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January 8, 2023 Newswires
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Congressional Research Service: 'Options for Making National Flood Insurance Program More Affordable' (Part 1 of 3)

Targeted News Service

WASHINGTON, Jan. 7 -- The Congressional Research Service issued the following report (No. R47000) on Jan. 6, 2023, entitled "Options for Making the National Flood Insurance Program More Affordable" by Diane P. Horn, flood insurance and emergency management specialist.

Here are excerpts:

* * *

SUMMARY

Concerns about the affordability of flood insurance premiums have come to the fore as FEMA introduces a new pricing system known as Risk Rating 2.0, which represents the biggest change to the way the NFIP calculates flood insurance premiums since its inception. Nationally, 77% of policyholders will see an increase in their premiums in the first year, with 23% of policyholders seeing a decrease under Risk Rating 2.0. These impending rate raises, which vary from $120 to $240 or more annually, have increased congressional interest in reducing the cost burden of flood insurance on policyholders.

As full risk-based premiums are phased in under Risk Rating 2.0, some policyholders could be faced with large price increases either because they are currently buying coverage at subsidized rates and/or because the new rating system indicates that they now have a higher risk. Such increases raise issues of equity, as well as affordability. The NFIP currently insures just under 5 million structures in the United States, and most of the remaining structures do not have insurance to protect them against flood risk. This large insurance gap may increase if policyholders drop their coverage because they feel that premiums are too expensive.

The introduction of a means-tested NFIP affordability program has been under consideration by Congress for years. However, FEMA does not currently have the authority to implement an affordability program, nor does the NFIP's current rate structure provide the funding required to support one. If an affordability program were to be funded from NFIP funds, this would require either raising flood insurance rates for NFIP policyholders or diverting resources from another existing use. Alternatively, an affordability program could be funded fully or partially by congressional appropriations. A central question in any reform of the NFIP is who should bear the costs of floodplain occupancy in the future: individual policyholders (the insured), federal taxpayers, uninsured flood victims, or some combination of these.

A means-tested affordability program could be implemented in a number of different ways, which may differ in how to measure when a premium might impose a cost burden on a policyholder. Means-tested affordability assistance could take a capped-premiums approach, an income-based approach, a housing burden-based approach, a combined income- and housing burden-based approach, or a community characteristics approach.

In addition, an affordability program is only one possible way of reducing the cost burden to policyholders. This report outlines a range of policy options Congress could consider to reduce the amount that NFIP policyholders pay, such as

* reducing the amount that policyholders pay through the introduction of a mean-tested affordability program;

* reducing the amount that individual policyholders pay by increasing participation in the NFIP, which could distribute program costs amongst a larger population than at present;

* increasing income to the NFIP, which could be used to reduce policyholders' contributions to the costs of the program;

* reducing the NFIP debt and thus the amount that policyholders pay in interest on the debt; or

* increasing mitigation activities, which may reduce flood damages and thus flood claims, which could reduce the amount that policyholders have to pay for claims.

The report also includes a table summarizing past legislative proposals related to NFIP affordability.

