Keystone Positive Change Investment Trust Interim Financial Report to 31 March 2024
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Interim |
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Financial Report |
Keystone Positive Change's objective is to generate long-term capital growth with the aim of the NAV total retuexceeding that of the MSCI AC World Index in sterling terms by at least 2% per annum over rolling five-year periods; and contribute to a more sustainable and inclusive world by investing in companies whose products or services make a positive social or environmental impact.
Comparative index
The principal index against which performance is measured is the MSCI All Country World Index (in sterling terms).
Principal risks and uncertainties
The principal and emerging risks facing the Company are: the risk that the Company's strategy and business model are unsuccessful in achieving its investment objective; discount/premium risk; financial risk; gearing risk; operational risk; custody and depositary risk; climate and governance
risk; political and associated economic risk; and regulatory risk. An explanation of these risks and how they are managed is set out on pages 41 to
45 of the Company's Annual Report and Financial Statements for the year to
Responsibility statement
We confirm that to the best of our knowledge:
- the condensed set of Financial Statements has been prepared in accordance with FRS
104 'Interim Financial Reporting'; - the Interim Management Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.7R (indication of important events during
the first six months, their impact on the Financial
Statements and a description of the principal risks and uncertainties for the remaining six months of the year); and - the Interim Financial Report includes a fair review of the information required by Disclosure Guidance and Transparency Rule 4.2.8R (disclosure of related party transactions and changes therein).
On behalf of the Board
Chair
Summary of unaudited results*
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At |
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At |
30 September |
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31 March |
2023 |
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2024 |
(audited) |
% change |
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Total assets (before deduction of borrowings) |
£174.0m |
£162.2m |
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Borrowings (at book value) |
(£15.3m) |
(£15.5m) |
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Shareholders' funds |
£158.7m |
£146.7m |
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Net asset value per ordinary share (NAV) |
262.3p |
237.3p |
10.5 |
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|
Share price |
231.0p |
204.0p |
13.2 |
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|
Discount† |
(11.9%) |
(14.0%) |
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Gross gearing |
9.6% |
10.6% |
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Net gearing |
8.6% |
10.1% |
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Active share† |
97% |
97% |
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Six months to |
Six months to |
|||
|
|
|
|||
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Revenue earnings per ordinary share |
0.41p |
0.64p |
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Total returns to 31 March 2024#† |
Six months % |
1 year % |
3 years % |
|
|
Net asset value per ordinary share (NAV) |
10.7 |
3.4 |
(9.1) |
|
|
Share price |
13.5 |
9.7 |
(16.0) |
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|
Index‡ |
16.3 |
21.2 |
35.5 |
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Six months to |
Year to |
|||
|
Period's high and low |
High |
Low |
High |
Low |
|
Net asset value per ordinary share (NAV) |
265.5p |
218.8p |
266.8p |
218.1p |
|
Share price |
231.0p |
183.3p |
226.0p |
187.0p |
|
(Discount)/premium† |
(10.8%) |
(17.9%) |
(10.2%) |
(18.0%) |
- For a definition of terms, see Glossary of terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23.
- Alternative performance measure. See Glossary of terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23.
# Source:Baillie Gifford /LSEG and relevant underlying index providers. See disclaimer on page 20.
‡ The MSCI All Country World Index (in sterling terms) is the principal index against which performance is measured with effect from11 February 2021 . Past performance is not a guide to future performance.
01
Interim Management Report
Much has happened in the three years since we took on the management of
Against this dynamic and complex back-drop we have remained resolutely committed to delivering on Keystone's dual objectives of generating attractive long-term investment returns and contributing towards a more sustainable and inclusive world.
We continue to believe that capital owners and allocators can play a valuable role in addressing global challenges by channelling capital towards businesses that are intent on developing, scaling production of, and successfully selling products and services that will help create a more inclusive, healthier and more environmentally stable world.
Performance
Following eleven consecutive interest rate increases in the US and fourteen in the
Over the six months to
Two of the larger holdings in the portfolio,
the leading digital language learning app, beat expectations by growing revenues by 45% with its monthly active users increasing to 88m and the percentage of paying subscribers continuing on a positive trajectory.
Detractors to performance included
For a definition of terms, see Glossary of terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23.
Total retuinformation is sourced from
02
Interim Financial Report 2024
We have spoken with the CEO and some of
The mobile remittance provider,
the retufrom that marketing spend remains attractive.
6m customers benefiting from its fast, secure and affordable means of sending money to their families and friends in low-andmiddle-income countries.
One of the attractive features of the Company is its ability to invest in private companies. At the end of
Carbon removal company, Climeworks, continues to sign new carbon removal agreements with customers from a range of industries, from airlines to toy manufacturers, as it works towards the launch of its new plant in
to fund its expansion of
Interest rates and geopolitical fragility dominate the headlines, often masking the 'secret silent miracle of human progress'1. We endeavour to find the companies contributing to human progress through products and services that address global challenges; we believe that these companies will thrive in the long term; and we believe that share prices follow fundamentals. With this in mind, it is worth highlighting the strong fundamentals of the portfolio: companies within the portfolio have delivered 10.9% annual earnings growth over the last five years compared to 8.0% for the index and are forecast to deliver 16.8% per annum2 for the next three years compared to 9.4% for the index; portfolio companies have stronger balance sheets than the index with net debt/EBITDA of 1x compared to 1.6x for the index; and the portfolio holdings are investing in their future more than index constituents with capex and R&D spend equating to 19% of revenues compared to 10% for the benchmark.
