EDITORIAL: Brace for the Big One
According to geologists, the longest earthquake-free interval along the
That is the conclusion from an eye-opening report released last week by the
"We can look at the damage on a building-by-building basis," said
Phase 2 of the study, expected to be released in 2019, will include
There is nothing new about such warnings. Numerous studies have highlighted the risk of a major temblor in this region -- and with good reason.
In other words, we are pressing our luck, buoyed by the misguided confidence that comes with the fact that no major quakes have hit the area since European settlers first arrived. But preparations by officials and residents will be essential to limiting damage when the big one does hit.
On an individual level, the most important thing is to prepare an emergency kit with enough food, water, flashlights and batteries to last several weeks. Most preparedness guides recommend two-week supplies, but a more realistic recommendation is five or six weeks' worth; if roads and communications are knocked out, there is no telling how long a family could be isolated. As Madin said: "All you have to do is knock out key parts of the power system and water lines and you're hauling water with a bucket and living in the dark." The
Meanwhile, the report says homeowners should ensure that their structures are bolted to the foundation. "If your house falls off the foundation," Madin said, "you're going to a refugee camp."
While preparation begins at the family level, local officials also must act with the assumption that a major earthquake is inevitable. The analysis found that moderate seismic upgrades to older buildings could slash structure repair costs from
Eventually, the Northwest is going to be shaken. Preparing now should be viewed as an investment that will save money and lives in the long run.
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