Is a Recession Coming? Here’s What the Data Actually Shows in 2026

TLDR Recession odds on prediction markets have jumped to 39.2%, up from 22% at the start of March 2026 Goldman Sachs puts recession probability at 30%; Moody’s forecasting model puts it at 49% The S&P 500 is down over 6% in the past month; the Nasdaq entered correction territory Two key market valuation metrics — […] The post Is a Recession Coming? Here’s What the Data…