* * *

Contents

Introduction ... 1

Affordability and Solvency of the National Flood Insurance Program ... 1

Premium Subsidies and Cross-Subsidies ... 3

Fees and Surcharges ... 4

Legislative Reforms to Address NFIP Solvency and Affordability ... 6

Risk Rating 2.0 ... 7

Affordability of NFIP Premiums ... 8

Options to Reduce the Cost Burden on NFIP Policyholders ... 9

Introduce a Means-Tested Affordability Program ... 10

Options for a Means-Tested Affordability Program ... 10

Reduce the Amount That Policyholders Pay to the NFIP ... 14

Options to Reduce the Amount That Policyholders Pay to the NFIP ... 14

Increase NFIP Participation ... 15

The Mandatory Purchase Requirement ... 15

Options to Increase NFIP Participation ... 16

Increase NFIP Income ... 19

Options to Increase NFIP Income ... 20

Reduce NFIP Debt ... 20

Options to Reduce NFIP Debt ... 22

Reduce Flood Damage Through Mitigation ... 24

Property-Level Mitigation ... 26

Community-Level Mitigation and Floodplain Management Standards ... 27

Options to Encourage Property-Level Mitigation Activities ... 28

Options to Encourage Community-Level Flood Risk Reduction Measures ... 29

Concluding Comments ... 32

Tables

Table 1. Legislative Proposals Related to NFIP Affordability ... 35

Contacts

Author Information ... 36

* * *

Introduction

Many Members and stakeholders have expressed concern about the perceived affordability of flood insurance premiums, concerns which have come to the fore as the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) introduces a new pricing system known as Risk Rating 2.0. This new rating system, which is designed to move all National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) policies to risk-based pricing, represents the biggest change to the way the NFIP calculates flood insurance premiums since its inception./1

Nationally, according to FEMA, in the first year 77% of policyholders will see an increase in their premiums and 23% of policyholders will see a decrease under Risk Rating 2.0./2

These impending rate raises, which vary from $120 to $240 or more annually, have increased congressional interest in reducing the cost burden of flood insurance on policyholders.

The introduction of a means-tested NFIP affordability program has been under consideration by Congress for years. For example, certain bills for reauthorization and reform of the NFIP in the 115th Congress,/3 the 116th Congress,/4 and the 117th Congress5 have contained provisions to establish an affordability program (see Table 1), as well as other provisions related to making NFIP premiums more affordable. The Build Back Better Act,/6 as passed by the House on November 19, 2021, would have appropriated funding to provide means-tested assistance to certain NFIP policyholders. However, a means-tested affordability program is only one possible way of reducing the cost burden to policyholders, and Congress could consider a range of other options that could reduce the amount that NFIP policyholders have to pay.

A central decision in any reform of the NFIP is who should bear the costs of floodplain occupancy in the future: individual policyholders (the insured), federal taxpayers, uninsured flood victims, or some combination of these. Increases in NFIP premiums under Risk Rating 2.0 may call further attention to the distribution of flood costs as an important policy concern.

Affordability and Solvency of the National Flood Insurance Program

The NFIP is the primary source of flood insurance coverage for residential properties in the United States, with just under 5 million policies in more than 22,000 communities in all 56 states and jurisdictions./7 The NFIP was created by the National Flood Insurance Act of 1968/8 (NFIA).

* * *

1 FEMA, Risk Rating 2.0: Equity in Action, https://www.fema.gov/flood-insurance/risk-rating.

2 Ibid.

3 H.R. 2874, the 21st Century Flood Reform Act; S. 1313, the Flood Insurance Affordability and Sustainability Act of 2017; and companion bills S. 1368 and H.R. 3285, the Sustainable, Fair, and Efficient (SAFE) Flood Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2017.

4 H.R. 3167, the National Flood Insurance Program Reauthorization Act of 2019; and companion bills S. 2187 and H.R. 3872, the National Flood Insurance Program Reauthorization and Reform Act of 2019.

5 Companion bills S. 3128 and H.R. 5802, the National Flood Insurance Program Reauthorization and Reform Act of 2021.

6 H.R. 5376.

7 For more information on the NFIP, see CRS Report R44593, Introduction to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), by Diane P. Horn and Baird Webel.

8 Title XIII of P.L. 90-448, as amended, 42 U.S.C. Sec.4001 et seq.

* * *

The last long-term reauthorization of the NFIP ended at the end of FY2017. Since then, 22 short-term NFIP reauthorizations have been enacted,/9 and the NFIP is currently authorized until September 30, 2023./10

As a public insurance program, the objectives of the NFIP are different from the profit-maximization goals of private-sector companies. The NFIP has two main purposes: to provide access to primary flood insurance to properties with significant flood risk who might not otherwise be able to obtain insurance, and to reduce flood risk through the adoption of floodplain management standards. A longer-term objective of the NFIP is to reduce federal expenditure on disaster assistance after floods by substituting insurance payments for aid, with individual policyholders funding at least part of their recovery from flood damage./11

For example, the U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO) has argued that to the extent that more consumers have insurance to protect them from the financial effects of flooding, they may not need federal disaster assistance to help them recover from flood events. In addition, the receipt of federal disaster assistance generates the requirement to purchase flood insurance for properties located in special flood hazard areas. Removing the availability of federal disaster assistance to previous recipients of such assistance who live in a Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA)/12 and who do not purchase flood insurance also reduces federal disaster assistance expenditures./13

Flood is one of the few natural hazards for which at-risk residents pay some of the costs after a disaster.

