Chuck Raasch: How Missouri goes Tuesday, so goes the nation — and not just in 2018
One came in
It was bold but risky, a recognition that McCaskill was facing voters that had given President
McCaskill seemed to be taking sides with the latter while depending on the votes of the former. Tuesday will tell if that strategy worked.
The other moment came in August of 2017, when former Missouri Republican Sen.
"We are the party of the Union, and (Trump) is the most divisive president in our history," Danforth wrote.
But Attorney General Hawley still hitched to the Trump train and its pro-business, America First, anti-immigration, anti-regulation, speak-loudly-and-carry-a-big-stick policies.
The Danforth episode exposed the
"The first thing that strikes me about this race is we don't know who is going to turn out, and in what numbers," said
"We're interested in how young people are going to turn out, how suburban women are going to turn out, and how blacks are going to turn out.
"And who will working class whites (who voted for Trump in droves in '16) turn out to vote for," Robertson said. "Those four things are unknown unknowns now."
Will 2018 be a straight line to 2020, or a pivot point to something entirely new?
Will it continue the Trump makeover of the
Polls suggest a pushback to Trump among women could be strong.
And in an
But that union, working-class vote is harder to judge. Economically, they became
"These are people who like their unions, but they also like to hunt and they hear about how terrible abortion is every week in church," Robertson said. "They are torn in a couple different directions. I expect a split decision."
Working-class Missourians "voted strongly for Trump, for (Republican Sen. Roy)
On the Republican side, Robertson said, "there are very deep cleavages between the sort of nationalist working class populist streams in the Republican coalition that provides a whole lot of votes, and the more traditional moderate business
"It has been there for a long time and we have wondered when it was going to surface more strikingly," he said. "And it looks like it is doing that now."
Finally, mercifully, the attack ads that have taken over
Marijuana, minimum wage and more: Our voters guide to Tuesday's election
Political Fix
Marijuana, minimum wage and more: Our voters guide to Tuesday's election
Hawley vs. McCaskill: Coverage of the 2018
Regional
A Hawley win Tuesday could have domino effect on Missouri Republicans
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4 hrs ago
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If Missouri voters elect Attorney General
National politics
Hawley, McCaskill hit key themes during final campaign sweeps through Missouri
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6 hrs ago
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Polls in advance of
Hawley invokes Trump, appeals to 'flyover' values
National politics
Hawley invokes Trump, appeals to 'flyover' values
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Less than two years into his first term as an elected official, Hawley, a
McCaskill sees moderation as balm for bickering
National politics
McCaskill sees moderation as balm for bickering
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This very much feels like her last campaign, win or lose, and if you listen hard and often enough, it's difficult to come to any other conclusion.
Missouri's
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Missouri's
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Super PACs aligned with the Senate Republican leader and minority leader have spent a combined
National politics
The election's impact on health care: Some bellwether races to watch, including Missouri's
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The results of the midterm elections are likely to have a major impact on a broad array of other health issues that touch every single American.
National politics
Anonymous mailers in Missouri's tight
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Top Missouri Republicans are calling for a federal probe into anonymous direct mail pieces seeking to influence voters.
Trump implores Missouri voters to dump McCaskill for Hawley
National politics
Trump implores Missouri voters to dump McCaskill for Hawley
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Trump appeared at a rollicking campaign rally in
Character on the ballot, Biden tells crowd at rally for McCaskill
National politics
Character on the ballot, Biden tells crowd at rally for McCaskill
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"Hate will continue to grow if we do not speak up, and speak out," Biden said, to shouts of "tell it Joe."
National politics
One of
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"That was a big red flag to me," one attorney who still works in the office, and who spoke on the condition of anonymity for fear of retaliati...
Hawley denies that political consultants had undue influence over attorney general's office
National politics
Hawley denies that political consultants had undue influence over attorney general's office
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Hawley, during a campaign stop on Wednesday, dismissed suggestions in a
Political Fix
Trump will end final campaign blitz in
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Trump will have 11 campaign rallies in eight states over the last week of the campaign, and two will be in
Political Fix
One week from
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While Greitens' tenure has faded as a campaign issue in recent months, McCaskill's campaign manager
National politics
Raasch: Who are these 'crazy
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Republican strategists believe anything they can do to tie McCaskill to images of activists interrupting the hearing, confronting Republican s...
National politics
Campaigning Trump to be back in
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Invitations show that the event is expected to take place at Hangar 350 at the
In final debate, McCaskill calls for civility, says Trump 'lies all the time'; Hawley brands opponent 'liberal Democrat'
Political Fix
In final debate, McCaskill calls for civility, says Trump 'lies all the time'; Hawley brands opponent 'liberal Democrat'
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McCaskill did not relent in her criticism of President
For many, the 2018 election comes down to one question: Are you with or against Trump?