For these superior fundamental characteristics - faster growth, stronger balance sheets and more investment - the portfolio is on a one year forward PE of 27x, a premium of 55% to the benchmark3. This compares to a premium of 63% to the index three years ago.
Hans Rosling , Swedish physician and academic.- Third party analyst expectations.
- These statistics exclude private companies.
03
Portfolio
We have made three complete sales and three new purchases for the Company over the past six months. The sale of Daikin, a leading player in the heating, ventilation and air conditioning industry, due to the emergence of new information related to its involvement in the production of white phosphorous smoke bombs used by the
in the full year statement. Danish offshore wind operator Ørsted has faced operational challenges. Rising material costs, higher interest rates and changes to government support for projects in the US led to significant write-downs to projects there, undermining our confidence in the management team's ability to allocate capital: we have decided to move on. M3, a Japanese provider of digital services for the healthcare system, is growing in complexity as it acquires more and bigger businesses in different geographies. We think this comes with execution risk, so the position was sold. In both cases we sold at a lower price to when we purchased shares in
We are excited to have taken three new holdings, all quite different in terms of their business model and how they are driving change.
Despite a weakening of demand for electric vehicles due to higher interest rates and weaker economies, we remain excited about investment opportunities associated with electrification of transportation.
Grab,
Positive Conversations
We recently published Positive Conversations, an annual report that focuses on the business practices of portfolio holdings, including the carbon footprint, outlines progress towards Net Zero alignment, and provides a record of our engagements with portfolio holdings. Through our engagements we aim to grow our understanding, build relationships with management teams and seek to influence where we think engagement can be of value to companies and society. The report includes detail on positive conversations with Illumina on strategy, governance and remuneration; with
04
Interim Financial Report 2024
This report complements the Annual Impact Report which details how portfolio holdings are contributing towards a more sustainable and inclusive world across the four impact themes.
Outlook
'It's not what you look at that matters, it's what you see'4.
We can all look at inflation figures and the US Federal Reserve's most recent meeting minutes; or at the horrendous footage of the conflicts in
Looking around us we see a world facing significant environmental and social challenges; we see individuals and businesses innovating and developing new products and services or new business models that have the potential to address these global challenges. We see investment opportunities in businesses that are challenging the status quo. What we see is encapsulated in our dual objectives: to contribute towards a more sustainable, inclusive and healthier world while generating attractive investment returns for shareholders. To do this we endeavour to see what matters most, rather than being distracted by trying to predict short-term sentiment on interest rates or geopolitics.
It could be said that society is at a watershed moment in time, faced with the choice of continuing along the path we are on, or having the bravery, ambition and determined optimism needed to help steer us onto
a more sustainable and inclusive trajectory.
This watershed moment is rich with investment opportunities for the brave and ambitious. Some interesting areas we are exploring include the electrification of mining equipment, new treatments for obesity, and companies helping improve access to medication.
Thank you for seeing what we see in our philosophy; thank you for believing that we see things that others don't, and for sharing our excitement in that.
Portfolio Managers
4
05
List of investments
as at
|
% of |
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|
Business |
Impact theme* |
Fair value |
total |
|
|
|
£'000 |
assets † |
||
|
|
Semiconductor manufacturer |
Social |
12,149 |
7.0 |
|
ASML |
Supplier to semiconductor industry |
Social |
11,427 |
6.6 |
|
|
Ecommerce platform and fintech |
Social |
11,332 |
6.5 |
|
|
Continuous glucose monitoring |
Healthcare |
8,943 |
5.1 |
|
|
Messenger RNA therapeutics |
Healthcare |
8,364 |
4.8 |
|
Bank Rakyat Indonesia |
Bank |
Base |
8,360 |
4.8 |
|
|
Innovative water solutions |
Environment |
8,238 |
4.7 |
|
Shopify |
Online commerce platform |
Social |
7,930 |
4.6 |
|
Autodesk |
Software products for architecture, engineering, |
Environment |
7,349 |
4.2 |
|
construction, and manufacturing industries |
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Agricultural equipment |
Environment |
6,936 |
4.0 |
|
|
Digital banking company |
Social |
6,630 |
3.8 |
|
|
Online money transfer payments for immigrants |
Base |
5,992 |
3.4 |
|
and their families |
||||
|
|
Language learning website and mobile app |
Social |
5,691 |
3.3 |
|
|
Water, hygiene and infection prevention services |
Environment |
5,325 |
3.1 |
|
Illumina |
Gene sequencing equipment |
Healthcare |
5,242 |
3.0 |
|
|
Mortgage provider |
Social |
5,215 |
3.0 |
|
|
Biotechnology |
Healthcare |
5,036 |
2.9 |
|
Sartorius |
Biopharmaceutical and laboratory tooling |
Healthcare |
4,385 |
2.5 |
|
|
Online learning |
Social |
3,451 |
2.0 |
|
Tesla |
Electric cars and renewable energy solutions |
Environment |
3,406 |
2.0 |
|
Grab# |
Superapp in |
Social |
3,388 |
1.9 |
|
deliveries and digital financial services |
||||
|
|
Battery developer and manufacturer, specialising |
Environment |
3,333 |
1.9 |
|
in lithium-ion technology for electric vehicles |
||||
|
|
Global materials technology and recycling |
Environment |
3,104 |
1.8 |
|
|
Refurbishes vacant homes in |
Environment |
3,056 |
1.8 |
|
to first-time buyers on an affordable basis |
||||
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Telecommunications and mobile payments |
Base |
2,415 |
1.4 |
|
|
Life science technology |
Healthcare |
2,116 |
1.2 |
- Abbreviated as follows: Healthcare - Healthcare and quality of life; Social - Social inclusion and education; Environment - Environment and resource needs; Base - Base of the pyramid.