A key design feature of the NFIP is that policyholders' premiums, fees, and surcharges are intended to pay for all flood-related damages and program expenses,/14 with the option to borrow from the U.S. Treasury to pay claims for extreme events. From the inception of the NFIP, the program has been expected to set premiums that are simultaneously "risk-based" and "reasonable."/15

GAO notes that FEMA is tasked with two competing goals: keeping flood insurance affordable and keeping the program solvent./16

The NFIP has been on the GAO high-risk list since 2006 because of concerns about its long-term fiscal solvency and related operational issues and, more recently, concerns about the NFIP's fiscal exposure to climate change./17

* * *

9 For additional information on NFIP reauthorizations since the end of FY2017, see CRS Insight IN10835, What Happens If the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Lapses?, by Diane P. Horn.

10 P.L. 117-328. For more information on NFIP reauthorization, see CRS Insight IN10835, What Happens If the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) Lapses?, by Diane P. Horn.

11 National Research Council of the National Academies, Affordability of National Flood Insurance Program Premiums: Report 1 (hereinafter NRC Affordability Report 1), 2015, pp. 31-33, http://www.nap.edu/catalog/21709/affordability-of-national-flood-insurance-program-premiums-report-1.

12 The Special Flood Hazard Area (SFHA) is defined by FEMA as an area with a 1% or greater risk of flooding every year.

13 U.S. Government Accountability Office (GAO), National Flood Insurance Program: Congress Should Consider Updating the Mandatory Purchase Requirement, GAO-21-587, July 2021, p. 35, (hereinafter GAO Mandatory Purchase Requirement), https://www.gao.gov/assets/gao-21-578.pdf.

14 Some types of properties receive subsidies, which are discussed in the section of this report on "Premium Subsidies and Cross-Subsidies."

15 See 82 Stat. 573 for text in original statute (Sec.1302(c) of P.L. 90-448). This language remains in statute (see 42 U.S.C. Sec.4001(c)).

16 GAO, High-Risk Series: Dedicated Leadership Needed to Address Limited Progress in Most High-Risk Areas, GAO21-119SP, March 2, 2021, pp. 281-283, https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-21-119sp.

17 GAO, Climate Change: Opportunities to Reduce Federal Fiscal Exposure, Testimony Before the Committee on the Budget, House of Representatives, GAO-19-625T, June 11, 2019, p. 7, https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-19-625t.

* * *

In a 2017 report, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimated that the NFIP had an expected one-year actuarial shortfall/18 of $0.7 billion./19

CBO also estimated that the cost of providing discounted rates to some NFIP policies was about $0.3 billion more than the receipts from surcharges created to help cover the costs of those discounts.20 This shortfall arises primarily because premium rates do not fully reflect the full risk of its insured policies. This applies both to the risk of individual properties and also the risk of catastrophic losses to the program as a whole, which FEMA has traditionally managed by relying on its authority to borrow from the U.S. Treasury./21

GAO has been reporting since 1983 that the NFIP's premium rates do not reflect the full risk of loss because of various legislative requirements, which exacerbates the program's fiscal exposure./22 GAO has also noted that while Congress has directed FEMA to provide subsidized premium rates for policyholders meeting certain requirements, it has not provided FEMA with funds to offset these subsidies and discounts, which has contributed to FEMA's need to borrow from the U.S. Treasury to pay NFIP claims./23

Premium Subsidies and Cross-Subsidies

Except for certain subsidies, flood insurance rates in the NFIP are directed to be "based on consideration of the risk involved and accepted actuarial principles,"/24 meaning that the rate is reflective of the true flood risk to the property. FEMA determines full-risk rates/25 by estimating the probability of a given level of flooding, damage estimates based on that level of flooding, and accepted actuarial principles./26 However, Congress has directed FEMA not to charge actuarial rates for certain categories of properties and to offer subsidies/27 or cross-subsidies to certain classes of properties in order to achieve the program's objectives so that owners of certain existing properties in flood zones/28 are able to afford flood insurance.

