KBRA Assigns AA Rating to the State of Florida State Board of Administration Finance Corporation Revenue Bonds, Series 2024A; Outlook is Stable
KBRA has assigned a long-term rating of AA with a Stable Outlook to the
Key Credit Considerations
The rating was assigned because of the following key credit considerations:
Credit Positives
- Assessments may be levied on a broad, diverse and growing statewide property and casualty policy base for payment of debt service on pre-event and post-event parity obligations.
-
The low-cost reinsurance provided by the FHCF is vital to the healthy functioning of the State’s residential property insurance market, and thus to Florida’s economy. FHCF’s strong governance ties and the oversight provided by the
State Board of Administration are credit strengths. - Strong non-impairment covenants under the Act restrict the State from repealing or revoking the SBA’s power to direct assessment levies by the OIR and to collect the pledged collateral if debt is outstanding.
-
Recent legislative reforms are expected to improve conditions for private insurers operating in
Florida .
Credit Challenges
- FHCF’s liquid resources are presently well below its statutory maximum, potentially requiring significant post-event borrowing in the event of one or more catastrophic events.
- Potential post-event bonding needs are large by municipal market standards. Post-event bond capacity and market access are inherently uncertain and subject to market conditions.
- In the aftermath of a catastrophic event, the potential exists for FHCF, Citizens and FIGA to levy overlapping assessments on the same property and casualty insurers and their policyholders, and to simultaneously seek market access for post-event debt supported by such assessments.
- While the State has a proven record of collecting assessments in the wake of a catastrophic event, the potential exists for assessments to be delayed.
Rating Sensitivities
For Upgrade
- A consistent increase in FHCF’s projected fund balance (liquidity) through increased reinsurance premium collections and/or decreased loss reimbursements, that reduces the need for pre-event and post-event bonding and related assessments.
For Downgrade
- An increase in loss reimbursements due to more frequent or severe storm events, and/or a reduction in reinsurance premiums, that results in reduced liquidity and an increased need for assessments and bonding.
To access rating and relevant documents, click here.
Methodologies
Disclosures
A description of all substantially material sources that were used to prepare the credit rating and information on the methodology(ies) (inclusive of any material models and sensitivity analyses of the relevant key rating assumptions, as applicable) used in determining the credit rating is available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) located here.
Information on the meaning of each rating category can be located here.
Further disclosures relating to this rating action are available in the Information Disclosure Form(s) referenced above. Additional information regarding KBRA policies, methodologies, rating scales and disclosures are available at www.kbra.com.
About KBRA
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