Earnings Presentation Q3 2024
Earnings Presentation
3rd Quarter 2024
November 6th, 2024
Company Overview
ACIC is a specialty underwriter of catastrophe exposed property insurance.
holding company for two P&C carriers:
AmCoastal has the #1 market share of commercial residential property insurance (commercial lines) in
IIC's homeowners & fire insurance products (personal lines) are written exclusively in
ACIC as of
Total Assets: |
|
Total Equity: |
|
Annualized Revenue: |
|
Employees: |
64 |
Headquarters: |
|
Credit Rating: |
BB+ (Kroll) |
Specialty Commercial Property
Specialty Homeowners ¹
¹ IIC 's results are classified as discontinued operations.
2
Executive Summary
- Q3-24Results
-
- Non-GAAPCore Income of
$26.9m ($0.54 ) increased$11.4m (+73.6%) from$15.5m ($0.35 ) y/y on lower ceded earned premiums resulting from the step down of the 40% gross CAT quota share effective6.1.2023 to 20% effective6.1.2024 . - Net premiums earned grew
$24.2m (+48.2%)to$74.5m y/y. - Our combined ratio of 57.7% was better than our 65.0% target and a decrease of 5.0 points from 62.7% in the same period last year.
- Current year net catastrophe losses in the quarter were
$5.0m before tax (Hurricanes Debby & Helene) and we had$1.4m of favorable prior year reserve development. - Stockholders' equity attributable to ACIC, increased to
$259.6m or$5.38 per share and$5.63 per share excluding unrealized losses in accumulated other comprehensive income.
- Non-GAAPCore Income of
- Other Highlights
-
- We have received 154 claims from Hurricane Milton and expect about 200 claims in total with an estimated ultimate gross loss between
$150 -$200 million and a net loss incurred of$20.5m before income tax during the fourth quarter. - Reinstatement premiums are expected to increase ceded premiums earned by approximately
$13 million which is amortized over the 8- month period fromOctober 2024 toMay 2025 . This results in AmCoastal having its full reinsurance tower in place for potential subsequent hurricane events with our net retention now reduced to$10.3 million net of income tax for the next two potential hurricane occurrences. - Completed an assumption from Citizens on
October 29, 2024 , adding 88 new risks with roughly$9.7m of expiring premium.
- We have received 154 claims from Hurricane Milton and expect about 200 claims in total with an estimated ultimate gross loss between
3
2H-2024 Hurricane Estimates
Despite an active hurricane season, ACIC is expected to remain profitable.
% of |
|||||||||||
Hurricane |
Gross |
Ceded |
Net |
Tax benefit |
After tax |
GAAP Equity |
|||||
Debby |
$ |
1.0 |
$ |
(0.2) |
$ |
0.8 |
$ |
(0.2) |
$ |
0.6 |
0.24% |
Helene |
$ |
5.0 |
$ |
(1.0) |
$ |
4.0 |
$ |
(0.8) |
$ |
3.2 |
1.22% |
Sub-Total (3Q) |
$ |
6.0 |
$ |
(1.2) |
$ |
4.8 |
$ |
(1.0) |
$ |
3.8 |
1.46% |
Milton (4Q) |
$ |
200.0 |
$ |
(179.5) |
$ |
20.5 |
$ |
(4.3) |
$ |
16.2 |
6.24% |
Total 2H-2024 |
$ |
206.0 |
$ |
(180.7) |
$ |
25.3 |
$ |
(5.3) |
$ |
20.0 |
7.70% |
AmCoastal still has over
4
3Q-24 Financial Scorecard
Key results all compare favorably to
Core Earnings per Share (CEPS)
3Q-24 =
vs.
Analyst's Est. =
Book Value per Share (BVPS)
3Q-24 =
vs.
Analyst's Est. =
Combined Ratio (CR)
3Q-24 = 57.7%
vs.
Analyst's Est. = 89.3%
Core Retuon Equity (CROE)
3Q-24 = 53.8%
vs.
