All in all, he has a good story to tell voters, particularly when compared to his predecessors.
Yet as he enters his fourth year in office — a reelection year — his approval ratings trail those of Presidents
It's a riddle that bedevils the president's advisers, and gives encouragement to his political opponents, who feel he's poised to become only the second president in the last four decades to fail to win re-election.
For some, there's an easy answer: He's gotten a raw deal from a press unwilling to give him a fair shake.
"It is very difficult to overcome the constant attacks by the media on the president and the total discounting all this good news. It is really frustrating," said Rep.
He won in 2016 despite getting fewer votes nationwide, just as
At this point in his presidency he had a 46% average approval rate, which was a net 2.3% negative.
By contrast, people seemed to want to give
The official said the peace prize was emblematic of the different treatment the previous presidents got compared to
"It's not so much that the media's against him, it's that it's a steady downpour. And no matter how many umbrellas you have, you're still going to get wet," the official said.
Just how good are
Gas prices, adjusted for inflation, are only slightly higher than they were 20 years ago. The stock market is up more than 45%. The federal prison population, which three years into the Obama years was surging past 215,000, is down below 150,000 inmates.
Income inequality is also up — though median household income has fully bounced back from the Great Recession, the
In decades past, the surging stock market and solid job gains would likely have meant another term for whichever party held the reins at the
But The Economist says that link has been severed over the last decade, sending academics scrambling to rethink their models.
One of those academics is
In a column for the University of
Besides, he said,
"I think he doesn't have a good story to tell. I think it is an administration marked by corruption for himself and his family and friends," he said.
"I would think papers like
"So there are a lot of complicated factors — I'm trying to be as fair as I can be — that go into this. I think that the American public opinion is very much in flux right now."
"The more the campaign and the election revolve around the president's record and performance, the better the chance that he will be defeated," he said.