* * *

18 An actuarial shortfall is when income from premiums, fees, and surcharges is too low to cover the costs associated with paying claims on existing policies and writing and servicing those policies. Congressional Budget Office (CBO), The National Flood Insurance Program: Financial Soundness and Affordability (hereinafter CBO Affordability), Washington, DC, September 1, 2017, p. 7. Note that this report was published before the introduction of Risk Rating 2.0.

19 CBO Affordability, pp. 4-5. The actuarial shortfall estimated by CBO in this report excludes $0.7 billion for mapping floodplains, mitigating flood risk, and interest payment on the NFIP's debt to the Treasury.

20 CBO Affordability, p. 8.

21 GAO, National Flood Insurance Program: Fiscal Exposure Persists Despite Property Acquisitions, GAO-20-509, June 25, 2020, p. 32, https://www.gao.gov/assets/710/707821.pdf.

22 Ibid., p. 29.

23 GAO, Flood Insurance: Comprehensive Reform Could Improve Solvency and Enhance Resilience (hereinafter GAO Solvency), GAO-17-425, April 2017, p. 17, https://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-17-425.

24 42 U.S.C. Sec.4014(a)(1).

25 FEMA defines full-risk rates as those charged to a group of policies that generate premiums sufficient to pay the group's anticipated losses and expenses. See GAO, National Flood Insurance Program: Continued Progress Needed to Fully Address Prior GAO Recommendations on Rate-Setting Methods, GAO-16-59, March 2016, p. 8, http://www.gao.gov/assets/680/675855.pdf.

26 For a brief explanation of accepted actuarial principles, see NRC Affordability Report 1, pp. 36-38.

27 FEMA defines subsidized premium rates as those charged for a group of policies that results in aggregate premiums insufficient to pay for anticipated losses and expenses.

28 Flood zones are geographic areas that FEMA has defined according to levels of flood risk and are depicted on a community's Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM). NFIP flood zones can be divided into three main categories: low- to moderate-risk areas (B, C, and X zones), high-risk areas (A zones), and high-risk coastal areas (V zones).

* * *

There are three main categories of properties which pay less than full risk-based rates:

* Pre-FIRM: Properties which were built or substantially improved/29 before December 31, 1974, or before FEMA published the first Flood Insurance Rate Map (FIRM) for their community, whichever was later./30

* Newly mapped: Properties newly mapped into an SFHA on or after April 1, 2015, if the applicant gets flood insurance coverage within a year of the mapping.

* Grandfathered: Properties that were built in compliance with the FIRM which was in effect at the time of construction./31 FEMA allows owners of such properties to maintain their old flood insurance rate class if their property is remapped into a new flood rate class./32

As of September 2018, approximately 13% of NFIP policies received a pre-FIRM subsidy, 4% of NFIP policies received the newly mapped subsidy, and about 9% of NFIP policies were grandfathered./33

Fees and Surcharges

In addition to the building and contents premium, NFIP policyholders pay a number of fees and surcharges mandated by law.

* The Federal Policy Fee (FPF) was authorized by Congress in 1990 and helps pay for the administrative expenses of the program, including floodplain mapping and some of the insurance operations./34 The amount of the Federal Policy Fee is set by FEMA and can increase or decrease year to year. Since October 2017, the FPF has been $50 for Standard Flood Insurance Policies (SFIPs), $25 for Preferred Risk Policies (PRPs),/35 and $25 for contents-only policies./36 The FPF is $47 for all NFIP policies written under Risk Rating 2.0./37

* * *

29 44 C.F.R. Sec.59.1 defines substantial improvement as any reconstruction, rehabilitation, addition, or other improvement of a structure, the cost of which exceeds 50% of the market value of the structure before the start of construction of the improvement." For additional discussion of substantial improvement, see FEMA, Substantial Improvement, https://www.fema.gov/node/405414.

30 42 U.S.C. Sec.4015(c).

