David Bartsch Presents at the 2014 Jamaica Stock Exchange Investments and Capital Markets Conference
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"The risk of disruptions in the global capital markets poses yet another challenge for emerging market economies and their banks as capital markets adjust to changes in US monetary policy," says David. "The favorable long-term outlook for economic growth in the emerging markets and prospects for increased portfolio allocations to the emerging markets sector remain intact. However, short-term swings in capital flows could stress the liquidity position of banks in small and middle-sized emerging markets which are closely correlated to their sovereign."
David adds, "The Management and Boards of emerging market banks would be well served to develop strategic funding plans to anticipate a disorderly economic adjustment scenario. In addition to arranging interbank lines of credit, emerging market banks should set in place asset backed funding programs which they could tap in less than favorable new issuance markets. Recurring inflows of offshore financial payments in major currencies are one potential source of security for banks to leverage. Structures such as Depository Payment Rights securitizations have performed through multiple international debt crises and a broad universe of institutional investors has experience with this asset class."
Regulatory interest in contingency planning for liquidity management is growing with the continued rollout of the Basel Accords. David advises, "Banks should assess their capital markets readiness by identifying operational enhancements to segregate collateral financial payments for use as security and implement disaster recovery processes, initiating dialogues with rating agencies on the outlook for their going-concern ratings and conducting a legal review of issues associated with new issuance of secured financing. Banks should also initiate discussions with their
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