- For a definition of terms see Glossary of terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23.
- New purchase during the period. Complete sales during the period were: Ørsted,
Daikin Industries , and M3. Chr Hansen merged withNovozymes to form Novonesis.
Denotes unlisted/private company holding.
06
Interim Financial Report 2024
|
% of |
|||||
|
Business |
Impact theme* |
Fair value |
total |
||
|
|
£'000 |
assets † |
|||
|
Climeworks |
Direct air carbon capture |
Environment |
1,725 |
1.0 |
|
|
Boston Electrometallurgical |
Novel technology for producing green steel |
Environment |
1,672 |
1.0 |
|
|
Corp |
|||||
|
PsiQuantum |
Silicon photonic quantum computing |
Social |
1,572 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
Life and health insurance provider |
Healthcare |
1,556 |
0.9 |
|
|
|
Electric aircraft |
Environment |
1,459 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
Antibody drug discovery tools |
Healthcare |
1,445 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
Contract research, development and manufacturing |
Healthcare |
1,433 |
0.8 |
|
|
organisation focusing on biologics drugs |
|||||
|
Novonesis |
Biological solutions |
Environment |
1,166 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
Novel protein biomaterials |
Environment |
901 |
0.5 |
|
|
|
Electric sports utility vechicles and pickup trucks |
Environment |
618 |
0.4 |
|
|
Total investments |
172,360 |
99.1 |
|||
|
Net liquid assets† |
1,594 |
0.9 |
|||
|
Total assets† |
173,954 |
100.0 |
|||
|
Listed |
Unlisted |
Net liquid |
Total |
||
|
equities |
securities ‡ |
assets † |
assets † |
||
|
% |
% |
% |
% |
||
|
|
93.8 |
5.3 |
0.9 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
93.7 |
5.9 |
0.4 |
100.0 |
|
- Abbreviated as follows: Healthcare - Healthcare and quality of life; Social - Social inclusion and education; Environment - Environment and resource needs; Base - Base of the pyramid.
- For a definition of terms see Glossary of terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23.
- New purchase during the period. Complete sales during the period were: Ørsted,
Daikin Industries , and M3. Chr Hansen merged withNovozymes to form Novonesis.
- Includes holdings in ordinary shares, preference shares and promissory notes. Denotes unlisted/private company holding.
07
Portfolio companies split by impact theme
as at
Social inclusion and education
Building a more inclusive society and/or improving the quality and accessibility of education
|
Holding |
Value £'000 |
% |
|
|
12,149 |
7.0 |
|
ASML |
11,427 |
6.6 |
|
|
11,332 |
6.5 |
|
Shopify |
7,930 |
4.6 |
|
|
6,630 |
3.8 |
|
|
5,691 |
3.3 |
|
|
5,215 |
3.0 |
|
|
3,451 |
2.0 |
|
Grab |
3,388 |
1.9 |
|
PsiQuantum |
1,572 |
0.9 |
|
68,785 |
39.6 |
|
Environment and resource needs
Improving our resource efficiency and reducing
the environmental impact of our economic activities
|
Holding |
Value £'000 |
% |
|
|
8,238 |
4.7 |
|
Autodesk |
7,349 |
4.2 |
|
|
6,936 |
4.0 |
|
|
5,325 |
3.1 |
|
Tesla |
3,406 |
2.0 |
|
|
3,333 |
1.9 |
|
|
3,104 |
1.8 |
|
|
3,056 |
1.8 |
|
Climeworks |
1,725 |
1.0 |
|
|
1,672 |
1.0 |
|
|
1,459 |
0.8 |
|
Novonesis |
1,166 |
0.7 |
|
|
901 |
0.5 |
|
|
618 |
0.4 |
|
48,288 |
27.9 |
|
- For a definition of terms see Glossary of Terms and Alternative Performance Measures on pages 21 to 23. Denotes unlisted/private company holding.
08
Interim Financial Report 2024
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