31 A property can be grandfathered due to a change in its flood zone or a change in its Base Flood Elevation (BFE), which is defined as the water-surface elevation of the base flood, which is the 1%-annual-chance flood, commonly called the 100-year flood. The probability is 1% that rising water will reach BFE height in any given year.

32 An example of zone grandfathering would be a property that is initially mapped into a high-risk area (zone A) and is built to the proper building code and standards, and is later remapped into a higher-risk coastal area (zone V). If the policyholder has maintained continuous insurance coverage under the NFIP, the owner of this property can pay the flood insurance premium based on the prior lower-risk flood zone (zone A). Elevation grandfathering occurs when a new FIRM increases the BFE, but the property itself does not change flood zones.

33 Email correspondence from FEMA Congressional Affairs staff, June 13, 2019. Note that FEMA has not collected updated information for rating categories since producing the September 2018 numbers.

34 42 U.S.C. Sec.4014(a)(1)(B)(iii).

35 A Preferred Risk Policy is a Standard Flood Insurance Policy that offers low-cost coverage to owners and tenants of eligible buildings located in moderate- and low-risk flood zones in NFIP communities. PRP policies will no longer be offered under Risk Rating 2.0. See National Flood Services, Risk Rating 2.0: What Is Changing, https://nationalfloodservices.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/06/Risk-Rating-2.0-What-is-Changing.pdf.

36 See FEMA, Flood Insurance Manual, How to Write, revised October 1, 2022, p. 3-51, https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_nfip-flood-insurance-full-manual_102022.pdf. Note that the FPF is higher for residential condominium buildings with more than 20 units.

37 See FEMA, Flood Insurance Manual: How to Write, p. 3-50, revised October 1, 2022, https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_nfip-flood-insurance-full-manual_102022.pdf.

* * *

* A Reserve Fund Assessment was authorized by Congress in the Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012/38 to establish and maintain a reserve fund to cover future claim and debt expenses, especially those from catastrophic disasters./39 FEMA charges every NFIP policyholder a reserve fund assessment of 18% of the premium.

* All NFIP policies are also assessed a HFIAA Surcharge/40 following the passage of the Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability Act of 2014 (HFIAA)./41 The amount of the surcharge is dependent on the type of property being insured. For primary residences, the charge is $25; for all other properties, the charge is $250./42

* If a community is on probation from the NFIP,/43 all policyholders in that community will be charged a Probation Surcharge of $50 for a full one-year period, even if the community brings its program into compliance and is removed from probation.

* Before the introduction of Risk Rating 2.0, FEMA charged a Severe Repetitive Loss (SRL) Premium of 15% on all SRL properties./44 Revenues from these surcharges were deposited into the Reserve Fund./45

* * *

38 Title II of P.L. 112-141.

39 The Reserve Fund assessment was authorized by Congress in BW-12 to establish and maintain a Reserve Fund to cover future claim and debt expenses, especially those from catastrophic disasters (Sec.100212 of P.L. 112-141, 126 Stat.

992, as codified at 42 U.S.C. Sec.4017a).

40 Section 8(a) of P.L. 113-89, 128 Stat. 1023.

41 P.L. 112-141, Sec.100236, 126 Stat. 957; as amended by P.L. 113-89, Sec.16; 128 Stat. 1026.

42 For a description of how the fee is applied to different policy types, see FEMA, The HFIAA Surcharge Fact Sheet, April 2015, https://www.fema.gov/media-library/assets/documents/105569.

43 A community can be placed on probation by FEMA if it is found that it is failing to adequately enforce the floodplain management standards it has adopted. A community is given time to rectify FEMA's concerns regarding their implementation of the floodplain management standards. Ultimately, if the community does not correct its cited deficiencies after given time periods described in regulations, the community will be suspended from the NFIP by FEMA. For additional details on probation, see 44 C.F.R. Sec.59.24(b) and (c).

44 FEMA, April 1, 2021 and January 1, 2022 Program Changes, W-20020, p. 22, https://nfipservices.floodsmart.gov/sites/default/files/w-20020.pdf.

