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November 6, 2024 Reinsurance
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Earnings Presentation Q3 2024

U.S. Markets via PUBT

Earnings Presentation

3rd Quarter 2024

November 6th, 2024

Company Overview

ACIC is a specialty underwriter of catastrophe exposed property insurance.

American Coastal Insurance Corp. (Nasdaq: ACIC) is the insurance

holding company for two P&C carriers: American Coastal Insurance Company (AmCoastal) and Interboro Insurance Company (IIC) ¹ along with other operating affiliates.

AmCoastal has the #1 market share of commercial residential property insurance (commercial lines) in Florida with roughly 4,000 policies and $646.0 million of premiumin-force.

IIC's homeowners & fire insurance products (personal lines) are written exclusively in New York with approximately 18,800 policies and $38.7 million of premium in-force. ¹

ACIC as of September 30, 2024

Total Assets:

$1.14 billion

Total Equity:

$259.6 million

Annualized Revenue:

$289.9 million

Employees:

64

Headquarters:

St. Petersburg, FL

Credit Rating:

BB+ (Kroll)

Specialty Commercial Property

Specialty Homeowners ¹

¹ IIC 's results are classified as discontinued operations.

2

Executive Summary

  • Q3-24Results
    • Non-GAAPCore Income of $26.9m ($0.54) increased $11.4m (+73.6%) from $15.5m ($0.35) y/y on lower ceded earned premiums resulting from the step down of the 40% gross CAT quota share effective 6.1.2023 to 20% effective 6.1.2024.
    • Net premiums earned grew $24.2m (+48.2%)to $74.5m y/y.
    • Our combined ratio of 57.7% was better than our 65.0% target and a decrease of 5.0 points from 62.7% in the same period last year.
    • Current year net catastrophe losses in the quarter were $5.0m before tax (Hurricanes Debby & Helene) and we had $1.4m of favorable prior year reserve development.
    • Stockholders' equity attributable to ACIC, increased to $259.6mor $5.38 per share and $5.63 per share excluding unrealized losses in accumulated other comprehensive income.
  • Other Highlights
    • We have received 154 claims from Hurricane Milton and expect about 200 claims in total with an estimated ultimate gross loss between $150 - $200 million and a net loss incurred of $20.5m before income tax during the fourth quarter.
    • Reinstatement premiums are expected to increase ceded premiums earned by approximately $13 million which is amortized over the 8- month period from October 2024 to May 2025. This results in AmCoastal having its full reinsurance tower in place for potential subsequent hurricane events with our net retention now reduced to $10.3 million net of income tax for the next two potential hurricane occurrences.
    • Completed an assumption from Citizens on October 29, 2024, adding 88 new risks with roughly $9.7m of expiring premium.

3

2H-2024 Hurricane Estimates

Despite an active hurricane season, ACIC is expected to remain profitable.

% of 9.30.24

Hurricane

Gross

Ceded

Net

Tax benefit

After tax

GAAP Equity

Debby

$

1.0

$

(0.2)

$

0.8

$

(0.2)

$

0.6

0.24%

Helene

$

5.0

$

(1.0)

$

4.0

$

(0.8)

$

3.2

1.22%

Sub-Total (3Q)

$

6.0

$

(1.2)

$

4.8

$

(1.0)

$

3.8

1.46%

Milton (4Q)

$

200.0

$

(179.5)

$

20.5

$

(4.3)

$

16.2

6.24%

Total 2H-2024

$

206.0

$

(180.7)

$

25.3

$

(5.3)

$

20.0

7.70%

AmCoastal still has over $1.2 billion of catastrophe reinsurance in place for any potential subsequent hurricane events with a lower net retention of $10.3 million after tax (~4% of equity at 9.30.24) per occurrence for 2nd and 3rd event, if incurred.

4

3Q-24 Financial Scorecard

Key results all compare favorably to Raymond James' estimates for the current period.

Core Earnings per Share (CEPS)

3Q-24 = $0.54

vs.

