Athene 2024 Asset Risk & Stress Considerations
Athene Asset Portfolio
Risk & Stress Considerations Update
Disclaimer
This presentation does not constitute an offer to sell, or the solicitation of an offer to buy, any security of
Unless the context requires otherwise, references in this presentation to "Apollo" and "AGM" refer to
This presentation contains, and certain oral statements made by Athene's representatives from time to time may contain, forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Such statements are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results, events and developments to differ materially from those set forth in, or implied by, such statements. These statements are based on the beliefs and assumptions of Athene's management and the management of Athene's subsidiaries. Generally, forward-looking statements include actions, events, results, strategies and expectations and are often identifiable by use of the words "believes," "expects," "intends," "anticipates," "plans," "seeks," "estimates," "projects," "may," "will," "could," "might," or "continues" or similar expressions. Forward looking statements within this presentation include, but are not limited to, benefits to be derived from Athene's capital allocation decisions; the anticipated performance of Athene's portfolio in certain stress or recessionary environments; the performance of Athene's business; general economic conditions; expected future operating results; Athene's liquidity and capital resources; and other non-historical statements. Although Athene management believes that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that these expectations will prove to be correct. For a discussion of other risks and uncertainties related to Athene's forward-looking statements, see its annual report on Form 10-K for the year ended
Athene adopted the US GAAP accounting standard related to Targeted Improvements to the Accounting for Long-Duration Contracts (LDTI) as of
Information contained herein may include information respecting prior performance of Athene. Information respecting prior performance, while a useful tool, is not necessarily indicative of actual results to be achieved in the future, which is dependent upon many factors, many of which are beyond Athene's control. The information contained herein is not a guarantee of future performance by Athene, and actual outcomes and results may differ materially from any historic, pro forma or projected financial results indicated herein. Certain of the financial information contained herein is unaudited or based on the application of non-GAAP financial measures. These non-GAAP financial measures should be considered in addition to and not as a substitute for, or superior to, financial measures presented in accordance with GAAP. Furthermore, certain financial information is based on estimates of management. These estimates, which are based on the reasonable expectations of management, are subject to change and there can be no assurance that they will prove to be correct. The information contained herein does not purport to be all-inclusive or contain all information that an evaluator may require in order to properly evaluate the business, prospects or value of Athene. Athene does not have any obligation to update this presentation and the information may change at any time without notice.
Models that may be contained herein (the "Models") are being provided for illustrative and discussion purposes only and are not intended to forecast or predict future events. Information provided in the Models may not reflect the most current data and is subject to change. The Models are based on estimates and assumptions that are also subject to change and may be subject to significant business, economic and competitive uncertainties, including numerous uncontrollable market and event driven situations. There is no guarantee that the information presented in the Models is accurate. Actual results may differ materially from those reflected and contemplated in such hypothetical, forward- looking information. Undue reliance should not be placed on such information and investors should not use the Models to make investment decisions. Athene has no duty to update the Models in the future.
Certain of the information used in preparing this presentation was obtained from third parties or public sources. No representation or warranty, express or implied, is made or given by or on behalf of Athene or any other person as to the accuracy, completeness or fairness of such information, and no responsibility or liability is accepted for any such information. The contents of any website referenced in this presentation are not incorporated by reference and only speak as of the date listed thereon.
This document is not intended to be, nor should it be construed or used as, financial, legal, tax, insurance or investment advice. There can be no assurance that Athene will achieve its objectives. Past performance is not indicative of future success.
All information is as of the dates indicated herein.
2
The Industry Has Focused on Capital Return, Leaving Many Companies With Less Capital Flexibility
|
$4B+ |
77% |
|
72% |
|
|
total capital charges on higher-risk liabilities2 |
66% |
|
from |
|
|
life insurers since 2H'22 |
57% |
|
52% |
|
|
45% |
37%
30%
22%
14%
9%
5%
|
2012 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2020 |
2021 |
2022 |
YTD 2023 |
Over the past decade,
Source: Capital IQ as of
3
|
Company |
Acquires Aviva |
Rated |
Rated |
Upgraded |
Upgraded |
Upgraded |
Upgraded |
Merger |
Upgraded |
Rated |
|
Founded |
|
'A-' |
'A-' |
to 'A' |
to 'A' |
to 'A' |
to 'A+' |
Completed |
to 'A+' |
'A1' |
|
2009 |
2013 |
2014 |
2015 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
2021 |
2022 |
~$17 Billion1
Apollo has been the largest single contributor of capital to the retirement services industry in the US and
having raised approximately
Note: Ratings represent financial strength ratings for primary insurance subsidiaries.