45 The SRL premium will be incorporated into new premium rates as NFIP policyholders move to Risk Rating 2.0 rates in 2022 and 2023.

* * *

Currently, the categories of properties which pay less than the full risk-based rate are determined by the date when the structure was built relative to the date of adoption of the FIRM, rather than the flood risk or the ability of the policyholder to pay. GAO has suggested in a number of reports that linking subsidies to ability to pay rather than the existing approach, by which subsidies are linked to properties without regard to financial circumstances, would make premium assistance more transparent and thus more open to oversight by Congress and the public./46

Legislative Reforms to Address NFIP Solvency and Affordability

Competing aspects of the NFIP, particularly the desire to keep flood insurance affordable while making the program fiscally solvent, have made it challenging to reform the program./47 Different Administrations and Congresses have placed varied emphases and priorities on affordability or solvency for premium setting. As these priorities change, the balance between actuarial objectives (financial soundness and alignment of individual premiums with risk) and encouraging participation (by keeping premiums affordable and offering subsidies to certain classes of policyholders) has also changed./48

The tension between solvency and affordability has been illustrated by legislative changes in the last decade. The Biggert-Waters Flood Insurance Reform Act of 2012 (hereinafter BW-12)/49 moved the NFIP in the direction of better aligning policyholders' premiums with their actual flood risks by removing or accelerating phaseouts of discounted rates./50 A core principle of BW12 was the eventual removal of subsidized policies./51 Following the passage of BW-12, lawmakers received testimony and letters from constituents of multiple communities expressing concern that this would result in unreasonably high premiums that would create a financial burden on policyholders and could cause disruption to communities.

In response to these concerns, Congress passed the Homeowner Flood Insurance Affordability Act of 2014 (HFIAA),/52 which slowed or reversed some changes introduced in BW-12./53 In particular, HFIAA slowed the rate of phaseout of subsidies for most primary residences, but retained the pace of the phaseout of the subsidy from BW-12 for business properties and secondary homes. In addition, HFIAA created a minimum and maximum increase in the amount for the phaseout of subsidies for all primary residences of 5%-18% annually. This permits individual property increases of up to 18%, but limits the rate class/54 increases to 15% per year./55

* * *

46 GAO Solvency, p. 27.

47 GAO Solvency, p. 1.

48 American Academy of Actuaries, The National Flood Insurance Program: Challenges and Solutions, Washington, DC, September 25, 2019, p. 3, https://www.actuary.org/sites/default/files/2019-09/flood9.19.pdf.

49 Title II of P.L. 112-141.

50 For more information on these changes, see Table 4 in CRS Report R44593, Introduction to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), by Diane P. Horn and Baird Webel.

51 NRC Affordability Report 1, p. 1.

52 See P.L. 112-141, Sec.100236, 126 Stat. 957; as amended by P.L. 113-89, Sec.16; 128 Stat. 1026.

53 CBO Affordability, p. 4.

54 A single rate class (or risk classification) is a group of properties with the same flood risk classification; for example, pre-FIRM properties or properties with the newly mapped subsidy.

55 The chargeable risk premium rate for any property may not be increased by more than 18% per year (except in certain circumstances, which are listed); see 42 U.S.C. Sec.4015(e)(1). The chargeable risk premium may not be increased by an amount that would result in the average of such rate increases for properties within the risk classification exceeding 15% of the average of the risk premium rate for properties within the risk classification; see 42 U.S.C. Sec.4015(e)(3).

* * *

In other words, the average annual premium rate increase for primary residences within a single risk classification rate may not be increased by more than 15% a year, while the individual premium rate increase for any individual policy may not be increased by more than 18% each year./56

Other categories of properties are required to have their premium increased by 25% per year until they reach full risk-based rates, including (1) nonprimary residences; (2) nonresidential properties; (3) business properties; (4) properties with severe repetitive loss;/57 (5) properties with substantial cumulative damage;/58 and properties with substantial damage/59 or substantial improvement after July 6, 2012. Actuarially sound rates, or full risk-based rates,/60 would help communicate risks to homeowners and could help to ensure the program's sustainability; however, for some policyholders this would mean a rate increase that could make premiums unaffordable or reduce their willingness to purchase flood insurance./61 FEMA is moving toward charging full risk-based rates for all NFIP policies through the introduction of a new method for pricing NFIP policies, known as Risk Rating 2.0.