National politics
For many, the 2018 election comes down to one question: Are you with or against Trump?
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Issues from immigration to health care aside, so much of what is driving debate and voter passions this fall circulates around this question: ...
Inside the
Metro
Inside the
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In this episode of Inside the
Political Fix
McCaskill calls on Hawley to end appeal of voter photo ID case
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A day after a
Political Fix
In Hawley and McCaskill campaigns, big bucks flow in from senators to Spielberg
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Missouri's megamillions
National politics
Prop B: Hawley is against, McCaskill is for
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The initiative would bump the minimum rate to
National politics
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Now that Hawley is running for
How
Political Fix
How
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Critics say Hawley's administration bled staffers and dedicated limited resources to firing salvos toward the federal government. They say he ...
Political Fix
Hawley says he doesn't support ad implying African-Americans will be targeted if
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In the ad, two black women discuss the bitter confirmation process of
McCaskill, Hawley trade barbs, compliments in
Political Fix
McCaskill, Hawley trade barbs, compliments in
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The candidates clashed on questions about the growing deficit, gun restrictions and the Affordable Care Act among other issues.
Political Fix
McCaskill,
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It's a tried-and-true Democratic message: That Republicans are coming after your
Raasch: A margin-of-error election in the Show-Me state
National politics
Raasch: A margin-of-error election in the Show-Me state
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Missouri's nationally watched
National politics
Race turns nasty over
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Project Veritas, a conservative group that produces "sting" videos intended to embarrass liberal organizations and media outfits, took the videos.
National politics
In fight over ethics changes, Hawley is a 'no' vote
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The Clean Missouri initiative, known as Amendment 1, would limit lobbyists from giving public officials anything valued at more than
National politics
McCaskill has outraised Hawley by almost 4-1, but he entered October with more campaign cash
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Hawley began October with more than
The
Political Fix
The
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That independent spending, separate from what Hawley and McCaskill are spending on their own campaigns, has already surpassed
National politics
Poll:
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The poll by Reuters,
Political Fix
Outside of D.C. hothouse,
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In Missouri,
Political Fix
Hawley solicits donations in wake of Kavanaugh confirmation; McCaskill's appeals have more subtly referenced vote
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Within a half hour of the vote, Hawley sent out a fundraising email praising Kavanaugh and asking for donations.
Banks back key
Political Fix
Banks back key
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Commercial banks have so far donated a total of
Political Fix
Hawley raises money at the
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Hawley was one of five Republican candidates for the
As the world burns, don't expect to hear much about it in Missouri's
Political Fix
As the world burns, don't expect to hear much about it in Missouri's
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But in the state's
National politics
Obama hasn't endorsed McCaskill. Why not?
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Obama twice lost Missouri, the last time in 2012 by almost 10 points to
Political Fix
McCaskill touts independence in new ad, but
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In the ad, a widely circulated Sen.
Ad check: Hawley on pre-existing health conditions
Political Fix
Ad check: Hawley on pre-existing health conditions
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Hawley, as the state's lawyer, has added Missouri to a
McCaskill, a dark-money critic, lauds black voter registration effort partially funded by it
Political Fix
McCaskill, a dark-money critic, lauds black voter registration effort partially funded by it
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McCaskill lauded the "good news" of an outside group partially funded by undisclosed donors aiming to register 100,000 black voters in
Political Fix
Hawley says special counsel should investigate Feinstein's handling of Kavanaugh allegation
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Following the line other
Hawley blasts
Political Fix
Hawley blasts
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Their disagreement -- expressed by Hawley on Twitter and by McCaskill in an interview with the
Political Fix
In
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Political committees aligned with Senate Democratic Leader
Political Fix
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There's "no county more important in this entire state than the one we are sitting in right now," Republican
At Hawley campaign rally, Trump focuses on DOJ
Political Fix
At Hawley campaign rally, Trump focuses on DOJ
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Trump made the future of Kavanaugh and the federal judiciary a centerpiece of his rally in
McCaskill's 'dark-money no' on Kavanaugh falls in the middle of a campaign saturated by outside spending
Political Fix
McCaskill's 'dark-money no' on Kavanaugh falls in the middle of a campaign saturated by outside spending
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McCaskill to vote 'no' on Brett Kavanaugh; Hawley: 'no surprise here'
Political Fix
McCaskill to vote 'no' on Brett Kavanaugh; Hawley: 'no surprise here'
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McCaskill, said her call was based primarily on what she said was Kavanaugh's position that seemed to favor the survival of "dark money" in politics.