1. Calculated as the sum of total primary capital raised across Apollo retirement services platform entities via equity, preferred equity, debt, and third-party capital from 2010 through
4
Athene Has Built a Fortress Balance Sheet…
A+
|
Financial |
Regulatory |
Excess |
Available |
Total |
|
Strength Profile1 |
Capital2 |
Equity Capital3 |
Liquidity4 |
Deployable Capital5 |
Note: Athene metrics are net of the noncontrolling interests, as of
3. Computed as capital in excess of the capital required to support our core operating strategies, as determined based upon internal modeling and analysis of economic risk, as well as inputs from rating agency capital models and consideration of both NAIC RBC and
5
…That Outperforms the Competition
|
|
|
2 |
Lower Credit Losses |
|
vs. Reserves1 |
Trailing 5 Year Avg.
(2018-2022)
|
11.6% |
27.1% |
13bps
9.3%
9bps
14.5%
|
Athene |
AA-/A+ Rated |
Athene |
AA-/A+ Rated |
Athene3 |
Industry |
|
Company Average |
Company Average |
Average4 |
Note: Athene metrics are net of the noncontrolling interests. AA-/A+ Rated Companies are: PFG (A+), GL (AA-), MET (AA-), and PRU (AA-). 1. AA-/A+
4. Industry average represents
6
Athene is Committed to Strong Ratings, with an Upward Trajectory
'A+'
Outlook Stable
'A+'
Outlook Stable
'A1'
Outlook Stable
'A'
Outlook Positive
Note: Ratings represent financial strength ratings for primary insurance subsidiaries.
"Athene benefits from material competitive advantages as a result of its significant operating scale. While the company remains focused on spread-based liabilities, Fitch views Athene as having favorable diversification relative to more modest annuity peers."
FITCH,
"We view Athene's competitive position as strong, as it has expanded its liability profile and market share over the past few years... In the past couple of years, the company has also expanded into flow reinsurance in
"The A1 insurance financial strength rating of its US and
"Risk-adjusted capitalization is at the strongest level, as measured by Best's Capital Adequacy Ratio. Strong historical growth in premiums and deposits across its retail, institutional reinsurance, and pension risk transfer markets. Stable liability profile with concentration in retirement products with MVAs, surrender or economic protections."
7
Athene's Portfolio is Almost Entirely Investment
- ~97% of Athene's fixed income portfolio is invested ininvestment grade assets1
- Target asset classes which bringilliquidity or structuring complexity premium, not incremental credit risk
- Focus on directly originated, senior secured loans where control of origination results in betterrisk-adjustedreturns
Athene
97% NAIC 1 & 21
Cash & Equivalents Other2
5%2% Alternatives
5%
Mortgage Loans3 20%
CMBS
3% RMBS
4%
ABS/CLO
19%
Corporate
- Gov't
42%
Peer Average Portfolio4
95% NAIC 1 & 25
Cash & Equivalents Other
5%7%
Alternatives 2%
Mortgage Loans 17%
CMBS
4%
RMBS 5%
ABS/CLO
7%
Corporate
- Gov't
53%
Key Differentiators:
High-Quality Private Credit, Structured
Credit, Differentiated Alternatives
Note: Athene net invested assets as of
8
Athene Targets ~30-40 Basis Points of Incremental Yield Through Illiquidity and Complexity Premia Without Adding Incremental Credit Risk
Options to Pursue Excess Risk-Adjusted Investment Returns
More Duration
- Buy assets with longer tenor than liabilities to take advantage of upward sloping yield curve
Riskier Assets
- Buy assets farther out on the risk/reward spectrum (e.g. public equities)
- Buy lower quality credit in pursuit of higher spreads
Illiquidity & Structure
- Capture illiquidity premium by buying more private or directly originated assets
- Capture complexity premium by buying structured securities offering diversification, credit enhancement and structural protections
9
Today, Investment Grade Structured Credit is Safer Credit Risk Than Equivalently Rated Corporate Debt
Athene continues to be a leader in transparency around its investment philosophy in structured credit, and published a Structured Credit Whitepaper in
Highlights key features of investment grade structured credit, which help to provide safer yield than comparably rated corporate credit:
Diversification
Credit Enhancement
Structural Protections
Investors with the expertise to understand complexity, and long-dated, stable funding to withstand illiquidity and price volatility, can capture incremental yield without taking on incremental credit risk
CLICK HERETO VIEW ATHENE'S
STRUCTURED CREDIT WHITEPAPER
10
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