Risk Rating 2.0

Risk Rating 2.0 represents the biggest change to the way the NFIP calculates flood insurance premiums since its inception. Under Risk Rating 2.0, premiums for individual properties will be based on their individual flood risk.

Risk Rating 2.0 went into effect on October 1, 2021, for new NFIP policies only. The new rates for existing policyholders took effect on April 1, 2022. All policies will move to Risk Rating 2.0 pricing when they renew after April 1, 2022./62

Under Risk Rating 2.0, premiums for an individual property are based on that property's specific flood risk, as opposed to being placed in a general risk category based on flood zones./63 The premium is calculated based on the specific features of the property, including structural variables such as the foundation type of the structure, the height of the lowest floor of the structure relative to base flood elevation, and the replacement cost value (RCV)/64 of the structure. Structures with higher replacement costs than current local or national averages should pay more for their NFIP coverage than structures that are below the average RCV, which should pay less./65

* * *

56 The percentage increases are based on the current premium (e.g., a 15% annual increase from the prior year premium), rather than the percentage difference between the current premium and the actuarial rate (i.e., a rate increase of 25% does not mean the pre-FIRM subsidy is eliminated in four years).

57 Severe repetitive loss properties are those that have incurred four or more claim payments exceeding $5,000 each, with a cumulative amount of such payments over $20,000; or at least two claims with a cumulative total exceeding the value of the property. See 42 U.S.C. Sec.4014(h) and 44 C.F.R. Sec.79.2(h).

58 A property with substantial cumulative damage is any property that has incurred flood-related damage in which the cumulative amounts of payments under the NFIP equaled or exceeded the fair market value of such property. See 42 U.S.C. Sec.4014(a)(2)(C).

59 44 C.F.R. Sec.59.1 defines "substantial damage" as damage of any origin sustained by a structure whereby the cost of restoring the structure to its before-damaged condition would equal or exceed 50% of the market value of the structure before the damage occurred. For additional discussion of substantial damage, see FEMA Fact Sheet, NFIP "Substantial Damage" - What Does It Mean? at https://www.fema.gov/press-release/20210318/fact-sheet-nfip-substantial-damagewhat-does-it-mean-0.

60 FEMA defines full risk-based rates expenses (rates intended to reflect the actual rate of flooding) as those charged to a group of policies that generate premiums sufficient to pay the group's anticipated losses and expenses.

61 CBO Affordability, p. 21 and p. 4.

62 FEMA, Risk Rating 2.0: Equity in Action, https://www.fema.gov/flood-insurance/risk-rating.

63 For a more detailed explanation of flood zones, see CRS Report R44593, Introduction to the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP), by Diane P. Horn and Baird Webel.

64 Before Risk Rating 2.0, the premium for a property was based on the amount of insurance purchased for a structure rather than the replacement cost of the structure. In particular, structures whose value are above $250,000 paid less than they would if their rate was based on the RCV, because their rate was based on an average structure value that is much less than their actual structure value. For additional discussion of RCV, see CRS Report R45999, National Flood Insurance Program: The Current Rating Structure and Risk Rating 2.0, by Diane P. Horn.

65 FEMA, Risk Rating 2.0: Equity In Action, https://www.fema.gov/flood-insurance/risk-rating.

* * *

Risk Rating 2.0 also considers geographical variables such as the distance to water, the type and size of nearest bodies of water, flood frequency, and the elevation of the property relative to the flooding source. Risk Rating 2.0 also incorporates a broader range of flood frequencies and sources than the current system; in particular, pluvial flooding (flooding due to heavy rainfall)./66 Risk Rating 2.0 will continue the overall policy of phasing out NFIP subsidies that began with BW-12 and continued with HFIAA, which slowed the rate at which subsidies were phased out for primary residences. If policyholders are currently paying less than the full risk-based rate for their property, their premium will increase over time until they reach the actuarial rate for their property. However, limitations on annual premium increases are set in statute,/67 and FEMA cannot increase rates annually beyond these caps. Although Risk Rating 2.0 will not be allowed to increase premiums for primary residences more than 18% annually, this will still represent a larger increase than policyholders have seen in years. Since HFIAA was passed in 2014, rate increases for primary residences have increased between 6% and 11% per year./68