Political Fix
Hawley:
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The process "is exactly the kind of thing that voters in my state, at least, say is wrong with
Ad check: Who's really on the side of insurance companies?
Political Fix
Ad check: Who's really on the side of insurance companies?
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McCaskill is the second-biggest recipient of insurance company money across the board in this election cycle so far, according to the nonparti...
Political Fix
Trump plans Friday night rally in
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Trump will be stumping for Republican
Political Fix
Blunt, McCaskill, Hawley, weigh in on Kavanaugh allegation
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Political Fix
Ten votes that help define
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The 10 votes below are markers in determining the validity of her claims of independence -- and of Hawley's assertions that she is usually a re...
First debate: Hawley, McCaskill spar
Political Fix
First debate: Hawley, McCaskill spar
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In a forum sponsored by the
After the
Political Fix
After the
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McCaskill reported an adjusted gross income of
News
When it comes to releasing tax returns, Missouri's
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With less than two months to go in the 2018 race for a pivotal
Political Fix
For McCaskill, Kavanaugh nomination shapes up as Gorsuch II -- with a twist
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Like a handful of other
Political Fix
Poll: McCaskill, Hawley in dead heat
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Likely voters come down in a 47-47 percent tie when asked just about Hawley and McCaskill in the NBC News-Marist poll.
Political Fix
McCaskill, Hawley walk tightrope in response to Manafort and Cohen
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Rather than join calls for Trump's impeachment, McCaskill said special counsel
How big is Missouri's
Political Fix
How big is Missouri's
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Data compiled by the group from
Political Fix
McCaskill '100 percent in favor' of minimum wage question; Hawley 'not so sure'
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Hawley says he has not decided whether he will vote to raise the minimum wage in November.
Political Fix
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The ad, however, leaves out context. Advocates, law enforcement and survivors of sexual violence have for years sounded the alarm on sexual as...
Political Fix
Messenger: From Montana to Missouri, dark money is bipartisan scourge on American political system
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The insidious nature of dark money is everywhere these days in
Political Fix
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In a speech to pastors and church members in
Political Fix
National business group goes after McCaskill in new TV ad
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After meeting with Supreme Court nominee, McCaskill offers no hints
Political Fix
After meeting with Supreme Court nominee, McCaskill offers no hints
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McCaskill met with President
Amid Trump tariff troubles, Hawley urges owner of
Political Fix
Amid Trump tariff troubles, Hawley urges owner of
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"The negotiation over tariffs should not be an excuse for you to kill American jobs and consolidate Deacero's nail manufacturing to
Political Fix
Reacting to Trump's policies is challenge for Hawley, McCaskill
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"I think it's going to be tricky for both of them, but from day to day I change my mind on who's going to have the tougher time," said Jeremy ...
Political Fix
Raasch: In aspirational America, politicians are sometimes the ones who least understand
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If some politicians didn't mistake "knowing what the average person goes through" with "I'm one of you," they wouldn't fall into the perpetual...
Political Fix
What do Missouri's
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In response to
Profile: The raging centrist ambitions of
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"What I see clearly is that where we get things done is in the middle, when we work together, when people compromise. And we don't have, frank...
Profile:
Political Fix
Profile:
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From his early days as a law clerk to his life in private practice, the Republican has focused on legal cases where religion and the law inter...
Political Fix
Endorsement:
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The pick was not a surprise after the group passed over McCaskill in her two previous elections, but McCaskill had hoped the organization woul...
On at least one topic -- the media --
Political Fix
On at least one topic -- the media --
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"The media say a lot of things that people disagree with, but I don't think they're the enemy of the people, no," Hawley told a
Political Fix
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The two
Political Fix
In flip from 2016, a referendum in
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The
Hawley, McCaskill head to easy primary wins to set up nationally watched
Political Fix
Hawley, McCaskill head to easy primary wins to set up nationally watched
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Hawley and McCaskill challenged each other to a series of one-on-one debates.
At VFW event, Trump stumps for Hawley
Political Fix
At VFW event, Trump stumps for Hawley
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President
Political Fix
Outside money flows into Missouri aiming to influence race for
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Even before Hawley won the Republican nomination, ads pit him as the likely winner to face off against McCaskill in November.
Raasch: You say Missour-ee, they say Missour-uh -- let's get this
Political Fix
Raasch: You say Missour-ee, they say Missour-uh -- let's get this
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So, who is the most authentic Missourian this week?
Political Fix
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Her re-election chances this fall could depend heavily on how she votes on the nomination, how she explains that vote, and how her Republican ...
Political Fix
McCaskill reports
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The fundraising was more than twice the amount raised in that time by Hawley -- with 85 percent of McCaskill's money coming in donations of les...
