Funding's debt obligations; and • payments of operating expenses. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 andDecember 31, 2020 ,MBIA Corp. held cash and investments of$573 million and$243 million , respectively, of which$341 million and$130 million , respectively, were cash and cash equivalents or liquid investments comprised of money market funds and municipal,U.S. Treasury and corporate bonds that were immediately available toMBIA Insurance Corporation . The increase in cash and investments for the nine months endedSeptember 30, 2021 was due to the collection of proceeds from the settlement of the Credit Suisse litigation. Insured transactions that require payment of scheduled debt service payments insured when due or payment in full of the principal insured at maturity could present liquidity risk forMBIA Corp. , as any salvage recoveries from such payments could be recovered over an extended period of time after the payment is made.MBIA Corp. is generally required to satisfy claims within one to three business days, and as a result seeks to identify potential claims in advance through our monitoring process. In order to monitor liquidity risk and maintain appropriate liquidity resources, we use the same methodology as we use to monitor credit quality and losses within our insured portfolio, including stress scenarios. Refer to "Note 5: Loss and Loss Adjustment Expense Reserves" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements for a discussion of our loss process. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 ,MBIA Corp. repaid in full the outstanding amount of the Refinanced Facility. As ofSeptember 30, 2021 , the amended subordinated notes betweenMZ Funding andMBIA Inc. remained outstanding. These amended subordinated notes and related interest are eliminated in our consolidated financial statements. For additional information on these notes, refer to "Note 10: Debt" in the Notes to Consolidated Financial Statements included in the Company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year endedDecember 31, 2020 . 75
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