Fed Rate Decision: Fed lifts benchmark rate by 25 basis points, sees ‘ongoing’ hikes
"The Committee anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% over time," the Fed said.v
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Fed Chairman
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"The Committee anticipates that ongoing increases in the target range will be appropriate in order to attain a stance of monetary policy that is sufficiently restrictive to return inflation to 2% over time," the Fed said in a statement released in parallel with the rate decision.
"In determining the extent of future increases in the target range, the Committee will take into account the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lags with which monetary policy affects economic activity and inflation, and economic and financial developments," the statement added.
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Markets are pricing in an 86.3% chance that the Fed will hike rates by another 25 basis points in March, but the balance of bets for the Fed's May meeting suggest rates holding at between 4.75% and 5% into the summer and beyond, with a small rate cut priced-in for the Fed's November meeting.
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Consumer prices are most certainly moving in the direction the Fed was hoping to see -- thanks in part to the 425 basis points in rate hikes put in place last year -- with core consumer prices running at an annualized rate of just 3.1% over the three months ending in December.
That compares to the 6% run-rate over the third quarter, and the 7.2% peak recorded over the three months ending in June. Headline CPI. meanwhile, has slowed for sixth consecutive months, easing to 6.5% in December, while the Fed's preferred PCE inflation gauge retreated to 4.4%, the lowest in more than a year, as real personal spending extended its recent slump.
On the other side of the Fed's dual mandate, however, things look a bit more complicated. Unemployment is still hovering at the lowest levels in decades, at 3.5%, and the number of new applications for jobless benefits fell to the lowest levels since May last week.
At the same time, the
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