Analyst's Est. = $0.15

Book Value per Share (BVPS)

3Q-24 = $5.38

vs.

Analyst's Est. = $4.71

Combined Ratio (CR)

3Q-24 = 57.7%

vs.

Analyst's Est. = 89.3%

Core Retuon Equity (CROE)

3Q-24 = 53.8%

vs.

Analyst's Est. = 13.5%

5

3Q-24 Summary of Key Results

Combined ratio decreased 5.0 points and core income grew $11.4m ($0.19) due to higher net premiums.

6

3Q-24 Operating Overview

Earnings before income tax improved +101.7% driven by our reduced quota share cession rate.

The impact of the quota share step down from 40% to 20% effective June 1, 2024, had a significant impact on ceded premiums earned and operating expense (policy acquisition costs) y/y.

7

2024 Full Year & 4Q-24 Guidance

We expect to be profitable in the fourth quarter, despite the impact of Hurricane Milton.

Estimated range of Net Income from Continuing Operations ¹

Low

High

FY-24 E

$

75.0

-

$

80.0

FY-23 A

$85.2

Y/Y Change

$

(10.2)

-

$

(5.2)

% Change

-11.9%

-

-6.1%

4Q-24

E

$

4.6

-

$

9.6

4Q-23

A

$14.7

Y/Y Change

$

(10.1)

-

$

(5.1)

% Change

-68.9%

-

-34.7%

Estimated range of Net

Premiums Earned ¹

Low

High

FY-24 E

$

270.0

-

$

280.0

FY-23 A

$262.1

Y/Y Change

$

7.9

-

$

17.9

% Change

3.0%

-

6.8%

4Q-24

E

$

69.5

-

$

79.5

4Q-23

A

$59.6

Y/Y Change

$

9.9

-

$

19.9

% Change

16.6%

-

33.3%

  • Estimates include net incurred losses of $16.2 million, net of tax impacts, from Hurricane Milton impacting current year earnings and approximately $5 million of additional ceded premiums earned impacting current year net premiums earned, whereas ACIC did not incur any hurricane losses or reinsurance reinstatement premiums in 2023.

8

Balance Sheet Highlights

Sep 30,

Dec. 31,

YTD

($ in thousands, except per share amounts)

2024

2023

% Change

Selected Balance Sheet Data

Cash & investments

$

630,867

$

311,874

102.3%

Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)

$

(11,617)

$

(17,137)

-32.2%

Unpaid loss & LAE reserves

$

194,678

$

347,738

-44.0%

Reinsurance recoverable

$

147,325

$

340,820

-56.8%

Net Loss & LAE reserves

$

47,353

$

6,918

584.5%

Financial debt

$

148,937

$

148,688

0.2%

Stockholders' equity attributable to ACIC

$

259,582

$

168,765

53.8%

Total capital

$

408,519

$

317,453

28.7%

Leverage Ratios

Debt-to-total capital

36.5%

46.8%

-22.2%

Net premiums earned-to-stockholders' equity (annualized)

103.0%

158.4%

-35.0%

Per Share Data

Common shares outstanding

48,204,962

46,777,006

3.1%

Book value per common share

$

5.38

$

3.61

49.3%

Underlying book value per common share

$

5.63

$

3.97

41.6%

Tangible book value per common share

$

4.00

$

2.14

87.2%

Underlying tangible book value per common share

$

4.24

$

2.50

69.4%

Liquidity & Equity have improved significantly since year-end driven by strong underwriting results.

9

Investment Portfolio Overview

  • The Company continues to add to its investment positions in anticipation of future cash yields decreasing.
  • Focusing on a resilient and high-quality portfolio considerate of current market conditions and risks.

10

Attachments

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Disclaimer

American Coastal Insurance Corporation published this content on November 06, 2024, and is solely responsible for the information contained herein. Distributed by Public, unedited and unaltered, on November 06, 2024 at 23:26:37.250.

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