The report issued Monday by the
The 37-page report notes that should the proposal be enacted, the federal deficit would decrease by
"(T)hat is damaging to the new bill among the public who have been hoping for estimates of the (number of) uninsured that are very different from this," Simon said in an email. "Second, it seems likely to reduce support even among
Simon said legislators are likely to heed the
"This amount of resources devoted in a nonpartisan way is hard to rival in terms of objectivity and accuracy," she said. "Although everyone understands that forecasts are not perfect and that CBO or anyone doing forecasts cannot with 100 percent accuracy tell us how people will react, how (the) new law would play out, and history proves that. But CBO has been by and large in the ballpark of what has happened when looking back in time."
Moving forward, Simon said, lawmakers will have to figure out how to get more people insured without raising taxes and without increasing the deficit, all without keeping health care coverage from becoming bare bones. She said that will be "an uphill battle."
"I do not want to vote on a bill that has no chance of passing over in the
Simon, less optimistically, said public perception will affect the final bill, whatever it ends up being.
"I think the politics of what people believe -- which is not always the same as what analysts will say about the pros and cons of a bill -- and what politicians think their constituents want will be what determines the course of health policy, and I don't see consensus between the two sides of public political views happening anytime soon," she said.
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