Nationally, an estimated 77% of policyholders will see an increase in their premiums in the first year of Risk Rating 2.0, with 23% of policyholders seeing a decrease./69 The impending rate raises will vary from $120 to $240 or more annually. According to FEMA, 75% of primary residences would see an increase greater than 18% under Risk Rating 2.0 if the statutory limit did not exist. FEMA estimates that 50% of policies will be at their full risk rate after five years and after 10 years, 90% of policies will be at their full risk rate./70

As full risk-based premiums are phased in under Risk Rating 2.0, some policyholders could be faced with large price increases either because they are currently buying coverage at subsidized rates, or because the new rating system indicates that they now have a higher risk, or both.

Affordability of NFIP Premiums

The introduction of Risk Rating 2.0 has renewed concerns that full risk-based premiums could be unaffordable for some households and could lead property owners to either purchase lower amounts of coverage or choose not to purchase flood insurance at all. It has been suggested that some property owners might not be able to afford to remain in their homes if flood insurance premiums were too high./71 Such increases raise issues of equity, as well as affordability. Premium increases under Risk Rating 2.0 may have the greatest effect on low- and moderate-income policyholders and communities,/72 as well as other potential impacts. For example, if homeowners and renters drop their insurance because of affordability issues, it may affect their ability to receive FEMA disaster assistance, for which they are required to obtain and maintain flood insurance. In addition, there may be locations where premium increases have adverse effects on a community as a whole if premiums increase for a large number of residents. For example, higher flood insurance rates could affect property values and the ability of property owners to sell their properties if potential buyers decide not to purchase a home in a high-risk area after determining the cost of flood insurance for the property./73

Higher premiums could potentially prevent achievement of the long-standing program objective of increasing the number of properties covered by flood insurance./74 If NFIP policyholders were to cancel their policies, the federal government could face increased costs in the form of FEMA disaster assistance to these households./75

* * *

66 For additional information about Risk Rating 2.0, see CRS Report R45999, National Flood Insurance Program: The Current Rating Structure and Risk Rating 2.0, by Diane P. Horn; and CRS Insight IN11777, National Flood Insurance Program Risk Rating 2.0: Frequently Asked Questions, by Diane P. Horn.

67 42 U.S.C. Sec.4015(e).

68 See Table 1 in CRS Insight IN11777, National Flood Insurance Program Risk Rating 2.0: Frequently Asked Questions, by Diane P. Horn.

69 FEMA, Risk Rating 2.0 - National Rate Analysis, https://www.fema.gov/sites/default/files/documents/fema_riskrating-2.0-national-rate-analysis.pdf.

70 Email from FEMA Congressional Affairs staff, April 16, 2021.

71 GAO, Flood Insurance: More Information Needed on Subsidized Properties, GAO-13-607, July 3, 2013, p. 36, https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-13-607.

72 See, for example, U.S. Congress, House Committee on Homeland Security, Hearing on Ensuring Equity in Disaster Preparedness, Response, and Recovery, Hearing Testimony of Chauncia Willis, Chief Executive Officer, Institute for Diversity and Inclusion in Emergency Management, 117th Cong., 1st sess., October 27, 2021, pp. 2-6, https://homeland.house.gov/imo/media/doc/2021-10-27-HRG-Testimony-Willis.pdf.

73 GAO, Overview of GAO's Past Work on the National Flood Insurance Program, GAO-14-297R, April 9, 2014, p. 20, https://www.gao.gov/products/GAO-14-297R.

74 NRC Affordability Report 1, p. 2.

75 NRC Affordability Report 1, p. 64.

* * *

Continues with Part 2 of 3

* * *

The report is posted at: https://crsreports.congress.gov/product/pdf/R/R47000

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Congressional Research Service: 'Options for Making National Flood Insurance Program More Affordable' (Part 3 of 3)

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