Political Fix
Hawley's first TV ad in
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Hawley's ad tries to connect the fight over Trump's choice to Missouri's pivotal status in
Political Fix
Hawley, who slammed McCaskill for raising money in
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But Hawley himself was in
Trade tensions send waves through Missouri, offering a possible opening for McCaskill
Political Fix
Trade tensions send waves through Missouri, offering a possible opening for McCaskill
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"I certainly expressed concerns for the ag community on this looming trade war," McCaskill said, "and what a devastating impact that could hav...
Political Fix
Hawley, who said
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Sen.
McCaskill disputes claim that her RV tour of Missouri last month was more of a fly-over
Political Fix
McCaskill disputes claim that her RV tour of Missouri last month was more of a fly-over
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"Sen.
Political Fix
With Trump stirring the pot, the 2018 election is returning to 2016 themes
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The mix of issues this time around also is familiar: health care, tax cuts, immigration, the economy, the Supreme Court, trade.
With Greitens gone, the spin cycle now turns back to Missouri's nationally watched
With Greitens gone, the spin cycle now turns back to Missouri's nationally watched
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*
Political Fix
Poll: McCaskill holds slight lead over Hawley
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The poll by Missouri Scout, a nonpartisan political news service, found McCaskill leading Hawley with 48 percent of the vote, to his 44 percent.
Political Fix
Poll: Majority of Missourians think it's time for new senator
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A new Morning Consult poll also shows McCaskill with the worst job-approval ratings of any incumbent Democrat running in states won by Preside...
Political Fix
Hawley raises
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Hawley's campaign pointed out he is raising money at a faster pace than Democratic challenger
Raasch: Clash of Trump, Greitens survival strategies reverberates in Missouri's
Political Fix
Raasch: Clash of Trump, Greitens survival strategies reverberates in Missouri's
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As the prospect of
Political Fix
Poll: McCaskill, Hawley in tight match
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The Mason-
Political Fix
McCaskill first-quarter fundraising:
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With seven months to go in the campaign, McCaskill has now raised roughly
Political Fix
In Missouri's
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Missouri
McCaskill's
Political Fix
McCaskill's
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Horrigan:
Political Fix
Horrigan:
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Hawley will have to work pretty hard to out-country McCaskill. Every time she runs for office, she turns into Country Claire, harkening back t...
Political Fix
Missouri
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Surrogate targets
In
Political Fix
In
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Trump, in
Hawley attacks elites, hints at populist
Political Fix
Hawley attacks elites, hints at populist
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"
Political Fix
Poll: McCaskill holds narrow lead over Hawley
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In the latest indication of the volatility of the race, McCaskill's 2 percentage point lead (42-40) over Hawley in the new poll by
Political Fix
Poll: McCaskill is 8 points behind Hawley
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The poll result put her in a more precarious position than all but two Democratic incumbents in the
Is
Political Fix
Is
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On major votes, ranging from taxes to health care to abortion rights, McCaskill is often tethered to her party's line, although she says that'...
Political Fix
Missouri AG Hawley now facing whispers of buyer's remorse within party
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One of Hawley's top supporters, former
Political Fix
Hawley blames sexual revolution for sex trafficking
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"You know what I'm talking about, the 1960s, 1970s, it became commonplace in our culture among our cultural elites,
Political Fix
Hawley's
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Hawley raised less than
Political Fix
McCaskill raises
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McCaskill, D-
Is
Political Fix
Is
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McCaskill had robust fundraising in 2017, pulling in roughly a million dollars a month. Even though she tries to disown them, outside spending...
Trump talks taxes, throws support to Hawley in
Political Fix
Trump talks taxes, throws support to Hawley in
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President
Political Fix
Hawley-McCaskill rhetoric sharpens on tax reform, results of Tuesday's elections
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"You cannot be all things to all people," McCaskill added. "That is the one piece of advice I'd give
Political Fix
McCaskill: 'Dancing with the Stars' voters key to 2018 election
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McCaskill portrayed voters as not necessarily attuned with all the back and forth of
Political Fix
Hawley alleges McCaskill has ruled out tax reform. The record says otherwise.
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McCaskill, a Democrat, has criticized Republican tax ideas she says will coddle the rich at the expense of the middle class. But she has said ...
Political Fix
McCaskill raises
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McCaskill's fundraising set a Missouri record for the July to September period.
Political Fix
With Hawley in, it's a wild-card
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Trump thumped Democrat
Hawley officially says he'll run for
Political Fix
Hawley officially says he'll run for
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In the video, he talks in general terms about issues on which he believes the status quo has failed, including jobs, taxes and health care costs.
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