Analyst's Est. = 13.5%
5
3Q-24 Summary of Key Results
Combined ratio decreased 5.0 points and core income grew
6
3Q-24 Operating Overview
Earnings before income tax improved +101.7% driven by our reduced quota share cession rate.
The impact of the quota share step down from 40% to 20% effective
7
2024 Full Year & 4Q-24 Guidance
We expect to be profitable in the fourth quarter, despite the impact of Hurricane Milton.
Estimated range of Net Income from Continuing Operations ¹
Low |
High |
||||
FY-24 E |
$ |
75.0 |
- |
$ |
80.0 |
FY-23 A |
|
||||
Y/Y Change |
$ |
(10.2) |
- |
$ |
(5.2) |
% Change |
-11.9% |
- |
-6.1% |
4Q-24 |
E |
$ |
4.6 |
- |
$ |
9.6 |
4Q-23 |
A |
|
||||
Y/Y Change |
$ |
(10.1) |
- |
$ |
(5.1) |
|
% Change |
-68.9% |
- |
-34.7% |
Estimated range of Net
Premiums Earned ¹
Low |
High |
||||
FY-24 E |
$ |
270.0 |
- |
$ |
280.0 |
FY-23 A |
|
||||
Y/Y Change |
$ |
7.9 |
- |
$ |
17.9 |
% Change |
3.0% |
- |
6.8% |
4Q-24 |
E |
$ |
69.5 |
- |
$ |
79.5 |
4Q-23 |
A |
|
||||
Y/Y Change |
$ |
9.9 |
- |
$ |
19.9 |
|
% Change |
16.6% |
- |
33.3% |
- Estimates include net incurred losses of
$16.2 million , net of tax impacts, from Hurricane Milton impacting current year earnings and approximately$5 million of additional ceded premiums earned impacting current year net premiums earned, whereas ACIC did not incur any hurricane losses or reinsurance reinstatement premiums in 2023.
8
Balance Sheet Highlights
|
|
YTD |
|||
($ in thousands, except per share amounts) |
2024 |
2023 |
% Change |
||
Selected Balance Sheet Data |
|||||
Cash & investments |
$ |
630,867 |
$ |
311,874 |
102.3% |
Accumulated other comprehensive income (loss) |
$ |
(11,617) |
$ |
(17,137) |
-32.2% |
Unpaid loss & LAE reserves |
$ |
194,678 |
$ |
347,738 |
-44.0% |
Reinsurance recoverable |
$ |
147,325 |
$ |
340,820 |
-56.8% |
Net Loss & LAE reserves |
$ |
47,353 |
$ |
6,918 |
584.5% |
Financial debt |
$ |
148,937 |
$ |
148,688 |
0.2% |
Stockholders' equity attributable to ACIC |
$ |
259,582 |
$ |
168,765 |
53.8% |
Total capital |
$ |
408,519 |
$ |
317,453 |
28.7% |
Leverage Ratios |
|||||
Debt-to-total capital |
36.5% |
46.8% |
-22.2% |
||
Net premiums earned-to-stockholders' equity (annualized) |
103.0% |
158.4% |
-35.0% |
||
Per Share Data |
|||||
Common shares outstanding |
48,204,962 |
46,777,006 |
3.1% |
||
Book value per common share |
$ |
5.38 |
$ |
3.61 |
49.3% |
Underlying book value per common share |
$ |
5.63 |
$ |
3.97 |
41.6% |
Tangible book value per common share |
$ |
4.00 |
$ |
2.14 |
87.2% |
Underlying tangible book value per common share |
$ |
4.24 |
$ |
2.50 |
69.4% |
Liquidity & Equity have improved significantly since year-end driven by strong underwriting results.
9
Investment Portfolio Overview
- The Company continues to add to its investment positions in anticipation of future cash yields decreasing.
- Focusing on a resilient and high-quality portfolio considerate of current market conditions and risks.
10
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